index	title	url	stars
0	Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/170-will-the-united-states-have-the-world-s-fastest-supercomputer-in-june-2022	0
1	When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/168-when-will-1-billion-people-in-india-receive-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
2	Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/164-will-the-chinese-people-s-liberation-army-pla-seize-control-of-any-taiwanese-occupied-features-in-the-south-china-sea-between-august-1-2021-and-march-31-2022	0
3	Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/163-following-el-salvador-will-another-country-classify-bitcoin-as-legal-tender-by-december-31-2021	0
4	Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/162-will-the-world-health-organization-declare-a-new-public-health-emergency-of-international-concern-between-august-1-2021-and-august-1-2022	0
5	[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/155-experimental-what-will-be-the-median-foretell-forecast-on-whether-covid-19-originated-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china-on-october-1-2021	0
6	[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/154-experimental-did-covid-19-originate-in-a-lab-in-wuhan-china	0
7	Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/150-will-the-democratic-party-maintain-its-majority-in-the-u-s-house-of-representatives-after-the-midterm-elections-in-2022	0
8	What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/141-what-will-the-big-5-tech-companies-average-reputation-ranking-be-in-the-2022-harris-poll	0
9	What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/134-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-have-a-chinese-co-author-in-2022	0
10	What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/132-what-percentage-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-reference-ai-ethics-in-2022	0
11	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/131-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-in-2022	0
12	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/129-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2022	0
13	What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/128-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2022	0
14	What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/130-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-in-2022	0
15	Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/127-will-a-g7-country-boycott-the-beijing-2022-winter-olympics-before-january-1-2022	0
16	Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/126-will-china-sign-an-official-agreement-on-establishing-a-future-military-base-in-the-pacific-ocean-before-december-31-2021	0
17	Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/122-will-hu-chunhua-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
18	Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/120-will-li-keqiang-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
19	Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/121-will-chen-min-er-be-a-member-of-the-standing-committee-of-the-politburo-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
20	How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/118-how-many-new-h-1b-visa-applications-submitted-by-the-big-5-tech-companies-will-the-u-s-grant-in-fiscal-year-2022	0
21	What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/117-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2022	0
22	What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/119-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fiscal-year-2022	0
23	Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/115-will-xi-jingping-be-general-secretary-of-the-chinese-communist-party-s-central-committee-on-december-31-2022	0
24	What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/109-conditional-on-president-trump-not-being-convicted-of-incitement-of-insurrection-what-will-the-senate-s-average-bipartisan-index-score-be-from-2021-2022	0
25	How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/105-how-many-members-will-the-alphabet-workers-union-have-by-december-31-2021	0
26	Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/102-will-nvidia-acquire-arm-by-march-30-2022	0
27	What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/91-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-u-s-residents-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2022-pew-global-attitudes-survey	0
28	Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?	https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025	0
29	Hours of 80,000 Hours podcast content released	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0926981c-1cc8-4e21-a3e4-865a3c544e67	0
30	% global rate of "$1.90 a day" poverty in 2030	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/e1ca8cc6-33a4-4e38-9ef3-553a050ba0a9	0
31	A bioengineering project kills at least five thousand people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/9386c0c2-d8df-4e17-9aba-98b2b60c6608	0
32	A bioengineering project kills at least five people by 2023-02-15	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ecd31a5b-75ae-4785-89f9-6be85ade3af0	0
33	How many papers will cite "Logical Induction" by Garrabrant, S. et al. at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/12d6442f-3f73-43af-a5b5-de66df236bde	0
34	How many papers will cite "Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems" by Hubinger, E. et al. at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/85769e44-27fe-4f28-aff2-16ffc735c573	0
35	Will GiveWell renew the grant to the Centre for Pesticide Suicide Prevention?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/be2b184b-9162-453b-a31a-f31204388324	0
36	By the end of 2020, what % of US hens will live in cage-free housing?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b5077bdb-25ff-4027-9a41-3dd5e78e08ac	0
37	Will SB 592 clear the California state Assembly?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d97e690d-baeb-4e45-bf48-dca41535e1e1	0
38	5 cities with at least 50k population implement approval voting by 2022	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b5ef0f81-18c4-42fa-864e-e8dc0d9ea8d6	0
39	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/efbd2e5c-185d-451b-a54a-72be1a302a10	0
40	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/f69988cc-f2c2-4dc9-aca0-2aae01a2606d	0
41	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/862c4482-b77e-49bd-89e6-c28bd664f0f7	0
42	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to the University of Oxford?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51eaef45-463b-4c85-bd6c-62e267bfbadd	0
43	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to UC Berkeley?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/bfdeb28d-deb4-44b8-91e0-a840b5564620	0
44	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to Global Health and Development between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/feff8be7-0a44-48d7-99a2-0015faa64c14	0
45	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to U.S. policy between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/ee8e154d-c7d8-4337-905d-0fd5e1fdd924	0
46	How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/8ae516ed-5d4d-4008-bcf8-d86e4ae814d6	0
47	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to scientific research between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dfc6e8e4-0a36-4e57-b3d1-004fce0bbd4d	0
48	How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to AI safety between 2020 and 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/cb1d4afc-7200-48b3-aa75-06e0b4d451b4	0
49	What will the Metaculus community median probability for AI catastrophe by 2100 be in 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b9034665-5ab1-44df-9af3-0a954759b3df	0
50	What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to MIRI?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7265aead-923a-4a61-957a-be846741a889	0
51	How many of Eliezer Yudkowsky, Paul Christiano, Nate Soares, and Dario Amodei will still be working on AI safety by the end of 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0b2ff995-6b72-49d3-90b6-e5ba9ebb5781	0
52	Will MIRI still exist in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6fbca8b0-740b-4c9e-b0cb-aa5bdc30a4ba	0
53	How many nuclear warheads will the US have in 2029?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/b76f74a0-c3a0-4530-b27c-e462ef593893	0
54	Will Good Policies still be running at the end of 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1a5a05b6-0dc7-4725-b559-e732d394ed28	0
55	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1e42ecfd-5117-4e91-9eb8-f27920029131	0
56	How many papers will cite "Embedded Agency" by Demski, A. and Garrabrant, S. at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/2336bbb0-538b-44c4-a48d-04c9c5e842de	0
57	What percentage of grant dollars from the Global Health and Development EA Fund distributed in 2020 will go towards deworming organisations?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7fd75c13-a2ed-4e76-9d44-09867d06ca5a	0
58	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional whole pieces of farmed animal muscle tissue have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a71cd5b8-fdcf-45f7-9168-822e11c0e406	0
59	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional ground meats will have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/35caf084-9436-49c3-a046-eea6a8c8bf7a	0
60	When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional acellular animal products have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/089b42c8-ab9d-420c-9088-899b33df9efc	0
61	What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dc8c4beb-2f68-40e6-88e0-7fef557ef534	0
62	What will the balance + payouts be for the EA Meta Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1244c18b-8b0d-45a1-9d66-97f8f6c7c60b	0
63	What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/a547db8c-3906-43d6-afa8-138b9406ec53	0
64	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/1b3674e6-a036-4887-80bb-fea8f24ff118	0
65	Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/eedcf35c-1acc-45c6-9600-36c9a6efd53a	0
66	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/294d918c-99fb-4bb8-a162-2b248b328789	0
67	Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/605b7ed3-fd73-4979-8252-a86dcb4dc04a	0
68	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/563268d2-81b3-4bab-9ef5-c7a0a731a743	0
69	Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/d05a9b4b-317e-419b-acdd-9f1945f2372a	0
70	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6d2dc33f-87d3-4817-8577-8e8643c7b94b	0
71	Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/51970fcb-bc3d-4be6-aa7a-41ca9eef0ff3	0
72	What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/dd958638-c4fd-4b91-831c-ca3289ddc4ee	0
73	What will the balance + payouts be for the EA Meta Fund at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/61187fa6-4bb5-42ab-acb5-c3a68e109353	0
74	What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2020?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/aa037535-a09e-464e-bc64-90964df4cf9f	0
75	At the end of 2021, will the most cost-effective charity recommended by Givewell be a deworming charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/4f960f70-1058-420e-b7de-bc432888fa1e	0
76	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/02f00f76-d8d6-4f57-b033-ff849062538b	0
77	At the end of 2022, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/6cbf55b8-42cd-4f27-b339-adc9dff43275	0
78	At the end of 2021, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/52faee5b-2de3-433a-bd92-538b5696bcb8	0
79	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7d8556b6-7fbb-4bbe-ba42-db8911babe3f	0
80	Will there be more new COVID-19 cases this year than new HIV infections?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/8f14e026-51a8-4fca-920f-d29b37f61763	0
81	At the end of the outbreak, what will the ratio (deaths)/(confirmed cases) be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/d093d140-8c5a-4ffd-a4ad-ec0edcc7cb7d	0
82	Will the current outbreak result in a global disaster (>50 million deaths resulting from the pathogen within 1 year)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/f70dd133-ebb8-4201-88a8-09f6b94eed78	0
83	At the end of the outbreak, how many confirmed cases?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/b533b5bf-723d-40af-b558-daf971097507	0
84	At the end of the outbreak, how many deaths?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/984cd816-3284-4906-91f5-3b1446e47463	0
85	When will the outbreak end?	https://www.foretold.io/c/c47c6bc8-2c9b-4a83-9583-d1ed80a40fa2/m/95268867-0601-4377-920c-6a26618e2a70	0
86	By mid-2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b9bfcc0b-cd82-4904-903d-566ff57ed3b4	0
87	By mid-2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/380a3ab8-8b05-42f6-80b9-4217b04fd930	0
88	By mid-2021, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b5914f95-593d-4217-b862-b2ab5d0d51f8	0
89	How well do these two questions capture something significant about algorithmic progress?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/74586dc1-fd77-4b49-bbcb-b40ae0db09f8	0
90	By 2023, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/f8c595c5-dd7e-4bb6-9650-0de3625b50eb	0
91	By 2022, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/b93bc8f1-5798-43b5-a0f6-26c8f6f0c7c7	0
92	By 2021, what will be the smallest number of frames required for the Atari performance of a basic DQN?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/ef463b8f-50ef-4e5f-93de-fbe3abd53570	0
93	By mid-2023, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/98933e35-e4ed-4958-a36a-3d4154900bce	0
94	By mid-2022, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/c5b3dc97-4b67-46c5-93ac-2905113df000	0
95	By mid-2021, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/2c6253e6-8425-475c-90ba-ff4ab82b5483	0
96	How many years from now (Sep 2019) will it take to Physically assemble any LEGO set given the pieces and instructions, using specialized robotics hardware?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/69bf7756-ddb7-4d5c-b5c2-a223cffffe7d	0
97	By mid-2020, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaflop/s-days), used in training by a published AI system?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/70033fc2-af6e-4200-8aae-6d970a3e57ea	0
98	By mid-2020, what will be the smallest number of years of gameplay required for OpenAI Five-level dota performance?	https://www.foretold.io/c/cf663021-f87f-4632-ad82-962d889a2d39/m/75e157b5-ffc1-4b1b-9eda-7997dac7e20b	0
99	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2021?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b1949fbe-ce22-46d9-83a1-a5c2c53cd826	0
100	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b73619d7-8e1e-41a6-9e9f-6cfe22a1dad1	0
101	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2023?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3b91112d-19e3-486b-8ecc-ba9a7a372c09	0
102	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a minority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2465e95a-abc4-45a2-8ab3-855ecf295ded	0
103	If Conservatives win the next election, will they form a majority government?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8289150f-cfec-4327-b981-5fc0d624eb65	0
104	How many seats will Labour win the in the next general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/16581899-ae00-44e9-9d17-602ca38c6878	0
105	Will Labour win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/4e3274f7-c1b0-4a70-80ae-c931c87dca8d	0
106	Will Conservatives win the next election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/ff1f3bd2-3939-4414-b1cb-817b92ed3786	0
107	If Boris Johnson is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/cb081989-7005-4dea-8288-eeb54b5e8bd6	0
108	If Sajid Javid is leader of the Conservatives in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f682e558-edaf-45e9-9e4e-df4529dd7aa0	0
109	What will be the rate of homelessness per 100,000 people in England in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a97b0fa0-1eeb-4bc2-8bec-00e557f5dd91	0
110	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2c2e2991-3720-4786-ae82-448e328f8800	0
111	Will Brexit be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/b4f040ed-8145-4e23-8118-c4e06fd90a11	0
112	If Brexit occurs under a Conservative majority government elected in the 2019 election, will it be a hard Brexit?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/04a10cb2-d13f-4af7-8b70-12675dc25e9d	0
113	When will the next UK general election be?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/3165d0d1-547c-4104-8eb7-3c7508298b8d	0
114	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/a9bd15c4-95dd-49eb-8a3d-f546209bd444	0
115	If Keir Starmer is leader of Labour in the election after the 2019 UK general election, will they win that general election?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/e06b7c2f-a385-4c3c-9fa9-00787ac6aed3	0
116	Will there be a second Brexit referendum announced before 2022?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/2461fab4-c594-49fd-9b2a-acdfc52356ba	0
117	What will be the tuition fee cap for UK students in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fbc91180-f338-449d-a795-234ac42854ec	0
118	If there is a soft Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/f3d44e2b-4d2a-47bd-acbd-61cab5e6a126	0
119	If there is a hard Brexit, what will be the average yearly GDP growth of the UK in the following five years?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/8221741f-ac27-4651-bf2c-7a887fc82313	0
120	What will be mean UK broadband download speeds in 2024?	https://www.foretold.io/c/47ff5c49-9c20-4f3d-bd57-1897c35cd42d/m/fb8780cd-e2b3-4435-bf50-c46fed1db5a8	0
121	What fraction of 80,000 hours' impact is not related to career plan changes?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c3ba1c83-fd04-47af-b8c1-7b493b0519e6	0
122	What proportion of donations to FHI go to Oxford University?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c6587fcf-5113-4603-9d90-c9763a099476	0
123	How much influence would CSET have in a 2024 Republican US administration, relative to its influence in a 2024 US Democratic administration? 	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fee03eb4-c956-4f61-81e6-76e2f76616c3	0
124	Has CSET done more harm than good so far in its policy interventions?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/623499ee-19dd-4d2a-b100-614a3a0b032a	0
125	Will CLR's work on their "Cooperation, conflict, and transformative artificial intelligence"/"bargaining in artificial learners" agenda be favorably reviewed in Lark's 2021 yearly AI alignment review??	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cf4e48f1-3781-45b4-830a-d315435dc472	0
126	Is there a better option than CLR for suffering-focused donors?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/a2250763-8700-4768-96ba-215fd9d7739a	0
127	What fraction of CLR's research is only useful from a suffering-focused standpoint?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e65ceadf-f35d-42ff-adb0-f30ec57a25d4	0
128	Will Rethink Priorities employ 5 FTEs producing high-quality longtermist research by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6a8a92c1-2740-4e21-98a6-6c4311bc8461	0
129	Will Rethink Rethink Priorities be able to productively expand into the longtermist sphere?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/76d54743-3136-448d-adc6-de57d4eada9e	0
130	Will Rethink Priorities be able to produce research in the long-termist space similar in quality to the research they have produced on invertebrate welfare?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b0083e46-4dee-4281-a324-605657773834	0
131	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce each year per FTE-year employed at LessWrong?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a6642cc-a4e3-427f-be75-39f05023ca7f	0
132	How many FTE-years worth of high-quality research does LessWrong produce per year?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/fbfde3f4-ed4c-44a1-8beb-4aa4389e3787	0
133	Is Projekt Framttid dead?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5700fd38-7ac3-4380-baaa-b00351ba3e9c	0
134	Conditional on its continued existence, by 2025, will MacAskill still be the CEO of the Forethought Foundation?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/5260868a-c5cc-4f6f-acf5-b2293f718487	0
135	Will the Forethought Foundation continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e919e049-40cc-4155-9bda-9e2a47b0ea50	0
136	How many FTEs does FLI currently employ (as of 2021)?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/59ad32cb-17f3-4242-a440-5a4d44ffcfd7	0
137	Will further work on a theory of malevolence be fruitful by 2030?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f689875d-fe82-43ee-88a6-0c414791f4d9	0
138	What percentage of CSER's research staff is doing high value work?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/d2aa8a4c-77e4-4a4a-8f1c-a4b85932922c	0
139	Will the APPFG continue to exist by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b54917c1-f67c-4003-aff7-de188cc47879	0
140	Conditional on its continued existence, will the APPG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission by 2025?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6b379bd0-4659-45e4-b3d7-b769aed7c020	0
141	By, 2025, will the APPGFG help pass legislation in the UK related to its mission?	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/301c0ffe-7697-4b7a-9908-4bee72642236	0
142	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/704c1052-8e0b-4582-8feb-604a8c452ac3	0
143	$100M to alternate foods is more cost-effective than to AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/62c003c4-2525-4830-84ed-93686dc8cae1	0
144	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/b1a21ed8-7819-467c-8a63-98b0c85993ef	0
145	Marginal money now on alternate foods is more cost effective than on AI risk mitigation (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/50d7c7a8-f46d-4427-af5f-12cbd898c40b	0
146	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/451d4013-d302-43c5-b2c3-bacc7d82ed59	0
147	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall with planning and R&D as well (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f7616759-f00b-4fd1-a10e-0a281541efc6	0
148	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/1a16fcf9-e155-4157-b02b-f9d2d546368c	0
149	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of 10% agricultural shortfall from ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/ff6231c6-3def-4663-82b7-d2d605bf37db	0
150	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/6084ec83-df7b-4af7-8c58-612b491e6946	0
151	Untruncated reduction in far future potential due to 10% agricultural shortfall (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/36fdd2c9-7829-4fae-9222-ab0d1795d5b5	0
152	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/c24a076b-d045-43d2-b3d4-b555227fae30	0
153	Untruncated additional mitigation of far future impact of war due to planning and R&D (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/07b1924e-0581-410f-a34c-3e87cfcd278a	0
154	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cd78ff36-da47-4411-ab67-d20eb0811333	0
155	Untruncated mitigation of far future impact of war due to ALLFED so far (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/805f614e-e170-4a72-9bd2-daadd4d62789	0
156	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/f9203a65-d4ff-4aaf-95dc-39a577e2318a	0
157	Cost of planning, R&DF for alternate foods (ALLFED's estimate)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/106715d2-2484-47ac-ad1f-dcfb63ed55f8	0
158	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/cca72358-624a-40e5-a87a-5b14a50fdea6	0
159	Untruncated probability of full scale nuclear war per year (ALLFED's estimates)	https://www.foretold.io/c/b2412a1d-0aa4-4e37-a12a-0aca9e440a96/m/e147be3b-3280-43aa-a27e-a1a561c66b18	0
160	Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2070-will-haiti-hold-a-presidential-election-before-1-january-2022	0
161	Which driver will win the 2021 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2069-which-driver-will-win-the-2021-formula-one-world-drivers-championship	0
162	Will Ashraf Ghani either flee Afghanistan or cease to be its president before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2073-will-ashraf-ghani-either-flee-afghanistan-or-cease-to-be-its-president-before-1-january-2022	0
163	Will the US fully evacuate or lose control of its embassy in Kabul, Afghanistan, before 1 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2071-will-the-us-fully-evacuate-or-lose-control-of-its-embassy-in-kabul-afghanistan-before-1-december-2021	0
164	What will be total OPEC crude oil production for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2072-what-will-be-total-opec-crude-oil-production-for-october-2021	0
165	How many total confirmed cases of COVID-19 will the World Health Organization (WHO) report for Brazil as of 12 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2074-how-many-total-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-for-brazil-as-of-12-november-2021	0
166	When will 600 million people in India have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2075-when-will-600-million-people-in-india-have-received-at-least-one-dose-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
167	Before 1 January 2022, will the European Commission (EC) recommend that the Council of the European Union authorize the EC to open negotiations with Taiwan on an investment agreement?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2066-before-1-january-2022-will-the-european-commission-ec-recommend-that-the-council-of-the-european-union-authorize-the-ec-to-open-negotiations-with-taiwan-on-an-investment-agreement	0
168	What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 9 December 2021, according to CoinMarketCap?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2067-what-will-be-the-market-capitalization-for-the-global-cryptocurrency-market-on-9-december-2021-according-to-coinmarketcap	0
169	What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2068-what-will-be-the-value-of-the-s-p-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-index-for-october-2021	0
170	As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2062-as-of-1-november-2021-will-waka-kotahi-list-321-or-more-qualifying-electrical-vehicle-ev-charging-stations-as-available-in-new-zealand	0
171	How many New York City eviction filings will be reported for 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2063-how-many-new-york-city-eviction-filings-will-be-reported-for-2021	0
172	Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2064-before-1-august-2021-will-legislation-authorizing-or-enabling-an-extension-or-replacement-of-the-cdc-s-nationwide-eviction-moratorium-past-31-july-2021-become-law	0
173	Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2061-will-the-median-price-of-a-house-in-new-zealand-exceed-nz-870-000-in-december-2021-according-to-reinz	0
174	Will a member of the forces from an African country other than Mozambique be killed in a lethal confrontation in Cabo Delgado before 1 April 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2060-will-a-member-of-the-forces-from-an-african-country-other-than-mozambique-be-killed-in-a-lethal-confrontation-in-cabo-delgado-before-1-april-2022	0
175	Will the US FDA approve a drug used to reverse the effects of Alzheimer's disease on the brain and/or approve a vaccine to prevent Alzheimer's disease as of 2035?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2056-will-the-us-fda-approve-a-drug-used-to-reverse-the-effects-of-alzheimer-s-disease-on-the-brain-and-or-approve-a-vaccine-to-prevent-alzheimer-s-disease-as-of-2035	0
176	How many opioid overdoses resulting in death will occur in the US in 2026?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2055-how-many-opioid-overdoses-resulting-in-death-will-occur-in-the-us-in-2026	0
177	When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2058-when-will-the-first-human-have-lived-for-180-consecutive-earth-days-on-or-under-the-surface-of-the-moon	0
178	How many RNA vaccines and therapeutics for humans will be FDA-approved as of 2031?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2057-how-many-rna-vaccines-and-therapeutics-for-humans-will-be-fda-approved-as-of-2031	0
179	Will the Nobel Foundation announce that artificial intelligence has won or would be eligible to win a Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2036?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2059-will-the-nobel-foundation-announce-that-artificial-intelligence-has-won-or-would-be-eligible-to-win-a-nobel-prize-in-physiology-or-medicine-before-2036	0
180	Will at least 3.5 million people in New Zealand be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 before 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2054-will-at-least-3-5-million-people-in-new-zealand-be-fully-vaccinated-against-covid-19-before-30-december-2021	0
181	Will the US Truck Tonnage Index reach or exceed 120.0 before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2053-will-the-us-truck-tonnage-index-reach-or-exceed-120-0-before-1-january-2022	0
182	Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2051-before-1-july-2022-will-the-us-impose-sanctions-on-any-chinese-person-or-entity-for-actions-related-to-the-covid-19-pandemic	0
183	What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2052-what-will-be-the-percentage-change-in-the-producer-price-index-for-writing-and-printing-papers-for-may-2022-as-compared-to-may-2021	0
184	When will the percentage of adults in US households that are teleworking because of the coronavirus pandemic fall below 18.0%?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2049-when-will-the-percentage-of-adults-in-us-households-that-are-teleworking-because-of-the-coronavirus-pandemic-fall-below-18-0	0
185	How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2050-how-many-thousand-tonnes-kt-of-paper-and-paperboard-will-be-produced-globally-in-2021	0
186	When will COVID-19 cases caused by the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) exceed 350,000 in the UK?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2047-when-will-covid-19-cases-caused-by-the-delta-variant-b-1-617-2-exceed-350-000-in-the-uk	0
187	Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher than $70.00 per barrel on 30 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2045-will-the-closing-price-of-brent-crude-oil-be-higher-than-70-00-per-barrel-on-30-december-2021	0
188	What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2048-what-will-be-the-annual-rate-of-headline-inflation-in-the-us-as-measured-by-the-consumer-price-index-cpi-in-june-2022	0
189	At close of business on 3 November 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 22 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2041-at-close-of-business-on-3-november-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021	0
190	When will the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) first represent more than 67.0% of COVID cases in the US?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2046-when-will-the-delta-variant-b-1-617-2-first-represent-more-than-67-0-of-covid-cases-in-the-us	0
191	What will be the global price of wheat in November 2021, according to the IMF?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2044-what-will-be-the-global-price-of-wheat-in-november-2021-according-to-the-imf	0
192	What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 30 June 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2040-what-will-be-the-closing-value-of-the-s-p-500-index-on-30-june-2022	0
193	Before 1 January 2022, will the US Intelligence Community publicly state that a laboratory accident is a more probable scenario for the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic than it having emerged naturally through contact with infected animals?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2038-before-1-january-2022-will-the-us-intelligence-community-publicly-state-that-a-laboratory-accident-is-a-more-probable-scenario-for-the-inception-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-than-it-having-emerged-naturally-through-contact-with-infected-animals	0
194	What will US holiday season retail sales be for 2021 relative to the 2020 holiday season?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2032-what-will-us-holiday-season-retail-sales-be-for-2021-relative-to-the-2020-holiday-season	0
195	When will people in Guangdong no longer be required to show a negative COVID-19 test in order to leave the Chinese province?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2034-when-will-people-in-guangdong-no-longer-be-required-to-show-a-negative-covid-19-test-in-order-to-leave-the-chinese-province	0
196	Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in women's football (soccer)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2037-which-country-will-win-the-2020-olympic-gold-medal-in-women-s-football-soccer	0
197	Will any four-week average of US field production of crude oil exceed 12 million b/d in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2033-will-any-four-week-average-of-us-field-production-of-crude-oil-exceed-12-million-b-d-in-2021	0
198	Will Great Britain win more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics than the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2036-will-great-britain-win-more-gold-medals-at-the-2020-olympics-than-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
199	Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in men’s synchronized 3-meter springboard diving?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2035-which-country-will-win-the-2020-olympic-gold-medal-in-men-s-synchronized-3-meter-springboard-diving	0
200	What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2030-what-will-be-the-us-domestic-box-office-gross-in-the-opening-weekend-for-the-next-james-bond-film-no-time-to-die	0
201	How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2028-how-many-total-major-hurricanes-category-3-or-higher-will-occur-in-the-atlantic-ocean-in-the-2021-hurricane-season-according-to-the-national-hurricane-center	0
202	When will the UK have vaccinated 80% or more of its 18 and over population with a full course of a COVID-19 vaccine?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2031-when-will-the-uk-have-vaccinated-80-or-more-of-its-18-and-over-population-with-a-full-course-of-a-covid-19-vaccine	0
203	Will NFL quarterback Aaron Rodgers sign a player contract with an NFL team other than the Green Bay Packers before 9 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2018-will-nfl-quarterback-aaron-rodgers-sign-a-player-contract-with-an-nfl-team-other-than-the-green-bay-packers-before-9-september-2021	0
204	Will the US civilian labor force participation rate reach or exceed 63.0% for any month in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2020-will-the-us-civilian-labor-force-participation-rate-reach-or-exceed-63-0-for-any-month-in-2021	0
205	Which major cryptocurrency will perform best between 27 May 2021 and 29 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2022-which-major-cryptocurrency-will-perform-best-between-27-may-2021-and-29-november-2021	0
206	Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2016-before-22-july-2021-will-hamas-or-the-israeli-government-accuse-the-other-of-violating-the-gaza-ceasefire-agreed-to-on-20-may-2021	0
207	What will be the annualized rate of housing starts for October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2017-what-will-be-the-annualized-rate-of-housing-starts-for-october-2021	0
208	Before 8 January 2022, will Facebook allow Donald Trump to post on Facebook and/or Instagram from any of his verified accounts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2011-before-8-january-2022-will-facebook-allow-donald-trump-to-post-on-facebook-and-or-instagram-from-any-of-his-verified-accounts	0
209	Will the US announce a reduction or elimination of total punitive tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2009-will-the-us-announce-a-reduction-or-elimination-of-total-punitive-tariffs-on-canadian-softwood-lumber-before-1-september-2021	0
210	Before 1 September 2021, will Justice Stephen Breyer announce his retirement from the US Supreme Court?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2007-before-1-september-2021-will-justice-stephen-breyer-announce-his-retirement-from-the-us-supreme-court	0
211	What will President Biden’s approval rating be as of 13 August 2021, according to FiveThirtyEight?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2006-what-will-president-biden-s-approval-rating-be-as-of-13-august-2021-according-to-fivethirtyeight	0
212	Before 14 December 2021, will the World Trade Organization (WTO) officially agree to grant waivers for intellectual property protections for COVID-19 vaccine technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2010-before-14-december-2021-will-the-world-trade-organization-wto-officially-agree-to-grant-waivers-for-intellectual-property-protections-for-covid-19-vaccine-technology	0
213	According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2001-according-to-the-infinite-dial-2022-what-percentage-of-the-us-population-will-have-listened-to-a-podcast-in-the-last-month	0
214	When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2004-when-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-40-million-or-more-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-in-india	0
215	Will a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association be ratified before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2005-will-a-new-collective-bargaining-agreement-cba-between-major-league-baseball-and-the-major-league-baseball-players-association-be-ratified-before-1-january-2022	0
216	How many COVID-19 vaccines will be authorized for emergency use or approved by the US FDA as of 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2003-how-many-covid-19-vaccines-will-be-authorized-for-emergency-use-or-approved-by-the-us-fda-as-of-31-december-2021	0
217	Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2002-will-us-print-book-sales-in-2021-exceed-those-in-2020	0
218	At close of business on 22 September 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 July 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1994-at-close-of-business-on-22-september-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-28-july-2021	0
219	Before 16 December 2021, will the Federal Reserve announce it will reduce its monthly quantitative easing bond buying?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1993-before-16-december-2021-will-the-federal-reserve-announce-it-will-reduce-its-monthly-quantitative-easing-bond-buying	0
220	Will US federal legislation implementing or authorizing a mandatory carbon pricing mechanism become law before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1995-will-us-federal-legislation-implementing-or-authorizing-a-mandatory-carbon-pricing-mechanism-become-law-before-1-january-2022	0
221	Between 30 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many times will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1991-between-30-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-times-will-the-council-of-the-european-union-impose-new-restrictive-measures-sanctions-on-china-over-human-rights-violations-and-abuses-in-xinjiang	0
222	Will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person before 1 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1992-will-the-presidents-of-russia-and-ukraine-meet-in-person-before-1-august-2021	0
223	Before 1 January 2022, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People's Armed Police (PAP) engage in a confrontation with Hong Kongers?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1982-before-1-january-2022-will-the-people-s-liberation-army-pla-and-or-people-s-armed-police-pap-engage-in-a-confrontation-with-hong-kongers	0
224	Between 16 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, will ASML obtain an export license from the Netherlands to export an Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography system to the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1989-between-16-april-2021-and-31-december-2021-will-asml-obtain-an-export-license-from-the-netherlands-to-export-an-extreme-ultraviolet-euv-lithography-system-to-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
225	Following the 2021 German Bundestag elections, which parties will be part of the new government?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1987-following-the-2021-german-bundestag-elections-which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-new-government	0
226	What will happen next regarding New York Governor Andrew Cuomo?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1988-what-will-happen-next-regarding-new-york-governor-andrew-cuomo	0
227	What will be Saudi Arabia's crude oil production for July 2021, according to OPEC?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1986-what-will-be-saudi-arabia-s-crude-oil-production-for-july-2021-according-to-opec	0
228	What will be the Chinese renminbi's share as a global payments currency in December 2021, according to SWIFT?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1981-what-will-be-the-chinese-renminbi-s-share-as-a-global-payments-currency-in-december-2021-according-to-swift	0
229	Before 1 January 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would limit or prohibit US federal funds from being used to purchase face recognition technology?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1984-before-1-january-2022-will-an-executive-order-be-signed-or-federal-legislation-become-law-that-would-limit-or-prohibit-us-federal-funds-from-being-used-to-purchase-face-recognition-technology	0
230	Will the EU establish a moratorium or ban on the use of facial recognition systems (FRS) in public spaces by public authorities, in premises meant for education and healthcare, and/or by law enforcement in semi-public spaces before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1985-will-the-eu-establish-a-moratorium-or-ban-on-the-use-of-facial-recognition-systems-frs-in-public-spaces-by-public-authorities-in-premises-meant-for-education-and-healthcare-and-or-by-law-enforcement-in-semi-public-spaces-before-1-january-2022	0
231	Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1973-will-scott-morrison-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-australia-before-1-september-2021	0
232	Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1974-will-legislation-raising-the-us-federal-minimum-wage-become-law-before-20-august-2021	0
233	Will Berlin's Humboldt Forum open to the general public before 1 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1975-will-berlin-s-humboldt-forum-open-to-the-general-public-before-1-august-2021	0
