302 lines
19 KiB
JSON
302 lines
19 KiB
JSON
[
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{
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"title": "Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-floyd-mayweather-beat-logan-paul-in-their-boxing-exhibition-match",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on whether Floyd Mayweather will win his boxing exhibition match against Logan Paul set to take place on February 20th, 2021. If Floyd Mayweather is declared the winner of this bout, either by knockout or by judgement, this market will resolve “Yes.” If Logan Paul is declared the winner, or this fight is declared a draw, this market will resolve to “No”. If this match is, for any reason, postponed to a date earlier than May 1st, 2021, the same market resolution conditions will apply for whenever the fight is rescheduled. In the event the boxing match does not take place before then, the market will resolve to .90 for \"Yes\" and .10 for \"No\", which is in line with existing market odds at time of deployment. More info can be found about this fight on the Fanmio website here: https://fanmio.com/products/floyd-mayweather-vs-logan-paul-special-exhibition-fight. In the event of ambiguity in regards to the outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.9028474139641530505021689929214884",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.0971525860358469494978310070785116",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "633",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-be-president-of-the-usa-on-march-31-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on March 31, 2021, 12pm EST. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No\". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html , 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. \n\nIf any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.04384333333326966854295219002343513",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.9561566666667303314570478099765649",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "2615",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-joe-biden-be-president-of-the-usa-on-march-1-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on March 1, 2021, 11:59 PM EST. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Joe Biden is listed as being the current President of the United States according to official US government sources, like the link provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Joe Biden is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No“. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). The resolution source for this market will be the official website of the United States President, [https://www.whitehouse.gov/](https://www.whitehouse.gov/)",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.9847526057137696726145337672447287",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.01524739428623032738546623275527134",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "4060",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Hashmasks be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-hashmasks-be-the-highest-volume-nft-category-by-7-day-volume-on-february-25-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on whether the Hashmasks Non-Fungible Token (NFT) will be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hashmasks is the highest volume NFT by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021, and \"No\" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be https://opensea.io/rankings sorted by 7-day volume.",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.09784886647734230781952097972023575",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.9021511335226576921804790202797643",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "210",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will the Mavericks or the Rockets win their February 19th matchup?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-mavericks-or-the-rockets-win-their-february-19th-matchup",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on which team will win the February 19th, 2021 matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets. In the event this game is delayed for whatever reason, the resolution of this market will be delayed until the game takes place. In the extraordinarily unlikely event the game is canceled altogether, the market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of overtime, this market will resolve to the eventual winner. Results of this market will be decided by official scores available on https://www.nba.com/.",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Mavericks",
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"probability": "0.5126451919771450270722133714988353",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "Rockets",
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"probability": "0.4873548080228549729277866285011647",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "10",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-johnson-and-johnson-s-covid-19-vaccine-receive-fda-approval-or-emergency-use-authorization-eua-by-march-15-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on whether Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine will receive regulatory approval in the USA in the form of either FDA approval OR Emergency Use Authorization, whichever comes first. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receives FDA approval or EUA prior to the resolution date, March 15, 2021, 12:00 pm EST, and \"No\" otherwise.\n\nThis market will be resolved in good faith, according to the FDA list of licensed vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), the FDA EUA list (https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-legal-regulatory-and-policy-framework/emergency-use-authorization), as well as any other resolution source deemed appropriate by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.9636005933557809988326912945811191",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.03639940664421900116730870541888087",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "125",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/2000-stimulus-checks-by-february-28-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This market concerns whether or not legislation will be signed into law by February 28, 2021, 11:59pm EST which includes direct government stimulus payments to US citizens of $2000. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any such legislation becomes law prior to the resolution date according to the official Congress website, regardless of if the stimulus checks have been paid out yet. This market will resolve to “No” if no such legislation becomes law prior to the resolution date. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). The resolution source will be congress.gov/bill, the official website of Congress.\n\nClarifying Note: In the event of an amendment that effectively increases stimulus payments from $600 to $2000, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". In the event of an additional payment of $1400 to supplement existing $600 payments, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". In the event of a $2000 payment to supplement the existing $600 payment, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.007669394521349913573323951380589446",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.9923306054786500864266760486194106",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "1927",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-apple-amazon-or-twitter-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-before-april-1-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if Apple ($AAPL), Amazon ($AMZN), or Twitter ($TWTR) will announce either their intention to purchase Bitcoin ($BTC) off their balance sheet, the completion of such a purchase, or, in any other way, ownership of BTC on their balance sheet. This announcement may come from any official channel. