Compare commits
No commits in common. "master" and "embed-question-page" have entirely different histories.
master
...
embed-ques
1
.gitignore
vendored
1
.gitignore
vendored
|
|
@ -31,7 +31,6 @@ yarn-error.log*
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# yarn vs npm conflict
|
# yarn vs npm conflict
|
||||||
package-lock.json ## use yarn.lock instead
|
package-lock.json ## use yarn.lock instead
|
||||||
# yarn.lock
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
# Local Netlify folder
|
# Local Netlify folder
|
||||||
.netlify
|
.netlify
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,7 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
Copyright 2023 Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
|
|
||||||
38
README.md
38
README.md
|
|
@ -11,8 +11,8 @@ This repository includes the source code for both the website and the library th
|
||||||
### 1. Download this repository
|
### 1. Download this repository
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
```
|
```
|
||||||
$ git clone https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast
|
$ git clone https://github.com/QURIresearch/metaforecast
|
||||||
$ cd metaforecast
|
$ cd metaforecasts
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||||||
$ npm install
|
$ npm install
|
||||||
```
|
```
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -26,28 +26,17 @@ See [./docs/configuration.md](./docs/configuration.md) for details.
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
### 3. Actually run
|
### 3. Actually run
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
After installing and building (`npm run build`) the application, `npm run cli` starts a local CLI which presents the user with choices. If you would like to skip that step, use the option name instead, e.g., `npm run cli wildeford`.
|
`npm run cli` starts a local CLI which presents the user with choices. If you would like to skip that step, use the option name instead, e.g., `npm run cli wildeford`.
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||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
`npm run next-dev` starts a Next.js dev server with the website on `http://localhost:3000`.
|
`npm run next-dev` starts a Next.js dev server with the website on `http://localhost:3000`.
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||||||
|
|
||||||
So overall this would look like
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
```
|
|
||||||
$ git clone https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast
|
|
||||||
$ cd metaforecast
|
|
||||||
$ npm install
|
|
||||||
$ npm run build
|
|
||||||
$ npm run cli
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|
||||||
$ npm run next-dev
|
|
||||||
```
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
### 4. Example: download the metaforecasts database
|
### 4. Example: download the metaforecasts database
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||||||
|
|
||||||
```
|
```
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||||||
$ git clone https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast
|
$ git clone https://github.com/QURIresearch/metaforecast
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||||||
$ cd metaforecast
|
$ cd metaforecasts
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||||||
$ npm install
|
$ npm install
|
||||||
$ node src/backend/manual/manualDownload.js
|
$ node src/backend/manual/manualDownload.js
|
||||||
```
|
```
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||||||
|
|
@ -89,22 +78,5 @@ Overall, the services which we use are:
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||||||
|
|
||||||
## Various notes
|
## Various notes
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||||||
|
|
||||||
- This repository is released under the [MIT license](https://opensource.org/licenses/MIT). See `LICENSE.md`
|
|
||||||
- Commits follow [conventional commits](https://www.conventionalcommits.org/en/v1.0.0/#summary)
|
- Commits follow [conventional commits](https://www.conventionalcommits.org/en/v1.0.0/#summary)
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||||||
- For elicit and metaculus, this library currently filters out questions with <10 predictions.
|
- For elicit and metaculus, this library currently filters out questions with <10 predictions.
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||||||
- The database is updated once a day, at 3:00 AM UTC, with the command `ts-node -T src/backend/flow/doEverythingForScheduler.ts`. The frontpage is updated after that, at 6:00 AM UTC with the command `ts-node -T src/backend/index.ts frontpage`. It's possible that either of these two operations makes the webpage briefly go down.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
## To do
|
|
||||||
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|
||||||
- [x] Update Metaculus and Manifold Markets fetchers
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|
||||||
- [x] Add markets from [Insight Prediction](https://insightprediction.com/).
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|
||||||
- [ ] Use <https://news.manifold.markets/p/above-the-fold-midterms-special> to update stars calculation for Manifold.
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|
||||||
- [ ] Add a few more snippets, with fetching individual questions, questions with histories, questions added within the last 24h to the /contrib folder (good first issue)
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|
||||||
- [ ] Refactor code so that users can capture and push the question history chart to imgur (good first issue)
|
|
||||||
- [ ] Upgrade to [React 18](https://reactjs.org/blog/2022/03/08/react-18-upgrade-guide.html). This will require dealing with the workaround we used for [this issue](https://github.com/vercel/next.js/issues/36019#issuecomment-1103266481)
|
|
||||||
- [ ] Add database of resolutions
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|
||||||
- [ ] Allow users to embed predictions in the EA Forum/LessWrong (in progress)
|
|
||||||
- [ ] Find a long-term mantainer for this project
|
|
||||||
- [ ] Allow users to record their own predictions
|
|
||||||
- [ ] Release snapshots (I think @niplav is working on this)
|
|
||||||
- [ ] ...
|
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
69680
package-lock.json
generated
Normal file
69680
package-lock.json
generated
Normal file
File diff suppressed because it is too large
Load Diff
130
package.json
130
package.json
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|
@ -24,101 +24,93 @@
|
||||||
"build": "prisma generate && next build",
|
"build": "prisma generate && next build",
|
||||||
"next-start": "next start",
|
"next-start": "next start",
|
||||||
"next-export": "next export",
|
"next-export": "next export",
|
||||||
"dbshell": ". .env && psql $DIGITALOCEAN_POSTGRES",
|
"dbshell": ". .env && psql $DIGITALOCEAN_POSTGRES"
|
||||||
"upgrade-interactive": "yarn upgrade-interactive --latest"
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
"dependencies": {
|
"dependencies": {
|
||||||
"@floating-ui/react-dom": "^0.7.2",
|
"@floating-ui/react-dom": "^0.7.0",
|
||||||
"@graphql-yoga/plugin-response-cache": "^1.1.0",
|
"@graphql-yoga/node": "^2.1.0",
|
||||||
"@pothos/core": "^3.22.8",
|
"@pothos/core": "^3.5.1",
|
||||||
"@pothos/plugin-prisma": "^3.35.6",
|
"@pothos/plugin-prisma": "^3.4.0",
|
||||||
"@pothos/plugin-relay": "^3.28.6",
|
"@pothos/plugin-relay": "^3.10.0",
|
||||||
"@prisma/client": "^3.15.2",
|
"@prisma/client": "^3.11.1",
|
||||||
"@quri/squiggle-lang": "^0.5.1",
|
"@quri/squiggle-lang": "^0.2.8",
|
||||||
"@tailwindcss/forms": "^0.4.1",
|
"@tailwindcss/forms": "^0.4.0",
|
||||||
"@tailwindcss/typography": "^0.5.7",
|
"@tailwindcss/typography": "^0.5.1",
|
||||||
"@types/chroma-js": "^2.1.4",
|
"@types/chroma-js": "^2.1.3",
|
||||||
"@types/dom-to-image": "^2.6.4",
|
"@types/dom-to-image": "^2.6.4",
|
||||||
"@types/google-spreadsheet": "^3.3.0",
|
"@types/google-spreadsheet": "^3.2.1",
|
||||||
"@types/jsdom": "^16.2.15",
|
"@types/jsdom": "^16.2.14",
|
||||||
"@types/nprogress": "^0.2.0",
|
"@types/nprogress": "^0.2.0",
|
||||||
"@types/react": "<18.0.0",
|
"@types/react": "^17.0.39",
|
||||||
"@types/react-copy-to-clipboard": "^5.0.4",
|
"@types/react-copy-to-clipboard": "^5.0.2",
|
||||||
"@types/textversionjs": "^1.1.1",
|
"@types/textversionjs": "^1.1.1",
|
||||||
"@types/tunnel": "^0.0.3",
|
"@types/tunnel": "^0.0.3",
|
||||||
"airtable": "^0.11.5",
|
"airtable": "^0.11.1",
|
||||||
"ajv": "^8.11.0",
|
"algoliasearch": "^4.10.3",
|
||||||
"algoliasearch": "^4.14.2",
|
"autoprefixer": "^10.1.0",
|
||||||
"autoprefixer": "10.4.5",
|
"axios": "^0.25.0",
|
||||||
"axios": "^1.2.0",
|
|
||||||
"chroma-js": "^2.4.2",
|
"chroma-js": "^2.4.2",
|
||||||
"critters": "^0.0.16",
|
"critters": "^0.0.16",
|
||||||
"date-fns": "^2.29.3",
|
"date-fns": "^2.28.0",
|
||||||
"dom-to-image": "^2.6.0",
|
"dom-to-image": "^2.6.0",
|
||||||
"dotenv": "^16.0.3",
|
"dotenv": "^16.0.0",
|
||||||
"fetch": "^1.1.0",
|
"fetch": "^1.1.0",
|
||||||
"fs": "^0.0.1-security",
|
"fs": "^0.0.1-security",
|
||||||
"fuse.js": "^6.6.2",
|
"fuse.js": "^6.4.6",
|
||||||
"google-spreadsheet": "^3.3.0",
|
"google-spreadsheet": "^3.1.15",
|
||||||
"graphql": "^16.6.0",
|
"graphql": "^16.3.0",
|
||||||
"graphql-request": "^5.0.0",
|
"graphql-request": "^4.0.0",
|
||||||
"graphql-yoga": "^3.0.0-next.10",
|
"html-to-image": "^1.7.0",
|
||||||
"html-to-image": "^1.10.8",
|
|
||||||
"https": "^1.0.0",
|
"https": "^1.0.0",
|
||||||
"isomorphic-fetch": "^3.0.0",
|
"isomorphic-fetch": "^3.0.0",
|
||||||
"jsdom": "^19.0.0",
|
"jsdom": "^19.0.0",
|
||||||
"json2csv": "^5.0.7",
|
"json2csv": "^5.0.5",
|
||||||
"multiselect-react-dropdown": "^2.0.25",
|
"multiselect-react-dropdown": "^2.0.17",
|
||||||
"next": "^12.3.1",
|
"next": "12",
|
||||||
"next-plausible": "^3.6.3",
|
"next-plausible": "^3.1.6",
|
||||||
"next-urql": "^3.3.3",
|
"next-urql": "^3.3.2",
|
||||||
"nprogress": "^0.2.0",
|
"nprogress": "^0.2.0",
|
||||||
"open": "^7.4.2",
|
"open": "^7.3.1",
|
||||||
"papaparse": "^5.3.2",
|
"papaparse": "^5.3.0",
|
||||||
"pg": "^8.8.0",
|
"pg": "^8.7.3",
|
||||||
"postcss": "^8.4.18",
|
"postcss": "^8.2.1",
|
||||||
"postcss-flexbugs-fixes": "^5.0.2",
|
"postcss-flexbugs-fixes": "^5.0.2",
|
||||||
"postcss-preset-env": "^7.8.2",
|
"postcss-preset-env": "^7.3.2",
|
||||||
"prisma": "^3.15.2",
|
"prisma": "^3.11.1",
|
||||||
"query-string": "^7.1.1",
|
"query-string": "^7.1.1",
|
||||||
"re-resizable": "^6.9.9",
|
|
||||||
"react": "^17.0.2",
|
"react": "^17.0.2",
|
||||||
"react-component-export-image": "^1.0.6",
|
"react-component-export-image": "^1.0.6",
|
||||||
"react-compound-slider": "^3.4.0",
|
"react-compound-slider": "^3.3.1",
|
||||||
"react-copy-to-clipboard": "^5.1.0",
|
"react-copy-to-clipboard": "^5.0.3",
|
||||||
"react-dom": "^17.0.2",
|
"react-dom": "^17.0.2",
|
||||||
"react-dropdown": "^1.11.0",
|
"react-dropdown": "^1.9.2",
|
||||||
"react-hook-form": "^7.38.0",
|
"react-hook-form": "^7.27.0",
|
||||||
"react-icons": "^4.6.0",
|
"react-icons": "^4.2.0",
|
||||||
"react-is": "^18.2.0",
|
"react-is": "^18.0.0",
|
||||||
"react-markdown": "^8.0.3",
|
"react-markdown": "^8.0.0",
|
||||||
"react-safe": "^1.3.0",
|
"react-safe": "^1.3.0",
|
||||||
"react-select": "^5.5.4",
|
"react-select": "^5.2.2",
|
||||||
"remark-gfm": "^3.0.1",
|
"remark-gfm": "^3.0.1",
|
||||||
"tabletojson": "^2.0.7",
|
"tabletojson": "^2.0.4",
|
||||||
"tailwindcss": "^3.2.0",
|
"tailwindcss": "^3.0.22",
|
||||||
"textversionjs": "^1.1.3",
|
"textversionjs": "^1.1.3",
|
||||||
"ts-node": "^10.9.1",
|
"ts-node": "^10.7.0",
|
||||||
"tunnel": "^0.0.6",
|
"tunnel": "^0.0.6",
|
||||||
"urql": "^2.2.3",
|
"urql": "^2.2.0",
|
||||||
"urql-custom-scalars-exchange": "^0.1.6",
|
"urql-custom-scalars-exchange": "^0.1.5",
|
||||||
"victory": "^36.6.8"
|
"victory": "^36.3.2"
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
"resolutions": {
|
|
||||||
"@types/react": "<18.0.0"
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
"devDependencies": {
|
"devDependencies": {
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/cli": "^2.13.7",
|
"@graphql-codegen/cli": "^2.6.2",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/introspection": "^2.2.1",
|
"@graphql-codegen/introspection": "^2.1.1",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/near-operation-file-preset": "^2.4.3",
|
"@graphql-codegen/near-operation-file-preset": "^2.2.9",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/schema-ast": "^2.5.1",
|
"@graphql-codegen/schema-ast": "^2.4.1",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/typed-document-node": "^2.3.5",
|
"@graphql-codegen/typed-document-node": "^2.2.8",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/typescript": "^2.7.5",
|
"@graphql-codegen/typescript": "^2.4.8",
|
||||||
"@graphql-codegen/typescript-operations": "^2.5.5",
|
"@graphql-codegen/typescript-operations": "^2.3.5",
|
||||||
"@svgr/cli": "^6.5.0",
|
"@netlify/plugin-nextjs": "^4.2.4",
|
||||||
|