234	Will the UN, a UN agency, and/or OECD member country publicly accuse Myanmar defense forces and/or law enforcement of using a toxic chemical against protesters to cause intentional death or physical harm through its toxic properties before 15 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1972-will-the-un-a-un-agency-and-or-oecd-member-country-publicly-accuse-myanmar-defense-forces-and-or-law-enforcement-of-using-a-toxic-chemical-against-protesters-to-cause-intentional-death-or-physical-harm-through-its-toxic-properties-before-15-september-2021	0
235	What will be the gross proceeds for special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) IPO transactions in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1969-what-will-be-the-gross-proceeds-for-special-purpose-acquisition-company-spac-ipo-transactions-in-2021	0
236	At close of business on 28 July 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 June 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1970-at-close-of-business-on-28-july-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-16-june-2021	0
237	What will be the FAO Food Price Index for December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1968-what-will-be-the-fao-food-price-index-for-december-2021	0
238	What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1964-what-will-be-the-12-month-percentage-change-in-the-us-consumer-price-index-cpi-for-september-2021	0
239	Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1963-will-the-us-fda-approve-the-drug-molnupiravir-for-use-to-treat-covid-19-before-1-october-2021	0
240	What will be Robinhood Markets' end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1961-what-will-be-robinhood-markets-end-of-day-market-capitalization-on-its-first-day-of-public-trading	0
241	Before 1 January 2022, will North Korea detonate a nuclear device and/or launch an ICBM with an estimated range of at least 10,000km?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1957-before-1-january-2022-will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-device-and-or-launch-an-icbm-with-an-estimated-range-of-at-least-10-000km	0
242	Will Robinhood receive a Wells notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) before 1 October 2021 related to trading limits imposed on 28 January 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1958-will-robinhood-receive-a-wells-notice-from-the-securities-and-exchange-commission-sec-before-1-october-2021-related-to-trading-limits-imposed-on-28-january-2021	0
243	Will the People's Republic of China's (PRC's) military expenditure as a percentage of GDP be greater in 2021 than it was in 2019?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1951-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-s-prc-s-military-expenditure-as-a-percentage-of-gdp-be-greater-in-2021-than-it-was-in-2019	0
244	Between 26 January 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many members of the Politburo will Chinese state media announce have been arrested and/or expelled from their posts?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1949-between-26-january-2021-and-31-december-2021-how-many-members-of-the-politburo-will-chinese-state-media-announce-have-been-arrested-and-or-expelled-from-their-posts	0
245	Before 15 August 2021, will Alexei Navalny be convicted on any fraud charges related to his activities with his non-profit organizations?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1945-before-15-august-2021-will-alexei-navalny-be-convicted-on-any-fraud-charges-related-to-his-activities-with-his-non-profit-organizations	0
246	What will be the US civilian unemployment rate (U3) for August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1940-what-will-be-the-us-civilian-unemployment-rate-u3-for-august-2021	0
247	What will be the closing yield for the 10-year US Treasury on 16 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1943-what-will-be-the-closing-yield-for-the-10-year-us-treasury-on-16-september-2021	0
248	Will California hold a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1941-will-california-hold-a-recall-election-for-governor-gavin-newsom-before-1-january-2022	0
249	Will a bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) trade on a US exchange before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1939-will-a-bitcoin-exchange-traded-fund-etf-trade-on-a-us-exchange-before-1-january-2022	0
250	Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1936-before-15-december-2021-will-the-u-s-either-formally-seek-to-join-or-formally-begin-renegotiations-with-signatories-regarding-the-tpp-or-cptpp	0
251	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. officially rejoin the JCPOA?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1935-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-officially-rejoin-the-jcpoa	0
252	Will the powers of the government of Myanmar cease to be held by the military before 5 February 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1934-will-the-powers-of-the-government-of-myanmar-cease-to-be-held-by-the-military-before-5-february-2022	0
253	Will there be an act of domestic terrorism in the United States resulting in 10 or more fatalities before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1930-will-there-be-an-act-of-domestic-terrorism-in-the-united-states-resulting-in-10-or-more-fatalities-before-1-january-2022	0
254	Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1931-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-be-the-president-of-the-russian-federation-before-1-january-2022	0
255	Will SpaceX and/or Virgin Galactic complete a successful space tourist flight before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1928-will-spacex-and-or-virgin-galactic-complete-a-successful-space-tourist-flight-before-1-january-2022	0
256	Will Saudi Arabia diplomatically recognize the State of Israel in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1926-will-saudi-arabia-diplomatically-recognize-the-state-of-israel-in-2021	0
257	Which team will win the 2021 NBA Championship?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1925-which-team-will-win-the-2021-nba-championship	0
258	Between 5 February 2021 and 31 October 2021, will anti-government protests in Russia result in five or more fatalities?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1929-between-5-february-2021-and-31-october-2021-will-anti-government-protests-in-russia-result-in-five-or-more-fatalities	0
259	Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1927-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-militia-and-or-law-enforcement-personnel-of-india-and-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-1-december-2021	0
260	Will the United States report more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 31 December 2021 than will the European Union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1916-will-the-united-states-report-more-deaths-attributed-to-covid-19-as-of-31-december-2021-than-will-the-european-union	0
261	How many vacancies will arise on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1915-how-many-vacancies-will-arise-on-the-u-s-supreme-court-in-2021	0
262	What will be the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross for June, July, and August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1920-what-will-be-the-combined-u-s-domestic-theater-box-office-gross-for-june-july-and-august-2021	0
263	Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1908-will-the-un-declare-that-a-famine-exists-in-any-part-of-yemen-in-2021	0
264	Will Russia conduct a flight test of an RS-28 Sarmat ICBM before 1 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1912-will-russia-conduct-a-flight-test-of-an-rs-28-sarmat-icbm-before-1-august-2021	0
265	Before 1 January 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1910-before-1-january-2022-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-iran-and-the-united-states-either-in-iran-or-at-sea	0
266	Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1903-will-nicaragua-diplomatically-recognize-the-people-s-republic-of-china-before-7-november-2021	0
267	How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1902-how-many-seats-will-the-united-russia-party-win-in-the-2021-russian-state-duma-elections	0
268	When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1907-when-will-a-new-dutch-government-be-sworn-in-after-the-2021-general-election	0
269	Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1900-will-a-russian-senior-government-official-or-russian-naval-vessel-visit-nicaragua-before-7-november-2021	0
270	What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1905-what-will-uber-s-end-of-day-market-capitalization-be-on-31-december-2021	0
271	Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897-will-north-macedonia-announce-that-it-has-completed-its-census-before-1-october-2021	0
272	Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1895-will-mexico-hold-a-referendum-on-president-andres-manuel-lopez-obrador-before-1-september-2021	0
273	Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1894-before-1-october-2021-will-any-group-of-amazon-employees-in-the-u-s-vote-in-the-affirmative-to-form-a-union	0
274	Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1896-will-the-u-s-leveraged-loan-default-rate-reach-or-exceed-5-0-before-1-september-2021	0
275	Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1891-will-daniel-ortega-be-cease-to-be-the-president-of-nicaragua-before-11-january-2022	0
276	At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1884-at-close-of-business-on-31-december-2021-will-apple-be-the-most-valuable-publicly-traded-company-in-the-world	0
277	What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1883-what-will-be-the-closing-yield-for-the-30-year-u-s-treasury-on-31-december-2021	0
278	Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1882-will-legislation-amending-or-repealing-section-230-of-the-communications-act-of-1934-become-law-before-14-august-2021	0
279	Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876-before-1-january-2022-will-the-diem-association-co-founded-by-facebook-launch-a-stablecoin	0
280	Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1875-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-the-eu-sign-a-comprehensive-agreement-on-investment-before-1-january-2022	0
281	Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1869-will-the-u-s-food-and-drug-administration-fda-and-or-the-eu-s-european-medicines-agency-ema-approve-a-covid-19-vaccine-from-chinese-companies-sinovac-or-sinopharm-before-1-september-2021	0
282	Before 1 January 2022, will a commercial, open to the public, ride-hailing service that uses autonomous vehicles without back-up drivers nor remote operators be launched in the People's Republic of China?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1870-before-1-january-2022-will-a-commercial-open-to-the-public-ride-hailing-service-that-uses-autonomous-vehicles-without-back-up-drivers-nor-remote-operators-be-launched-in-the-people-s-republic-of-china	0
283	Before 14 August 2021, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least five million student loan borrowers?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1873-before-14-august-2021-will-an-executive-order-be-signed-or-federal-legislation-become-law-that-would-forgive-10-000-or-more-in-principal-on-federal-student-loan-debts-for-at-least-five-million-student-loan-borrowers	0
284	Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1868-will-japan-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-south-korea-sign-a-trilateral-free-trade-agreement-before-1-january-2022	0
285	Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1864-before-1-january-2022-will-a-release-date-for-the-winds-of-winter-be-announced-by-the-author-and-or-publisher	0
286	Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1865-will-net-international-migration-between-the-u-s-and-abroad-for-2021-be-higher-than-the-net-international-migration-for-2020	0
287	Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1851-before-1-october-2021-will-jair-bolsonaro-cease-to-be-the-president-of-brazil	0
288	In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1842-in-2021-will-total-fire-activity-in-the-amazon-exceed-the-2020-total-count	0
289	Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1822-before-1-january-2022-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws	0
290	Will Apple's iPhone net sales be higher in FY 2021 than FY 2019?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1823-will-apple-s-iphone-net-sales-be-higher-in-fy-2021-than-fy-2019	0
291	Before 1 September 2021, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1815-before-1-september-2021-will-egypt-ethiopia-and-sudan-sign-an-agreement-governing-the-filling-of-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-gerd-reservoir	0
292	Between 16 October 2020 and 31 December 2021, how many successful flight tests of the Common Hypersonic Glide Body (C-HGB) will the United States conduct?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1818-between-16-october-2020-and-31-december-2021-how-many-successful-flight-tests-of-the-common-hypersonic-glide-body-c-hgb-will-the-united-states-conduct	0
293	Will Boom Technology's XB-1 supersonic aircraft complete a successful test flight before 2022?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1816-will-boom-technology-s-xb-1-supersonic-aircraft-complete-a-successful-test-flight-before-2022	0
294	Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1789-before-18-september-2021-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom	0
295	Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1780-will-there-be-a-complex-coordinated-terrorist-attack-ccta-in-the-united-states-either-directed-or-inspired-by-a-foreign-terrorist-organization-before-1-september-2021	0
296	Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1781-will-there-be-a-complex-coordinated-terrorist-attack-ccta-in-the-united-states-before-1-september-2021	0
297	Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1764-before-1-january-2022-will-the-united-states-olympic-committee-announce-that-it-is-boycotting-the-2022-winter-olympics	0
298	How many Arab League member states other than Palestine will diplomatically recognize the State of Israel as of 28 August 2021?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1763-how-many-arab-league-member-states-other-than-palestine-will-diplomatically-recognize-the-state-of-israel-as-of-28-august-2021	0
299	Between August 2020 and July 2021, will global land and ocean surface temperatures rise 1.5°C or more above the 20th century average for any single month?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1715-between-august-2020-and-july-2021-will-global-land-and-ocean-surface-temperatures-rise-1-5-c-or-more-above-the-20th-century-average-for-any-single-month	0
300	Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?	https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-senate-expand-the-scope-of-matters-for-which-a-filibuster-cannot-be-used	0
301	Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6730/dogecoin-worth-1-on-2025-01-01/	0
302	Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7453/fatality-from-nuclear-detonation-in-n-korea/	0
303	How many will be employed in the US transportation and warehousing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6061/number-employed-in-us-transport-industry-2021/	0
304	When will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/	0
305	Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5760/next-conservative-leader-uk/	0
306	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6094/possible-youtube-ban-in-russia-in-2021/	0
307	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3191/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2030/	0
308	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6129/number-employed-in-us-manufacturing-2021/	0
309	Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7119/vaccine-for-children-under-12-before-1-sept/	0
310	Will GB rowing men's team win a sweep gold at Tokyo 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7073/gb-rowing-at-olympics/	0
311	What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5755/china-to-usa-gdp-ratio-in-2050/	0
312	Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3723/hutter-prize-at-the-end-of-2022-what-will-be-the-best-bits-per-character-compression-of-a-1gb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
313	When will India become a World Bank high-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2582/when-will-india-become-a-world-bank-high-income-country/	0
314	Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7504/2021-cease-fire-in-tigray-war-lasts-30-days/	0
315	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7060/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-foods-in-2022/	0
316	[Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7499/adams-performance-in-nyc-mayoral-primary/	0
317	Will Nord Stream 2 be completed (before 2025)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5170/will-nord-stream-2-be-completed/	0
318	When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6341/when-will-starship-reach-orbit/	0
319	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7369/cpi-u-september-2021/	0
320	Will the United States fulfill its goal of landing humans on the moon again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2671/will-the-united-states-fulfill-its-goal-of-landing-humans-on-the-moon-again-before-2025/	0
321	Will USA top the Medal Table at the Tokyo Olympics in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5541/usa-most-successful-olympic-team-at-toyko/	0
322	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6381/us-rejoins-iran-deal-before-2022/	0
323	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by India by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by India occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7510/countervalue-detonation-by-india-by-2050/	0
324	Which language modelling benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5485/most-popular-language-modelling-benchmark-22/	0
325	Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5926/bear-market-in-sp-500-in-2021/	0
326	What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7411/nuclear-detonations-on-battlefield-targets/	0
327	When will a computer program be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7398/when-will-computers-be-competent-programmers/	0
328	Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7295/coalition-to-win-australian-federal-election/	0
329	Will the MOVE Index breach 70 before 11-01-21?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7378/move-index-above-70-before-november/	0
330	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7428/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2030/	0
331	What will the largest number of digits of π to have been computed be, by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3384/what-will-the-largest-number-of-digits-of-%25CF%2580-to-have-been-computed-be-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
332	Before 2030, will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7384/alien-tech-in-solar-system-before-2030/	0
333	How large will Monaco be in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5802/how-large-will-monaco-be-in-2035/	0
334	When will Good Ventures first donate 5% of Dustin Moskovitz's wealth in one year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7336/good-ventures-donations-5-of-assets/	0
335	Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6948/the-death-of-lepton-universality/	0
336	When will the Chinese state have collected 1 billion unique genomes from their population?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4676/when-will-the-chinese-state-have-collected-1-billion-unique-genomes-from-their-population/	0
337	Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6853/will-scotus-hear-a-male-only-draft-case/	0
338	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6666/maximum-price-of-bitcoin-in-2021/	0
339	When will the number of US oil rigs exceed 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6144/when-will-us-oil-rigs--1000/	0
340	How many subscribers will /r/sneerclub have on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5466/sneerclub-subscribers-by-112022/	0
341	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6529/e-prints-ai-safety-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
342	Will at least one cultivated meat product be for sale in the US by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7065/us-sale-of-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
343	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7366/initial-jobless-claims-september-2021/	0
344	Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6858/sf-bans-indoor-dining-in-late-2021/	0
345	When will the total number of people who have gone to space reach 1000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1519/when-will-the-total-number-of-people-who-have-gone-to-space-reach-1000/	0
346	Will there be a full year with no open stock exchanges in the US by 2120?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7333/no-us-stock-exchange-for-1-year-by-2120/	0
347	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Hispanic Virginians be in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7121/vaccination-rate-ratios-hispanic-virginians/	0
348	How many US states and territories will have an ACS GINI coefficient over 0.5 by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6142/us-states-with-gini-scores-5-by-2025/	0
349	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2030 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7195/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2030/	0
350	How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be at the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7462/deployed-nuclear-weapons-by-2024/	0
351	What’s the CAGR in the stock of EVs globally over the 2020-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5575/cagr-of-global-ev-stock-2020-22/	0
352	PhilPapers survey mini-series: Is mind uploading thought to amount to death?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3437/philpapers-survey-mini-series-is-mind-uploading-thought-to-amount-to-death/	0
353	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7050/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
354	Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1052/will-there-be-a-city-on-earth-with-a-population-of-over-100-million-by-2100/	0
355	Will an anthropogenic disaster happen in China before one happens in India?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6946/anthropogenic-disasters-china-vs-india/	0
356	Will Erdogan be re-elected President of Turkey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5350/will-erdogan-be-re-elected-president/	0
357	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7135/7-day-avg-of-1-august-covid-tests-in-va/	0
358	When will a peanut, soy, or wheat-based product that is successfully de-allergenized first be for sale in the United States or any European Union-member state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7042/us-allergy-free-wheatsoypeanut-before-eu/	0
359	When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2575/when-will-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-reach-60-years-in-all-countries/	0
360	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7220/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q3/	0
361	Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025 or earlier?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7082/ghislaine-maxwell-a-reddit-power-user/	0
362	For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7362/non-farm-payroll-august-2021/	0
363	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6024/sexual-scandal-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
364	If Donald J. Trump is indicted on criminal charges before 2030, when will the first such indictment happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6549/when-will-trump-be-criminally-charged/	0
365	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7120/vaccination-rate-ratios-black-virginians/	0
366	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in cultivated meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7049/2022-non-exit-investment-in-cultivated-meat/	0
367	What will Peru's GDP per capita (PPP) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7383/peru-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
368	Will the LVCC loop overwhelmingly use  autonomous vehicles before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6603/autonomous-vehicles-in-lvcc-loop-2023/	0
369	Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3821/bitcoin-extremes-will-the-value-of-1-bitcoin-fall-to-1000-or-less-before-2025/	0
370	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and Russia before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7449/deadly-clash-between-us-and-russia/	0
371	What will be the vaccine efficacy of the two-dose Johnson & Johnson Ad26.COV2.S vaccine candidate according to the results of Phase III testing?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6819/percent-efficacy-of-two-dose-jj-vaccine/	0
372	Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6478/democratic-president-wins-2024-election/	0
373	If GPT-4 is created, when will it be announced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7401/when-will-gpt-4-be-announced/	0
374	Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4219/will-large-scale-solar-radiation-management-be-used-to-mitigate-the-effects-of-climate-change-in-the-21st-century/	0
375	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Criminal Justice Reform in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7429/open-phil-criminal-justice-reform-grants-2025/	0
376	Will a new Derek Chauvin homicide trial be ordered on or before April 20, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7162/derek-chauvin-to-be-tried-again-for-homicide/	0
377	Will the Australian Census of 2021 show at least 50% not religious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6838/australia-majority-not-religious/	0
378	What will Gross World Product be in 2047, in trillions of US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4694/what-will-gross-world-product-be-in-2047-in-trillions-of-us/	0
379	Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/	0
380	How much will the US federal government spend on income security in 2021 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6065/us-federal-budget-for-income-security-2021/	0
381	Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2578/will-an-airborne-wind-energy-system-of-at-least-100kw-be-sold-before-2022/	0
382	Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-gets-nuke-by-2030/	0
383	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between Russia and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7450/deadly-clash-between-russia-and-china/	0
384	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6947/first-super-heavy-flight/	0
385	Will Impossible Food's ingredient heme be banned in the United States before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6546/impossible-foods-heme-banned-by-2023/	0
386	What will be the highest value of the U.S. Private Sector Job Quality Index (JQI-1) before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4444/what-will-be-the-highest-value-of-the-us-private-sector-job-quality-index-jqi-1-before-2030/	0
387	If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7332/money-offered-through-ea-prize-platform/	0
388	When will the COVID-19 infection fatality rate fall below 0.05%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6552/when-will-covid-19-fall-to-very-low-ifr/	0
389	When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6022/when-will-wild-animal-welfare-reach-top-uni/	0
390	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7360/cpi-u-august-2021/	0
391	Will Coinbase default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7237/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-coinbase/	0
392	What percentage of Americans will be considered obese or overweight in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1482/what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-considered-obese-or-overweight-in-2030/	0
393	When will the US close the Guantanamo Bay detention camp?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6555/guantanamo-bay-detention-camp-closure-date/	0
394	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7136/7-day-avg-of-1-october-covid-tests-in-va/	0
395	When will US initial jobless claims fall below 300 thousand?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6016/when-will-us-jobless-claims-fall-below-300k/	0
396	Will an offensive nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7404/nuclear-detonation-fatality-before-2024/	0
397	When (if at all) will Clubhouse surpass Discord in the US iOS App Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6696/clubhouse-vs-discord/	0
398	What will real Gross World Product be in 2200, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7498/gwp-in-2200-in-trillions-of-us/	0
399	When will the 10,000th human reach space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1659/when-will-the-10000th-human-reach-space/	0
400	Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6447/republican-party-split-in-2022/	0
401	When will most members of the House of Lords be directly democratically elected?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5790/date-of-mainly-elected-house-of-lords/	0
402	What will be the minimum unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5735/minimum-us-unemployment-rate-for-2021/	0
403	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7355/us-building-permits-july-2021/	0
404	What will real Gross World Product be in 2100, in trillions of 2020 US$?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7497/gwp-in-2100-in-trillions-of-us/	0
405	Will the S&P 500 rise or fall more than 15% in a single day during the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7481/sp-500-to-move-more-than-15-in-day-by-2030/	0
406	How many people will be employed in the US wholesale and retail industries in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6060/number-employed-in-us-retail-in-2021/	0
407	Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4678/will-at-least-one-us-state-secede-from-the-union-before-31-december-2030/	0
408	When will the UK have sequenced 10M people in a research biobank?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7508/10m-people-in-a-uk-biobank/	0
409	Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7154/us-forgive-10k-student-debt-before-2024/	0
410	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5767/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
411	By 2030, how much will the most expensive NFT be sold?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6804/most-expensive-nft-by-2030/	0
412	Kessler syndrome by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/665/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-operational-in-2030/	0
413	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7351/crude-oil-stock-change-july-2021/	0
414	Will the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) be finished on time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2649/will-the-square-kilometre-array-ska-be-finished-on-time/	0
415	What will be the total box office gross in the U.S. & Canada in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5942/box-office-gross-in-the-us--canada-in-2021/	0
416	Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6837/taylor-swift-album-in-2021/	0
417	Will Bill and Melinda Gates' philanthropic priorities diverge by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7300/gates-donation-priorities-to-diverge-by-2030/	0
418	Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7329/earth-government-by-2100/	0
419	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in June 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7180/change-in-us-durable-goods-orders-june-2021/	0
420	What will be the ratio of Biden's to Trump's US Google search volumes in the third quarter of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7389/biden--trump-us-google-search-ratio-q3-2022/	0
421	What fraction of hospitalised COVID-19 patients will still experience symptoms after 12 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6589/long-covid-post-hospitalisation/	0
422	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7127/7-day-avg-of-new-virginia-cases-on-1-august/	0
423	If Trump is not sworn in as President in 2021, will he become the Republican nominee for President in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5049/if-trump-is-not-sworn-in-as-president-in-2021-will-he-become-the-republican-nominee-for-president-in-2024/	0
424	Will the USA's Labor Force Participation Rate be lower in 2023 than in  2018?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1663/will-the-usas-labor-force-participation-rate-be-lower-in-2023-than-in-2018/	0
425	How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7318/ea-survey-responses-2030/	0
426	In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6944/2024-us-election-results-not-certified/	0
427	How many annual deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections will have been estimated by the CDC to occurred in 2021 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7046/-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections/	0
428	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on healthcare in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7341/percent-of-gdp-us-spends-on-healthcare-2035/	0
429	Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/824/will-a-practical-nuclear-fusion-reactor-first-be-developed-in-china/	0
430	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based food companies in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7039/2026-investment-in-plant-based-food-companies/	0
431	How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7464/black-carbon-in-troposphere-after-nuclear-war/	0
432	When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/406/when-will-ais-program-programs-that-can-program-ais/	0
433	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6929/aus-private-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
434	In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4677/in-2031-will-at-least-90-of-open-philanthropy-project-grant-money-be-directed-using-effective-altruist-principles/	0
435	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6919/cost-of-hurricanes-in-2021/	0
436	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between India and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7451/deadly-clash-between-china-and-india/	0
437	When will Metaculus be linked to by 70 sites?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3271/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-70-sites/	0
438	When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2955/when-will-elon-musk-have-any-device-such-as-a-brain-machine-interface-surgically-implanted-into-his-brain/	0
439	When will the US Federal Minimum Wage be Raised?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5646/next-minimum-wage-raise/	0
440	Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7215/sec-approves-bitcoin-etf/	0
441	Will Donald J. Trump be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6330/will-donald-trump-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
442	What will the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day poverty be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4851/what-will-the-percentage-of-the-world-population-in-190-a-day-poverty-be-in-2030/	0
443	Will China achieve its Paris Climate Agreement goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/491/will-china-achieve-its-paris-climate-agreement-goals/	0
444	Who will first land a person on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3214/who-will-first-land-a-person-on-mars/	0
445	Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5413/conservative-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
446	Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5814/2022-us-house-midterm-election/	0
447	Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7454/inadvertent-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
448	Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6554/astral-codex-ten-mentions-this-question/	0
449	Before 2051, will a meteor cause more injuries than the one that shook Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1059/before-2051-will-a-meteor-cause-more-injuries-than-the-one-that-shook-chelyabinsk-russia-in-2013/	0
450	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7363/us-durable-goods-orders-august-2021/	0
451	If  the EU bans all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens, what date will be set as the phase out deadline?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7496/when-will-the-eu-phase-out-cages/	0
452	Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6455/an-eu-animal-welfare-label-by-2025/	0
453	Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1402/will-parker-solar-probe-survive-its-24-loops-around-the-sun-while-getting-just-a-few-million-miles-away-from-the-surface-of-our-star/	0
454	Will the U.S. Federal government declare a water shortage in the U.S. in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7246/water-shortage-in-the-us-2021/	0
455	Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3683/will-an-oracle-superintelligence-be-developed-before-a-general-superintelligence/	0
456	How many years before (or after) AGI is developed, will the world real GDP be 25% higher than every previous year for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7018/agi-before-or-after-gwp-growth-rate-of-25/	0
457	Will the UK housing market crash before July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2807/will-the-uk-housing-market-crash-before-july-2023/	0
458	Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5463/mars-sample-mission-vs-starship/	0
459	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7359/industrial-production-index-august-2021/	0
460	When will Taiwan reduce COVID restrictions from Level 3?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7241/taiwan-covid-predictions-june-2021/	0
461	If there is a WW3, what latitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3868/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-latitude-will-it-start-in/	0
462	Will the Dutch medical consortium recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5319/dutch-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
463	When will the US-EU border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6664/us-eu-border-to-reopen/	0
464	Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1332/will-global-malaria-mortality-rates-be-reduced-by-90-when-compared-with-2015-rates-by-2030/	0
465	How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5943/us-excess-covid-19-deaths/	0
466	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6656/tether-in-2021/	0
467	Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2512/will-there-be-a-major-nuclear-or-radiological-accident-before-1-january-2022/	0
468	Will SpaceX land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
469	What will total enrollment for recent US high school graduates be in US colleges in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4646/what-will-total-enrollment-for-recent-us-high-school-graduates-be-in-us-colleges-in-2021/	0
470	How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7396/ea-forum-value-drift-2026/	0
471	Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/73/will-the-silver-turing-test-be-passed-by-2026/	0
472	Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6356/aes-256-broken-by-2040/	0
473	Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3364/will-metaculus-or-a-licensed-derivative-be-operated-as-a-public-site-by-a-publicly-traded-company-by-2030/	0
474	Will Polymarket default on an obligation to hand over their users’ USDC on request or wrongly resolve a market by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7240/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-polymarket/	0
475	When will a computer program be credited as an artist of at least ten pages of content in Weekly Shonen Jump?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7483/ai-artist-to-be-credited-in-shonen-jump/	0
476	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7225/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q6/	0
477	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6396/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
478	Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6384/a-new--good-episode-of-the-simpsons/	0
479	When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5727/100m-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
480	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6898/quadfiveeyes-boycott-of-2022-winter-olympics/	0
481	Will the price of Bitcoin fall below $10 before 2121?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7207/bitcoin-to-fall-to-near-zero-by-2121/	0
482	When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7024/ai-to-beat-humans-on-metaculus/	0
483	When will we see the first viable human case of in vitro gametogenesis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7385/first-human-in-vitro-gametogenesis/	0
484	Will there be a major nuclear accident before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6378/major-nuclear-accident-before-2030/	0
485	Will bitcoins thought to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto be spent by 2075-04-05?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3733/will-bitcoins-thought-to-belong-to-satoshi-nakamoto-be-spent-by-2075-04-05/	0
486	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4470/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
487	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon, if the feat is achieved by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3251/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon-if-the-feat-is-achieved-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
488	Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4616/will-us-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-fall-below-75-years-before-2040/	0
489	Tesla's 2025 vehicle production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6601/2025-tesla-vehicles-produced/	0
490	What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4083/what-will-be-the-relative-severity-of-the-next-us-depression-compared-to-the-great-depression/	0
491	Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned within 10 years of Justice Kennedy’s retirement?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1011/will-roe-v-wade-be-formally-overturned-within-10-years-of-justice-kennedys-retirement/	0
492	What will the total retail sales including food services be for July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7348/total-retail-sales-july-2021/	0
