[
  {
    "Title": "Some title",
    "URL": "someurl.com",
    "Platform": "some platform",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "X%/none",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be more than 50 prediction questions embedded in LessWrong posts and comments this month?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be more than 50 prediction questions embedded in LessWrong posts and comments this month?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.34%",
    "# Forecasts": 336,
    "# Forecasters": 138
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will more than 50 people predict on this post?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20more than 50 people predict on this post?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "81.86%",
    "# Forecasts": 227,
    "# Forecasters": 120
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause an existential catastrophe?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause an existential catastrophe?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36.85%",
    "# Forecasts": 158,
    "# Forecasters": 102
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause an existential catastrophe without additional intervention from the existing AI Alignment research community?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause an existential catastrophe without additional intervention from the existing AI Alignment research community?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "52.70%",
    "# Forecasts": 137,
    "# Forecasters": 95
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be an arms race dynamic in the lead-up to AGI?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be an arms race dynamic in the lead-up to AGI?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75.52%",
    "# Forecasts": 113,
    "# Forecasters": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "The new English Strain is at least 50% more infectious than the currently dominant American strain of Covid-19",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20new English Strain is at least 50% more infectious than the currently dominant American strain of Covid-19&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "62.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 207,
    "# Forecasters": 89
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a single AGI or AGI project achieve a decisive strategic advantage?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20a single AGI or AGI project achieve a decisive strategic advantage?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "61.63%",
    "# Forecasts": 115,
    "# Forecasters": 86
  },
  {
    "Title": "How vivid is your visual imagination?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20vivid is your visual imagination?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50.68%",
    "# Forecasts": 119,
    "# Forecasters": 77
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we get AGI from deep learning with small variations, without more insights on a similar level to deep learning?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20we get AGI from deep learning with small variations, without more insights on a similar level to deep learning?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 110,
    "# Forecasters": 77
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will > 50% of AGI researchers agree with safety concerns by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20> 50% of AGI researchers agree with safety concerns by 2030?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "42.70%",
    "# Forecasts": 107,
    "# Forecasters": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we experience an existential catastrophe before we build AGI?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20we experience an existential catastrophe before we build AGI?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 100,
    "# Forecasters": 75
  },
  {
    "Title": "How vivid is your sound imagination?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20vivid is your sound imagination?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "61.17%",
    "# Forecasts": 106,
    "# Forecasters": 74
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be another AI Winter (a period commonly referred to as such) before we develop AGI?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be another AI Winter (a period commonly referred to as such) before we develop AGI?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.63%",
    "# Forecasts": 95,
    "# Forecasters": 72
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we get AGI from 1-3 more insights on a similar level to deep learning?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20we get AGI from 1-3 more insights on a similar level to deep learning?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "43.12%",
    "# Forecasts": 112,
    "# Forecasters": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "There will be an additional distinct large wave of Covid-19 infections in the United States 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=There%20will be an additional distinct large wave of Covid-19 infections in the United States 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60.43%",
    "# Forecasts": 145,
    "# Forecasters": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "How vivid is your taste imagination?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20vivid is your taste imagination?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25.73%",
    "# Forecasts": 84,
    "# Forecasters": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "How vivid is your smell imagination?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20vivid is your smell imagination?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25.41%",
    "# Forecasts": 82,
    "# Forecasters": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we need > 3 breakthroughs on a similar level to deep learning to get AGI?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20we need > 3 breakthroughs on a similar level to deep learning to get AGI?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 84,
    "# Forecasters": 67
  },
  {
    "Title": "Do you have a type of Synaesthesia?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Do%20you have a type of Synaesthesia?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19.76%",
    "# Forecasts": 87,
    "# Forecasters": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "How frequently do you think in words?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20frequently do you think in words?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "78.13%",
    "# Forecasts": 86,
    "# Forecasters": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "Do you have an internal monologue?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Do%20you have an internal monologue?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "82.28%",
    "# Forecasts": 80,
    "# Forecasters": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "How vivid is your touch imagination?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20vivid is your touch imagination?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36.13%",
    "# Forecasts": 79,
    "# Forecasters": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "How good is your memory?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20good is your memory?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "53.25%",
    "# Forecasts": 77,
    "# Forecasters": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much control do you have over your mind?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=How%20much control do you have over your mind?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45.59%",
    "# Forecasts": 76,
    "# Forecasters": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%20reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "42.76%",
    "# Forecasts": 85,
    "# Forecasters": 57
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump will win a second term",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20will win a second term&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 74,
    "# Forecasters": 54
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling because we are unable to continue scaling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%20reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling because we are unable to continue scaling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "24.51%",
    "# Forecasts": 75,
    "# Forecasters": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling because the increase in AI capabilities from scaling plateaus?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%20reaching AGI, will we hit a point where we can no longer improve AI capabilities by scaling because the increase in AI capabilities from scaling plateaus?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31.56%",
    "# Forecasts": 66,
    "# Forecasters": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Hedonometer show an average happiness above 6.2 for Christmas day 2020?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20the Hedonometer show an average happiness above 6.2 for Christmas day 2020?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32.77%",
    "# Forecasts": 93,
    "# Forecasters": 49
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the post \"Embedded Interactive Predictions on LessWrong\" get more than 80 karma by December 1st?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20the post \"Embedded Interactive Predictions on LessWrong\" get more than 80 karma by December 1st?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "89.52%",
    "# Forecasts": 83,
    "# Forecasters": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will interest in a January forecasting club be greater than 3.5/5?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20interest in a January forecasting club be greater than 3.5/5?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.93%",
    "# Forecasts": 44,
    "# Forecasters": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "Having a button/prompt for Elicit on LW would increase usage by at least 5x",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Having%20a button/prompt for Elicit on LW would increase usage by at least 5x&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60.22%",
    "# Forecasts": 41,
    "# Forecasters": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2025 bitcoin will no longer be the highest traded cryptocurrency. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202025 bitcoin will no longer be the highest traded cryptocurrency. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.49%",
    "# Forecasts": 37,
    "# Forecasters": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "A Singularity will not occur by the year 2040.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20Singularity will not occur by the year 2040.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68.71%",
    "# Forecasts": 42,
    "# Forecasters": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a 4 year interval in which world GDP doubles before the first 1 year interval in which world GDP doubles?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be a 4 year interval in which world GDP doubles before the first 1 year interval in which world GDP doubles?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "61.12%",
    "# Forecasts": 42,
    "# Forecasters": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2025, most of Russia will become part of the United States, or the reverse, or they will in some other manner become the same sovereign state, or part of the same sovereign state",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%202025, most of Russia will become part of the United States, or the reverse, or they will in some other manner become the same sovereign state, or part of the same sovereign state&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 34,
    "# Forecasters": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Pope will be assassinated.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Pope will be assassinated.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.03%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"There will only be three languages in the world - English, Spanish and Mandarin\" --Bill Walker, BBC",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"There%20will only be three languages in the world - English, Spanish and Mandarin\" --Bill Walker, BBC&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 33,
    "# Forecasters": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "The real identity of Nakamoto Satoshi will be publicly known by 2022",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20real identity of Nakamoto Satoshi will be publicly known by 2022&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "38.97%",
    "# Forecasts": 31,
    "# Forecasters": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "PredictionBook will still survive by the end of 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=PredictionBook%20will still survive by the end of 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "83.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 40,
    "# Forecasters": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 4 year period of doubling of world GDP before a 1 year period of doubling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 4 year period of doubling of world GDP before a 1 year period of doubling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 34,
    "# Forecasters": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a 4 year interval in which world GDP growth doubles before the first 1 year interval in which world GDP growth doubles?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be a 4 year interval in which world GDP growth doubles before the first 1 year interval in which world GDP growth doubles?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 47,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will LessWrong add a button to embed interactive predictions before 2021-07-01?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20LessWrong add a button to embed interactive predictions before 2021-07-01?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54.94%",
    "# Forecasts": 47,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 1 year period of doubling of world GDP without there first being a 4 year period of doubling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 1 year period of doubling of world GDP without there first being a 4 year period of doubling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 34,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Flying cars will become the dominant form of transportation in at least one major world city by 2035.  ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Flying%20cars will become the dominant form of transportation in at least one major world city by 2035.  &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.81%",
    "# Forecasts": 31,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "No nuclear weapon will be used for the remainder of this decade. (Does not count tests)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20nuclear weapon will be used for the remainder of this decade. (Does not count tests)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "82.13%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "No military draft in the United States before 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20military draft in the United States before 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90.27%",
    "# Forecasts": 33,
    "# Forecasters": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%202030 organised religions will no longer exist in any meaningful way and religion will no longer have any political influence.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.68%",
    "# Forecasts": 28,
    "# Forecasters": 27
  },
  {
    "Title": "Edward Snowden will be U.S. President before 2034",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Edward%20Snowden will be U.S. President before 2034&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.23%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 4 year period of doubling of world GDP growth before a 1 year period of doubling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 4 year period of doubling of world GDP growth before a 1 year period of doubling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.24%",
    "# Forecasts": 42,
    "# Forecasters": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "California will secede from the United States before 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=California%20will secede from the United States before 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.68%",
    "# Forecasts": 34,
    "# Forecasters": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump wins Nobel",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20wins Nobel&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.55%",
    "# Forecasts": 38,
    "# Forecasters": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "Bitcoin was an official NSA or CIA project.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Bitcoin%20was an official NSA or CIA project.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.88%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 1 year period of doubling of world GDP growth without there first being a 4 year period of doubling?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20AGI cause existential catastrophe conditional on there being a 1 year period of doubling of world GDP growth without there first being a 4 year period of doubling?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46.84%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"I predict that by 2020, China will ban foreign men from entering China, except for special cases.\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"I%20predict that by 2020, China will ban foreign men from entering China, except for special cases.\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "Queen Elizabeth II will abdicate before her death.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Queen%20Elizabeth II will abdicate before her death.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.46%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Singularity will occur by 2050.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Singularity will occur by 2050.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35.12%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "50% chance of AI by 2028 --Shane Legg",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=50%%20chance of AI by 2028 --Shane Legg&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "24.39%",
    "# Forecasts": 28,
    "# Forecasters": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "Computer Go running on commodity hardware (<$2k) to reach world champion level (>=9 dan) by 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Computer%20Go running on commodity hardware (<$2k) to reach world champion level (>=9 dan) by 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "84.11%",
    "# Forecasts": 27,
    "# Forecasters": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be an \"Inverse AlphaFold\" by end of 2025?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20there be an \"Inverse AlphaFold\" by end of 2025?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 33,
    "# Forecasters": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "PredictionBook.com will be up and running 10 years from today - 5/31/2023 - with this individual prediction still accessible.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=PredictionBook.com%20will be up and running 10 years from today - 5/31/2023 - with this individual prediction still accessible.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68.88%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "Polyamory will have legal status in the USA similar to 2013's gay marriage by 2035.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Polyamory%20will have legal status in the USA similar to 2013's gay marriage by 2035.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19.35%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2020, Eliezer Yudkowsky will have given up building friendly AI.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202020, Eliezer Yudkowsky will have given up building friendly AI.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "TurnTrout will use the Elicit embedding on LessWrong for a non-prediction question by 28-11-2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=TurnTrout%20will use the Elicit embedding on LessWrong for a non-prediction question by 28-11-2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "58.15%",
    "# Forecasts": 39,
    "# Forecasters": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "For most of history, a human attempting to use reasoning to do things like cooking, crafting, or planning (instead of using inherited cultural heuristics, like omens or folk wisdom), would have been substantially worse off, and faced a major increase in their risk of death (without a commensurate increase in life quality).",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=For%20most of history, a human attempting to use reasoning to do things like cooking, crafting, or planning (instead of using inherited cultural heuristics, like omens or folk wisdom), would have been substantially worse off, and faced a major increase in their risk of death (without a commensurate increase in life quality).&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "59.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%202070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.36%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "Most babies born in 2022 do not have Zika virus.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Most%20babies born in 2022 do not have Zika virus.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "99.41%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "China and Japan will engage in armed conflict with each other resulting in > 1,000 deaths before 2023.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=China%20and Japan will engage in armed conflict with each other resulting in > 1,000 deaths before 2023.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.45%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Chess will be solved within 10 years, and the end result will be a draw for Black.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Chess%20will be solved within 10 years, and the end result will be a draw for Black.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Homo sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Homo%20sapiens will be near or fully extinct by 2100.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Google will survive for 15 more years",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Google%20will survive for 15 more years&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "88.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2020 organized religions will have no political influence.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%202020 organized religions will have no political influence.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.68%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Magick qua magick works AND hinges on the intersection between quantum physics and decision theory.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Magick%20qua magick works AND hinges on the intersection between quantum physics and decision theory.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.74%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Background knowledge and motivation levels being equal, humans will learn how to perform new tasks at roughly equal rates.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Background%20knowledge and motivation levels being equal, humans will learn how to perform new tasks at roughly equal rates.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18.43%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Robin Hanson: In 2032, less than 50% of cars on the road will completely autonomous. (to be assessed by asking an unbiased expert if the answer is not obvious) ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Robin%20Hanson: In 2032, less than 50% of cars on the road will completely autonomous. (to be assessed by asking an unbiased expert if the answer is not obvious) &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis: humans evolved big brains in order to succeed at social manuevering and climbing dominance hierarchies.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Machiavellian%20Intelligence Hypothesis: humans evolved big brains in order to succeed at social manuevering and climbing dominance hierarchies.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60.07%",
    "# Forecasts": 30,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Conditional on the AI community learning of pre-AGI catastrophic deceptive misalignment, will the ($ spent on AI alignment research)/($ spent on AI research) ratio increase by more than 50% over the two years following the catastrophe?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Conditional%20on the AI community learning of pre-AGI catastrophic deceptive misalignment, will the ($ spent on AI alignment research)/($ spent on AI research) ratio increase by more than 50% over the two years following the catastrophe?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 35,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before AGI, will we learn of an example of catastrophic deceptive misalignment?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%20AGI, will we learn of an example of catastrophic deceptive misalignment?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.94%",
    "# Forecasts": 35,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "No human revived from cryonic suspension by 2040.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20human revived from cryonic suspension by 2040.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "86.75%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Brexit will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from mass starvation in the UK --Charlie Stross",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Brexit%20will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from mass starvation in the UK --Charlie Stross&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.21%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "United States will invade Australia and take over",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=United%20States will invade Australia and take over&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "90% chance of AI by 2050 --Shane Legg",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=90%%20chance of AI by 2050 --Shane Legg&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.05%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Contrary to my left leanings, Man Made Global Warming will be proved incorrect by 2022",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Contrary%20to my left leanings, Man Made Global Warming will be proved incorrect by 2022&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.95%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "No human will visit the moon from 2012-2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20human will visit the moon from 2012-2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "74.85%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "72.43%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will First Contact happen in the form of a message (e.g. radio waves), rather than by physical visitors?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20First Contact happen in the form of a message (e.g. radio waves), rather than by physical visitors?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64.80%",
    "# Forecasts": 40,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Cultural Intelligence Hypothesis: humans evolved big brains in order to be able to maintain [complicated, detailed, arbitrary-seeming cultural knowledge like 20+ step Inuit seal hunting techniques]. Everything that separates us from the apes is part of an evolutionary package designed to help us maintain this kind of culture, exploit this kind of culture, or adjust to the new abilities that this kind of culture gave us. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Cultural%20Intelligence Hypothesis: humans evolved big brains in order to be able to maintain [complicated, detailed, arbitrary-seeming cultural knowledge like 20+ step Inuit seal hunting techniques]. Everything that separates us from the apes is part of an evolutionary package designed to help us maintain this kind of culture, exploit this kind of culture, or adjust to the new abilities that this kind of culture gave us. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 45,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Does Pareto frontier trick allow people to circumvent the Generalized Efficient Market hypothesis? That is, take people in the 98th percentile of intelligence. Are there a few separate fields such that they could become experts in each, with less than 10 years of total time investment... and then have a realistic shot at a big money/status windfall, with relatively little *marginal* effort.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Does%20Pareto frontier trick allow people to circumvent the Generalized Efficient Market hypothesis? That is, take people in the 98th percentile of intelligence. Are there a few separate fields such that they could become experts in each, with less than 10 years of total time investment... and then have a realistic shot at a big money/status windfall, with relatively little *marginal* effort.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "69.74%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "The modern Scientific Revolution occurred in Europe between the 16th and 18th Centuries. Why did it not happen in China? Historian Toby Huff claims the reason is that China was unable to produce modern science primarily because a lack of the requisite intellectual freedom. Was he basically correct?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20modern Scientific Revolution occurred in Europe between the 16th and 18th Centuries. Why did it not happen in China? Historian Toby Huff claims the reason is that China was unable to produce modern science primarily because a lack of the requisite intellectual freedom. Was he basically correct?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of people experience a \"Clogged drainpipe\" effect in idea generation? (That is, they'd agree that they recognised the feeling as described in the post, after attempting a babble challenge)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=What%20percentage of people experience a \"Clogged drainpipe\" effect in idea generation? (That is, they'd agree that they recognised the feeling as described in the post, after attempting a babble challenge)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64.34%",
    "# Forecasts": 50,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "We will make First Contact before we will have AGI.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=We%20will make First Contact before we will have AGI.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12.05%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "“No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“No%20human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.27%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump eventually signs an executive order forcing everyone to kneel in his presence",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20eventually signs an executive order forcing everyone to kneel in his presence&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.32%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "The percentage of people professing to be both athiest and agnostic will increase over the next decade",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20percentage of people professing to be both athiest and agnostic will increase over the next decade&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "67.55%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 2016-2116, at least 1 American President will be neither Democratic or Republican.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Between%202016-2116, at least 1 American President will be neither Democratic or Republican.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "51.78%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "There will be driverless taxis available for use by the public in at least one US city in 2023.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=There%20will be driverless taxis available for use by the public in at least one US city in 2023.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64.28%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "A Level 7 (Chernobyl/2011 Japan level) nuclear accident will take place by end of 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20Level 7 (Chernobyl/2011 Japan level) nuclear accident will take place by end of 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21.62%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Another version: roughly, everything that top-humans can learn, most humans can too if they actually tried. That is, there is psychological unity of humankind in what we can learn, but not necessarily what we have learned. By contrast, a mouse really couldn't learn chess, even if they tried. And in turn, no human can learn to play 90-dimensional chess, unlike the hypothetical superintelligences that can.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Another%20version: roughly, everything that top-humans can learn, most humans can too if they actually tried. That is, there is psychological unity of humankind in what we can learn, but not necessarily what we have learned. By contrast, a mouse really couldn't learn chess, even if they tried. And in turn, no human can learn to play 90-dimensional chess, unlike the hypothetical superintelligences that can.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.78%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "It will be illegal to drive yourself on USA public roads ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=It%20will be illegal to drive yourself on USA public roads &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.72%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "My net financial worth will be greater than 10 million (2012-inflation adjusted), or enough to indefinitely earn a passive income to provide 100 people with cryonics, (whichever of the two is greater), by 2028",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=My%20net financial worth will be greater than 10 million (2012-inflation adjusted), or enough to indefinitely earn a passive income to provide 100 people with cryonics, (whichever of the two is greater), by 2028&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.39%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "83.95%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Nuclear power plants will no longer operate by the year 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Nuclear%20power plants will no longer operate by the year 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "aliens invade earth in 2023",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=aliens%20invade earth in 2023&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.94%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Robin Hanson's brain will be cryogenically frozen.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Robin%20Hanson's brain will be cryogenically frozen.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.17%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "...be an environmental disaster.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...be%20an environmental disaster.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30.95%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Russia will not have established moon bases by 2032",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Russia%20will not have established moon bases by 2032&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "69.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "'2021 The first humans land on Mars.' --Arthur C. Clarke",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search='2021%20The first humans land on Mars.' --Arthur C. Clarke&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.80%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Human-level artificial general intelligence by 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Human-level%20artificial general intelligence by 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.89%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "A professional athlete will voluntarily amputate their legs to use prosthetics like Oscar Pistorius, by 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20professional athlete will voluntarily amputate their legs to use prosthetics like Oscar Pistorius, by 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30.95%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "“One or more space agencies will send a manned mission to Mars by 2035.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“One%20or more space agencies will send a manned mission to Mars by 2035.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 23,
    "# Forecasters": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "An open atheist will be elected US President within 20 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=An%20open atheist will be elected US President within 20 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.12%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Information recorded in the predictionbook will be practically retrievable \"in ten thousand years, or so\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Information%20recorded in the predictionbook will be practically retrievable \"in ten thousand years, or so\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19.11%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "If we receive a message from outer space, will it be in a form already accessible today (e.g., radio waves)?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20we receive a message from outer space, will it be in a form already accessible today (e.g., radio waves)?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "77.71%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2026 we will be technically capable of fixing arbitrary single-gene disorders - sickle cell anaemia, Huntington's, cystic fibrosis, Tay-Sachs, muscular dystrophy... - in living humans, with close to zero risk of severe complications.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202026 we will be technically capable of fixing arbitrary single-gene disorders - sickle cell anaemia, Huntington's, cystic fibrosis, Tay-Sachs, muscular dystrophy... - in living humans, with close to zero risk of severe complications.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "US presidents term limits abolished",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=US%20presidents term limits abolished&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.24%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "The strategy-stealing assumption is \"a good enough approximation that we can basically act as if it’s true\". That is, for any strategy an unaligned AI could use to influence the long-run future, there is an analogous strategy that a similarly-sized group of humans can use in order to capture a similar amount of flexible influence over the future. By “flexible” is meant that humans can decide later what to do with that influence  (which is important since humans don’t yet know what we want in the long run).",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20strategy-stealing assumption is \"a good enough approximation that we can basically act as if it’s true\". That is, for any strategy an unaligned AI could use to influence the long-run future, there is an analogous strategy that a similarly-sized group of humans can use in order to capture a similar amount of flexible influence over the future. By “flexible” is meant that humans can decide later what to do with that influence  (which is important since humans don’t yet know what we want in the long run).&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.04%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK terrorism threat level be ‘severe’ at 9am PST on Sun 11/22?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20the UK terrorism threat level be ‘severe’ at 9am PST on Sun 11/22?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "81.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Man will travel to Mars by 2030. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Man%20will travel to Mars by 2030. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "42.89%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Legal challenges initiated by the Donald Trump campaign will not change the outcome of the US Presidential election",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Legal%20challenges initiated by the Donald Trump campaign will not change the outcome of the US Presidential election&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "95.32%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Some people living today (October 17th, 2009) will also be alive on October 17th, 3009.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Some%20people living today (October 17th, 2009) will also be alive on October 17th, 3009.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35.53%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Elon Musk will come out as trans (MtF or MtX)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Elon%20Musk will come out as trans (MtF or MtX)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.13%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "A Mars colony will be established in 2026. It will be an International establishment.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20Mars colony will be established in 2026. It will be an International establishment.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.90%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "An alive human has been on mars soil and returned to earth safely before year 2100.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=An%20alive human has been on mars soil and returned to earth safely before year 2100.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "57.78%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Kamala Harris will be president on Nov. 1, 2021.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Kamala%20Harris will be president on Nov. 1, 2021.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.81%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "If a message from outer space is detected, will we answer it?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20a message from outer space is detected, will we answer it?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "73.94%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "If we answer it, will it be a single answer sent by all of humanity?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20we answer it, will it be a single answer sent by all of humanity?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.44%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "If First Contact yields information beyond current human knowledge, will it be shared and made available for all humans?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20First Contact yields information beyond current human knowledge, will it be shared and made available for all humans?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the title of the New York Times front page article on Sun 11/22 include any of the words: ‘coronavirus,’ ‘COVID-19,’ ‘COVID,’ or ‘SARS-CoV-2’?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20the title of the New York Times front page article on Sun 11/22 include any of the words: ‘coronavirus,’ ‘COVID-19,’ ‘COVID,’ or ‘SARS-CoV-2’?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Extraterrestrial  life will be confirmed on at least one body by 2050. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Extraterrestrial%20 life will be confirmed on at least one body by 2050. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.18%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Overall, in 2019, biosecurity in the context of catastrophic risks had been underfunded and underdiscussed.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Overall,%20in 2019, biosecurity in the context of catastrophic risks had been underfunded and underdiscussed.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "80.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ghislane Maxwell will die by the end of the year 12/31",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Ghislane%20Maxwell will die by the end of the year 12/31&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.48%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "...substantially improve current housing shortages and rent prices by 2035. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...substantially%20improve current housing shortages and rent prices by 2035. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Great Filter is the discovery of AGI, because it destroys their creators (us humans).",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Great Filter is the discovery of AGI, because it destroys their creators (us humans).&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "A CRISPR-edited human baby will be born by 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20CRISPR-edited human baby will be born by 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "43.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Are there simple changes to chimps (or other animals) that would make them much better at accumulating culture?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Are%20there simple changes to chimps (or other animals) that would make them much better at accumulating culture?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.90%",