"@svgr/cli": "^6.2.1",
|
||||||
"@types/pg": "^8.6.5",
|
"@types/pg": "^8.6.5",
|
||||||
"eslint": "^8.25.0",
|
"netlify-cli": "^9.13.6"
|
||||||
"eslint-config-next": "^12.3.1",
|
|
||||||
"typescript": "4.9.3"
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,5 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
-- DropForeignKey
|
|
||||||
ALTER TABLE "FrontpageId" DROP CONSTRAINT "FrontpageId_id_fkey";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
-- AddForeignKey
|
|
||||||
ALTER TABLE "FrontpageId" ADD CONSTRAINT "FrontpageId_id_fkey" FOREIGN KEY ("id") REFERENCES "questions"("id") ON DELETE CASCADE ON UPDATE CASCADE;
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -90,6 +90,6 @@ model History {
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
model FrontpageId {
|
model FrontpageId {
|
||||||
question Question @relation(fields: [id], references: [id], onDelete: Cascade)
|
question Question @relation(fields: [id], references: [id])
|
||||||
id String @unique
|
id String @unique
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
8
src/Global.d.ts
vendored
8
src/Global.d.ts
vendored
|
|
@ -1,8 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
// Workaround related to: https://github.com/vercel/next.js/issues/29788
|
|
||||||
// https://github.com/vercel/next.js/issues/29788#issuecomment-1000595524
|
|
||||||
declare type StaticImageData = {
|
|
||||||
src: string;
|
|
||||||
height: number;
|
|
||||||
width: number;
|
|
||||||
placeholder?: string;
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,5 +1,4 @@
|
||||||
#!/bin/bash
|
#!/bin/bash
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
cd /home/loki/Documents/core/software/fresh/js/metaforecast/metaforecast-monorepo
|
cd /home/loki/Documents/core/software/fresh/js/metaforecast/metaforecast-monorepo
|
||||||
|
/home/loki/.nvm/versions/node/v17.5.0/bin/npm run cli 3 > ../last-superforecast-fetch.txt
|
||||||
/home/loki/.nvm/versions/node/v16.15.0/lib/node_modules/npm/bin/npm-cli.js run cli goodjudgment > ../last-superforecast-fetch.txt
|
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,11 +1,10 @@
|
||||||
/* Imports */
|
/* Imports */
|
||||||
import axios from "axios";
|
import axios from "axios";
|
||||||
import {Tabletojson} from "tabletojson";
|
import { Tabletojson } from "tabletojson";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import {average} from "../../utils";
|
import { average } from "../../utils";
|
||||||
import {hash} from "../utils/hash";
|
import { hash } from "../utils/hash";
|
||||||
import {FetchedQuestion, Platform} from "./";
|
import { FetchedQuestion, Platform } from "./";
|
||||||
import {FullQuestionOption} from "../../common/types";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Definitions */
|
/* Definitions */
|
||||||
const platformName = "goodjudgment";
|
const platformName = "goodjudgment";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -31,30 +30,32 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
|
||||||
// hard-coded backup proxy
|
// hard-coded backup proxy
|
||||||
*/
|
*/
|
||||||
// proxy = {
|
// proxy = {
|
||||||
// ip: process.env.BACKUP_PROXY_IP,
|
// ip: process.env.BACKUP_PROXY_IP,
|
||||||
// port: process.env.BACKUP_PROXY_PORT,
|
// port: process.env.BACKUP_PROXY_PORT,
|
||||||
// };
|
// };
|
||||||
// // }
|
// // }
|
||||||
// let agent = tunnel.httpsOverHttp({
|
// let agent = tunnel.httpsOverHttp({
|
||||||
// proxy: {
|
// proxy: {
|
||||||
// host: proxy.ip,
|
// host: proxy.ip,
|
||||||
// port: proxy.port,
|
// port: proxy.port,
|
||||||
// },
|
// },
|
||||||
// });
|
// });
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const content = await axios.request({
|
const content = await axios
|
||||||
url: "https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/",
|
.request({
|
||||||
method: "get",
|
url: "https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/",
|
||||||
headers: {
|
method: "get",
|
||||||
"User-Agent": "Chrome"
|
headers: {
|
||||||
},
|
"User-Agent": "Chrome",
|
||||||
// agent,
|
},
|
||||||
// port: 80,
|
// agent,
|
||||||
}).then((query) => query.data);
|
// port: 80,
|
||||||
|
})
|
||||||
|
.then((query) => query.data);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Processing
|
// Processing
|
||||||
let results: FetchedQuestion[] = [];
|
let results: FetchedQuestion[] = [];
|
||||||
let jsonTable = Tabletojson.convert(content, {stripHtmlFromCells: false});
|
let jsonTable = Tabletojson.convert(content, { stripHtmlFromCells: false });
|
||||||
jsonTable.shift(); // deletes first element
|
jsonTable.shift(); // deletes first element
|
||||||
jsonTable.pop(); // deletes last element
|
jsonTable.pop(); // deletes last element
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -62,21 +63,38 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
|
||||||
let title = table[0]["0"].split("\t\t\t").splice(3)[0];
|
let title = table[0]["0"].split("\t\t\t").splice(3)[0];
|
||||||
if (title != undefined) {
|
if (title != undefined) {
|
||||||
title = title.replaceAll("</a>", "");
|
title = title.replaceAll("</a>", "");
|
||||||
const id = `${platformName}-${
|
const id = `${platformName}-${hash(title)}`;
|
||||||
hash(title)
|
const description = table
|
||||||
}`;
|
.filter((row: any) => row["0"].includes("BACKGROUND:"))
|
||||||
const description = table.filter((row : any) => row["0"].includes("BACKGROUND:")).map((row : any) => row["0"]).map((text : any) => text.split("BACKGROUND:")[1].split("Examples of Superforecaster")[0].split("AT A GLANCE")[0].replaceAll("\n\n", "\n").split("\n").slice(3).join(" ").replaceAll(" ", "").replaceAll("<br> ", ""))[0];
|
.map((row: any) => row["0"])
|
||||||
const options = table.filter((row : any) => "4" in row).map((row : any) => ({
|
.map((text: any) =>
|
||||||
name: row["2"].split('<span class="qTitle">')[1].replace("</span>", ""),
|
text
|
||||||
probability: Number(row["3"].split("%")[0]) / 100,
|
.split("BACKGROUND:")[1]
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
.split("Examples of Superforecaster")[0]
|
||||||
}));
|
.split("AT A GLANCE")[0]
|
||||||
let analysis = table.filter((row : any) => row[0] ? row[0].toLowerCase().includes("commentary") : false);
|
.replaceAll("\n\n", "\n")
|
||||||
|
.split("\n")
|
||||||
|
.slice(3)
|
||||||
|
.join(" ")
|
||||||
|
.replaceAll(" ", "")
|
||||||
|
.replaceAll("<br> ", "")
|
||||||
|
)[0];
|
||||||
|
const options = table
|
||||||
|
.filter((row: any) => "4" in row)
|
||||||
|
.map((row: any) => ({
|
||||||
|
name: row["2"]
|
||||||
|
.split('<span class="qTitle">')[1]
|
||||||
|
.replace("</span>", ""),
|
||||||
|
probability: Number(row["3"].split("%")[0]) / 100,
|
||||||
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
|
}));
|
||||||
|
let analysis = table.filter((row: any) =>
|
||||||
|
row[0] ? row[0].toLowerCase().includes("commentary") : false
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
// "Examples of Superforecaster Commentary" / Analysis
|
// "Examples of Superforecaster Commentary" / Analysis
|
||||||
// The following is necessary twice, because we want to check if there is an empty list, and then get the first element of the first element of the list.
|
// The following is necessary twice, because we want to check if there is an empty list, and then get the first element of the first element of the list.
|
||||||
analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : "";
|
analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : "";
|
||||||
analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : "";
|
analysis = analysis ? analysis[0] : ""; // not a duplicate
|
||||||
// not a duplicate
|
|
||||||
// console.log(analysis)
|
// console.log(analysis)
|
||||||
let standardObj: FetchedQuestion = {
|
let standardObj: FetchedQuestion = {
|
||||||
id,
|
id,
|
||||||
|
|
@ -86,14 +104,16 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
|
||||||
options,
|
options,
|
||||||
qualityindicators: {},
|
qualityindicators: {},
|
||||||
extra: {
|
extra: {
|
||||||
superforecastercommentary: analysis || ""
|
superforecastercommentary: analysis || "",
|
||||||
}
|
},
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
results.push(standardObj);
|
results.push(standardObj);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
console.log("Failing is not unexpected; see utils/pullSuperforecastsManually.sh/js");
|
console.log(
|
||||||
|
"Failing is not unexpected; see utils/pullSuperforecastsManually.sh/js"
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return results;
|
return results;
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
|
|
@ -101,8 +121,8 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
|
||||||
let nuno = () => 4;
|
let nuno = () => 4;
|
||||||
let eli = () => 4;
|
let eli = () => 4;
|
||||||
let misha = () => 3.5;
|
let misha = () => 3.5;
|
||||||
let starsDecimal = average([nuno()]); // , eli(), misha()])
|
let starsDecimal = average([nuno()]); //, eli(), misha()])
|
||||||
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
||||||
return starsInteger;
|
return starsInteger;
|
||||||
}
|
},
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,13 +1,12 @@
|
||||||
/* Imports */
|
/* Imports */
|
||||||
import axios from "axios";
|
import axios from "axios";
|
||||||
import {Tabletojson} from "tabletojson";
|
import { Tabletojson } from "tabletojson";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import {average} from "../../utils";
|
import { average } from "../../utils";
|
||||||
import {applyIfSecretExists} from "../utils/getSecrets";
|
import { applyIfSecretExists } from "../utils/getSecrets";
|
||||||
import {sleep} from "../utils/sleep";
|
import { sleep } from "../utils/sleep";
|
||||||
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
|
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
|
||||||
import {FetchedQuestion, Platform} from "./";
|
import { FetchedQuestion, Platform } from "./";
|
||||||
import {FullQuestionOption} from "../../common/types";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Definitions */
|
/* Definitions */
|
||||||
const platformName = "goodjudgmentopen";
|
const platformName = "goodjudgmentopen";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -18,98 +17,125 @@ const annoyingPromptUrls = [
|
||||||
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1779-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters",
|
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1779-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters",
|
||||||
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2246-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters-2022-thread",
|
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2246-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters-2022-thread",
|
||||||
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2237-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen",
|
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2237-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen",
|
||||||
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2437-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen"
|
|
||||||
];
|
];
|
||||||
const DEBUG_MODE: "on" | "off" = "off"; // "on"
|
const DEBUG_MODE: "on" | "off" = "off"; // "on"
|
||||||
const id = () => 0;
|
const id = () => 0;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Support functions */
|
/* Support functions */
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function cleanDescription(text : string) {
|
async function fetchPage(page: number, cookie: string) {
|
||||||
let md = toMarkdown(text);
|
|
||||||
let result = md.replaceAll("---", "-").replaceAll(" ", " ");
|
|
||||||
return result;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchPage(page : number, cookie : string) {
|
|
||||||
const response: string = await axios({
|
const response: string = await axios({
|
||||||
url: htmlEndPoint + page,
|
url: htmlEndPoint + page,
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
method: "GET",
|
||||||
headers: {
|
headers: {
|
||||||
Cookie: cookie
|
Cookie: cookie,
|
||||||
}
|
},
|
||||||
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
||||||
// console.log(response)
|
//console.log(response)
|
||||||
return response;
|
return response;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchStats(questionUrl : string, cookie : string) {
|
async function fetchStats(questionUrl: string, cookie: string) {
|
||||||
let response: string = await axios({
|
let response: string = await axios({
|
||||||
url: questionUrl + "/stats",
|
url: questionUrl + "/stats",
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
method: "GET",
|
||||||
headers: {
|
headers: {
|
||||||
"Content-Type": "text/html",
|
|
||||||
Cookie: cookie,
|
Cookie: cookie,
|
||||||
Referer: questionUrl
|
Referer: questionUrl,
|
||||||
}
|
},
|
||||||
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
||||||
|
//console.log(response)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (response.includes("Sign up or sign in to forecast")) {
|
// Is binary?