493	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3658/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-us-passenger-car-fleet/	0
494	Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6889/serena-williams-wins-grand-slam/	0
495	Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1626/before-1-january-2050-will-any-human-cryonically-preserved-for-at-least-1-year-be-successfully-revived/	0
496	Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7063/3-year-livestock-subsidies-to-fall-by-2030/	0
497	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7372/us-michigan-csi-september-2021/	0
498	Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1433/will-the-fraction-of-american-18-24-year-olds-enrolled-in-colleges-in-2025-be-10-less-than-were-enrolled-in-2015/	0
499	Will a nuclear device with a yield of at least 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5721/1kt-nuke-detonated-on-earth-in-2021/	0
500	Will Erin O'Toole become Prime Minister of Canada before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5462/erin-otoole-to-be-pm-of-canada-before-2024/	0
501	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6295/increase-in-us-poverty-from-2020-to-2021/	0
502	Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3458/will-there-be-a-culturally-significant-development-in-aging-research-by-2030/	0
503	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of July?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7440/us-southwest-border-encounters-in-july-2021/	0
504	Will Jannik Sinner be the first man born in the 2000s to win a slam in Tennis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6887/jannik-sinner-first-gen-x-slam-winner/	0
505	What will be the market capitalization of Robinhood 2 weeks after going public?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6687/robinhood-market-cap-2-weeks-after-ipo/	0
506	Will soybeans be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7041/soy-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
507	Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4892/will-transformer-derived-architectures-still-be-state-of-the-art-for-language-modeling-in-2025/	0
508	Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4745/dna-sequencing-read-length-5-mb-before-22/	0
509	Will the VIX Index see an increase of more than 5 points within a week after the posting of July, August, or September's Non-Farm Payroll numbers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7377/change-in-vix-by-5-after-nfp-numbers/	0
510	Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6367/university-of-california-in-person-fall-2021/	0
511	When will at least 5 cultivated meat products be approved by federal regulators for commercial sale in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7064/5-cultivated-meat-products-sell-in-the-us/	0
512	When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6200/50-of-the-us-vaccinated-against-covid-when/	0
513	Will a cryptocurrency be created using a quantum random number generator by 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7437/quantum-random-number-cryptocurrency/	0
514	Will there be a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives between the US and China before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7403/deadly-clash-between-the-us-and-china/	0
515	When will the number of Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations in the US have declined by 90% relative to 2020 levels?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7319/date-of-decline-of-cafos-by-90/	0
516	Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2621/will-the-us-set-a-new-annual-gdp-growth-rate-record-high-before-2030/	0
517	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7370/eia-crude-oil-stock-september-2021/	0
518	How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3414/how-many-millions-of-pigs-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
519	Average S&P 500 return in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5240/average-sp-500-return-in-the-2020s/	0
520	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7346/initial-jobless-claims-july-2021/	0
521	Will a meat or dairy consumption tax go into effect in the US or any EU member state by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7068/meat-or-dairy-tax-in-the-us-or-eu-by-2023/	0
522	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5912/when-will-us-allow-travel-from-europe/	0
523	Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7468/major-famine-in-north-korea-before-2025/	0
524	What will the the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on 31 December 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5927/value-of-faang-stocks-as--of-sp-500/	0
525	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7357/initial-jobless-claims-august-2021/	0
526	Will Soylent-like meal replacements be labeled unhealthy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6967/soylent-and-health/	0
527	Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3656/will-a-100-trillion-parameter-deep-learning-model-be-trained-before-2026/	0
528	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7361/eia-crude-oil-stock-august-2021/	0
529	Will Binance default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7235/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-binance/	0
530	When will space mining be profitable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3728/when-will-space-mining-be-profitable/	0
531	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5839/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2021/	0
532	How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7463/-countries-increase-nuclear-arsenal-by-10/	0
533	Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/658/will-we-reach-the-island-of-stability-by-2050/	0
534	Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7334/us-commercial-animal-farming-ban-by-2040/	0
535	Will Volkswagen Group produce fewer than 22 million electric vehicles by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2665/will-volkswagen-group-produce-fewer-than-22-million-electric-vehicles-by-2030/	0
536	Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected within the next 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/604/will-gravitational-waves-from-the-merger-of-supermassive-black-holes-be-detected-within-the-next-10-years/	0
537	Will wildfires destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3042/will-wildfires-destroy-a-total-exceeding-10mha-of-global-tree-cover-in-any-year-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
538	How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7457/-nuclear-weapons-used-by-2050/	0
539	When will Beyond Chicken be available from a Grocery Store?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3596/when-will-beyond-chicken-be-available-from-a-grocery-store/	0
540	What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7461/total-countervalue-detonations-by-2050/	0
541	Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2666/will-germany-fail-to-meet-their-coal-commissions-goals/	0
542	Will Iowa host another "first in the nation" Democratic caucus by the end of 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3600/will-iowa-host-another-first-in-the-nation-democratic-caucus-by-the-end-of-2028/	0
543	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7420/open-phil-scientific-research-grants-2030/	0
544	BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6648/btc-outperforms-vss-thru-2026/	0
545	If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3477/if-human-level-artificial-intelligence-is-developed-will-world-gdp-grow-by-at-least-300-in-any-of-the-subsequent-15-years/	0
546	When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/	0
547	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7367/total-retail-sales-september-2021/	0
548	Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3621/will-a-third-party-win-a-senate-election-in-the-united-states-by-2050/	0
549	Will CarbonCure still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4864/will-carboncure-still-exist-in-2030/	0
550	Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6508/btc-outperforms-the-us-total-stock-market/	0
551	When will be the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before? (Continued)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7226/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
552	Will the United States Senate vote to expel a Senator before January 3, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6434/draining-the-senate-2021-2023/	0
553	Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7405/us-fatality-from-nuclear-weapon-detonation/	0
554	How many BIPs will be be approved and merged into bitcoin core in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6103/number-of-bips-adopted-in-2021/	0
555	Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity (if it is ever achieved)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4788/will-artificial-superintelligence-precede-the-achievement-of-longevity-escape-velocity-if-it-is-ever-achieved/	0
556	Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5678/dr-ezekiel-emanuel-to-retract-deathist-view/	0
557	Will a mini-Maunder event occur beginning in Solar Cycle 25 (or 24)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4979/will-a-mini-maunder-event-occur-beginning-in-solar-cycle-25-or-24/	0
558	How many US states will decriminalize psilocybin by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7445/us-states-decriminalizing-psilocybin-by-2027/	0
559	Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at year end 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7444/elon-musk-worlds-richest-person-2025/	0
560	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6596/giving-what-we-can-memberships-on-2029-11-15/	0
561	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7244/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-republican/	0
562	Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected President of France in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2511/will-emmanuel-macron-be-re-elected-president-of-france-in-2022/	0
563	What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5992/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/	0
564	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7138/boris-johnson-uk-pm-in-2022/	0
565	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7124/monthly-peak-in-new-covid-cases-in-virginia/	0
566	Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7455/unauthorised-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
567	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6677/vaccine-doses-administered-in-germany-by-oct/	0
568	Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7291/elizabeth-holmes-convicted-of-theranos-fraud/	0
569	How high will the U.S.' total dependency ratio be in 2039?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7432/united-states-future-age-structure/	0
570	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7223/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q1/	0
571	Will starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6618/starlink-ipo-before-2030/	0
572	Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7441/draft-registration-for-women-before-2024/	0
573	What will the total retail sales including food services be for August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7358/total-retail-sales-august-2021/	0
574	What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7116/-virginia-pop-with-1-vaccine-dose-on-1-aug/	0
575	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7374/us-gdp-growth-q3-2021/	0
576	Assassination by autonomous weapon by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/351/assassination-by-autonomous-weapon-by-2025/	0
577	Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7494/uk-third-wave/	0
578	Contact lenses for augmented reality in use by innovators before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/229/contact-lenses-for-augmented-reality-in-use-by-innovators-before-2026/	0
579	Will there be a very large-scale power outage in continental Europe synchronous grid (> 10 m people affected for more than > 1 hour in several countries) before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6694/continental-europe-blackout-before-2023/	0
580	What will the world real GDP growth rate be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3626/what-will-the-world-real-gdp-growth-rate-be-in-2030/	0
581	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6932/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q2-2021/	0
582	Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6981/russian-annexation-of-ukrainian-territory/	0
583	On what date will the U.S. CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7163/variant-of-high-consequence-before-2025/	0
584	When will at least 20 U.S. states legalize the recreational use of cannabis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3122/when-will-at-least-20-us-states-legalize-the-recreational-use-of-cannabis/	0
585	Will Huobi default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7239/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-huobi/	0
586	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7222/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q2/	0
587	When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7117/when-will-75-virginians-have-1-vaccine-dose/	0
588	Will BitMEX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7238/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitmex/	0
589	What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2646/what-will-the-necessary-computational-power-to-replicate-human-mental-capability-turn-out-to-be/	0
590	Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7335/internet-freedom-to-decline-until-2025/	0
591	Will there be a complete 4 year interval by 2050 in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5406/world-output-doubles-in-4-years-by-2050/	0
592	How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3342/how-many-members-will-giving-what-we-can-have-on-its-20th-anniversary/	0
593	What will be the global average cost for a solar PV module in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6147/global-cost-of-a-solar-pv-module-in-2021/	0
594	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6444/australian-federal-election-2021/	0
595	Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5538/california-zero-emission-sales-by-2035/	0
596	Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2605/will-any-countrys-military-expenditure-exceed-that-of-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
597	Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5255/life-on-venus/	0
598	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6480/novavax-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
599	If Biden becomes president, will there be an expansion of the Keystone Pipeline system of at least 100 km in length by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4433/if-biden-becomes-president-will-there-be-an-expansion-of-the-keystone-pipeline-system-of-at-least-100-km-in-length-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
600	When will India send their first own astronauts to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1434/when-will-india-send-their-first-own-astronauts-to-space/	0
601	Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3605/will-medicare-for-all-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
602	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2022-2024 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3248/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2022-2024-period/	0
603	Will "best practice" in treating Coronavirus involve administering  Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5316/vit-d-as-covid-best-practice/	0
604	When will an AI defeat one of the top-10 StarCraft 2 players?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3272/date-ai-defeats-top-10-starcraft-2-players/	0
605	Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3620/will-china-recognize-the-sovereignty-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
606	Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5432/month-with-peak-of-covid-19-cases-in-2021/	0
607	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6635/bidens-approval-to-exceed-disapproval-rating/	0
608	Drake's Equation 5th parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1341/drakes-equation-5th-parameter-f_i/	0
609	When will the first organ from a non-primate be successfully transplanted into a human?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3052/when-will-the-first-organ-from-a-non-primate-be-successfully-transplanted-into-a-human/	0
610	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7364/us-michigan-csi-august-2021/	0
611	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6170/indoor-party-of-100-people-in-england/	0
612	If Biden becomes president, will the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine be ended by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4586/if-biden-becomes-president-will-the-sentencing-disparity-between-crack-and-powder-cocaine-be-ended-by-2024/	0
613	When will the UK reach herd immunity (>53.3m) for Covid-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6105/uk-covid-herd-immunity-533m-date/	0
614	Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered "under serious threat" by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1058/will-humanity-essentially-run-out-of-at-least-one-element-currently-considered-under-serious-threat-by-2040/	0
615	Will there be a US-Russia war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7452/will-there-be-a-us-russia-war-by-2050/	0
616	When will any country have a life expectancy at birth for both sexes of at least 100 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3044/when-will-any-country-have-a-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-of-at-least-100-years/	0
617	When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7299/roman-space-telescope-launch-date/	0
618	Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6352/insurrection-act-invoked-before-2025/	0
619	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7122/vaccination-rate-ratios-aapi-virginians/	0
620	Will the use of whips be banned on or before the 2026 Melbourne Cup thoroughbred horse race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6462/whip-ban-by-2026-melbourne-cup/	0
621	Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7316/exascale-connectome-mapped-by-june-2031/	0
622	Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7492/sweden-to-have-extra-election-in-2021/	0
623	Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach-majority-in-the-electoral-college-before-2030/	0
624	Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4549/will-george-church-receive-a-nobel-prize-in-any-category-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
625	What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6614/the-highest-value-1-btc-will-reach-by-2030/	0
626	When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3725/when-will-a-private-fusion-company-first-report-a-yearly-profit/	0
627	Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1476/will-nasa-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/	0
628	When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5670/calculating-rsa-public-keys/	0
629	How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7107/cost-to-deliver-1kg-to-mars-in-2075/	0
630	Will US greenhouse gas emissions be halved by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7155/us-climate-emissions-halved-by-2030/	0
631	Will alien technosignatures be detected before 1 January 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1629/will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected-before-1-january-2050/	0
632	How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7465/trade-signal-tournament-prize-pool-2021-09-30/	0
633	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7537/250-deathsday-in-uk-third-wave/	0
634	How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the U.S. in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5929/us-pev-sales-in-2021/	0
635	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7349/industrial-production-index-july-2021/	0
636	Will a CANZUK Free Movement Treaty be Adopted Before 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7217/canzuk-free-movement-zone-by-2029/	0
637	When will Gross World Product exceed 1 quadrillion USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6969/when-will-gwp-exceed-1-quadrillion-usd/	0
638	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7353/us-durable-goods-orders-july-2021/	0
639	What will the maximum z-score be for Denmark for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5638/max-excess-death-score-for-denmark-2020-2021/	0
640	Will Mike Pence be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6331/will-mike-pence-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
641	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7379/lowest-e-mini-sp-closing-value-in-september/	0
642	When will Texas (ERCOT) next experience rotating electricity outages?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7391/next-texas-electricity-grid-outage/	0
643	When will AI be able to accurately infer the implied ending of the children's book, "I Want My Hat Back"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6087/when-will-ai-understand-i-want-my-hat-back/	0
644	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7371/non-farm-payroll-september-2021/	0
645	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6933/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q3-2021/	0
646	What will be the U.S. GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5923/us-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
647	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6292/clean-meat-market-in-2021/	0
648	If  there's a US-Russia war by 2050, when will it start?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7402/war-between-russia-and-the-us-by-2050/	0
649	Will there be a total solar eclipse on June 25, 2522?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/111/will-there-be-a-total-solar-eclipse-on-june-25-2522/	0
650	How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3883/how-many-people-will-be-born-in-the-united-states-in-the-year-2021/	0
651	Will the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games take place in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5555/rescheduled-2020-olympics/	0
652	Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3820/bitcoin-extremes-will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-more-before-2025/	0
653	Will Substack be valued at 1B+ before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6421/substack-to-become-unicorn/	0
654	Will an anti-5G attack take a life in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6102/anti-5g-attack-to-take-life-in-20212022/	0
655	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7019/world-over-1-million-covid-daily-cases/	0
656	Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1338/drakes-equation-2nd-parameter-f_p/	0
657	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Russia by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Russia occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7456/countervalue-detonations-by-russia-by-2050/	0
658	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in a forced draw?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4334/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-a-forced-draw/	0
659	What will be the net percentage of people who believe it's acceptable to buy fur by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5697/moral-acceptablity-of-buying-fur-by-2030/	0
660	When will the price of Bitcoin first drop below $6481, 10% of the all-time high value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7469/bitcoin-price-drop-below-6481/	0
661	Will Metaculus release a dedicated mobile app before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2598/metaculus-web-app-by-2024/	0
662	Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/	0
663	How much forest coverage loss will occur in Brazil over the three-year period starting from 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3452/how-much-forest-coverage-loss-will-occur-in-brazil-over-the-three-year-period-starting-from-2020/	0
664	Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/981/will-cannabis-be-removed-from-schedule-i-of-the-controlled-substance-act-by-2024/	0
665	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6100/average-democracy-index-score-in-2021/	0
666	What inflation-adjusted return will the Vanguard Information Technology ETF yield from 2021-2040 if AGI arrives by 2040, in percentage points?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7506/return-for-vgt-if-agi-arrives-by-2040/	0
667	Will George Hotz's proposed AI chip company release a consumer product by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7442/geohot-ai-chip-released-to-consumers/	0
668	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6674/vaccine-doses-administered-in-eu-by-october/	0
669	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2536/when-will-the-twin-prime-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
670	Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3460/will-there-be-at-least-200-companies-developing-technologies-to-defeat-aging-by-2025/	0
671	Will a Nobel Prize for Economic Science be awarded for MMT before 2041-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6028/nobel-prize-for-mmt-by-2041/	0
672	When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6113/autonomous-flying-cars-when/	0
673	Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5886/will-the-first-female-potus-be-republican/	0
674	Longbets series: will the June, 2025 Labor Force Participation Rate and unemployment rate, reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, be, respectively above 60 percent and below 7.5 percent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5866/longbets-low-unemployment-but-low-lfpr-2025/	0
675	Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7101/forethought-foundation-to-flounder-by-25/	0
676	Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5587/ai-ny-times-best-seller-before-2030/	0
677	Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7406/fatal-non-state-nuclear-detonation-by-2030/	0
678	Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2561/will-a-metaculus-user-report-from-space-before-2050/	0
679	When will GTA VI be released in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5772/when-will-gta-vi-be-released-in-the-us/	0
680	Will TBC complete two transit systems bigger than LVCC loop < 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6602/two-more-tbc-transit-systems--2030/	0
681	Will SpaceX actually put a literal Dogecoin on the literal Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6966/spacex-puts-literal-dogecoin-on-literal-moon/	0
682	When will the number of functional artificial satellites in orbit exceed 5,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6662/date-earth-functional-satellites-exceed-5000/	0
683	When will the Woke index in US elite media top?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4931/when-will-the-woke-index-in-us-elite-media-top/	0
684	What will the maximum world real GDP growth in percentage points be for a single year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4050/what-will-the-maximum-world-real-gdp-growth-in-percentage-points-be-for-a-single-year-in-the-21st-century/	0
685	When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5681/when-will-us-ev-sales-overtake-ice-sales/	0
686	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6338/cdu-governs-germany-after-the-2021-elections/	0
687	Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7524/over-100k-cases-by-2022/	0
688	Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5922/scotland-independence-referendum-in-2021/	0
689	Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4409/will-one-of-the-first-agi-claim-to-be-conscious/	0
690	When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7501/date-twin-prime-conjecture-is-resolved/	0
691	What will be the price of gas on Ethereum one week after EIP-1559?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7177/gas-price-after-eip-1559/	0
692	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7324/date-of-sputnik-v-who-approval/	0
693	When will the first company list on the Long-Term Stock Exchange?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7141/first-company-on-the-long-term-stock-exchange/	0
694	When will a generative model produce a realistic 2-minute video, at a 256 × 256 resolution or better?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3056/when-will-a-generative-model-produce-a-realistic-2-minute-video-at-a-256--256-resolution-or-better/	0
695	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6124/astrazenecaoxford-vaccine-us-eua-date/	0
696	When will the US unemployment rate fall to 4% or lower for the first time since the COVID-19 crisis of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4017/when-will-the-us-unemployment-rate-fall-to-4-or-lower-for-the-first-time-since-the-covid-19-crisis-of-2020/	0
697	Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4127/will-a-member-of-the-trump-family-be-the-republican-nominee-for-the-us-presidency-in-2024/	0
698	Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6322/trump-gain-10m-followers-on-new-platform/	0
699	When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4443/when-will-china-surpass-the-united-states-economically-militarily-and-scientifically/	0
700	When will the world create the first Trillionaire?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/676/when-will-the-world-create-the-first-trillionaire/	0
701	What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4333/what-will-be-the-democracy-index-of-the-united-states-in-2040/	0
702	Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3517/will-there-be-a-global-thermonuclear-war-by-2070/	0
703	Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7407/deliberate-nuclear-detonation-by-2024/	0
704	Will North Korea and South Korea be recognized as a unified sovereign state by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7037/korean-reunification-by-2045/	0
705	Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7408/next-nuclear-detonation-after-conflict/	0
706	What will be the largest plant-based meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7038/plant-based-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
707	What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5585/neuropreservation-price-at-alcor-2030/	0
708	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7115/gavin-newsom-recall-election/	0
709	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6637/21-us-gdp-growth-to-set-centurys-record/	0
710	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6920/will-israel-hold-a-second-election-in-2021/	0
711	When will New Zealand reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6941/new-zealand-international-travel-reopens/	0
712	Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7340/new-megadonor-in-ea-in-2026/	0
713	What percentage of Legislative Assembly seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next Victorian state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5534/labor-seats-after-next-victorian-election/	0
714	Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6312/will-kamala-harris-run-for-president-in-2024/	0
715	How much revenue will the SENS research foundation receive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7198/sens-research-foundation-revenue-2021/	0
716	When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4737/when-will-the-covid-19-epidemic-subside-in-russia/	0
717	Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5865/longbets-us-productivity-growth-2-2025/	0
718	Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2823/will-there-be-another-case-of-smallpox-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
719	Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6475/implantable-bioartificial-kidney-fda-approval/	0
720	When will there be a vegan cheese indistinguishable from non-vegan cheese available for purchase by regular consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4249/when-will-there-be-a-vegan-cheese-indistinguishable-from-non-vegan-cheese-available-for-purchase-by-regular-consumers/	0
721	If a language model is trained with 5x more compute than GPT-3 by the end of 2022, will it be public to end users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6980/gpt-4-or-similar-public-by-end-of-2022/	0
722	Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4952/will-lebanon-come-under-french-rule-again-before-2025/	0
723	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7327/open-phil-donations-2030/	0
724	When will Nate Silver release his 2nd book?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7012/release-date-of-nate-silvers-2nd-book/	0
725	Will we get through the 21st century without an assassination of a sitting American President?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1090/will-we-get-through-the-21st-century-without-an-assassination-of-a-sitting-american-president/	0
726	When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2898/when-the-first-company-reaches-a-10-trillion-market-cap-will-it-be-worth-at-least-double-what-it-was-the-year-before/	0
727	What will the total amount of worldwide venture capital funding in quantum computing be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7435/quantum-computing-private-funding/	0
728	Will anyone be convicted for the possession of Bitcoin before 2060 in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7209/will-bitcoin-possession-be-illegal/	0
729	Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5048/will-the-uk-rejoin-the-eu-before-2030/	0
730	Will Valve release a game before 2030 with 3 in the Title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3812/will-valve-release-a-game-before-2030-with-3-in-the-title/	0
731	If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4645/if-conservatives-win-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
732	Will Metaculus Inc. host a prediction market prior to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4630/will-metaculus-inc-host-a-prediction-market-prior-to-2024/	0
733	Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3834/will-any-conclusive-evidence-for-extraterrestrial-life-past-or-present-be-discovered-within-our-solar-system-by-2050/	0
734	How many people will be employed in the US education industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6062/number-employed-in-us-education-industry-2021/	0
735	Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3112/will-mars-have-a-permanent-population-of-10000-before-the-moon-does/	0
736	Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6646/sa-israel-to-establish-diplomatic-relations/	0
737	Will Mount Rushmore be intentionally destroyed or modified before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4742/will-mount-rushmore-be-intentionally-destroyed-or-modified-before-2025/	0
738	Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2751/will-the-text-of-the-voynich-manuscript-be-successfully-translated-by-2050/	0
739	How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7413/size-of-state-nuclear-arsenals-by-2024/	0
740	Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3330/will-any-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
741	Will the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) start operating by end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2709/will-the-international-thermonuclear-experimental-reactor-iter-start-operating-by-end-of-2025/	0
742	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6763/marine-le-pen-french-president-in-2022/	0
743	Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7434/psiquantum-computer-by-2025/	0
744	Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3715/before-2025-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-china-deliberately-misreported-covid-19-infections/	0
745	Will Norway leave EEA before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6108/norway-eea-membership-2025/	0
746	Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1638/will-alex-jones-ever-hold-high-federal-office-in-the-united-states-before-2030/	0
747	Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6427/will-gb-news-be-broadcasting-in-2025/	0
748	When will Ethereum be able to do 1000 transactions per second?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7251/1000-transactions-per-second-in-ethereum/	0
749	Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5916/will-2021-be-the-hottest-year-on-record/	0
750	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7542/over-200k-us-covid-daily-cases-by-2022/	0
751	What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6344/2025-price-of-a-crunchwrap-supreme/	0
752	How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5351/major-wars-in-the-2020s/	0
753	By 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2788/by-2025-will-laws-be-in-place-requiring-that-ai-systems-that-emulate-humans-must-reveal-to-people-that-they-are-ai/	0
754	When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3353/when-will-the-who-certify-the-worldwide-eradication-of-polio/	0
755	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by China by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by China occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7459/countervalue-detonations-by-china-by-2050/	0
756	Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1624/will-a-mouse-be-confirmed-to-have-lived-for-2500-days-before-1-january-2035/	0
757	Will AI progress surprise us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1394/will-ai-progress-surprise-us/	0
758	Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7412/hemp-attack-before-2024/	0
759	Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5687/trump-indicted-for-obstruction-of-justice/	0
760	By 1 January 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1625/by-1-january-2050-will-it-be-possible-to-increase-a-healthy-adult-humans-iq-by-at-least-two-standard-deviations-in-less-than-30-days/	0
761	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6021/ce-to-incubate-ace-recommended-ngo-by-2025/	0
762	Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in any of the next three election cycles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5252/aoc-for-president/	0
763	What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5925/eu-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/	0
764	What proportion of nuclear weapon detonations by the US by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by the US occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7458/countervalue-detonations-by-the-us-by-2050/	0
765	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based meats be in the U.S. be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7062/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-meats-in-2022/	0
766	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7368/industrial-production-index-september-2021/	0
767	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7350/cpi-u-july-2021/	0
768	Will renewable energy contribute 25.00%, or less, to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3593/will-renewable-energy-contribute-2500-or-less-to-global-electricity-production-in-the-calendar-year-2030/	0
769	When will Croatia adopt the euro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4587/when-will-croatia-adopt-the-euro/	0
770	What will the VIX Index be on July's Non-Farm Payroll release date after closing?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7375/vix-index-post-julys-non-farm-payroll/	0
771	Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5918/world-to-agree-to-new-climate-targets-in-2021/	0
772	Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5317/nhs-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
773	Will Japan place in the Top 4 at the 2021 Tokyo Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5542/japan-host-games-advantage/	0
774	What will Hungary's total fertility rate be in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6800/hungarys-total-fertility-rate-be-in-2023/	0
775	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6149/change-in-degree-of-automation/	0
776	Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7231/global-trade-exceeds-61-of-gwp-by-2026/	0
777	Human-machine intelligence parity by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/384/human-machine-intelligence-parity-by-2040/	0
778	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6323/flights-on-commonpass-health-passport-in-2021/	0
779	When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7228/date-a-west-balkan-state-next-joins-the-eu/	0
780	What proportion of offensive nuclear weapon detonations by Pakistan by 2050 will be countervalue, if any detonation by Pakistan occurs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7410/countervalue-detonations-by-pakistan-by-2050/	0
781	When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6046/date-1-bitcoin-worth-1-million/	0
782	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based meat companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7051/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-meat/	0
783	Will the People's Republic of China have ever annexed at least half of Taiwan by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-most-of-taiwan-by-2050/	0
784	Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1079/will-elon-musk-eventually-lose-his-appeal/	0
785	Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6425/the-future-of-wallstreetbets/	0
786	Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7129/will-virginia-achieve-herd-immunity/	0
787	What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4830/what-will-the-global-fertility-rate-be-in-2050/	0
788	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6640/biden-to-hold-presidency-until-eoy/	0
789	How much total capital will be invested in plant-based foods companies through exits (IPOs, direct listings, mergers and acquisitions) in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7048/2022-exit-investment-in-plant-based-food/	0
790	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5908/confirmed-us-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
791	Will ≥8% of U.S. adults self-report to follow a vegetarian diet before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3360/will-8-of-us-adults-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-before-2036/	0
792	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7365/us-building-permits/	0
793	How many athletes will have signed the High Impact Athletes giving pledge by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5999/number-of-hia-pledges-by-end-of-2021/	0
