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feat: new db structure; platform labels

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This commit is contained in:
Vyacheslav Matyukhin 2022-04-01 23:24:35 +03:00
parent a1ba23e340
commit 72db637972
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GPG Key ID: 3D2A774C5489F96C
49 changed files with 637 additions and 577 deletions
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9
.gitignore vendored
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@ -26,12 +26,6 @@ npm-debug.log*
yarn-debug.log*
yarn-error.log*
# local env files
.env.local
.env.development.local
.env.test.local
.env.production.local
# vercel
.vercel
@ -41,5 +35,4 @@ package-lock.json ## use yarn.lock instead
# Local Netlify folder
.netlify
/.env
/.env.production
/.env*

49
src/backend/database/pg-wrapper.ts
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@ -1,13 +1,11 @@
import { Pool, PoolClient } from "pg";
import { Forecast, platforms } from "../platforms";
import { Forecast } from "../platforms";
import { hash } from "../utils/hash";
import { measureTime } from "../utils/measureTime";
import { roughSizeOfObject } from "../utils/roughSize";
const platformTableNames = platforms.map((platform) => platform.name);
const forecastTableNames = [...platformTableNames, "combined", "history"];
const forecastTableNames = ["questions", "history"];
const allTableNames = [...forecastTableNames, "dashboards", "frontpage"];
@ -111,28 +109,27 @@ let buildMetaforecastTable = (table: string) => `CREATE TABLE ${table} (
extra json
);`;
async function pgInitializeLatest() {
async function pgInitializeQuestions() {
let YOLO = false;
if (YOLO) {
console.log("Create tables & their indexes");
for (const table of platformTableNames) {
await runPgCommand({
command: dropTable(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
await runPgCommand({
command: buildMetaforecastTable(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
await runPgCommand({
command: createUniqueIndex(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
}
const table = "questions";
await runPgCommand({
command: dropTable(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
await runPgCommand({
command: buildMetaforecastTable(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
await runPgCommand({
command: createUniqueIndex(table),
pool: readWritePool,
});
console.log("");
} else {
console.log(
"pgInitializeLatest: This command is dangerous, set YOLO to true in the code to invoke it"
"pgInitializeQuestions: This command is dangerous, set YOLO to true in the code to invoke it"
);
}
}
@ -234,7 +231,7 @@ async function pgInitializeFrontpage() {
export async function pgInitialize() {
await pgInitializeScaffolding();
await pgInitializeLatest();
await pgInitializeQuestions();
await pgInitializeHistories();
await pgInitializeDashboards();
await pgInitializeFrontpage();
@ -416,11 +413,11 @@ pgInsertIntoDashboard({
export async function pgUpsert({
contents,
tableName,
replace,
replacePlatform,
}: {
contents: Forecast[];
tableName: string;
replace: boolean;
replacePlatform?: string;
}) {
if (!forecastTableNames.includes(tableName)) {
throw Error(
@ -432,8 +429,10 @@ export async function pgUpsert({
const client = await readWritePool.connect();
try {
await client.query("BEGIN");
if (replace) {
client.query(`DELETE FROM ${tableName}`);
if (replacePlatform) {
await client.query(`DELETE FROM ${tableName} WHERE platform = $1`, [
replacePlatform,
]);
}
console.log(
`Upserting ${contents.length} rows into postgres table ${tableName}.`

3
src/backend/flow/history/updateHistory.ts
View File

@ -1,10 +1,9 @@
import { pgReadWithReadCredentials, pgUpsert } from "../../database/pg-wrapper";
export async function updateHistory() {
let latest = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
let latest = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
await pgUpsert({
contents: latest,
tableName: "history",
replace: false,
});
}

8
src/backend/flow/jobs.ts
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@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
import { pgInitialize } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
import { doEverything } from "../flow/doEverything";
import { updateHistory } from "../flow/history/updateHistory";
import { mergeEverything } from "../flow/mergeEverything";
import { rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData } from "../flow/rebuildNetliftySiteWithNewData";
import { rebuildFrontpage } from "../frontpage";
import { platforms, processPlatform } from "../platforms";
@ -20,13 +19,6 @@ export const jobs: Job[] = [
message: `Download predictions from ${platform.name}`,
run: () => processPlatform(platform),
})),
{
name: "merge",
message:
"Merge tables into one big table (and push the result to a pg database)",
run: mergeEverything,
separate: true,
},
{
name: "algolia",
message: 'Rebuild algolia database ("index")',

