Added timestamp + quality indicators

This commit is contained in:
NunoSempere 2021-04-07 22:29:21 +02:00
parent 01788da517
commit c83f2a747f
32 changed files with 77571 additions and 17707 deletions

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@ -16,7 +16,9 @@
} }
], ],
"description": "", "description": "",
"stars": 1 "qualityindicators": {
"stars": 1
}
}, },
{ {
"title": "Will Joe Biden be the US President at the end of 2021?", "title": "Will Joe Biden be the US President at the end of 2021?",
@ -35,6 +37,8 @@
} }
], ],
"description": "", "description": "",
"stars": 1 "qualityindicators": {
"stars": 1
}
} }
] ]

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@ -105,9 +105,12 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie){
let result = { let result = {
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": options, "options": options,
"numforecasts": numforecasts, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"numforecasters": numforecasters, "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("CSET-foretell", {numforecasts}) "numforecasts": numforecasts,
"numforecasters": numforecasters,
"stars": calculateStars("CSET-foretell", {numforecasts})
}
} }
return result return result

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@ -70,9 +70,12 @@ function processArray(arrayQuestions) {
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
} }
], ],
"numforecasts": numforecasts, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"numforecasters": numforecasters, "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Elicit", ({})) "numforecasts": numforecasts,
"numforecasters": numforecasters,
"stars": calculateStars("Elicit", ({}))
}
}) })
results.push(standardObj) results.push(standardObj)
} }

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@ -17,7 +17,12 @@ export function estimize(){
"platform": "Estimize", "platform": "Estimize",
"description": `A link to Estimize's forecasts for *${companyName}* (sticker symbol ${companyStickerSymbol}). Viewing them requires making a prediction, Wall Street estimates are provided for free`, "description": `A link to Estimize's forecasts for *${companyName}* (sticker symbol ${companyStickerSymbol}). Viewing them requires making a prediction, Wall Street estimates are provided for free`,
"options": [], "options": [],
"stars": 2//calculateStars("Estimize", ({})), "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"numforecasts": numforecasts,
"numforecasters": numforecasters,
"stars": calculateStars("Estimize", ({})),
}
}) })
results.push(standardObj) results.push(standardObj)
} }

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@ -84,8 +84,11 @@ async function processData(data) {
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
} }
], ],
"numforecasts": predictionData.numForecasts, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"stars": calculateStars("FantasySCOTUS", ({})) "qualityindicators": {
"numforecasts": predictionData.numForecasts,
"stars": calculateStars("FantasySCOTUS", ({}))
}
}) })
console.log(eventObject) console.log(eventObject)
results.push(eventObject) results.push(eventObject)

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@ -77,8 +77,11 @@ export async function foretold(){
"platform": "Foretold", "platform": "Foretold",
"description": "", "description": "",
"options": options, "options": options,
"numforecasts": question.measurementCount / 2, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"stars": calculateStars("Foretold", ({ })) "qualityindicators": {
"numforecasts": question.measurementCount / 2,
"stars": calculateStars("Foretold", ({ }))
}
/*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2), /*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2), tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),
address: obj.address*/ address: obj.address*/

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@ -45,7 +45,10 @@ async function main() {
"url": url, "url": url,
"platform": "GiveWell", "platform": "GiveWell",
"description": description, "description": description,
"stars": calculateStars("GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy", ({})), "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy", ({})),
}
} // Note: This requires some processing afterwards } // Note: This requires some processing afterwards
console.log(result) console.log(result)
results.push(result) results.push(result)

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@ -56,7 +56,10 @@ export async function goodjudgment() {
"platform": "Good Judgment", "platform": "Good Judgment",
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": options, "options": options,
"stars": calculateStars("Good Judgment", ({})), "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Good Judgment", ({})),
}
}) })
results.push(standardObj) results.push(standardObj)
} }

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@ -106,14 +106,16 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie) {
// Calculate the stars // Calculate the stars
let minProbability = Math.min(...options.map(option => option.probability)) let minProbability = Math.min(...options.map(option => option.probability))
let maxProbability = Math.max(...options.map(option => option.probability)) let maxProbability = Math.max(...options.map(option => option.probability))
let stars = calculateStars("Good Judgment Open", ({ numforecasts, minProbability, maxProbability }))
let result = { let result = {
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": options, "options": options,
"numforecasts": numforecasts, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"numforecasters": numforecasters, "qualityindicators": {
"stars": stars, "numforecasts": numforecasts,
"numforecasters": numforecasters,
"stars": calculateStars("Good Judgment Open", ({ numforecasts, minProbability, maxProbability }))
}
} }
return result return result
} }