794	What will be the Hue (in angular degrees) of Pantone's Color of the Year for 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5887/pantones-color-of-the-year-for-2022/	0
795	What will the Mens winning 100m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5860/2020-mens-100m-final/	0
796	When will the last US casino close?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6893/date-when-the-last-us-casino-will-close/	0
797	What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4785/what-percentage-of-people-cryopreserved-between-2020-and-2050-will-be-revived-by-2200/	0
798	Will Bitcoin move away from proof-of-work by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7109/bitcoin-consensus-mechanism-by-2035/	0
799	Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3397/large-obesity-drop-in-oecd-country-by-2030/	0
800	In the context of community transmission, what will be the recommended minimum % of positive COVID-19 cases that should be sequenced?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6718/-covid-cases-that-should-be-sequenced/	0
801	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7307/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
802	When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7286/1021-bytes-destroyed-by-single-event/	0
803	When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4799/when-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-hold-the-office-of-president-of-russia/	0
804	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6185/multi-modal-ml-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
805	How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3289/how-many-gene-edited-babies-will-have-been-born-worldwide-by-the-end-of-2029/	0
806	Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1340/drakes-equation-4th-parameter-f_l/	0
807	Will FTX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7230/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-ftx/	0
808	Will Bitfinex default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7236/what-is-a-counterparty-risk-of-bitfinex/	0
809	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7221/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q4/	0
810	When will insect feed replace fishmeal for animal feed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7025/when-will-insects-replace-fishmeal/	0
811	Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4759/pfas-max-contaminant-levels-in-drinking-water/	0
812	Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/736/will-there-be-a-complete-4-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles-before-the-first-1-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles/	0
813	Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7053/brazil-to-lead-in-soybean-production-in-2022/	0
814	Will Republicans control the United States Senate on 2022-10-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6883/republican-us-senate-before-november-2022/	0
815	What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5861/2020-olympic-womens-100m-final/	0
816	How much higher will peer-reviewed U.S. methane emission measurements be compared to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s reported measurements in any 12 month period between 2021-2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7343/accuracy-of-epas-methane-emissions/	0
817	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's new COVID-19 cases during the week ending 1 August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7134/age-group-with-highest-share-cases/	0
818	What will be China's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7005/gdp-of-china-for-2025/	0
819	When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3877/when-will-the-united-kingdom-apply-to-rejoin-the-eu/	0
820	How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3247/how-many-billions-of-hen-eggs-will-be-produced-in-the-us-in-the-year-ending-in-november-2023/	0
821	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6458/will-the-eu-ban-mink-farming-in-2021/	0
822	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6296/us-unemployment-above-5-through-nov-2021/	0
823	When will China legalise same-sex marriage?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3887/when-will-china-legalise-same-sex-marriage/	0
824	Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7099/silg-to-survive-the-mid-term/	0
825	Will Charm Industrial still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4865/will-charm-industrial-still-exist-in-2030/	0
826	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5907/number-confirmed-global-covid-deaths-by-2022/	0
827	When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4932/when-will-ai-achieve-superhuman-few-shot-performance-on-superglue/	0
828	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be Chinese Yuan in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7296/chinese-yuan--of-cofer-q42031/	0
829	Will there be armed conflict between the national military forces, militia and/or law enforcement personnel of Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before Jan 1, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7227/armed-conflict-between-prc--roc-taiwan/	0
830	What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4798/what-will-teslas-market-capitalization-be-on-1-january-2030/	0
831	What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6305/us-2024-popular-vote-combined-dem--rep/	0
832	Will Matt Levine join substack before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6420/matt-levine-to-join-substack/	0
833	Will semaglutide be a top 300 medicine in America before 2032?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7323/semaglutide-in-top-300-us-meds-before-2032/	0
834	Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6190/will-musk-double-second-richest-by-dec-3122/	0
835	Will there be a vegetarian U.S. president by the end of 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3359/will-there-be-a-vegetarian-us-president-by-the-end-of-2036/	0
836	How many NASA "space launch system" (SLS) launches before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1503/how-many-nasa-space-launch-system-sls-launches-before-2030/	0
837	2˚C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/585/2c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
838	When will a first-class Royal Mail stamp cost at least £1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5823/date-first-class-royal-mail-stamps-costs-1/	0
839	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6155/image-classification-index-2022-01-14/	0
840	Tunnel vs. Wall	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/445/tunnel-vs-wall/	0
841	What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4440/what-rank-will-the-united-states-be-on-the-inequality-adjusted-human-development-index-in-2035/	0
842	As of July 1st, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4815/as-of-july-1st-2022-when-will-top-forecasters-expect-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-to-be-developed-and-demonstrated/	0
843	Will the ICJ resolve the Belizean–Guatemalan territorial dispute in favour of Belize?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6984/belizeanguatemalan-territorial-dispute/	0
844	When will Blue Origin's "New Glenn" rocket complete its first successful test flight?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/472/when-will-blue-origins-new-glenn-rocket-complete-its-first-successful-test-flight/	0
845	What will be the Alexa Traffic Rank for Metaculus.com on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4053/what-will-be-the-alexa-traffic-rank-for-metaculuscom-on-january-1st-2022/	0
846	Will Northern Ireland hold a reunification referendum before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6702/northern-irish-reunification-referendum/	0
847	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6545/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2022/	0
848	When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3913/when-will-a-vaccine-for-hiv-be-administered-to-10-million-people/	0
849	When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1655/when-will-there-be-a-breakthrough-in-the-treatment-of-hard-to-treat-cancers/	0
850	When will an HSV-1 vaccine be approved by the FDA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7234/hsv-1-vaccine-approved-by-fda/	0
851	What will global direct primary energy consumption be in 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6629/global-energy-consumption-in-2100/	0
852	When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4588/when-will-spacexs-starship-carry-a-human-to-orbit/	0
853	If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5120/if-tested-would-the-most-powerful-quesion-answering-ai-system-as-of-2022-06-01-demonstrate-text-based-intelligence-parity-with-human-5th-graders/	0
854	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6114/will-the-senate-confirm-many-judges-in-2021/	0
855	Will there be a 10X growth in number of legal abortions conducted in Poland by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6506/10x-abortion-in-poland-by-2030/	0
856	According to the Virginia Department of Education, how many Virginia school divisions will have "In Person" instructional schedules as of 15 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7132/virginia-in-person-schooling-on-15-september/	0
857	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4790/elon-musks-net-worth-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
858	Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6959/war-in-donbass-2021/	0
859	Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4061/will-any-major-ai-company-commit-to-an-ai-windfall-clause-by-2025/	0
860	Will any top ten meat global processor/producer go bankrupt by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7052/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2023/	0
861	What will be the total expenditure on the military in the US in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7194/us-military-expenditure-in-2022/	0
862	Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3778/will-a-democratic-nation-whose-economy-transitions-from-capitalist-to-market-socialist-sustain-adequate-economic-growth/	0
863	How far away is the nearest independent origination of life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7079/where-is-the-nearest-origin-of-et-life/	0
864	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's COVID-19 hospitalizations during the week ending 1 August 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7133/age-group-with-highest-share-hospitalizations/	0
865	Will the identity of Bitcoin's founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, be revealed to the general public by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1517/will-the-identity-of-bitcoins-founder-satoshi-nakamoto-be-revealed-to-the-general-public-by-2025/	0
866	LRT 2.2: As of Monday, April 27th how many total cumulative SARS-CoV-2 infections (including all symptomatic, subclinical, and asymptomatic infections) have there been in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4251/lrt-22-as-of-monday-april-27th-how-many-total-cumulative-sars-cov-2-infections-including-all-symptomatic-subclinical-and-asymptomatic-infections-have-there-been-in-the-us/	0
867	In 2050 what will be the all-time tennis slam singles record for men?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6890/all-time-tennis-slam-record-in-2050/	0
868	When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6956/first-circumlunar-human-spacex-flight/	0
869	Will online poker die by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5875/online-poker-dead-by-2030/	0
870	Will the next President of the United States be impeached?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3419/will-the-next-president-of-the-united-states-be-impeached/	0
871	When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3474/when-will-queen-elizabeth-ii-cease-to-be-queen-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
872	Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1438/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-free-countries-in-2028/	0
873	Will Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R, GA-14) be expelled or resign by 1 Jan 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6419/marjorie-taylor-greene-expelled/	0
874	Will Djokovic win 21 Tennis Grand Slams?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6886/djokovic-total-tennis-slams/	0
875	Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5826/bitcoin-below-10k/	0
876	How many billionaires (in USD) will there be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6772/number-of-billionaires-in-2030/	0
877	By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3142/by-2030-how-many-people-will-have-ever-landed-on-the-moon/	0
878	Will there be adversarial use of consumer genomic data before 1/1/2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6479/adversarial-use-of-consumer-genomics-by-2030/	0
879	At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2783/at-the-end-of-2023-will-animal-charity-evaluators-recommend-a-charity-working-on-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-as-a-top-charity/	0
880	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6525/cv-publications-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
881	If the federal minimum wage is greater than $10 and less than $15, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6627/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-10-15/	0
882	What retail market share will plant-based milk make up of the total milk category in the U.S. in 2022	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7059/2022-retail-market-share-of-plant-based-milk/	0
883	What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7328/global-democracy-share-2040/	0
884	What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6070/us-gender-income-ratio-by-2025/	0
885	Will the Somerton Man's DNA match that of "Jestyn's" family?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7288/somerton-man-father-of-jestyns-son/	0
886	How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6125/quality-of-retinal-implants-in-2030/	0
887	When will be the next S&P 500 correction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5458/next-sp-500-correction/	0
888	How much global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/605/how-much-global-warming-by-2100/	0
889	On November 2021, will >20% of Americans believe the 2020 election was rigged?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5848/election-fraud-myth-persists/	0
890	When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5858/when-will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected/	0
891	Conditional on a EU country ceasing to be a democracy by 2070, will the regime change be by "the left" or by "the right"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6820/if-eu-democracy-overthrown-by-whom/	0
892	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7373/us-building-permits-september-2021/	0
893	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6000/lives-saved-by-seconddosedelay-for-vaccine/	0
894	What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4615/what-annual-real-return-will-the-sp-500-realize-2022-2031/	0
895	Will the number of living humans who have walked on another world fall to zero?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/615/will-the-number-of-living-humans-who-have-walked-on-another-world-fall-to-zero/	0
896	In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4848/in-the-2024-us-presidential-election-how-many-states-will-use-plurality-voting-methods-to-choose-their-electors/	0
897	Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4055/will-the-first-agi-be-based-on-deep-learning/	0
898	The Rise and Fall of the Banana: Will the current main export cultivar, the Cavendish, be replaced by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1558/the-rise-and-fall-of-the-banana-will-the-current-main-export-cultivar-the-cavendish-be-replaced-by-2035/	0
899	For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7352/non-farm-payroll-july-2021/	0
900	Will an incumbent traditional animal protein company take out a full-page ad that criticises plant-based, or cultivated meat, in either the NYT, WSJ or WaPo by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7058/anti-alt-food-adds-by-2023/	0
901	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "low"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6796/nyc-low-risk-date-for-covid/	0
902	How many countries will approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7066/-countries-to-sell-cultivated-meat-by-2023/	0
903	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3091/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023/	0
904	Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/804/1000th-binary-question-resolution-is-positive/	0
905	Microwave disruption of COVID-19 virus particles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4994/microwave-disruption-of-covid-19-virus-particles/	0
906	If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7243/1st-senators-from-puerto-rico-both-democrats/	0
907	When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7104/birthdate-of-the-first-human-to-live-to-1000/	0
908	Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3158/will-the-first-extraterrestrial-life-forms-we-encounter-be-carbon-based/	0
909	What will be the highest pixel resolution of commercially available optical satellite imagery, purchasable in a NATO country, in the year 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7344/resolution-of-commercial-satellites-in-2050/	0
910	How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4518/how-many-billions-of-parameters-will-the-largest-machine-learning-model-trained-before-2030-have/	0
911	Will the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1650/will-the-second-amendment-to-the-united-states-constitution-be-amended-or-repealed-before-2025/	0
912	When will the English Wikipedia have 10 million articles?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3623/when-will-the-english-wikipedia-have-10-million-articles/	0
913	Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3238/will-turkey-be-a-nato-member-continuously-until-1-january-2025/	0
914	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7224/israel-palestine-crisis-2021--q5/	0
915	Will a 'Turing Test' for plant-based meat be passed if such a test is conducted by April 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7057/turing-test-for-plant-based-meat-by-2023/	0
916	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7125/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-hospitalizations/	0
917	Alexei Navalny to become president or prime minister of Russia in his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3416/alexei-navalny-to-become-president-or-prime-minister-of-russia-in-his-lifetime/	0
918	When will Lyft electrify 80% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5559/when-will-lyft-be-80-electrified/	0
919	On what day will Solar Cycle 25’s maximum occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4976/on-what-day-will-solar-cycle-25s-maximum-occur/	0
920	In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6633/when-will-we-meet-grabby-aliens/	0
921	Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2513/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
922	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6063/number-employed-in-us-healthcare-in-2021/	0
923	What year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1596/what-year-will-the-2c-climate-threshold-be-crossed/	0
924	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6460/date-of-next-millennium-prize-problem-proof/	0
925	When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for  COVID19-related accomplishments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7032/awards-for-contributions-related-to-covid19/	0
926	Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6369/official-scottish-independence-referendum/	0
927	Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy over the next four years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3864/out-of-the-25-largest-us-companies-by-revenue-how-many-will-file-for-bankruptcy-over-the-next-four-years/	0
928	What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4949/what-will-be-the-best-marathon-time-completed-before-2035-in-seconds-according-to-guinness-world-records/	0
929	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7108/us-canada-border-to-reopen/	0
930	When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3684/when-will-a-quantum-computer-running-shors-algorithm-or-a-similar-one-be-used-to-factor-one-of-the-rsa-numbers-for-the-first-time/	0
931	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6567/sota-on-squad20-2023-02-14/	0
932	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6234/performance-of-top-supercomputer-in-june-2030/	0
933	Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6616/cryonics-institute-to-go-bankrupt/	0
934	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the U.K.?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7443/when-will-the-us-allow-travel-from-the-uk/	0
935	When will /r/themotte be banned from Reddit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4881/when-will-rthemotte-be-banned-from-reddit/	0
936	13 month boxed mean of sunspots around the Solar 25 maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4971/13-month-boxed-mean-of-sunspots-around-the-solar-25-maximum/	0
937	What will be the gross receipts of the SENS Research Foundation in the 2021 tax year, as reported on their Form 990?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4442/what-will-be-the-gross-receipts-of-the-sens-research-foundation-in-the-2021-tax-year-as-reported-on-their-form-990/	0
938	Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6721/successful-seasteading-by-2035/	0
939	Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4527/will-the-sp-500-hit-10000-points-by-the-end-of-the-decade/	0
940	What will public knowledge be in the year 2061 of the highest pixel resolution, in centimeters, of a classified U.S. government optical satellite that was operational between 2011-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7342/resolution-of-classified-us-satellites/	0
941	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to long term future charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6978/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-long-term-future/	0
942	If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7165/gop-to-hold-senate-if-dc-and-pr-not-admitted/	0
943	When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6938/when-will-there-be-a-50b-parameter-dall-e/	0
944	Will more than two nuclear weapons in total have been detonated as an act of war by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4779/will-more-than-two-nuclear-weapons-in-total-have-been-detonated-as-an-act-of-war-by-2050/	0
945	How many years will caloric restriction be demonstrated to add to one's natural lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4094/how-many-years-will-caloric-restriction-be-demonstrated-to-add-to-ones-natural-lifespan/	0
946	Will any Member State leave the Eurozone by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2616/will-any-member-state-leave-the-eurozone-by-2025/	0
947	Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3439/will-the-conservative-party-form-the-first-government-after-the-next-uk-general-election/	0
948	What will Australia's net greenhouse gas emissions be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7093/australias-greenhouse-gas-emissions-in-2050/	0
949	Will we find life on Mars by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6632/will-we-find-life-on-mars/	0
950	How many people in the US between the ages 16-24 will be employed in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6056/us-employment-of-ages-16-24-in-2021/	0
951	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6928/aus-private-sector-wpi--change-for-q2-2021/	0
952	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by Charm Industrial in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4861/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-charm-industrial-in-2030/	0
953	When will the first autonomous, road legal, human carrying motorcycle be sold in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6812/first-autonomous-motorcycle-to-be-sold-in-usa/	0
954	Will the world population increase every year for the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/124/will-the-world-population-increase-every-year-for-the-next-decade/	0
955	What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3343/what-will-be-the-exponent-of-the-fastest-known-polynomial-time-matrix-multiplication-algorithm-in-2029/	0
956	What Portion of Official Currency Reserve (COFER) will be US dollars in Q4 of 2031 according to the IMF?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7242/usd--of-cofer-q42021/	0
957	Will the US NIH recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5318/nih-to-recommend-vit-d-supp/	0
958	How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/	0
959	Will JavaScript be the most used programming language in the 2030 Stack Overflow Developer Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6502/javascripts-dominance-in-2030/	0
960	How many paying customers will the most used romantic AI companion have by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7232/romantic-ai-companion-customers-by-2025/	0
961	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility be, by January 1st, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7036/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2023/	0
962	By 2030, will 10,000+ Americans die in a single year in a single conflict?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6940/10k-us-conflict-deaths-in-1-year-by-2030/	0
963	Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1645/before-2025-will-an-asteroid-or-comet-estimated-to-be-at-least-50-meters-in-diameter-be-detected-to-be-due-to-collide-with-earth-before-2100/	0
964	How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4796/states-with-legal-psilocybin-by-2045/	0
965	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3115/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-between-8-and-20-per-kg/	0
966	Will Bill Gates implant a brain-computer interface in anyone by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6364/bill-gates-brain-computer-interface-by-2030/	0
967	What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it through the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6005/fraction-of-hia-pledges-still-active-in-2024/	0
968	Will Ron DeSantis be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6590/ron-desantis-2024-gop-presidential-candidate/	0
969	How many people will take the EA survey in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7317/ea-survey-responses-2025/	0
970	Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5313/planet-nine-discovery-by-before-2030/	0
971	What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6230/sota-montezumas-revenge-2022-01-14/	0
972	When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3141/when-will-100-people-or-more-be-in-space-or-on-any-astronomical-body-other-than-earth-simultaneously/	0
973	Will NASA's SLS launch a person to the Moon before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2795/will-nasas-sls-launch-a-person-to-the-moon-before-2024/	0
974	Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6844/at-least-3-ubi-pilots-in-2021/	0
975	Will Donald Trump become speaker of the House of Representatives before January 15th 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7322/trump-to-be-souse-speaker-before-1152023/	0
976	Hutter prize: when will a compression method achieve 1 bit-per-character on a 100MB sample of Wikipedia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/487/hutter-prize-when-will-a-compression-method-achieve-1-bit-per-character-on-a-100mb-sample-of-wikipedia/	0
977	Will any top 10 meat global processors/producers go bankrupt by 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7054/global-meat-producers-to-go-bankrupt-by-2028/	0
978	Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3842/will-a-reliable-poll-of-physicists-reveal-that-a-majority-of-those-polled-accept-the-many-worlds-interpretation-by-2050/	0
979	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3150/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2035/	0
980	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6642/2021-eus-covid-19-deaths-to-exceed-uss/	0
981	How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5582/total-tesla-sales-in-2021/	0
982	Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6827/a-supernova-in-the-milky-way-before-2050/	0
983	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7400/us-durable-goods-orders-september-2021/	0
984	What will be the largest CME during Solar Cycle 25 (in kinetic energy)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5045/what-will-be-the-largest-cme-during-solar-cycle-25-in-kinetic-energy/	0
985	When will an electric bike win the AMA Supercross series championship?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6793/when-will-an-electric-bike-win-supercross/	0
986	When will PHP die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1691/when-will-php-die/	0
987	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be on 2023-02-14 in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6520/sota-wikitext-103-2023-02-14/	0
988	What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2563/what-will-the-atmospheric-co2-concentration-be-in-2030/	0
989	Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3870/will-there-turn-out-to-be-widespread-fossils-of-algae-and-lichens-on-mars/	0
990	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3103/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2026/	0
991	Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4882/will-any-of-these-reddit-alternatives-be-more-popular-than-reddit-by-2026/	0
992	When will the first zetta-FLOPS performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6788/when-will-the-first-zflop-performer-appear/	0
993	Will Trump flee the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5655/will-trump-flee-the-united-states/	0
994	When will Winifred Wagner's correspondence with Adolph Hitler be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5425/release-date-of-wagners-letters-with-hitler/	0
995	Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7040/wheat-successfully-de-allergenized-by-2030/	0
996	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6316/india-gdp-growth-in-q1-q3-2021/	0
997	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1640/will-lab-grown-complex-vital-organs-be-used-successfully-in-humans-before-2025/	0
998	In 2029, will the US have as many or fewer nuclear warheads than it did in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2817/us-having-fewer-nukes-in-2029-than-2019/	0
999	When will the James Webb Space Telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3033/when-will-the-james-webb-space-telescope-be-launched/	0
1000	Will Xi Jinping keep leading China past 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1468/will-xi-jinping-keep-leading-china-past-2022/	0
1001	When will be the next "Great Power" war?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4441/when-will-be-the-next-great-power-war/	0
1002	When will Sabaton release their tenth album?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7204/tenth-sabaton-album/	0
1003	What will the mass of the next fundamental particle to be discovered be, in eV?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4794/what-will-the-mass-of-the-next-fundamental-particle-to-be-discovered-be-in-ev/	0
1004	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a family planning charity as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7097/family-planning-charity-in-2021/	0
1005	Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2762/will-apollo-10s-lunar-module-be-recovered-by-2050/	0
1006	What will the % change of sexually transmitted infections diagnoses in England from 2019 to 2020 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6308/change-in-stis-from-2019-to-2020-in-england/	0
1007	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6227/sota-segmentation-cityscapes-2022-01-14/	0
1008	What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7002/lowest-us-msrp-of-2030-tesla/	0
1009	When will Australia have no coal-fired power plants in its National Electricity Market?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4472/when-will-australia-have-no-coal-fired-power-plants-in-its-national-electricity-market/	0
1010	Will global fertility drop to 0.25 births per woman by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6870/025-births-per-woman-globally-by-2045/	0
1011	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $100 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3592/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1012	What will be the highest level of annual GDP growth in the US before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2622/what-will-be-the-highest-level-of-annual-gdp-growth-in-the-us-before-2030/	0
1013	Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5201/will-kamala-harris-be-president-before-2025/	0
1014	How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7045/-pigs-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
1015	If Conservatives win the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3341/if-conservatives-win-the-2019-uk-general-election-what-will-be-mean-uk-broadband-download-speeds-5-years-later/	0
1016	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6537/image-classification-index-be-on-2023-02-14/	0
1017	Will Facebook block links to Bitchute before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5635/facebook-block-links-to-bitchute-before-2023/	0
1018	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6638/unemployment-rate-for-december-2021/	0
1019	Artificial drivers, real roads vs. real drivers, artificial roads	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/285/artificial-drives-real-roads-vs-real-drivers-artificial-roads/	0
1020	Will Stripe be the largest public offering worldwide in 2021 by valuation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6688/stripe-as-largest-public-offering-in-2021/	0
1021	When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2576/when-will-a-dui-be-overruled-or-turned-down-due-to-riding-a-driverless-car/	0
1022	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6818/date-any-country-adopts-ubi/	0
1023	Will 2048-bit RSA be broken before 256-bit ECC?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/803/will-2048-bit-rsa-be-broken-before-256-bit-ecc/	0
1024	How much will US livestock production be subsidized, on average, in over the 2021-22 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7067/us-livestock-subsidization-between-2021-22/	0
1025	How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2028 to 2030 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3324/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2028-to-2030-period/	0
1026	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3153/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-greater-than-20-per-kg/	0
1027	What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3357/what-will-the-mean-of-the-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-of-the-all-500-supercomputers-in-the-top500-be-in-the-three-year-period-ending-in-november-2023/	0
1028	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2023-02-15?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6540/object-detection-index-be-on-2023-02-15/	0
1029	What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5729/m-community-brier-when-300-predictors-per-q/	0
1030	Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6020/charity-entrepreneurship-to-birth-top-ace-ngo/	0
1031	Will Climeworks still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4862/will-climeworks-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1032	Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3606/will-a-wealth-tax-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/	0
1033	By 2025 will someone be able to hold his/her breath for 30+ minutes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/684/by-2025-will-someone-be-able-to-hold-hisher-breath-for-30-minutes/	0
1034	Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5459/psilocybin-not-schedule-i--2036/	0
1035	When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5303/metaculus-users-self-driving-taxis/	0
1036	By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6782/abortion-bans-allowed-by-us-courts-in-2021/	0
1037	When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2644/when-will-image-recognition-be-made-robust-against-unrestricted-adversary/	0
1038	How correlated will progress be across subfields of AI as determined by Metaculus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6679/correlation-of-progress-in-subfields-of-ai/	0
1039	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5906/number-confirmed-global-covid-cases-by-2022/	0
1040	What will the total fertility rate be in USA for the year 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6813/fertility-rate-be-in-usa-for-the-year-2025/	0
1041	Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3608/will-the-majority-of-leading-cosmologists-in-2030-agree-that-the-evidence-points-to-an-accelerating-universe/	0
1042	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6557/1000-ebola-deaths-in-2021/	0
1043	Will there be an AI Sputnik moment before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7216/ai-sputnik-moment-by-2050/	0
1044	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2776/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2021/	0
1045	When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >60% in a n>500 RCT?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5934/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/	0
1046	Will General Electric (GE) file for chapter 7 or chapter 11 bankruptcy before Sep 18th of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3109/will-general-electric-ge-file-for-chapter-7-or-chapter-11-bankruptcy-before-sep-18th-of-2024/	0
1047	When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6013/elden-ring-release/	0
1048	Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5173/transformers-effect-on-ai-research/	0
1049	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with IATA Travel Passes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6029/flights-on-iata-vaccine-passports-in-2021/	0
1050	Will the XENON1T experiment soon report a detection of dark matter or other new physics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4670/will-the-xenon1t-experiment-soon-report-a-detection-of-dark-matter-or-other-new-physics/	0
1051	Will Stripe reach a valuation of $1 trillion before 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5423/stripe-reaches-1tr-valuation-before-2027/	0
1052	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6245/few-shot-learning-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1053	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7161/cumulative-us-covid-deaths-by-end-of-2021/	0
1054	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6348/ea-global-london-2021-rescheduled/	0
1055	Will there be armed conflict between racial groups in South Africa before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/919/will-there-be-armed-conflict-between-racial-groups-in-south-africa-before-2023/	0
1056	How many Computer and Information Research Scientists will there be in the United states in January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6575/number-of-us-computer-scientists-2030/	0
1057	When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6448/two-states-ban-human-driven-vehicles/	0
1058	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to December 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6236/change-in-degree-of-automation-20-to-26/	0
1059	Will there be active warfare between the United States and China by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4922/will-there-be-active-warfare-between-the-united-states-and-china-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
1060	The end of the EU as we know it by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/the-end-of-the-eu-as-we-know-it/	0
1061	Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3385/will-humanity-maintain-a-continuous-off-earth-presence-until-2050/	0
1062	What will be the maximum number of COVID-19 cases reported in a single day in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5659/max-number-of-us-daily-covid-19-cases/	0
1063	What will be the capacity factor of US nuclear energy by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6146/us-capacity-factor-for-nuclear-energy-2022/	0
1064	How many refugees will be admitted to the US from 2021 to 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7027/total-refugee-admissions-2021-24/	0
1065	Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7106/carlsen-retains-the-world-championship-crown/	0
1066	When will the first clone of a prominent historical figure be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5804/first-clone-of-a-prominent-historical-figure/	0
1067	When will the first baby be born away from Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4954/when-will-the-first-baby-be-born-away-from-earth/	0
1068	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6307/median-bay-area-house-prices-in-2021/	0
1069	Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7314/50by40-meat-production-goal-achieved/	0
1070	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7126/monthly-peak-in-new-virginia-covid-deaths/	0
1071	What will SpaceX be worth by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3366/what-will-spacex-be-worth-by-2030/	0
1072	Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5352/will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-election/	0
1073	What proportion of the well-known QSRs will offer a cultivated meat product in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7055/prop-of-qsr-with-cultivated-meat-in-2026/	0
1074	Will a scientific mission to the outer solar system be assigned to the Falcon Heavy by mid-2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1139/will-a-scientific-mission-to-the-outer-solar-system-be-assigned-to-the-falcon-heavy-by-mid-2023/	0
1075	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2026 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6233/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2026/	0
1076	Will the Riemann Hypothesis be proved true, if it is proved by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6365/riemann-h-proved-true-if-settled-by-2100/	0
1077	When will Australia reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6415/date-of-australian-border-reopening/	0