28
src/backend/flow/mergeEverything.ts
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@ -1,28 +0,0 @@
import { pgRead, pgUpsert } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
import { platforms } from "../platforms";
/* Merge everything */
export async function mergeEverythingInner() {
let merged = [];
for (let platform of platforms) {
const platformName = platform.name;
let json = await pgRead({ tableName: platformName });
console.log(`${platformName} has ${json.length} questions\n`);
merged = merged.concat(json);
}
let mergedprocessed = merged.map((element) => ({
...element,
optionsstringforsearch: element.options
.map((option) => option.name)
.join(", "),
}));
console.log(`In total, there are ${mergedprocessed.length} questions`);
return mergedprocessed;
}
export async function mergeEverything() {
let merged = await mergeEverythingInner();
await pgUpsert({ contents: merged, tableName: "combined", replace: true });
console.log("Done");
}

25
src/backend/frontpage.ts
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@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
import { pgRead, readWritePool } from "./database/pg-wrapper";
import { Forecast } from "./platforms";
export async function getFrontpageRaw() {
export async function getFrontpage(): Promise<Forecast[]> {
const client = await readWritePool.connect();
const res = await client.query(
"SELECT frontpage_sliced FROM frontpage ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 1"
@ -10,7 +11,7 @@ export async function getFrontpageRaw() {
return res.rows[0].frontpage_sliced;
}
export async function getFrontpageFullRaw() {
export async function getFrontpageFull(): Promise<Forecast[]> {
const client = await readWritePool.connect();
const res = await client.query(
"SELECT frontpage_full FROM frontpage ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 1"
@ -20,31 +21,15 @@ export async function getFrontpageFullRaw() {
return res.rows[0].frontpage_full;
}
export async function getFrontpage() {
let frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse = [];
try {
let data = await getFrontpageRaw();
frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse = data.map((result) => ({
item: result,
score: 0,
}));
return frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse;
} catch (error) {
console.log(error);
} finally {
return frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse;
}
}
export async function rebuildFrontpage() {
const frontpageFull = await pgRead({
tableName: "combined",
tableName: "questions",
});
const client = await readWritePool.connect();
const frontpageSliced = (
await client.query(`
SELECT * FROM combined
SELECT * FROM questions
WHERE
(qualityindicators->>'stars')::int >= 3
AND description != ''

2
src/backend/manual/manualDownload.ts
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@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ import fs from "fs";
import { pgReadWithReadCredentials } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
let main = async () => {
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
let string = JSON.stringify(json, null, 2);
let filename = "metaforecasts.json";
fs.writeFileSync(filename, string);

64
src/backend/manual/noSchemaMigrate.ts
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@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
import "dotenv/config";
import { readWritePool } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
import { platforms } from "../platforms";
const migrate = async () => {
const client = await readWritePool.connect();
@ -11,6 +10,25 @@ const migrate = async () => {
await client.query(q);
};
const platformTitleToName = {
Betfair: "betfair",
FantasySCOTUS: "fantasyscotus",
Foretold: "foretold",
"GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy": "givewellopenphil",
"Good Judgment": "goodjudgement",
"Good Judgment Open": "goodjudgmentopen",
Infer: "infer",
Kalshi: "kalshi",
"Manifold Markets": "manifold",
Metaculus: "metaculus",
"Peter Wildeford": "wildeford",
PolyMarket: "polymarket",
PredictIt: "predictit",
Rootclaim: "rootclaim",
Smarkets: "smarkets",
"X-risk estimates": "xrisk",
};
try {
await client.query("BEGIN");
const copyTable = async (from: string, to: string) => {
@ -19,13 +37,49 @@ const migrate = async () => {
await execQuery(`INSERT INTO ${to} SELECT * FROM ${from}`);
};
for (const platform of platforms) {
await copyTable(`latest.${platform.name}`, platform.name);
}
await copyTable("latest.dashboards", "dashboards");
await copyTable("latest.combined", "combined");
await copyTable("latest.combined", "questions");
await copyTable("latest.frontpage", "frontpage");
await copyTable("history.h2022", "history");
for (const [title, name] of Object.entries(platformTitleToName)) {
console.log(`Updating ${title} -> ${name}`);
for (const table of ["questions", "history"]) {
await client.query(
`UPDATE ${table} SET platform=$1 WHERE platform=$2`,
[name, title]
);
}
}
console.log("Fixing GJOpen ids in questions and history");
for (const table of ["questions", "history"]) {
await client.query(
`UPDATE ${table} SET id=REPLACE(id, 'goodjudmentopen-', 'goodjudgmentopen-') WHERE id LIKE 'goodjudmentopen-%'`
);
}
const fixId = (id: string) =>
id.replace("goodjudmentopen-", "goodjudgmentopen-");
console.log(
"Please rebuild frontpage manually - current version includes invalid GJOpen and xrisk ids"
);
const updateDashboards = async () => {
const res = await client.query("SELECT id, contents FROM dashboards");
for (const row of res.rows) {
let { id, contents } = row;
contents = contents.map(fixId);
await client.query(
"UPDATE dashboards SET contents = $1 WHERE id = $2",
[JSON.stringify(contents), id]
);
}
};
console.log("Updating dashboards");
await updateDashboards();
await client.query("COMMIT");
} catch (e) {
await client.query("ROLLBACK");