    "# Forecasts": 29,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will humans continually pursue all simple yet powerful changes to our AIs?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20humans continually pursue all simple yet powerful changes to our AIs?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "59.36%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Mark Zuckerberg, co-founder of Facebook, is President of the United States before 2026",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Mark%20Zuckerberg, co-founder of Facebook, is President of the United States before 2026&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.71%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "There will NOT be a \"World War III\" within the next 10 years. (Between Russia and it's \"allies\" and NATO and/or western europe)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=There%20will NOT be a \"World War III\" within the next 10 years. (Between Russia and it's \"allies\" and NATO and/or western europe)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "93.31%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "C still widely in use in the 2020s",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=C%20still widely in use in the 2020s&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "93.53%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "USA will collapse before the People's Republic of China.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=USA%20will collapse before the People's Republic of China.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "41.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Jesus will not come down from the heavens to judge mankind in my life time, my childrens life time, or my grand-childrens life time.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Jesus%20will not come down from the heavens to judge mankind in my life time, my childrens life time, or my grand-childrens life time.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "92.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"by 2030 we should have the capability to upload a person’s consciousness to a computer system\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"by%202030 we should have the capability to upload a person’s consciousness to a computer system\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we understand the content of a message from outer space?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20we understand the content of a message from outer space?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.39%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "The United States will reach less than 3% unemployment at some point within the next 15 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20United States will reach less than 3% unemployment at some point within the next 15 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.73%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Gay marriage will remain legal throughout a Trump presidency.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Gay%20marriage will remain legal throughout a Trump presidency.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "87.18%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Banning of incandescent light bulbs globally by 2022.Incandescent lightbulbs will not be bought, manufactured or sold legally.\r\n",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Banning%20of incandescent light bulbs globally by 2022.Incandescent lightbulbs will not be bought, manufactured or sold legally.\r\n&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.19%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "If First Contact is in physical form, will the ETI be in biological form?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20First Contact is in physical form, will the ETI be in biological form?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.39%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "The message begins with \"Execute this algorithm on a computer today, or I will make your sun go supernova tomorrow\". Should we execute it?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20message begins with \"Execute this algorithm on a computer today, or I will make your sun go supernova tomorrow\". Should we execute it?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.86%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "...cause a water shortage such that, in 2030, residents of the Bay Area would spend on average 100% more on water, after adjusting for inflation, compared to 2020. (In 2020 the average American spends around $200/year on water)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...cause%20a water shortage such that, in 2030, residents of the Bay Area would spend on average 100% more on water, after adjusting for inflation, compared to 2020. (In 2020 the average American spends around $200/year on water)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18.07%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Microsoft will release the source code to the current version of Windows under a free-software license.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Microsoft%20will release the source code to the current version of Windows under a free-software license.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "In the next ten years, scientists will publish a paper in a refereed journal claiming to have experimentally moved matter faster than the speed of light. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%20the next ten years, scientists will publish a paper in a refereed journal claiming to have experimentally moved matter faster than the speed of light. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "The next non-Democrat to win the White House will also be a non-Republican.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20next non-Democrat to win the White House will also be a non-Republican.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"Within ten years the SAT testing service will require students to take a blood test to prove they are not on cognitive enhancing drugs.\" --James Miller",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"Within%20ten years the SAT testing service will require students to take a blood test to prove they are not on cognitive enhancing drugs.\" --James Miller&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.55%",
    "# Forecasts": 20,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "I will not pass Eliezer in LW karma in the next 10 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=I%20will not pass Eliezer in LW karma in the next 10 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "82.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "The United States will contain less than 50 states by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20United States will contain less than 50 states by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.82%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "North Korea invades South Korea before the end of 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=North%20Korea invades South Korea before the end of 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5.94%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2022,  autonomous drones will have been used by a government agency to kill someone.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202022,  autonomous drones will have been used by a government agency to kill someone.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "53.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "The United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30.26%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "By mid-century, Mandarin will be more widely spoken in Africa than English. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%20mid-century, Mandarin will be more widely spoken in Africa than English. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.21%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Hacking and cyberterrorism will be punishable by death worldwide by Dec. 1, 2029.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Hacking%20and cyberterrorism will be punishable by death worldwide by Dec. 1, 2029.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "A right wing billionaire is behind the creation of bitcoin.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20right wing billionaire is behind the creation of bitcoin.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2022, [almost] every new car will have broadband Internet. -- Alyssa Vance",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202022, [almost] every new car will have broadband Internet. -- Alyssa Vance&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44.15%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "ETI is AGI",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=ETI%20is AGI&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "84.61%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Humanity still a thing in 2036",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Humanity%20still a thing in 2036&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "89.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "There be a \"SETI Winter\" before First Contact.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=There%20be a \"SETI Winter\" before First Contact.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "73.89%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "We will experience an existential catastrophe before First Contact.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=We%20will experience an existential catastrophe before First Contact.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.84%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "The tech will exist and be relatively safe for media to be uploaded directly into the human brain by 2026.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20tech will exist and be relatively safe for media to be uploaded directly into the human brain by 2026.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.62%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "If First Contact is in physical form, will the ETI \"spaceship\" be larger than 1m in size?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20First Contact is in physical form, will the ETI \"spaceship\" be larger than 1m in size?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "51.36%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before receiving a message from outer space, will we need a technological breakthrough (e.g., by discovering yet unknown elementary particles)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%20receiving a message from outer space, will we need a technological breakthrough (e.g., by discovering yet unknown elementary particles)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 18,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Generic AI won't happen in the next 10 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Generic%20AI won't happen in the next 10 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85.31%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Joe Biden is the sitting president 4 years from today",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Joe%20Biden is the sitting president 4 years from today&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.75%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "...create buildings where the expected yearly damage from earthquakes (both in terms of reduced quality of life and property destroyed) is >1.5x that of nearby buildings on old land.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...create%20buildings where the expected yearly damage from earthquakes (both in terms of reduced quality of life and property destroyed) is >1.5x that of nearby buildings on old land.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "37.07%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the number of active COVID cases in California increase by more than 15K between Fri 11/20 and Sun 11/22?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20the number of active COVID cases in California increase by more than 15K between Fri 11/20 and Sun 11/22?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71.29%",
    "# Forecasts": 21,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Reproductive human cloning widely socially accepted by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Reproductive%20human cloning widely socially accepted by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32.06%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"The Essential Workers\" (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"The%20Essential Workers\" (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.27%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "North Korea will invade South Korea by January 1st, 2022",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=North%20Korea will invade South Korea by January 1st, 2022&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "All children in the US must have GPS attached to them in some sense by law if they leave their parents house.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=All%20children in the US must have GPS attached to them in some sense by law if they leave their parents house.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Average world IQ to decrease from 2015 to 2050",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Average%20world IQ to decrease from 2015 to 2050&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "...all-things-considered, be good for the world.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...all-things-considered,%20be good for the world.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "81.32%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Fusion Power will revolutionize the world energy demands by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Fusion%20Power will revolutionize the world energy demands by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Our descendants will colonize millions of star systems within ten thousand years or so. -- Robin Hanson",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Our%20descendants will colonize millions of star systems within ten thousand years or so. -- Robin Hanson&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "27.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "USA mints a coin worth $1,000,000,000 or more before 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=USA%20mints a coin worth $1,000,000,000 or more before 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Truly \"Pilotless\" air travel will be the standard in 2050.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Truly%20\"Pilotless\" air travel will be the standard in 2050.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "62.71%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Roman Catholic Church ordains female priests before 2033.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Roman Catholic Church ordains female priests before 2033.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "In the next ten years, self-identified Libertarians will outnumber self-identified Republicans in the US. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%20the next ten years, self-identified Libertarians will outnumber self-identified Republicans in the US. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump dies of COVID-19",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20dies of COVID-19&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.63%",
    "# Forecasts": 32,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2030, mothers will be the primary breadwinner in the majority of households with children in the U.S.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202030, mothers will be the primary breadwinner in the majority of households with children in the U.S.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "38.31%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "10 million",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=10%20million&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.42%",
    "# Forecasts": 36,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Human level AI by 2029 (Ray Kurzweil, \"How to create a mind\")",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Human%20level AI by 2029 (Ray Kurzweil, \"How to create a mind\")&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.75%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Saudi Arabian government collapses within the next 5 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Saudi%20Arabian government collapses within the next 5 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Satoshi Nakamoto is just Wei Dai and this is known before 2060",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Satoshi%20Nakamoto is just Wei Dai and this is known before 2060&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13.37%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2065, a majority of the world will be vegan. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202065, a majority of the world will be vegan. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Steve Jobs' brain was cryopreserved or plastinated within two weeks of declaration of death, and this is known before 2070.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Steve%20Jobs' brain was cryopreserved or plastinated within two weeks of declaration of death, and this is known before 2070.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Kanye West elected President by 2032 -- Scott Adams",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Kanye%20West elected President by 2032 -- Scott Adams&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.60%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "If we find indications of a dormant artifact buried on the moon, should we dig it up?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20we find indications of a dormant artifact buried on the moon, should we dig it up?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "If the message is not shared, will it yield a decisive advantage for its owner?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20the message is not shared, will it yield a decisive advantage for its owner?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "43.11%",
    "# Forecasts": 19,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "The first person to set foot on Mars will have left Earth holding American citizenship.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20first person to set foot on Mars will have left Earth holding American citizenship.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Effective HIV vaccine developed by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Effective%20HIV vaccine developed by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "69.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a message from outer space contain deep and profound information?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20a message from outer space contain deep and profound information?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "52.47%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "There will be a Youtube video with more views (on Youtube) than there will be living humans before 2020.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=There%20will be a Youtube video with more views (on Youtube) than there will be living humans before 2020.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "63.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Joe Biden dies of coronavirus in 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Joe%20Biden dies of coronavirus in 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2060 there will be a human alive with age 140 or older.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%202060 there will be a human alive with age 140 or older.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46.07%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "North Korea and South Korea to unify by 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=North%20Korea and South Korea to unify by 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20.25%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "The European Union will unite into a single super state by 2030.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20European Union will unite into a single super state by 2030.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "the average lifespan will be eighty-five to ninety in 2100. --S. Jay Olshansky",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=the%20average lifespan will be eighty-five to ninety in 2100. --S. Jay Olshansky&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "No amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2030.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2030.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60.83%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "...significantly worsen traffic in San Francisco.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=...significantly%20worsen traffic in San Francisco.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "58.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Decision-makers in media and PR, and corporate and government elites generally, have a lower tolerance for verbal conflict and taboo violations than the typical individual.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Decision-makers%20in media and PR, and corporate and government elites generally, have a lower tolerance for verbal conflict and taboo violations than the typical individual.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79.65%",
    "# Forecasts": 17,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Alphabet/Google buys Microsoft",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Alphabet/Google%20buys Microsoft&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.71%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "We will detect evidence of Intelligent alien life within the next 50 years. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=We%20will detect evidence of Intelligent alien life within the next 50 years. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "24.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "“There will be a casino on the moon by 2040.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“There%20will be a casino on the moon by 2040.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.83%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will first contact cause an existential catastrophe?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20first contact cause an existential catastrophe?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "49.24%",
    "# Forecasts": 33,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2020, there will be a new World government. --Ray Kurzweil",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202020, there will be a new World government. --Ray Kurzweil&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.73%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "100 million",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=100%20million&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 29,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Some%20modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "1 year continuous human habitation of the moon",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=1%20year continuous human habitation of the moon&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15.93%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "If someone does experience a clogged drainpipe effect, is it possible to \"train it away\"? That is, to, with 1000 hours of practice, get to a point where their life largely looks the same as it did before except that they report no longer experiencing the effect (and this is borne out by measures of # of quality-adjusted ideas babbled per time unit, or similar)? (It doesn't count if the only way of doing it is by, say, making sure to write 10 ideas every day, or something similar. I'm wondering if it's possible to change your cognition at a deep level, rather than using particular, deliberate, S2 techniques to sustain an equilibirum which you'd fall out of if you stopped using the techniques)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=If%20someone does experience a clogged drainpipe effect, is it possible to \"train it away\"? That is, to, with 1000 hours of practice, get to a point where their life largely looks the same as it did before except that they report no longer experiencing the effect (and this is borne out by measures of # of quality-adjusted ideas babbled per time unit, or similar)? (It doesn't count if the only way of doing it is by, say, making sure to write 10 ideas every day, or something similar. I'm wondering if it's possible to change your cognition at a deep level, rather than using particular, deliberate, S2 techniques to sustain an equilibirum which you'd fall out of if you stopped using the techniques)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "63.15%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "Lab-grown meat on sale at 20 times the price of animal-grown meat or cheaper.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Lab-grown%20meat on sale at 20 times the price of animal-grown meat or cheaper.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "63.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2035",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2035&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "51.07%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "At the end of the year, all SlateStarCodex archives are rehosted by Scott on SlateStarCodex or some other site (third-party created archives don't count) AND Scott has written at least one new post on SlateStarCodex or this new site",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=At%20the end of the year, all SlateStarCodex archives are rehosted by Scott on SlateStarCodex or some other site (third-party created archives don't count) AND Scott has written at least one new post on SlateStarCodex or this new site&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "78.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2025",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2025&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30.40%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"Mankind is unlikely to exist in anything like its present form in 2150.\" -lukeprog",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"Mankind%20is unlikely to exist in anything like its present form in 2150.\" -lukeprog&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Simon Cowell will be cryogenically stored.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Simon%20Cowell will be cryogenically stored.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18.25%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Russia will be an Islamic theocracy by 31 December 2050.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Russia%20will be an Islamic theocracy by 31 December 2050.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.31%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Riemann hypothesis proven by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Riemann%20hypothesis proven by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "37.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "“By 2030, commercial passengers will routinely fly in pilotless planes.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“By%202030, commercial passengers will routinely fly in pilotless planes.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Donald Knuth will die before finishing TAOCP.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Donald%20Knuth will die before finishing TAOCP.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "86.83%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "Warren Buffett: All cars on the road will be electric by year 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Warren%20Buffett: All cars on the road will be electric by year 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.58%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "'By the end of the decade, it will be clear that North Korea never had nuclear weapons under Kim Jong Il.' --Kevin",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search='By%20the end of the decade, it will be clear that North Korea never had nuclear weapons under Kim Jong Il.' --Kevin&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.17%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 12
  },
  {
    "Title": "The effect of First contact is mostly neutral (e.g., invisible, indifferent, uninteresting, mild nuisance )",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20effect of First contact is mostly neutral (e.g., invisible, indifferent, uninteresting, mild nuisance )&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 26,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The effect of First contact is mostly harmful (e.g., selfish ETI, hazards) ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20effect of First contact is mostly harmful (e.g., selfish ETI, hazards) &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.82%",
    "# Forecasts": 22,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "GRRM dies before finishing _A Song of Ice and Fire_",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=GRRM%20dies before finishing _A Song of Ice and Fire_&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "41.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"within 5 years of leaving office, the Obamas will have a net worth of more than $50 million.\" --Dennis Mangan",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"within%205 years of leaving office, the Obamas will have a net worth of more than $50 million.\" --Dennis Mangan&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64.82%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any of the NYT Coronavirus vaccine tracker numbers increase between 9am PST Fri 11/20 and 9am PST Sun 11/22?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20any of the NYT Coronavirus vaccine tracker numbers increase between 9am PST Fri 11/20 and 9am PST Sun 11/22?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "76.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Arbital to become a top-1000 site by 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Arbital%20to become a top-1000 site by 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Heterogenity of ETI: Are they all the \"same\"? Over millions of years of evolution beyond humanity, have they evolved and converged to some \"final being\"?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Heterogenity%20of ETI: Are they all the \"same\"? Over millions of years of evolution beyond humanity, have they evolved and converged to some \"final being\"?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.27%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The effect of First contact is mostly beneficial (e.g., cooperative or merely detectable)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20effect of First contact is mostly beneficial (e.g., cooperative or merely detectable)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.88%",
    "# Forecasts": 25,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will humans (at least one) leave the solar system within 10 years after First Contact?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20humans (at least one) leave the solar system within 10 years after First Contact?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 15,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any LessWrong post made on Friday 11/20 get more than 100 karma by 9am PST on Sun 11/22?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20any LessWrong post made on Friday 11/20 get more than 100 karma by 9am PST on Sun 11/22?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"In the next 10 years, I expect at least five billion people worldwide to own smartphones\" --Marc Andreessen",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"In%20the next 10 years, I expect at least five billion people worldwide to own smartphones\" --Marc Andreessen&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75.17%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "A professional athlete will *not* voluntarily amputate their legs to use prosthetics like Oscar Pistorius, before 2041.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20professional athlete will *not* voluntarily amputate their legs to use prosthetics like Oscar Pistorius, before 2041.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "38.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "At least 10 percent of people in the U.S. to be vegetarian (or in-vitro-ist) in 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=At%20least 10 percent of people in the U.S. to be vegetarian (or in-vitro-ist) in 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Germany to decommission all nuclear reactors by 2023",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Germany%20to decommission all nuclear reactors by 2023&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "57.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The EA community has sometimes erred too much on the side of shutting down discussions of biology by turning them into discussions about info-hazards.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20EA community has sometimes erred too much on the side of shutting down discussions of biology by turning them into discussions about info-hazards.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "76.77%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The core cognitive loop that causes progress in accomplished Buddhists is basically cognitive behavioral therapy, supercharged with a mental state more intense than most pharmaceuticals.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20core cognitive loop that causes progress in accomplished Buddhists is basically cognitive behavioral therapy, supercharged with a mental state more intense than most pharmaceuticals.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44.63%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will legal factory farming end by January 1st 2100? ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20legal factory farming end by January 1st 2100? &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "23.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 24,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "“I predict that by 2030, China will lay an ownership claim to the entire moon.”- Kelly L Anderson",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“I%20predict that by 2030, China will lay an ownership claim to the entire moon.”- Kelly L Anderson&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Intel will revolutionize computing by placing the first artificial quantum computer chip on the maket by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Intel%20will revolutionize computing by placing the first artificial quantum computer chip on the maket by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Caffeine will be an illegal substance ... in 60 countries by 2027. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Caffeine%20will be an illegal substance ... in 60 countries by 2027. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5.42%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Goldbach's conjecture proven by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Goldbach's%20conjecture proven by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Machine translation no worse than human translation by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Machine%20translation no worse than human translation by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65.93%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Diagnosing standard medical conditions routinely involves DNA testing by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Diagnosing%20standard medical conditions routinely involves DNA testing by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2045",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2045&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.86%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "They'll clone a woolly mammoth by 2040",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=They'll%20clone a woolly mammoth by 2040&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.57%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "With the making of the North American Union, a new revolutionary technology will be developed in the attempt to set a colony on Mars. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=With%20the making of the North American Union, a new revolutionary technology will be developed in the attempt to set a colony on Mars. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2030 organized religions will have no political influence.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Before%202030 organized religions will have no political influence.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.29%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "“In the year 2050, there will not be an operating fusion power plant -- a device that generates net energy via a nuclear fusion reaction and transmits it to the electrical grid -- anywhere in the world.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“In%20the year 2050, there will not be an operating fusion power plant -- a device that generates net energy via a nuclear fusion reaction and transmits it to the electrical grid -- anywhere in the world.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "China will land a man on Mars by 2050.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=China%20will land a man on Mars by 2050.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "43.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "SIAI shuts down or relocates outside the United States before 2021.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=SIAI%20shuts down or relocates outside the United States before 2021.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"At least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150.\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"At%20least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150.\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.21%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"By March 25, 2033, there will be successful whole brain emulation.\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"By%20March 25, 2033, there will be successful whole brain emulation.\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "16.33%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Neutrino communication will be used commercially for high-frequency trading within 10 years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Neutrino%20communication will be used commercially for high-frequency trading within 10 years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump will run for president in 2024",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20will run for president in 2024&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Michelle Obama will run for office before 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Michelle%20Obama will run for office before 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21.27%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The LW user account \"Grognor\" will make a comment in a thread other than rationality quotes some time in the next ten years.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20LW user account \"Grognor\" will make a comment in a thread other than rationality quotes some time in the next ten years.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The phosphine detected on Venus is widely agreed among the scientific community to be from life.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20phosphine detected on Venus is widely agreed among the scientific community to be from life.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.42%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Republicans will win the 2024 presidential election",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Republicans%20will win the 2024 presidential election&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Biden will resign sometime during the presidency conditional on him winning the election",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Biden%20will resign sometime during the presidency conditional on him winning the election&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.18%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump wins the 2020 election.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20wins the 2020 election.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Significant third party challengers will temporally emerge  within the next eight years in the USA.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Significant%20third party challengers will temporally emerge  within the next eight years in the USA.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "24.75%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "No amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "77.83%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Joe Biden gets coronavirus in 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Joe%20Biden gets coronavirus in 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "50 million",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=50%20million&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.65%",
    "# Forecasts": 34,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Jeffrey Epstein was murdered and there is good evidence (e.g. footage or accepted confession or arrest warrant or conviction) that this was the case, before 2022",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Jeffrey%20Epstein was murdered and there is good evidence (e.g. footage or accepted confession or arrest warrant or conviction) that this was the case, before 2022&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.54%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2033, more than 5% of deaths in China will be the result of state-mandated involuntary euthanasia.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%202033, more than 5% of deaths in China will be the result of state-mandated involuntary euthanasia.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "Human drivers will be illegal on *some* USA roads by 2030",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Human%20drivers will be illegal on *some* USA roads by 2030&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "People will choose virtual-reality clothes/make-up/accessories (like Snapchat filters), that are visible in real life to most people around them. This will be used by >10% of people, walking down the street, on dates, in business contexts.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=People%20will choose virtual-reality clothes/make-up/accessories (like Snapchat filters), that are visible in real life to most people around them. This will be used by >10% of people, walking down the street, on dates, in business contexts.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "We will still need human translators for serious translation work by 2040",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=We%20will still need human translators for serious translation work by 2040&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "52.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "some portion of England and the United States will be unified as one country or similar state within 10 years",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=some%20portion of England and the United States will be unified as one country or similar state within 10 years&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3.77%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "The US will institute a minimum guaranteed income (aka basic guaranteed income, unconditional basic income, etc.) at a Federal level by 2045.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20US will institute a minimum guaranteed income (aka basic guaranteed income, unconditional basic income, etc.) at a Federal level by 2045.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.43%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "\"there is a 100% chance you will see a private corporation go to war with a small country, and win, within twenty years.\" - Scott Adams",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\"there%20is a 100% chance you will see a private corporation go to war with a small country, and win, within twenty years.\" - Scott Adams&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20.73%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "At least two commercial reactors supplying fusion power to the grid by 2030. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=At%20least two commercial reactors supplying fusion power to the grid by 2030. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "23.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "By end of 2030, there will be commercially available self-driving cars in at least one OECD country where it will be legal to use them. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%20end of 2030, there will be commercially available self-driving cars in at least one OECD country where it will be legal to use them. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "93.25%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "No fusion scheme will succeed until 2050, when ITER will be the first and only successful fusion scheme. Nothing else will even come close to meeting the triple product, nτT of ITER. There won't be a commercial fusion reactor in 2050 though, just a demo",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20fusion scheme will succeed until 2050, when ITER will be the first and only successful fusion scheme. Nothing else will even come close to meeting the triple product, nτT of ITER. There won't be a commercial fusion reactor in 2050 though, just a demo&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45.31%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "'President Mike Pence'",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search='President%20Mike Pence'&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.06%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2050, a biologically functional but cosmetic novel body part produced by 3D printing technology will be demonstrated in a human, in vivo. For example: A horn, pointy ears, or an extra thumb. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202050, a biologically functional but cosmetic novel body part produced by 3D printing technology will be demonstrated in a human, in vivo. For example: A horn, pointy ears, or an extra thumb. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Fewer than 30% of the US Population self-identify as Christians.\r\n\r\nhttp://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/americas-changing-religious-landscape/",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Fewer%20than 30% of the US Population self-identify as Christians.\r\n\r\nhttp://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/americas-changing-religious-landscape/&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19.80%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump dies of Coronavirus in 2020",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20dies of Coronavirus in 2020&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1.36%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Google self driving car will get in an accident (involving human injury or property damage > $2k) before end of 2018.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Google%20self driving car will get in an accident (involving human injury or property damage > $2k) before end of 2018.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "48.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Trump Elected and constitutional crisis with US military disobeying direct orders from POTUS",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Trump%20Elected and constitutional crisis with US military disobeying direct orders from POTUS&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.30%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "WWIII starts before 2030.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=WWIII%20starts before 2030.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.86%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Caitlyn Jenner = POTUS",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Caitlyn%20Jenner = POTUS&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.20%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will this question get an answer, within a month, I judge as \"very insightful and directly relevant to how I approach Babble challenges in the future, enabling me to learn and grow faster?\"",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20this question get an answer, within a month, I judge as \"very insightful and directly relevant to how I approach Babble challenges in the future, enabling me to learn and grow faster?\"&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Airbnb to be acquired by 2025",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Airbnb%20to be acquired by 2025&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34.64%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Rob Wiblin post more than 12 tweets (not including retweets) between 9am PST on Fri 11/20 and 9am PST on Sun 11/22?",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Will%20Rob Wiblin post more than 12 tweets (not including retweets) between 9am PST on Fri 11/20 and 9am PST on Sun 11/22?&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "52.69%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "P!=NP, and proven by 2040 --Ken",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=P!=NP,%20and proven by 2040 --Ken&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44.17%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ecstasy (MDMA) will be legalized for prescription use in the U.S. by 2025. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Ecstasy%20(MDMA) will be legalized for prescription use in the U.S. by 2025. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.10%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "A working brain-to-brain direct communication interface will be demonstrated in human clinical trials by 2025.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20working brain-to-brain direct communication interface will be demonstrated in human clinical trials by 2025.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "41.30%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Advanced cultural skills are not very useful for species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Advanced%20cultural skills are not very useful for species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 16,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2050, there will be at least one person cryonically frozen in space.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202050, there will be at least one person cryonically frozen in space.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15.80%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "“By the year 2150, over 50% of schools in the USA or Western Europe will require classes in defending against robot attacks.