1078	Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3000 in any calendar year before (and including) 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3124/will-us-non-overseas-contingency-operations-military-deaths-exceed-3000-in-any-calendar-year-before-and-including-2031/	0
1079	Will the GOP control the senate after the 2022 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5632/will-the-gop-control-the-senate-in-2023/	0
1080	Will the number of people in extreme poverty in 2020 be lower than the number in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3484/will-the-number-of-people-in-extreme-poverty-in-2020-be-lower-than-the-number-in-2015/	0
1081	When will the James Webb telescope be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7298/james-webb-telescope-launch-date/	0
1082	What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4418/what-is-the-greatest-number-of-people-who-for-non-medical-purposes-use-a-newly-discovered-drug-at-any-year-between-2021-and-2070/	0
1083	Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7211/us-conclude-covid-lab-leak-by-june-2022/	0
1084	Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5217/frie-gr%25C3%25B8nnes-seats-in-the-danish-parliament/	0
1085	Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1497/will-the-eventual-consensus-explanation-of-star-kic-8462852-variability-be-an-intervening-molecular-cloud/	0
1086	What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7061/total-us-sales-of-plant-based-eggs-in-2022/	0
1087	What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4507/what-percentage-of-top-colleges-in-the-united-states-will-not-require-the-sat-or-act-for-freshman-admittance-by-2030/	0
1088	A breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1651/a-breakthrough-in-accurately-predicting-protein-structure-before-2031/	0
1089	When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7174/keir-starmer-labour-leadership-exit-date/	0
1090	Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/489/will-the-european-union-meet-its-2030-targets-under-the-paris-climate-treaty/	0
1091	What will the peak population of Antarctica be by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3999/what-will-the-peak-population-of-antarctica-be-by-2075/	0
1092	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in June 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7178/us-building-permits-june-2021/	0
1093	Will the NBA raise the rim to 10'6" (or higher) before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6973/nba-raising-the-rim-by-2030/	0
1094	Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/600/will-a-sample-of-negative-energy-be-produced-by-2100/	0
1095	[Short-fuse] When will the next episode of Hello Internet be released?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5237/hello-internet-podcast-release-schedule/	0
1096	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7113/fully-autonomous-tesla-in-2021/	0
1097	Will China launch an "artificial moon" by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1529/will-china-launch-an-artificial-moon-by-2025/	0
1098	Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4544/will-there-be-fewer-kea-parrots-in-2030-than-in-2020/	0
1099	What will Google Trends search interest for Donald Trump be in July 2024 as a percentage of in November 2016?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4914/trump-search-interest-in-jul-2024-vs-nov-2016/	0
1100	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7419/open-phil-ai-grants-2030/	0
1101	How many dollars will it cost per month to store 1 TB on Google Cloud Archive in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7199/cost-to-store-1-tb-on-google-archive-2025/	0
1102	When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3447/when-will-two-or-more-supermarkets-sell-products-made-of-20-clean-fish-in-their-physical-retail-stores-in-at-least-25-us-states/	0
1103	What will total oil demand globally be in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6143/total-oil-demand-in-2021/	0
1104	Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/916/will-another-911-on-us-soil-be-prevented-at-least-through-2030/	0
1105	Will Mike Pence be the GOP nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7083/mike-pence-2024-gop-presidential-nominee/	0
1106	Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6023/charity-in-china-to-ace-aces-criteria/	0
1107	When will the Indian Neutrino Observatory (INO) definitely spot its first neutrino(s)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1054/when-will-the-indian-neutrino-observatory-ino-definitely-spot-its-first-neutrinos/	0
1108	Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3631/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-increase-in-the-united-states-before-2025/	0
1109	What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1492/what-will-be-top500s-1-performing-supercomputer-as-a-multiple-of-the-500-performer-in-2030/	0
1110	When will workplaces reach baseline level in the state of Virginia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7137/va-workplace-activity-reach-baseline-lvl/	0
1111	Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6806/lab-grown-organs-be-used-in-humans-by-2035/	0
1112	When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5695/when-will-bryan-caplan-lose-a-bet/	0
1113	When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5035/when-will-spacex-starlink-internet-be-generally-available/	0
1114	When will there be a day on which no one in the UK dies with COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6257/first-day-with-no-uk-covid-19-deaths/	0
1115	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5961/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-01-2031-01-01/	0
1116	Will any intelligent living being (human descendants, aliens, etc.) ever listen to the copy of Blind Willie Johnson's "Dark Was the Night" on Voyager I's Golden Record?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1480/will-any-intelligent-living-being-human-descendants-aliens-etc-ever-listen-to-the-copy-of-blind-willie-johnsons-dark-was-the-night-on-voyager-is-golden-record/	0
1117	Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4883/will-metaculus-anticipate-the-biggest-unforeseen-trend-of-the-2020s/	0
1118	Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1469/will-we-know-what-dark-matter-is-before-2050/	0
1119	When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6373/date-song-first-streamed-4b-times-on-spotify/	0
1120	Will the U.S. Affordable Care Act be expanded to include a public option before the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5915/will-us-aca-have-public-option-in-2021/	0
1121	If the UK leaves the EU, will there be a resurgence of the Troubles between Ireland and Northern Ireland?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2586/if-the-uk-leaves-the-eu-will-there-be-a-resurgence-of-the-troubles-between-ireland-and-northern-ireland/	0
1122	Will VR or AR Headsets dominate by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/579/will-vr-or-ar-headsets-dominate-by-2025/	0
1123	Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5712/biden-2024-re-nomination/	0
1124	If you fall and can't get up, when will there be a friendly computer looking on to notice your predicament?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/548/if-you-fall-and-cant-get-up-when-will-there-be-a-friendly-computer-to-hear-you/	0
1125	How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6140/how-much-money-will-givewell-move-in-2031/	0
1126	By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6438/will-joe-biden-run-for-reelection/	0
1127	How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7326/open-phil-donations-2025/	0
1128	How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7247/customer-base-of-ai-assistants-in-2025/	0
1129	What will the total capacity of large-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7081/carbon-capture-and-storage-potential-in-2030/	0
1130	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will be based in the United States in the November 2022 publication of TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6514/percentage-in-us-in-top500-2023/	0
1131	Will Italy leave the Eurozone before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4121/will-italy-leave-the-eurozone-before-2023/	0
1132	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2021 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6232/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-21/	0
1133	When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2799/when-will-the-collatz-conjecture-be-resolved/	0
1134	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6157/ai-safety--other-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1135	Will Rep. Matt Gaetz leave the US House of Representatives before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6965/rep-matt-gaetz-leaves-congress-by-2023/	0
1136	Longbets series: Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom by 2050.	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4894/longbets-series-will-slaughterhouses-be-banned-in-the-united-kingdom-by-2050/	0
1137	When will L5 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3729/when-will-l5-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1138	What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4215/what-will-be-the-real-world-gdp-on-the-year-agi-is-deployed-in-trillions-of-dollars/	0
1139	Is the halting problem for the Collatz Program computable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2803/is-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-computable/	0
1140	When will the Open Philanthropy Project have donated a total of $7 billion of Good Ventures money?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4506/when-will-the-open-philanthropy-project-have-donated-a-total-of-7-billion-of-good-ventures-money/	0
1141	Will a functional Alcubierre drive-like FTL device be demonstrated before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6558/working-alcubierre-like-ftl-drive-by-2100/	0
1142	Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5749/covid-19-strain-that-circumvents-the-immunity/	0
1143	If a single-payer healthcare system is adopted in the United States, will healthcare spending go down as a fraction of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3657/if-a-single-payer-healthcare-system-is-adopted-in-the-united-states-will-healthcare-spending-go-down-as-a-fraction-of-gdp/	0
1144	Will the United States institute a military draft by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3469/will-the-united-states-institute-a-military-draft-by-2025/	0
1145	Robocup Challenge	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/397/robocup-challenge/	0
1146	What will the average vacancy rate for commercial real estate (i.e. multi-family, industrial, retail, and hotel) be in Q2 of 2021, in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5991/us-commercial-real-estate-vacancy-q2-2021/	0
1147	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3087/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-20-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1148	Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/614/will-there-be-a-vegan-country-by-2100/	0
1149	Will SpaceX test-launch the BFR before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/612/will-spacex-test-launch-the-bfr-before-2025/	0
1150	Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4863/will-project-vesta-still-exist-in-2030/	0
1151	When will commercial supersonic flight return?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/969/when-will-commercial-supersonic-flight-return/	0
1152	How much will the highest-paid dead celebrity earn in 2021, according to Forbes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7213/highest-paid-dead-celebrity-in-2021/	0
1153	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of? [stronger operationalization]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of-stronger-operationalization/	0
1154	Funds toward a Solar storm shield begun by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/569/solar-storm-shield-begun-by-2025/	0
1155	How many laws will be enacted during the 117th United States Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4895/how-many-laws-will-be-enacted-during-the-117th-united-states-congress/	0
1156	When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3816/when-will-the-first-evidence-of-extraterrestrial-life-be-discovered/	0
1157	What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3755/what-will-be-the-ratio-of-fatalities-to-total-estimated-infections-for-covid-19-by-the-end-of-2020/	0
1158	When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6494/when-will-the-r-hypothesis-be-resolved/	0
1159	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2023-02-14, in perplexity, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6569/sota-one-billion-word-2023-02-14/	0
1160	How much will the total U.S. plant-based foods market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3108/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-foods-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1161	When will L4 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3771/when-will-l4-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/	0
1162	When will Tesla self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5304/widely-available-tesla-self-driving-taxi/	0
1163	Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6776/will-ps5-outsell-nintendo-switch-in-2021/	0
1164	How much venture capital, private equity, and other non-exit capital will be invested in plant-based milk companies in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7047/2022-non-exit-investment-in-plant-based-milk/	0
1165	How many months till at least three, billion dollar clean meat valuations after the first such company is first valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3062/how-many-months-till-at-least-three-billion-dollar-clean-meat-valuations-after-the-first-such-company-is-first-valued-at--1bn/	0
1166	When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3840/when-will-nintendo-release-a-console-capable-of-4k-output/	0
1167	Will the next US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5882/2024-us-election-considered-fraudulent/	0
1168	What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3084/what-is-the-probability-that-gore-will-defeat-bush-in-the-2000-us-presidential-election/	0
1169	What will the Harvard admit rate be for the undergraduate class of 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3622/what-will-the-harvard-admit-rate-be-for-the-undergraduate-class-of-2029/	0
1170	Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/	0
1171	Will the Open Courts Act become law?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5884/pacer-to-become-free/	0
1172	When will an AI pass the laugh test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3020/when-will-an-ai-pass-the-laugh-test/	0
1173	How many publicly traded U.S.- or EU-based plant-based meat producers will be valued at $1bn or more on October 4th, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3120/how-many-publicly-traded-us-or-eu-based-plant-based-meat-producers-will-be-valued-at-1bn-or-more-on-october-4th-2023/	0
1174	What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3245/what-will-be-the-us-average-weekly-hours-of-all-employees-total-non-farm-private-in-october-2025/	0
1175	Will any sovereign government issue a formal apology for their treatment of farm animals by 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3772/will-any-sovereign-government-issue-a-formal-apology-for-their-treatment-of-farm-animals-by-2200/	0
1176	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6183/sota-imagenet-2022-01-14/	0
1177	What fraction of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3290/what-fraction-of-babies-born-in-the-us-in-2029-will-have-been-conceived-in-vitro/	0
1178	Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1644/will-a-von-neumann-probe-be-launched-before-2050/	0
1179	Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6663/will-miri-employ-researchers-in-2030/	0
1180	Before the end of 2024 will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated in a laboratory?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3682/health-agencies-to-claim-lab-escape-by-25/	0
1181	What will be the highest US debt-to-GDP ratio by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4679/what-will-be-the-highest-us-debt-to-gdp-ratio-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1182	What will be the longest uninterrupted stay in deep space at the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6695/the-longest-stay-in-deep-space-by-2051/	0
1183	When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1481/when-will-either-the-democratic-or-republican-party-in-the-us-cease-to-exist/	0
1184	When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4292/ai-masters-poohsticks/	0
1185	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6790/return-to-baseline-us-consumer-spending-2021/	0
1186	Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6423/trump-substacker-before-2024-election/	0
1187	Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3507/will-eqrx-get-at-least-one-drug-approved-by-the-fda-before-the-end-of-2030/	0
1188	When will it become possible to transplant organs without the recipient needing immunosuppressant drugs?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6963/transplants-without-immunosuppressants/	0
1189	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6526/nlp-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1190	How many hours will the average American employee work per week in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3054/how-many-hours-will-the-average-american-employee-work-per-week-in-2030/	0
1191	When will the next Qatari general election be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3830/when-will-the-next-qatari-general-election-be-held/	0
1192	When will Bitcoin lose its position as market dominant cryptocurrency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5205/bitcoins-market-dominant-cryptocurrency/	0
1193	Will Netanyahu be convicted by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5914/will-netanyahu-be-convicted-by-2022/	0
1194	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6571/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2026-12-14/	0
1195	What percentage of fish produced worldwide will be stunned prior to slaughter, in the first year in which credible estimates are published in the five year period starting in 2027	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3389/what-percentage-of-fish-produced-worldwide-will-be-stunned-prior-to-slaughter-in-the-first-year-in-which-credible-estimates-are-published-in-the-five-year-period-starting-in-2027/	0
1196	When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4364/when-will-the-us-national-debt-reach-50-trillion/	0
1197	What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5876/-of-us-gdp-spent-on-rd-in-2030/	0
1198	When will China officially cease to be a socialist state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6595/china-to-officially-cease-being-socialist/	0
1199	Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6456/ban-on-gassing-eu-pigs-by-2024/	0
1200	How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5531/us-supreme-court-members-in-2030/	0
1201	Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3647/longbets-series-by-2025-will-the-scientific-evidence-of-a-large-bi-pedal-great-ape-be-sufficient-to-convince-at-least-50-of-primatologists-that-a-yetibigfoot-like-creature-exists/	0
1202	Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5344/nobel-prize-for-string-theory-before-2050/	0
1203	When will the first human mission to Venus take place?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6703/date-of-first-human-visit-to-venus/	0
1204	When will Xi Jinping leave power in China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/955/when-will-xi-jinping-leave-power-in-china/	0
1205	How many research papers on cultivated meat will be published in 2022, according to Semantic Scholar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7043/new-cultivated-meat-publications-by-2022/	0
1206	Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1444/will-an-openly-lgbtq-person-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-by-2041/	0
1207	Will any Wirecard executive receive a custodial sentence for their involvement in the Wirecard collapse?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4826/will-any-wirecard-executive-receive-a-custodial-sentence-for-their-involvement-in-the-wirecard-collapse/	0
1208	How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3542/how-many-new-electric-vehicles-will-be-registered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1209	How much money will be donated to ACE in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6026/2021-donations-to-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
1210	When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5457/date-next-scotus-vacancy-arises/	0
1211	Will the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints allow same-sex marriage by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4924/will-the-church-of-jesus-christ-of-latter-day-saints-allow-same-sex-marriage-by-2030/	0
1212	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for November 2021, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6249/november-2021-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1213	Will Scotland vote to leave the UK in the next referendum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5029/will-scotland-vote-to-leave-the-uk-in-the-next-referendum/	0
1214	Will Mike Pence be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/953/will-mike-pence-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-in-2024/	0
1215	When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3202/when-will-beef-for-human-consumption-from-cattle-genetically-edited-to-carry-a-copy-of-the-sry-gene-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1216	What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5588/us-government-spending-to-gdp-for-2024/	0
1217	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2022, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6542/december-2022-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1218	What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3233/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-7th-assessment-report/	0
1219	When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3698/when-will-an-ai-achieve-a-98th-percentile-score-or-higher-in-a-mensa-admission-test/	0
1220	When will Varda successfully manufacture and sell its first product from space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6414/when-will-varda-sell-first-space-made-item/	0
1221	What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3104/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2029/	0
1222	What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3457/what-is-the-largest-amount-of-iron-that-will-be-used-to-fertilise-an-ocean-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2026/	0
1223	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6975/2025-donations-to-cause-prioritization/	0
1224	Will Roger Federer win another Grand Slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3071/will-roger-federer-win-another-grand-slam-title/	0
1225	Will the U.S. join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade pact in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5920/us-to-join-rcep-trade-pact-in-2021/	0
1226	Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6659/us-house-punishes-member-by-2022-09-03/	0
1227	How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7044/-cattle-culled-due-to-outbreak-in-2021-23/	0
1228	Will the World Series of Poker return to a live in-person format in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5138/will-the-world-series-of-poker-return-to-a-live-in-person-format-in-2021/	0
1229	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6107/the-precipice-amazon-ratings-1-1-2022/	0
1230	Will the world still have nuclear weapons through 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1477/will-the-world-still-have-nuclear-weapons-through-2075/	0
1231	Will chess be "weakly solved" by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/574/will-chess-be-weakly-solved-by-2035/	0
1232	How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4265/how-much-exercise-can-you-do-before-it-starts-to-take-more-time-than-it-adds-life/	0
1233	Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6306/2024-us-popular-vote-3rd-party-at-least-10/	0
1234	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6576/multi-modal-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2031-02-14/	0
1235	When will the next interstellar object be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6225/next-interstellar-object/	0
1236	When will a genetic change cease to trigger regulatory oversight for the approval of gene-edited animals used in meat production?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3139/when-will-a-genetic-change-cease-to-trigger-regulatory-oversight-for-the-approval-of-gene-edited-animals-used-in-meat-production/	0
1237	How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3478/how-many-patients-will-be-in-cryonic-suspension-at-the-cryonics-institute-in-2030/	0
1238	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6528/few-shot-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1239	How many subscribers will Netflix have by August 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/504/how-many-subscribers-will-netflix-have-by-2022/	0
1240	Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6031/more-transmissible-variant-to-infect-10m/	0
1241	When will the last member of our species, homo sapiens, be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1088/when-will-the-last-member-of-our-species-homo-sapiens-be-born/	0
1242	How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/	0
1243	Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3125/will-the-united-states-continue-to-be-among-the-20-countries-with-the-largest-deterioration-in-state-stability-over-the-2019-2029-period-according-to-the-fragile-states-index/	0
1244	Will there be a 9 foot tall human by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1061/will-there-be-a-9-foot-tall-human-by-2075/	0
1245	When will North Korea have a McDonald's?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2593/when-will-north-korea-have-a-mcdonalds/	0
1246	Will the Tennis be part of the 2044 Summer Olympics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6885/tennis-at-the-2044-olympics/	0
1247	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1500/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-either-human-made-climate-change-or-geoengineering/	0
1248	Will a large American city fully abolish their police department before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6725/large-american-city-to-abolish-police-by-2035/	0
1249	What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5300/revival-chance-at-alcor-vs-cryonics-institute/	0
1250	Will one of the verified oldest living persons in the world reach 120 years of age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/348/will-one-of-the-verified-oldest-living-persons-in-the-world-reach-120-years-old-by-the-23rd-of-march-2024/	0
1251	What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4032/what-will-unemployment-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
1252	Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/686/will-a-human-made-spaceship-enter-the-venusian-atmosphere-before-2030/	0
1253	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6191/sota-on-miniimagenet-at-2022-01-14/	0
1254	By 1 January 2067, medical interventions for healthy adults will have been shown to extend average lifespan by at least 25 years	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4429/by-1-january-2067-medical-interventions-for-healthy-adults-will-have-been-shown-to-extend-average-lifespan-by-at-least-25-years/	0
1255	When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1637/when-will-a-crewed-spacecraft-enter-interstellar-space-for-the-first-time/	0
1256	If DNA alterations continue to require approval by default, when will the FDA find at least ten genetically edited animals as safe to eat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3201/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-approval-by-default-when-will-the-fda-find-at-least-ten-genetically-edited-animals-as-safe-to-eat/	0
1257	How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5243/arab-league-normalized-relations-with-israel/	0
1258	Another hit by two Cat 4+ hurricanes in the same year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/557/another-hit-by-two-cat-4-hurricanes-in-the-same-year/	0
1259	Will Jair Bolsonaro be president of Brazil on 2023-01-02?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6359/bolsonaro-president-of-brazil-in-2023/	0
1260	When will Metaculus be linked to by 130 sites?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3275/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-130-sites/	0
1261	Will the world's richest person in 2033 have a net worth greater than that of John D. Rockefeller in 1913?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/899/will-the-worlds-richest-person-in-2033-have-a-net-worth-greater-than-that-of-john-d-rockefeller-in-1913/	0
1262	Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2606/ai-to-prompt-new-starcraft/	0
1263	How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4852/how-many-parameters-will-gpt-4-have-if-it-is-released-in-billions-of-parameters/	0
1264	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on Jan 14, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6194/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1265	If the federal minimum wage is $15 or greater at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6626/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-15/	0
1266	Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1457/will-angela-merkel-remain-chancellor-after-the-next-german-federal-elections/	0
1267	If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5407/starlink-largest-ipo-before-2030/	0
1268	Will humans go extinct by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/578/human-extinction-by-2100/	0
1269	Will the 117th United States Senate change the filibuster rules during its session?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6910/will-the-us-senate-change-the-filibuster/	0
1270	How many DC charging stations will Boulder, CO have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5827/dc-charging-stations-in-boulder-co-by-2021/	0
1271	When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between racial groups labeled 'black' and 'white' by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6064/us-black-white-unemployment-parity/	0
1272	When will the next man win his 10th tennis slam title?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6888/10-grand-slam-winner/	0
1273	Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5118/will-robin-hanson-win-a-bet-that-the-gpt-line-of-language-models-will-generate--1bn-in-customer-revenue-by-2025/	0
1274	What will the unemployment rate be for German law degree holders in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5987/unemployment-rate-for-german-lawyers-in-2025/	0
1275	Is the Collatz Conjecture true?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2802/is-the-collatz-conjecture-true/	0
1276	Will there be an breakaway European Soccer League match before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7072/breakaway-soccer-league-by-2030/	0
1277	When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4449/when-will-global-ipv4-traffic-account-for-less-than-1-of-total-internet-traffic/	0
1278	Will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/607/will-it-cost-less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key-from-a-2048-bits-pgp-public-key-in-2030/	0
1279	How long would humanity take to rebound from a global catastrophe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4511/how-long-would-humanity-take-to-rebound-from-a-global-catastrophe/	0
1280	Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4456/will-the-united-states-test-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2023/	0
1281	Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3777/will-reducing-wild-animal-suffering-be-a-mainstream-moral-issue-in-america-before-2200/	0
1282	What will be the EU's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7011/eu-gdp-in-2025/	0
1283	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2024-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5946/sota-on-imagenet-on-2024-06-14/	0
1284	When will a human with no biological feet run 100 meters in less than 9.572 seconds?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4986/when-will-a-human-with-no-biological-feet-run-100-meters-in-less-than-9572-seconds/	0
1285	How many geoengineering international treaties will be listed on the World Legal Information Institute's database at the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3535/how-many-geoengineering-international-treaties-will-be-listed-on-the-world-legal-information-institutes-database-at-the-end-of-2024/	0
1286	Will the 2022 FIFA World Cup go ahead in Qatar?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/490/will-the-2022-fifa-world-cup-go-ahead-in-qatar/	0
1287	The End of NAFTA?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/573/the-end-of-nafta/	0
1288	If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4644/if-labour-wins-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/	0
1289	Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4923/will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-by-ai/	0
1290	Will our current peace be shorter than the Pax Romana?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/610/will-our-current-peace-be-shorter-than-the-pax-romana/	0
1291	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6513/sum-of-performance-supercomputers-nov-2022/	0
1292	When will the next human being walk on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/649/when-will-the-next-human-being-walk-on-the-moon/	0
1293	Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6792/peace-in-yemen-in-2021/	0
1294	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6641/scotus-vacancy-to-arise-in-2021/	0
1295	When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5773/united-states-covid-herd-immunity-230m-date/	0
1296	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6300/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2027-01-01/	0
1297	What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5921/net-migration-to-uk-in-2021/	0
1298	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6184/sota-on-squad20-2022-01-14/	0
1299	How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4912/how-many-of-the-priority-paths-identified-by-80000hours-will-still-be-priority-paths-in-2030/	0
1300	Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3241/will-the-iau-rework-its-definition-of-planetary-status-by-jan-1-2025/	0
1301	On December 1st, 2023 how many companies worldwide will pledge uphold GAP standards for broiler chickens raised for meat?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3422/on-december-1st-2023-how-many-companies-worldwide-will-pledge-uphold-gap-standards-for-broiler-chickens-raised-for-meat/	0
1302	When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4877/when-will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-be-open-sourced-including-for-commercial-use/	0
1303	Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6615/alcor-to-go-bankrupt-before-reviving-people/	0
1304	When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4966/when-will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-sell-and-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-into-general-consumers/	0
1305	How many DALYs will be caused by outdoor air pollution in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5025/how-many-dalys-will-be-caused-by-outdoor-air-pollution-in-2030/	0
1306	In December 2025, what will UK total national debt (excluding public sector banks) be as a percentage of GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6628/uk-national-debt-as-a--of-gdp-dec-2025/	0
1307	What annual real return will the global stock market realize 2022-2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4585/what-annual-real-return-will-the-global-stock-market-realize-2022-2031/	0
1308	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6564/sota-on-cityscapes-2023-02-14/	0
1309	When will the United States admit a new state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3618/when-will-the-united-states-admit-a-new-state/	0
1310	When will the fraction of English books that mention"Deep Learning" peak, over the 2021 to 2045 period (inclusive)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7111/when-will-peak-deep-learning-be/	0
1311	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2030-01-01 in trillions USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6584/alphabet-incs-market-cap-2030/	0
1312	Will Yang get 200k donors or more in the 2024 US presidential race?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3689/will-yang-get-200k-donors-or-more-in-the-2024-us-presidential-race/	0
1313	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3081/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-20-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1314	In the year 2028, how many tonnes of insect protein will be used as animal feed for livestock, poultry and fish in Europe?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3421/in-the-year-2028-how-many-tonnes-of-insect-protein-will-be-used-as-animal-feed-for-livestock-poultry-and-fish-in-europe/	0
1315	When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3192/when-will-the-milk-of-cows-whose-dna-is-intentionally-altered-to-be-hornless-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/	0
1316	When will the world have reached peak Facebook?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1632/when-will-the-world-have-reached-peak-facebook/	0
1317	When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4232/when-will-ai-out-perform-humans-on-argument-reasoning-tasks/	0
1318	Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4229/will-the-number-of-foreign-nationals-in-mainland-china-fall-between-2010-and-2030/	0
1319	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5208/us-canada-border/	0
1320	In which month will there first be 20,000 new papers submitted to the arXiv?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/952/in-which-month-will-there-first-be-20000-new-papers-submitted-to-the-arxiv/	0
1321	Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2773/will-nigel-farage-become-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-before-2023/	0
1322	Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2632/will-nigerias-population-exceed-400-million-before-2050/	0
1323	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4968/what-will-be-the-gini-coefficient-for-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
1324	Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4946/will-antifa-officially-be-labeled-a-terrorist-group-in-the-us-before-2022/	0
1325	How much solar energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3653/how-much-solar-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1326	When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3522/when-will-the-doomsday-clock-reach-midnight/	0
1327	Will Half-Life 3 come out during Gabe Newell's lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1429/will-half-life-3-come-out-during-gabe-newells-lifetime/	0
1328	When will The Economist rank Russia as a Democracy in its Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6497/russia-ranked-democracy-in-economists-index/	0
1329	What will US house prices be at the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5780/real-us-house-prices-in-2021/	0
1330	What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5546/success-rate-for-national-carbon-neutrality/	0
1331	If and when this graph is extended to 10^14 parameter models trained on 10^14 elapsed tokens of similar-quality data, will the 10^14 parameter learning curve have slowed down substantially?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6939/will-gpt-3-scaling-plateau-in--3-ooms/	0
1332	Will the significant discrepancies in Hubble parameter determinations be resolved by 2030 within the ΛCDM standard cosmological model?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3021/will-the-significant-discrepancies-in-hubble-parameter-determinations-be-resolved-by-2030-within-the-%25CE%25BBcdm-standard-cosmological-model/	0
1333	What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1628/what-will-be-the-longest-verified-human-lifespan-on-record-on-january-1-2050/	0
1334	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will MDMA be approved for the treatment of PTSD by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1384/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-mdma-be-approved-for-the-treatment-of-ptsd-by-2025/	0
1335	What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5000/what-will-denmark-rank-in-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/	0
1336	What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3095/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2028/	0
1337	What will be the sentiment of Metaculus users with regard to self-resolving questions at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4057/what-will-be-the-sentiment-of-metaculus-users-with-regard-to-self-resolving-questions-at-the-end-of-2022/	0
1338	How many State of AI Report 2020 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2021 report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5353/correct-state-of-ai-report-2020-predictions/	0
1339	Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6049/time-person-of-the-year-is-us-president-elect/	0
1340	In 2025, what percent of Australia's Liberal parliamentarians will be women?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6464/female-liberal-mps-in-australia-in-2025/	0
1341	Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/228/will-a-species-extinct-for--1000-years-be-brought-back-by-2025/	0
1342	What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6686/astr-market-cap-two-weeks-after-going-public/	0
1343	Will Germany make use of its Emergency Acts in light of COVID-19?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3863/will-germany-make-use-of-its-emergency-acts-in-light-of-covid-19/	0
1344	Will lossless compression fail to be accepted as a macrosociology model selection criterion?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3215/will-lossless-compression-fail-to-be-accepted-as-a-macrosociology-model-selection-criterion/	0