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@ -138,11 +138,13 @@ export async function hypermind() {
"title": res.props.title.split("%%fr")[0].replace("%%en:", ""), "title": res.props.title.split("%%fr")[0].replace("%%en:", ""),
"url": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=" + slug, "url": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=" + slug,
"platform": "Hypermind", "platform": "Hypermind",
"options": options,
"description": description, "description": description,
"stars": calculateStars("Hypermind", ({})), "options": options,
"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Hypermind", ({})),
}
}) })
}) })
results1.push(...objs) results1.push(...objs)
} }
@ -163,8 +165,9 @@ export async function hypermind() {
"platform": "Hypermind", "platform": "Hypermind",
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": [], "options": [],
"Percentage": "none", "qualityindicators": {
"stars": 3 "stars": calculateStars("Hypermind", ({})),
}
}) })
}) })
@ -184,7 +187,9 @@ export async function hypermind() {
"platform": "Hypermind", "platform": "Hypermind",
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": [], "options": [],
"stars": 3 "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Hypermind", ({})),
}
}) })
}) })
@ -200,7 +205,9 @@ export async function hypermind() {
"platform": "Hypermind", "platform": "Hypermind",
"description": description, "description": description,
"options": [], "options": [],
"stars": 3 "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Hypermind", ({})),
}
}) })
}) })

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@ -54,22 +54,31 @@ let coverttocsvandmerge = async () => {
let mergedprocessed = merged.map(element => ({...element, optionsstringforsearch: element.options.map(option => option.name).join(", ")})) let mergedprocessed = merged.map(element => ({...element, optionsstringforsearch: element.options.map(option => option.name).join(", ")}))
writefile(JSON.stringify(mergedprocessed, null, 2), "metaforecasts", "", ".json") writefile(JSON.stringify(mergedprocessed, null, 2), "metaforecasts", "", ".json")
/* Transform into a csv
let preparedforcsv = [] let preparedforcsv = []
mergedprocessed.forEach(element => { mergedprocessed.forEach(element => {
preparedforcsv.push({ preparedforcsv.push({
"title": element.title, "title": element.title,
"description": element.description, "description": element.description?element.description.replaceAll("\n", " "):"",
"optionsstringforsearch": element.optionsstringforsearch "optionsstringforsearch": element.optionsstringforsearch
}) })
} ) } )
//console.log(preparedforcsv) //console.log(preparedforcsv)
let mergedcsv = csvfromjson(preparedforcsv) let mergedcsv = csvfromjson(preparedforcsv)
writefile(mergedcsv, "metaforecasts", "") writefile(mergedcsv, "metaforecasts", "")
*/
console.log("Done") console.log("Done")
} }
let addtohistory = () => {
let currentJSON = fs.readFileSync(locationData + "metaforecasts.json")
let historyJSON = fs.readFileSync(locationData + "metaforecasts_history_bootstrap.json")
}
async function whattodo(message,callback){ async function whattodo(message,callback){
const rl = readline.createInterface({ const rl = readline.createInterface({
input: process.stdin, input: process.stdin,

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@ -56,7 +56,6 @@ let processResults = async (json) => {
"name":name, "name":name,
"probability": probability, "probability": probability,
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
}) })
return option return option
}) })
@ -76,8 +75,12 @@ let processResults = async (json) => {
"title": title, "title": title,
"url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights", "url": "https://sports.ladbrokes.com/sport/politics/outrights",
"platform": "Ladbrokes", "platform": "Ladbrokes",
"description": "",
"options": options, "options": options,
"stars": calculateStars("Ladbrokes", ({})) "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Ladbrokes", ({}))
}
}) })
results.push(obj) results.push(obj)
} }
@ -109,12 +112,14 @@ let processResults = async (json) => {
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
} }
], ],
"stars": calculateStars("Ladbrokes", ({})) "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Ladbrokes", ({}))
}
}) })
results.push(obj) results.push(obj)
}) })
} }
return results return results
} }
/* Body */ /* Body */

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@ -104,16 +104,18 @@ export async function metaculus() {
"title": result.title, "title": result.title,
"url": "https://www.metaculus.com" + result.page_url, "url": "https://www.metaculus.com" + result.page_url,
"platform": "Metaculus", "platform": "Metaculus",
"options": options,
"description": description, "description": description,
"numforecasts": result.number_of_predictions, "options": options,
"stars": calculateStars("Metaculus", ({ numforecasts: result.number_of_predictions })), "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"resolution_data": { "qualityindicators": {
"publish_time": result.publish_time, "numforecasts": result.number_of_predictions,
"resolution": result.resolution, "resolution_data": {
"close_time": result.close_time, "publish_time": result.publish_time,
"resolve_time": result.resolve_time "resolution": result.resolution,
"close_time": result.close_time,
"resolve_time": result.resolve_time
},
"stars": calculateStars("Metaculus", ({ numforecasts: result.number_of_predictions }))
} }
//"status": result.status, //"status": result.status,
//"publish_time": result.publish_time, //"publish_time": result.publish_time,

