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Only 2 decimal places for hypermind probabilities

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NunoSempere 2021-02-02 13:25:42 +01:00
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data/hypermind-questions.csv
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@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
"Title","URL","Platform","Binary question?","Percentage","# Forecasts" "Title","URL","Platform","Binary question?","Percentage","# Forecasts"
"In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52252252252252%", "In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52%",
"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.888888888888886%", "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.89%",
"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35%", "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35.00%",
"In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5%", "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5.00%",
"Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
@ -10,9 +10,9 @@
"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%", "In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8.00%",
"In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%", "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8.00%",
"In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.510204081632654%", "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.51%",
"In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
@ -21,12 +21,12 @@
"In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none", "In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
"When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none", "When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.554455445544555%", "Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.55%",
"What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92156862745098%", "Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92%",
"Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59%", "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59.00%",
"Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94%", "Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94.00%",
"In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62%", "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62.00%",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",

1 Title URL Platform Binary question? Percentage # Forecasts
2 In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA Hypermind true 22.52252252252252% 22.52%
3 Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA Hypermind true 63.888888888888886% 63.89%
4 At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA Hypermind true 35% 35.00%
5 In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA Hypermind true 5% 5.00%
6 Who will be elected president of France in 2022? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA Hypermind false none
7 Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA Hypermind false none
8 In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA Hypermind false none
10 At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA Hypermind false none
11 Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
12 In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
13 In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 8% 8.00%
14 In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 8% 8.00%
15 In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 25.510204081632654% 25.51%
16 In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
17 In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
18 In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
21 In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT Hypermind false none
22 Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT Hypermind false none
23 When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV Hypermind false none
24 Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 44.554455445544555% 44.55%
25 What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind false none
26 Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 53.92156862745098% 53.92%
27 Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 59% 59.00%
28 Will the new Bond film "No Time to Die" be released in 2021? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 94% 94.00%
29 In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 62% 62.00%
30 What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html Hypermind false none
31 What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html Hypermind false none
32 What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html Hypermind false none

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data/hypermind-questions.json
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@ -4,28 +4,28 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "22.52252252252252%" "Percentage": "22.52%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?", "Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "63.888888888888886%" "Percentage": "63.89%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?", "Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "35%" "Percentage": "35.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?", "Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "5%" "Percentage": "5.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?", "Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?",
@ -81,21 +81,21 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "8%" "Percentage": "8.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?", "Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "8%" "Percentage": "8.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?", "Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "25.510204081632654%" "Percentage": "25.51%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?", "Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?",
@ -158,7 +158,7 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "44.554455445544555%" "Percentage": "44.55%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?", "Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?",
@ -172,28 +172,28 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "53.92156862745098%" "Percentage": "53.92%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?", "Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "59%" "Percentage": "59.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?", "Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "94%" "Percentage": "94.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?", "Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "62%" "Percentage": "62.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?", "Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?",