1345	What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6165/number-of-us-covid-deaths-if-50-vaccinated/	0
1346	Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4319/longbets-series-by-2040-will-the-percentage-of-college-aged-us-citizens-who-are-attending-postsecondary-educational-institutions-in-the-united-states-drop-at-least-50-from-the-level-in-2011/	0
1347	A major United States earthquake by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/570/a-major-united-states-earthquake-within-the-next-five-years/	0
1348	When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/469/when-will-virgin-galactics-first-paid-flight-occur/	0
1349	When will the first clean meat company be valued at ≥ $1bn?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3060/when-will-the-first-clean-meat-company-be-valued-at--1bn/	0
1350	When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4209/when-will-a-human-chess-player-reach-a-fide-rating-of-2900/	0
1351	How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5576/current-species-of-pangolin-remaining-in-2050/	0
1352	Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3912/will-a-recession-cause-suicides-by-the-thousands/	0
1353	Bitcoin Lightning Network Capacity in BTC on 2021-Aug-25	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3063/bitcoin-lightning-network-capacity-in-btc-on-2021-aug-25/	0
1354	PhilPapers survey mini-series: Biological-ness of race	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3432/philpapers-survey-mini-series-biological-ness-of-race/	0
1355	Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6047/1m-lost-in-prediction-market/	0
1356	Will the Kármán Line be changed before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1683/will-the-k%25C3%25A1rm%25C3%25A1n-line-be-changed-before-2023/	0
1357	Is non-theism (atheists and agnostics) growing globally?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1552/is-non-theism-atheists-and-agnostics-growing-globally/	0
1358	Will FreeTON cryptocurrency project be successful?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4934/will-freeton-cryptocurrency-project-be-successful/	0
1359	Will mixed doubles be a fixture at all four slams in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7010/mixed-doubles-at-all-slams-in-2040/	0
1360	Will the USD still reign supreme by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3858/will-the-usd-still-reign-supreme-by-2050/	0
1361	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to January 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6572/change-in-automation-dec-20-jan-30/	0
1362	Will China's internment camps for Uyghurs remain open on 2022-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6810/uyghur-internment-camps-open-by-2022/	0
1363	When will 5,000 companies worldwide pledge to remove cages from their egg supply chains?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3381/when-will-5000-companies-worldwide-pledge-to-remove-cages-from-their-egg-supply-chains/	0
1364	When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2769/when-will-the-first-successful-entirely-artificial-extracorporeal-human-pregnancy-conclude/	0
1365	Longbets series: By 2029 will a computer have passed the Turing Test?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/longbets-series-by-2029-will-a-computer-have-passed-the-turing-test/	0
1366	When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3326/when-will-most-eggs-produced-in-the-usa-be-sexed-before-hatching/	0
1367	Will the key to any pre-2020 WikiLeaks insurance file be publicly available by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3749/will-the-key-to-any-pre-2020-wikileaks-insurance-file-be-publicly-available-by-2030/	0
1368	When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7033/hashing-with-biocomputers/	0
1369	How many countries will allow 17 year olds to vote in 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6327/youth-voting-around-the-world-in-2026/	0
1370	When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5761/next-scottish-indepedence-referendum/	0
1371	Will Extinction Rebellion, or a splinter group, be declared a terrorist organisation by a G7 country before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3118/will-extinction-rebellion-or-a-splinter-group-be-declared-a-terrorist-organisation-by-a-g7-country-before-2025/	0
1372	What will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5159/when-will-economic-growth-accelerate/	0
1373	Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6158/fluvoxamine-to-get-eua-for-covid-in-us/	0
1374	How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3619/how-many-nations-will-there-be-in-the-united-nations-by-2050/	0
1375	When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6689/skyroot-aerospace-successful-satellite-launch/	0
1376	Will Metaculus exist in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/841/will-metaculus-exist-in-2030/	0
1377	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2027, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3065/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2027-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1378	Will Elon Musk personally set foot on the moon by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5885/will-elon-musk-walk-on-the-moon-by-2030/	0
1379	Will China land the next person on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5832/china-to-land-the-next-person-on-the-moon/	0
1380	What will be the heaviest payload put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service at start of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1620/what-will-be-the-heaviest-payload-put-into-leo-by-a-launch-vehicle-that-is-in-service-at-start-of-2050/	0
1381	What will be the real median household income in the United States in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4967/what-will-be-the-real-median-household-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/	0
1382	When will Blue Origin send a paying customer to space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4841/when-will-blue-origin-send-a-paying-customer-to-space/	0
1383	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, on 2023-02-14 in box average precision (box AP) amongst all models?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6566/sota-on-ms-coco-2023-02-14/	0
1384	Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5158/will-kyle-rittenhouse-be-convicted-of-first-degree-intentional-homicide/	0
1385	When will a spacecraft overtake Voyager-1 in distance from the Sun?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/653/when-will-a-spacecraft-overtake-voyager-1-in-distance-from-the-sun/	0
1386	How many people will be estimated to have died of famine in Yemen before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2523/how-many-people-will-be-estimated-to-have-died-of-famine-in-yemen-before-2022/	0
1387	In 2024, what percentage of surveyed Americans will report say that conflicts between Democrats and Republicans are "very strong"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4608/in-2024-what-percentage-of-surveyed-americans-will-report-say-that-conflicts-between-democrats-and-republicans-are-very-strong/	0
1388	When will the Flamanville EPR be finished?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2589/when-will-the-flamanville-epr-be-finished/	0
1389	How many migrants will die in 2022 trying to cross the Mediterranean?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6891/migrant-deaths-in-the-mediterranean-in-2022/	0
1390	If Joe Biden becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3806/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-be-the-yearly-co2-emissions-per-capita-in-the-us-in-2024/	0
1391	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6325/us-below-100-covid-deaths-per-day/	0
1392	When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3399/when-will-the-last-metaculus-question-resolution-occur/	0
1393	Will the Russian government introduce a tax on childlessness prior to the 2024 presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5427/tax-on-childlessness-in-russia-before-2024/	0
1394	In 2029, how many small firearms per capita will there be in the USA, according to the Small Arms Survey?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3019/in-2029-how-many-small-firearms-per-capita-will-there-be-in-the-usa-according-to-the-small-arms-survey/	0
1395	When will zettascale computing be achieved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6353/zettascale-computing-when/	0
1396	When, if ever, will 17 year olds vote in the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6326/17-year-old-suffrage-in-the-us/	0
1397	Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4051/will-alcor-offer-the-use-of-a-fixative-during-cryopreservation-procedures-before-2030/	0
1398	Are we in a simulated reality? Part II	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/280/are-we-in-a-simulated-reality-part-ii/	0
1399	By January 1st, 2026 what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training by an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6559/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1400	Will humanity use a gene drive to wipe at least one species of mosquito off the face of the Earth by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1044/will-humanity-use-a-gene-drive-to-wipe-at-least-one-species-of-mosquito-off-the-face-of-the-earth-by-2100/	0
1401	If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4997/a-stock-price-rise-preceding-agi/	0
1402	Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3244/will-robert-caros-fifth-and-final-volume-of-his-lyndon-johnson-biography-be-published-during-his-lifetime/	0
1403	Will a geoengineering act of Congress become US federal law by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3528/will-a-geoengineering-act-of-congress-become-us-federal-law-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1404	When will Waymo self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5306/widely-available-waymo-self-driving-taxi/	0
1405	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 6%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6002/gwp-growth-to-exceed-6/	0
1406	Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5540/scotus-impeachment-before-2030/	0
1407	Will the (English speaking) world be happier in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5552/will-2021-be-a-happier-year-than-2020/	0
1408	Will the impact of the Effective Altruism movement be picked up by Google Trends in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1591/will-the-impact-of-the-effective-altruism-movement-be-picked-up-by-google-trends-in-2030/	0
1409	Are we on path for IPCC's 'middle-of-the-road' scenario for the deployment of renewables?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3665/are-we-on-path-for-ipccs-middle-of-the-road-scenario-for-the-deployment-of-renewables/	0
1410	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on January 1, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6574/top-gpu-price-performance-2030/	0
1411	For the calendar year 2021, will peak monthly US unemployment occur within Q1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5995/will-us-peak-unemployment-in-2021-be-in-q1/	0
1412	Will it once again be possible to travel between London and New York City by any commercially available means in under three hours by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1642/will-it-once-again-be-possible-to-travel-between-london-and-new-york-city-by-any-commercially-available-means-in-under-three-hours-by-2030/	0
1413	When will >100 patients have had part of their tooth, tooth enamel, or root canal regenerated by stem cell therapy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3509/when-will-100-patients-have-had-part-of-their-tooth-tooth-enamel-or-root-canal-regenerated-by-stem-cell-therapy/	0
1414	Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4876/will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-trained-to-do-external-information-retrieval-exist-before-2023/	0
1415	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q1 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6931/aus-public-sector-wpi--change-for-q1-2021/	0
1416	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3520/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2020-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1417	When will most eggs produced in the EU be sexed before hatching?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6457/when-will-most-eu-eggs-be-sexed/	0
1418	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2023-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6527/rl-e-prints-2021-02-14-to-2023-02-14/	0
1419	When will USA's GDP per capita (PPP) fall out of the world top 20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6362/usa-drop-out-of-world-top-20-gdpc/	0
1420	What will be the average daily supply of consumer motor gasoline in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5679/avg-daily-supply-motor-gasoline-2025/	0
1421	Will the Dai stablecoin maintain a value of roughly $1 until July 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3431/will-the-dai-stablecoin-maintain-a-value-of-roughly-1-until-july-2023/	0
1422	How much will High Impact Athletes have donated by the end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6003/total-donated-by-hia-athletes-by-end-of-2021/	0
1423	Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5415/nk-launches-icbm-again-before-2022/	0
1424	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5558/squad20-perfomance-2022/	0
1425	When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3034/when-will-the-first-human-baby-from-stem-cell-derived-gametes-be-born/	0
1426	Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2599/will-any-of-the-20-most-valuable-public-companies-in-the-united-states-as-of-january-2019-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-2025/	0
1427	Will the US supreme court change size by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3617/will-the-us-supreme-court-change-size-by-2050/	0
1428	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for January 2030, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6304/us-semiconductor-fab-capacity-jan-2030/	0
1429	When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6536/2020-philpapers-survey-results-date/	0
1430	World Population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2100/	0
1431	How many nuclear weapons will exist on 2075-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6077/number-of-nuclear-weapons-2075/	0
1432	Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5730/biden-net-approval-5-through-20-july-2021/	0
1433	How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4230/how-many-countries-will-at-least-in-some-form-decriminalize-possession-of-all-schedule-i-drugs-for-personal-use-by-2070/	0
1434	Will EU Member States or the Members of the European Parliament reject the ratification of EU-Mercosur agreement in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6459/eu-mercosur-trade-deal-rejected-in-2021/	0
1435	When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4360/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-japanese-passenger-car-fleet/	0
1436	If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2805/if-there-is-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
1437	What will be Donald Trump's net worth in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5666/donald-trumps-net-worth-in-2024/	0
1438	Will the European Commission or other EU institution net borrow more than €50bn in 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6994/european-commission-to-borrow-50bn-in-2027/	0
1439	When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6501/when-will-us-pass-1-million-covid-deaths/	0
1440	Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1646/will-the-human-condition-change-fundamentally-before-2100/	0
1441	Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1339/drakes-equation-3rd-parameter-n_e/	0
1442	If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in white winning?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/480/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-white-winning/	0
1443	What will the World's GDP be in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1574/what-will-the-worlds-gdp-be-in-2028/	0
1444	Will there be a prominent platform for facilitating dominant assurance contracts before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6723/dominant-assurance-contract-venture-by-2035/	0
1445	Will the U.S. get rid of the penny by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/685/will-the-us-get-rid-of-the-penny-by-2025/	0
1446	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6154/sota-one-billion-words-2022-01-14/	0
1447	Assuming some humans are alive, what will be the birthdate of the oldest living human on January 1st 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4110/assuming-some-humans-are-alive-what-will-be-the-birthdate-of-the-oldest-living-human-on-january-1st-2200/	0
1448	By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5680/co2-emission-change-from-transport-2020-25/	0
1449	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6577/it--comms-sector-weighting-2030-01-01/	0
1450	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6585/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2030/	0
1451	Will Germany overtake the US in the share of new EV registrations by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5577/germany-to-overtake-us-in-ev-registrations/	0
1452	Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6025/diversity-debacle-amongst-animal-advocates/	0
1453	When will a performer win a 4th Oscar for Acting?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6982/date-next-performer-wins-4th-oscar/	0
1454	Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1321/will-ray-kurzweil-be-proven-right/	0
1455	What will be Trump's first retrospective job approval rating?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6654/trump-retrospective-job-approval/	0
1456	Which image classification benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5492/most-popular-img-classification-benchmark-22/	0
1457	Increased off-world population in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/594/off-world-population-in-2050/	0
1458	How many cents will it cost a typical consumer in the United States to store 10 GB of data on January 1st 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4048/how-many-cents-will-it-cost-a-typical-consumer-in-the-united-states-to-store-10-gb-of-data-on-january-1st-2025/	0
1459	Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1585/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-nuclear-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1460	Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/915/will-we-discover-clear-evidence-of-proton-decay-by-2040/	0
1461	When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4921/when-will-charity-entrepreneurship-help-create-a-new-givewell-top-charity/	0
1462	What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5639/max-excess-death-score-for-greece-2020-2021/	0
1463	What will the average growth rate be, of total renewable energy produced worldwide, over the 2020 to 2022 period (inclusive)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3582/growth-rate-total-renewables-2020-to-2022/	0
1464	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6298/cv-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1465	When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3335/when-will-a-major-us-supermarket-sell-no-kill-eggs-in-at-least-25-states/	0
1466	Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by 31st December 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6660/street-by-street-voting-on-uk-zoning-laws/	0
1467	What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6066/us-federal-budget-for-medicare-in-2024/	0
1468	When will humans be able to capture water from volatile sources in the inner Solar System?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5644/long-term-h20-capture-in-inner-solar-system/	0
1469	When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/	0
1470	Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4873/will-openai-reach-its-profit-cap-for-the-first-round-of-investors-by-2035/	0
1471	Will we detect a message originating from Luyten's Star before 2046?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/606/luytens-star-message-detected-before-2046/	0
1472	Any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1002/any-progress-in-human-lifespan-enhancement-by-2100/	0
1473	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5955/alphabet-incs-market-cap-on-2026-12-14/	0
1474	Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20th, 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6313/conservative-scotus-majority-to-recede/	0
1475	When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3743/when-will-the-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-moving-average-first-exceed-13c-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period/	0
1476	When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $75 per kilowatt hour?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3591/ev-battery-storage-costs/	0
1477	Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5683/who-will-produce-the-most-lithium-by-2030/	0
1478	Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/254/pandemic-series-a-significant-bioterror-attack-by-2020/	0
1479	What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by CarbonCure in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4859/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-carboncure-in-2030/	0
1480	When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6592/when-will-a-country-reach-escape-velocity/	0
1481	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3388/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegan-diet-in-2028/	0
1482	A S&P500 tech boom to surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2645/tech-boom-beyond-dotcom-bubble-before-2025/	0
1483	How many DC charging stations will Orlando, FL have by the end 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5828/dc-charging-stations-in-orlando-fl-in-2021/	0
1484	Will the US per capita productivity rate of science Nobel Prizes fall below that of Germany by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1554/will-the-us-per-capita-productivity-rate-of-science-nobel-prizes-fall-below-that-of-germany-by-2025/	0
1485	Will any state impose a state-wide soda tax by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1043/will-any-state-impose-a-state-wide-soda-tax-by-2025/	0
1486	How many deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections in the US in the year 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2942/how-many-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-in-the-us-in-the-year-2035/	0
1487	If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5128/if-no-human-challenge-trials-are-run-for-covid-19-before-february-5-2021-how-many-total-deaths-in-the-us-will-be-directly-attributed-to-covid-19-in-2021/	0
1488	When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4880/computer-as-author-in-annals-of-mathematics/	0
1489	What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6121/uk-index-of-economic-freedom-score-2025/	0
1490	When will the next fully autonomous car fatality occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/776/when-will-the-next-fully-autonomous-car-fatality-occur/	0
1491	What will the price of IGM be, on 2030-12-13, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6255/closing-price-igm-on-2030-12-13/	0
1492	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in China in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6775/gini-coeff-for-china-2030/	0
1493	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2026 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5949/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-2026/	0
1494	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6240/it-and-comms-weighting-in-sp500-2022-01-14/	0
1495	How many e-prints on AI Safety, interpretability or explainability will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-02-14 to 2031-02-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6586/ai-safety-e-prints-2021-02-14-2031-02-14/	0
1496	Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3332/will-james-bedford-be-revived-or-emulated-before-2200/	0
1497	Will oil consumption over the 2020-2025 period be lower than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4633/oil-consumption-rebounds-no-sooner-than-2026/	0
1498	Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1342/drakes-equation-6th-parameter-f_c/	0
1499	Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1348/will-a-mission-to-land-a-spacecraft-on-europa-launch-by-2030/	0
1500	The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1600/the-top500s-total-sum-in-2030-as-a-multiple-of-the-total-sum-in-2015/	0
1501	Will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus before 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1688/will-russia-invade-or-annex-all-or-part-of-belarus-before-2022/	0
1502	What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6486/bitcoin-dominance-in-2025/	0
1503	At what point will at least ten technologies listed on "The Rejuvenation Roadmap" be released to the public?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3461/at-what-point-will-at-least-ten-technologies-listed-on-the-rejuvenation-roadmap-be-released-to-the-public/	0
1504	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6231/object-detection-index-2022-01-14/	0
1505	When will the the main tomb chamber of the mausoleum of Qin Shi Hua be opened?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6048/tomb-of-the-first-qin-emperor-opened/	0
1506	When will the first babies screened by Orchid Health be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7031/first-commercial-polygenic-embryo-screening/	0
1507	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Project Vesta in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4858/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-project-vesta-in-2030/	0
1508	When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4451/when-will-the-first-100-million-digit-prime-number-be-discovered/	0
1509	Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3531/will-the-star-betelgeuse-be-observed-to-go-supernova-before-2030/	0
1510	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6636/biden-eoy-approval-rating-to-exceed-500/	0
1511	If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/593/if-alien-life-is-discovered-in-the-solar-system-before-2050-which-place-will-be-the-natural-environment-of-the-first-extraterrestrial-solar-life-form-of-which-there-is-conclusive-evidence/	0
1512	Do humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1515/do-humans-have-functionally-important-neurogenesis-throughout-their-life/	0
1513	When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/363/will-a-fusion-based-electrical-generation-facility-generation-100-mw-or-more-using-only-fusion-as-an-energy-source-come-into-service-by-2030/	0
1514	Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the United States Food and Drug Administration before January 1 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1621/will-a-senolytic-therapy-be-approved-for-commercial-sale-by-the-united-states-food-and-drug-administration-before-january-1-2030/	0
1515	Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/495/reliable-automatic-coding-of-described-rules-by-2030/	0
1516	Will there be extraordinary or premature federal elections held in Germany before their next election cycle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1556/will-there-be-extraordinary-or-premature-federal-elections-held-in-germany-before-their-next-election-cycle/	0
1517	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6246/nlp-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2022-01-14/	0
1518	Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4969/will-someone-report-to-have-received-a-hemispherectomy-for-the-purpose-of-life-extension-before-2100/	0
1519	When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of C02 be lower than the same time in the previous year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4225/when-will-the-seasonally-adjusted-atmospheric-concentration-of-c02-be-lower-than-the-same-time-in-the-previous-year/	0
1520	When will 30 Kalshi markets be open to the general public for trading?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6855/when-will-kalshi-launch-30-markets/	0
1521	How many total unique visitors will download Debian package files from ROS.org in the year ending July 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3525/how-many-total-unique-visitors-will-download-debian-package-files-from-rosorg-in-the-year-ending-july-2021/	0
1522	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6770/first-reuse-of-a-starship-upper-stage/	0
1523	Will most protons that currently make up Earth (and you) eventually decay?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1535/will-most-protons-that-currently-make-up-earth-and-you-eventually-decay/	0
1524	When will there be at least one billion Americans?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6119/when-will-there-be-at-least-1bn-americans/	0
1525	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2022-01-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6182/sota-wikitext-103-2022-01-14/	0
1526	Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1568/will-we-detect-an-exoplanet-atmosphere-with-5-oxygen-atmosphere-by-2030/	0
1527	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions change from December 2020 to February 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6541/change-in-degree-of-automation-2020-2023/	0
1528	When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3086/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-80-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1529	How many billions of poultry will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030, according to FAO estimates?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3325/how-many-billions-of-poultry-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030-according-to-fao-estimates/	0
1530	Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4628/will-one-of-givewells-2019-top-charities-be-estimated-as-the-most-cost-effective-charity-in-2031/	0
1531	When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1654/when-will-the-average-survival-rate-of-all-cancers-exceed-75/	0
1532	Will Washington D.C. become a state before 2025-01-20?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6218/dc-statehood-before-before-2025-01-20/	0
1533	When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3866/when-will-a-currently-unknown-social-media-app-reach-one-billion-downloads-worldwide/	0
1534	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7096/fortifying-feed-for-hens-charity-in-2021/	0
1535	If Lesswrong holds a similar Petrov Day event in 2021, will the "red button" be pressed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5311/lesswrong-red-button-pressed-on-petrov-day/	0
1536	Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2713/will-there-be-more-people-with-hivaids-in-2037-than-in-2017/	0
1537	When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3882/when-will-humanity-use-more-than-one-millionth-of-the-suns-energy-output/	0
1538	Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4306/which-artemis-moon-mission-landing-system-will-first-land-a-person-on-the-moon/	0
1539	If the federal minimum wage is $10 or less at the end of 2024, what will the average employment-to-population ratio be in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6547/minimum-wage-impact-on-employment-0-10/	0
1540	Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/372/will-human-brain-emulation-be-the-first-successful-route-to-human-level-digital-intelligence/	0
1541	Will Tom Brady retire when his current contract is up?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3026/will-tom-brady-retire-when-his-current-contract-is-up/	0
1542	By the end of 2029, will the European Union require commercially farmed fish to be stunned before being slaughtered?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3371/by-the-end-of-2029-will-the-european-union-require-commercially-farmed-fish-to-be-stunned-before-being-slaughtered/	0
1543	Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3795/will-longevity-escape-velocity-follow-the-development-of-effective-life-extending-therapies/	0
1544	What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6432/us-q2-2021-gdp-growth-rate/	0
1545	Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6318/70-earthquake-east-mediterranean-in-2021/	0
1546	What will the maximum increase in global annual mean surface air temperature be, relative to the 1951-1980 base period, in the 2020 to 2023 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3701/what-will-the-maximum-increase-in-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-be-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period-in-the-2020-to-2023-period/	0
1547	When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3333/when-will-the-number-of-people-in-cryopreservation-preserved-before-2019-fall-to-less-than-50-of-the-current-value/	0
1548	Will the global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be in line with the pathway to limit warming to 2.0°C by mid-century, over the 2024 to 2027 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3742/will-the-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-in-line-with-the-pathway-to-limit-warming-to-20c-by-mid-century-over-the-2024-to-2027-period/	0
1549	Will Gladys Berejiklian cease to be Premier of NSW before the next state election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5883/gladys-berejiklians-premiership/	0
1550	When will North Korea become a democracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4439/when-will-north-korea-become-a-democracy/	0
1551	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by *The Economist* in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6101/number-of-full-democracies-in-2021/	0
1552	Does the extrasolar planet K2-18b host life?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3111/does-the-extrasolar-planet-k2-18b-host-life/	0
1553	How many emoji related court cases in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6361/emoji-court-cases-in-2021/	0
1554	Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3616/will-a-new-amendment-to-the-us-constitution-be-ratified-by-2050/	0
1555	How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5277/the-first-martian-crew-size/	0
1556	When will One Piece end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4963/when-will-one-piece-end/	0
1557	How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4332/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2031/	0
1558	Will Silvio Berlusconi become President of the Italian Republic by at the next presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6429/berlusconi-back-as-president-of-italy/	0
1559	If Joe Biden is elected president of the US in 2020, will the highest tax bracket be restored to its original 39.6% or higher before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5174/biden-restores-396-tax-bracket-before-2025/	0
1560	Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by the end of 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2937/will-the-number-of-deaths-from-antibiotic-resistant-infections-per-year-double-by-the-end-of-2025/	0
1561	What will the highest score of any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge be on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6570/sota-on-montezumas-revenge-2023-02-14/	0
1562	Will KIC 9832227 go "red nova" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/669/will-kic-9832227-go-supernova--observable-to-the-naked-eye-on-earth--by-2022/	0
1563	Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1343/drakes-equation-7th-parameter-l/	0
1564	What will be the monthly average number of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4970/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-number-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1565	PhilPapers survey mini-series: Consciousness of future AI systems	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3428/philpapers-survey-mini-series-consciousness-of-future-ai-systems/	0
1566	Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3393/will-dna-testing-vindicate-jeanne-calment-as-the-oldest-recorded-person-in-history/	0
1567	Will Randell Mills's Grand Unified Theory of Classical Physics Be Taken Seriously?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3216/will-randell-millss-grand-unified-theory-of-classical-physics-be-taken-seriously/	0
1568	How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally, in the calendar year 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3678/how-much-greenhouse-gas-will-be-emitted-globally-in-the-calendar-year-2030-in-gigatonnes-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-equivalent/	0
1569	A freer China? Chinese political rights and civil liberties in 2028	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1454/a-freer-china-chinese-political-rights-and-civil-liberties-in-2028/	0
1570	When will a country adopt Universal Basic Income?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2728/when-will-a-country-adopt-universal-basic-income/	0
1571	Will Restaurant Brands International cease sourcing pork in North America from suppliers that use gestation stalls by Jan 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6018/burger-king-to-cease-using-gestation-stalls/	0
1572	Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3445/will-kim-jong-un-still-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-north-korea-on-1-january-2022/	0
1573	Will a new land speed record be set by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3117/will-a-new-land-speed-record-be-set-by-2025/	0
1574	Will either a space elevator or a skyhook have transported payloads in excess of 10 metric tons by the end of 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3127/will-either-a-space-elevator-or-a-skyhook-have-transported-payloads-in-excess-of-10-metric-tons-by-the-end-of-2045/	0
1575	If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3023/if-there-is-a-biotechnological-or-bioengineered-organism-catastrophe-this-century-when-will-it-happen/	0
1576	How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1705/how-much-concern-about-climate-change-will-exist-in-2025-according-to-google-trends/	0
1577	What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at start of 2025? (In billion USD)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5446/total-market-cap-of-cryptocurrencies-2025/	0
1578	What will be the median age of an employed person in the US in 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6055/us-median-age-of-employed-person-by-2040/	0
1579	When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5852/date-when-lifespan-increases-075-yrsyr/	0
1580	What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7110/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2035/	0
1581	What will the median annual wage for Computer and Information Research Scientists be in the United states in 2029, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6256/median-wage-for-computer-scientists-2029/	0
1582	Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/513/will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-be-within-the-us/	0
1583	When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1435/when-will-the-longest-spaceflight-of-any-one-person-reach-5-years/	0
1584	When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3331/when-will-the-first-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-uploaded/	0
1585	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2026-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6228/sota-on-imagenet-2026-12-14/	0
1586	How much will the total U.S. plant-based milk market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3107/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-milk-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1587	When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3380/when-will-at-least-750-companies-pledge-to-maintain-a-supply-chain-consistent-with-the-current-basic-global-animal-partnership-standards-for-broiler-chickens-by-end-of-2030/	0
1588	If you die today and get cryonically frozen, will you "wake up"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/455/if-you-die-today-and-get-cryonically-frozen-will-you-wake-up/	0
1589	What will the the performance be of the top-performing supercomputer (in exaFLOPS) in the TOP500 be according to their November 2022 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6516/performance-of-top-supercomputer-nov-2022/	0
1590	When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6377/china-becomes-a-democracy/	0
1591	By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1459/by-2023-will-there-be-evidence-for-a-neurological-correlate-of-human-consciousness/	0
1592	Will an official diagnosis of dementia be announced for Joe Biden before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4906/will-an-official-diagnosis-of-dementia-be-announced-for-joe-biden-before-2023/	0
1593	When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's moon, or Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1619/when-will-the-first-manned-spacecraft-touch-the-surface-of-any-planet-dwarf-planet-or-moon-other-than-earth-earths-moon-or-mars/	0
1594	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6109/ea-donations-to-new-charities-in-2025/	0
1595	How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2944/how-many-predictions-will-have-been-made-on-metaculus-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1596	What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5958/it-as--of-gdp-in-q4-2030/	0
1597	What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4701/what-percentage-of-vehicles-on-us-roads-will-be-fully-electric-by-2030/	0
1598	Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3433/will-an-ocean-be-fertilised-with-at-least-50-tonnes-of-iron-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1599	While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4780/while-cryopreservation-using-fixatives-is-available-how-many-times-more-likely-will-someone-be-to-be-revived-by-2200-if-they-are-cryopreserved-using-fixatives-than-without/	0
1600	What will be the minimum magnetic field strength during Solar Cycle 25?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4974/what-will-be-the-minimum-magnetic-field-strength-during-solar-cycle-25/	0
1601	When will human beings finally drill into the Earth’s mantle?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/675/when-we-human-beings-finally-drill-into-the-earths-mantle/	0