12
src/backend/platforms/betfair.ts
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@ -5,6 +5,8 @@ import https from "https";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
const platformName = "betfair";
/* Definitions */
let endpoint = process.env.SECRET_BETFAIR_ENDPOINT;
@ -121,12 +123,14 @@ async function processPredictions(data) {
id: id,
title: title,
url: `https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/${prediction.marketId}`,
platform: "Betfair",
platform: platformName,
description: description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Betfair", { volume: prediction.totalMatched }),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
volume: prediction.totalMatched,
}),
volume: prediction.totalMatched,
},
};
@ -136,7 +140,9 @@ async function processPredictions(data) {
}
export const betfair: Platform = {
name: "betfair",
name: platformName,
label: "Betfair",
color: "#3d674a",
async fetcher() {
const data = await fetchPredictions();
const results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

4
src/backend/platforms/example-fetch.ts
View File

@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ async function fetchData() {
async function processPredictions(predictions) {
let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
let id = `platform-${prediction.id}`;
let id = `example-${prediction.id}`;
let probability = prediction.probability;
let options = [
{
@ -61,6 +61,8 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
export const example: Platform = {
name: "example",
label: "Example platform",
color: "#ff0000",
async fetcher() {
let data = await fetchData();
let results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

18
src/backend/platforms/fantasyscotus.ts
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@ -2,7 +2,9 @@
import axios from "axios";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
const platformName = "fantasyscotus";
/* Definitions */
let unixtime = new Date().getTime();
@ -65,19 +67,19 @@ async function processData(data) {
let historicalPercentageCorrect = data.stats.pcnt_correct;
let historicalProbabilityCorrect =
Number(historicalPercentageCorrect.replace("%", "")) / 100;
let results = [];
let results: Forecast[] = [];
for (let event of events) {
if (event.accuracy == "") {
let id = `fantasyscotus-${event.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${event.id}`;
// if the thing hasn't already resolved
let predictionData = await getPredictionsData(event.docket_url);
let pAffirm = predictionData.proportionAffirm;
//let trackRecord = event.prediction.includes("Affirm") ? historicalProbabilityCorrect : 1-historicalProbabilityCorrect
let eventObject = {
let eventObject: Forecast = {
id: id,
title: `In ${event.short_name}, the SCOTUS will affirm the lower court's decision`,
url: `https://fantasyscotus.net/user-predictions${event.docket_url}`,
platform: "FantasySCOTUS",
platform: platformName,
description: `${(pAffirm * 100).toFixed(2)}% (${
predictionData.numAffirm
} out of ${
@ -100,7 +102,7 @@ async function processData(data) {
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
numforecasts: Number(predictionData.numForecasts),
stars: calculateStars("FantasySCOTUS", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
};
results.push(eventObject);
@ -112,7 +114,9 @@ async function processData(data) {
/* Body */
export const fantasyscotus: Platform = {
name: "fantasyscotus",
name: platformName,
label: "FantasySCOTUS",
color: "#231149",
async fetcher() {
let rawData = await fetchData();
let results = await processData(rawData);

13
src/backend/platforms/foretold.ts
View File

@ -5,6 +5,9 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "foretold";
let graphQLendpoint = "https://api.foretold.io/graphql";
let highQualityCommunities = [
"0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21",
@ -54,7 +57,9 @@ async function fetchAllCommunityQuestions(communityId) {
}
export const foretold: Platform = {
name: "foretold",
name: platformName,
label: "Foretold",
color: "#62520b",
async fetcher() {
let results = [];
for (let community of highQualityCommunities) {
@ -62,7 +67,7 @@ export const foretold: Platform = {
questions = questions.map((question) => question.node);
questions = questions.filter((question) => question.previousAggregate); // Questions without any predictions
questions.forEach((question) => {
let id = `foretold-${question.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${question.id}`;
let options = [];
if (question.valueType == "PERCENTAGE") {
let probability = question.previousAggregate.value.percentage;
@ -83,13 +88,13 @@ export const foretold: Platform = {
id: id,
title: question.name,
url: `https://www.foretold.io/c/${community}/m/${question.id}`,
platform: "Foretold",
platform: platformName,
description: "",
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
numforecasts: Math.floor(Number(question.measurementCount) / 2),
stars: calculateStars("Foretold", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
/*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),

