New commit; shouldn't produce history
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/* Imports */
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import fs from 'fs'
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import readline from "readline"
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import {astralcodexten} from "./platforms/astralcodexten-fetch.js"
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import {coupcast} from "./platforms/coupcast-fetch.js"
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import {csetforetell} from "./platforms/csetforetell-fetch.js"
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import {elicit} from "./platforms/elicit-fetch.js"
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import {estimize} from "./platforms/estimize-fetch.js"
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@ -16,17 +19,18 @@ import {predictit} from "./platforms/predictit-fetch.js"
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import {omen} from "./platforms/omen-fetch.js"
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import {smarkets} from "./platforms/smarkets-fetch.js"
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import {williamhill} from "./platforms/williamhill-fetch.js"
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import {mergeEverything} from "./utils/mergeEverything.js"
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import {addToHistory} from "./utils/addToHistory.js"
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import {rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData} from "./utils/rebuildNetliftySiteWithNewData.js"
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import {doEverything, tryCatchTryAgain} from "./utils/doEverything.js"
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/* Support functions */
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let functions = [csetforetell, elicit, /* estimize, */ fantasyscotus, foretold, goodjudgment, goodjudgmentopen, hypermind, ladbrokes, metaculus, polymarket, predictit, omen, smarkets, williamhill, mergeEverything, addToHistory, rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData, doEverything]
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let functions = [astralcodexten, coupcast, csetforetell, elicit, /* estimize, */ fantasyscotus, foretold, goodjudgment, goodjudgmentopen, hypermind, ladbrokes, metaculus, polymarket, predictit, omen, smarkets, williamhill, mergeEverything, addToHistory, rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData, doEverything]
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let functionNames = functions.map(fun => fun.name)
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let whattodoMessage = functionNames
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.slice(0,functionNames.length-2)
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.slice(0,functionNames.length-4)
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.map((functionName,i) => `[${i}]: Download predictions from ${functionName}`)
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.join('\n') +
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`\n[${functionNames.length-4}]: Merge jsons them into one big json (and push it to mongodb database)` +
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100
src/platforms/astralcodexten-fetch.js
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100
src/platforms/astralcodexten-fetch.js
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/* Imports */
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import fs from 'fs'
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import axios from "axios"
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import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js"
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import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
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/* Definitions */
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let graphQLendpoint = "https://api.foretold.io/graphql"
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let ScottAlexanderPredictions = ["6eebf79b-4b6f-487b-a6a5-748d82524637"]
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/* Support functions */
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async function fetchAllCommunityQuestions(communityId) {
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let response = await axios({
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url: graphQLendpoint,
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method: 'POST',
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headers: ({ 'Content-Type': 'application/json' }),
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data: JSON.stringify(({
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query: `
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query {
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measurables(
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channelId: "${communityId}",
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states: OPEN,
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first: 500
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){
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total
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edges{
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node{
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id
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name
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valueType
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measurementCount
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previousAggregate{
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value{
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percentage
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}
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}
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}
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}
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}
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}
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`
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})),
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})
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.then(res => res.data)
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.then(res => res.data.measurables.edges)
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//console.log(response)
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return response
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}
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/* Body */
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export async function astralcodexten(){
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let results = []
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for(let community of ScottAlexanderPredictions){
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let questions = await fetchAllCommunityQuestions(community)
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questions = questions.map(question => question.node)
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questions = questions.filter(question => question.previousAggregate) // Questions without any predictions
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questions.forEach(question => {
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let options = []
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if(question.valueType == "PERCENTAGE"){
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let probability = question.previousAggregate.value.percentage
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options = [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": probability/100,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": 1-probability/100,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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]
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}
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let result = {
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"title": question.name.split(". ")[1],
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"url": `https://www.foretold.io/c/${community}/m/${question.id}`,
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"platform": "AstralCodexTen",
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"description": "...by the end of 2021",
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"options": options,
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"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
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"qualityindicators": {
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"numforecasts": (question.measurementCount +1) / 2,
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"stars": calculateStars("AstralCodexTen", ({ }))
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}
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/*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
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tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),
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address: obj.address*/
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}
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// console.log(result)
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results.push(result)
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})
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}
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// let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
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// fs.writeFileSync('./data/foretold-questions.json', string);
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await upsert(results, "astralcodexten-questions")
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// console.log(results)
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console.log("Done")
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}
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// astralcodexten()
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172
src/platforms/coupcast-fetch.js
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172
src/platforms/coupcast-fetch.js
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/* Imports */
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import fs from "fs"
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import axios from "axios"
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import Papa from "papaparse"
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import open from "open"
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import readline from "readline"
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import {calculateStars} from "../utils/stars.js"
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import {upsert} from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
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/* Definitions */
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let coupCastEndpoint = "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/sites/all/themes/stability/stability_sub/data/dashboard_2021_code_02.csv"
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var datenow = new Date();
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var currentmonth = datenow.getMonth() + 1;
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/* Support functions */
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let unique = arr => [...new Set(arr)]
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let sleep = (ms) => new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, ms));
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let sanitizeCountryName = (country_name) => {
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let sanitized_name