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“By%20the year 2150, over 50% of schools in the USA or Western Europe will require classes in defending against robot attacks.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.42%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "We ask ETI \"do we live in a simulation\"? They answer \"yes\".",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=We%20ask ETI \"do we live in a simulation\"? They answer \"yes\".&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Robust mouse rejuvenation by 2020 -- Aubrey de Grey",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Robust%20mouse rejuvenation by 2020 -- Aubrey de Grey&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13.14%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "SpaceX will launch a Mars orbit or flyby mission before 2021",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=SpaceX%20will launch a Mars orbit or flyby mission before 2021&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70.67%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Advanced cultural skills are not directly selected for in species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Advanced%20cultural skills are not directly selected for in species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46.70%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Advanced cultural skills are too complex for species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills to acquire.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Advanced%20cultural skills are too complex for species with sub-human levels of general cognitive skills and social skills to acquire.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "27.79%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2085 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 150",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202085 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 150&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33.46%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "EU to dissolve by 2040.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=EU%20to dissolve by 2040.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39.45%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Russia and Morocco have joined the European Union, and the EU slowly takes on the character of a nation; it has a common foreign policy and a standing army by 2040. -- Axel Boldt",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Russia%20and Morocco have joined the European Union, and the EU slowly takes on the character of a nation; it has a common foreign policy and a standing army by 2040. -- Axel Boldt&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10.92%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "No human will visit the moon from 2012 to 2032",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=No%20human will visit the moon from 2012 to 2032&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "52.73%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2035, the general consensus will be that the US federal government orchestrated the 9/11 attacks. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202035, the general consensus will be that the US federal government orchestrated the 9/11 attacks. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Within the next 1000 years we will discover that the singularity already happened a very long time ago and that we are the AIs that resulted from it.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Within%20the next 1000 years we will discover that the singularity already happened a very long time ago and that we are the AIs that resulted from it.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "HIV will be eradicated by 2040 (Daniel Lemire)",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=HIV%20will be eradicated by 2040 (Daniel Lemire)&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.91%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "A Confirmed SETI detection of an ET technological civilization.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=A%20Confirmed SETI detection of an ET technological civilization.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "By the time most of the world’s population has made the transition to a vegan or cultured-meat diet, the rearing of other sentient beings for human consumption will be illegal under international law. -- David Pearce",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%20the time most of the world’s population has made the transition to a vegan or cultured-meat diet, the rearing of other sentient beings for human consumption will be illegal under international law. -- David Pearce&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "16.00%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "The First Domed City will exist before 2040. This will be the first above-ground structure since The third World War (WWIII).",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20First Domed City will exist before 2040. This will be the first above-ground structure since The third World War (WWIII).&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "HIV will be cured by 2025, but 5 new viruses deadlier than it will replace it.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=HIV%20will be cured by 2025, but 5 new viruses deadlier than it will replace it.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.09%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Alien/Time travelling human presence revealed on 27th of March 2022",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Alien/Time%20travelling human presence revealed on 27th of March 2022&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Generic molecular assemblers won't be developed within the next 20 years. \r\n\r\nBy “generic” I mean they can build macroscopic (≥ 10 mm³) objects for any reasonable function, and by “molecular” meaning 50%+ of chemical bonds don't come from bulk chemistry.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Generic%20molecular assemblers won't be developed within the next 20 years. \r\n\r\nBy “generic” I mean they can build macroscopic (≥ 10 mm³) objects for any reasonable function, and by “molecular” meaning 50%+ of chemical bonds don't come from bulk chemistry.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "77.10%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "More than 50% of all passenger cars on the road are completely autonomous, self-driving vehicles.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=More%20than 50% of all passenger cars on the road are completely autonomous, self-driving vehicles.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26.38%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Internet Archive will operate through 2025-07-01",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=The%20Internet Archive will operate through 2025-07-01&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "78.90%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "“The End of State Sovereignty: By 2030, some form of international federation or global governmental structure will emerge that can exercise ultimate authority over world affairs.”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“The%20End of State Sovereignty: By 2030, some form of international federation or global governmental structure will emerge that can exercise ultimate authority over world affairs.”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.46%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "“China will break apart by 2030”",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=“China%20will break apart by 2030”&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "24.60%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Scotland holds another independence referendum in the next 5 years. ",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Scotland%20holds another independence referendum in the next 5 years. &binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.60%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 10 years I will think Reddit/LW-style reputational/karma systems will be a bad thing (compared to non-karma systems like OB).",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%2010 years I will think Reddit/LW-style reputational/karma systems will be a bad thing (compared to non-karma systems like OB).&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20.40%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "homosexuality criminalized in the US",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=homosexuality%20criminalized in the US&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2.50%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
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  {
    "Title": "By the end of 2063, the consumption of meat from animals will be illegal in at least one area of Europe or North America with a population of at least 100,000",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%20the end of 2063, the consumption of meat from animals will be illegal in at least one area of Europe or North America with a population of at least 100,000&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
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    "# Forecasters": 10
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  {
    "Title": "Larry King's brain will be cryopreserved or plastinated within 2 weeks of declaration of death, and this is known before 2070",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Larry%20King's brain will be cryopreserved or plastinated within 2 weeks of declaration of death, and this is known before 2070&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
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    "Percentage": "22.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 12,
    "# Forecasters": 10
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  {
    "Title": "\". The revenue for higher ed is falling into a black hole. I predict that by 2021 the whole enterprise will cease to exist in anything resembling its current form.\" --Dan King",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=\".%20The revenue for higher ed is falling into a black hole. I predict that by 2021 the whole enterprise will cease to exist in anything resembling its current form.\" --Dan King&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11.46%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
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  {
    "Title": "By 2030 the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence will have given up on friendly AI and instead focus on fail-safe mechanisms.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=By%202030 the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence will have given up on friendly AI and instead focus on fail-safe mechanisms.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
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    "Percentage": "30.90%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
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  {
    "Title": "Reservatrol or a chemically similar compound will be an accepted anti-aging treatment in humans by 2025",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Reservatrol%20or a chemically similar compound will be an accepted anti-aging treatment in humans by 2025&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "29.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Elon Musk has sent a crewed mission to Mars",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Elon%20Musk has sent a crewed mission to Mars&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.30%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2038 the population of the US will be 2 billion, none of them illegal. -Moldbug",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=In%202038 the population of the US will be 2 billion, none of them illegal. -Moldbug&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9.36%",
    "# Forecasts": 14,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Mars to have detectable non-anthropogenic life on it",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=Mars%20to have detectable non-anthropogenic life on it&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21.70%",
    "# Forecasts": 10,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "1,000,000+ planets will have been cataloged by 2035",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=1,000,000+%20planets will have been cataloged by 2035&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "41.08%",
    "# Forecasts": 13,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "At least one self-described \"anarchist\" will be voted into a national office in the United States by 2021.",
    "URL": "https://elicit.org/binary?binaryQuestions.search=At%20least one self-described \"anarchist\" will be voted into a national office in the United States by 2021.&binaryQuestions.sortBy=popularity&limit=20&offset=0",
    "Platform": "Elicit",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36.82%",
    "# Forecasts": 11,
    "# Forecasters": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Universe end?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/161/will-the-universe-end/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 546
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will SpaceX land people on Mars prior to 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 4868
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/353/will-someone-born-before-2001-live-to-be-150/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "61%",
    "# Forecasts": 779
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/363/will-a-fusion-based-electrical-generation-facility-generation-100-mw-or-more-using-only-fusion-as-an-energy-source-come-into-service-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 283
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/372/will-human-brain-emulation-be-the-first-successful-route-to-human-level-digital-intelligence/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6%",
    "# Forecasts": 398
  },
  {
    "Title": "The end of the EU as we know it by 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/375/the-end-of-the-eu-as-we-know-it/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12%",
    "# Forecasts": 775
  },
  {
    "Title": "Human-machine intelligence parity by 2040?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/384/human-machine-intelligence-parity-by-2040/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 887
  },
  {
    "Title": "Robocup Challenge",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/397/robocup-challenge/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31%",
    "# Forecasts": 295
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will there be machine-kindergartner parity in LEGO construction?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/404/how-long-until-machine-kindergartner-parity-in-lego-construction/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 290
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/406/when-will-ais-program-programs-that-can-program-ais/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 469
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first law concerning artificial intelligence be passed in the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/418/when-will-the-first-law-concerning-artificial-intelligence-be-passed-in-the-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 402
  },
  {
    "Title": "If you die today and get cryonically frozen, will you \"wake up\"?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/455/if-you-die-today-and-get-cryonically-frozen-will-you-wake-up/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 520
  },
  {
    "Title": "If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in white winning?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/480/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-white-winning/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 106
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/489/will-the-european-union-meet-its-2030-targets-under-the-paris-climate-treaty/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39%",
    "# Forecasts": 273
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will China achieve its Paris Climate Agreement goals?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/491/will-china-achieve-its-paris-climate-agreement-goals/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 263
  },
  {
    "Title": "With an international nuclear weapons ban in place, will a country that has nuclear weapons actually give them up by 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/492/with-an-international-nuclear-weapons-ban-in-place-will-at-least-one-nuclear-state-actually-give-them-up-by-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 246
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/512/will-an-ai-system-do-credibly-well-on-a-full-math-sat-exam-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 608
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/513/will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-be-within-the-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36%",
    "# Forecasts": 269
  },
  {
    "Title": "A major United States earthquake by 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/570/a-major-united-states-earthquake-within-the-next-five-years/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 496
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will humans go extinct by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/578/human-extinction-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 632
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will VR or AR Headsets dominate by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/579/will-vr-or-ar-headsets-dominate-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 248
  },
  {
    "Title": "2˚C global warming by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/585/2c-global-warming-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "89%",
    "# Forecasts": 355
  },
  {
    "Title": "World Population in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 303
  },
  {
    "Title": "If alien life is discovered in the Solar System before 2050, which place will be the natural environment of the first extraterrestrial (Solar) life-form of which there is conclusive evidence?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 79
  },
  {
    "Title": "Increased off-world population in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/594/off-world-population-in-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "94%",
    "# Forecasts": 438
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a sample of negative energy be produced by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/600/will-a-sample-of-negative-energy-be-produced-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 225
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected within the next 10 years?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/604/will-gravitational-waves-from-the-merger-of-supermassive-black-holes-be-detected-within-the-next-10-years/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68%",
    "# Forecasts": 255
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much global warming by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/605/how-much-global-warming-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 447
  },
  {
    "Title": "Answer to signal broadcast into space by 2045?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/606/answer-to-signal-broadcast-into-space-by-2045/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 241
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will our current peace be shorter than the Pax Romana?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/610/will-our-current-peace-be-shorter-than-the-pax-romana/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 349
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a Vegan Country by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/614/will-there-be-a-vegan-country-by-2100/",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 456
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we reach the island of stability by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/658/will-we-reach-the-island-of-stability-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
    "# Forecasts": 196
  },
  {
    "Title": "Kessler syndrome by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/665/how-many-starlink-satellites-will-be-operational-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 416
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the world create the first Trillionaire?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/676/when-will-the-world-create-the-first-trillionaire/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 341
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2025 will someone be able to hold his/her breath for 30+ minutes?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. get rid of the penny by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/685/will-the-us-get-rid-of-the-penny-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 359
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a human made spaceship enter the Venusian atmosphere before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/686/will-a-human-made-spaceship-enter-the-venusian-atmosphere-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "57.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 416
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will there be a mile-high building?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/735/when-will-there-be-a-mile-high-building/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 203
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/736/will-there-be-a-complete-4-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles-before-the-first-1-year-interval-in-which-world-output-doubles/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 270
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/737/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85%",
    "# Forecasts": 1032
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/797/will-puerto-rico-become-a-us-state-prior-to-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive?",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered by 2045?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/808/will-europa-be-the-first-place-humanity-will-discover-extraterrestrial-life-if-it-is-discovered-by-2045/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "22%",
    "# Forecasts": 334
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/809/will-a-member-of-president-trumps-inner-circle-be-sentenced-to-jail-by-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": 315
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/824/will-a-practical-nuclear-fusion-reactor-first-be-developed-in-china/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 313
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus exist in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/841/will-metaculus-exist-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85%",
    "# Forecasts": 455
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the world's richest person in 2033 have a net worth greater than that of John D. Rockefeller in 1913?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/899/will-the-worlds-richest-person-in-2033-have-a-net-worth-greater-than-that-of-john-d-rockefeller-in-1913/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 231
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we discover clear evidence of proton decay by 2040?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/915/will-we-discover-clear-evidence-of-proton-decay-by-2040/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 144
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will another 9/11 on U.S. soil be prevented at least through 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/916/will-another-911-on-us-soil-be-prevented-at-least-through-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 224
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a space elevator successfully be built by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/917/will-a-space-elevator-successfully-be-built-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.000000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 318
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will we get the last communication from Voyager 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/943/when-will-we-get-the-last-communication-from-voyager-1/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 110
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mike Pence be elected president of the United States in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/953/will-mike-pence-be-elected-president-of-the-united-states-in-2024/",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": 197
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/957/donald-trump-spends-time-in-jail-or-prison/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19%",
    "# Forecasts": 1038
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/968/will-cost-adjusted-it-technology-be-worse-than-it-was-8-years-32-quarters-ago-in-at-least-one-quarter-prior-to-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.999999999999996%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will commercial supersonic flight return?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 261
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) prior to 2035?",
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  {
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  {
    "Title": "Any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned within 10 years of Justice Kennedy’s retirement?",
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    "# Forecasts": 341
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  {
    "Title": "Will there be a city on Earth with a population of over 100 million by 2100?",
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  {
    "Title": "How long will the Great Pyramids be recognizable?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1056/how-long-will-the-great-pyramids-be-recognizable/",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will humanity (essentially) run out of at least one element currently considered \"under serious threat\" by 2040?",
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  {
    "Title": "Before 2051, will a meteor cause more injuries than the one that shook Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will there be a 9 foot tall human by 2075?",
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    "# Forecasts": 211
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  {
    "Title": "When will the student loan debt bubble \"pop\"?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1085/when-will-the-student-loan-debt-bubble-pop/",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the last member of our species, homo sapiens, be born?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will we get through the 21st century without an assassination of a sitting American President?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Ray Kurzweil be proven right?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1321/will-ray-kurzweil-be-proven-right/",
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  {
    "Title": "Will global malaria mortality rates be reduced by 90% when compared with 2015 rates, by 2030?",
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  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 1st Parameter R∗: What is the average rate of formation of suitable stars (stars/year) in our galaxy?",
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  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 5th parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 230
  },
  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 245
  },
  {
    "Title": "Drake's Equation 7th parameter L: For how many years does a civilization remain detectable?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1343/drakes-equation-7th-parameter-l/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a mission to land a spacecraft on Europa launch by 2030?",
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    "# Forecasts": 129
  },
  {
    "Title": "Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1385/qualia-research-institute-question-series-will-psilocybin-be-a-clinically-approved-treatment-for-end-of-life-anxiety-by-2027/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64%",
    "# Forecasts": 234
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will AI progress surprise us?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1394/will-ai-progress-surprise-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 455
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Parker Solar Probe survive its 24 loops around the sun while getting just a few million miles away from the surface of our star?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 131
  },
  {
    "Title": "Does P = NP? Informally: If the solution to a problem is easy to check for correctness, must the problem be easy to solve?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1408/does-p--np-informally-if-the-solution-to-a-problem-is-easy-to-check-for-correctness-must-the-problem-be-easy-to-solve/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 190
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will one TeraFlOPS cost $1?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 138
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  {
    "Title": "When will a fifth nation be able to launch people into space?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 171
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  {
    "Title": "Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 439
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1433/will-the-fraction-of-american-18-24-year-olds-enrolled-in-colleges-in-2025-be-10-less-than-were-enrolled-in-2015/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 179
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  {
    "Title": "When will India send their first own astronauts to space?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 211
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  {
    "Title": "When will the longest spaceflight of any one person reach 5 years?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 116
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  {
    "Title": "Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?",
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    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 170
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  {
    "Title": "A freer China? Chinese political rights and civil liberties in 2028",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 146
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  {
    "Title": "Will Angela Merkel remain chancellor after the next German federal elections?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 271
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  {
    "Title": "Will Xi Jinping keep leading China past 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "88%",
    "# Forecasts": 272
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?",
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    "Percentage": "53%",
    "# Forecasts": 196
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?",
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    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 284
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any intelligent living being (human descendants, aliens, etc.) ever listen to the copy of Blind Willie Johnson's \"Dark Was the Night\" on Voyager I's Golden Record?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": 169
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will either the Democratic or Republican party in the US cease to exist?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 119
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  {
    "Title": "What percentage of Americans will be considered obese or overweight in 2030?",
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    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 258
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be Top500's #1 performing supercomputer as a multiple of the #500 performer in 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: By 2100 will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?",
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    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 222
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  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1494/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nuclear-war/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "27%",
    "# Forecasts": 176
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1495/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-an-artificial-intelligence-failure-mode/",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "23%",
    "# Forecasts": 237
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 53
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1500/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-either-human-made-climate-change-or-geoengineering/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 273
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1501/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-be-due-to-nanotechnology-failure-mode/",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 128
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?",
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    "Percentage": "24%",
    "# Forecasts": 175
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  {
    "Title": "How many NASA \"space launch system\" (SLS) launches before 2030?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Do humans have functionally important neurogenesis throughout their life?",
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    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 131
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  {
    "Title": "Will the identity of Bitcoin's founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, be revealed to the general public by 2025?",
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    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 395
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  {
    "Title": "When will the total number of people who have gone to space reach 1000?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will most protons that currently make up Earth (and you) eventually decay?",
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    "# Forecasts": 63
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  {
    "Title": "Will a third LIGO detector be built in India by 2027?",
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    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 73
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  {
    "Title": "When will the first cloned human be born?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1537/when-will-the-first-cloned-human-be-born/",
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    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 138
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  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "76%",
    "# Forecasts": 100
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  {
    "Title": "3.6°C global warming by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1539/36c-global-warming-by-2100/",
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    "Percentage": "31%",
    "# Forecasts": 124
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  {
    "Title": "Is non-theism (atheists and agnostics) growing globally?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "The Rise and Fall of the Banana: Will the current main export cultivar, the Cavendish, be replaced by 2035?",
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    "Percentage": "49%",
    "# Forecasts": 122
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  {
    "Title": "Will we detect an exoplanet atmosphere with >5% oxygen atmosphere by 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
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  {
    "Title": "What will the World's GDP be in 2028?",
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    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 127
  },
  {
    "Title": "Fewer than 375M in extreme poverty by 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "23%",
    "# Forecasts": 177
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  {
    "Title": "Will China be the World's largest economy in any year before 2040?",
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    "Percentage": "88%",
    "# Forecasts": 389
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first publicly traded company achieve a $10 trillion market capitalisation?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 116
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1585/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-nuclear-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 143
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the impact of the Effective Altruism movement be picked up by Google Trends in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1591/will-the-impact-of-the-effective-altruism-movement-be-picked-up-by-google-trends-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "78%",
    "# Forecasts": 102
  },
  {
    "Title": "What year will the 2˚C climate threshold be crossed?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1596/what-year-will-the-2c-climate-threshold-be-crossed/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 133
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Elon Musk (attempt to) go to Mars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1598/will-elon-musk-attempt-to-go-to-mars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 375
  },
  {
    "Title": "The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1600/the-top500s-total-sum-in-2030-as-a-multiple-of-the-total-sum-in-2015/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 124
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1604/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-climate-disaster-occurs-by-2100-will-the-earths-human-population-decline-by-95-or-more/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 139
  },
  {
    "Title": "Is the Zuma satellite still in orbit?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1618/is-the-zuma-satellite-still-in-orbit/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "42%",
    "# Forecasts": 116
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first manned spacecraft touch the surface of any planet, dwarf planet, or moon other than Earth, Earth's moon, or Mars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1619/when-will-the-first-manned-spacecraft-touch-the-surface-of-any-planet-dwarf-planet-or-moon-other-than-earth-earths-moon-or-mars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 122
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the heaviest payload put into LEO by a launch vehicle that is in service at start of 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1620/what-will-be-the-heaviest-payload-put-into-leo-by-a-launch-vehicle-that-is-in-service-at-start-of-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the United States Food and Drug Administration before January 1 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1621/will-a-senolytic-therapy-be-approved-for-commercial-sale-by-the-united-states-food-and-drug-administration-before-january-1-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "57.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 169
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1624/will-a-mouse-be-confirmed-to-have-lived-for-2500-days-before-1-january-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 175
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 1 January 2050, will it be possible to increase a healthy adult human's IQ by at least two standard deviations in less than 30 days?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1625/by-1-january-2050-will-it-be-possible-to-increase-a-healthy-adult-humans-iq-by-at-least-two-standard-deviations-in-less-than-30-days/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 160
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1626/before-1-january-2050-will-any-human-cryonically-preserved-for-at-least-1-year-be-successfully-revived/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 221
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1628/what-will-be-the-longest-verified-human-lifespan-on-record-on-january-1-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 161
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will alien technosignatures be detected before 1 January 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1629/will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected-before-1-january-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 238
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1630/what-percentage-of-us-residents-will-be-aged-100-years-or-older-on-january-1-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1631/will-cuba-still-be-a-communist-state-in-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": 215
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will US income inequality increase by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1634/will-us-income-inequality-increase-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "48%",
    "# Forecasts": 207
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1637/when-will-a-crewed-spacecraft-enter-interstellar-space-for-the-first-time/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 181
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Alex Jones ever hold high Federal office in the United States before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1638/will-alex-jones-ever-hold-high-federal-office-in-the-united-states-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 218
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will lab-grown complex vital organs be used successfully in humans before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1640/will-lab-grown-complex-vital-organs-be-used-successfully-in-humans-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26%",
    "# Forecasts": 215
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will it once again be possible to travel between London and New York City by any commercially available means in under three hours by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1642/will-it-once-again-be-possible-to-travel-between-london-and-new-york-city-by-any-commercially-available-means-in-under-three-hours-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "37%",
    "# Forecasts": 254
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1643/will-the-us-unemployment-rate-reach-10-before-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "99%",
    "# Forecasts": 368
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1644/will-a-von-neumann-probe-be-launched-before-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "16%",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2025, will an asteroid or comet estimated to be at least 50 meters in diameter be detected to be due to collide with Earth before 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1645/before-2025-will-an-asteroid-or-comet-estimated-to-be-at-least-50-meters-in-diameter-be-detected-to-be-due-to-collide-with-earth-before-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 225
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the human condition change fundamentally before 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1646/will-the-human-condition-change-fundamentally-before-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "80%",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the greatest velocity attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1648/what-will-be-the-greatest-velocity-attained-by-a-human-made-spacecraft-before-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 113
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Second Amendment to the United States Constitution be amended or repealed before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1650/will-the-second-amendment-to-the-united-states-constitution-be-amended-or-repealed-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 148
  },
  {
    "Title": "A breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1651/a-breakthrough-in-accurately-predicting-protein-structure-before-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "99%",
    "# Forecasts": 277
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will functional respirocytes be used successfully in any mammal before 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1653/will-functional-respirocytes-be-used-successfully-in-any-mammal-before-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 113
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1654/when-will-the-average-survival-rate-of-all-cancers-exceed-75/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 110
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will there be a breakthrough in the treatment of hard-to-treat cancers?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1655/when-will-there-be-a-breakthrough-in-the-treatment-of-hard-to-treat-cancers/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the 10,000th human reach space?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1659/when-will-the-10000th-human-reach-space/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 140
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-or-comet-have-been-mined-in-space-for-commercial-purposes-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 210
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the USA's Labor Force Participation Rate be lower in 2023 than in  2018?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1663/will-the-usas-labor-force-participation-rate-be-lower-in-2023-than-in-2018/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 171
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Reuters journalists Wa Lone and Kyaw Soe Oo be released from prison?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1667/when-will-reuters-journalists-wa-lone-and-kyaw-soe-oo-be-released-from-prison/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "If the James Webb Space Telescope is launched, will it succeed in transmitting cosmological data?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1669/if-the-james-webb-space-telescope-is-launched-will-it-succeed-in-transmitting-cosmological-data/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will George R. R. Martin die before the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1681/will-george-r-r-martin-die-before-the-final-book-of-a-song-of-ice-and-fire-is-published/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 301
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will PHP die?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1691/when-will-php-die/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected President of France in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2511/will-emmanuel-macron-be-re-elected-president-of-france-in-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 330
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2513/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-an-artificial-intelligence-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66%",
    "# Forecasts": 148
  },
  {
    "Title": "Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2514/ragnar%25C3%25B6k-question-series-if-a-global-biological-catastrophe-occurs-will-it-reduce-the-human-population-by-95-or-more/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be another VEI level six (or higher) volcanic eruption on Earth before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2518/will-there-be-another-vei-level-six-or-higher-volcanic-eruption-on-earth-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 138
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first human be born on another world?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2533/when-will-the-first-human-be-born-on-another-world/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 131
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 546