|
||||||
throw Error("Not logged in");
|
let isbinary = response.includes("binary?":true");
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
// Init
|
|
||||||
let options: FullQuestionOption[] = [];
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Parse the embedded json
|
let options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [];
|
||||||
let htmlElements = response.split("\n");
|
if (isbinary) {
|
||||||
let jsonLines = htmlElements.filter((element) => element.includes("data-react-props"));
|
// Crowd percentage
|
||||||
let embeddedJsons = jsonLines.map((jsonLine, i) => {
|
let htmlElements = response.split("\n");
|
||||||
let innerJSONasHTML = jsonLine.split('data-react-props="')[1].split('"')[0];
|
let h3Element = htmlElements.filter((str) => str.includes("<h3>"))[0];
|
||||||
let json = JSON.parse(innerJSONasHTML.replaceAll(""", '"'));
|
// console.log(h3Element)
|
||||||
return json;
|
let crowdpercentage = h3Element.split(">")[1].split("<")[0];
|
||||||
});
|
let probability = Number(crowdpercentage.replace("%", "")) / 100;
|
||||||
let firstEmbeddedJson = embeddedJsons[0];
|
options.push(
|
||||||
let title = firstEmbeddedJson.question.name;
|
{
|
||||||
let description = cleanDescription(firstEmbeddedJson.question.description);
|
name: "Yes",
|
||||||
let comments_count = firstEmbeddedJson.question.comments_count;
|
probability: probability,
|
||||||
let numforecasters = firstEmbeddedJson.question.predictors_count;
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
let numforecasts = firstEmbeddedJson.question.prediction_sets_count;
|
},
|
||||||
let questionType = firstEmbeddedJson.question.type;
|
{
|
||||||
if (questionType.includes("Binary") || questionType.includes("NonExclusiveOpinionPoolQuestion") || questionType.includes("Forecast::Question") || ! questionType.includes("Forecast::MultiTimePeriodQuestion")) {
|
name: "No",
|
||||||
options = firstEmbeddedJson.question.answers.map((answer : any) => ({name: answer.name, probability: answer.normalized_probability, type: "PROBABILITY"}));
|
probability: +(1 - probability).toFixed(2), // avoids floating point shenanigans
|
||||||
if (options.length == 1 && options[0].name == "Yes") {
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
let probabilityNo = options[0].probability > 1 ? 1 - options[0].probability / 100 : 1 - options[0].probability;
|
}
|
||||||
options.push({name: "No", probability: probabilityNo, type: "PROBABILITY"});
|
);
|
||||||
}
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
let optionsHtmlElement = "<table" + response.split("tbody")[1] + "table>";
|
||||||
|
let tablesAsJson = Tabletojson.convert(optionsHtmlElement);
|
||||||
|
let firstTable = tablesAsJson[0];
|
||||||
|
options = firstTable.map((element: any) => ({
|
||||||
|
name: element["0"],
|
||||||
|
probability: Number(element["1"].replace("%", "")) / 100,
|
||||||
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
|
}));
|
||||||
|
//console.log(optionsHtmlElement)
|
||||||
|
//console.log(options)
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Description
|
||||||
|
let descriptionraw = response.split(
|
||||||
|
`<div id="question-background" class="collapse smb">`
|
||||||
|
)[1];
|
||||||
|
let descriptionprocessed1 = descriptionraw.split(`</div>`)[0];
|
||||||
|
let descriptionprocessed2 = toMarkdown(descriptionprocessed1);
|
||||||
|
let descriptionprocessed3 = descriptionprocessed2
|
||||||
|
.split("\n")
|
||||||
|
.filter((string) => !string.includes("Confused? Check our"))
|
||||||
|
.join("\n");
|
||||||
|
let description = descriptionprocessed3;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Number of forecasts
|
||||||
|
let numforecasts = response
|
||||||
|
.split("prediction_sets_count":")[1]
|
||||||
|
.split(",")[0];
|
||||||
|
//console.log(numforecasts)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
// Number of predictors
|
||||||
|
let numforecasters = response
|
||||||
|
.split("predictors_count":")[1]
|
||||||
|
.split(",")[0];
|
||||||
|
//console.log(numpredictors)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let result = {
|
let result = {
|
||||||
description: description,
|
description,
|
||||||
options: options,
|
options,
|
||||||
qualityindicators: {
|
qualityindicators: {
|
||||||
numforecasts: Number(numforecasts),
|
numforecasts: Number(numforecasts),
|
||||||
numforecasters: Number(numforecasters),
|
numforecasters: Number(numforecasters),
|
||||||
comments_count: Number(comments_count)
|
},
|
||||||
}
|
// this mismatches the code below, and needs to be fixed, but I'm doing typescript conversion and don't want to touch any logic for now
|
||||||
};
|
} as any;
|
||||||
// console.log(JSON.stringify(result, null, 4));
|
|
||||||
return result;
|
return result;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function isSignedIn(html : string) {
|
function isSignedIn(html: string) {
|
||||||
let isSignedInBool = !(html.includes("You need to sign in or sign up before continuing") || html.includes("Sign up"));
|
let isSignedInBool = !(
|
||||||
|
html.includes("You need to sign in or sign up before continuing") ||
|
||||||
|
html.includes("Sign up")
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
// console.log(html)
|
// console.log(html)
|
||||||
if (! isSignedInBool) {
|
if (!isSignedInBool) {
|
||||||
console.log("Error: Not signed in.");
|
console.log("Error: Not signed in.");
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
console.log(`is signed in? ${
|
console.log(`is signed in? ${isSignedInBool ? "yes" : "no"}`);
|
||||||
isSignedInBool ? "yes" : "no"
|
|
||||||
}`);
|
|
||||||
return isSignedInBool;
|
return isSignedInBool;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function reachedEnd(html : string) {
|
function reachedEnd(html: string) {
|
||||||
let reachedEndBool = html.includes("No questions match your filter");
|
let reachedEndBool = html.includes("No questions match your filter");
|
||||||
if (reachedEndBool) { // console.log(html)
|
if (reachedEndBool) {
|
||||||
|
//console.log(html)
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
console.log(`Reached end? ${reachedEndBool}`);
|
console.log(`Reached end? ${reachedEndBool}`);
|
||||||
return reachedEndBool;
|
return reachedEndBool;
|
||||||
|
|
@ -117,15 +143,14 @@ function reachedEnd(html : string) {
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Body */
|
/* Body */
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie : string) {
|
async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie: string) {
|
||||||
let i = 1;
|
let i = 1;
|
||||||
let response = await fetchPage(i, cookie);
|
let response = await fetchPage(i, cookie);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let results = [];
|
let results = [];
|
||||||
let init = Date.now();
|
let init = Date.now();
|
||||||
// console.log("Downloading... This might take a couple of minutes. Results will be shown.")
|
// console.log("Downloading... This might take a couple of minutes. Results will be shown.")
|
||||||
console.log("Page #1")
|
while (!reachedEnd(response) && isSignedIn(response)) {
|
||||||
while (! reachedEnd(response) && isSignedIn(response)) {
|
|
||||||
let htmlLines = response.split("\n");
|
let htmlLines = response.split("\n");
|
||||||
DEBUG_MODE == "on" ? htmlLines.forEach((line) => console.log(line)) : id();
|
DEBUG_MODE == "on" ? htmlLines.forEach((line) => console.log(line)) : id();
|
||||||
let h5elements = htmlLines.filter((str) => str.includes("<h5> <a href="));
|
let h5elements = htmlLines.filter((str) => str.includes("<h5> <a href="));
|
||||||
|
|
@ -134,19 +159,20 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie : string) {
|
||||||
for (let h5element of h5elements) {
|
for (let h5element of h5elements) {
|
||||||
let h5elementSplit = h5element.split('"><span>');
|
let h5elementSplit = h5element.split('"><span>');
|
||||||
let url = h5elementSplit[0].split('<a href="')[1];
|
let url = h5elementSplit[0].split('<a href="')[1];
|
||||||
if (! annoyingPromptUrls.includes(url)) {
|
if (!annoyingPromptUrls.includes(url)) {
|
||||||
let title = h5elementSplit[1].replace("</span></a></h5>", "");
|
let title = h5elementSplit[1].replace("</span></a></h5>", "");
|
||||||
await sleep(1000 + Math.random() * 1000); // don't be as noticeable
|
await sleep(1000 + Math.random() * 1000); // don't be as noticeable
|
||||||
try {
|
try {
|
||||||
let moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
|
let moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
|
||||||
/*if (moreinfo.isbinary) {
|
if (moreinfo.isbinary) {
|
||||||
if (! moreinfo.crowdpercentage) { // then request again.
|
if (!moreinfo.crowdpercentage) {
|
||||||
|
// then request again.
|
||||||
moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
|
moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}*/
|
}
|
||||||
let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
|
let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
|
||||||
const questionNumMatch = url.match(questionNumRegex);
|
const questionNumMatch = url.match(questionNumRegex);
|
||||||
if (! questionNumMatch) {
|
if (!questionNumMatch) {
|
||||||
throw new Error(`Couldn't find question num in ${url}`);
|
throw new Error(`Couldn't find question num in ${url}`);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
let questionNum = questionNumMatch[1];
|
let questionNum = questionNumMatch[1];
|
||||||
|
|
@ -156,19 +182,19 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie : string) {
|
||||||
title: title,
|
title: title,
|
||||||
url: url,
|
url: url,
|
||||||
platform: platformName,
|
platform: platformName,
|
||||||
... moreinfo
|
...moreinfo,
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
if (j % 30 == 0 || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
|
if (j % 30 == 0 || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
|
||||||
console.log(`Page #${i}`);
|
console.log(`Page #${i}`);
|
||||||
console.log(question);
|
console.log(question);
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
console.log(question.title)
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
// console.log(question)
|
// console.log(question)
|
||||||
results.push(question);
|
results.push(question);
|
||||||
} catch (error) {
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
console.log(error);
|
console.log(error);
|
||||||
console.log(`We encountered some error when fetching the URL: ${url}, so it won't appear on the final json`);
|
console.log(
|
||||||
|
`We encountered some error when fetching the URL: ${url}, so it won't appear on the final json`
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
j = j + 1;
|
j = j + 1;
|
||||||
|
|
@ -181,7 +207,9 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie : string) {
|
||||||
response = await fetchPage(i, cookie);
|
response = await fetchPage(i, cookie);
|
||||||
} catch (error) {
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
console.log(error);
|
console.log(error);
|
||||||
console.log(`We encountered some error when fetching page #${i}, so it won't appear on the final json`);
|
console.log(
|
||||||
|
`We encountered some error when fetching page #${i}, so it won't appear on the final json`
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -192,11 +220,9 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie : string) {
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let end = Date.now();
|
let end = Date.now();
|
||||||
let difference = end - init;
|
let difference = end - init;
|
||||||
console.log(`Took ${
|
console.log(
|
||||||
difference / 1000
|
`Took ${difference / 1000} seconds, or ${difference / (1000 * 60)} minutes.`
|
||||||
} seconds, or ${
|
);
|
||||||
difference / (1000 * 60)
|
|
||||||
} minutes.`);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return results;
|
return results;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -208,18 +234,23 @@ export const goodjudgmentopen: Platform = {
|
||||||
version: "v1",
|
version: "v1",
|
||||||
async fetcher() {
|
async fetcher() {
|
||||||
let cookie = process.env.GOODJUDGMENTOPENCOOKIE;
|
let cookie = process.env.GOODJUDGMENTOPENCOOKIE;
|
||||||
return(await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, goodjudgmentopen_inner)) || null;
|
return (await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, goodjudgmentopen_inner)) || null;
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
calculateStars(data) {
|
calculateStars(data) {
|
||||||
let minProbability = Math.min(...data.options.map((option) => option.probability || 0));
|
let minProbability = Math.min(
|
||||||
let maxProbability = Math.max(...data.options.map((option) => option.probability || 0));
|
...data.options.map((option) => option.probability || 0)
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
let maxProbability = Math.max(
|
||||||
|
...data.options.map((option) => option.probability || 0)
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let nuno = () => ((data.qualityindicators.numforecasts || 0) > 100 ? 3 : 2);
|
let nuno = () => ((data.qualityindicators.numforecasts || 0) > 100 ? 3 : 2);
|
||||||
let eli = () => 3;
|
let eli = () => 3;
|
||||||
let misha = () => minProbability > 0.1 || maxProbability < 0.9 ? 3.1 : 2.5;
|
let misha = () =>
|
||||||
|
minProbability > 0.1 || maxProbability < 0.9 ? 3.1 : 2.5;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let starsDecimal = average([nuno(), eli(), misha()]);
|
let starsDecimal = average([nuno(), eli(), misha()]);
|
||||||
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
||||||
return starsInteger;
|
return starsInteger;
|
||||||
}
|
},
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,339 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
/* Imports */
|
|
||||||
import {or} from "ajv/dist/compile/codegen";
|
|
||||||
import axios from "axios";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import {FetchedQuestion, Platform} from ".";
|
|
||||||
import {QuestionOption} from "../../common/types";
|
|
||||||
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
|
|
||||||
import { average } from "../../utils";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Definitions */
|
|
||||||
const platformName = "insight";
|
|
||||||
const marketsEnpoint = "https://insightprediction.com/api/markets?orderBy=is_resolved&sortedBy=asc";
|
|
||||||
const getMarketEndpoint = (id : number) => `https://insightprediction.com/api/markets/${id}`;
|
|
||||||
const SPORTS_CATEGORIES = [
|
|
||||||
'World Cup',
|
|
||||||
'MLB',
|
|
||||||
'Futures',
|
|
||||||
'Sports',
|
|
||||||
'EPL',
|
|
||||||
'Golf',
|
|
||||||
'NHL',
|
|
||||||
'College Football'
|
|
||||||
]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Support functions */
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Stubs
|
|
||||||
const excludeMarketFromTitle = (title : any) => {
|
|
||||||
if (!!title) {
|
|
||||||
return title.includes(" vs ") || title.includes(" Over: ") || title.includes("NFL") || title.includes("Will there be a first time winner") || title.includes("Premier League")
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
return true
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const hasActiveYesNoOrderBook = (orderbook : any) => {
|
|
||||||
if (!!orderbook) {
|
|
||||||
let yes = !!orderbook.yes && !!orderbook.yes.buy && Array.isArray(orderbook.yes.buy) && orderbook.yes.buy.length != 0 && !!orderbook.yes.buy[0].price && !!orderbook.yes.sell && Array.isArray(orderbook.yes.sell) && orderbook.yes.sell.length != 0 && !!orderbook.yes.sell[0].price
|
|
||||||
let no = !!orderbook.no && !!orderbook.no.buy && Array.isArray(orderbook.no.buy) && orderbook.no.buy.length != 0 && !!orderbook.no.buy[0].price && !!orderbook.no.sell && Array.isArray(orderbook.no.sell) && orderbook.no.sell.length != 0 && !!orderbook.no.sell[0].price
|
|
||||||
return yes && no
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
return false
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const isBinaryQuestion = (data : any) => Array.isArray(data) && data.length == 1
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const geomMean = (a : number, b : number) => Math.sqrt(a * b)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const processRelativeUrls = (a : string) => a.replaceAll("] (/", "](http://insightprediction.com/").replaceAll("](/", "](http://insightprediction.com/")
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const processDescriptionText = (text : any) => {
|
|
||||||
if (typeof text === 'string') {
|
|
||||||
return processRelativeUrls(toMarkdown(text))
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
return ""
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const getOrderbookPrize = (orderbook : any) => {
|
|
||||||
let yes_min_cents = orderbook.yes.buy[0].price
|
|
||||||
let yes_max_cents = orderbook.yes.sell[0].price
|
|
||||||
let yes_min = Number(yes_min_cents.slice(0, -1))
|
|
||||||
let yes_max = Number(yes_max_cents.slice(0, -1))
|
|
||||||
let yes_price_orderbook = geomMean(yes_min, yes_max)
|
|
||||||
return yes_price_orderbook
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const getAnswerProbability = (answer : any) => {
|
|
||||||
let orderbook = answer.orderbook
|
|
||||||
let latest_yes_price = answer.latest_yes_price
|
|
||||||
if (!! orderbook && hasActiveYesNoOrderBook(orderbook)) {
|
|
||||||
let yes_price_orderbook = getOrderbookPrize(orderbook)
|
|
||||||
let yes_probability = (latest_yes_price ? geomMean(latest_yes_price, yes_price_orderbook) : yes_price_orderbook) / 100
|
|
||||||
return yes_probability
|
|
||||||
} else if (!! latest_yes_price) {
|
|
||||||
return latest_yes_price / 100
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
return -1
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Fetching
|
|
||||||
async function fetchPage(bearer: string, pageNum: number) {
|
|
||||||
let pageUrl = `${marketsEnpoint}&page=${pageNum}`
|
|
||||||
const response = await axios({
|
|
||||||
url: pageUrl, // &orderBy=is_resolved&sortedBy=desc`,
|
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
|
||||||
headers: {
|
|
||||||
"Content-Type": "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Accept: "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Authorization: `Bearer ${bearer}`
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
|
||||||
// console.log(response);
|
|
||||||
return response;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchMarket(bearer: string, marketId: number) {
|
|
||||||
const response = await axios({
|
|
||||||
url: getMarketEndpoint(marketId),
|
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
|
||||||
headers: {
|
|
||||||
"Content-Type": "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Accept: "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Authorization: `Bearer ${bearer}`
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
|
||||||
// console.log(response)
|
|
||||||
return response;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const processMarket = (market : any) => {
|
|
||||||
let options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = []
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (!!market && !!market.answer && !!market.answer.data) {
|
|
||||||
let data = market.answer.data
|
|
||||||
if (isBinaryQuestion(data)) { // Binary questions
|
|
||||||
let answer = data[0]
|
|
||||||
let probability = getAnswerProbability(answer)
|
|
||||||
if (probability != -1) {
|
|
||||||
options = [
|
|
||||||
{
|
|
||||||
name: "Yes",
|
|
||||||
probability: probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
}, {
|
|
||||||
name: "No",
|
|
||||||
probability: 1 - probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
];
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
} else { // non binary question
|
|
||||||
for (let answer of data) {
|
|
||||||
let probability = getAnswerProbability(answer)
|
|
||||||
if (probability != -1) {
|
|
||||||
let newOption: QuestionOption = ({
|
|
||||||
name: String(answer.title),
|
|
||||||
probability: probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
options.push(newOption)
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
if (!! options && Array.isArray(options) && options.length > 0) {
|
|
||||||
const id = `${platformName}-${
|
|
||||||
market.id
|
|
||||||
}`
|
|
||||||
const result: FetchedQuestion = {
|
|
||||||
id: id,
|
|
||||||
title: market.title,
|
|
||||||
url: market.url,
|
|
||||||
description: processDescriptionText(market.rules),
|
|
||||||
options,
|
|
||||||
qualityindicators: market.coin_id == "USD" ? (
|
|
||||||
{volume: market.volume}
|
|
||||||
) : ({})
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
return result;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return null
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchAllMarkets(bearer: string) {
|
|
||||||
let pageNum = 1
|
|
||||||
let markets = []
|
|
||||||
let categories = []
|
|
||||||
let isEnd = false
|
|
||||||
while (! isEnd) {
|
|
||||||
if(pageNum % 20 == 0){
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Fetching page #${pageNum}`) // : ${pageUrl}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
let page = await fetchPage(bearer, pageNum)
|
|
||||||
// console.log(JSON.stringify(page, null, 2))
|
|
||||||
let data = page.data
|
|
||||||
if (!! data && Array.isArray(data) && data.length > 0) {
|
|
||||||
let lastMarket = data[data.length - 1]
|
|
||||||
let isLastMarketResolved = lastMarket.is_resolved
|
|
||||||
if (isLastMarketResolved == true) {
|
|
||||||
isEnd = true
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
let newMarkets = data.filter(market => !market.is_resolved && !market.is_expired && ! excludeMarketFromTitle(market.title))
|
|
||||||
for (let initMarketData of newMarkets) {
|
|
||||||
let fullMarketDataResponse = await fetchMarket(bearer, initMarketData.id)
|
|
||||||
let fullMarketData = fullMarketDataResponse.data
|
|
||||||
let processedMarketData = processMarket(fullMarketData)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (processedMarketData != null && ! SPORTS_CATEGORIES.includes(fullMarketData.category)) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(`- Adding: ${
|
|
||||||
fullMarketData.title
|
|
||||||
}`)
|
|
||||||
console.group()
|
|
||||||
console.log(fullMarketData)
|
|
||||||
console.log(JSON.stringify(processedMarketData, null, 2))
|
|
||||||
console.groupEnd()
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
markets.push(processedMarketData)
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let category = fullMarketData.category
|
|
||||||
categories.push(category)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
isEnd = true
|
|
||||||
} pageNum = pageNum + 1
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
console.log(markets)
|
|
||||||
console.log(categories)
|
|
||||||
return markets
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
/*
|
|
||||||
async function fetchQuestionStats(bearer : string, marketId : number) {
|
|
||||||
const response = await axios({
|
|
||||||
url: getMarketEndpoint(marketId),
|
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
|
||||||
headers: {
|
|
||||||
"Content-Type": "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Accept: "application/json",
|
|
||||||
Authorization: `Bearer ${bearer}`
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}).then((res) => res.data);
|
|
||||||
// console.log(response)
|
|
||||||
return response;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchData(bearer : string) {
|
|
||||||
let pageNum = 1;
|
|
||||||
let reachedEnd = false;
|
|
||||||
let results = [];
|
|
||||||
while (! reachedEnd) {
|
|
||||||
let newPage = await fetchPage(bearer, pageNum);
|
|
||||||
let newPageData = newPage.data;
|
|
||||||
let marketsFromPage = []
|
|
||||||
for (let market of newPageData) {
|
|
||||||
let response = await fetchQuestionStats(bearer, market.id);
|
|
||||||
let marketData = response.data
|
|
||||||
let marketAnswer = marketData.answer.data
|
|
||||||
delete marketData.answer
|
|
||||||
// These are the options and their prices.