1602	When will US domestic passenger air travel return to 80% of pre-COVID-19 volumes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4719/when-will-us-domestic-passenger-air-travel-return-to-80-of-pre-covid-19-volumes/	0
1603	What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3205/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-6th-assessment-report/	0
1604	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5899/ai-safety--other-2021-through-2026/	0
1605	Is the Zuma satellite still in orbit?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1618/is-the-zuma-satellite-still-in-orbit/	0
1606	Will the SOO Green Renewable Rail project succeed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2729/will-the-soo-green-renewable-rail-project-succeed/	0
1607	What proportion of COVID infections in England will be estimated to have been acquired in health care settings?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6010/england-proportion-of-hospital-acquired-covid/	0
1608	When will directly removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere be economically feasible?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4614/when-will-directly-removing-carbon-dioxide-from-the-atmosphere-be-economically-feasible/	0
1609	Will Stephen Wolfram or his co-authors, Jonathan Gorard and Max Piskunov, receive the Nobel prize in physics before the end of 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4224/will-stephen-wolfram-or-his-co-authors-jonathan-gorard-and-max-piskunov-receive-the-nobel-prize-in-physics-before-the-end-of-2035/	0
1610	When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of/	0
1611	How many Starlink satellites will be in operation at the end of 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3078/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-in-operation-at-the-end-of-2027/	0
1612	When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3136/when-will-a-bering-strait-crossing-be-completed/	0
1613	Will the Extremely Large Telescope see first light by the end of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1478/will-the-extremely-large-telescope-see-first-light-by-the-end-of-2024/	0
1614	Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1385/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-psilocybin-be-a-clinically-approved-treatment-for-end-of-life-anxiety-by-2027/	0
1615	Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6476/musks-roadster-visited-by-2050/	0
1616	Will Mohammed bin Salman become the next king of Saudi Arabia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1603/will-mohammed-bin-salman-become-the-next-king-of-saudi-arabia/	0
1617	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection  Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6252/object-detection-index-2026-12-14/	0
1618	What will be the Gini coefficient for income in India in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6773/gini-coeff-for-india-2030/	0
1619	What will US house prices be at the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5867/real-us-house-prices-in-2030/	0
1620	Will the next US recession turn into a depression?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4013/will-the-next-us-recession-turn-into-a-depression/	0
1621	How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6027/money-moved-by-animal-charity-evaluators/	0
1622	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/	0
1623	What will be the estimated population of blue whales on 2050-01-01?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6613/population-of-blue-whales-in-2050/	0
1624	How much wind energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3652/how-much-wind-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/	0
1625	Will big ISPs bundle website access in the post-net neutrality age?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1003/will-big-isps-bundle-website-access-in-the-post-net-neutrality-age/	0
1626	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to meta charities?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6976/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-meta-charities/	0
1627	Internationally recognized Kurdish state by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/566/internationally-recognized-kurdish-state-by-2030/	0
1628	When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2617/when-will-haiti-become-an-upper-middle-income-country/	0
1629	When will the global adult literacy rate reach 95%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2943/when-will-the-global-adult-literacy-rate-reach-95/	0
1630	What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1630/what-percentage-of-us-residents-will-be-aged-100-years-or-older-on-january-1-2050/	0
1631	When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4846/when-will-evidence-of-successful-synthesis-of-the-element-ununennium-be-published/	0
1632	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6977/ea-survey-2025-donations-to-animal-welfare/	0
1633	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6301/it-as--of-gdp-in-q3-2021/	0
1634	Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6008/united-stated-cdc-to-recommend-revaccination/	0
1635	When will another state provide 50% of the number of public charging outlets available in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5573/us-state-race-in-public-charging-outlets/	0
1636	What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5110/what-proportion-of-the-20-largest-chinese-corporations-revenue-will-be-state-owned-in-2035/	0
1637	By January 1st 2031, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6192/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2031-01-01/	0
1638	When will the VIX index climb above 50?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4834/when-will-the-vix-index-climb-above-50/	0
1639	Will a US consumer be unable to purchase a Cavendish banana at a major US grocery chain on 2029-12-31?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3386/will-a-us-consumer-be-unable-to-purchase-a-cavendish-banana-at-a-major-us-grocery-chain-on-2029-12-31/	0
1640	When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5648/1-gwp-off-earth/	0
1641	When will Apple announce the first computer that uses the second generation of their M-series processor (likely to be named the M2)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7078/apple-m2-release-date/	0
1642	What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3337/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-in-2028/	0
1643	Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5715/driverless-cars-available-in-las-vegas-2024/	0
1644	Will a total sum amounting to at least 10% of the money in all US DAFs be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4328/will-a-total-sum-amounting-to-at-least-10-of-the-money-in-all-us-dafs-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
1645	Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5039/will-the-eurozone-collapse-before-2030/	0
1646	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation of PASCAL-Context be on 2023-02-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%), amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6563/sota-on-pascal-context-on-2023-02-14/	0
1647	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1501/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nanotechnology-failure-mode/	0
1648	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2514/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-biological-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/	0
1649	What will be the monthly average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5043/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1650	What will be the mean expected lifespan gain from one year of the TRIIM-X trial, as measured by the epigenetic clock GrimAge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4231/what-will-be-the-mean-expected-lifespan-gain-from-one-year-of-the-triim-x-trial-as-measured-by-the-epigenetic-clock-grimage/	0
1651	What will be the USA's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7006/gdp-of-the-usa-for-2025/	0
1652	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6291/trump-family-indictments-in-2021/	0
1653	Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income introduced in any EU country before 2041?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2711/will-a-guaranteed-minimum-income-introduced-in-any-eu-country-before-2041/	0
1654	When will a fifth nation be able to launch people into space?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1431/when-will-a-fifth-nation-be-able-to-launch-people-into-space/	0
1655	When will commercial space launch be priced at less than $500/pound?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/462/when-will-commercial-space-launch-cost-less-then-500pound/	0
1656	What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5367/democracy-in-kyrgyzstan/	0
1657	Will a Science Fiction work originally written and published in Spanish by 2029 win any of the great international awards that recognize great authors in this genre?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4849/will-a-science-fiction-work-originally-written-and-published-in-spanish-by-2029-win-any-of-the-great-international-awards-that-recognize-great-authors-in-this-genre/	0
1658	When will there be a publicly listed clean fish company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3059/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-fish-company/	0
1659	Will there be a G4 EA H1N1 flu virus pandemic before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4763/will-there-be-a-g4-ea-h1n1-flu-virus-pandemic-before-2025/	0
1660	When will the first cloned human be born?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1537/when-will-the-first-cloned-human-be-born/	0
1661	Will there be another VEI level six (or higher) volcanic eruption on Earth before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2518/will-there-be-another-vei-level-six-or-higher-volcanic-eruption-on-earth-before-2025/	0
1662	Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6507/discovery-of-gravitational-wave-background/	0
1663	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5948/image-classification-index-2026-12-14/	0
1664	Will the incarceration rate in the US drop below 500 per 100,000 by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1534/will-the-incarceration-rate-in-the-us-drop-below-500-per-100000-by-2022/	0
1665	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6644/apple-to-fail-to-deliver-own-silicon-mac/	0
1666	Will McDonald's be the first top global QSR to feature a cultivated meat product on their menu (by 2026)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7056/will-mcdonalds-offer-cultivated-meat-first/	0
1667	What will USA's GDP/c growth rate be in 2020-2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6320/usas-gdpc-growth-in-2020-2029/	0
1668	When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5276/ai-competence-in-diverse-fields-of-expertise/	0
1669	Do the Others ever reach King's Landing? (According to A Song of Ice and Fire – the books, not the show)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/624/do-the-others-ever-reach-kings-landing/	0
1670	When will the first exaflop performer appear?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/415/when-will-the-first-exaflop-performer-appear/	0
1671	What will the price of IGM be, on 2023-02-14, in 2019 USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6543/closing-price-igm-on-2023-02-14/	0
1672	Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2611/will-synthetic-biological-weapons-infect-100-people-by-2030/	0
1673	What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3992/what-fraction-of-united-states-adults-will-be-vaccinated-against-the-20202021-seasonal-influenza/	0
1674	Who will win the 'worm wars'?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4919/who-will-win-the-worm-wars/	0
1675	Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/240/pandemic-series-a-significant-flu-pandemic-by-2025/	0
1676	Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?)	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/645/will-united-launch-alliancess-vulcan-rocket-fly-by-2023-aka-will-elon-musk-eat-his-hat-with-a-side-of-mustard/	0
1677	Will India have a successful crewed moon landing by end of 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5919/india-successful-crewed-moon-landing-by-2027/	0
1678	What % of money held in all US DAFs will be expropriated by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4584/what--of-money-held-in-all-us-dafs-will-be-expropriated-by-2100/	0
1679	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2024 to 2027 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3410/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2024-to-2027-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1680	What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Joe Biden is elected president?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4689/what-will-the-real-gdpcapita-of-the-usa-be-in-2024-if-joe-biden-is-elected-president/	0
1681	How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6126/quality-of-visual-cortex-implants-in-2030/	0
1682	What percentage of predictions about "robotic judges" in 2070 will Terence Mauri get right?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6680/terence-mauri-probably-not-a-superforecaster/	0
1683	In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6110/2025-ea-survey-donations-to-global-poverty/	0
1684	What will the Human Development Index of the world be in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5676/2020-world-hdi/	0
1685	When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/	0
1686	Balloons to the edge of space – when?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/441/balloons-to-the-edge-of-space--when/	0
1687	What will be the average percentage change in property and casualty insurance premiums in Q1 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5994/-change-in-pc-insurance-premiums-q1-2022/	0
1688	Will Moon Express have a successful harvest by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/945/will-moon-express-have-a-successful-harvest-by-2023/	0
1689	How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6175/number-of-united-states-presidents/	0
1690	When will the first O'Neill cylinder variant be completed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6706/construction-date-of-first-oneill-cylinder/	0
1691	What will be the value of the (herein described) "AI winter index" at end of 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/974/what-will-be-the-value-of-the-herein-described-ai-winter-index-at-end-of-2021/	0
1692	Will global CO2-equivalent emissions be greater in 2021 than in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6700/greater-global-carbon-emissions-in-2021/	0
1693	When will the mammoth be revived?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6499/when-will-the-mammoth-be-revived/	0
1694	What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will  United States-based in the June 2030 TOP500 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5950/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2030/	0
1695	What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3277/what-will-be-the-average-overall-global-health-security-index-score-for-2030/	0
1696	What will be India's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7004/gdp-of-india-for-2025/	0
1697	Will Brazil win the FIFA World Cup by the end of 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6197/brazil-fifa-world-cup-win-by-2050/	0
1698	When will Alexander Lukashenko leave power in Belarus?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6556/when-will-lukashenko-leave-power-in-belarus/	0
1699	What will be the greatest velocity attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1648/what-will-be-the-greatest-velocity-attained-by-a-human-made-spacecraft-before-2050/	0
1700	If and when the first whole human brain is successfully emulated, 
how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2822/if-and-when-the-first-whole-human-brain-is-successfully-emulated-how-much-will-1-hour-of-subjective-run-time-cost/	0
1701	When will the student loan debt bubble "pop"?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1085/when-will-the-student-loan-debt-bubble-pop/	0
1702	Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6597/bitcoin-as-payment-method-accepted-by-amazon/	0
1703	If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3867/if-there-is-a-ww3-what-longitude-will-it-start-in/	0
1704	How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6221/patients-at-chinese-cryonics-org-by-2026/	0
1705	Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA,  by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/211/stage-3-trials-of-mdma-as-a-medical-treatment/	0
1706	When will OpenAI unveil their secret AI project?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4043/when-will-openai-unveil-their-secret-ai-project/	0
1707	When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 10%?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5833/gwp-growth-to-exceed-10/	0
1708	Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3588/will-stacey-abrams-be-elected-president-in-or-before-the-2040-election/	0
1709	When will a clean meat flavoring product be approved for human consumption?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3239/when-will-a-clean-meat-flavoring-product-be-approved-for-human-consumption/	0
1710	Will ANY of the top 10 most popular baby names in the U.S. (as of 2018) still be in the top 10 in 2048?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1060/will-any-of-the-top-10-most-popular-baby-names-in-the-us-as-of-2018-still-be-in-the-top-10-in-2048/	0
1711	Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2577/will-scotland-leave-the-united-kingdom-before-2025/	0
1712	Will US income inequality increase by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1634/will-us-income-inequality-increase-by-2025/	0
1713	What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their June 2030 list?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6560/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-june-30/	0
1714	Will China be the World's largest economy in any year before 2040?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1579/will-china-be-the-worlds-largest-economy-in-any-year-before-2040/	0
1715	Does P = NP? Informally: If the solution to a problem is easy to check for correctness, must the problem be easy to solve?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1408/does-p--np-informally-if-the-solution-to-a-problem-is-easy-to-check-for-correctness-must-the-problem-be-easy-to-solve/	0
1716	How many biological humans will be alive on the 31st of December 2300, conditional on there being more than 500M?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2954/how-many-biological-humans-will-be-alive-on-the-31st-of-december-2300-conditional-on-there-being-more-than-500m/	0
1717	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7139/pr%25C3%25B3spera-population-in-2021/	0
1718	Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/980/will-tesla-become-the-largest-car-company-in-the-world-by-sales-prior-to-2035/	0
1719	When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2641/when-will-a-robot-poker-player-win-a-significant-live-not-online-competition/	0
1720	When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5206/amazon-drone-delivery/	0
1721	Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6781/congressmember-charged-in-capitol-riot-2021/	0
1722	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6440/sota-object-detection-on-ms-coco-2022-01-14/	0
1723	How far away will the closest known Black Hole lay in 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2771/how-far-away-will-the-closest-known-black-hole-lay-in-2031/	0
1724	Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4118/will-there-be-a-positive-transition-to-a-world-with-radically-smarter-than-human-artificial-intelligence/	0
1725	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6442/cd-projekt-cdr-and-the-climb-to-z%25C5%258246420/	0
1726	What will be the effective tax rate for a hypothetical 1 million dollar long-term capital gain in the United States on January 1st 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5261/tax-rate-for-a-million-dollar-capital-gain/	0
1727	What will be the WTI oil price in December 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5928/wti-oil-price-in-december-2021/	0
1728	Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before the end of its term on 31st October 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5431/will-the-eu-announce-by-2024-going-cage-free/	0
1729	How will Joe Biden rank among presidents?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5657/how-will-joe-biden-rank-among-presidents/	0
1730	Will 100 gigagrams of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3429/will-100-gigagrams-of-sulphur-be-injected-into-the-atmosphere-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/	0
1731	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on February 14, 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6518/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1732	Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4872/will-photonic-tensor-cores-be-ubiquitous-in-machine-learning-by-2030/	0
1733	Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1337/drakes-equation-1st-parameter-r/	0
1734	What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5301/a-city-exodus/	0
1735	When will the UK hold its next general election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6368/next-uk-general-election/	0
1736	Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/477/efficacy-confirmation-of-a-new-alzheimers-treatment-protocol/	0
1737	Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/968/will-cost-adjusted-it-technology-be-worse-than-it-was-8-years-32-quarters-ago-in-at-least-one-quarter-prior-to-2030/	0
1738	Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5166/chinese-uyghur-policy-support-by-2022/	0
1739	Will Moore's Law end by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/608/will-moores-law-end-by-2025/	0
1740	Fuel cells vs batteries in 2030's vehicles	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/552/fcevs-vs-bevs-what-percentage-of-the-global-electric-transportation-market-excluding-gasoline-hybrids-will-hydrogen-fuel-cell-electric-vehicles-fcevs-be-in-annual-sales-revenues-in-2030/	0
1741	Will China reach its NEV credit targets of 14% by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5574/china-to-reach-nev-14-credit-in-2021/	0
1742	When will there be an easily applied, reversible, male contraceptive (aka a male "pill") on the US market?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/507/when-will-there-be-a-reversible-male-contraceptive-aka-a-male-pill-on-the-us-market/	0
1743	When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4850/when-if-ever-will-a-manhattanapollo-project-toward-agi-be-launched/	0
1744	Resolution of the Density Conjecture for Newton's N-body problem	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/523/resolution-to-the-proximity-conjecture-for-dynamical-systems/	0
1745	By January 14 2022, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6148/maximum-compute-in-ai-experiment-2022-01-14/	0
1746	Will the Universe end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/161/will-the-universe-end/	0
1747	If DNA alterations continue to require FDA approval by default, how many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be determined as safe to eat, by the end of July 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3155/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-fda-approval-by-default-how-many-intentionally-genomic-dna-altered-animals-will-be-determined-as-safe-to-eat-by-the-end-of-july-2025/	0
1748	What will be the 5-day moving average of the 10.7 cm radio flux around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4981/what-will-be-the-5-day-moving-average-of-the-107-cm-radio-flux-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1749	Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4349/will-the-harvard-endowment-be-larger-in-2119-than-in-2019/	0
1750	What will the state-of-the-art language text-to-SQL performance on WikiSQL be on 2023-02-14 in logical form test accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6568/sota-on-wikisql-2023-02-14/	0
1751	When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5460/ai-rapidly-learning-to-play-a-simple-game/	0
1752	When will Uber electrify 50% of its fleet?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5537/uber-at-50-electric/	0
1753	When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3727/when-will-a-fusion-reactor-reach-ignition/	0
1754	How many billions of tons of CO₂ will the United States emit in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4951/how-many-billions-of-tons-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-will-the-united-states-emit-in-2035/	0
1755	What will Bitcoin's hash rate be in November 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6524/btc-hash-rate-november-2022/	0
1756	Democracy in Crisis: how many autocrats, strongmen and dictators in 2028?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1439/democracy-in-crisis-how-many-autocrats-strongmen-and-dictators-in-2028/	0
1757	By February 14 2023, what will be the maximum compute (measured in petaFLOPS-days), used in training in an AI experiment?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6517/maximum-compute-ai-experiment-by-2023/	0
1758	What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6374/release-date-of-1st-song-w-4b-spotify-plays/	0
1759	What will be the 3-day mean geomagnetic forecast around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4975/what-will-be-the-3-day-mean-geomagnetic-forecast-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/	0
1760	Will Donald Trump be elected president of the United States in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5717/will-trump-be-elected-potus-in-2024/	0
1761	Will the control problem be solved before the creation of Artificial General Intelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6509/safe-agi-on-arrival/	0
1762	How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4264/how-many-years-after-the-silver-turing-test-is-passed-will-an-agi-system-be-developed/	0
1763	When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2604/when-will-there-be-at-least-5-billion-internet-users/	0
1764	How much will be estimated to have been invested by VCs in U.S.-based plant-based meat startups, in millions of USD, in the calendar year 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3138/how-much-will-be-estimated-to-have-been-invested-by-vcs-in-us-based-plant-based-meat-startups-in-millions-of-usd-in-the-calendar-year-2022/	0
1765	If the James Webb Space Telescope is launched, will it succeed in transmitting cosmological data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1669/if-the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-launched-will-it-succeed-in-transmitting-cosmological-data/	0
1766	When will Solar Cycle 25 begin?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5042/when-will-solar-cycle-25-begin/	0
1767	What will North Korea's merchandise trade as a % of GDP be in 2045 per the most recent World Bank data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3833/what-will-north-koreas-merchandise-trade-as-a--of-gdp-be-in-2045-per-the-most-recent-world-bank-data/	0
1768	When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3338/when-will-hong-kong-stop-being-a-special-administrative-region-of-china/	0
1769	How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5892/ai-ethics-and-algo-bias-publications-2022/	0
1770	How many infections of SARS-CoV-2 (novel coronavirus) will be estimated to have occurred  worldwide, before 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3892/how-many-infections-of-sars-cov-2-novel-coronavirus-will-be-estimated-to-have-occurred-worldwide-before-2021/	0
1771	What is the Chandra X-Ray Observatory's remaining lifespan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1532/what-is-the-chandra-x-ray-observatorys-remaining-lifespan/	0
1772	When will there be a mile-high building?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/735/when-will-there-be-a-mile-high-building/	0
1773	Will someone run a marathon in less than 2 hours (per IAAF rules) by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1373/will-someone-run-a-marathon-in-less-than-2-hours-per-iaaf-rules-by-2023/	0
1774	Will most dark matter turn out to be primordial black holes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6608/black-holes-as-dark-matter/	0
1775	When will Graphcore become a publicly traded company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5694/when-will-graphcore-ipo/	0
1776	How much will an UberX tour of Europe cost in 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2792/how-much-will-an-uberx-tour-of-europe-cost-in-2024/	0
1777	What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3382/what-will-the-earliest-preservation-date-of-any-resuscitated-cryonics-patient-be/	0
1778	When there will be the first European trillion-dollar company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6251/the-first-european-trillion-dollar-company/	0
1779	Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/512/will-an-ai-system-do-credibly-well-on-a-full-math-sat-exam-by-2025/	0
1780	PhilPapers survey mini-series: Support for open borders	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3434/philpapers-survey-mini-series-support-for-open-borders/	0
1781	Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3645/longbets-series-by-2030-will-commercial-passengers-routinely-fly-in-pilotless-planes/	0
1782	What will be the total world military expenditure in 2021, as reported by SIPRI?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6436/world-military-expenditure-in-2021/	0
1783	What will be the total expenditures of the United Nations System in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4696/what-will-be-the-total-expenditures-of-the-united-nations-system-in-2050/	0
1784	When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3518/when-will-we-be-able-to-predict-at-least-10-of-variance-in-big-five-agreeableness-based-on-genetic-information-alone/	0
1785	When will the first whole human brain be successfully emulated?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2813/when-will-the-first-whole-human-brain-be-successfully-emulated/	0
1786	When will programs write programs for us?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/405/when-will-programs-write-programs-for-us/	0
1787	In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/424/in-what-year-will-half-of-new-cars-sold-in-the-us-be-fully-autonomous/	0
1788	When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6411/weride-autonomous-vehicle-testing-in-ca/	0
1789	When will the first driverless cargo truck make a cross-USA trip?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/413/when-will-the-first-driverless-cargo-truck-make-a-cross-usa-trip/	0
1790	When will American Metaculus users face an emigration crisis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5287/when-will-america-have-an-emigration-crisis/	0
1791	What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3521/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1792	Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4035/will-the-us-see-mass-price-controls-in-2021/	0
1793	Ragnarök Question Series: By 2100 will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1493/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-by-2100-will-the-human-population-decrease-by-at-least-10-during-any-period-of-5-years/	0
1794	What will the listing price of an Impossible Food's plant-based beef burger be, in a U.S.-based supermarket, in USD per kilo, in June, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3116/what-will-the-listing-price-of-an-impossible-foods-plant-based-beef-burger-be-in-a-us-based-supermarket-in-usd-per-kilo-in-june-2022/	0
1795	Will Tucker Carlson be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2024 US presidential election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5062/will-tucker-carlson-be-the-republican-presidential-nominee-in-2024-us-presidential-election/	0
1796	Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/957/donald-trump-spends-time-in-jail-or-prison/	0
1797	Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/255/pandemic-series-a-devastating-bioterror-attack-by-2025/	0
1798	How many billions of dollars of student loans will the US federal government forgive in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5809/federal-loan-forgiveness/	0
1799	What will be the median salary for Triplebyte engineers in the ML / Data Science role by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5561/triplebyte-ml-engineer-salary/	0
1800	What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on December 14, 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5951/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/	0
1801	If cryonics is at some point offered for free, what percentage of Americans will be signed up within 10 years?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4052/if-cryonics-is-at-some-point-offered-for-free-what-percentage-of-americans-will-be-signed-up-within-10-years/	0
1802	How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5682/new-ev-bus-registration-2025/	0
1803	PhilPapers survey mini-series: Immortality - would philosophers choose it?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3435/philpapers-survey-mini-series-immortality-would-philosophers-choose-it/	0
1804	Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5265/cdc-to-adopt-haes-by-2035/	0
1805	Will a space elevator successfully be built by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/917/will-a-space-elevator-successfully-be-built-by-2100/	0
1806	3.6°C global warming by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1539/36c-global-warming-by-2100/	0
1807	When will we have micropayments?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2592/when-will-we-have-micropayments/	0
1808	What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5640/max-excess-death-score-for-hungary-2020-2021/	0
1809	When will an AI achieve competency in the Atari classic Montezuma’s Revenge?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/486/when-will-an-ai-achieve-competency-in-the-atari-classic-montezumas-revenge/	0
1810	How many new electric bus registrations will Europe see in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5572/electric-bus-registrations-2021/	0
1811	Will any of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6691/1-of-great-britain-under-monarchy-in-2075/	0
1812	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2023-02-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6565/sota-one-shot-on-miniimagenet-2023-02-14/	0
1813	Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4524/will-the-us-conduct-a-nuclear-test-explosion-before-2030/	0
1814	When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3088/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-80-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/	0
1815	What will the total deal value be of all the US Private Equity deals in billions of US$, in 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4722/what-will-the-total-deal-value-be-of-all-the-us-private-equity-deals-in-billions-of-us-in-2020/	0
1816	Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5212/legacy-automaker-bankruptcy-before-2030/	0
1817	How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6311/biden-executive-orders-in-first-term/	0
1818	What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4857/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-climeworks-in-2030/	0
1819	When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4845/when-will-virtual-reality-headset-sales-exceed-10-million-units-per-year/	0
1820	Will Elon Musk (attempt to) go to Mars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1598/will-elon-musk-attempt-to-go-to-mars/	0
1821	Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2024?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2797/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2024/	0
1822	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1502/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-biotechnology-or-bioengineered-organisms/	0
1823	Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2619/will-there-be-an-openly-lgbt-pope-before-2050/	0
1824	Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1576/fewer-than-375m-in-extreme-poverty-by-2030/	0
1825	What will the average global atmospheric CO₂ concentration be, over the 2020-2021 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3237/what-will-the-average-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-be-over-the-2020-2021-period/	0
1826	If the US does not pursue nuclear disarmament, how many nuclear warheads will it have in 2029?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2820/if-the-us-does-not-pursue-nuclear-disarmament-how-many-nuclear-warheads-will-it-have-in-2029/	0
1827	When will 4 year old Russian chess prodigy, Misha Osipov, reach master level?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1045/when-will-4-year-old-russian-chess-prodigy-misha-osipov-reach-master-level/	0
1828	When will the average ticket price in US cinemas be $10 or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1428/when-will-the-average-ticket-price-in-us-cinemas-be-10-or-more/	0
1829	Manned Mars landing by 100th Apollo 11 anniversary?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/603/manned-mars-landing-by-100th-apollo-11-anniversary/	0
1830	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6302/sota-1-shot-on-miniimagenet-at-2024-12-14/	0
1831	When will the first genome-wide association study of more than 1 million African Americans be published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4459/when-will-the-first-genome-wide-association-study-of-more-than-1-million-african-americans-be-published/	0
1832	Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1494/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nuclear-war/	0
1833	When will Boris Johnson cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2959/when-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom/	0
1834	Will Chinese official real GDP numbers be revised downward by at least 5% before 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2670/will-chinese-official-real-gdp-numbers-be-revised-downward-by-at-least-5-before-2023/	0
1835	Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1604/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-climate-disaster-occurs-by-2100-will-the-earths-human-population-decline-by-95-or-more/	0
1836	Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5409/un-security-council-vetoes-2021/	0
1837	When will the first YouTube star – famous FIRST because of YouTube stardom – be elected to Congress?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1446/when-will-the-first-youtube-star--famous-first-because-of-youtube-stardom--be-elected-to-congress/	0
1838	When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4235/when-will-multi-modal-ml-out-perform-uni-modal-ml/	0
1839	If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2812/if-a-whole-human-brain-is-successfully-emulated-by-2100-what-is-the-maximum-number-of-humans-that-will-be-uploaded-in-any-5-year-period/	0
1840	Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1538/will-metaculus-predict-that-artificial-intelligence-continues-to-pose-a-global-catastrophic-risk/	0
1841	When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5506/mars-gdp-exceeds-earths/	0
1842	What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3581/what-will-the-global-weighted-average-levelized-cost-of-energy-of-onshore-wind-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/	0
1843	Will WeWork file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3159/will-wework-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-1-january-2025/	0
1844	Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1378/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon/	0
1845	What will the US police-to-prison spending ratio be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4907/what-will-the-us-police-to-prison-spending-ratio-be-in-2030/	0
1846	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5962/few-shot-learning-2020-12-14-to-2027-01-01/	0
1847	When will NASA's SLS first launch a person to the Moon?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2818/when-will-nasas-sls-first-launch-a-person-to-the-moon/	0
1848	When will we have a new Pope?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4606/when-will-we-have-a-new-pope/	0
1849	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6250/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-14-2022-01-14/	0
1850	When will Ninja first lose the top spot as the most followed account on Twitch?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4665/when-will-ninja-first-lose-the-top-spot-as-the-most-followed-account-on-twitch/	0
1851	Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1432/will-humans-have-a-sustainable-off-world-presence-by-2100/	0
1852	Will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to implant a brain-machine interface device in a human before 1 January 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2951/will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-in-a-human-before-1-january-2022/	0
1853	Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/797/will-puerto-rico-become-a-us-state-prior-to-2035/	0
1854	Will Jeff Bezos undertake a "seismic" development in longevity before September 1st 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7208/jeff-bezos-to-shake-up-longevity-by-september/	0
1855	How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5840/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2035/	0
1856	Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5716/longbets-oil-consumed-in-us-in-2035-vs-2015/	0
1857	Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4290/will-nad-boosters-be-shown-in-a-systematic-review-to-increase-human-lifespan-by-5-by-2030/	0
1858	When the first company reaches a $4 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5178/doubling-value-company/	0
1859	How many spaceflight-related fatalities will occur between January 1 2020 and January 1 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1622/how-many-spaceflight-related-fatalities-will-occur-between-january-1-2020-and-january-1-2025/	0
1860	How many parameters (in billions) is needed to achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5218/scaling-to-few-shot-human-level-performance/	0