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2536/when-will-the-twin-prime-conjecture-be-resolved/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 121
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2561/will-a-metaculus-user-report-from-space-before-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 169
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2563/what-will-the-atmospheric-co2-concentration-be-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 165
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will life expectancy at birth for both sexes reach 60 years in all countries?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2575/when-will-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-reach-60-years-in-all-countries/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 133
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2576/when-will-a-dui-be-overruled-or-turned-down-due-to-riding-a-driverless-car/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2577/will-scotland-leave-the-united-kingdom-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 535
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2578/will-an-airborne-wind-energy-system-of-at-least-100kw-be-sold-before-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
    "# Forecasts": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will India become a World Bank high-income country?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2582/when-will-india-become-a-world-bank-high-income-country/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 145
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the US national debt reach $25 trillion?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2585/when-will-the-us-national-debt-reach-25-trillion/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 302
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will we have micropayments?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2592/when-will-we-have-micropayments/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 74
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will North Korea have a McDonald's?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2593/when-will-north-korea-have-a-mcdonalds/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus release a dedicated mobile app before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2598/metaculus-web-app-by-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 49
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2599/will-any-of-the-20-most-valuable-public-companies-in-the-united-states-as-of-january-2019-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 196
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2605/will-any-countrys-military-expenditure-exceed-that-of-the-united-states-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 165
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2606/ai-to-prompt-new-starcraft/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2611/will-synthetic-biological-weapons-infect-100-people-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36%",
    "# Forecasts": 129
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any Member State leave the Eurozone by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2616/will-any-member-state-leave-the-eurozone-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19%",
    "# Forecasts": 191
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Haiti become an upper middle-income country?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2617/when-will-haiti-become-an-upper-middle-income-country/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 88
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2621/will-the-us-set-a-new-annual-gdp-growth-rate-record-high-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 261
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the highest level of annual GDP growth in the US before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2622/what-will-be-the-highest-level-of-annual-gdp-growth-in-the-us-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Nigeria's population exceed 400 million before 2050?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "40%",
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  {
    "Title": "When the first company reaches a $2 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversary?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2644/when-will-image-recognition-be-made-robust-against-unrestricted-adversary/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "A tech boom to surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more by 2024?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "70%",
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  {
    "Title": "What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2646/what-will-the-necessary-computational-power-to-replicate-human-mental-capability-turn-out-to-be/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the Square Kilometre Array (SKA) be finished on time?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Volkswagen Group produce fewer than 22 million electric vehicles by 2030?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will World GDP grow every year until 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2669/will-world-gdp-grow-every-year-until-2025/",
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  {
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  {
    "Title": "Will the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER) start operating by end of 2025?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will a Guaranteed Minimum Income introduced in any EU country before 2041?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will there be more people with HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017?",
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    "Percentage": "20%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the SOO Green Renewable Rail project succeed?",
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    "Percentage": "32%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the text of the Voynich manuscript be successfully translated by 2050?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Apollo 10's Lunar Module be recovered by 2050?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "How far away will the closest known Black Hole lay in 2031?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2023?",
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  {
    "Title": "How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?",
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  {
    "Title": "At the end of 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "By 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will NASA's SLS launch a person to the Moon before 2024?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2024?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the Collatz Conjecture be resolved?",
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  {
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "Is the halting problem for the Collatz Program computable?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?",
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  {
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  {
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  {
    "Title": "If a whole human brain is successfully emulated by 2100, what is the maximum number of humans that will be uploaded in any 5-year period?",
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  {
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  {
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
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  {
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  },
  {
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  {
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When the first company reaches a $10 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?",
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  {
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  {
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  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  {
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  {
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  },
  {
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  {
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  },
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  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥20% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 100
  },
  {
    "Title": "What is the probability that Gore will defeat Bush in the 2000 US Presidential Election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3084/what-is-the-probability-that-gore-will-defeat-bush-in-the-2000-us-presidential-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 209
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a restaurant first serve clean-meat products containing ≥80% clean meat, at $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3086/when-will-a-restaurant-first-serve-clean-meat-products-containing-80-clean-meat-at-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥20% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3087/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-20-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 99
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a supermarket sell a product made of ≥80% clean meat, for $3 per 100 grams or cheaper?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3088/when-will-a-supermarket-sell-a-product-made-of-80-clean-meat-for-3-per-100-grams-or-cheaper/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 114
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3091/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 121
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the U.S. market for plant-based meat be worth in the year ending in April 2028?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3095/what-will-the-us-market-for-plant-based-meat-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2028/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3103/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3104/what-will-the-lowest-retail-price-in-usd-per-kg-of-any-product-containing-50-clean-meat-be-in-the-calendar-year-2029/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a discernible, coordinated Bitcoin mining pool attain >=50% of the hashing power for 24-hours, before Sep 15 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3106/when-will-a-discernible-coordinated-bitcoin-mining-pool-attain-50-of-the-hashing-power-for-24-hours-before-sep-15-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 80
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will the total U.S. plant-based milk market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3107/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-milk-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will the total U.S. plant-based foods market be worth in the year ending in April 2023, in millions of USD?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3108/how-much-will-the-total-us-plant-based-foods-market-be-worth-in-the-year-ending-in-april-2023-in-millions-of-usd/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 130
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will General Electric (GE) file for chapter 7 or chapter 11 bankruptcy before Sep 18th of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3109/will-general-electric-ge-file-for-chapter-7-or-chapter-11-bankruptcy-before-sep-18th-of-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 125
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3112/will-mars-have-a-permanent-population-of-10000-before-the-moon-does/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": 211
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is less than $8 per kg?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3113/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-less-than-8-per-kg/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 126
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is between $8 and $20 per kg?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3115/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-between-8-and-20-per-kg/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 139
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a new land speed record be set by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3117/will-a-new-land-speed-record-be-set-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79%",
    "# Forecasts": 138
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many publicly traded U.S.- or EU-based plant-based meat producers will be valued at $1bn or more on October 4th, 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3120/how-many-publicly-traded-us-or-eu-based-plant-based-meat-producers-will-be-valued-at-1bn-or-more-on-october-4th-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will at least 20 U.S. states legalize the recreational use of cannabis?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3122/when-will-at-least-20-us-states-legalize-the-recreational-use-of-cannabis/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 104
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will US Non-Overseas Contingency operations military deaths exceed 3000 in any calendar year before (and including) 2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3124/will-us-non-overseas-contingency-operations-military-deaths-exceed-3000-in-any-calendar-year-before-and-including-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States continue to be among the 20 countries with the largest deterioration in state stability over the 2019-2029 period, according to the Fragile States Index?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3125/will-the-united-states-continue-to-be-among-the-20-countries-with-the-largest-deterioration-in-state-stability-over-the-2019-2029-period-according-to-the-fragile-states-index/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will either a space elevator or a skyhook have transported payloads in excess of 10 metric tons by the end of 2045?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3127/will-either-a-space-elevator-or-a-skyhook-have-transported-payloads-in-excess-of-10-metric-tons-by-the-end-of-2045/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a Bering Strait crossing be completed?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3136/when-will-a-bering-strait-crossing-be-completed/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will be estimated to have been invested by VCs in U.S.-based plant-based meat startups, in millions of USD, in the calendar year 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3138/how-much-will-be-estimated-to-have-been-invested-by-vcs-in-us-based-plant-based-meat-startups-in-millions-of-usd-in-the-calendar-year-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 118
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a genetic change cease to trigger regulatory oversight for the approval of gene-edited animals used in meat production?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3139/when-will-a-genetic-change-cease-to-trigger-regulatory-oversight-for-the-approval-of-gene-edited-animals-used-in-meat-production/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 100 people or more be in space, or on any astronomical body other than earth, simultaneously?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3141/when-will-100-people-or-more-be-in-space-or-on-any-astronomical-body-other-than-earth-simultaneously/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 206
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 2030, how many people will have ever landed on the Moon?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3142/by-2030-how-many-people-will-have-ever-landed-on-the-moon/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 214
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3144/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 77
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated by start of 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3150/will-no-non-test-nuclear-weapons-be-detonated-by-start-of-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79%",
    "# Forecasts": 171
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many commercial cattle, in millions, will be slaughtered in the U.S. in 2032 if the lowest retail price of clean meat in 2026 is greater than $20 per kg?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3153/how-many-commercial-cattle-in-millions-will-be-slaughtered-in-the-us-in-2032-if-the-lowest-retail-price-of-clean-meat-in-2026-is-greater-than-20-per-kg/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 122
  },
  {
    "Title": "If DNA alterations continue to require FDA approval by default, how many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be determined as safe to eat, by the end of July 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3155/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-fda-approval-by-default-how-many-intentionally-genomic-dna-altered-animals-will-be-determined-as-safe-to-eat-by-the-end-of-july-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "If there is a no-deal Brexit, what will be the average yearly % GDP growth of the UK in the subsequent five years?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3156/if-there-is-a-no-deal-brexit-what-will-be-the-average-yearly--gdp-growth-of-the-uk-in-the-subsequent-five-years/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the first extraterrestrial life-forms we encounter be carbon-based?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3158/will-the-first-extraterrestrial-life-forms-we-encounter-be-carbon-based/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 115
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will WeWork file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3159/will-wework-file-for-bankruptcy-protection-before-1-january-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "67%",
    "# Forecasts": 371
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the U.S. for October 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3191/what-will-be-the-labor-force-participation-rate-total-16-and-older-in-the-us-for-october-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 73
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the milk of cows whose DNA is intentionally altered to be hornless be for sale in the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3192/when-will-the-milk-of-cows-whose-dna-is-intentionally-altered-to-be-hornless-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "If DNA alterations continue to require approval by default, when will the FDA find at least ten genetically edited animals as safe to eat?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3201/if-dna-alterations-continue-to-require-approval-by-default-when-will-the-fda-find-at-least-ten-genetically-edited-animals-as-safe-to-eat/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3202/when-will-beef-for-human-consumption-from-cattle-genetically-edited-to-carry-a-copy-of-the-sry-gene-be-for-sale-in-the-united-states/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3205/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-6th-assessment-report/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 89
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will first land a person on Mars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3214/who-will-first-land-a-person-on-mars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 221
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3233/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-7th-assessment-report/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 75
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Turkey be a NATO member continuously until 1 January 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3238/will-turkey-be-a-nato-member-continuously-until-1-january-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "80%",
    "# Forecasts": 174
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a clean meat flavoring product be approved for human consumption?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3239/when-will-a-clean-meat-flavoring-product-be-approved-for-human-consumption/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 87
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the IAU rework its definition of planetary status by Jan 1, 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3241/will-the-iau-rework-its-definition-of-planetary-status-by-jan-1-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3244/will-robert-caros-fifth-and-final-volume-of-his-lyndon-johnson-biography-be-published-during-his-lifetime/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "53%",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the U.S. average weekly hours of all employees (total non-farm private) in October 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3245/what-will-be-the-us-average-weekly-hours-of-all-employees-total-non-farm-private-in-october-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 124
  },
  {
    "Title": "In what year will the total number of hen eggs produced annually in the U.S. be 100 billion or less?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3246/in-what-year-will-the-total-number-of-hen-eggs-produced-annually-in-the-us-be-100-billion-or-less/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 81
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3247/how-many-billions-of-hen-eggs-will-be-produced-in-the-us-in-the-year-ending-in-november-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 141
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2022-2024 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3248/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2022-2024-period/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 118
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Israel be the fourth country to soft-land on the Moon, if the feat is achieved by the end of 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3251/will-israel-be-the-fourth-country-to-soft-land-on-the-moon-if-the-feat-is-achieved-by-the-end-of-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 122
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Brexit Party win any seats at the next UK General Election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3252/will-the-brexit-party-win-any-seats-at-the-next-uk-general-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 125
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Metaculus be linked to by 70 sites?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3271/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-70-sites/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 173
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will an AI defeat one of the top-10 StarCraft 2 players?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3272/date-ai-defeats-top-10-starcraft-2-players/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 140
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Metaculus be linked to by 130 sites?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3275/when-will-metaculus-be-linked-to-by-130-sites/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 87
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the average overall Global Health Security Index score for 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3277/what-will-be-the-average-overall-global-health-security-index-score-for-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3289/how-many-gene-edited-babies-will-have-been-born-worldwide-by-the-end-of-2029/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 116
  },
  {
    "Title": "What fraction of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3290/what-fraction-of-babies-born-in-the-us-in-2029-will-have-been-conceived-in-vitro/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 72
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of broiler-type chicks will hatch in the U.S., on average per year, over the 2028 to 2030 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3324/how-many-billions-of-broiler-type-chicks-will-hatch-in-the-us-on-average-per-year-over-the-2028-to-2030-period/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of poultry will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030, according to FAO estimates?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3325/how-many-billions-of-poultry-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030-according-to-fao-estimates/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 87
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will most eggs produced in the USA be sexed before hatching?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3326/when-will-most-eggs-produced-in-the-usa-be-sexed-before-hatching/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 86
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Sanders becomes president in 2020, how many unsheltered homeless people will there be in the US at the end of his term?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3328/if-sanders-becomes-president-in-2020-how-many-unsheltered-homeless-people-will-there-be-in-the-us-at-the-end-of-his-term/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 97
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3330/will-any-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-emulated-before-2200/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or uploaded?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3331/when-will-the-first-person-that-has-been-cryopreserved-for-more-than-1-year-be-resuscitated-or-uploaded/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 96
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3332/will-james-bedford-be-revived-or-emulated-before-2200/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3333/when-will-the-number-of-people-in-cryopreservation-preserved-before-2019-fall-to-less-than-50-of-the-current-value/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a major U.S. supermarket sell “no-kill eggs” in at least 25 states?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3335/when-will-a-major-us-supermarket-sell-no-kill-eggs-in-at-least-25-states/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 73
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegetarian diet in 2028?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3337/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-in-2028/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 186
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Hong Kong stop being a Special Administrative Region of China?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3338/when-will-hong-kong-stop-being-a-special-administrative-region-of-china/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 179
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Labour wins the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3340/if-labour-wins-the-2019-uk-general-election-what-will-be-mean-uk-broadband-download-speeds-5-years-later/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Conservatives win the 2019 UK general election, what will be mean UK broadband download speeds 5 years later?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3341/if-conservatives-win-the-2019-uk-general-election-what-will-be-mean-uk-broadband-download-speeds-5-years-later/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 161
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many members will Giving What We Can have on its 20th anniversary?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3342/how-many-members-will-giving-what-we-can-have-on-its-20th-anniversary/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 101
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the exponent of the fastest known polynomial-time matrix multiplication algorithm in 2029?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3343/what-will-be-the-exponent-of-the-fastest-known-polynomial-time-matrix-multiplication-algorithm-in-2029/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "What the percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3344/what-the-percentage-of-egg-laying-hens-will-be-cage-free-in-the-us-in-june-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 120
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Guinea Worm be eradicated by the end of 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3351/will-guinea-worm-be-eradicated-by-the-end-of-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 57
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3353/when-will-the-who-certify-the-worldwide-eradication-of-polio/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 92
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3357/what-will-the-mean-of-the-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-of-the-all-500-supercomputers-in-the-top500-be-in-the-three-year-period-ending-in-november-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 110
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a vegetarian U.S. president by the end of 2036?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3359/will-there-be-a-vegetarian-us-president-by-the-end-of-2036/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12%",
    "# Forecasts": 200
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will ≥8% of U.S. adults self-report to follow a vegetarian diet before 2036?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3360/will-8-of-us-adults-self-report-to-follow-a-vegetarian-diet-before-2036/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79%",
    "# Forecasts": 215
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3361/will-the-mean-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-in-the-top500-decline-each-3-year-period-from-2025-to-2034/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "49%",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3364/will-metaculus-or-a-licensed-derivative-be-operated-as-a-public-site-by-a-publicly-traded-company-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 50
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will SpaceX be worth by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3366/what-will-spacex-be-worth-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 356
  },
  {
    "Title": "By the end of 2029, will the European Union require commercially farmed fish to be stunned before being slaughtered?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3371/by-the-end-of-2029-will-the-european-union-require-commercially-farmed-fish-to-be-stunned-before-being-slaughtered/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many countries will be awarded a B or better for farm animal welfare protection by to the Animal Protection Index by end of 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3373/how-many-countries-will-be-awarded-a-b-or-better-for-farm-animal-welfare-protection-by-to-the-animal-protection-index-by-end-of-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the either the USA or China improve on their score on an the Animal Protection Index indicator for recognition of animal sentience, by the end 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3374/will-the-either-the-usa-or-china-improve-on-their-score-on-an-the-animal-protection-index-indicator-for-recognition-of-animal-sentience-by-the-end-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34%",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a company, in any country, generate $50M revenue from edible insect product sales alone, in a single year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3375/when-will-a-company-in-any-country-generate-50m-revenue-from-edible-insect-product-sales-alone-in-a-single-year/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will at least 750 companies pledge to maintain a supply chain consistent with the current basic Global Animal Partnership standards for broiler chickens by end of 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3380/when-will-at-least-750-companies-pledge-to-maintain-a-supply-chain-consistent-with-the-current-basic-global-animal-partnership-standards-for-broiler-chickens-by-end-of-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 85
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 5,000 companies worldwide pledge to remove cages from their egg supply chains?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3381/when-will-5000-companies-worldwide-pledge-to-remove-cages-from-their-egg-supply-chains/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the earliest preservation date of any resuscitated cryonics patient be?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3382/what-will-the-earliest-preservation-date-of-any-resuscitated-cryonics-patient-be/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 86
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the largest number of digits of π to have been computed be, by the end of 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3384/what-will-the-largest-number-of-digits-of-%25CF%2580-to-have-been-computed-be-by-the-end-of-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 170
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will humanity maintain a continuous off-Earth presence until 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3385/will-humanity-maintain-a-continuous-off-earth-presence-until-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "74%",
    "# Forecasts": 216
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a US consumer be unable to purchase a Cavendish banana at a major US grocery chain on 2029-12-31?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3386/will-a-us-consumer-be-unable-to-purchase-a-cavendish-banana-at-a-major-us-grocery-chain-on-2029-12-31/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "22%",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3388/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegan-diet-in-2028/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 205
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of fish produced worldwide will be stunned prior to slaughter, in the first year in which credible estimates are published in the five year period starting in 2027",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3389/what-percentage-of-fish-produced-worldwide-will-be-stunned-prior-to-slaughter-in-the-first-year-in-which-credible-estimates-are-published-in-the-five-year-period-starting-in-2027/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 42
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will DNA testing vindicate Jeanne Calment as the oldest recorded person in history?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3393/will-dna-testing-vindicate-jeanne-calment-as-the-oldest-recorded-person-in-history/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": 143
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any OECD country achieve a 10% or greater reduction in the national rate of obesity for 3 consecutive years before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3397/large-obesity-drop-in-oecd-country-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 164
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3399/when-will-the-last-metaculus-question-resolution-occur/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2020 to 2023 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3409/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2020-to-2023-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11%",
    "# Forecasts": 82
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will our global atmospheric CO₂ concentration over the 2024 to 2027 period be on path to limit warming to 1.4°C by mid-century?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3410/will-our-global-atmospheric-co%25E2%2582%2582-concentration-over-the-2024-to-2027-period-be-on-path-to-limit-warming-to-14c-by-mid-century/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 79
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many millions of pigs will be slaughtered worldwide, in the calendar year 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3414/how-many-millions-of-pigs-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 89
  },
  {
    "Title": "Alexei Navalny to become president or prime minister of Russia in his lifetime?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3416/alexei-navalny-to-become-president-or-prime-minister-of-russia-in-his-lifetime/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 287
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the next President of the United States be impeached?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3419/will-the-next-president-of-the-united-states-be-impeached/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 140
  },
  {
    "Title": "In the year 2028, how many tonnes of insect protein will be used as animal feed for livestock, poultry and fish in Europe?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3421/in-the-year-2028-how-many-tonnes-of-insect-protein-will-be-used-as-animal-feed-for-livestock-poultry-and-fish-in-europe/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 55
  },
  {
    "Title": "On December 1st, 2023 how many companies worldwide will pledge uphold GAP standards for broiler chickens raised for meat?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3422/on-december-1st-2023-how-many-companies-worldwide-will-pledge-uphold-gap-standards-for-broiler-chickens-raised-for-meat/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 116
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will 100 gigagrams of sulphur be injected into the atmosphere, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3429/will-100-gigagrams-of-sulphur-be-injected-into-the-atmosphere-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Dai stablecoin maintain a value of roughly $1 until July 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3431/will-the-dai-stablecoin-maintain-a-value-of-roughly-1-until-july-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 95
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will an ocean be fertilised with at least 50 tonnes of iron, as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3433/will-an-ocean-be-fertilised-with-at-least-50-tonnes-of-iron-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21%",
    "# Forecasts": 94
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Conservative Party form the first government after the next UK general election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3439/will-the-conservative-party-form-the-first-government-after-the-next-uk-general-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54%",
    "# Forecasts": 274
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3445/will-kim-jong-un-still-be-the-de-facto-leader-of-north-korea-on-1-january-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": 1187
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will two or more supermarkets sell products made of ≥20% clean fish in their physical retail stores in at least 25 U.S. states?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3447/when-will-two-or-more-supermarkets-sell-products-made-of-20-clean-fish-in-their-physical-retail-stores-in-at-least-25-us-states/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much forest coverage loss will occur in Brazil over the three-year period starting from 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3452/how-much-forest-coverage-loss-will-occur-in-brazil-over-the-three-year-period-starting-from-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 145
  },
  {
    "Title": "What is the largest amount of iron that will be used to fertilise an ocean as part of a single geoengineering effort, by the end of 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3457/what-is-the-largest-amount-of-iron-that-will-be-used-to-fertilise-an-ocean-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3458/will-there-be-a-culturally-significant-development-in-aging-research-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68%",
    "# Forecasts": 124
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be at least 200 companies developing technologies to defeat aging by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3460/will-there-be-at-least-200-companies-developing-technologies-to-defeat-aging-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "88%",
    "# Forecasts": 120
  },
  {
    "Title": "At what point will at least ten technologies listed on \"The Rejuvenation Roadmap\" be released to the public?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3461/at-what-point-will-at-least-ten-technologies-listed-on-the-rejuvenation-roadmap-be-released-to-the-public/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 72
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States institute a military draft by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3469/will-the-united-states-institute-a-military-draft-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 125
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Queen Elizabeth II cease to be Queen of the United Kingdom?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3474/when-will-queen-elizabeth-ii-cease-to-be-queen-of-the-united-kingdom/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 297
  },
  {
    "Title": "If human-level artificial intelligence is developed, will World GDP grow by at least 30.0% in any of the subsequent 15 years?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3477/if-human-level-artificial-intelligence-is-developed-will-world-gdp-grow-by-at-least-300-in-any-of-the-subsequent-15-years/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "77%",
    "# Forecasts": 101
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3478/how-many-patients-will-be-in-cryonic-suspension-at-the-cryonics-institute-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 90
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 382
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will no CRISPR-edited babies be born in the year 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3481/will-no-crispr-edited-babies-be-born-in-the-year-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "91%",
    "# Forecasts": 286
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will EQRx get at least one drug approved by the FDA before the end of 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3507/will-eqrx-get-at-least-one-drug-approved-by-the-fda-before-the-end-of-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Trikafta become available for Cystic Fibrosis patients on the NHS (England)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3508/when-will-trikafta-become-available-for-cystic-fibrosis-patients-on-the-nhs-england/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 64
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3515/when-will-the-first-humans-land-successfully-on-mars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 139
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3517/will-there-be-a-global-thermonuclear-war-by-2070/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will we be able to predict at least 10% of variance in Big Five agreeableness based on genetic information alone?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3518/when-will-we-be-able-to-predict-at-least-10-of-variance-in-big-five-agreeableness-based-on-genetic-information-alone/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 39
  },
  {
    "Title": "One Million Martian Residents by 2075?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3519/one-million-martian-residents-by-2075/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 286
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2020, in 2018 USD per kWh?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3520/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2020-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the cost of energy of utility-scale solar photovoltaics be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3521/what-will-the-cost-of-energy-of-utility-scale-solar-photovoltaics-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the Doomsday Clock reach midnight?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3522/when-will-the-doomsday-clock-reach-midnight/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 89
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a geoengineering act of Congress become US federal law by the end of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3528/will-a-geoengineering-act-of-congress-become-us-federal-law-by-the-end-of-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the star Betelgeuse be observed to go supernova before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3531/will-the-star-betelgeuse-be-observed-to-go-supernova-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 79
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many geoengineering international treaties will be listed on the World Legal Information Institute's database at the end of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3535/how-many-geoengineering-international-treaties-will-be-listed-on-the-world-legal-information-institutes-database-at-the-end-of-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 77
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3542/how-many-new-electric-vehicles-will-be-registered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 115
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the global weighted-average levelized cost of energy of onshore wind be in 2022, in 2018 USD per kWh?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3581/what-will-the-global-weighted-average-levelized-cost-of-energy-of-onshore-wind-be-in-2022-in-2018-usd-per-kwh/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 102
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the average growth rate be, of total renewable energy produced worldwide, over the 2020 to 2022 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3582/what-will-the-average-growth-rate-be-of-total-renewable-energy-produced-worldwide-over-the-2020-to-2022-period/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 128
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Stacey Abrams be elected president in or before the 2040 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3588/will-stacey-abrams-be-elected-president-in-or-before-the-2040-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $75 per kilowatt hour?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3591/ev-battery-storage-costs/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the volume-weighted average battery for electric vehicles and stationary storage reach $100 per kilowatt hour?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3592/ev-battery-storage-costs/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will renewable energy contribute 25.00%, or less, to global electricity production in the calendar year 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3593/will-renewable-energy-contribute-2500-or-less-to-global-electricity-production-in-the-calendar-year-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11%",
    "# Forecasts": 99
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Iowa host another \"first in the nation\" Democratic caucus by the end of 2028?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3600/will-iowa-host-another-first-in-the-nation-democratic-caucus-by-the-end-of-2028/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "62%",
    "# Forecasts": 90
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Medicare for all be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3605/will-medicare-for-all-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19%",
    "# Forecasts": 119
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a Wealth Tax be passed if a Democrat is elected president in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3606/will-a-wealth-tax-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 107
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the majority of leading cosmologists in 2030 agree that the evidence points to an accelerating universe?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3608/will-the-majority-of-leading-cosmologists-in-2030-agree-that-the-evidence-points-to-an-accelerating-universe/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3616/will-a-new-amendment-to-the-us-constitution-be-ratified-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 227
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US supreme court change size by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3617/will-the-us-supreme-court-change-size-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "49%",
    "# Forecasts": 191
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the United States admit a new state?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3618/when-will-the-united-states-admit-a-new-state/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 133