|
|
||||||
let marketOptions = marketAnswer.map(answer => {
|
|
||||||
return({name: answer.title, probability: answer.latest_yes_price, type: "PROBABILITY"})
|
|
||||||
})
|
|
||||||
marketsFromPage.push({
|
|
||||||
... marketData,
|
|
||||||
options: marketOptions
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let finalObject = marketsFromPage
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Page = #${pageNum}`);
|
|
||||||
// console.log(newPageData)
|
|
||||||
console.dir(finalObject, {depth: null});
|
|
||||||
results.push(... finalObject);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let newPagination = newPage.meta.pagination;
|
|
||||||
if (newPagination.total_pages == pageNum) {
|
|
||||||
reachedEnd = true;
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
pageNum = pageNum + 1;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return results
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function processPredictions(predictions : any[]) {
|
|
||||||
let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
|
|
||||||
const id = `${platformName}-${
|
|
||||||
prediction.id
|
|
||||||
}`;
|
|
||||||
const probability = prediction.probability;
|
|
||||||
const options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [
|
|
||||||
{
|
|
||||||
name: "Yes",
|
|
||||||
probability: probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
}, {
|
|
||||||
name: "No",
|
|
||||||
probability: 1 - probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
];
|
|
||||||
const result: FetchedQuestion = {
|
|
||||||
id,
|
|
||||||
title: prediction.title,
|
|
||||||
url: "https://example.com",
|
|
||||||
description: prediction.description,
|
|
||||||
options,
|
|
||||||
qualityindicators: {
|
|
||||||
// other: prediction.otherx,
|
|
||||||
// indicators: prediction.indicatorx,
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
return result;
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
return results; // resultsProcessed
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
*/
|
|
||||||
/* Body */
|
|
||||||
export const insight: Platform = {
|
|
||||||
name: platformName,
|
|
||||||
label: "Insight Prediction",
|
|
||||||
color: "#ff0000",
|
|
||||||
version: "v1",
|
|
||||||
async fetcher() {
|
|
||||||
let bearer = process.env.INSIGHT_BEARER;
|
|
||||||
if (!! bearer) {
|
|
||||||
let data = await fetchAllMarkets(bearer);
|
|
||||||
return data
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
throw Error("No INSIGHT_BEARER available in environment")
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
// let results: FetchedQuestion[] = []; // await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed
|
|
||||||
// return results;
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
calculateStars(data) {
|
|
||||||
let nuno = () => {
|
|
||||||
if((data.qualityindicators.volume || 0) > 10000){
|
|
||||||
return 4
|
|
||||||
} else if((data.qualityindicators.volume || 0) > 1000){
|
|
||||||
return 3
|
|
||||||
} else{
|
|
||||||
return 2
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
let eli = () => null;
|
|
||||||
let misha = () => null;
|
|
||||||
let starsDecimal = average([nuno()]); //, eli(data), misha(data)])
|
|
||||||
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
|
||||||
return starsInteger;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -6,12 +6,12 @@ import { FetchedQuestion, Platform } from "./";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Definitions */
|
/* Definitions */
|
||||||
const platformName = "manifold";
|
const platformName = "manifold";
|
||||||
const ENDPOINT = "https://manifold.markets/api/v0/markets";
|
const endpoint = "https://manifold.markets/api/v0/markets";
|
||||||
// See https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Markets-API-5e7d0aef4dcf452bb04b319e178fabc5
|
// See https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Markets-API-5e7d0aef4dcf452bb04b319e178fabc5
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
/* Support functions */
|
/* Support functions */
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchPage(endpoint: string) {
|
async function fetchData() {
|
||||||
let response = await axios({
|
let response = await axios({
|
||||||
url: endpoint,
|
url: endpoint,
|
||||||
method: "GET",
|
method: "GET",
|
||||||
|
|
@ -23,31 +23,6 @@ async function fetchPage(endpoint: string) {
|
||||||
return response;
|
return response;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchAllData(){
|
|
||||||
let endpoint = ENDPOINT
|
|
||||||
let end = false
|
|
||||||
let allData = []
|
|
||||||
let counter = 1
|
|
||||||
while(!end){
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Query #${counter}: ${endpoint}`)
|
|
||||||
let newData = await fetchPage(endpoint)
|
|
||||||
if(Array.isArray(newData)){
|
|
||||||
allData.push(...newData)
|
|
||||||
let hasReachedEnd = (newData.length == 0) || (newData[newData.length -1] == undefined) || (newData[newData.length -1].id == undefined)
|
|
||||||
if(!hasReachedEnd){
|
|
||||||
let lastId = newData[newData.length -1].id
|
|
||||||
endpoint = `${ENDPOINT}?before=${lastId}`
|
|
||||||
}else{
|
|
||||||
end = true
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}else{
|
|
||||||
end = true
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
counter = counter +1
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return allData
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function showStatistics(results: FetchedQuestion[]) {
|
function showStatistics(results: FetchedQuestion[]) {
|
||||||
console.log(`Num unresolved markets: ${results.length}`);
|
console.log(`Num unresolved markets: ${results.length}`);
|
||||||
let sum = (arr: number[]) => arr.reduce((tally, a) => tally + a, 0);
|
let sum = (arr: number[]) => arr.reduce((tally, a) => tally + a, 0);
|
||||||
|
|
@ -88,12 +63,12 @@ function processPredictions(predictions: any[]): FetchedQuestion[] {
|
||||||
id: id,
|
id: id,
|
||||||
title: prediction.question,
|
title: prediction.question,
|
||||||
url: prediction.url,
|
url: prediction.url,
|
||||||
description: prediction.description || "",
|
description: prediction.description,
|
||||||
options,
|
options,
|
||||||
qualityindicators: {
|
qualityindicators: {
|
||||||
createdTime: prediction.createdTime,
|
createdTime: prediction.createdTime,
|
||||||
// volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days, // deprecated.
|
volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days,
|
||||||
volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
|
volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
|
||||||
pool: prediction.pool, // normally liquidity, but I don't actually want to show it.
|
pool: prediction.pool, // normally liquidity, but I don't actually want to show it.
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
extra: {
|
extra: {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -115,16 +90,16 @@ export const manifold: Platform = {
|
||||||
color: "#793466",
|
color: "#793466",
|
||||||
version: "v1",
|
version: "v1",
|
||||||
async fetcher() {
|
async fetcher() {
|
||||||
let data = await fetchAllData();
|
let data = await fetchData();
|
||||||
let results = processPredictions(data); // somehow needed
|
let results = processPredictions(data); // somehow needed
|
||||||
showStatistics(results);
|
showStatistics(results);
|
||||||
return results;
|
return results;
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
calculateStars(data) {
|
calculateStars(data) {
|
||||||
let nuno = () =>
|
let nuno = () =>
|
||||||
(data.qualityindicators.volume24Hours || 0) > 100 ||
|
(data.qualityindicators.volume7Days || 0) > 250 ||
|
||||||
((data.qualityindicators.pool || 0) > 500 &&
|
((data.qualityindicators.pool || 0) > 500 &&
|
||||||
(data.qualityindicators.volume24Hours || 0) > 50)
|
(data.qualityindicators.volume7Days || 0) > 100)
|
||||||
? 2
|
? 2
|
||||||
: 1;
|
: 1;
|
||||||
let eli = () => null;
|
let eli = () => null;
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
205
src/backend/platforms/metaculus.ts
Normal file
205
src/backend/platforms/metaculus.ts
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,205 @@
|
||||||
|
/* Imports */
|
||||||
|
import axios from "axios";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
import { average } from "../../utils";
|
||||||
|
import { sleep } from "../utils/sleep";
|
||||||
|
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
|
||||||
|
import { FetchedQuestion, Platform } from "./";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
/* Definitions */
|
||||||
|
const platformName = "metaculus";
|
||||||
|
let now = new Date().toISOString();
|
||||||
|
let DEBUG_MODE = "off";
|
||||||
|
let SLEEP_TIME = 5000;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
/* Support functions */
|
||||||
|
async function fetchMetaculusQuestions(next: string) {
|
||||||
|
// Numbers about a given address: how many, how much, at what price, etc.