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@ -27,11 +27,14 @@ for(let datum of data){
"probability": 1-Math.round(probability*100)/100, "probability": 1-Math.round(probability*100)/100,
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
} }
], ],
"stars": datum["Stars"] "timestamp": "2021-02-23T152137.005Z",//new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": datum["Stars"]
}
}) })
results.push(result) results.push(result)
} }
let string = JSON.stringify(results,null, 2) let string = JSON.stringify(results,null, 2)
fs.writeFileSync("../data/givewellopenphil-questions.json", string) fs.writeFileSync("../data/givewellopenphil-questions-new.json", string)

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@ -33,10 +33,13 @@ ${datum["description"]}` : datum["description"]
"type": "PROBABILITY" "type": "PROBABILITY"
} }
], ],
"stars": 2 "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": 2//datum["stars"]
}
}) })
results.push(result) results.push(result)
} }
let string = JSON.stringify(results,null, 2) let string = JSON.stringify(results,null, 2)
fs.writeFileSync("/home/nuno/Documents/core/software/fresh/js/metaforecasts/metaforecasts-current/data/xrisk-questions.json", string) fs.writeFileSync("/home/nuno/Documents/core/software/fresh/js/metaforecasts/metaforecasts-current/data/xrisk-questions-new.json", string)

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@ -69,9 +69,12 @@ async function fetch_all() {
"title": data.question.title, "title": data.question.title,
"url": "https://omen.eth.link/#/" + data.id, "url": "https://omen.eth.link/#/" + data.id,
"platform": "Omen", "platform": "Omen",
"options": options,
"description": "", "description": "",
"stars": calculateStars("Omen", ({})) "options": options,
"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Omen", ({}))
}
} }
console.log(obj) console.log(obj)
results.push(obj) results.push(obj)

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@ -107,11 +107,16 @@ async function fetch_all() {
"platform": "PolyMarket", "platform": "PolyMarket",
"description": obj.description, "description": obj.description,
"options": options, "options": options,
"numforecasts": Number(data.tradesQuantity).toFixed(0), "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"stars": calculateStars("Polymarket", ({ liquidity, option: options[0] })) "qualityindicators": {
/*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2), "numforecasts": Number(data.tradesQuantity).toFixed(0),
tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2), "liquidity": liquidity.toFixed(2),
address: obj.address*/ "tradevolume": tradevolume.toFixed(2),
"stars": calculateStars("Polymarket", ({ liquidity, option: options[0] }))
}
/*
address: obj.address
*/
} }
} }
} }

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@ -75,9 +75,13 @@ export async function predictit() {
"title": market["name"], "title": market["name"],
"url": market.url, "url": market.url,
"platform": "PredictIt", "platform": "PredictIt",
"options": options,
"description": description, "description": description,
"stars": calculateStars("PredictIt", ({})) "options": options,
"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("PredictIt", ({}))
}
}) })
console.log(obj) console.log(obj)
result.push(obj) result.push(obj)

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@ -137,9 +137,13 @@ export async function smarkets() {
"title": name, "title": name,
"url": "https://smarkets.com/event/" + market.event_id + market.slug, "url": "https://smarkets.com/event/" + market.event_id + market.slug,
"platform": "Smarkets", "platform": "Smarkets",
"options": options,
"description": market.description, "description": market.description,
"stars": calculateStars("Smarkets", ({})) "options": options,
"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("Smarkets", ({}))
}
} }
//console.log(result) //console.log(result)
results.push(result) results.push(result)

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@ -46,6 +46,8 @@ let processResults = (html) => {
"title": title, "title": title,
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics", "url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill", "platform": "WilliamHill",
"description": "",
"timestamp": new Date().toISOString(),
"options": [ "options": [
{ {
"name": "Yes", "name": "Yes",
@ -101,7 +103,9 @@ let processResults = (html) => {
"url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics", "url": "https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/politics",
"platform": "WilliamHill", "platform": "WilliamHill",
"options": options, "options": options,
"stars": calculateStars("WilliamHill", ({})) "qualityindicators": {
"stars": calculateStars("WilliamHill", ({}))
}
}) })
results.push(obj) results.push(obj)
} }