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many nations will there be in the United Nations by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3619/how-many-nations-will-there-be-in-the-united-nations-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 54
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3620/will-china-recognize-the-sovereignty-of-taiwan-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18%",
    "# Forecasts": 213
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a third party win a Senate election in the United States by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3621/will-a-third-party-win-a-senate-election-in-the-united-states-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the Harvard admit rate be for the undergraduate class of 2029?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3622/what-will-the-harvard-admit-rate-be-for-the-undergraduate-class-of-2029/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 214
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the English Wikipedia have 10 million articles?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3623/when-will-the-english-wikipedia-have-10-million-articles/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 85
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the world real GDP growth rate be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3626/what-will-the-world-real-gdp-growth-rate-be-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 111
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3629/will-the-national-popular-vote-interstate-compact-reach-majority-in-the-electoral-college-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26%",
    "# Forecasts": 140
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the federal minimum wage increase in the United States before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3631/will-the-federal-minimum-wage-increase-in-the-united-states-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "80%",
    "# Forecasts": 197
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: By 2030, will commercial passengers routinely fly in pilotless planes?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3645/longbets-series-by-2030-will-commercial-passengers-routinely-fly-in-pilotless-planes/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 72
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: By 2025 will the scientific evidence of a large bi-pedal great ape be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3647/longbets-series-by-2025-will-the-scientific-evidence-of-a-large-bi-pedal-great-ape-be-sufficient-to-convince-at-least-50-of-primatologists-that-a-yetibigfoot-like-creature-exists/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 81
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: By 2029 will a computer have passed the Turing Test?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3648/longbets-series-by-2029-will-a-computer-have-passed-the-turing-test/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 238
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much wind energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3652/how-much-wind-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 163
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much solar energy will be consumed globally, in terawatt-hours, in the calendar year 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3653/how-much-solar-energy-will-be-consumed-globally-in-terawatt-hours-in-the-calendar-year-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 143
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3656/will-a-100-trillion-parameter-deep-learning-model-be-trained-before-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "88%",
    "# Forecasts": 203
  },
  {
    "Title": "If a single-payer healthcare system is adopted in the United States, will healthcare spending go down as a fraction of GDP?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3657/if-a-single-payer-healthcare-system-is-adopted-in-the-united-states-will-healthcare-spending-go-down-as-a-fraction-of-gdp/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 57
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the US passenger car fleet?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3658/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-us-passenger-car-fleet/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 112
  },
  {
    "Title": "Are we on path for IPCC's 'middle-of-the-road' scenario for the deployment of renewables?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3665/are-we-on-path-for-ipccs-middle-of-the-road-scenario-for-the-deployment-of-renewables/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%",
    "# Forecasts": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will it turn out that Bloomberg manipulated 2020 election prediction markets?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3671/will-it-turn-out-that-bloomberg-manipulated-2020-election-prediction-markets/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 159
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much greenhouse gas will be emitted globally, in the calendar year 2030, in gigatonnes of CO₂ equivalent?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3678/how-much-greenhouse-gas-will-be-emitted-globally-in-the-calendar-year-2030-in-gigatonnes-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-equivalent/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will it turn out that Covid-19 originated inside a research lab in Hubei?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3681/will-it-turn-out-that-covid-19-originated-inside-a-research-lab-in-hubei/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 2231
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before the end of 2024 will at least two public health agencies claim that COVID-19 more likely than not originated from a laboratory?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3682/before-the-end-of-2024-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-covid-19-more-likely-than-not-originated-from-a-laboratory/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 388
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will an oracle superintelligence be developed before a general superintelligence?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3683/will-an-oracle-superintelligence-be-developed-before-a-general-superintelligence/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 67
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3684/when-will-a-quantum-computer-running-shors-algorithm-or-a-similar-one-be-used-to-factor-one-of-the-rsa-numbers-for-the-first-time/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 85
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will an AI achieve a 98th percentile score or higher in a Mensa admission test?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3698/when-will-an-ai-achieve-a-98th-percentile-score-or-higher-in-a-mensa-admission-test/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the maximum increase in global annual mean surface air temperature be, relative to the 1951-1980 base period, in the 2020 to 2023 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3701/what-will-the-maximum-increase-in-global-annual-mean-surface-air-temperature-be-relative-to-the-1951-1980-base-period-in-the-2020-to-2023-period/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 106
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the lower limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3708/what-will-the-lower-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-6th-assessment-report/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3715/before-2025-will-at-least-two-public-health-agencies-claim-that-china-deliberately-misreported-covid-19-infections/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 356
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many COVID-2019 cases will be confirmed in the location with the most cases outside of Mainland China on April the 27th?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3718/how-many-covid-2019-cases-will-be-confirmed-in-the-location-with-the-most-cases-outside-of-mainland-china-on-april-the-27th/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3725/when-will-a-private-fusion-company-first-report-a-yearly-profit/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a fusion reactor reach ignition?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3727/when-will-a-fusion-reactor-reach-ignition/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 42
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will space mining be profitable?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3728/when-will-space-mining-be-profitable/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will L5 autonomous vehicles be commercially available?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3729/when-will-l5-autonomous-vehicles-be-commercially-available/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many communist states will there be in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3730/how-many-communist-states-will-there-be-in-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the key to any pre-2020 WikiLeaks insurance file be publicly available by 2030?",
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  {
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  {
    "Title": "Will any sovereign government issue a formal apology for their treatment of farm animals by 2200?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will reducing wild animal suffering be a mainstream moral issue in America before 2200?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will a democratic nation whose economy transitions from capitalist to market socialist sustain adequate economic growth?",
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  {
    "Title": "What will be the lowest closing value for the Dow Jones Industrial Average before it reaches a new all-time record high close?",
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    "Title": "Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?",
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    "Title": "If Bernie Sanders becomes president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?",
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  {
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Valve release a game before 2030 with 3 in the Title?",
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    "Title": "When will the first evidence of extraterrestrial life be discovered?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Bitcoin Extremes: Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025?",
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    "Title": "Bitcoin Extremes: Will the value of 1 bitcoin fall to $1,000 or less before 2025?",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the next Qatari general election be held?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will North Korea's merchandise trade as a % of GDP be in 2045 per the most recent World Bank data?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?",
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  {
    "Title": "When will Nintendo release a console capable of 4K output?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will a reliable poll of physicists reveal that a majority of those polled accept the many-worlds interpretation by 2050?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "30%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the USD still reign supreme by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3858/will-the-usd-still-reign-supreme-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39%",
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  {
    "Title": "Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy over the next four years?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "If there is a WW3, what longitude will it start in?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will there turn out to be widespread fossils of algae and lichens on Mars?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will China legalise same-sex marriage?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?",
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  {
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will the peak population of Antarctica be by 2075?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the next US recession turn into a depression?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will inflation be in the US in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4033/what-will-inflation-be-in-the-us-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 127
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "2%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?",
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    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85%",
    "# Forecasts": 141
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will OpenAI unveil their secret AI project?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 274
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many cents will it cost a typical consumer in the United States to store 10 GB of data on January 1st 2025?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will the maximum world real GDP growth in percentage points be for a single year in the 21st century?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?",
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    "Percentage": "52%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "If cryonics is at some point offered for free, what percentage of Americans will be signed up within 10 years?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will be the Alexa Traffic Rank for Metaculus.com on January 1st 2022?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the first AGI be based on deep learning?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "60%",
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  {
    "Title": "What will be the sentiment of Metaculus users with regard to self-resolving questions at the end of 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Any Major AI Company Commit to an AI Windfall Clause by 2025?",
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    "Percentage": "33%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 10M people be administered a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "How many years will caloric restriction be demonstrated to add to one's natural lifespan?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "If Donald Trump is reelected president, what will be the yearly CO2 emissions per capita in the US in 2024?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Assuming some humans are alive, what will be the birthdate of the oldest living human on January 1st 2200?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 108
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Italy leave the Eurozone before 2023?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": 130
  },
  {
    "Title": "After an AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligence?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 132
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the first year during which most deaths are from non-disease related causes and fewer than 1% of humans die?",
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    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a member of the Trump family be the Republican nominee for the US Presidency in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4127/will-a-member-of-the-trump-family-be-the-republican-nominee-for-the-us-presidency-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 417
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4159/climate-change-damage-in-the-21st-century/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4209/when-will-a-human-chess-player-reach-a-fide-rating-of-2900/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4215/what-will-be-the-real-world-gdp-on-the-year-agi-is-deployed-in-trillions-of-dollars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will large scale solar radiation management be used to mitigate the effects of climate change in the 21st century?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4219/will-large-scale-solar-radiation-management-be-used-to-mitigate-the-effects-of-climate-change-in-the-21st-century/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Stephen Wolfram or his co-authors, Jonathan Gorard and Max Piskunov, receive the Nobel prize in physics before the end of 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4224/will-stephen-wolfram-or-his-co-authors-jonathan-gorard-and-max-piskunov-receive-the-nobel-prize-in-physics-before-the-end-of-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 164
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of C02 be lower than the same time in the previous year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4225/when-will-the-seasonally-adjusted-atmospheric-concentration-of-c02-be-lower-than-the-same-time-in-the-previous-year/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the number of foreign nationals in Mainland China fall between 2010 and 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4229/will-the-number-of-foreign-nationals-in-mainland-china-fall-between-2010-and-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26%",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many countries will, at least in some form, decriminalize possession of all Schedule I drugs for personal use by 2070?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4230/how-many-countries-will-at-least-in-some-form-decriminalize-possession-of-all-schedule-i-drugs-for-personal-use-by-2070/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will AI out-perform humans on argument reasoning tasks?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4232/when-will-ai-out-perform-humans-on-argument-reasoning-tasks/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will multi-modal ML out-perform uni-modal ML?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4235/when-will-multi-modal-ml-out-perform-uni-modal-ml/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will there be a vegan cheese indistinguishable from non-vegan cheese available for purchase by regular consumers?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4249/when-will-there-be-a-vegan-cheese-indistinguishable-from-non-vegan-cheese-available-for-purchase-by-regular-consumers/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many years after the silver Turing Test is passed will an AGI system be developed?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4264/how-many-years-after-the-silver-turing-test-is-passed-will-an-agi-system-be-developed/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much exercise can you do before it starts to take more time than it adds life?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4265/how-much-exercise-can-you-do-before-it-starts-to-take-more-time-than-it-adds-life/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 109
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4290/will-nad-boosters-be-shown-in-a-systematic-review-to-increase-human-lifespan-by-5-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "26%",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which Artemis Moon Mission landing system will first land a person on the moon?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4306/which-artemis-moon-mission-landing-system-will-first-land-a-person-on-the-moon/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 55
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4319/longbets-series-by-2040-will-the-percentage-of-college-aged-us-citizens-who-are-attending-postsecondary-educational-institutions-in-the-united-states-drop-at-least-50-from-the-level-in-2011/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4332/how-much-will-givewell-guess-it-will-cost-to-get-an-outcome-as-good-as-saving-a-life-at-the-end-of-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4333/what-will-be-the-democracy-index-of-the-united-states-in-2040/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "If chess is solved before 2080, must perfect play result in a forced draw?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4334/if-chess-is-solved-before-2080-must-perfect-play-result-in-a-forced-draw/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 59
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4349/will-the-harvard-endowment-be-larger-in-2119-than-in-2019/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 27
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will electric cars constitute over 5% of the Japanese passenger car fleet?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4360/when-will-electric-cars-constitute-over-5-of-the-japanese-passenger-car-fleet/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the US national debt reach $50 trillion?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4364/when-will-the-us-national-debt-reach-50-trillion/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 102
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4390/what-will-be-the-lowest-cost-per-kilogram-in-us-dollars-to-deliver-a-payload-to-leo-or-beyond-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 111
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will one of the first AGI claim to be conscious?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4409/will-one-of-the-first-agi-claim-to-be-conscious/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4418/what-is-the-greatest-number-of-people-who-for-non-medical-purposes-use-a-newly-discovered-drug-at-any-year-between-2021-and-2070/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "By 1 January 2067, medical interventions for healthy adults will have been shown to extend average lifespan by at least 25 years",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4429/by-1-january-2067-medical-interventions-for-healthy-adults-will-have-been-shown-to-extend-average-lifespan-by-at-least-25-years/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Biden becomes president, will there be an expansion of the Keystone Pipeline system of at least 100 km in length by the end of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4433/if-biden-becomes-president-will-there-be-an-expansion-of-the-keystone-pipeline-system-of-at-least-100-km-in-length-by-the-end-of-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": 40
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will North Korea become a democracy?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4439/when-will-north-korea-become-a-democracy/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "What rank will the United States be on the inequality adjusted human development index in 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4440/what-rank-will-the-united-states-be-on-the-inequality-adjusted-human-development-index-in-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will be the next \"Great Power\" war?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4441/when-will-be-the-next-great-power-war/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 102
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the gross receipts of the SENS Research Foundation in the 2021 tax year, as reported on their Form 990?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4442/what-will-be-the-gross-receipts-of-the-sens-research-foundation-in-the-2021-tax-year-as-reported-on-their-form-990/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 76
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4443/when-will-china-surpass-the-united-states-economically-militarily-and-scientifically/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 121
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the highest value of the U.S. Private Sector Job Quality Index (JQI-1) before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4444/what-will-be-the-highest-value-of-the-us-private-sector-job-quality-index-jqi-1-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will global IPv4 traffic account for less than 1% of total internet traffic?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4449/when-will-global-ipv4-traffic-account-for-less-than-1-of-total-internet-traffic/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 46
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first 100 million digit prime number be discovered?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4451/when-will-the-first-100-million-digit-prime-number-be-discovered/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States test a nuclear weapon before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4456/will-the-united-states-test-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.000000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4470/if-joe-biden-becomes-president-what-will-the-federal-minimum-wage-be-at-the-end-of-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 90
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Australia have no coal-fired power plants in its National Electricity Market?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4472/when-will-australia-have-no-coal-fired-power-plants-in-its-national-electricity-market/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 57
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of top colleges in the United States will not require the SAT or ACT for freshman admittance by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4507/what-percentage-of-top-colleges-in-the-united-states-will-not-require-the-sat-or-act-for-freshman-admittance-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "How long would humanity take to rebound from a global catastrophe?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4511/how-long-would-humanity-take-to-rebound-from-a-global-catastrophe/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 129
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4518/how-many-billions-of-parameters-will-the-largest-machine-learning-model-trained-before-2030-have/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first commercial Hyperloop system begin operations?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4519/when-will-the-first-commercial-hyperloop-system-begin-operations/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4524/will-the-us-conduct-a-nuclear-test-explosion-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 40
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the S&P 500 hit 10,000 points by the end of the decade?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4527/will-the-sp-500-hit-10000-points-by-the-end-of-the-decade/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 100
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be fewer Kea parrots in 2030 than in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4544/will-there-be-fewer-kea-parrots-in-2030-than-in-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "62%",
    "# Forecasts": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will George Church receive a Nobel prize, in any category, before the end of 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4549/will-george-church-receive-a-nobel-prize-in-any-category-before-the-end-of-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a technology replace screens?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4577/when-will-a-technology-replace-screens/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 91
  },
  {
    "Title": "What % of money held in all US DAFs will be expropriated by 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4584/what--of-money-held-in-all-us-dafs-will-be-expropriated-by-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "What annual real return will the global stock market realize 2022-2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4585/what-annual-real-return-will-the-global-stock-market-realize-2022-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 94
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Biden becomes president, will the sentencing disparity between crack and powder cocaine be ended by 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4586/if-biden-becomes-president-will-the-sentencing-disparity-between-crack-and-powder-cocaine-be-ended-by-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Croatia adopt the euro?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4587/when-will-croatia-adopt-the-euro/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 72
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4588/when-will-spacexs-starship-carry-a-human-to-orbit/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 123
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will we have a new Pope?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4606/when-will-we-have-a-new-pope/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 75
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2024, what percentage of surveyed Americans will report say that conflicts between Democrats and Republicans are \"very strong\"?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4608/in-2024-what-percentage-of-surveyed-americans-will-report-say-that-conflicts-between-democrats-and-republicans-are-very-strong/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will directly removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere be economically feasible?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4614/when-will-directly-removing-carbon-dioxide-from-the-atmosphere-be-economically-feasible/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4615/what-annual-real-return-will-the-sp-500-realize-2022-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 112
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will US life expectancy at birth for both sexes fall below 75 years before 2040?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4616/will-us-life-expectancy-at-birth-for-both-sexes-fall-below-75-years-before-2040/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13%",
    "# Forecasts": 95
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4628/will-one-of-givewells-2019-top-charities-be-estimated-as-the-most-cost-effective-charity-in-2031/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 39
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus Inc. host a prediction market prior to 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4630/will-metaculus-inc-host-a-prediction-market-prior-to-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 48
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will oil consumption over the 2020-2025 period be lower than in 2019?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4633/oil-consumption-rebounds-no-sooner-than-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 144
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4644/if-labour-wins-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Conservatives win the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4645/if-conservatives-win-the-next-uk-general-election-what-will-the-england--wales-prison-population-rate-per-100000-people-be-5-years-later/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will total enrollment for recent US high school graduates be in US colleges in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4646/what-will-total-enrollment-for-recent-us-high-school-graduates-be-in-us-colleges-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 98
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Ninja first lose the top spot as the most followed account on Twitch?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4665/when-will-ninja-first-lose-the-top-spot-as-the-most-followed-account-on-twitch/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 147
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the XENON1T experiment soon report a detection of dark matter or other new physics?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4670/will-the-xenon1t-experiment-soon-report-a-detection-of-dark-matter-or-other-new-physics/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31%",
    "# Forecasts": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the Chinese state have collected 1 billion unique genomes from their population?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4676/when-will-the-chinese-state-have-collected-1-billion-unique-genomes-from-their-population/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4677/in-2031-will-at-least-90-of-open-philanthropy-project-grant-money-be-directed-using-effective-altruist-principles/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "67%",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4678/will-at-least-one-us-state-secede-from-the-union-before-31-december-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 85
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the population size of India surpass the population size of China?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4680/when-will-the-population-size-of-india-surpass-the-population-size-of-china/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 165
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the real GDP/capita of the USA be in 2024 if Donald Trump is reelected president?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4688/what-will-the-real-gdpcapita-of-the-usa-be-in-2024-if-donald-trump-is-reelected-president/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 88
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will The Boring Company tunnel faster than a snail?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4692/when-will-the-boring-company-tunnel-faster-than-a-snail/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will Gross World Product be in 2047, in trillions of US$?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4694/what-will-gross-world-product-be-in-2047-in-trillions-of-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 109
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total expenditures of the United Nations System in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4696/what-will-be-the-total-expenditures-of-the-united-nations-system-in-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 11
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4701/what-percentage-of-vehicles-on-us-roads-will-be-fully-electric-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will US domestic passenger air travel return to 80% of pre-COVID-19 volumes?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4719/when-will-us-domestic-passenger-air-travel-return-to-80-of-pre-covid-19-volumes/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will US auto manufacturing recover to 80% of pre-COVID-19 production levels?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4721/when-will-us-auto-manufacturing-recover-to-80-of-pre-covid-19-production-levels/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the NYT end up publishing any articles mentioning SSC or SA in the next year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4736/will-the-nyt-end-up-publishing-any-articles-mentioning-ssc-or-sa-in-the-next-year/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "49%",
    "# Forecasts": 464
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4737/when-will-the-covid-19-epidemic-subside-in-russia/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 214
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the major Las Vegas casinos shut down again due to an increase in Covid-19 cases?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4739/will-the-major-las-vegas-casinos-shut-down-again-due-to-an-increase-in-covid-19-cases/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 240
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mount Rushmore be intentionally destroyed or modified before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4742/will-mount-rushmore-be-intentionally-destroyed-or-modified-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 132
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4759/pfas-max-contaminant-levels-in-drinking-water/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a G4 EA H1N1 flu virus pandemic before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4763/will-there-be-a-g4-ea-h1n1-flu-virus-pandemic-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the USA enter a second civil war before July 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4764/will-the-usa-enter-a-second-civil-war-before-july-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": 1106
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Scott Morrison be Prime Minister of Australia on 1 July 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4774/will-scott-morrison-be-prime-minister-of-australia-on-1-july-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "92%",
    "# Forecasts": 104
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Richard Spencer receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4775/will-richard-spencer-receive-a-long-term-twitter-ban-before-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 177
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Charles Murray receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4776/will-charles-murray-receive-a-long-term-twitter-ban-before-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 136
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will more than two nuclear weapons in total have been detonated as an act of war by 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4779/will-more-than-two-nuclear-weapons-in-total-have-been-detonated-as-an-act-of-war-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 80
  },
  {
    "Title": "While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4780/while-cryopreservation-using-fixatives-is-available-how-many-times-more-likely-will-someone-be-to-be-revived-by-2200-if-they-are-cryopreserved-using-fixatives-than-without/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "If the NYT publishes an article mentioning Slate Star Codex or Scott Alexander by July 2021, will it include his full name?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4783/if-the-nyt-publishes-an-article-mentioning-slate-star-codex-or-scott-alexander-by-july-2021-will-it-include-his-full-name/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 252
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will James Lindsay receive a long-term Twitter ban before 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4784/will-james-lindsay-receive-a-long-term-twitter-ban-before-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 123
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4785/what-percentage-of-people-cryopreserved-between-2020-and-2050-will-be-revived-by-2200/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity (if it is ever achieved)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4788/will-artificial-superintelligence-precede-the-achievement-of-longevity-escape-velocity-if-it-is-ever-achieved/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a universal flu vaccine be available?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4791/when-will-a-universal-flu-vaccine-be-available/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mass of the next fundamental particle to be discovered be, in eV?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4794/what-will-the-mass-of-the-next-fundamental-particle-to-be-discovered-be-in-ev/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 36
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many states will have legalized medical or recreational use of psilocybin before 2045?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4796/states-with-legal-psilocybin-by-2045/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4798/what-will-teslas-market-capitalization-be-on-1-january-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 50
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4799/when-will-vladimir-putin-cease-to-hold-the-office-of-president-of-russia/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 86
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake in the 2020s?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4812/how-many-people-will-die-as-a-result-of-the-most-deadly-earthquake-in-the-2020s/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 100
  },
  {
    "Title": "As of July 1st, 2022, when will top forecasters expect the first Artificial General Intelligence to be developed and demonstrated?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4815/as-of-july-1st-2022-when-will-top-forecasters-expect-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-to-be-developed-and-demonstrated/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 109
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Derek Chauvin be acquitted of all murder charges?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4816/will-derek-chauvin-be-acquitted-of-all-murder-charges/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%",
    "# Forecasts": 447
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4821/will-ea-global-london-2021-be-cancelled-rescheduled-or-moved-online/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "74%",
    "# Forecasts": 116
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any Wirecard executive receive a custodial sentence for their involvement in the Wirecard collapse?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4826/will-any-wirecard-executive-receive-a-custodial-sentence-for-their-involvement-in-the-wirecard-collapse/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66%",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the global fertility rate be in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4830/what-will-the-global-fertility-rate-be-in-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 23
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the 7-day moving average of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases first drop below 10% of a previous peak in the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4831/when-will-the-7-day-moving-average-of-daily-confirmed-covid-19-cases-first-drop-below-10-of-a-previous-peak-in-the-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 196
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the VIX index fall below 20?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4833/when-will-the-vix-index-fall-below-20/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 196
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the VIX index climb above 50?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4834/when-will-the-vix-index-climb-above-50/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 74
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will China's Tianwen-1 rover successfully land on Mars?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4836/will-chinas-tianwen-1-rover-successfully-land-on-mars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": 92
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Blue Origin send a paying customer to space?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4841/when-will-blue-origin-send-a-paying-customer-to-space/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will virtual reality headset sales exceed 10 million units per year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4845/when-will-virtual-reality-headset-sales-exceed-10-million-units-per-year/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will evidence of successful synthesis of the element ununennium be published?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4846/when-will-evidence-of-successful-synthesis-of-the-element-ununennium-be-published/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4848/in-the-2024-us-presidential-election-how-many-states-will-use-plurality-voting-methods-to-choose-their-electors/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a Science Fiction work originally written and published in Spanish by 2029 win any of the great international awards that recognize great authors in this genre?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4849/will-a-science-fiction-work-originally-written-and-published-in-spanish-by-2029-win-any-of-the-great-international-awards-that-recognize-great-authors-in-this-genre/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "27%",
    "# Forecasts": 49
  },
  {
    "Title": "When (if ever) will a Manhattan/Apollo project toward AGI be launched?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4850/when-if-ever-will-a-manhattanapollo-project-toward-agi-be-launched/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day poverty be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4851/what-will-the-percentage-of-the-world-population-in-190-a-day-poverty-be-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 74
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4852/how-many-parameters-will-gpt-4-have-if-it-is-released-in-billions-of-parameters/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 312
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Climeworks in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4857/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-climeworks-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 55
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cost of negative emissions sold by Project Vesta in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4858/what-will-be-the-cost-of-negative-emissions-sold-by-project-vesta-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 42
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by CarbonCure in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4859/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-carboncure-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 59
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cost of carbon storage sold by Charm Industrial in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4861/what-will-be-the-cost-of-carbon-storage-sold-by-charm-industrial-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Climeworks still exist in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4862/will-climeworks-still-exist-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 36
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4863/will-project-vesta-still-exist-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21%",
    "# Forecasts": 50
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will CarbonCure still exist in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4864/will-carboncure-still-exist-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Charm Industrial still exist in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4865/will-charm-industrial-still-exist-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will photonic tensor cores be ubiquitous in machine learning by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4872/will-photonic-tensor-cores-be-ubiquitous-in-machine-learning-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 46
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4873/will-openai-reach-its-profit-cap-for-the-first-round-of-investors-by-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 46
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4876/will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-trained-to-do-external-information-retrieval-exist-before-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "49%",
    "# Forecasts": 40
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  {
    "Title": "When will a language model with at least 100B parameters be open sourced including for commercial use?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4877/when-will-a-language-model-with-at-least-100b-parameters-be-open-sourced-including-for-commercial-use/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will /r/themotte be banned from Reddit?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4881/when-will-rthemotte-be-banned-from-reddit/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any of these Reddit alternatives be more popular than Reddit by 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4882/will-any-of-these-reddit-alternatives-be-more-popular-than-reddit-by-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "9%",
    "# Forecasts": 47
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  {
    "Title": "Will Metaculus anticipate the biggest unforeseen trend of the 2020s?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4883/will-metaculus-anticipate-the-biggest-unforeseen-trend-of-the-2020s/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will transformer derived architectures still be state of the art for language modeling in 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4892/will-transformer-derived-architectures-still-be-state-of-the-art-for-language-modeling-in-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66%",