|
||||||
|
let response;
|
||||||
|
let data;
|
||||||
|
try {
|
||||||
|
response = await axios({
|
||||||
|
url: next,
|
||||||
|
method: "GET",
|
||||||
|
headers: { "Content-Type": "application/json" },
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
data = response.data;
|
||||||
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
|
console.log(`Error in async function fetchMetaculusQuestions(next)`);
|
||||||
|
console.log(error);
|
||||||
|
if (axios.isAxiosError(error)) {
|
||||||
|
if (error.response?.headers["retry-after"]) {
|
||||||
|
const timeout = error.response.headers["retry-after"];
|
||||||
|
console.log(`Timeout: ${timeout}`);
|
||||||
|
await sleep(Number(timeout) * 1000 + SLEEP_TIME);
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
} finally {
|
||||||
|
try {
|
||||||
|
response = await axios({
|
||||||
|
url: next,
|
||||||
|
method: "GET",
|
||||||
|
headers: { "Content-Type": "application/json" },
|
||||||
|
});
|
||||||
|
data = response.data;
|
||||||
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
|
console.log(error);
|
||||||
|
return { results: [] };
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
// console.log(response)
|
||||||
|
return data;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
async function fetchMetaculusQuestionDescription(slug: string) {
|
||||||
|
try {
|
||||||
|
let response = await axios({
|
||||||
|
method: "get",
|
||||||
|
url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + slug,
|
||||||
|
}).then((response) => response.data);
|
||||||
|
return response;
|
||||||
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
|
console.log(`Error in: fetchMetaculusQuestionDescription`);
|
||||||
|
console.log(
|
||||||
|
`We encountered some error when attempting to fetch a metaculus page. Trying again`
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
if (
|
||||||
|
axios.isAxiosError(error) &&
|
||||||
|
typeof error.response != "undefined" &&
|
||||||
|
typeof error.response.headers != "undefined" &&
|
||||||
|
typeof error.response.headers["retry-after"] != "undefined"
|
||||||
|
) {
|
||||||
|
const timeout = error.response.headers["retry-after"];
|
||||||
|
console.log(`Timeout: ${timeout}`);
|
||||||
|
await sleep(Number(timeout) * 1000 + SLEEP_TIME);
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
try {
|
||||||
|
let response = await axios({
|
||||||
|
method: "get",
|
||||||
|
url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + slug,
|
||||||
|
}).then((response) => response.data);
|
||||||
|
// console.log(response)
|
||||||
|
return response;
|
||||||
|
} catch (error) {
|
||||||
|
console.log(
|
||||||
|
`We encountered some error when attempting to fetch a metaculus page.`
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
console.log("Error", error);
|
||||||
|
throw "Giving up";
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
export const metaculus: Platform = {
|
||||||
|
name: platformName,
|
||||||
|
label: "Metaculus",
|
||||||
|
color: "#006669",
|
||||||
|
version: "v1",
|
||||||
|
async fetcher() {
|
||||||
|
// let metaculusQuestionsInit = await fetchMetaculusQuestions(1)
|
||||||
|
// let numQueries = Math.round(Number(metaculusQuestionsInit.count) / 20)
|
||||||
|
// console.log(`Downloading... This might take a while. Total number of queries: ${numQueries}`)
|
||||||
|
// for (let i = 4; i <= numQueries; i++) { // change numQueries to 10 if one want to just test }
|
||||||
|
let all_questions = [];
|
||||||
|
let next = "https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/";
|
||||||
|
let i = 1;
|
||||||
|
while (next) {
|
||||||
|
if (i % 20 == 0) {
|
||||||
|
console.log("Sleeping for 500ms");
|
||||||
|
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
console.log(`\nQuery #${i}`);
|
||||||
|
let metaculusQuestions = await fetchMetaculusQuestions(next);
|
||||||
|
let results = metaculusQuestions.results;
|
||||||
|
let j = false;
|
||||||
|
for (let result of results) {
|
||||||
|
if (result.publish_time < now && now < result.resolve_time) {
|
||||||
|
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME / 2);
|
||||||
|
let questionPage = await fetchMetaculusQuestionDescription(
|
||||||
|
result.page_url
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
if (!questionPage.includes("A public prediction by")) {
|
||||||
|
// console.log(questionPage)
|
||||||
|
let descriptionraw = questionPage.split(
|
||||||
|
`<div class="content" ng-bind-html-compile="qctrl.question.description_html">`
|
||||||
|
)[1]; //.split(`<div class="question__content">`)[1]
|
||||||
|
let descriptionprocessed1 = descriptionraw.split("</div>")[0];
|
||||||
|
let descriptionprocessed2 = toMarkdown(descriptionprocessed1);
|
||||||
|
let description = descriptionprocessed2;
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
let isbinary = result.possibilities.type == "binary";
|
||||||
|
let options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [];
|
||||||
|
if (isbinary) {
|
||||||
|
let probability = Number(result.community_prediction.full.q2);
|
||||||
|
options = [
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "Yes",
|
||||||
|
probability: probability,
|
||||||
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
{
|
||||||
|
name: "No",
|
||||||
|
probability: 1 - probability,
|
||||||
|
type: "PROBABILITY",
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
];
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
let id = `${platformName}-${result.id}`;
|
||||||
|
let interestingInfo: FetchedQuestion = {
|
||||||
|
id,
|
||||||
|
title: result.title,
|
||||||
|
url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + result.page_url,
|
||||||
|
description,
|
||||||
|
options,
|
||||||
|
qualityindicators: {
|
||||||
|
numforecasts: Number(result.number_of_predictions),
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
extra: {
|
||||||
|
resolution_data: {
|
||||||
|
publish_time: result.publish_time,
|
||||||
|
resolution: result.resolution,
|
||||||
|
close_time: result.close_time,
|
||||||
|
resolve_time: result.resolve_time,
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
//"status": result.status,
|
||||||
|
//"publish_time": result.publish_time,
|
||||||
|
//"close_time": result.close_time,
|
||||||
|
//"type": result.possibilities.type, // We want binary ones here.
|
||||||
|
//"last_activity_time": result.last_activity_time,
|
||||||
|
};
|
||||||
|
if (Number(result.number_of_predictions) >= 10) {
|
||||||
|
console.log(`- ${interestingInfo.title}`);
|
||||||
|
all_questions.push(interestingInfo);
|
||||||
|
if ((!j && i % 20 == 0) || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
|
||||||
|
console.log(interestingInfo);
|
||||||
|
j = true;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
} else {
|
||||||
|
console.log("- [Skipping public prediction]");
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
next = metaculusQuestions.next;
|
||||||
|
i = i + 1;
|
||||||
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
return all_questions;
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
calculateStars(data) {
|
||||||
|
const { numforecasts } = data.qualityindicators;
|
||||||
|
let nuno = () =>
|
||||||
|
(numforecasts || 0) > 300 ? 4 : (numforecasts || 0) > 100 ? 3 : 2;
|
||||||
|
let eli = () => 3;
|
||||||
|
let misha = () => 3;
|
||||||
|
let starsDecimal = average([nuno(), eli(), misha()]);
|
||||||
|
let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
||||||
|
return starsInteger;
|
||||||
|
},
|
||||||
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,262 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
import Ajv, { JTDDataType, ValidateFunction } from "ajv/dist/jtd";
|
|
||||||
import axios from "axios";
|
|
||||||
import { sleep } from "../../utils/sleep";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// Type examples:
|
|
||||||
// - group: https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/9866/
|
|
||||||
// - claim: https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/9668/
|
|
||||||
// - subquestion forecast: https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/10069/
|
|
||||||
// - basic forecast: https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/11005/
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const RETRY_SLEEP_TIME = 5000;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const commonProps = {
|
|
||||||
id: {
|
|
||||||
type: "uint32",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
title: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const predictableProps = {
|
|
||||||
publish_time: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
close_time: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
resolve_time: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
resolution: {
|
|
||||||
type: "float64",
|
|
||||||
nullable: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
possibilities: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
type: {
|
|
||||||
// Enum["binary", "continuous"], via https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast/pull/84#discussion_r878240875
|
|
||||||
// but metaculus might add new values in the future and we don't want the fetcher to break
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
number_of_predictions: {
|
|
||||||
type: "uint32",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
community_prediction: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
full: {
|
|
||||||
// q1/q2/q3 can be missing, e.g. https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/1633/
|
|
||||||
optionalProperties: {
|
|
||||||
q1: {
|
|
||||||
type: "float64",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
q2: {
|
|
||||||
type: "float64",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
q3: {
|
|
||||||
type: "float64",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
nullable: true,
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const pageProps = {
|
|
||||||
page_url: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
group: {
|
|
||||||
type: "uint32",
|
|
||||||
nullable: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// these are missing in /api2/questions/ requests, and building two schemas is too much pain
|
|
||||||
const optionalPageProps = {
|
|
||||||
description: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
description_html: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const questionSchema = {
|
|
||||||
discriminator: "type",
|
|
||||||
mapping: {
|
|
||||||
forecast: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
...commonProps,
|
|
||||||
...pageProps,
|
|
||||||
...predictableProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
optionalProperties: {
|
|
||||||
...optionalPageProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
group: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
...commonProps,
|
|
||||||
...pageProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
optionalProperties: {
|
|
||||||
...optionalPageProps,
|
|
||||||
sub_questions: {
|
|
||||||
elements: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
...commonProps,
|
|
||||||
...predictableProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
// we're not interested in claims currently (but we should be?)
|
|
||||||
claim: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
...commonProps,
|
|
||||||
...pageProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
optionalProperties: {
|
|
||||||
...optionalPageProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
discussion: {
|
|
||||||
optionalProperties: {
|
|
||||||
...optionalPageProps,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const knownQuestionTypes = Object.keys(questionSchema.mapping);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const shallowMultipleQuestionsSchema = {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
results: {
|
|
||||||
elements: {
|
|
||||||
properties: {
|
|
||||||
type: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
next: {
|
|
||||||
type: "string",
|
|
||||||
nullable: true,
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
additionalProperties: true,
|
|
||||||
} as const;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export type ApiCommon = JTDDataType<{
|
|
||||||
properties: typeof commonProps;
|
|
||||||
}>;
|
|
||||||
export type ApiPredictable = JTDDataType<{
|
|
||||||
properties: typeof predictableProps;
|
|
||||||
}>;
|
|
||||||
export type ApiQuestion = JTDDataType<typeof questionSchema>;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
type ApiShallowMultipleQuestions = JTDDataType<
|
|
||||||
typeof shallowMultipleQuestionsSchema
|
|
||||||
>;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export type ApiMultipleQuestions = {
|
|
||||||
results: ApiQuestion[];
|
|
||||||
next: ApiShallowMultipleQuestions["next"]; // Omit<ApiShallowMultipleQuestions, "results"> doesn't work correctly here
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const validateQuestion = new Ajv().compile<ApiQuestion>(questionSchema);
|
|
||||||
const validateShallowMultipleQuestions =
|
|
||||||
new Ajv().compile<ApiShallowMultipleQuestions>(
|
|
||||||
shallowMultipleQuestionsSchema
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function fetchWithRetries<T = unknown>(url: string): Promise<T> {
|
|
||||||
try {
|
|
||||||
const response = await axios.get<T>(url);
|
|
||||||
return response.data;
|
|
||||||
} catch (error) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Error while fetching ${url}`);
|
|
||||||
console.log(error);
|
|
||||||
if (axios.isAxiosError(error)) {
|
|
||||||
if (error.response?.headers["retry-after"]) {
|
|
||||||
const timeout = error.response.headers["retry-after"];
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Timeout: ${timeout}`);
|
|
||||||
await sleep(Number(timeout) * 1000 + 1000);
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
await sleep(RETRY_SLEEP_TIME);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
const response = await axios.get<T>(url);
|
|
||||||
return response.data;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const fetchAndValidate = async <T = unknown>(
|
|
||||||
url: string,
|
|
||||||
validator: ValidateFunction<T>
|
|
||||||
): Promise<T> => {
|
|
||||||
// console.log(url);
|
|
||||||
const data = await fetchWithRetries<object>(url);
|
|
||||||
if (validator(data)) {
|
|
||||||
return data;
|
|
||||||
}else{
|
|
||||||
console.log(data)
|
|
||||||
throw new Error(
|
|
||||||
`Response validation for url ${url} failed: ` +
|
|
||||||
JSON.stringify(validator.errors, null, 4)
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export async function fetchApiQuestions(
|
|
||||||
next: string
|
|
||||||
): Promise<ApiMultipleQuestions> {
|
|
||||||
const data = await fetchAndValidate(next, validateShallowMultipleQuestions);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const isDefined = <T>(argument: T | undefined): argument is T => {
|
|
||||||
return argument !== undefined;
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return {
|
|
||||||
...data,
|
|
||||||
results: data.results
|
|
||||||
.map((result) => {
|
|
||||||
if (!knownQuestionTypes.includes(result.type)) {
|
|
||||||
console.warn(`Unknown result type ${result.type}, skipping`);
|
|
||||||
return undefined;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
if (!validateQuestion(result)) {
|
|
||||||
throw new Error(
|
|
||||||
`Response validation failed: ` +
|
|
||||||
JSON.stringify(validateQuestion.errors)
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return result;
|
|
||||||
})
|
|
||||||
.filter(isDefined),
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export async function fetchSingleApiQuestion(id: number): Promise<ApiQuestion> {
|
|
||||||
return await fetchAndValidate(
|
|
||||||
`https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/${id}/`,
|
|
||||||
validateQuestion
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,220 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
import Error from "next/error";
|
|
||||||
import {FetchedQuestion, Platform} from "..";
|
|
||||||
import {average} from "../../../utils";
|
|
||||||
import {sleep} from "../../utils/sleep";
|
|
||||||
import {
|
|
||||||
ApiCommon,
|
|
||||||
ApiMultipleQuestions,
|
|
||||||
ApiPredictable,
|
|
||||||
ApiQuestion,
|
|
||||||
fetchApiQuestions,
|
|
||||||
fetchSingleApiQuestion
|
|
||||||
} from "./api";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const platformName = "metaculus";
|
|
||||||
const now = new Date().toISOString();
|
|
||||||
const SLEEP_TIME = 1000;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
async function apiQuestionToFetchedQuestions(apiQuestion: ApiQuestion): Promise<FetchedQuestion[]> {
|
|
||||||
// one item can expand:
|
|
||||||
// - to 0 questions if we don't want it;
|
|
||||||
// - to 1 question if it's a simple forecast
|
|
||||||
// - to multiple questions if it's a group (see https://github.com/quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast/pull/84 for details)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const skip = (q : ApiPredictable) : boolean => {
|
|
||||||
if (q.publish_time > now || now > q.resolve_time) {
|
|
||||||
return true;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
if (q.number_of_predictions < 10) {
|
|
||||||
return true;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return false;
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const buildFetchedQuestion = (q : ApiPredictable & ApiCommon) : Omit < FetchedQuestion,
|
|
||||||
"url" | "description" | "title" > => {
|
|
||||||
const isBinary = q.possibilities.type === "binary";
|
|
||||||
let options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [];
|
|
||||||
if (isBinary) {
|
|
||||||
const probability = q.community_prediction?.full.q2;
|
|
||||||
if (probability !== undefined) {
|
|
||||||
options = [
|
|
||||||
{
|
|
||||||
name: "Yes",
|
|
||||||
probability: probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
}, {
|
|
||||||
name: "No",
|
|
||||||
probability: 1 - probability,
|
|
||||||
type: "PROBABILITY"
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
];
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return {
|
|
||||||
id: `${platformName}-${
|
|
||||||
q.id
|
|
||||||
}`,
|
|
||||||
options,
|
|
||||||
qualityindicators: {
|
|
||||||
numforecasts: q.number_of_predictions
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
extra: {
|
|
||||||
resolution_data: {
|
|
||||||
publish_time: apiQuestion.publish_time,
|
|
||||||
resolution: apiQuestion.resolution,
|
|
||||||
close_time: apiQuestion.close_time,
|
|
||||||
resolve_time: apiQuestion.resolve_time
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (apiQuestion.type === "group") {
|
|
||||||
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
|
||||||
let apiQuestionDetailsTemp
|
|
||||||
try{
|
|
||||||
apiQuestionDetailsTemp = await fetchSingleApiQuestion(apiQuestion.id);
|
|
||||||
}catch(error){
|
|
||||||
console.log(error)
|
|
||||||
return []
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
const apiQuestionDetails = apiQuestionDetailsTemp
|
|
||||||
if (apiQuestionDetails.type !== "group") {
|
|
||||||
console.log("Error: expected `group` type")
|
|
||||||
return [] //throw new Error("Expected `group` type"); // shouldn't happen, this is mostly for typescript
|
|
||||||
}else{
|
|
||||||
try{
|
|
||||||
let result = (apiQuestionDetails.sub_questions || []).filter((q) => ! skip(q)).map((sq) => {
|
|
||||||
const tmp = buildFetchedQuestion(sq);
|
|
||||||
return {
|
|
||||||
... tmp,
|
|
||||||
title: `${
|
|
||||||
apiQuestion.title
|
|
||||||
} (${
|
|
||||||
sq.title
|
|
||||||
})`,
|
|
||||||
description: apiQuestionDetails.description || "",
|
|
||||||
url: `https://www.metaculus.com${
|
|
||||||
apiQuestion.page_url
|
|
||||||
}?sub-question=${
|
|
||||||
sq.id
|
|
||||||
}`
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
return result
|
|
||||||
}catch(error){
|
|
||||||
console.log(error)
|
|
||||||
return []
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
} else if (apiQuestion.type === "forecast") {
|
|
||||||
if (apiQuestion.group) {
|
|
||||||
return []; // sub-question, should be handled on the group level
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
if (skip(apiQuestion)) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(`- [Skipping]: ${
|
|
||||||
apiQuestion.title
|
|
||||||
}`)
|
|
||||||
/*console.log(`Close time: ${
|
|
||||||
apiQuestion.close_time
|
|
||||||
}, resolve time: ${
|
|
||||||
apiQuestion.resolve_time
|
|
||||||
}`)*/
|
|
||||||
return [];
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
|
||||||
try{
|
|
||||||
const apiQuestionDetails = await fetchSingleApiQuestion(apiQuestion.id);
|
|
||||||
const tmp = buildFetchedQuestion(apiQuestion);
|
|
||||||
return [{
|
|
||||||
... tmp,
|
|
||||||
title: apiQuestion.title,
|
|
||||||
description: apiQuestionDetails.description || "",
|
|
||||||
url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + apiQuestion.page_url
|
|
||||||
},];
|
|
||||||
}catch(error){
|
|
||||||
console.log(error)
|
|
||||||
return []
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
if (apiQuestion.type !== "claim") { // should never happen, since `discriminator` in JTD schema causes a strict runtime check
|
|
||||||
console.log(`Unknown metaculus question type: ${
|
|
||||||
(apiQuestion as any).type
|
|
||||||
}, skipping`);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
return [];
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const metaculus: Platform<"id" | "debug"> = {
|
|
||||||
name: platformName,
|
|
||||||
label: "Metaculus",
|
|
||||||
color: "#006669",
|
|
||||||
version: "v2",
|
|
||||||
fetcherArgs: [
|
|
||||||
"id", "debug"
|
|
||||||
],
|
|
||||||
async fetcher(opts) {
|
|
||||||
let allQuestions: FetchedQuestion[] = [];
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (opts.args ?. id) {
|
|
||||||
try{
|
|
||||||
console.log("Using optional id arg.")