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switch(country_name) {
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case "Cen African Rep":
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sanitized_name = "Central African Republic"
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break;
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case "Congo-Brz":
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sanitized_name = "Republic of the Congo"
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break;
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case "Congo/Zaire":
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sanitized_name = "Democratic Republic of the Congo"
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break;
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case "Czech Rep":
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sanitized_name = "Czech Republic"
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break;
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case "Dominican Rep":
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sanitized_name = "Dominican Republic"
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break;
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case "Korea North":
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sanitized_name = "North Korea"
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break;
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case "Korea South":
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sanitized_name = "South Korea"
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break;
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case "UKG":
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sanitized_name = "UK"
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break;
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default:
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sanitized_name = country_name
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}
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return sanitized_name
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}
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async function processArray(countryArray) {
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let results = []
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for (let country of countryArray) {
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let url = `https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast`
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// We don't really want the prediction for all months; one is enough
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// console.log(country.month)
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if(Number(country.month) == currentmonth){
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// Monthly
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country.country_name = sanitizeCountryName(country.country_name)
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let processedPrediction1 = ({
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"title": `Will there be a coup in ${country.country_name} in the next month (as of ${country.month}/${country.year})?`,
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"url": url,
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"platform": "CoupCast",
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"description": `. The current leader of ${country.country_name} is ${country.leader_name}, who has been in power for ${Number(country.leader_years).toFixed(1)} years. ${country.country_name} has a ${(country.regime_type).toLowerCase()} regime type which has lasted for ${country.regime_years} years`,
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": country.month_risk,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": 1 - country.month_risk,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
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"qualityindicators": {
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"stars": calculateStars("Coupcast", ({}))
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},
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"extra": {
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"country_name": country.country_name,
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"regime_type": country.regime_type,
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"month": country.month,
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"year": country.year,
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"leader_name": country.leader_name,
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"month_risk": country.month_risk,
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"annual_risk": country.annual_risk,
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"risk_change_percent": country.risk_change_percent,
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"regime_years": country.regime_years,
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"leader_years": country.leader_years,
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"country_code": country.country_code,
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"country_abb": country.country_abb
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}
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})
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// Yearly
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let processedPrediction2 = ({
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"title": `Will there be a coup in ${country.country_name} in the next year (as of ${country.month}/${country.year})?`,
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"url": url,
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"platform": "CoupCast",
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"description": `. The current leader of ${country.country_name} is ${country.leader_name}, who has been in power for ${Number(country.leader_years).toFixed(1)} years. ${country.country_name} has a ${(country.regime_type).toLowerCase()} regime type which has lasted for ${country.regime_years} years`,
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"options": [
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{
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"name": "Yes",
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"probability": country.annual_risk,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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},
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{
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"name": "No",
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"probability": 1 - country.annual_risk,
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"type": "PROBABILITY"
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}
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],
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"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
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"qualityindicators": {
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"stars": calculateStars("CoupCast", ({}))
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},
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"extra": {
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"country_name": country.country_name,
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"regime_type": country.regime_type,
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"month": country.month,
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"year": country.year,
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"leader_name": country.leader_name,
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"month_risk": country.month_risk,
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"annual_risk": country.annual_risk,
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"risk_change_percent": country.risk_change_percent,
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"regime_years": country.regime_years,
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"leader_years": country.leader_years,
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"country_code": country.country_code,
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"country_abb": country.country_abb
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}
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})
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results.push(processedPrediction1)
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results.push(processedPrediction2)
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}
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}
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// let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
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// fs.writeFileSync('./data/elicit-questions.json', string);
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await upsert(results, "coupcast-questions")
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// console.log(results)
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console.log("Done")
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}
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/* Body */
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let filePath = "./data/coupcast-raw-download.csv" // not used right now.
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export async function coupcast() {
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let csvContent = await axios.get(coupCastEndpoint)
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.then(query => query.data)
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await Papa.parse(csvContent, {
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header: true,
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complete: async (results) => {
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console.log('Downloaded', results.data.length, 'records.');
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/* console.log(
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JSON.stringify(
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unique(results.data.map(country => country.country_name)),
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null,
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4
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)
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)*/
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// console.log(results.data)
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await processArray(results.data)
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}
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});
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await sleep(1000) // needed to wait for Papaparse's callback to be executed.
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}
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// coupcast()
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@ -142,7 +142,7 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie){
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let h4elementSplit = h4element.split('"><span>')
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let url = h4elementSplit[0].split('<a href="')[1]
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//console.log(url)
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let title = h4elementSplit[1].replace('</span></a></h4>', "")
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let title = h4elementSplit[1].replace('</span></a></h4>', "").replace('</span></a></h5>', "")
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await sleep(1000 + Math.random()*1000) // don't be as noticeable
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try{
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let moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie)
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