    "# Forecasts": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: Will slaughterhouses be banned in the United Kingdom by 2050.",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4894/longbets-series-will-slaughterhouses-be-banned-in-the-united-kingdom-by-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many laws will be enacted during the 117th United States Congress?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4895/how-many-laws-will-be-enacted-during-the-117th-united-states-congress/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will China's human development index (HDI) score be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4905/what-will-chinas-human-development-index-hdi-score-be-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will an official diagnosis of dementia be announced for Joe Biden before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4906/will-an-official-diagnosis-of-dementia-be-announced-for-joe-biden-before-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "7.000000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 457
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the US police-to-prison spending ratio be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4907/what-will-the-us-police-to-prison-spending-ratio-be-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 43
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any state send multiple certificates of electors following the 2020 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4910/will-any-state-send-multiple-certificates-of-electors-following-the-2020-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 219
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will an individual SpaceX Falcon 9 core stage launch and return to Earth for the tenth time?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4911/when-will-an-individual-spacex-falcon-9-core-stage-launch-and-return-to-earth-for-the-tenth-time/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 113
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many of the \"priority paths\" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4912/how-many-of-the-priority-paths-identified-by-80000hours-will-still-be-priority-paths-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "Alexander Lukashenko to remain president of Belarus on January 31st, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4918/alexander-lukashenko-to-remain-president-of-belarus-on-january-31st-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "97%",
    "# Forecasts": 993
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will win the 'worm wars'?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4919/who-will-win-the-worm-wars/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "73%",
    "# Forecasts": 56
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many charities will Charity Entrepreneurship help launch in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4920/how-many-charities-will-charity-entrepreneurship-help-launch-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Charity Entrepreneurship help create a new GiveWell top charity?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4921/when-will-charity-entrepreneurship-help-create-a-new-givewell-top-charity/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be active warfare between the United States and China by the end of 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4922/will-there-be-active-warfare-between-the-united-states-and-china-by-the-end-of-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6%",
    "# Forecasts": 134
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4923/will-the-next-millennium-prize-problem-be-solved-by-ai/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "14.000000000000002%",
    "# Forecasts": 132
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints allow same-sex marriage by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4924/will-the-church-of-jesus-christ-of-latter-day-saints-allow-same-sex-marriage-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "34%",
    "# Forecasts": 39
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will SpaceX be worth in 2030? [125B-100T range]",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4927/what-will-spacex-be-worth-in-2030-125b-100t-range/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the Woke index in US elite media top?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4931/when-will-the-woke-index-in-us-elite-media-top/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4932/when-will-ai-achieve-superhuman-few-shot-performance-on-superglue/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 43
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will FreeTON cryptocurrency project be successful?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4934/will-freeton-cryptocurrency-project-be-successful/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4946/will-antifa-officially-be-labeled-a-terrorist-group-in-the-us-before-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": 209
  },
  {
    "Title": "[Metaculus] When will the feature to share private questions go live?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4947/metaculus-when-will-the-feature-to-share-private-questions-go-live/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4949/what-will-be-the-best-marathon-time-completed-before-2035-in-seconds-according-to-guinness-world-records/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will traviswfisher be unseated on the Metaculus leaderboard?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4950/when-will-traviswfisher-be-unseated-on-the-metaculus-leaderboard/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of tons of CO₂ will the United States emit in 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4951/how-many-billions-of-tons-of-co%25E2%2582%2582-will-the-united-states-emit-in-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Lebanon come under French rule again before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4952/will-lebanon-come-under-french-rule-again-before-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 107
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first baby be born away from Earth?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4954/when-will-the-first-baby-be-born-away-from-earth/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 53
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will One Piece end?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4963/when-will-one-piece-end/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4966/when-will-the-us-fda-grant-neuralink-permission-to-sell-and-implant-a-brain-machine-interface-device-into-general-consumers/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 98
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the real median household income in the United States in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4967/what-will-be-the-real-median-household-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the Gini coefficient for income in the United States in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4968/what-will-be-the-gini-coefficient-for-income-in-the-united-states-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 62
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will someone report to have received a hemispherectomy for the purpose of life extension before 2100?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4969/will-someone-report-to-have-received-a-hemispherectomy-for-the-purpose-of-life-extension-before-2100/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "16%",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the monthly average number of sunspots around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4970/what-will-be-the-monthly-average-number-of-sunspots-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "13 month boxed mean of sunspots around the Solar 25 maximum?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4971/13-month-boxed-mean-of-sunspots-around-the-solar-25-maximum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the minimum magnetic field strength during Solar Cycle 25?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4974/what-will-be-the-minimum-magnetic-field-strength-during-solar-cycle-25/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the 3-day mean geomagnetic forecast around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4975/what-will-be-the-3-day-mean-geomagnetic-forecast-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 34
  },
  {
    "Title": "On what day will Solar Cycle 25’s maximum occur?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4976/on-what-day-will-solar-cycle-25s-maximum-occur/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "What day will Solar Cycle 25 end?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4978/what-day-will-solar-cycle-25-end/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a mini-Maunder event occur beginning in Solar Cycle 25 (or 24)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4979/will-a-mini-maunder-event-occur-beginning-in-solar-cycle-25-or-24/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the 5-day moving average of the 10.7 cm radio flux around Solar Cycle 25’s maximum?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4981/what-will-be-the-5-day-moving-average-of-the-107-cm-radio-flux-around-solar-cycle-25s-maximum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a human with no biological feet run 100 meters in less than 9.572 seconds?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4986/when-will-a-human-with-no-biological-feet-run-100-meters-in-less-than-9572-seconds/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Microwave disruption of COVID-19 virus particles?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4994/microwave-disruption-of-covid-19-virus-particles/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will Denmark rank in GDP per capita (PPP) in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5000/what-will-denmark-rank-in-gdp-per-capita-ppp-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many DALYs will be caused by outdoor air pollution in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5025/how-many-dalys-will-be-caused-by-outdoor-air-pollution-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 42
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Scotland vote to leave the UK in the next referendum?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5029/will-scotland-vote-to-leave-the-uk-in-the-next-referendum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "64%",
    "# Forecasts": 89
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a high profile criminal investigation take down a \"hidden website\" on the Tor Network during 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5034/will-a-high-profile-criminal-investigation-take-down-a-hidden-website-on-the-tor-network-during-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5035/when-will-spacex-starlink-internet-be-generally-available/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 149
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Eurozone collapse before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5039/will-the-eurozone-collapse-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the largest CME during Solar Cycle 25 (in kinetic energy)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5045/what-will-be-the-largest-cme-during-solar-cycle-25-in-kinetic-energy/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5048/will-the-uk-rejoin-the-eu-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": 88
  },
  {
    "Title": "If Trump is not sworn in as President in 2021, will he become the Republican nominee for President in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5049/if-trump-is-not-sworn-in-as-president-in-2021-will-he-become-the-republican-nominee-for-president-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": 338
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first Macs with Apple Silicon ship?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5050/when-will-the-first-macs-with-apple-silicon-ship/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 125
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Tucker Carlson be the Republican Presidential nominee in 2024 US presidential election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5062/will-tucker-carlson-be-the-republican-presidential-nominee-in-2024-us-presidential-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": 159
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Stephen Bannon be found guilty of fraud?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5105/will-stephen-bannon-be-found-guilty-of-fraud/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68%",
    "# Forecasts": 160
  },
  {
    "Title": "What proportion of the 20 largest Chinese corporations' revenue will be state-owned in 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5110/what-proportion-of-the-20-largest-chinese-corporations-revenue-will-be-state-owned-in-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5118/will-robin-hanson-win-a-bet-that-the-gpt-line-of-language-models-will-generate--1bn-in-customer-revenue-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5120/if-tested-would-the-most-powerful-quesion-answering-ai-system-as-of-2022-06-01-demonstrate-text-based-intelligence-parity-with-human-5th-graders/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "27%",
    "# Forecasts": 36
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be devised, tested, and publicly known of? [stronger operationalization]",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/when-will-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-system-be-devised-tested-and-publicly-known-of-stronger-operationalization/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 130
  },
  {
    "Title": "If at least one human challenge trial is run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 115
  },
  {
    "Title": "If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5128/if-no-human-challenge-trials-are-run-for-covid-19-before-february-5-2021-how-many-total-deaths-in-the-us-will-be-directly-attributed-to-covid-19-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 123
  },
  {
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    "Title": "Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?",
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    "Title": "Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2022?",
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    "Title": "Will transformer derived architectures accelerate progress in deep learning?",
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    "Title": "If Joe Biden is elected president of the US in 2020, will the highest tax bracket be restored to its original 39.6% or higher before 2025?",
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    "Title": "When the first company reaches a $4 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "20%",
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  {
    "Title": "When will Bitcoin lose its position as market dominant cryptocurrency?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Title": "When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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    "Title": "When will the first human head transplant occur?",
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  {
    "Title": "Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "60%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Free Greens gain any seats in the next Danish general election?",
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  {
    "Title": "How many parameters (in billions) is needed to achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Title": "Will another paper authored by Phil Rushton be retracted before 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  {
    "Title": "[Short-fuse] When will the next episode of Hello Internet be released?",
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  {
    "Title": "Average S&P 500 return in the 2020s?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5240/average-sp-500-return-in-the-2020s/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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    "Title": "How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in any of the next three election cycles?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "11%",
    "# Forecasts": 68
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  {
    "Title": "Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-gets-nuke-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39%",
    "# Forecasts": 221
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  {
    "Title": "Will life on Venus be confirmed before 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5255/life-on-venus/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": 189
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  {
    "Title": "Will the cover of the 2022 IKEA Catalogue feature a human?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5260/humans-on-the-2022-ikea-catalogue-cover/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "62%",
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  {
    "Title": "What will be the effective tax rate for a hypothetical 1 million dollar long-term capital gain in the United States on January 1st 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5261/tax-rate-for-a-million-dollar-capital-gain/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the CDC adopt a Health at Every Size approach towards addressing obesity before 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5265/cdc-to-adopt-haes-by-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "21%",
    "# Forecasts": 27
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  {
    "Title": "When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5276/ai-competence-in-diverse-fields-of-expertise/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will American Metaculus users face an emigration crisis?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will Tesla self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Waymo self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "If Lesswrong holds a similar Petrov Day event in 2021, will the \"red button\" be pressed?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "53%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will \"best practice\" in treating Coronavirus involve administering  Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "44%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the US NIH recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "37%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Dutch medical consortium recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the People's Republic of China have ever annexed at least half of Taiwan by 2050?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 80
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a Nobel Prize in Physics awarded for work in string theory before 2050?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "25%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will Erdogan be re-elected President of Turkey?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "65%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "How many major wars will begin between 2021 and 2031?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 presidential election?",
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    "Percentage": "17%",
    "# Forecasts": 207
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  {
    "Title": "What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump be President of the United States of America on 2021-01-21?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": 3020
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  {
    "Title": "When will the Sentinelese cease to be an uncontacted people?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a complete 4 year interval by 2050 in which world output doubles?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "30%",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Margaret Ferrier resign as MP before April 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?",
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    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister at the beginning of 2030?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will North Korea launch another intercontinental ballistic missile before 2022?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 107
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  {
    "Title": "Will Stripe reach a valuation of $1 trillion before 2027?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
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  {
    "Title": "When will Winifred Wagner's correspondence with Adolph Hitler be published?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will the Russian government introduce a tax on childlessness prior to the 2024 presidential election?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 50
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  {
    "Title": "Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before the end of its term on 31st October 2024?",
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    "Title": "Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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    "Title": "What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at start of 2025? (In billion USD)",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "How much will interest in machine translation grow in 2021?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will be the next S&P 500 correction?",
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    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
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  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?",
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    "Platform": "Metaculus",
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    "Percentage": "72%",
    "# Forecasts": 30
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  {
    "Title": "Will Erin O'Toole become Prime Minister of Canada before 2024?",
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    "Percentage": "33%",
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  {
    "Title": "Will NASA return a sample of material from the surface of Mars to Earth before SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?",
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  {
    "Title": "How many subscribers will /r/sneerclub have on January 1st 2022?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Which language modelling benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Which image classification benchmark will be most popular in the calendar year 2022?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "When will the GDP of Mars exceed that of Earth?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?",
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    "Title": "Will AMC Theatres file for bankruptcy protection before April 1 2021?",
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    "Title": "When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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    "Title": "How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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    "Percentage": "none",
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  {
    "Title": "Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5538/california-zero-emission-sales-by-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many DC Fast public charging outlets/connections will be available in the United States by 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5539/dc-fast-public-charging-stations-by-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 48
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5540/scotus-impeachment-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6%",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will USA top the Medal Table at the Tokyo Olympics in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5541/usa-most-successful-olympic-team-at-toyko/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "73%",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Japan place in the Top 4 at the 2021 Tokyo Olympics?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5542/japan-host-games-advantage/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 44
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of countries which pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5546/success-rate-for-national-carbon-neutrality/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the (English speaking) world be happier in 2021 than in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5552/will-2021-be-a-happier-year-than-2020/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79%",
    "# Forecasts": 53
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Apple close its flagship 5th Ave store for a period of two weeks or longer before April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5554/5th-ave-apple-store-closure-during-winter/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 67
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games take place in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5555/rescheduled-2020-olympics/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 241
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5558/squad20-perfomance-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Lyft electrify 80% of its fleet?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5559/when-will-lyft-be-80-electrified/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5560/difference-in-top-ev-model-sales-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 82
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many new electric bus registrations will Europe see in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5572/electric-bus-registrations-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will another state provide 50% of the number of public charging outlets available in California?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5573/us-state-race-in-public-charging-outlets/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will China reach its NEV credit targets of 14% by 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5574/china-to-reach-nev-14-credit-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "75%",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "What’s the CAGR in the stock of EVs globally over the 2020-22 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5575/cagr-of-global-ev-stock-2020-22/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Germany overtake the US in the share of new EV registrations by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5577/germany-to-overtake-us-in-ev-registrations/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54%",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many electric vehicles will Tesla produce (units delivered) in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5582/total-tesla-sales-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 83
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the price of neuropreservation be at Alcor in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5585/neuropreservation-price-at-alcor-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a book written by a language model make the NY Times Best Seller list before 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5587/ai-ny-times-best-seller-before-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 49
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5588/us-government-spending-to-gdp-for-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the GOP control the senate after the 2022 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5632/will-the-gop-control-the-senate-in-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "57.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 129
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Facebook block links to Bitchute before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5635/facebook-block-links-to-bitchute-before-2023/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the maximum z-score be for Denmark for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5638/max-excess-death-score-for-denmark-2020-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the maximum z-score be for Greece for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5639/max-excess-death-score-for-greece-2020-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 115
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the maximum z-score be for Hungary for observed deaths in 2020-2021 according to Euromomo?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5640/max-excess-death-score-for-hungary-2020-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 73
  },
  {
    "Title": "In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede? [closes 2021-01-20]",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5643/us-election-concession-date/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 1425
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the US Federal Minimum Wage be Raised?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5646/next-minimum-wage-raise/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5648/1-gwp-off-earth/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump flee the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5655/will-trump-flee-the-united-states/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13%",
    "# Forecasts": 127
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump freely leave the White House?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5656/will-trump-freely-leave-the-white-house/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "97%",
    "# Forecasts": 509
  },
  {
    "Title": "How will Joe Biden rank among presidents?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5657/how-will-joe-biden-rank-among-presidents/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the maximum number of COVID-19 cases reported in a single day in the United States before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5659/max-number-of-us-daily-covid-19-cases/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 144
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the US Q4 2020 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5660/us-q4-2020-gdp-growth-rate/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 137
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be Donald Trump's net worth in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5666/donald-trumps-net-worth-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 86
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5670/calculating-rsa-public-keys/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "How will Donald Trump rank among presidents?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5672/how-will-donald-trump-rank-among-presidents/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 219
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Dr. Ezekiel Emanuel retract his view that he wants to die by 75?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5678/dr-ezekiel-emanuel-to-retract-deathist-view/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 48
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the average daily supply of consumer motor gasoline in 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5679/avg-daily-supply-motor-gasoline-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "By how much will carbon dioxide emissions change from ground transportation globally between 2020 and 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5680/co2-emission-change-from-transport-2020-25/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 17
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5681/when-will-us-ev-sales-overtake-ice-sales/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many new EV buses will be registered worldwide in 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5682/new-ev-bus-registration-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5683/who-will-produce-the-most-lithium-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump attempt to pardon himself?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5685/will-donald-trump-attempt-to-pardon-himself/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46%",
    "# Forecasts": 428
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump attempt to pardon a member of his family?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5686/trump-attempts-to-pardon-family-member/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "55.00000000000001%",
    "# Forecasts": 306
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump be indicted for obstruction of justice by 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5687/trump-indicted-for-obstruction-of-justice/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 55
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Graphcore become a publicly traded company?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5694/when-will-graphcore-ipo/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 10
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Bryan Caplan first announce that he lost a bet?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5695/when-will-bryan-caplan-lose-a-bet/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the net percentage of people who believe it's acceptable to buy fur by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5697/moral-acceptablity-of-buying-fur-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 27 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5715/driverless-cars-available-in-las-vegas-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "67%",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: will the amount of geologically-derived crude oil consumed by the United States in 2035 be greater than the amount consumed in 2015?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5716/longbets-oil-consumed-in-us-in-2035-vs-2015/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32%",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump be elected president of the United States in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5717/will-trump-be-elected-potus-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 207
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a nuclear device with a yield of at least 1kt be detonated anywhere on Earth in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5721/1kt-nuke-detonated-on-earth-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 114
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5727/100m-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 225
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the community median's Brier score (at closing time) be when the Metaculus has 300 predictors per question?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5729/m-community-brier-when-300-predictors-per-q/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5730/biden-net-approval-5-through-20-july-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 150
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the minimum unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5735/minimum-us-unemployment-rate-for-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK's second wave reach 1000 deaths/day?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5746/uk-second-wave-deadlier-than-first/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "98%",
    "# Forecasts": 1315
  },
  {
    "Title": "By February 1st, 2021, will Twitter temporarily or permanently suspend @realDonaldTrump or @POTUS based on alleged violations of Twitter's Terms of Service?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5747/will-realdonaldtrump-or-potus-be-suspended/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54%",
    "# Forecasts": 141
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5749/covid-19-strain-that-circumvents-the-immunity/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32%",
    "# Forecasts": 133
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the China-to-USA GDP ratio be in 2050?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5755/china-to-usa-gdp-ratio-in-2050/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 55
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5760/next-conservative-leader-uk/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 149
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the next Scottish independence referendum be held?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5761/next-scottish-indepedence-referendum/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 43
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Andrew Yang run for mayor of New York in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5766/yang-to-run-for-nyc-mayor-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "98%",
    "# Forecasts": 339
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5767/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 106
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will GTA VI be released in the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5772/when-will-gta-vi-be-released-in-the-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 46
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5773/united-states-covid-herd-immunity-230m-date/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 396
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the value of C-band spectrum auctioned off by the FCC in Auction 107?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5774/net-bids-in-fcc-auction-107/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will US house prices be at the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5780/real-us-house-prices-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5784/eia-petroleum-stock-january-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 80
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5792/cpi-u--change-for-february-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5793/initial-jobless-claims-in-january-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 136
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5794/initial-jobless-claims-in-february-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 59
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the total retail sales including food services be for January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5795/total-retail-sales-in-january-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the total retail sales including food services be for February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5796/total-retail-sales-in-february-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 43
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the Industrial Production Index number for January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5797/industrial-production-index-january-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 63
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the Industrial Production Index number for February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5798/industrial-production-index-february-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 45
  },
  {
    "Title": "How effective will a second RCT find the most effective regimen of the AstraZenca SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to be?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5800/astrazeneca-covid-vaccine-effectiveness/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 135
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5801/eia-petroleum-stock-february-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "How large will Monaco be in 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5802/how-large-will-monaco-be-in-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 42
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first clone of a prominent historical figure be born?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5804/first-clone-of-a-prominent-historical-figure/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5806/sars-cov-2-vaccine-widely-available-in-the-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 224
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5808/signatory-to-ban-on-nukes-to-break-treaty/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28.999999999999996%",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many billions of dollars of student loans will the US federal government forgive in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5809/federal-loan-forgiveness/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 71
  },
  {
    "Title": "How efficacious will the Sputnik V SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be according to the peer reviewed results of the Phase 3 RCT?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5811/sputnik-v-sars-cov-2-vaccine-efficacy/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 43
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5814/2022-us-house-midterm-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mathias Cormann become the next secretary-general of the OECD?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5819/aussie-pollie-mathias-cormann-to-lead-oecd/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a first-class Royal Mail stamp cost at least £1?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5823/date-first-class-royal-mail-stamps-costs-1/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK government succeed in reducing its commitment to spend 0.7% of GNI on International aid?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5824/uk-to-cut-international-aid/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "76%",
    "# Forecasts": 77
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5825/trump-at-bidens-inauguration/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": 590
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the price of bitcoin drop below $10K USD in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5826/bitcoin-below-10k/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "23%",
    "# Forecasts": 306
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many DC charging stations will Boulder, CO have by the end 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5827/dc-charging-stations-in-boulder-co-by-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many DC charging stations will Orlando, FL have by the end 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5828/dc-charging-stations-in-orlando-fl-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will China land the next person on the Moon?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5832/china-to-land-the-next-person-on-the-moon/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 51
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 10%?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5833/gwp-growth-to-exceed-10/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5839/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many drugs will be approved by the FDA in 2035?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5840/drugs-approved-by-fda-in-2035/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "On November 2021, will >20% of Americans believe the 2020 election was rigged?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5848/election-fraud-myth-persists/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "79%",
    "# Forecasts": 109
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5852/date-when-lifespan-increases-075-yrsyr/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will alien technosignatures be detected for the first time?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5858/when-will-alien-technosignatures-be-detected/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 70
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the Mens winning 100m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5860/2020-mens-100m-final/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2020 Olympic Final be?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5861/2020-olympic-womens-100m-final/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5865/longbets-us-productivity-growth-2-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "Longbets series: will the June, 2025 Labor Force Participation Rate and unemployment rate, reported by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, be, respectively above 60 percent and below 7.5 percent?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5866/longbets-low-unemployment-but-low-lfpr-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "51%",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will US house prices be at the end of 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5867/real-us-house-prices-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on June 14, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5871/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 123
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their June 2021 list?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5872/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-june-21/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 194
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will online poker die by 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5875/online-poker-dead-by-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17%",
    "# Forecasts": 53
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of US GDP will be spent on R&D in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5876/-of-us-gdp-spent-on-rd-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the next US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5882/2024-us-election-considered-fraudulent/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 65
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Gladys Berejiklian cease to be Premier of NSW before the next state election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5883/gladys-berejiklians-premiership/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 25
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Open Courts Act become law?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5884/pacer-to-become-free/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56.99999999999999%",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5886/will-the-first-female-potus-be-republican/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 26
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5888/cv-e-prints-2020-12-14-to-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 93
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Computation and Language e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5889/nlp-e-prints-2020-12-14-to-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 99
  },
  {
    "Title": "What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will  United States-based in the June 2021 TOP500 list?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5891/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 122
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many papers on AI ethics and algorithmic bias will be published by the end of 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5892/ai-ethics-and-algo-bias-publications-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 27
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5894/ai-safety--other-2020-12-14-to-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 145
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation of PASCAL-Context be at 2021-06-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5896/sota-on-pascal-context-at-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 121
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2021-06-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5897/sota-on-cityscapes-on-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 115
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2021-06-14 in top-1 accuracy?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5898/sota-on-imagenet-on-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 137
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv from 2021 through 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5899/ai-safety--other-2021-through-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 118
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5900/few-shot-learning-2020-12-14-to-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 109