|
|
||||||
const id = Number(opts.args.id);
|
|
||||||
const apiQuestion = await fetchSingleApiQuestion(id);
|
|
||||||
const questions = await apiQuestionToFetchedQuestions(apiQuestion);
|
|
||||||
console.log(questions);
|
|
||||||
return {questions, partial: true};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
}catch(error){
|
|
||||||
console.log(error)
|
|
||||||
return {questions: [], partial: true};
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
let next: string | null = "https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/";
|
|
||||||
let i = 1;
|
|
||||||
while (next) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(`\nQuery #${i} - ${next}`);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
await sleep(SLEEP_TIME);
|
|
||||||
const apiQuestions: ApiMultipleQuestions = await fetchApiQuestions(next);
|
|
||||||
const results = apiQuestions.results;
|
|
||||||
// console.log(results)
|
|
||||||
let j = false;
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
for (const result of results) {
|
|
||||||
const questions = await apiQuestionToFetchedQuestions(result);
|
|
||||||
// console.log(questions)
|
|
||||||
for (const question of questions) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(`- ${
|
|
||||||
question.title
|
|
||||||
}`);
|
|
||||||
if ((! j && i % 20 === 0) || opts.args ?. debug) {
|
|
||||||
console.log(question);
|
|
||||||
j = true;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
allQuestions.push(question);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
next = apiQuestions.next;
|
|
||||||
i += 1;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return {questions: allQuestions, partial: false};
|
|
||||||
},
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calculateStars(data) {
|
|
||||||
const {numforecasts} = data.qualityindicators;
|
|
||||||
const nuno = () => (numforecasts || 0) > 300 ? 4 : (numforecasts || 0) > 100 ? 3 : 2;
|
|
||||||
const eli = () => 3;
|
|
||||||
const misha = () => 3;
|
|
||||||
const starsDecimal = average([nuno(), eli(), misha()]);
|
|
||||||
const starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
|
|
||||||
return starsInteger;
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -7,7 +7,6 @@ import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
|
||||||
import { guesstimate } from "./guesstimate";
|
import { guesstimate } from "./guesstimate";
|
||||||
import { Platform, PlatformConfig } from "./index";
|
import { Platform, PlatformConfig } from "./index";
|
||||||
import { infer } from "./infer";
|
import { infer } from "./infer";
|
||||||
import { insight } from "./insight";
|
|
||||||
import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
|
import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
|
||||||
import { manifold } from "./manifold";
|
import { manifold } from "./manifold";
|
||||||
import { metaculus } from "./metaculus";
|
import { metaculus } from "./metaculus";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -29,7 +28,6 @@ export const getPlatforms = (): Platform<string>[] => {
|
||||||
goodjudgmentopen,
|
goodjudgmentopen,
|
||||||
guesstimate,
|
guesstimate,
|
||||||
infer,
|
infer,
|
||||||
insight,
|
|
||||||
kalshi,
|
kalshi,
|
||||||
manifold,
|
manifold,
|
||||||
metaculus,
|
metaculus,
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -17,14 +17,12 @@ Router.events.on("routeChangeStart", (as, { shallow }) => {
|
||||||
Router.events.on("routeChangeComplete", () => NProgress.done());
|
Router.events.on("routeChangeComplete", () => NProgress.done());
|
||||||
Router.events.on("routeChangeError", () => NProgress.done());
|
Router.events.on("routeChangeError", () => NProgress.done());
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
function MyApp({ Component, pageProps }: AppProps) {
|
function MyApp({ Component, pageProps }: AppProps) {
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<PlausibleProvider domain="metaforecast.org">
|
<PlausibleProvider domain="metaforecast.org">
|
||||||
<Component {...pageProps} />
|
<Component {...pageProps} />
|
||||||
</PlausibleProvider>
|
</PlausibleProvider>
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
// Workaround in package.json for: https://github.com/vercel/next.js/issues/36019#issuecomment-1103266481
|
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export default withUrqlClient((ssr) => getUrqlClientOptions(ssr), {
|
export default withUrqlClient((ssr) => getUrqlClientOptions(ssr), {
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,24 +1,13 @@
|
||||||
import {NextApiRequest, NextApiResponse} from "next";
|
import { NextApiRequest, NextApiResponse } from "next";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// apollo-server-micro is problematic since v3, see https://github.com/apollographql/apollo-server/issues/5547, so we use graphql-yoga instead
|
// apollo-server-micro is problematic since v3, see https://github.com/apollographql/apollo-server/issues/5547, so we use graphql-yoga instead
|
||||||
import {createYoga} from "graphql-yoga";
|
import { createServer } from "@graphql-yoga/node";
|
||||||
import {useResponseCache} from '@graphql-yoga/plugin-response-cache'
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import {schema} from "../../graphql/schema";
|
import { schema } from "../../graphql/schema";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const server = createYoga < {
|
const server = createServer<{
|
||||||
req: NextApiRequest;
|
req: NextApiRequest;
|
||||||
res: NextApiResponse;
|
res: NextApiResponse;
|
||||||
} > ({
|
}>({ schema });
|
||||||
schema,
|
|
||||||
graphqlEndpoint: '/api/graphql',
|
|
||||||
plugins: [useResponseCache(
|
|
||||||
{ // global cache
|
|
||||||
session: () => null,
|
|
||||||
ttl: 2 * 60 * 60 * 1000,
|
|
||||||
// ^ 2h * 60 mins per hour, 60 seconds per min 1000 miliseconds per second
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
)]
|
|
||||||
});
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export default server;
|
export default server;
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,23 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
import { FaExternalLinkAlt } from "react-icons/fa";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
type Props = {
|
|
||||||
url: string;
|
|
||||||
size?: "normal" | "small";
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const BoxedLink: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
|
||||||
url,
|
|
||||||
size = "normal",
|
|
||||||
children,
|
|
||||||
}) => (
|
|
||||||
<a
|
|
||||||
className={`px-2 py-1 border-2 border-gray-400 rounded-lg text-black no-underline hover:bg-gray-100 inline-flex flex-nowrap space-x-1 items-center text-xs md:text-lg ${
|
|
||||||
size === "small" ? "text-sm" : ""
|
|
||||||
}`}
|
|
||||||
href={url}
|
|
||||||
target="_blank"
|
|
||||||
>
|
|
||||||
<span>{children}</span>
|
|
||||||
<FaExternalLinkAlt className="text-gray-400 inline " />
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,44 +0,0 @@
|
||||||
import { useState } from "react";
|
|
||||||
import { FaCaretDown, FaCaretRight } from "react-icons/fa";
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const Collapsible: React.FC<{
|
|
||||||
title: string;
|
|
||||||
children: () => React.ReactElement | null;
|
|
||||||
}> = ({ title, children }) => {
|
|
||||||
const [open, setOpen] = useState(false);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const expand = (e: React.SyntheticEvent) => {
|
|
||||||
e.preventDefault();
|
|
||||||
setOpen(true);
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const collapse = (e: React.SyntheticEvent) => {
|
|
||||||
e.preventDefault();
|
|
||||||
setOpen(false);
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (open) {
|
|
||||||
return (
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<a
|
|
||||||
href="#"
|
|
||||||
className="decoration-dashed inline-flex items-center"
|
|
||||||
onClick={collapse}
|
|
||||||
>
|
|
||||||
{title} <FaCaretDown />
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
<div>{children()}</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
} else {
|
|
||||||
return (
|
|
||||||
<a
|
|
||||||
href="#"
|
|
||||||
className="decoration-dashed inline-flex items-center"
|
|
||||||
onClick={expand}
|
|
||||||
>
|
|
||||||
{title} <FaCaretRight />
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ export const Spinner: React.FC = () => (
|
||||||
cy="12"
|
cy="12"
|
||||||
r="10"
|
r="10"
|
||||||
stroke="currentColor"
|
stroke="currentColor"
|
||||||
strokeWidth="4"
|
stroke-width="4"
|
||||||
></circle>
|
></circle>
|
||||||
<path
|
<path
|
||||||
className="opacity-75"
|
className="opacity-75"
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
|
||||||
import domtoimage from "dom-to-image"; // https://github.com/tsayen/dom-to-image
|
import domtoimage from "dom-to-image"; // https://github.com/tsayen/dom-to-image
|
||||||
import { Resizable } from "re-resizable";
|
|
||||||
import { useEffect, useRef, useState } from "react";
|
import { useEffect, useRef, useState } from "react";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { Button } from "../../common/Button";
|
import { Button } from "../../common/Button";
|
||||||
import { CopyParagraph } from "../../common/CopyParagraph";
|
import { CopyParagraph } from "../../common/CopyParagraph";
|
||||||
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -79,15 +79,6 @@ const MetaculusSource: React.FC<{
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const GrayContainer: React.FC<{ title: string }> = ({ title, children }) => (
|
|
||||||
<div className="bg-gray-100 p-2 space-y-1">
|
|
||||||
<div className="uppercase text-xs font-bold tracking-wide text-gray-600">
|
|
||||||
{title}:
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>{children}</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface Props {
|
interface Props {
|
||||||
question: QuestionFragment;
|
question: QuestionFragment;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -127,55 +118,35 @@ export const CaptureQuestion: React.FC<Props> = ({ question }) => {
|
||||||
await exportAsPictureAndCode();
|
await exportAsPictureAndCode();
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if (imgSrc) {
|
|
||||||
return (
|
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-4">
|
|
||||||
<GrayContainer title="Generated image">
|
|
||||||
<a href={imgSrc} target="_blank">
|
|
||||||
<img src={imgSrc} />
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
</GrayContainer>
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<ImageSource question={question} imgSrc={imgSrc} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
{question.platform.id === "metaculus" ? (
|
|
||||||
<>
|
|
||||||
<div className="justify-self-stretch">
|
|
||||||
<MetaculusEmbed question={question} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
<MetaculusSource question={question} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</>
|
|
||||||
) : null}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-2 flex flex-col">
|
<div className="grid grid-cols-1 md:grid-cols-2 gap-4 place-items-center">
|
||||||
<GrayContainer title="Resizable preview">
|
<div ref={containerRef}>
|
||||||
<Resizable
|
<QuestionCard
|
||||||
minWidth={320}
|
question={question}
|
||||||
bounds="window"
|
showTimeStamp={true}
|
||||||
enable={{ right: true, left: true }}
|
showExpandButton={false}
|
||||||
>
|
expandFooterToFullWidth={true}
|
||||||
<div ref={containerRef}>
|
/>
|
||||||
<QuestionCard
|
</div>
|
||||||
container={(children) => (
|
<div>
|
||||||
<div className="px-4 py-3 bg-white">{children}</div>
|
<Button onClick={onCaptureButtonClick}>{mainButtonText}</Button>
|
||||||
)}
|
</div>
|
||||||
question={question}
|
{imgSrc ? (
|
||||||
showTimeStamp={true}
|
<>
|
||||||
showExpandButton={false}
|
<div>
|
||||||
expandFooterToFullWidth={true}
|
<img src={imgSrc} />
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</Resizable>
|
<div>
|
||||||
</GrayContainer>
|
<ImageSource question={question} imgSrc={imgSrc} />
|
||||||
<Button onClick={onCaptureButtonClick} size="small">
|
</div>
|
||||||
{mainButtonText}
|
<div className="justify-self-stretch">
|
||||||
</Button>
|
<MetaculusEmbed question={question} />
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
<div>
|
||||||
|
<MetaculusSource question={question} />
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</>
|
||||||
|
) : null}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -13,11 +13,9 @@ import {
|
||||||
VictoryVoronoiContainer,
|
VictoryVoronoiContainer,
|
||||||
} from "victory";
|
} from "victory";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { chartColors, ChartData, ChartSeries, goldenRatio } from "./utils";
|
import { chartColors, ChartData, ChartSeries, height, width } from "./utils";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const height = 200
|
let dateFormat = "MMM do y"; // "yyyy-MM-dd"
|
||||||
const width = 200 * goldenRatio
|
|
||||||
let dateFormat = "dd/MM/yy"; // "yyyy-MM-dd" // "MMM do yy"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// can't be replaced with React component, VictoryChart requires VictoryGroup elements to be immediate children
|
// can't be replaced with React component, VictoryChart requires VictoryGroup elements to be immediate children
|
||||||
const getVictoryGroup = ({
|
const getVictoryGroup = ({
|
||||||
|
|
@ -39,7 +37,7 @@ const getVictoryGroup = ({
|
||||||
data: {
|
data: {
|
||||||
// strokeOpacity: highlight ? 1 : 0.5,
|
// strokeOpacity: highlight ? 1 : 0.5,
|
||||||
strokeOpacity: highlight && !isBinary ? 0.8 : 0.6,
|
strokeOpacity: highlight && !isBinary ? 0.8 : 0.6,
|
||||||
strokeWidth: highlight && !isBinary ? 2.5 : 1.5,
|
strokeWidth: highlight && !isBinary ? 4 : 3,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
}}
|
}}
|
||||||
/>
|
/>
|
||||||
|
|
@ -73,9 +71,9 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
const domainMax =
|
const domainMax =
|
||||||