1861	In what year will the total number of hen eggs produced annually in the U.S. be 100 billion or less?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3246/in-what-year-will-the-total-number-of-hen-eggs-produced-annually-in-the-us-be-100-billion-or-less/	0
1862	Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7017/us-troops-in-afghanistan-a-last-detail/	0
1863	When will one TeraFlOPS cost $1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1416/when-will-one-teraflops-cost-1/	0
1864	Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5808/signatory-to-ban-on-nukes-to-break-treaty/	0
1865	When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours, before Sep 15 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3106/when-will-a-discernible-coordinated-bitcoin-mining-pool-attain-50-of-the-hashing-power-for-24-hours-before-sep-15-2025/	0
1866	When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6685/date-for-ml-visual-predictor-of-the-big-five/	0
1867	What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4159/climate-change-damage-in-the-21st-century/	0
1868	When will a universal flu vaccine be available?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4791/when-will-a-universal-flu-vaccine-be-available/	0
1869	When will the first human head transplant occur?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5211/first-human-head-transplant-when/	0
1870	When will a climber beat Alex Honnold and Tommy Caldwell's record for climbing the Nose of El Capitan?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1053/when-will-a-climber-beat-alex-honnold-and-tommy-caldwells-record-for-climbing-the-nose-of-el-capitan/	0
1871	What will be the largest cultivated meat product production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single production facility, by January 1st, 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7035/cultivated-meat-production-capacity-2030/	0
1872	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7128/vocs-to-make-up-50-of-virginia-sequences/	0
1873	What will the lower limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3708/what-will-the-lower-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-6th-assessment-report/	0
1874	Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5414/labour-uk-pm-on-2030-01-01/	0
1875	When will the halting problem for the Collatz Program be resolved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2806/when-will-the-halting-problem-for-the-collatz-program-be-resolved/	0
1876	When will the first commercial Hyperloop system begin operations?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4519/when-will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-begin-operations/	0
1877	When will a company, in any country, generate $50M revenue from edible insect product sales alone, in a single year?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3375/when-will-a-company-in-any-country-generate-50m-revenue-from-edible-insect-product-sales-alone-in-a-single-year/	0
1878	A decrease in US meat production by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/281/a-decrease-in-us-meat-production-by-2025/	0
1879	Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1631/will-cuba-still-be-a-communist-state-in-2023/	0
1880	How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3113/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-less-than-8-per-kg/	0
1881	Worst-case scenario for global CO2 levels realized over the coming decades?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/336/worst-case-scenario-for-global-co2-levels-over-the-coming-decades/	0
1882	Will it turn out that the Keto diet is both safe and has health benefits for some identified and significant population of people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3739/will-it-turn-out-that-the-keto-diet-is-both-safe-and-has-health-benefits-for-some-identified-and-significant-population-of-people/	0
1883	Will any executives be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5768/prison-for-corporate-crooks/	0
1884	How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3077/how-much-revenue-will-the-us-market-for-clean-meat-generate-in-the-fiscal-year-2030-in-millions-of-usd/	0
1885	Will KIC 9832227 become a nova by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/420/will-kic-9832227-become-a-nova-by-2023/	0
1886	If Trump is not re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5126/if-trump-is-not-re-elected-president-how-many-lawful-permanent-residents-will-reside-in-the-us-on-january-1-2022/	0
1887	When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5405/end-of-north-sentinelese-isolation/	0
1888	Will the world be more democratic in 2022 than in 2017?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/590/state-of-democracy-in-2100/	0
1889	When will Vladimir Putin leave power in Russia?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/954/when-will-vladimir-putin-leave-power-in-russia/	0
1890	When will The Simpsons air its final episode?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/807/when-will-the-simpsons-air-its-final-episode/	0
1891	What will be the first year during which most deaths are from non-disease related causes and fewer than 1% of humans die?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4125/what-will-be-the-first-year-during-which-most-deaths-are-from-non-disease-related-causes-and-fewer-than-1-of-humans-die/	0
1892	Will Catalonia become an independent state?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/568/will-catalonia-become-an-independent-state/	0
1893	Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5509/detection-of-phosphine-in-venus-atmosphere/	0
1894	Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3351/will-guinea-worm-be-eradicated-by-the-end-of-2030/	0
1895	How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake in the 2020s?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4812/how-many-people-will-die-as-a-result-of-the-most-deadly-earthquake-in-the-2020s/	0
1896	What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2023-02-14?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6544/goog-market-cap-2023-02-14/	0
1897	20 more languages extinct by 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/322/20-more-languages-extinct-by-2021/	0
1898	What will be the World's GDP at the end of 2025 in trillions of dollars?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7007/gdp-of-the-world-for-2025/	0
1899	PhilPapers survey mini-series: The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3426/philpapers-survey-mini-series-the-many-worlds-interpretation-of-quantum-mechanics/	0
1900	Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/242/pandemic-series-a-new-spanish-flu/	0
1901	How much will the US federal government spend on protecting the environment in 2024 (in billions)?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6068/us-federal-budget-for-environment-in-2024/	0
1902	Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered by 2045?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/808/will-europa-be-the-first-place-humanity-will-discover-extraterrestrial-life-if-it-is-discovered-by-2045/	0
1903	When will there be a publicly listed clean meat company?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3058/when-will-there-be-a-publicly-listed-clean-meat-company/	0
1904	When will the first human be born on another world?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2533/when-will-the-first-human-be-born-on-another-world/	0
1905	Will the USA enter a second civil war before 2031?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6179/second-us-civil-war-before-2031/	0
1906	After an AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligence?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4123/after-an-agi-is-created-how-many-months-will-it-be-before-the-first-superintelligence/	0
1907	How long will the Great Pyramids be recognizable?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1056/how-long-will-the-great-pyramids-be-recognizable/	0
1908	Will no CRISPR-edited babies be born in the year 2020?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3481/will-no-crispr-edited-babies-be-born-in-the-year-2020/	0
1909	With an international nuclear weapons ban in place, will a country that has nuclear weapons actually give them up by 2035?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/492/with-an-international-nuclear-weapons-ban-in-place-will-at-least-one-nuclear-state-actually-give-them-up-by-2035/	0
1910	What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5560/difference-in-top-ev-model-sales-2021/	0
1911	What the percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3344/what-the-percentage-of-egg-laying-hens-will-be-cage-free-in-the-us-in-june-2025/	0
1912	What day will Solar Cycle 25 end?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4978/what-day-will-solar-cycle-25-end/	0
1913	When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1584/when-will-the-first-publicly-traded-company-achieve-a-10-trillion-market-capitalisation/	0
1914	Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5993/washington-q1-2021-business-income--q1-2019/	0
1915	Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3409/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2020-to-2023-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/	0
1916	One Million Martian Residents by 2075?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3519/one-million-martian-residents-by-2075/	0
1917	When will any country stop using cash currency?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1449/when-will-any-country-stop-using-cash-currency/	0
1918	What will be the 13 month moving average of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25's minimum?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5046/what-will-be-the-13-month-moving-average-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-minimum/	0
1919	What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4390/what-will-be-the-lowest-cost-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars-to-deliver-a-payload-to-leo-or-beyond-before-2025/	0
1920	What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2026, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5960/dec-2026-production-of-semiconductors/	0
1921	Will another Millennium Prize Problem be solved in the next decade?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/236/will-another-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-in-the-next-decade/	0
1922	By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4034/by-2030-will-c-elegans-be-uploaded-to-the-satisfaction-of-top-computational-neuroscientists/	0
1923	When will The Boring Company tunnel faster than a snail?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4692/when-will-the-boring-company-tunnel-faster-than-a-snail/	0
1924	What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4905/what-will-chinas-human-development-index-hdi-score-be-in-2030/	0
1925	How many communist states will there be in 2050?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3730/how-many-communist-states-will-there-be-in-2050/	0
1926	When is the earliest day the world has less than 50,000 newly infected COVID-19 cases, on a three day average basis?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4367/when-is-the-earliest-day-the-world-has-less-than-50000-newly-infected-covid-19-cases-on-a-three-day-average-basis/	0
1927	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2024-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6229/sota-on-wikitext-103-2024-12-14/	0
1928	Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4037/will-a-sitting-us-president-not-seek-reelection-before-the-2080-election/	0
1929	Will a third LIGO detector be built in India by 2027?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1536/will-a-third-ligo-detector-be-built-in-india-by-2027/	0
1930	When will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1048/when-will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved/	0
1931	50% Carbon-neutral electricity by 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/273/50-carbon-neutral-electricity-by-2025/	0
1932	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2026-12-14 in perplexity?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5947/sota-perplexity-on-wikitext-103-2026-12-14/	0
1933	What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2025?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3144/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2025/	0
1934	Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3361/will-the-mean-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-in-the-top500-decline-each-3-year-period-from-2025-to-2034/	0
1935	When will a technology replace screens?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4577/when-will-a-technology-replace-screens/	0
1936	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2030-01-14 period?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6299/nlo-e-prints-2021-01-14-to-2030-01-14/	0
1937	When will there be machine-kindergartner parity in LEGO construction?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/404/how-long-until-machine-kindergartner-parity-in-lego-construction/	0
1938	When will we get the last communication from Voyager 1?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/943/when-will-we-get-the-last-communication-from-voyager-1/	0
1939	What will SpaceX be worth in 2030? [125B-100T range]	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4927/what-will-spacex-be-worth-in-2030-125b-100t-range/	0
1940	Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-or-comet-have-been-mined-in-space-for-commercial-purposes-before-2030/	0
1941	What will inflation be in the US in 2021?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4033/what-will-inflation-be-in-the-us-in-2021/	0
1942	Will George R. R. Martin die before the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published?	https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1681/will-george-r-r-martin-die-before-the-final-book-of-a-song-of-ice-and-fire-is-published/	0
1943	Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election	0
1944	Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election	0
1945	Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election	0
1946	Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021	0
1947	Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
1948	Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
1949	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14	0
1950	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021	0
1951	Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election	0
1952	Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election	0
1953	Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021	0
1954	Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024	0
1955	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023	0
1956	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary	0
1957	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022	0
1958	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022	0
1959	Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary	0
1960	Will Lara Trump run  in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary	0
1961	Will Ivanka Trump run  in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary	0
1962	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022	0
1963	Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31	0
1964	Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7053/Who-will-win-the-2024-Republican-presidential-nomination	0
1965	Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination	0
1966	Who will be elected mayor of Boston in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7068/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Boston-in-2021	0
1967	Will Biden policy to raise minimum wage to $15 per hour in 2021 succeed?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7075/Will-Biden-policy-to-raise-minimum-wage-to-$15-per-hour-in-2021-succeed	0
1968	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2022 Arkansas GOP gubernatorial primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7082/Will-Sarah-Huckabee-Sanders-win-the-2022-Arkansas-GOP-gubernatorial-primary	0
1969	Will the District of Columbia become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7083/Will-the-District-of-Columbia-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
1970	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Ohio in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7085/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio-in-2022	0
1971	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican Senate primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7087/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-Senate-primary	0
1972	Will Puerto Rico become a U.S. state in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7088/Will-Puerto-Rico-become-a-US-state-in-2021	0
1973	Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by September 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7092/Will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-$950-per-hour-or-higher-by-September-1	0
1974	Will Liz Cheney win the 2022 House GOP nomination in WY-AL?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7103/Will-Liz-Cheney-win-the-2022-House-GOP-nomination-in-WY-AL	0
1975	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Georgia?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7107/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Georgia	0
1976	Will Alexander Lukashenko be President of Belarus through the end of the 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7111/Will-Alexander-Lukashenko-be-President-of-Belarus-through-the-end-of-the-2021	0
1977	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Arizona?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7112/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona	0
1978	Who will win the 2021 Manhattan District Attorney election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7116/Who-will-win-the-2021-Manhattan-District-Attorney-election	0
1979	Which of these 10 African leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7117/Which-of-these-10-African-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
1980	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be re-elected to the House in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7118/Will-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-be-re-elected-to-the-House-in-2022	0
1981	How many Biden Cabinet members will Josh Hawley vote against?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7119/How-many-Biden-Cabinet-members-will-Josh-Hawley-vote-against	0
1982	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed Assistant Attorney General for Antitrust?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7120/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-Assistant-Attorney-General-for-Antitrust	0
1983	Which of these ten G20 leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7124/Which-of-these-ten-G20-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
1984	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7126/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
1985	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7127/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
1986	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7129/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
1987	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7130/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-New-Hampshire	0
1988	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Nevada?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7131/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Nevada	0
1989	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Wisconsin?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7132/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Wisconsin	0
1990	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed OMB Director?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7134/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director	0
1991	Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7136/Will-Joe-Biden-resign-during-his-first-term	0
1992	Will Adam Kinzinger win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Illinois House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7141/Will-Adam-Kinzinger-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Illinois-House-district	0
1993	Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York at the end of the year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7142/Will-Andrew-Cuomo-be-Governor-of-New-York-at-the-end-of-the-year	0
1994	Which of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7144/Which-of-these-10-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next	0
1995	Who will win the 2021 special election in Texas' 6th District?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7151/Who-will-win-the-2021-special-election-in-Texas'-6th-District	0
1996	Who will be elected mayor of Seattle in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7154/Who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-Seattle-in-2021	0
1997	Who will be the next Senate-confirmed U.S. Ambassador to China?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7155/Who-will-be-the-next-Senate-confirmed-US-Ambassador-to-China	0
1998	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7157/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
1999	Which state will hold the first Democratic primary for the 2024 nominee?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7158/Which-state-will-hold-the-first-Democratic-primary-for-the-2024-nominee	0
2000	Will Louis DeJoy be Postmaster General on September 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7159/Will-Louis-DeJoy-be-Postmaster-General-on-September-1	0
2001	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7162/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2002	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7163/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2003	Will the Senate end filibuster on any bill with less than 3/5 support in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7164/Will-the-Senate-end-filibuster-on-any-bill-with-less-than-3-5-support-in-2021	0
2004	How many tie-breaking Senate votes will Kamala Harris cast in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7168/How-many-tie-breaking-Senate-votes-will-Kamala-Harris-cast-in-2021	0
2005	Will Anthony Gonzalez win the 2022 GOP nomination in any Ohio House district?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7170/Will-Anthony-Gonzalez-win-the-2022-GOP-nomination-in-any-Ohio-House-district	0
2006	What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2022 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7172/What-will-be-the-balance-of-power-in-Congress-after-the-2022-election	0
2007	Who will win the 2022 New York Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7173/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2008	Will Andrew Cuomo be impeached before Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7174/Will-Andrew-Cuomo-be-impeached-before-Sept-1	0
2009	Who will win the 2022 North Carolina Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7175/Who-will-win-the-2022-North-Carolina-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2010	Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Alaska in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7176/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Alaska-in-2022	0
2011	Who will win the Democratic nomination in the OH-11 special election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7179/Who-will-win-the-Democratic-nomination-in-the-OH-11-special-election	0
2012	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7180/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2013	Will Dianne Feinstein still be a U.S. Senator on Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7181/Will-Dianne-Feinstein-still-be-a-US-Senator-on-Sept-1	0
2014	Who will win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7182/Who-will-win-the-2022-Alabama-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2015	Will Gavin Newsom be recalled in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7189/Will-Gavin-Newsom-be-recalled-in-2021	0
2016	Who will win the 2022 Iowa Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7190/Who-will-win-the-2022-Iowa-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2017	Who will win the 2022 Wisconsin Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7194/Who-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2018	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7197/Will-Israel-hold-a-second-national-election-for-Knesset-in-2021	0
2019	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7198/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2020	Will Canada hold national parliamentary elections in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7200/Will-Canada-hold-national-parliamentary-elections-in-2021	0
2021	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Missouri?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7204/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Missouri	0
2022	Who will win the 2022 Georgia Republican Secretary of State nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7205/Who-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-Republican-Secretary-of-State-nomination	0
2023	Who will win the 2022 Missouri Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7206/Who-will-win-the-2022-Missouri-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2024	Which party will win the 2022 U.S. Senate election in Iowa?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7208/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-US-Senate-election-in-Iowa	0
2025	Will Xi Jinping be re-elected CCP General Secretary before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7209/Will-Xi-Jinping-be-re-elected-CCP-General-Secretary-before-2023	0
2026	Will Hu Chunhua be elected to the CCP Politburo Standing Committee before 2023?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7210/Will-Hu-Chunhua-be-elected-to-the-CCP-Politburo-Standing-Committee-before-2023	0
2027	Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7211/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-gubernatorial-election	0
2028	Who will be the governor of California on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7214/Who-will-be-the-governor-of-California-on-Dec-31	0
2029	Will Matt Gaetz sit on the House Judiciary Committee on Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7216/Will-Matt-Gaetz-sit-on-the-House-Judiciary-Committee-on-Sept-1	0
2030	Will Automatic Voter Registration become law in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7217/Will-Automatic-Voter-Registration-become-law-in-2021	0
2031	Who will win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7229/Who-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2032	How many refugees will Biden authorize to be admitted in the next fiscal year?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7233/How-many-refugees-will-Biden-authorize-to-be-admitted-in-the-next-fiscal-year	0
2033	Who will be prime minister of Israel on Dec. 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7234/Who-will-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-Dec-31	0
2034	What will be the corporate tax rate for 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7237/What-will-be-the-corporate-tax-rate-for-2022	0
2035	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7240/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2036	Who will win the 2022 Texas Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7241/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2037	Will Matt Gaetz resign before Sept.1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7247/Will-Matt-Gaetz-resign-before-Sept1	0
2038	Will Andrew Cuomo resign before Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7249/Will-Andrew-Cuomo-resign-before-Sept-1	0
2039	Will Liz Cheney be House Republican Conference Chair on Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7251/Will-Liz-Cheney-be-House-Republican-Conference-Chair-on-Sept-1	0
2040	Who will win the 2022 Nevada Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7253/Who-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2041	How many incumbent U.S. Senators will be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7254/How-many-incumbent-US-Senators-will-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2042	Who will win the 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7257/Who-will-win-the-2022-Massachusetts-gubernatorial-election	0
2043	Who will win the 2022 New Hampshire Republican Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7258/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-Hampshire-Republican-Senate-nomination	0
2044	Who will be the Republican nominee in the OH-15 special election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7259/Who-will-be-the-Republican-nominee-in-the-OH-15-special-election	0
2045	Who will finish first in the 2021 mayoral primary in Cleveland?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7261/Who-will-finish-first-in-the-2021-mayoral-primary-in-Cleveland	0
2046	Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7266/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022	0
2047	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7270/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2048	Who will win the 2022 Ohio Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7271/Who-will-win-the-2022-Ohio-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2049	Will Lisa Murkowski be re-elected in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7274/Will-Lisa-Murkowski-be-re-elected-in-2022	0
2050	Who will be elected Atlanta mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7275/Who-will-be-elected-Atlanta-mayor-in-2021	0
2051	Will the Senate confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7286/Will-the-Senate-confirm-a-Supreme-Court-justice-in-2021	0
2052	Who will win the 2022 Florida Democratic Senate nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7288/Who-will-win-the-2022-Florida-Democratic-Senate-nomination	0
2053	Who will win the 2021 Campeche, MX gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7303/Who-will-win-the-2021-Campeche,-MX-gubernatorial-election	0
2054	Will the House censure or reprimand Marjorie Taylor Greene before July 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7306/Will-the-House-censure-or-reprimand-Marjorie-Taylor-Greene-before-July-31	0
2055	Who will win the 2022 New York Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7307/Who-will-win-the-2022-New-York-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2056	How many votes to confirm David Chipman as ATF director by July 30?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7311/How-many-votes-to-confirm-David-Chipman-as-ATF-director-by-July-30	0
2057	Who will win the 2022 Texas Republican attorney general nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7312/Who-will-win-the-2022-Texas-Republican-attorney-general-nomination	0
2058	Will the Senate use reconciliation by August 6?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7314/Will-the-Senate-use-reconciliation-by-August-6	0
2059	On which RCV round will a candidate win the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7321/On-which-RCV-round-will-a-candidate-win-the-NYC-Democratic-mayoral-primary	0
2060	How many successful filibusters will there be in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7324/How-many-successful-filibusters-will-there-be-in-2021	0
2061	Who will be Speaker of the House of Representatives in the next Congress?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7326/Who-will-be-Speaker-of-the-House-of-Representatives-in-the-next-Congress	0
2062	Will Donald Trump run for the House of Representatives in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7327/Will-Donald-Trump-run-for-the-House-of-Representatives-in-2022	0
2063	Who will win the 2022 Idaho Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7329/Who-will-win-the-2022-Idaho-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2064	Will Ilhan Omar sit on the House Foreign Affairs Committee on July 31?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7332/Will-Ilhan-Omar-sit-on-the-House-Foreign-Affairs-Committee-on-July-31	0
2065	What will be the margin in the first round of the NYC Dem mayoral primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7335/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-first-round-of-the-NYC-Dem-mayoral-primary	0
2066	What will be the margin in the winning round of the NYC Dem mayoral primary?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7339/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-winning-round-of-the-NYC-Dem-mayoral-primary	0
2067	How many votes to confirm Rohit Chopra as CFPB Director by July 30?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7341/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Rohit-Chopra-as-CFPB-Director-by-July-30	0
2068	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Democratic gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7343/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Democratic-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2069	Who will win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial nomination?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7348/Who-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination	0
2070	How many VA House seats will Democrats win in the 2021 election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7349/How-many-VA-House-seats-will-Democrats-win-in-the-2021-election	0
2071	Who will be elected president of Chile in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7350/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Chile-in-2021	0
2072	How many votes in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary first round?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7354/How-many-votes-in-the-New-York-City-Democratic-mayoral-primary-first-round	0
2073	Will Sweden hold national elections by Sept. 15?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7356/Will-Sweden-hold-national-elections-by-Sept-15	0
2074	Who will be elected president of Brazil in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7358/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Brazil-in-2022	0
2075	Will Suga Yoshihide be prime minister of Japan on Sept. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7359/Will-Suga-Yoshihide-be-prime-minister-of-Japan-on-Sept-1	0
2076	Who will be elected president of France in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7360/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-France-in-2022	0
2077	Enough signatures for a vote on recall of LA County DA George Gascón?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7361/Enough-signatures-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-LA-County-DA-George-Gascón	0
2078	Will marijuana be rescheduled under the Controlled Substances Act by April 20?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7363/Will-marijuana-be-rescheduled-under-the-Controlled-Substances-Act-by-April-20	0
2079	How many federal judges will be confirmed by Aug. 6?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7365/How-many-federal-judges-will-be-confirmed-by-Aug-6	0
2080	How many votes to confirm Jennifer Abruzzo as NLRB general counsel by Aug. 6?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7368/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Jennifer-Abruzzo-as-NLRB-general-counsel-by-Aug-6	0
2081	Will Jim Jordan be appointed to the January 6 Select Committee by Aug. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7369/Will-Jim-Jordan-be-appointed-to-the-January-6-Select-Committee-by-Aug-1	0
2082	Who will be elected president of Colombia in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7371/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-Colombia-in-2022	0
2083	Will Adam Kinzinger be appointed to the January 6 Select Committee by Aug. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7373/Will-Adam-Kinzinger-be-appointed-to-the-January-6-Select-Committee-by-Aug-1	0
2084	How many votes to confirm Margaret Strickland to the District Ct. of NM by 8/6?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7376/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Margaret-Strickland-to-the-District-Ct-of-NM-by-8-6	0
2085	Which party will win the 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7377/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Michigan-gubernatorial-election	0
2086	Which party will win the 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7378/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Wisconsin-gubernatorial-election	0
2087	Will Tracy Stone-Manning be confirmed as BLM Director by Oct. 8?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7379/Will-Tracy-Stone-Manning-be-confirmed-as-BLM-Director-by-Oct-8	0
2088	Which party will win the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7380/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Pennsylvania-gubernatorial-election	0
2089	Which party will win the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7383/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Arizona-gubernatorial-election	0
2090	Which party will win the 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7384/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Kansas-gubernatorial-election	0
2091	Which party will win the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7386/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Georgia-gubernatorial-election	0
2092	Which party will win the 2022 Maryland gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7387/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maryland-gubernatorial-election	0
2093	Which party will win the 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7391/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Nevada-gubernatorial-election	0
2094	Who will be elected president of the Philippines in 2022?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7392/Who-will-be-elected-president-of-the-Philippines-in-2022	0
2095	Will Texas legislature pass an elections bill by Aug. 9?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7393/Will-Texas-legislature-pass-an-elections-bill-by-Aug-9	0
2096	Which party will win the 2022 Maine gubernatorial election?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7394/Which-party-will-win-the-2022-Maine-gubernatorial-election	0
2097	Who will be elected Buffalo, NY mayor in 2021?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7395/Who-will-be-elected-Buffalo,-NY-mayor-in-2021	0
2098	What will Biden's 538 job approval index be on July 20?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7396/What-will-Biden's-538-job-approval-index-be-on-July-20	0
2099	What will Biden's RCP job approval index be for July 21?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7397/What-will-Biden's-RCP-job-approval-index-be-for-July-21	0
2100	Whom will the Senate next confirm as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7398/Whom-will-the-Senate-next-confirm-as-Chair-of-the-Federal-Reserve	0
2101	How many votes to confirm Eunice Lee to the Second Circuit by Oct. 1?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7401/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Eunice-Lee-to-the-Second-Circuit-by-Oct-1	0
2102	How many votes to confirm Kenneth Polite as Assistant Attorney General by 8/6?	https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7402/How-many-votes-to-confirm-Kenneth-Polite-as-Assistant-Attorney-General-by-8-6	0
2103	Who carried out the chemical attack in Ghouta on August 21, 2013?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Who-carried-out-the-chemical-attack-in-Ghouta-on-August-21-2013	0
2104	What is the source of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2)?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/What-is-the-source-of-COVID-19-SARS-CoV-2	0
2105	Was there widespread fraud in the 2020 US election?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/Was-there-widespread-fraud-in-the-2020-US-election	0
2106	Does Vitamin D reduce the severity of COVID-19 outcomes?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/does-vitamin-d-reduce-the-severity-of-covid-19-outcomes	0
2107	What caused the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight 370?	https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/what-caused-the-disappearance-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-370	0
2108	What Happened to Barry and Honey Sherman?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-happened-to-barry-and-honey-sherman-19972	0
2109	What is the story behind Donald Trump's hair?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-is-the-story-behind-donald-trump-s-hair-12734	0
2110	Did former New England Patriots tight end Aaron Hernandez commit suicide?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-former-new-england-patriots-tight-end-aaron-hernandez-commit-suicide-19060	0
2111	Serial: Who killed Hae Min Lee?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/serial-who-killed-hae-min-lee-11513	0
2112	What caused the chemical calamity in Khan Sheikhoun on April 4, 2017?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-on-april-4-2017-18448	0
2113	Was the Miss Universe 2015 mistake intentional?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-miss-universe-2015-mistake-intentional-14197	0
2114	Who attacked the aid convoy in Syria on September 19, 2016? 	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-attacked-the-aid-convoy-in-syria-on-september-19-2016-16104	0
2115	Who was behind the July 2016 Turkish coup attempt?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-was-behind-the-july-2016-turkish-coup-attempt-17401	0
2116	Did Pakistan know that Osama Bin Laden was hiding in Abbottabad?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-pakistan-know-that-osama-bin-laden-was-hiding-in-abbottabad-18034	0
2117	Did Usain Bolt use performance-enhancing drugs?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/did-usain-bolt-use-performance-enhancing-drugs-14420	0
2118	Was the July 28, 2015, Serbian lottery drawing rigged?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/was-the-july-28-2015-serbian-lottery-drawing-rigged-11364	0
2119	Why was Seth Rich killed?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-seth-rich-killed-16122	0
2120	Why was Stonehenge built?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/why-was-stonehenge-built-13169	0
2121	Does the MMR (measles, mumps, and rubella) vaccine cause autism?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/does-the-mmr-measles-mumps-and-rubella-vaccine-cause-autism-4925	0
2122	Who shot down Malaysia Airlines flight 17 over Ukraine on July 17, 2014?	https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/who-shot-down-malaysia-airlines-flight-17-over-ukraine-on-july-17-2014-8129	0