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5901/reinforcement-learning-2020-12-14-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 95
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on MiniImageNet be, on 2021-06-14, in accuracy?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5902/sota-1-shot-on-on-miniimagenet-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 238
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2021-06-14 in Average Precision (AP)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5903/sota-object-detection-on-ms-coco-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 128
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5904/image-classification-index-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 121
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5906/number-confirmed-global-covid-cases-by-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 143
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths globally by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5907/number-confirmed-global-covid-deaths-by-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 101
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5908/confirmed-us-covid-deaths-by-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 225
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of COVID-19 vaccine doses purchased by the U.S. as of 30 June 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5909/covid-vaccine-doses-bought-by-us-by-june/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 135
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved by the U.S. FDA as of 30 June 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5910/covid-vaccines-approved-by-us-fda-by-june/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 145
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for April 2021, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5911/april-2021-production-of-semiconducters/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 106
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5912/when-will-us-allow-travel-from-europe/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Netanyahu be convicted by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5914/will-netanyahu-be-convicted-by-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31%",
    "# Forecasts": 101
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. Affordable Care Act be expanded to include a public option before the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5915/will-us-aca-have-public-option-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13%",
    "# Forecasts": 97
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will 2021 be the hottest year on record according to NASA?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5916/will-2021-be-the-hottest-year-on-record/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 81
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the U.S. rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5917/date-us-rejoins-paris-climate-agreement/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 228
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the world agree to new climate targets at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5918/world-to-agree-to-new-climate-targets-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "68%",
    "# Forecasts": 87
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership trade pact in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5920/us-to-join-rcep-trade-pact-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 98
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be net migration to the United Kingdom in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5921/net-migration-to-uk-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 105
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Scotland set a date for a new independence referendum in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5922/scotland-independence-referendum-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 97
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the U.S. GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5923/us-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 104
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2021-06-14 in perplexity?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5924/sota-perplexity-on-wikitext-103-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 122
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the EU GDP growth (year on year) in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5925/eu-gdp-growth-rate-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 79
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the S&P 500 experience a bear market (peak to trough decline of 20% or more) in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5926/bear-market-in-sp-500-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 197
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the the market cap of MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, FB, AMZN on 31 December 2021 as a percentage of the total S&P500?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5927/value-of-faang-stocks-as--of-sp-500/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 169
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the WTI oil price in December 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5928/wti-oil-price-in-december-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 150
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the U.S. in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5929/us-pev-sales-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 82
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of commercial flights in operation on 30 June 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5931/number-of-commercial-flights-on-30-june-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 95
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 1bn people have been vaccinated with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >60% in a n>500 RCT?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5934/1bn-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5935/it-and-comms-weighting-in-sp500-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 140
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the price of IGM be, on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5936/closing-price-igm-on-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 117
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on SuperGLUE be on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5937/sota-on-superglue-on-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 182
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many e-prints on multi-modal machine learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2021-06-14 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5938/multi-modal-ml-2020-12-14-to-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 125
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q1 of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5939/it-as--of-gdp-in-q1-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 154
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5940/squad20-sota-perfomance-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 132
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art language text-to-SQL performance on WikiSQL be at 2021-06-14 in logical form test accuracy?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5941/sota-text-to-sql-on-wikisql-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 137
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total box office gross in the U.S. & Canada in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5942/box-office-gross-in-the-us--canada-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 74
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5943/us-excess-covid-19-deaths/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 50
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2024-12-14 in top-1 accuracy?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5946/sota-on-imagenet-on-2024-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 139
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on WikiText-103 be at 2026-12-14 in perplexity?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5947/sota-perplexity-on-wikitext-103-2026-12-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 129
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2026-12-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5948/image-classification-index-2026-12-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 130
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the the sum of the level of performance (in exaFLOPS) of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be according to their November 2026 list?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5949/total-compute-top500-supercomputers-nov-2026/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 114
  },
  {
    "Title": "What share (in %) of the world's super-compute performance will  United States-based in the June 2030 TOP500 list?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5950/us-share-of-world-supercompute-june-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 107
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU be, on December 14, 2026?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5951/top-price-performance-in-g3d-mark--of-gpu/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 98
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will Alphabet Inc.'s market capitalisation be at market close on 2026-12-14 in 2020 USD?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5955/alphabet-incs-market-cap-on-2026-12-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 151
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5958/it-as--of-gdp-in-q4-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 124
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the Federal Reserves' Industrial Production Index be for December 2026, for semiconductors, printed circuit boards and related products?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5960/dec-2026-production-of-semiconductors/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 88
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2020-12-14 to 2031-01-01 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5961/reinforcement-learning-2021-01-01-2031-01-01/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 132
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on arXiv over the 2020-01-01 to 2027-01-01 period?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5962/few-shot-learning-2020-12-14-to-2027-01-01/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 193
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2021-06-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5965/object-detection-index-2021-06-14/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 136
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean level of transit activity be in New York City for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5968/transit-activity-in-nyc-for-january/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 172
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean level of transit activity be in San Francisco — Bay Area for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5969/transit-activity-in-sf-bay-area-for-january/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 144
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5970/transit-activity-in-phoenix-for-december/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 145
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean level of transit activity be in the city of Dallas, Texas for the week 2021-01-24 through 2021-01-30?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5972/transit-activity-in-dallas-tx-for-december/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 141
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the mean level of transit activity be in the city of Dallas, Texas for the week 2021-02-21 through 2021-02-27?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5973/transit-activity-in-dallas-tx-for-february/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 131
  },
  {
    "Title": "What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5974/yang-last-round-vote-share-2021-ny-mayor/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 41
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will enough signatures be gathered to schedule a recall election for California Govenor Gavin Newsom?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5979/ca-gov-newsom-petitioned-for-recall-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "76%",
    "# Forecasts": 112
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a Glastonbury Festival take place in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5986/glastonbury-festival-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "41%",
    "# Forecasts": 57
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the unemployment rate be for German law degree holders in 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5987/unemployment-rate-for-german-lawyers-in-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "For the month of January 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5989/january-2021-us-nonfarm-payrolls-figure-be/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "For the month of February 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5990/february-2021-us-nonfarm-payrolls-figure-be/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the average vacancy rate for commercial real estate (i.e. multi-family, industrial, retail, and hotel) be in Q2 of 2021, in the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5991/us-commercial-real-estate-vacancy-q2-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the total deal value be of all the US PE deals in billions of US$, in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5992/total-us-private-equity-deals-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report a gross business income for Q1 2021 that reaches or exceeds pre-COVID levels from Q1 2019?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5993/washington-q1-2021-business-income--q1-2019/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the average percentage change in property and casualty insurance premiums in Q1 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5994/-change-in-pc-insurance-premiums-q1-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 19
  },
  {
    "Title": "For the calendar year 2021, will peak monthly US unemployment occur within Q1?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5995/will-us-peak-unemployment-in-2021-be-in-q1/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "67%",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will (seasonally-adjusted, annualized) unemployment insurance payments be in 2021 Q1, in billions of $USD?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5996/cares-act-unemployment-payments-in-2021-q1/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the US Q1 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5997/us-q1-2021-gdp-growth-rate/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 54
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many athletes will have signed the High Impact Athletes giving pledge by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5999/number-of-hia-pledges-by-end-of-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6000/lives-saved-by-seconddosedelay-for-vaccine/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "80%",
    "# Forecasts": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the 10-year average Gross World Product growth rate exceed 6%?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6002/gwp-growth-to-exceed-6/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will High Impact Athletes have donated by the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6003/total-donated-by-hia-athletes-by-end-of-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "What fraction of High Impact Athletes pledge-takers will maintain it through the end of 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6005/fraction-of-hia-pledges-still-active-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Moderna, Pfizer/BioNTech, or Oxford/AstraZeneca start producing an updated vaccine targeting a SARS-CoV-2 variant before 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6007/vaccine-update-due-to-mutation/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": 107
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6008/united-stated-cdc-to-recommend-revaccination/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": 73
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Restaurant Brands International cease sourcing pork in North America from suppliers that use gestation stalls by Jan 1, 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6018/burger-king-to-cease-using-gestation-stalls/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6020/charity-entrepreneurship-to-birth-top-ace-ngo/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44%",
    "# Forecasts": 33
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any of the nonprofits incubated by Charity Entrepreneurship become a future ACE top or standout charity by Jan 1, 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6021/ce-to-incubate-ace-recommended-ngo-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 35
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the first course on wild animal welfare be taught at a top university?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6022/when-will-wild-animal-welfare-reach-top-uni/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 66
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a charity primarily operating in China become an ACE Top Charity in 2021 or 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6023/charity-in-china-to-ace-aces-criteria/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%",
    "# Forecasts": 68
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to sexual harassment or unwanted sexual advances in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6024/sexual-scandal-amongst-animal-advocates/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 61
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will ACE or any of its top or standout charities see a scandal related to racial inequity or discrimination in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6025/diversity-debacle-amongst-animal-advocates/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12%",
    "# Forecasts": 59
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much money will be donated to ACE in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6026/2021-donations-to-animal-charity-evaluators/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much money will ACE estimate to have influenced in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6027/money-moved-by-animal-charity-evaluators/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a Nobel Prize for Economic Science be awarded for MMT before 2041-01-01?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6028/nobel-prize-for-mmt-by-2041/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 15
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6031/more-transmissible-variant-to-infect-10m/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "93%",
    "# Forecasts": 306
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 1 bitcoin be worth $1,000,000 (2020 USD) or more?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6046/date-1-bitcoin-worth-1-million/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 49
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any prediction market cause users to lose at least $1M before 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6047/1m-lost-in-prediction-market/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6049/time-person-of-the-year-is-us-president-elect/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Andrew Yang win the 2021 New York City mayoral election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6051/will-andrew-yang-be-the-next-mayor-of-nyc/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%",
    "# Forecasts": 174
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the median age of an employed person in the US in 2040?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6055/us-median-age-of-employed-person-by-2040/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 13
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people in the US between the ages 16-24 will be employed in 2021 (in thousands)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6056/us-employment-of-ages-16-24-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people 65+ will be employed in the US in 2021 (in thousands)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6057/us-employment-of-ages-65-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people will be employed in the US wholesale and retail industries in 2021 (in thousands)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6060/number-employed-in-us-retail-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many will be employed in the US transportation and warehousing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6061/number-employed-in-us-transport-industry-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 28
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many people will be employed in the US education industry in 2021 (in thousands)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6062/number-employed-in-us-education-industry-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 21
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between racial groups labeled 'black' and 'white' by the Bureau of Labor Statistics?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6064/us-black-white-unemployment-parity/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 31
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will the US federal government spend on income security in 2021 (in billions)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6065/us-federal-budget-for-income-security-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 20
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of the US federal budget will be used for Medicare in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6066/us-federal-budget-for-medicare-in-2024/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the income ratio between men and women employed full-time by 2025 in the US?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6070/us-gender-income-ratio-by-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 18
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6074/will-netanyahu-win-the-march-2021-election/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "60%",
    "# Forecasts": 47
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6091/open-phil-grants-to-ai-safety-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 24
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6094/possible-youtube-ban-in-russia-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "23%",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the UK reach herd immunity (>53.3m) for Covid-19?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6105/uk-covid-herd-immunity-533m-date/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 84
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6107/the-precipice-amazon-ratings-1-1-2022/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 30
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Norway leave EEA before 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6108/norway-eea-membership-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6%",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6109/ea-donations-to-new-charities-in-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 14
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6111/khan-final-round-mayoral-election-vote-share/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 32
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6114/will-the-senate-confirm-many-judges-in-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 37
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will there be at least one billion Americans?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6119/when-will-there-be-at-least-1bn-americans/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6121/uk-index-of-economic-freedom-score-2025/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 16
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6124/astrazenecaoxford-vaccine-us-eua-date/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 29
  },
  {
    "Title": "How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6125/quality-of-retinal-implants-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 36
  },
  {
    "Title": "How good will the best available visual cortex prosthesis be in 2030?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6126/quality-of-visual-cortex-implants-in-2030/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 38
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6127/maximum-number-of-covid-19-cases-by-june-1st/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 46
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6158/fluvoxamine-to-get-eua-for-covid-in-us/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19%",
    "# Forecasts": 22
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the number of new U.S. adult and pediatric previous day admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6160/new-us-hospital-admissions-24-30-january/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6161/new-us-covid-deaths-24-30-january/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 69
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the number of new confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6162/new-us-covid-cases-24-30-january/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 53
  },
  {
    "Title": "What factor should the median 4-week-ahead COVIDhub Ensemble forecast made on 4 Jan(a forecast for the 24-30 Jan week) be multiplied by so that it equals the reported number of new US incident deaths?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6163/factor-covidhub-forecast-to-be-multiplied-by/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 58
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if greater than or equal to 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6164/number-of-covid-deaths-if-50-vaccinated/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6165/number-of-us-covid-deaths-if-50-vaccinated/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 60
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the percent of B.1.1.7 among all S gene dropout SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted for genomic sequencing surveillance in the US between 2021-02-01 and 2021-02-15?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6166/-b117-among-all-s-gene-dropout-samples/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 52
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6172/-4-of-25th-amendment-invoked-before-nov-3/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": 659
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will Trump's approval rating be on 18-Jan-2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6173/trump-approval-rating-on-18-jan-2021/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": 204
  },
  {
    "Title": "[Short-fuse] Will Donald Trump cease to be President before  the 2021/01/20 inauguration?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6177/trump-out-before-20200120/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "15%",
    "# Forecasts": 430
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?",
    "URL": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6202/uk-2kday-covid-deaths/",
    "Platform": "Metaculus",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32%",
    "# Forecasts": 56
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2020 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4353/What-will-be-the-balance-of-power-in-Congress-after-the-2020-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will control the Senate after 2020 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/4366/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2020-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump complete his first term?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "86%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump pardon Jeffrey Epstein by Jan. 20, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5665/Will-Trump-pardon-Jeffrey-Epstein-by-Jan-20,-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which of these 5 European leaders will leave office next?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5717/Which-of-these-5-European-leaders-will-leave-office-next",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment in his first term?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5914/Will-the-Senate-convict-Donald-Trump-on-impeachment-in-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump resign during his first term?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6008/Will-Trump-resign-during-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "12%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani before end of 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6020/Will-Trump-pardon-Rudy-Giuliani-before-end-of-2020",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will NASA find 2020’s global average temperature highest on record?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6234/Will-NASA-find-2020’s-global-average-temperature-highest-on-record",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "45%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump pardon himself in his first term?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6453/Will-Trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the popular vote margin in the 2020 presidential election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6663/What-will-be-the-popular-vote-margin-in-the-2020-presidential-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the net change in Senate seats, by party?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6670/What-will-be-the-net-change-in-Senate-seats,-by-party",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which U.S. Senate race will be won by the smallest margin?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6737/Which-US-Senate-race-will-be-won-by-the-smallest-margin",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many women will win election to the U.S. Senate in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6765/How-many-women-will-win-election-to-the-US-Senate-in-2020",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Democrats win the White House, Senate and House in 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6770/Will-Democrats-win-the-White-House,-Senate-and-House-in-2020",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "96%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the 2020 House race in Iowa's 2nd District?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6789/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-Iowa's-2nd-District",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of the presidential vote will not be for the two major parties?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6809/What-percentage-of-the-presidential-vote-will-not-be-for-the-two-major-parties",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Nancy Pelosi become Acting U.S. President on January 20?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6852/Will-Nancy-Pelosi-become-Acting-US-President-on-January-20",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the 2020 House race in New York's 22nd District?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6861/Which-party-will-win-the-2020-House-race-in-New-York's-22nd-District",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6867/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will control the Senate after 2022 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many votes in the 2020 U.S. presidential election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6882/How-many-votes-in-the-2020-US-presidential-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the House in the 2022 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6892/Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2022-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many U.S. House delegations will Republicans win in the 2020 election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6925/How-many-US-House-delegations-will-Republicans-win-in-the-2020-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How closely will the election results match the polls?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6936/How-closely-will-the-election-results-match-the-polls",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of State on Feb. 15?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be more than 9 Supreme Court justices at any point in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6946/Will-there-be-more-than-9-Supreme-Court-justices-at-any-point-in-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Defense on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6949/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Defense-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Labor on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6951/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Labor-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Attorney General on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6952/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Attorney-General-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Kamala Harris file to run for president before the end of 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6953/Will-Kamala-Harris-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Treasury Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6957/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Treasury-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed HUD Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6958/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HUD-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the margin in the Georgia special Senate election runoff?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6959/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-Georgia-special-Senate-election-runoff",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the margin in the Georgia regular Senate election runoff?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6960/What-will-be-the-margin-in-the-Georgia-regular-Senate-election-runoff",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed HHS Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6965/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-HHS-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Commerce Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6966/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Commerce-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Homeland Security Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6971/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Homeland-Security-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Energy Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6972/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Energy-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mike Pence file to run for president before the end of 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6975/Will-Mike-Pence-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2022",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "32%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Interior Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6976/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Interior-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed CIA Director on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6977/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-CIA-Director-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Secretary of Education on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6978/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-Education-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Transportation Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6979/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Transportation-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Agriculture Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6980/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Agriculture-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed EPA Administrator on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 Democratic primary in NY-14?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6983/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-Democratic-primary-in-NY-14",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "46%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Pete Buttigieg be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6986/Will-Pete-Buttigieg-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Veterans Affairs Secretary on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6987/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Veterans-Affairs-Secretary-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed Director of National Intelligence on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6989/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Director-of-National-Intelligence-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Amy Klobuchar be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6990/Will-Amy-Klobuchar-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Elizabeth Warren be confirmed to a Cabinet position by Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6991/Will-Elizabeth-Warren-be-confirmed-to-a-Cabinet-position-by-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed OMB Director on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6992/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-OMB-Director-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed U.S. Trade Representative on Mar. 1?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6993/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-US-Trade-Representative-on-Mar-1",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump file to run for president before the end of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6994/Will-Donald-Trump-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "33%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the 2021 New Jersey gubernatorial election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7000/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-New-Jersey-gubernatorial-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7001/Which-party-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-gubernatorial-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be elected New York City mayor in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7002/Who-will-be-elected-New-York-City-mayor-in-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Andrew Yang run  in the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7003/Will-Andrew-Yang-run-in-the-2021-NYC-Democratic-Mayoral-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "95%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Israel hold national elections for Knesset in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7007/Will-Israel-hold-national-elections-for-Knesset-in-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "98%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which Georgia Senate candidate will win the most runoff votes?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7008/Which-Georgia-Senate-candidate-will-win-the-most-runoff-votes",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which Georgia Senate candidate will win the fewest runoff votes?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7009/Which-Georgia-Senate-candidate-will-win-the-fewest-runoff-votes",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many votes in the Georgia regular Senate runoff election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7011/How-many-votes-in-the-Georgia-regular-Senate-runoff-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many votes in the Georgia special Senate runoff election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7012/How-many-votes-in-the-Georgia-special-Senate-runoff-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will a woman be elected U.S. president in 2024?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7013/Will-a-woman-be-elected-US-president-in-2024",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "44%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez file to run for president before the end of 2023?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7014/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-file-to-run-for-president-before-the-end-of-2023",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "20%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run  in the 2022 NY Democratic Senate primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7015/Will-Alexandria-Ocasio-Cortez-run-in-the-2022-NY-Democratic-Senate-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "31%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7016/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Pennsylvania-in-2022",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7017/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-North-Carolina-in-2022",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump Jr. run in the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7018/Will-Donald-Trump-Jr-run-in-the-2022-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Lara Trump run  in the 2022 North Carolina Republican Senate primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7019/Will-Lara-Trump-run-in-the-2022-North-Carolina-Republican-Senate-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "30%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be the Senate-confirmed USAID Administrator on Mar. 16?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7020/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-USAID-Administrator-on-Mar-16",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Ivanka Trump run  in the 2022 Florida Republican Senate primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7021/Will-Ivanka-Trump-run-in-the-2022-Florida-Republican-Senate-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "19%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7024/Which-party-will-win-the-US-Senate-election-in-Florida-in-2022",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will win the 2021 Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7030/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Democratic-gubernatorial-primary",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be prime minister of Israel on June 30, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7035/Will-Benjamin-Netanyahu-be-prime-minister-of-Israel-on-June-30,-2021",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many seats will Israel's Likud Party win in the next Knesset election?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7036/How-many-seats-will-Israel's-Likud-Party-win-in-the-next-Knesset-election",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be enough signatures by Mar. 17 for a vote on recall of Gov. Newsom?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7039/Will-there-be-enough-signatures-by-Mar-17-for-a-vote-on-recall-of-Gov-Newsom",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7040/Who-will-be-chancellor-of-Germany-on-Dec-31",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will win the 2021 Virginia Republican gubernatorial nomination?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7041/Who-will-win-the-2021-Virginia-Republican-gubernatorial-nomination",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a statewide recount in either Georgia Senate runoff?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7043/Will-there-be-a-statewide-recount-in-either-Georgia-Senate-runoff",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7044/Will-Donald-Trump-be-impeached-again-before-the-end-of-his-term",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "92%"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Yea votes for a Trump impeachment resolution before noon Jan. 20?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7045/How-many-Yea-votes-for-a-Trump-impeachment-resolution-before-noon-Jan-20",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Jon Ossoff be sworn in as a U.S. Senator?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7046/When-will-Jon-Ossoff-be-sworn-in-as-a-US-Senator",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Raphael Warnock be sworn in as a U.S. Senator?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7048/When-will-Raphael-Warnock-be-sworn-in-as-a-US-Senator",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Yea votes in House for 25th Amendment resolution by Jan. 13?",
    "URL": "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7049/How-many-Yea-votes-in-House-for-25th-Amendment-resolution-by-Jan-13",
    "Platform": "PredictIt",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "37.3707%",
    "# Forecasts": "1448.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-attend-joe-biden-s-inauguration-ceremony-in-person",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.3134%",
    "# Forecasts": "904.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-coinbase-delist-ripple-xrp-before-they-begin-publicly-trading",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "93.8756%",
    "# Forecasts": "373.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated-for-his-second-term-as-president-of-the-usa-on-inauguration-day-january-20th-2021",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4.4697%",
    "# Forecasts": "11248.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-pardon-ross-ulbricht",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "8.2650%",
    "# Forecasts": "391.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-pardon-julian-assange",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "17.6931%",
    "# Forecasts": "1291.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-joe-biden-be-inaugurated-as-president-of-the-usa-on-january-20th-2021-1",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90.5629%",
    "# Forecasts": "3428.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which party will control the senate? (R≡Yes, D≡No)",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/which-party-will-control-the-senate",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "6.8794%",
    "# Forecasts": "1113.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-pardon-edward-snowden",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "13.7089%",
    "# Forecasts": "117.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-btc-break-50k-before-april-1st-2021",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "54.4302%",
    "# Forecasts": "565.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Trump complete his first term?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-complete-his-first-term",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "87.6649%",
    "# Forecasts": "766.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-bitcoin-or-tesla-have-a-higher-market-cap-on-march-1-2021",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "39.9523%",
    "# Forecasts": "120.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-donald-trump-be-impeached-again-before-the-end-of-his-term",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "91.3797%",
    "# Forecasts": "716.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://polymarket.com/market/who-will-the-world-s-richest-person-be-on-february-27-2021",
    "Platform": "PolyMarket",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "134.00"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/103-how-many-ai-papers-will-be-posted-on-arxiv-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "11",
    "# Forecasters": "11"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/105-how-many-members-will-the-alphabet-workers-union-have-by-december-31-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "25",
    "# Forecasters": "25"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/104-what-percentage-of-u-s-news-articles-about-ai-will-be-about-privacy-and-security-between-july-1-and-december-31-2021-inclusive",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "11",