maxProbability < 0.5 ? Math.round(10 * (maxProbability + 0.05)) / 10 : 1;
|
maxProbability < 0.5 ? Math.round(10 * (maxProbability + 0.05)) / 10 : 1;
|
||||||
const padding = {
|
const padding = {
|
||||||
top: 12,
|
top: 20,
|
||||||
bottom: 33,
|
bottom: 75,
|
||||||
left: 30,
|
left: 70,
|
||||||
right: 17,
|
right: 17,
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -101,12 +99,12 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
<VictoryLabel
|
<VictoryLabel
|
||||||
style={[
|
style={[
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
fontSize: 10,
|
fontSize: 16,
|
||||||
fill: "black",
|
fill: "black",
|
||||||
strokeWidth: 0.05,
|
strokeWidth: 0.05,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
fontSize: 10,
|
fontSize: 16,
|
||||||
fill: "#777",
|
fill: "#777",
|
||||||
strokeWidth: 0.05,
|
strokeWidth: 0.05,
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
|
|
@ -120,7 +118,7 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
)}`
|
)}`
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
style={{
|
style={{
|
||||||
fontSize: 10, // needs to be set here and not just in labelComponent for text size calculations
|
fontSize: 17, // needs to be set here and not just in labelComponent for text size calculations
|
||||||
fontFamily:
|
fontFamily:
|
||||||
'"Gill Sans", "Gill Sans MT", "Seravek", "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif',
|
'"Gill Sans", "Gill Sans MT", "Seravek", "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif',
|
||||||
// default font family from Victory, need to be specified explicitly for some reason, otherwise text size gets miscalculated
|
// default font family from Victory, need to be specified explicitly for some reason, otherwise text size gets miscalculated
|
||||||
|
|
@ -130,10 +128,10 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
fill: "white",
|
fill: "white",
|
||||||
}}
|
}}
|
||||||
cornerRadius={4}
|
cornerRadius={4}
|
||||||
flyoutPadding={{ top: 4, bottom: 4, left: 10, right: 10 }}
|
flyoutPadding={{ top: 4, bottom: 4, left: 16, right: 16 }}
|
||||||
/>
|
/>
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
radius={20}
|
radius={50}
|
||||||
voronoiBlacklist={
|
voronoiBlacklist={
|
||||||
[...Array(seriesList.length).keys()].map((i) => `line-${i}`)
|
[...Array(seriesList.length).keys()].map((i) => `line-${i}`)
|
||||||
// see: https://github.com/FormidableLabs/victory/issues/545
|
// see: https://github.com/FormidableLabs/victory/issues/545
|
||||||
|
|
@ -161,10 +159,10 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
}}
|
}}
|
||||||
tickLabelComponent={
|
tickLabelComponent={
|
||||||
<VictoryLabel
|
<VictoryLabel
|
||||||
dx={-10}
|
dx={-40}
|
||||||
dy={0}
|
dy={0}
|
||||||
angle={-30}
|
angle={-30}
|
||||||
style={{ fontSize: 9, fill: "#777" }}
|
style={{ fontSize: 15, fill: "#777" }}
|
||||||
/>
|
/>
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
scale={{ x: "time" }}
|
scale={{ x: "time" }}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -176,7 +174,7 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
grid: { stroke: "#D3D3D3", strokeWidth: 0.5 },
|
grid: { stroke: "#D3D3D3", strokeWidth: 0.5 },
|
||||||
}}
|
}}
|
||||||
tickLabelComponent={
|
tickLabelComponent={
|
||||||
<VictoryLabel dy={0} dx={5} style={{ fontSize: 9, fill: "#777" }} />
|
<VictoryLabel dy={0} style={{ fontSize: 18, fill: "#777" }} />
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
// tickFormat specifies how ticks should be displayed
|
// tickFormat specifies how ticks should be displayed
|
||||||
tickFormat={(x) => `${x * 100}%`}
|
tickFormat={(x) => `${x * 100}%`}
|
||||||
|
|
@ -207,7 +205,6 @@ export const InnerChart: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
})
|
})
|
||||||
*/
|
*/
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
</VictoryChart>
|
</VictoryChart>
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ export const HistoryChart: React.FC<Props> = ({ question }) => {
|
||||||
const data = useMemo(() => buildChartData(question), [question]);
|
const data = useMemo(() => buildChartData(question), [question]);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="flex items-center space-y-4 sm:flex-row sm:space-y-0 ">
|
<div className="flex items-center flex-col space-y-4 sm:flex-row sm:space-y-0">
|
||||||
<InnerChart data={data} highlight={highlight} />
|
<InnerChart data={data} highlight={highlight} />
|
||||||
<Legend
|
<Legend
|
||||||
items={data.seriesNames.map((name, i) => ({
|
items={data.seriesNames.map((name, i) => ({
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -18,7 +18,7 @@ export const chartColors = [
|
||||||
"#F59E0B", // amber-500
|
"#F59E0B", // amber-500
|
||||||
];
|
];
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const goldenRatio = (1 + Math.sqrt(5)) / 2;
|
const goldenRatio = (1 + Math.sqrt(5)) / 2;
|
||||||
// used both for chart and for ssr placeholder
|
// used both for chart and for ssr placeholder
|
||||||
export const width = 750;
|
export const width = 750;
|
||||||
export const height = width / goldenRatio;
|
export const height = width / goldenRatio;
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,6 +1,16 @@
|
||||||
import { BoxedLink } from "../../common/BoxedLink";
|
import { FaExternalLinkAlt } from "react-icons/fa";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const PlatformLink: React.FC<{ question: QuestionFragment }> = ({
|
export const PlatformLink: React.FC<{ question: QuestionFragment }> = ({
|
||||||
question,
|
question,
|
||||||
}) => <BoxedLink url={question.url}>{question.platform.label}</BoxedLink>;
|
}) => (
|
||||||
|
<a
|
||||||
|
className="px-2 py-1 border-2 border-gray-400 rounded-lg text-black no-underline text-normal hover:bg-gray-100 flex flex-nowrap space-x-1 items-center"
|
||||||
|
href={question.url}
|
||||||
|
target="_blank"
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
<span>{question.platform.label}</span>
|
||||||
|
<FaExternalLinkAlt className="text-gray-400 inline sm:text-md text-md" />
|
||||||
|
</a>
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ const getCurrencySymbolIfNeeded = ({
|
||||||
"openInterest",
|
"openInterest",
|
||||||
"liquidity",
|
"liquidity",
|
||||||
];
|
];
|
||||||
let dollarPlatforms = ["predictit", "kalshi", "polymarket", "insight"];
|
let dollarPlatforms = ["predictit", "kalshi", "polymarket"];
|
||||||
if (indicatorsWhichNeedCurrencySymbol.includes(indicator)) {
|
if (indicatorsWhichNeedCurrencySymbol.includes(indicator)) {
|
||||||
if (dollarPlatforms.includes(platform)) {
|
if (dollarPlatforms.includes(platform)) {
|
||||||
return "$";
|
return "$";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -172,7 +172,6 @@ export const QuestionFooter: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
>
|
>
|
||||||
{question.platform.label
|
{question.platform.label
|
||||||
.replace("Good Judgment Open", "GJOpen")
|
.replace("Good Judgment Open", "GJOpen")
|
||||||
.replace("Insight Prediction", "Insight")
|
|
||||||
.replace(/ /g, "\u00a0")}
|
.replace(/ /g, "\u00a0")}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div
|
<div
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
|
||||||
import Link from "next/link";
|
import Link from "next/link";
|
||||||
import { ReactElement, ReactNode } from "react";
|
|
||||||
import { FaExpand } from "react-icons/fa";
|
import { FaExpand } from "react-icons/fa";
|
||||||
import ReactMarkdown from "react-markdown";
|
import ReactMarkdown from "react-markdown";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { Card } from "../../../common/Card";
|
import { Card } from "../../../common/Card";
|
||||||
import { CopyText } from "../../../common/CopyText";
|
import { CopyText } from "../../../common/CopyText";
|
||||||
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../../fragments.generated";
|
import { QuestionFragment } from "../../../fragments.generated";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -17,8 +17,8 @@ const truncateText = (length: number, text: string): string => {
|
||||||
return text;
|
return text;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
const breakpoints = " .!?";
|
const breakpoints = " .!?";
|
||||||
let lastLetter
|
let lastLetter: string | undefined = undefined;
|
||||||
let lastIndex
|
let lastIndex: number | undefined = undefined;
|
||||||
for (let index = length; index > 0; index--) {
|
for (let index = length; index > 0; index--) {
|
||||||
const letter = text[index];
|
const letter = text[index];
|
||||||
if (breakpoints.includes(letter)) {
|
if (breakpoints.includes(letter)) {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -63,7 +63,6 @@ const LastUpdated: React.FC<{ timestamp: Date }> = ({ timestamp }) => (
|
||||||
// Main component
|
// Main component
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
interface Props {
|
interface Props {
|
||||||
container?: (children: ReactNode) => ReactElement;
|
|
||||||
question: QuestionFragment;
|
question: QuestionFragment;
|
||||||
showTimeStamp: boolean;
|
showTimeStamp: boolean;
|
||||||
expandFooterToFullWidth: boolean;
|
expandFooterToFullWidth: boolean;
|
||||||
|
|
@ -72,7 +71,6 @@ interface Props {
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const QuestionCard: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
export const QuestionCard: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
container = (children) => <Card>{children}</Card>,
|
|
||||||
question,
|
question,
|
||||||
showTimeStamp,
|
showTimeStamp,
|
||||||
expandFooterToFullWidth,
|
expandFooterToFullWidth,
|
||||||
|
|
@ -84,70 +82,72 @@ export const QuestionCard: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const isBinary = isQuestionBinary(question);
|
const isBinary = isQuestionBinary(question);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return container(
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="h-full flex flex-col space-y-4">
|
<Card>
|
||||||
<div className="flex-grow space-y-4">
|
<div className="h-full flex flex-col space-y-4">
|
||||||
{showIdToggle ? (
|
<div className="flex-grow space-y-4">
|
||||||
<div className="mx-10">
|
{showIdToggle ? (
|
||||||
<CopyText text={question.id} displayText={`[${question.id}]`} />
|
<div className="mx-10">
|
||||||
</div>
|
<CopyText text={question.id} displayText={`[${question.id}]`} />
|
||||||
) : null}
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div>
|
|
||||||
{showExpandButton ? (
|
|
||||||
<Link href={`/questions/${question.id}`} passHref>
|
|
||||||
<a className="float-right block ml-2 mt-1.5">
|
|
||||||
<FaExpand
|
|
||||||
size="18"
|
|
||||||
className="text-gray-400 hover:text-gray-700"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
</Link>
|
|
||||||
) : null}
|
) : null}
|
||||||
<Card.Title>
|
<div>
|
||||||
<a
|
{showExpandButton ? (
|
||||||
className="text-black no-underline"
|
<Link href={`/questions/${question.id}`} passHref>
|
||||||
href={question.url}
|
<a className="float-right block ml-2 mt-1.5">
|
||||||
target="_blank"
|
<FaExpand
|
||||||
>
|
size="18"
|
||||||
{question.title}
|
className="text-gray-400 hover:text-gray-700"
|
||||||
</a>
|
/>
|
||||||
</Card.Title>
|
</a>
|
||||||
|
</Link>
|
||||||
|
) : null}
|
||||||
|
<Card.Title>
|
||||||
|
<a
|
||||||
|
className="text-black no-underline"
|
||||||
|
href={question.url}
|
||||||
|
target="_blank"
|
||||||
|
>
|
||||||
|
{question.title}
|
||||||
|
</a>
|
||||||
|
</Card.Title>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
<div className={isBinary ? "flex justify-between" : "space-y-4"}>
|
||||||
|
<QuestionOptions question={question} maxNumOptions={5} />
|
||||||
|
<div className={`hidden ${showTimeStamp ? "sm:block" : ""}`}>
|
||||||
|
<LastUpdated timestamp={lastUpdated} />
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
{question.platform.id !== "guesstimate" && options.length < 3 && (
|
||||||
|
<div className="text-gray-500">
|
||||||
|
<DisplayMarkdown description={question.description} />
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
{question.platform.id === "guesstimate" && question.visualization && (
|
||||||
|
<img
|
||||||
|
className="rounded-sm"
|
||||||
|
src={question.visualization}
|
||||||
|
alt="Guesstimate Screenshot"
|
||||||
|
/>
|
||||||
|
)}
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div className={isBinary ? "flex justify-between" : "space-y-4"}>
|
<div
|
||||||
<QuestionOptions question={question} maxNumOptions={5} />
|
className={`sm:hidden ${!showTimeStamp ? "hidden" : ""} self-center`}
|
||||||
<div className={`hidden ${showTimeStamp ? "sm:block" : ""}`}>
|
>
|
||||||
<LastUpdated timestamp={lastUpdated} />
|
{/* This one is exclusively for mobile*/}
|
||||||
|
<LastUpdated timestamp={lastUpdated} />
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
<div className="w-full">
|
||||||
|
<div className="mb-2 mt-1">
|
||||||
|
<QuestionFooter
|
||||||
|
question={question}
|
||||||
|
expandFooterToFullWidth={expandFooterToFullWidth}
|
||||||
|
/>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{question.platform.id !== "guesstimate" && options.length < 3 && (
|
|
||||||
<div className="text-gray-500">
|
|
||||||
<DisplayMarkdown description={question.description} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
{question.platform.id === "guesstimate" && question.visualization && (
|
|
||||||
<img
|
|
||||||
className="rounded-sm"
|
|
||||||
src={question.visualization}
|
|
||||||
alt="Guesstimate Screenshot"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
)}
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div
|
</Card>
|
||||||
className={`sm:hidden ${!showTimeStamp ? "hidden" : ""} self-center`}
|
|
||||||
>
|
|
||||||
{/* This one is exclusively for mobile*/}
|
|
||||||
<LastUpdated timestamp={lastUpdated} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div className="w-full">
|
|
||||||
<div className="mb-2 mt-1">
|
|
||||||
<QuestionFooter
|
|
||||||
question={question}
|
|
||||||
expandFooterToFullWidth={expandFooterToFullWidth}