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data/merged-questions.csv
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@ -1687,10 +1687,10 @@ how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?","https://www.metaculus.com/qu
"What will be the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential Election for the office of President of the United States, where the winner is the one receiving the most votes from certified electors of the Electoral College, those votes having been officially counted by the United States Congress under VICE PRESIDENT MICHAEL PENCE on January 6, 2021 (per the Electoral Count Act of 1887)?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xdbf41f1f2d28216eb4e76b9ed3856180c2daa479","Omen",true,"99.0000%", "What will be the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential Election for the office of President of the United States, where the winner is the one receiving the most votes from certified electors of the Electoral College, those votes having been officially counted by the United States Congress under VICE PRESIDENT MICHAEL PENCE on January 6, 2021 (per the Electoral Count Act of 1887)?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xdbf41f1f2d28216eb4e76b9ed3856180c2daa479","Omen",true,"99.0000%",
"Will Compound Chain be launched and usable by the end of Q2 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xe018254be84e200bfb9947dc57df8943cb2ac1b2","Omen",true,"40.0000%", "Will Compound Chain be launched and usable by the end of Q2 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xe018254be84e200bfb9947dc57df8943cb2ac1b2","Omen",true,"40.0000%",
"Will UNI governance approve a new liquidity mining program by the end of February, 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xed6940e49cee029c4664d9794c04d5f9e5597632","Omen",true,"10.9519%", "Will UNI governance approve a new liquidity mining program by the end of February, 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xed6940e49cee029c4664d9794c04d5f9e5597632","Omen",true,"10.9519%",
"In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52252252252252%", "In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52%",
"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.888888888888886%", "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.89%",
"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35%", "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35.00%",
"In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5%", "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5.00%",
"Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
@ -1698,9 +1698,9 @@ how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?","https://www.metaculus.com/qu
"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none", "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%", "In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8.00%",
"In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%", "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8.00%",
"In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.510204081632654%", "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.51%",
"In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
"In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none", "In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
@ -1709,12 +1709,12 @@ how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?","https://www.metaculus.com/qu
"In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none", "In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none", "Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
"When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none", "When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.554455445544555%", "Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.55%",
"What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none",
"Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92156862745098%", "Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92%",
"Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59%", "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59.00%",
"Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94%", "Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94.00%",
"In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62%", "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62.00%",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none", "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",

1 Title URL Platform Binary question? Percentage # Forecasts
1687 At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA Hypermind false none
1688 Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
1689 In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
1690 In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 8% 8.00%
1691 In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 8% 8.00%
1692 In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind true 25.510204081632654% 25.51%
1693 In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
1694 In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
1695 In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR Hypermind false none
1696 When will worldwide commercial air traffic rise back above 100,000 flights per day? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT Hypermind false none
1698 In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT Hypermind false none
1699 Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT Hypermind false none
1700 When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV Hypermind false none
1701 Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 44.554455445544555% 44.55%
1702 What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind false none
1703 Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 53.92156862745098% 53.92%
1704 Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 59% 59.00%
1705 Will the new Bond film "No Time to Die" be released in 2021? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 94% 94.00%
1706 In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place? https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO Hypermind true 62% 62.00%
1709 What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html Hypermind false none
1710 As of April 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1711 As of July 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1712 As of October 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1713 When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 3 per million people? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1714 When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 1 per million people? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1715 When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 0.1 per million people? https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19 Hypermind false none
1716
1717
1718
1719
1720

24
data/merged-questions.json
View File

@ -13844,28 +13844,28 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "22.52252252252252%" "Percentage": "22.52%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?", "Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "63.888888888888886%" "Percentage": "63.89%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?", "Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "35%" "Percentage": "35.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?", "Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "5%" "Percentage": "5.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?", "Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?",
@ -13921,21 +13921,21 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "8%" "Percentage": "8.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?", "Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "8%" "Percentage": "8.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?", "Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "25.510204081632654%" "Percentage": "25.51%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?", "Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?",
@ -13998,7 +13998,7 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "44.554455445544555%" "Percentage": "44.55%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?", "Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?",
@ -14012,28 +14012,28 @@
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "53.92156862745098%" "Percentage": "53.92%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?", "Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "59%" "Percentage": "59.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?", "Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "94%" "Percentage": "94.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?", "Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?",
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO", "URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
"Platform": "Hypermind", "Platform": "Hypermind",
"Binary question?": true, "Binary question?": true,
"Percentage": "62%" "Percentage": "62.00%"
}, },
{ {
"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?", "Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?",

2
src/hypermind-fetch.js
View File

@ -96,7 +96,7 @@ export async function hypermind(){
URL: "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list="+slug, URL: "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list="+slug,
Platform: "Hypermind", Platform: "Hypermind",
"Binary question?" : (res.otcms.length==2), "Binary question?" : (res.otcms.length==2),
"Percentage": (res.otcms.length==2)?res.otcms[0].price +"%": "none" "Percentage": (res.otcms.length==2) ? Number(res.otcms[0].price).toFixed(2) +"%" : "none"
})) }))
results1.push(...objs) results1.push(...objs)
} }