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Apple, Amazon, or Twitter satisfies any of the aforementioned resolution conditions before the resolution date, April 1, 2021, 12:00am EST. If for any reason the market conditions are not met by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in regards to the outcome of this market, it will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.3740944733871378771100721330216092",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.6259055266128621228899278669783908",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "267",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-australian-open-1",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on whether Novak Djokovic will win the Men's Singles at the Australian Open. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Djokovic wins, and \"No\" otherwise. In the event of any postponement of the Australian Open, this market will not be resolved until the tournament takes place to completion. In the event that the tournament is canceled entirely, this market will resolve to \"No\". The resolution source will be https://ausopen.com/. ",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.5529435500339063317213706378502305",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.4470564499660936682786293621497695",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "401",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/new-government-stimulus-checks-by-march-15-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This market concerns whether or not legislation will be signed into law by March 15, 2021, 12:00pm EST which includes direct government stimulus payments to US citizens. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any such legislation becomes law prior to the resolution date according to the official Congress website, regardless of if the stimulus checks have been paid out yet. This market will resolve to “No” if no such legislation becomes law prior to the resolution date. If the stimulus payment is only available to a certain subset of US citizens, this market will still resolve to \"Yes\". In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). The resolution source will be congress.gov/bill, the official website of Congress.",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.824196765112237436589406573158073",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.175803234887762563410593426841927",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "57",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-bitcoin-btc-be-above-55k-on-february-24-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if the USD price of Bitcoin $BTC will be above $55000 on February 24, 2021, 12:00pm EST, according to coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if BTC is trading above $55000 according to Coinmarketcap on the resolution date, and “No“ otherwise. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).\n",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.5157413309091586626423644583141534",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.4842586690908413373576355416858466",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "324",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-eth-be-above-2000-on-march-1st-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if the USD price of Ether $ETH will be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021, 12:00pm EST, according to coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if ETH is trading above $2000 according to Coinmarketcap on the resolution date, and “No“ otherwise. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.5329689311043461752705511450693121",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.4670310688956538247294488549306879",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "1424",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-9-50-per-hour-or-higher-by-april-1",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if the federal minimum wage will be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1, 12:00pm EST. This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the federal minimum wage in effect for covered non-exempt employees is $9.50 or more per hour at any point prior to the resolution date, and \"No\" otherwise. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Labor's website, https://www.dol.gov/.",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.04753816106122730358638395318148025",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.9524618389387726964136160468185198",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "63",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": " Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-kim-kardashian-or-kanye-west-file-for-divorce-before-march-1-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on whether Kanye West or Kim Kardashian will officially file for a divorce before March 1st 2021. Filing for divorce, in the context of this market, can be defined empirically as either an official announcement directly from either Kim or Kanye that they're getting divorced, or an official filing of divorce, including but not limited to certified copies of divorce decrees available from the Superior Court in the county where the decree was granted. This market will resolve \"Yes\" if the aforementioned conditions are met and \"No\" otherwise. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).\n",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.1188815126151356200283627283324027",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.8811184873848643799716372716675973",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "259",
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"stars": 2
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},
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{
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"title": "Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021?",
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"url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-price-of-unisocks-be-above-100000-on-february-28-2021",
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"platform": "PolyMarket",
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"description": "This is a market on if the USD price of Unisocks Edition 0 $SOCKS will be above $100,000 on February 28th, 2021, 12:00pm EST, according to https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/unisocks. This market will resolve to “Yes\" if SOCKS is trading above $100,000 according to Coingecko on the resolution date, and “No\" otherwise. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).",
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": "0.2302998942128838993520596232318804",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": "0.7697001057871161006479403767681196",
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"numforecasts": "223",
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"stars": 2
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}
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] |