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -101,7 +101,7 @@ const OptionRow: React.FC<OptionProps> = ({ option, mode, textMode }) => {
|
||||||
<div
|
<div
|
||||||
className={`flex-none rounded-md text-center ${
|
className={`flex-none rounded-md text-center ${
|
||||||
mode === "primary"
|
mode === "primary"
|
||||||
? "text-sm md:text-lg text-normal text-white px-2 py-0.5 font-bold"
|
? "text-normal text-white px-2 py-0.5 font-bold"
|
||||||
: "text-sm w-14 py-0.5"
|
: "text-sm w-14 py-0.5"
|
||||||
} ${
|
} ${
|
||||||
mode === "primary"
|
mode === "primary"
|
||||||
|
|
@ -113,7 +113,7 @@ const OptionRow: React.FC<OptionProps> = ({ option, mode, textMode }) => {
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
<div
|
<div
|
||||||
className={`leading-snug ${
|
className={`leading-snug ${
|
||||||
mode === "primary" ? "text-sm md:text-lg text-normal" : "text-sm"
|
mode === "primary" ? "text-normal" : "text-sm"
|
||||||
} ${
|
} ${
|
||||||
mode === "primary" ? textColor(option.probability) : "text-gray-700"
|
mode === "primary" ? textColor(option.probability) : "text-gray-700"
|
||||||
}`}
|
}`}
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ export const QuestionTitle: React.FC<Props> = ({
|
||||||
question,
|
question,
|
||||||
linkToMetaforecast,
|
linkToMetaforecast,
|
||||||
}) => (
|
}) => (
|
||||||
<h1 className="sm:text-3xl text-lg">
|
<h1 className="sm:text-3xl text-xl">
|
||||||
<a
|
<a
|
||||||
className="text-black no-underline hover:text-gray-700"
|
className="text-black no-underline hover:text-gray-700"
|
||||||
href={
|
href={
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -54,5 +54,5 @@ function getStarsColor(numstars: number) {
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const Stars: React.FC<{ num: number }> = ({ num }) => {
|
export const Stars: React.FC<{ num: number }> = ({ num }) => {
|
||||||
return <div className={getStarsColor(num) + " text-xs md:text-lg"}>{getstars(num)}</div>;
|
return <div className={getStarsColor(num)}>{getstars(num)}</div>;
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -30,25 +30,24 @@ export const getServerSideProps: GetServerSideProps<Props> = async (
|
||||||
props: {
|
props: {
|
||||||
urqlState: ssrCache.extractData(),
|
urqlState: ssrCache.extractData(),
|
||||||
id,
|
id,
|
||||||
question
|
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const EmbedQuestionPage: NextPage<Props> = ({ id }) => {
|
const EmbedQuestionPage: NextPage<Props> = ({ id }) => {
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
<div className="block bg-white min-h-screen">
|
<div className="bg-white min-h-screen">
|
||||||
<Query document={QuestionPageDocument} variables={{ id }}>
|
<Query document={QuestionPageDocument} variables={{ id }}>
|
||||||
{({ data: { result: question } }) =>
|
{({ data: { result: question } }) =>
|
||||||
question ? (
|
question ? (
|
||||||
<div className="flex flex-col p-2 w-full h-12/12">
|
<div className="p-4">
|
||||||
{/*<QuestionTitle question={question} linkToMetaforecast={true} /> */}
|
<QuestionTitle question={question} linkToMetaforecast={true} />
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="mb-1 mt-1">
|
<div className="mb-5 mt-5">
|
||||||
<QuestionInfoRow question={question} />
|
<QuestionInfoRow question={question} />
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="mb-0">
|
<div className="mb-10">
|
||||||
<QuestionChartOrVisualization question={question} />
|
<QuestionChartOrVisualization question={question} />
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
|
||||||
import { GetServerSideProps, NextPage } from "next";
|
import { GetServerSideProps, NextPage } from "next";
|
||||||
import NextError from "next/error";
|
import NextError from "next/error";
|
||||||
import React from "react";
|
|
||||||
import ReactMarkdown from "react-markdown";
|
import ReactMarkdown from "react-markdown";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import { Card } from "../../common/Card";
|
import { Card } from "../../common/Card";
|
||||||
import { Collapsible } from "../../common/Collapsible";
|
|
||||||
import { CopyParagraph } from "../../common/CopyParagraph";
|
import { CopyParagraph } from "../../common/CopyParagraph";
|
||||||
import { Layout } from "../../common/Layout";
|
import { Layout } from "../../common/Layout";
|
||||||
|
import { LineHeader } from "../../common/LineHeader";
|
||||||
import { Query } from "../../common/Query";
|
import { Query } from "../../common/Query";
|
||||||
import { QuestionWithHistoryFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
import { QuestionWithHistoryFragment } from "../../fragments.generated";
|
||||||
import { ssrUrql } from "../../urql";
|
import { ssrUrql } from "../../urql";
|
||||||
|
|
@ -43,51 +43,13 @@ export const getServerSideProps: GetServerSideProps<Props> = async (
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const Section: React.FC<{ title: string; id?: string }> = ({
|
const Section: React.FC<{ title: string }> = ({ title, children }) => (
|
||||||
title,
|
<div className="space-y-2 flex flex-col items-start">
|
||||||
children,
|
<h2 className="text-xl text-gray-900">{title}</h2>
|
||||||
id,
|
|
||||||
}) => (
|
|
||||||
<div className="space-y-4 flex flex-col items-start" id={id}>
|
|
||||||
<div className="border-b-2 border-gray-200 w-full group">
|
|
||||||
<h2 className="text-xl leading-3 text-gray-900">
|
|
||||||
<span>{title}</span>
|
|
||||||
{id ? (
|
|
||||||
<>
|
|
||||||
{" "}
|
|
||||||
<a
|
|
||||||
className="text-gray-300 no-underline hidden group-hover:inline"
|
|
||||||
href={`#${id}`}
|
|
||||||
>
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
</a>
|
|
||||||
</>
|
|
||||||
) : null}
|
|
||||||
</h2>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
<div>{children}</div>
|
<div>{children}</div>
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const EmbedSection: React.FC<{ question: QuestionWithHistoryFragment }> = ({
|
|
||||||
question,
|
|
||||||
}) => {
|
|
||||||
const url = `https://${getBasePath()}/questions/embed/${question.id}`;
|
|
||||||
return (
|
|
||||||
<Section title="Embed" id="embed">
|
|
||||||
<CopyParagraph
|
|
||||||
text={`<iframe src="${url}" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />`}
|
|
||||||
buttonText="Copy HTML"
|
|
||||||
/>
|
|
||||||
<div className="mt-2">
|
|
||||||
<Collapsible title="Preview">
|
|
||||||
{() => <iframe src={url} height="600" width="600" frameBorder="0" />}
|
|
||||||
</Collapsible>
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
|
||||||
</Section>
|
|
||||||
);
|
|
||||||
};
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const LargeQuestionCard: React.FC<{
|
const LargeQuestionCard: React.FC<{
|
||||||
question: QuestionWithHistoryFragment;
|
question: QuestionWithHistoryFragment;
|
||||||
}> = ({ question }) => {
|
}> = ({ question }) => {
|
||||||
|
|
@ -103,8 +65,8 @@ const LargeQuestionCard: React.FC<{
|
||||||
<QuestionChartOrVisualization question={question} />
|
<QuestionChartOrVisualization question={question} />
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
<div className="mx-auto max-w-prose space-y-8">
|
<div className="mx-auto max-w-prose">
|
||||||
<Section title="Question description" id="description">
|
<Section title="Question description">
|
||||||
<ReactMarkdown
|
<ReactMarkdown
|
||||||
linkTarget="_blank"
|
linkTarget="_blank"
|
||||||
className="font-normal text-gray-900"
|
className="font-normal text-gray-900"
|
||||||
|
|
@ -112,17 +74,39 @@ const LargeQuestionCard: React.FC<{
|
||||||
{question.description.replaceAll("---", "")}
|
{question.description.replaceAll("---", "")}
|
||||||
</ReactMarkdown>
|
</ReactMarkdown>
|
||||||
</Section>
|
</Section>
|
||||||
<Section title="Indicators" id="indicators">
|
<div className="mt-5">
|
||||||
<IndicatorsTable question={question} />
|
<Section title="Indicators">
|
||||||
</Section>
|
<IndicatorsTable question={question} />
|
||||||
<Section title="Capture" id="capture">
|
</Section>
|
||||||
<CaptureQuestion question={question} />
|
</div>
|
||||||
</Section>
|
|
||||||
<EmbedSection question={question} />
|
|
||||||
</div>
|
</div>
|
||||||
</Card>
|
</Card>
|
||||||
);
|
);
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
const QuestionScreen: React.FC<{ question: QuestionWithHistoryFragment }> = ({
|
||||||
|
question,
|
||||||
|
}) => (
|
||||||
|
<div className="space-y-8">
|
||||||
|
<LargeQuestionCard question={question} />
|
||||||
|
<div className="space-y-4">
|
||||||
|
<LineHeader>
|
||||||
|
<h1>Capture</h1>
|
||||||
|
</LineHeader>
|
||||||
|
<CaptureQuestion question={question} />
|
||||||
|
<LineHeader>
|
||||||
|
<h1>Embed</h1>
|
||||||
|
</LineHeader>
|
||||||
|
<div className="max-w-md mx-auto">
|
||||||
|
<CopyParagraph
|
||||||
|
text={`<iframe src="${
|
||||||
|
getBasePath() + `/questions/embed/${question.id}`
|
||||||
|
}" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />`}
|
||||||
|
buttonText="Copy HTML"
|
||||||
|
/>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
</div>
|
||||||
|
);
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
const QuestionPage: NextPage<Props> = ({ id }) => {
|
const QuestionPage: NextPage<Props> = ({ id }) => {
|
||||||
return (
|
return (
|
||||||
|
|
@ -131,7 +115,7 @@ const QuestionPage: NextPage<Props> = ({ id }) => {
|
||||||
<Query document={QuestionPageDocument} variables={{ id }}>
|
<Query document={QuestionPageDocument} variables={{ id }}>
|
||||||
{({ data }) =>
|
{({ data }) =>
|
||||||
data.result ? (
|
data.result ? (
|
||||||
<LargeQuestionCard question={data.result} />
|
<QuestionScreen question={data.result} />
|
||||||
) : (
|
) : (
|
||||||
<NextError statusCode={404} />
|
<NextError statusCode={404} />
|
||||||
)
|
)
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ import { QuestionFragment } from "./fragments.generated";
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const getBasePath = () => {
|
export const getBasePath = () => {
|
||||||
if (process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_VERCEL_URL) {
|
if (process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_VERCEL_URL) {
|
||||||
return `https://metaforecast.org`;//`https://${process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_VERCEL_URL}`;
|
return `https://${process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_VERCEL_URL}`;
|
||||||
}
|
}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
// can be used for local development if you prefer non-default port
|
// can be used for local development if you prefer non-default port
|
||||||
|
|
@ -14,8 +14,8 @@ export const getBasePath = () => {
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
export const cleanText = (text: string): string => {
|
export const cleanText = (text: string): string => {
|
||||||
// TODO - move to GraphQL:
|
// Note: should no longer be necessary?
|
||||||
// { description(clean: true, truncate: 250) }
|
// Still needed for e.g. /questions/rootclaim-what-caused-the-disappearance-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-370
|
||||||
let textString = !!text ? text : "";
|
let textString = !!text ? text : "";
|
||||||
textString = textString
|
textString = textString
|
||||||
.replaceAll("] (", "](")
|
.replaceAll("] (", "](")
|
||||||
|
|
@ -23,13 +23,12 @@ export const cleanText = (text: string): string => {
|
||||||
.replaceAll("( [", "([")
|
.replaceAll("( [", "([")
|
||||||
.replaceAll(") ,", "),")
|
.replaceAll(") ,", "),")
|
||||||
.replaceAll("==", "") // Denotes a title in markdown
|
.replaceAll("==", "") // Denotes a title in markdown
|
||||||
.replaceAll(/^#+\s+/gm, "")
|
.replaceAll("Background\n", "")
|
||||||
.replaceAll(/^Background\n/gm, "")
|
.replaceAll("Context\n", "")
|
||||||
.replaceAll(/^Context\n/gm, "")
|
|
||||||
.replaceAll("--- \n", "- ")
|
.replaceAll("--- \n", "- ")
|
||||||
.replaceAll(/\[(.*?)\]\(.*?\)/g, "$1");
|
.replaceAll(/\[(.*?)\]\(.*?\)/g, "$1");
|
||||||
textString = textString.slice(0, 1) == "=" ? textString.slice(1) : textString;
|
textString = textString.slice(0, 1) == "=" ? textString.slice(1) : textString;
|
||||||
|
//console.log(textString)
|
||||||
return textString;
|
return textString;
|
||||||
};
|
};
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
|
||||||
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
|
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
|
||||||
platform: "metaforecast",
|
platform: "metaforecast",
|
||||||
platformLabel: "metaforecast",
|
platformLabel: "metaforecast",
|
||||||
description: "Maybe try a broader query, e.g., reduce the number of 'stars' by clicking in 'Advanced options'?",
|
description: "Maybe try a broader query?",
|
||||||
options: [
|
options: [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: "Yes",
|
name: "Yes",
|
||||||
|
|
@ -166,7 +166,7 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
|
||||||
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
|
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
|
||||||
platform: "metaforecast",
|
platform: "metaforecast",
|
||||||
platformLabel: "metaforecast",
|
platformLabel: "metaforecast",
|
||||||
description: "Maybe try a broader query? Maybe try a broader query, e.g., reduce the number of 'stars' by clicking in 'Advanced options'? That said, we could be wrong.",
|
description: "Maybe try a broader query? That said, we could be wrong.",
|
||||||
options: [
|
options: [
|
||||||
{
|
{
|
||||||
name: "Yes",
|
name: "Yes",
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
|
|
@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ export async function uploadToImgur(dataURL: string): Promise<string> {
|
||||||
method: "post",
|
method: "post",
|
||||||
url: "https://api.imgur.com/3/image",
|
url: "https://api.imgur.com/3/image",
|
||||||
headers: {
|
headers: {
|
||||||
Authorization: `Bearer ${process.env.IMGUR_BEARER}`,
|
Authorization: "Bearer 8e9666fb889318515a62208560d4e8393dac26d8",
|
||||||
},
|
},
|
||||||
data: {
|
data: {
|
||||||
type: "base64",
|
type: "base64",
|
||||||
|
|
|
||||||
Loading…
Reference in New Issue
Block a user