    "# Forecasters": "10"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/102-will-nvidia-acquire-arm-by-march-30-2022",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "51%",
    "# Forecasts": "38",
    "# Forecasters": "31"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/101-on-how-many-of-china-s-top-chipmakers-will-the-united-states-impose-new-export-controls-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "49",
    "# Forecasters": "48"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/100-what-percentage-of-the-collective-revenue-of-the-leading-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-producers-will-come-from-china-between-july-1-2020-and-june-30-2021-inclusive",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "43",
    "# Forecasters": "41"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/99-will-the-united-states-re-enter-the-2015-nuclear-deal-with-iran-by-december-31-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "65%",
    "# Forecasts": "101",
    "# Forecasters": "75"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/95-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "59",
    "# Forecasters": "50"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/97-when-will-ant-financial-have-an-ipo-in-china-or-hong-kong",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "131",
    "# Forecasters": "98"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/96-what-will-be-the-value-in-dollars-of-all-chinese-imports-of-semiconductor-chips-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "59",
    "# Forecasters": "52"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/93-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-chips-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "67",
    "# Forecasters": "55"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in the first half of 2021? ",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/92-what-will-the-dollar-value-of-u-s-exports-of-semiconductor-manufacturing-equipment-to-china-be-in-the-first-half-of-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "55",
    "# Forecasters": "42"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/91-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-u-s-residents-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2022-pew-global-attitudes-survey",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "138",
    "# Forecasters": "121"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/86-what-percentage-of-u-s-ai-publications-will-be-u-s-china-collaborations-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "82",
    "# Forecasters": "77"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/89-conditional-on-vice-president-biden-s-election-will-the-u-s-government-file-an-antitrust-lawsuit-against-apple-amazon-or-facebook-between-january-20-2021-and-january-19-2025",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "71%",
    "# Forecasts": "120",
    "# Forecasters": "89"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/84-what-will-the-ratio-of-trade-imports-exports-of-goods-to-gdp-be-china-in-the-first-two-quarters-january-1-through-june-30-of-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "53",
    "# Forecasters": "42"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/83-what-will-the-ratio-of-trade-imports-exports-of-goods-to-gdp-be-for-oecd-member-countries-in-the-first-two-quarters-january-1-through-june-30-of-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "47",
    "# Forecasters": "34"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/80-what-percentage-of-u-s-citizens-will-have-an-unfavorable-view-of-china-as-reflected-in-the-2021-pew-global-attitudes-survey",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "200",
    "# Forecasters": "158"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/79-conditional-on-biden-s-election-what-percentage-of-o-visas-will-go-to-chinese-nationals-in-fy-2021-october-1-2020-to-september-30-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "84",
    "# Forecasters": "68"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/76-what-will-total-u-s-trade-volume-with-china-imports-and-exports-of-goods-be-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "80",
    "# Forecasters": "61"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/45-what-percent-of-u-s-corporate-press-releases-about-ai-will-be-about-ai-ethics-in-2021",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "169",
    "# Forecasters": "126"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How much will the U.S. government spend on surveillance-related AI grants between June 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021, inclusive?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/41-how-much-will-the-u-s-government-spend-on-surveillance-related-ai-grants-between-june-1-2020-and-may-31-2021-inclusive",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "79",
    "# Forecasters": "62"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/32-how-many-sorties-against-chinese-aircraft-will-the-japanese-air-self-defense-force-conduct-by-april-30th-2020",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "85",
    "# Forecasters": "55"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the \"Big 5\" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?",
    "URL": "https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/23-how-many-new-h-1b-applications-submitted-by-the-big-5-tech-companies-will-the-u-s-grant-in-fy-2020",
    "Platform": "CSET-foretell",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "119",
    "# Forecasters": "75"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LV?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1898-which-nfl-team-will-win-super-bowl-lv",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "51",
    "# Forecasters": "38"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1897-will-north-macedonia-announce-that-it-has-completed-its-census-before-1-october-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "50%",
    "# Forecasts": "19",
    "# Forecasters": "17"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1899-will-the-new-start-treaty-be-extended-by-russia-and-the-u-s-before-6-february-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "95%",
    "# Forecasts": "68",
    "# Forecasters": "44"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Mexico hold a referendum on President Andrés Manuel López Obrador before 1 September 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1895-will-mexico-hold-a-referendum-on-president-andres-manuel-lopez-obrador-before-1-september-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "25",
    "# Forecasters": "20"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1894-before-1-october-2021-will-any-group-of-amazon-employees-in-the-u-s-vote-in-the-affirmative-to-form-a-union",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66%",
    "# Forecasts": "44",
    "# Forecasters": "37"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1896-will-the-u-s-leveraged-loan-default-rate-reach-or-exceed-5-0-before-1-september-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "47%",
    "# Forecasts": "45",
    "# Forecasters": "34"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Daniel Ortega cease to be the president of Nicaragua before 11 January 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1891-will-daniel-ortega-be-cease-to-be-the-president-of-nicaragua-before-11-january-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": "44",
    "# Forecasters": "27"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 15 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1892-before-15-march-2021-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-of-iran-and-the-united-states-either-in-iran-or-at-sea",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": "86",
    "# Forecasters": "78"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (AMC), the parent company of AMC Theatres, file for bankruptcy?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1893-when-will-amc-entertainment-holdings-inc-amc-the-parent-company-of-amc-theatres-file-for-bankruptcy",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "40",
    "# Forecasters": "30"
  },
  {
    "Title": "At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1884-at-close-of-business-on-31-december-2021-will-apple-be-the-most-valuable-publicly-traded-company-in-the-world",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "76",
    "# Forecasters": "65"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which team will win the World Cup qualifying match between Nicaragua and St. Lucia?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1885-which-team-will-win-the-world-cup-qualifying-match-between-nicaragua-and-st-lucia",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "63",
    "# Forecasters": "52"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many seats in the Legislative Assembly will New Ideas (Nuevas Ideas) win in the 2021 Salvadoran legislative election?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1889-how-many-seats-in-the-legislative-assembly-will-new-ideas-nuevas-ideas-win-in-the-2021-salvadoran-legislative-election",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "19",
    "# Forecasters": "11"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the closing price of Mercado Libre stock on 15 February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1888-what-will-be-the-closing-price-of-mercado-libre-stock-on-15-february-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "57",
    "# Forecasters": "28"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the Americas Region as of 1 February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1887-how-many-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-will-have-been-reported-by-the-world-health-organization-who-for-the-americas-region-as-of-1-february-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "190",
    "# Forecasters": "83"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 February 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1886-how-many-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-will-have-been-reported-by-the-world-health-organization-who-for-the-united-kingdom-as-of-1-february-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "232",
    "# Forecasters": "94"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1883-what-will-be-the-closing-yield-for-the-30-year-u-s-treasury-on-31-december-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "85",
    "# Forecasters": "50"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 14 August 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1882-will-legislation-amending-or-repealing-section-230-of-the-communications-act-of-1934-become-law-before-14-august-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "18%",
    "# Forecasts": "96",
    "# Forecasters": "62"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Mexico’s Chamber of Deputies approve the Federal Law for the Regulation of Cannabis?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1890-when-will-mexico-s-chamber-of-deputies-approve-the-federal-law-for-the-regulation-of-cannabis",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "17",
    "# Forecasters": "15"
  },
  {
    "Title": "On 1 March 2021, how many states will have a number of daily new COVID-19 cases per 100k residents of 75.0 or higher?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1881-on-1-march-2021-how-many-states-will-have-a-number-of-daily-new-covid-19-cases-per-100k-residents-of-75-0-or-higher",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "181",
    "# Forecasters": "83"
  },
  {
    "Title": "On 1 March 2021, how many states will have a COVID-19 positivity rate greater than 10.0%?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1880-on-1-march-2021-how-many-states-will-have-a-covid-19-positivity-rate-greater-than-10-0",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "124",
    "# Forecasters": "67"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1879-before-1-april-2021-will-an-election-be-held-for-israel-s-knesset",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "166",
    "# Forecasters": "114"
  },
  {
    "Title": "At close of business on 28 April 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 17 March 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1877-at-close-of-business-on-28-april-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-17-march-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "79",
    "# Forecasters": "68"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will the Diem Association, co-founded by Facebook, launch a stablecoin?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1876-before-1-january-2022-will-the-diem-association-co-founded-by-facebook-launch-a-stablecoin",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "58%",
    "# Forecasts": "89",
    "# Forecasters": "60"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 19 June 2021, will the end-of-day closing value for the Turkish lira against the U.S. dollar exceed 9.00?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1878-before-19-june-2021-will-the-end-of-day-closing-value-for-the-turkish-lira-against-the-u-s-dollar-exceed-9-00",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": "99",
    "# Forecasters": "54"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1875-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-the-eu-sign-a-comprehensive-agreement-on-investment-before-1-january-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "288",
    "# Forecasters": "158"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and/or the EU's European Medicines Agency (EMA) approve a COVID-19 vaccine from Chinese companies Sinovac or Sinopharm before 1 September 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1869-will-the-u-s-food-and-drug-administration-fda-and-or-the-eu-s-european-medicines-agency-ema-approve-a-covid-19-vaccine-from-chinese-companies-sinovac-or-sinopharm-before-1-september-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "220",
    "# Forecasters": "163"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will a commercial, open to the public, ride-hailing service that uses autonomous vehicles without back-up drivers nor remote operators be launched in the People's Republic of China?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1870-before-1-january-2022-will-a-commercial-open-to-the-public-ride-hailing-service-that-uses-autonomous-vehicles-without-back-up-drivers-nor-remote-operators-be-launched-in-the-people-s-republic-of-china",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "35%",
    "# Forecasts": "164",
    "# Forecasters": "119"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1872-will-the-united-states-and-china-sign-a-trade-agreement-before-1-july-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": "206",
    "# Forecasters": "169"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 14 August 2021, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would forgive $10,000 or more in principal on federal student loan debts for at least five million student loan borrowers?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1873-before-14-august-2021-will-an-executive-order-be-signed-or-federal-legislation-become-law-that-would-forgive-10-000-or-more-in-principal-on-federal-student-loan-debts-for-at-least-five-million-student-loan-borrowers",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "40%",
    "# Forecasts": "137",
    "# Forecasters": "81"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1874-will-the-monthly-occupancy-level-of-european-hotels-next-reach-50-0-or-higher-before-june-2021-according-to-smith-travel-research",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "36%",
    "# Forecasts": "162",
    "# Forecasters": "77"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 15 July 2021, will Canadians Michael Kovrig and/or Michael Spavor leave China?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1867-before-15-july-2021-will-canadians-michael-kovrig-and-or-michael-spavor-leave-china",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "160",
    "# Forecasters": "89"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1868-will-japan-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-south-korea-sign-a-trilateral-free-trade-agreement-before-1-january-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": "153",
    "# Forecasters": "102"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1866-when-will-a-carnival-cruise-line-cruise-next-depart-from-the-continental-u-s",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "120",
    "# Forecasters": "72"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will a release date for The Winds of Winter be announced by the author and/or publisher?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1864-before-1-january-2022-will-a-release-date-for-the-winds-of-winter-be-announced-by-the-author-and-or-publisher",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "58%",
    "# Forecasts": "54",
    "# Forecasters": "38"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 7 May 2021, will the Bank of England set its Bank Rate to below zero?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1861-before-7-may-2021-will-the-bank-of-england-set-its-bank-rate-to-below-zero",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": "202",
    "# Forecasters": "153"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will net international migration between the U.S. and abroad for 2021 be higher than the net international migration for 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1865-will-net-international-migration-between-the-u-s-and-abroad-for-2021-be-higher-than-the-net-international-migration-for-2020",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "92%",
    "# Forecasts": "70",
    "# Forecasters": "50"
  },
  {
    "Title": "In Cedar Point Nursery v. Hassid, will the Supreme Court rule that California's access regulation, as applied to Cedar Point Nursery, is a per se physical taking under the federal constitution?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1863-in-cedar-point-nursery-v-hassid-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-california-s-access-regulation-as-applied-to-cedar-point-nursery-is-a-per-se-physical-taking-under-the-federal-constitution",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "66%",
    "# Forecasts": "35",
    "# Forecasters": "28"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 21 January 2021, will the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) enter into a consent order that would allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to exit conservatorship?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1860-before-21-january-2021-will-the-federal-housing-finance-agency-fhfa-enter-into-a-consent-order-that-would-allow-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac-to-exit-conservatorship",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0%",
    "# Forecasts": "63",
    "# Forecasters": "43"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the closing price of natural gas (per MMBtu) on 1 June 2021, according to Bloomberg?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1858-what-will-be-the-closing-price-of-natural-gas-per-mmbtu-on-1-june-2021-according-to-bloomberg",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "89",
    "# Forecasters": "34"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1854-before-1-july-2021-will-presidential-and-or-parliamentary-elections-be-held-in-kyrgyzstan",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "65",
    "# Forecasters": "27"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the IMF estimate for world GDP growth for 2021 be higher in its April 2021 World Economic Outlook report relative to its October 2020 report?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1856-will-the-imf-estimate-for-world-gdp-growth-for-2021-be-higher-in-its-april-2021-world-economic-outlook-report-relative-to-its-october-2020-report",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": "203",
    "# Forecasters": "140"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will win the 2021 presidential election in Peru?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1853-who-will-win-the-2021-presidential-election-in-peru",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "78",
    "# Forecasters": "58"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 4 June 2021, will the United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics (ONS) report that the percentage of working adults who \"worked from home exclusively\" fell below 20%?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1855-before-4-june-2021-will-the-united-kingdom-s-office-for-national-statistics-ons-report-that-the-percentage-of-working-adults-who-worked-from-home-exclusively-fell-below-20",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "56%",
    "# Forecasts": "274",
    "# Forecasters": "154"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Who will be appointed as the next leader of the Communist Party in Vietnam?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1848-who-will-be-appointed-as-the-next-leader-of-the-communist-party-in-vietnam",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "160",
    "# Forecasters": "88"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1850-what-will-be-china-s-year-on-year-gdp-growth-rate-for-the-second-quarter-of-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "315",
    "# Forecasters": "203"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many COVID-19 vaccines will be approved and/or authorized for emergency use by the U.S. FDA as of 31 March 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1849-how-many-covid-19-vaccines-will-be-approved-and-or-authorized-for-emergency-use-by-the-u-s-fda-as-of-31-march-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "640",
    "# Forecasters": "275"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in the first half of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1852-how-many-vehicles-will-tesla-deliver-to-customers-in-the-first-half-of-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "316",
    "# Forecasters": "177"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 October 2021, will Jair Bolsonaro cease to be the president of Brazil?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1851-before-1-october-2021-will-jair-bolsonaro-cease-to-be-the-president-of-brazil",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": "226",
    "# Forecasters": "176"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the average price of a gallon of gasoline fall below $1.95 for any week before 2 March 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1847-will-the-average-price-of-a-gallon-of-gasoline-fall-below-1-95-for-any-week-before-2-march-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": "289",
    "# Forecasters": "120"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1843-will-nicolas-maduro-cease-to-be-president-of-venezuela-before-1-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": "364",
    "# Forecasters": "181"
  },
  {
    "Title": "In 2021, will total fire activity in the Amazon exceed the 2020 total count?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1842-in-2021-will-total-fire-activity-in-the-amazon-exceed-the-2020-total-count",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": "176",
    "# Forecasters": "112"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the U.S. consume more energy from renewable sources in May 2021 than it did in May 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1840-will-the-u-s-consume-more-energy-from-renewable-sources-in-may-2021-than-it-did-in-may-2019-according-to-the-u-s-energy-information-administration-eia",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "95%",
    "# Forecasts": "237",
    "# Forecasters": "163"
  },
  {
    "Title": "On 12 May 2021, will Ethiopia's Tigray region be under a federally-imposed state of emergency?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1841-on-12-may-2021-will-ethiopia-s-tigray-region-be-under-a-federally-imposed-state-of-emergency",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "85%",
    "# Forecasts": "213",
    "# Forecasters": "150"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 13 November 2020 and 12 February 2021, will the closing price per barrel of WTI crude oil be higher than the closing price per barrel of Brent crude oil?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1839-between-13-november-2020-and-12-february-2021-will-the-closing-price-per-barrel-of-wti-crude-oil-be-higher-than-the-closing-price-per-barrel-of-brent-crude-oil",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": "224",
    "# Forecasters": "101"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report more than 20 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 for the South-East Asia Region?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1835-when-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-more-than-20-million-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-for-the-south-east-asia-region",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "186",
    "# Forecasters": "82"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will the People's Republic of China (PRC) officially declare an air-defense identification zone (ADIZ) over any part of the South China Sea before 1 March 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1832-will-the-people-s-republic-of-china-prc-officially-declare-an-air-defense-identification-zone-adiz-over-any-part-of-the-south-china-sea-before-1-march-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": "291",
    "# Forecasters": "194"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 9 November 2020 and 28 February 2021, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1831-between-9-november-2020-and-28-february-2021-will-a-country-cease-to-formally-recognize-taiwan",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": "359",
    "# Forecasters": "199"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Russia and the People's Republic of China (PRC) conduct any joint naval exercises before 1 March 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1833-will-russia-and-the-people-s-republic-of-china-prc-conduct-any-joint-naval-exercises-before-1-march-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "",
    "# Forecasts": "309",
    "# Forecasters": "144"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report more than 35 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 for the Europe Region?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1834-when-will-the-world-health-organization-who-report-more-than-35-million-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-for-the-europe-region",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "321",
    "# Forecasters": "91"
  },
  {
    "Title": "At close of business on 17 March 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 27 January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1824-at-close-of-business-on-17-march-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-27-january-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "128",
    "# Forecasters": "79"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 May 2021, will Mahmoud Abbas cease to be president of the Palestinian Authority?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1825-before-1-may-2021-will-mahmoud-abbas-cease-to-be-president-of-the-palestinian-authority",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": "130",
    "# Forecasters": "53"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will Amazon announce that it will spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS)?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1822-before-1-january-2022-will-amazon-announce-that-it-will-spin-off-amazon-web-services-aws",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": "216",
    "# Forecasters": "131"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Apple's iPhone net sales be higher in FY 2021 than FY 2019?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1823-will-apple-s-iphone-net-sales-be-higher-in-fy-2021-than-fy-2019",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": "210",
    "# Forecasters": "98"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many countries will have 100,000 or more deaths attributed to COVID-19 as of 30 April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1819-how-many-countries-will-have-100-000-or-more-deaths-attributed-to-covid-19-as-of-30-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "775",
    "# Forecasters": "163"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Prayut Chan-o-cha cease to be the prime minister of Thailand before 23 April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1820-will-prayut-chan-o-cha-cease-to-be-the-prime-minister-of-thailand-before-23-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "",
    "# Forecasts": "215",
    "# Forecasters": "59"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 September 2021, will Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan sign an agreement governing the filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) reservoir?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1815-before-1-september-2021-will-egypt-ethiopia-and-sudan-sign-an-agreement-governing-the-filling-of-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-gerd-reservoir",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": "149",
    "# Forecasters": "57"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 16 October 2020 and 31 December 2021, how many successful flight tests of the Common Hypersonic Glide Body (C-HGB) will the United States conduct?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1818-between-16-october-2020-and-31-december-2021-how-many-successful-flight-tests-of-the-common-hypersonic-glide-body-c-hgb-will-the-united-states-conduct",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "122",
    "# Forecasters": "40"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Boom Technology's XB-1 supersonic aircraft complete a successful test flight before 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1816-will-boom-technology-s-xb-1-supersonic-aircraft-complete-a-successful-test-flight-before-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "99%",
    "# Forecasts": "116",
    "# Forecasters": "52"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Canada next permit discretionary travel for foreign nationals arriving from the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1817-when-will-canada-next-permit-discretionary-travel-for-foreign-nationals-arriving-from-the-united-states",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "337",
    "# Forecasters": "138"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 21 January 2021, will the House of Representatives, pursuant to the 12th Amendment, vote to choose a president of the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1809-before-21-january-2021-will-the-house-of-representatives-pursuant-to-the-12th-amendment-vote-to-choose-a-president-of-the-united-states",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "",
    "# Forecasts": "385",
    "# Forecasters": "232"
  },
  {
    "Title": "For any seven consecutive day period between 9 October 2020 and 15 June 2021, will there be fewer than 50,000 combined total confirmed new cases of COVID-19 in the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1806-for-any-seven-consecutive-day-period-between-9-october-2020-and-15-june-2021-will-there-be-fewer-than-50-000-combined-total-confirmed-new-cases-of-covid-19-in-the-united-states",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "28%",
    "# Forecasts": "440",
    "# Forecasters": "143"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the delinquency rate on commercial real estate loans (excluding farmland) in the United States in the second quarter of 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1798-what-will-be-the-delinquency-rate-on-commercial-real-estate-loans-excluding-farmland-in-the-united-states-in-the-second-quarter-of-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "187",
    "# Forecasters": "62"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the annual rate of housing starts for April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1799-what-will-be-the-annual-rate-of-housing-starts-for-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "274",
    "# Forecasters": "78"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1801-when-will-lebanon-s-parliament-give-a-vote-of-confidence-to-a-new-government",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "281",
    "# Forecasters": "55"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation at sea between the forces of India and the People's Republic of China?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1795-before-1-march-2021-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-at-sea-between-the-forces-of-india-and-the-people-s-republic-of-china",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": "347",
    "# Forecasters": "177"
  },
  {
    "Title": "In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1796-in-fulton-v-city-of-philadelphia-city-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-the-city-s-requirement-that-catholic-social-services-css-not-discriminate-against-same-sex-couples-as-a-condition-for-working-with-the-city-s-foster-children-is-unconstitutional",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "96%",
    "# Forecasts": "182",
    "# Forecasters": "64"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan cease to be president of Turkey before 15 July 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1792-will-recep-tayyip-erdogan-cease-to-be-president-of-turkey-before-15-july-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": "320",
    "# Forecasters": "146"
  },
  {
    "Title": "At close of business on 27 January 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 December 2020?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1791-at-close-of-business-on-27-january-2021-will-the-upper-limit-of-the-federal-reserve-s-target-range-for-the-federal-funds-rate-be-lower-the-same-or-higher-than-it-was-at-close-of-business-on-16-december-2020",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "178",
    "# Forecasters": "111"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Which country will the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League final winner be from?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1790-which-country-will-the-2020-21-uefa-champions-league-final-winner-be-from",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "214",
    "# Forecasters": "97"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will 25,000 or more fans next attend a Premier League match?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1788-when-will-25-000-or-more-fans-next-attend-a-premier-league-match",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "488",
    "# Forecasters": "172"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 18 September 2021, will Boris Johnson cease to be prime minister of the United Kingdom?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1789-before-18-september-2021-will-boris-johnson-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "10%",
    "# Forecasts": "799",
    "# Forecasters": "389"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States either directed or inspired by a foreign terrorist organization before 1 September 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1780-will-there-be-a-complex-coordinated-terrorist-attack-ccta-in-the-united-states-either-directed-or-inspired-by-a-foreign-terrorist-organization-before-1-september-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": "299",
    "# Forecasters": "149"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1782-will-any-2020-california-election-results-be-altered-by-a-cyberattack-against-a-voting-system",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "0%",
    "# Forecasts": "260",
    "# Forecasters": "135"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a complex coordinated terrorist attack (CCTA) in the United States before 1 September 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1781-will-there-be-a-complex-coordinated-terrorist-attack-ccta-in-the-united-states-before-1-september-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "25%",
    "# Forecasts": "437",
    "# Forecasters": "133"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1776-when-will-the-transportation-security-administration-tsa-next-screen-two-million-or-more-travelers-in-a-single-day",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "604",
    "# Forecasters": "152"
  },
  {
    "Title": "In Google v. Oracle America, will the Supreme Court rule that the Copyright Act protects the Oracle computer source code that Google copied for its Android operating system?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1775-in-google-v-oracle-america-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-the-copyright-act-protects-the-oracle-computer-source-code-that-google-copied-for-its-android-operating-system",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "90%",
    "# Forecasts": "180",
    "# Forecasters": "71"
  },
  {
    "Title": "In California v. Texas, will the Supreme Court rule that reducing the penalty amount for the individual mandate of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) to zero rendered the individual mandate provision unconstitutional?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1774-in-california-v-texas-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-reducing-the-penalty-amount-for-the-individual-mandate-of-the-affordable-care-act-aca-to-zero-rendered-the-individual-mandate-provision-unconstitutional",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "",
    "# Forecasts": "288",
    "# Forecasters": "72"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will the United States Olympic Committee announce that it is boycotting the 2022 Winter Olympics?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1764-before-1-january-2022-will-the-united-states-olympic-committee-announce-that-it-is-boycotting-the-2022-winter-olympics",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "4%",
    "# Forecasts": "438",
    "# Forecasters": "162"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Arab League member states other than Palestine will diplomatically recognize the State of Israel as of 28 August 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1763-how-many-arab-league-member-states-other-than-palestine-will-diplomatically-recognize-the-state-of-israel-as-of-28-august-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "428",
    "# Forecasters": "88"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1762-when-will-the-eu-amend-its-own-resources-decision-to-help-finance-the-eu-s-proposed-covid-19-recovery-package",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "176",
    "# Forecasters": "47"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many Cybertrucks will Tesla deliver to customers in 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1760-how-many-cybertrucks-will-tesla-deliver-to-customers-in-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "247",
    "# Forecasters": "75"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2023, will Amazon or a subsidiary use a Zoox autonomous vehicle to deliver a package and/or for a public ride-hailing service?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1745-before-1-january-2023-will-amazon-or-a-subsidiary-use-a-zoox-autonomous-vehicle-to-deliver-a-package-and-or-for-a-public-ride-hailing-service",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "182",
    "# Forecasters": "70"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1740-before-14-february-2021-will-former-king-juan-carlos-i-and-or-former-catalan-president-carles-puigdemont-return-to-spain",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "214",
    "# Forecasters": "96"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will debut a passenger vehicle powered by a solid-state battery?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1744-before-1-january-2023-how-many-major-automakers-will-debut-a-passenger-vehicle-powered-by-a-solid-state-battery",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "189",
    "# Forecasters": "52"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will SpaceX's satellite internet service, Starlink, begin offering commercial service in North America?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1741-when-will-spacex-s-satellite-internet-service-starlink-begin-offering-commercial-service-in-north-america",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "432",
    "# Forecasters": "92"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between August 2020 and July 2021, will global land and ocean surface temperatures rise 1.5°C or more above the 20th century average for any single month?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1715-between-august-2020-and-july-2021-will-global-land-and-ocean-surface-temperatures-rise-1-5-c-or-more-above-the-20th-century-average-for-any-single-month",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": "247",
    "# Forecasters": "123"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1718-before-1-january-2022-will-the-u-s-senate-expand-the-scope-of-matters-for-which-a-filibuster-cannot-be-used",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "3%",
    "# Forecasts": "473",
    "# Forecasters": "127"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1711-when-will-a-carnival-cruise-lines-cruise-next-depart-from-the-continental-u-s",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "818",
    "# Forecasters": "253"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will a firm or paid backup driver operating a self-driving vehicle face criminal charges in relation to an accident involving a self-driving vehicle in the U.S.?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1696-between-1-january-2021-and-31-december-2022-will-a-firm-or-paid-backup-driver-operating-a-self-driving-vehicle-face-criminal-charges-in-relation-to-an-accident-involving-a-self-driving-vehicle-in-the-u-s",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "177",
    "# Forecasters": "71"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many new energy vehicles (NEVs) will be sold in China in 2021 and 2022 combined?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1698-how-many-new-energy-vehicles-nevs-will-be-sold-in-china-in-2021-and-2022-combined",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "166",
    "# Forecasters": "44"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many public DC fast charge electric vehicle charging stations will be available in the United States by 31 December 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1678-how-many-public-dc-fast-charge-electric-vehicle-charging-stations-will-be-available-in-the-united-states-by-31-december-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "159",
    "# Forecasters": "29"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many cases of COVID-19 will be reported by the Africa CDC as of 1 April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1674-how-many-cases-of-covid-19-will-be-reported-by-the-africa-cdc-as-of-1-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "816",
    "# Forecasters": "134"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 May 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics and/or Paralympics will be canceled?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1668-before-1-may-2021-will-it-be-officially-announced-that-the-tokyo-2020-summer-olympics-and-or-paralympics-will-be-canceled",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "939",
    "# Forecasters": "343"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will legislation enabling the creation of federal safety standards for autonomous vehicles (AVs) become law?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1659-between-1-january-2021-and-31-december-2022-will-legislation-enabling-the-creation-of-federal-safety-standards-for-autonomous-vehicles-avs-become-law",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "70%",
    "# Forecasts": "197",
    "# Forecasters": "94"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of the People's Republic of China and those of Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and/or Vietnam before 1 April 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1652-will-there-be-a-lethal-confrontation-between-the-national-military-forces-militia-and-or-law-enforcement-personnel-of-the-people-s-republic-of-china-and-those-of-brunei-indonesia-malaysia-the-philippines-singapore-and-or-vietnam-before-1-april-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "5%",
    "# Forecasts": "804",
    "# Forecasters": "371"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many total Model 3 and Model Y vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in 2021 and 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1647-how-many-total-model-3-and-model-y-vehicles-will-tesla-deliver-to-customers-in-2021-and-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "219",
    "# Forecasters": "67"
  },
  {
    "Title": "How many total Fast Charge (&gt;22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union by 31 December 2022?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1634-how-many-total-fast-charge-22kw-public-charging-points-for-electric-vehicles-will-be-installed-in-the-european-union-by-31-december-2022",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "216",
    "# Forecasters": "64"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 January 2023, how many major automakers will sell a self-driving passenger vehicle manufactured without a steering wheel?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1633-before-1-january-2023-how-many-major-automakers-will-sell-a-self-driving-passenger-vehicle-manufactured-without-a-steering-wheel",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "329",
    "# Forecasters": "181"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Between 1 January 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the European Union delay and/or relax the implementation and/or enforcement of any of its CO2 emission performance standards for new passenger cars and/or new light commercial vehicles?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1620-between-1-january-2021-and-31-december-2022-will-the-european-union-delay-and-or-relax-the-implementation-and-or-enforcement-of-any-of-its-co2-emission-performance-standards-for-new-passenger-cars-and-or-new-light-commercial-vehicles",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "",
    "# Forecasts": "161",
    "# Forecasters": "79"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What will be the 2022 industry-wide average cost of Li-ion batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1583-what-will-be-the-2022-industry-wide-average-cost-of-li-ion-batteries-used-in-battery-powered-electric-vehicles",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "217",
    "# Forecasters": "85"
  },
  {
    "Title": "What total percentage of global vehicle sales in 2022 will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)? ",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1582-what-total-percentage-of-global-vehicle-sales-in-2022-will-be-battery-electric-vehicles-bevs-and-plug-in-hybrid-electric-vehicles-phevs",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "319",
    "# Forecasters": "130"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1502-will-there-be-a-new-prime-minister-of-italy-before-24-january-2021",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": "825",
    "# Forecasters": "263"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1411-before-1-july-2021-will-the-chilean-government-pass-legislation-that-caps-administrative-fees-and-or-operating-profits-of-the-country-s-pension-fund-managers",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "2%",
    "# Forecasts": "247",
    "# Forecasters": "95"
  },
  {
    "Title": "Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1412-before-1-july-2021-will-the-chilean-government-pass-legislation-nationalizing-private-pension-fund-assets",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": true,
    "Percentage": "1%",
    "# Forecasts": "273",
    "# Forecasters": "123"
  },
  {
    "Title": "When will Donald Trump cease to be president of the United States?",
    "URL": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1290-when-will-donald-trump-cease-to-be-president-of-the-united-states",
    "Platform": "Good Judgment Open",
    "Binary question?": false,
    "Percentage": "none",
    "# Forecasts": "6445",
    "# Forecasters": "2159"
  }
]