10
src/backend/platforms/givewellopenphil.ts
View File

@ -5,6 +5,8 @@ import fs from "fs";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
const platformName = "givewellopenphil";
/* Support functions */
async function fetchPage(url: string) {
let response = await axios({
@ -48,11 +50,11 @@ async function main1() {
let result = {
title: title,
url: url,
platform: "GiveWell",
platform: platformName,
description: description,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
}; // Note: This requires some processing afterwards
// console.log(result)
@ -65,7 +67,9 @@ async function main1() {
}
export const givewellopenphil: Platform = {
name: "givewellopenphil",
name: platformName,
label: "GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy",
color: "#32407e",
async fetcher() {
// main1()
return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time

11
src/backend/platforms/goodjudgment.ts
View File

@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "goodjudgment";
let endpoint = "https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/";
String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
return this.split(search).join(replace);
@ -15,7 +16,9 @@ String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
/* Body */
export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
name: "goodjudgment",
name: platformName,
label: "Good Judgment",
color: "#7d4f1b",
async fetcher() {
// Proxy fuckery
let proxy;
@ -64,7 +67,7 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
let title = table[0]["0"].split("\t\t\t").splice(3)[0];
if (title != undefined) {
title = title.replaceAll("</a>", "");
let id = `goodjudgment-${hash(title)}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${hash(title)}`;
let description = table
.filter((row) => row["0"].includes("BACKGROUND:"))
.map((row) => row["0"])
@ -101,12 +104,12 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
id: id,
title: title,
url: endpoint,
platform: "Good Judgment",
platform: platformName,
description: description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Good Judgment", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
extra: {
superforecastercommentary: analysis || "",

12
src/backend/platforms/goodjudmentopen.ts → src/backend/platforms/goodjudgmentopen.ts
View File

@ -8,6 +8,8 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "goodjudgmentopen";
let htmlEndPoint = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions?page=";
let annoyingPromptUrls = [
"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1933-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen",
@ -185,12 +187,12 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie) {
}
let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
let questionNum = url.match(questionNumRegex)[1]; //.split("questions/")[1].split("-")[0];
let id = `goodjudmentopen-${questionNum}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${questionNum}`;
let question = {
id: id,
title: title,
url: url,
platform: "Good Judgment Open",
platform: platformName,
...moreinfo,
};
if (j % 30 == 0 || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
@ -236,8 +238,10 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie) {
return results;
}
export const goodjudmentopen: Platform = {
name: "goodjudmentopen", // note the typo! current table name is without `g`, `goodjudmentopen`
export const goodjudgmentopen: Platform = {
name: platformName,
label: "Good Judgment Open",
color: "#002455",
async fetcher() {
let cookie = process.env.GOODJUDGMENTOPENCOOKIE;
return await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, goodjudgmentopen_inner);

16
src/backend/platforms/index.ts
View File

@ -4,10 +4,10 @@ import { fantasyscotus } from "./fantasyscotus";
import { foretold } from "./foretold";
import { givewellopenphil } from "./givewellopenphil";
import { goodjudgment } from "./goodjudgment";
import { goodjudmentopen } from "./goodjudmentopen";
import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
import { infer } from "./infer";
import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
import { manifoldmarkets } from "./manifoldmarkets";
import { manifold } from "./manifold";
import { metaculus } from "./metaculus";
import { polymarket } from "./polymarket";
import { predictit } from "./predictit";
@ -67,7 +67,9 @@ export interface Forecast {
export type PlatformFetcher = () => Promise<Forecast[] | null>;
export interface Platform {
name: string;
name: string; // short name for ids and `platform` db column, e.g. "xrisk"
label: string; // longer name for displaying on frontend etc., e.g. "X-risk estimates"
color: string; // used on frontend
fetcher?: PlatformFetcher;
}
@ -92,10 +94,10 @@ export const platforms: Platform[] = [
foretold,
givewellopenphil,
goodjudgment,
goodjudmentopen,
goodjudgmentopen,
infer,
kalshi,
manifoldmarkets,
manifold,
metaculus,
polymarket,
predictit,
@ -114,8 +116,8 @@ export const processPlatform = async (platform: Platform) => {
if (results && results.length) {
await pgUpsert({
contents: results,
tableName: platform.name,
replace: true,
tableName: "questions",
replacePlatform: platform.name,
});
console.log("Done");
} else {

9
src/backend/platforms/infer.ts
View File

@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "infer";
let htmlEndPoint = "https://www.infer-pub.com/questions";
String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
return this.split(search).join(replace);
@ -145,7 +146,7 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie) {
qualityindicators: {
numforecasts: Number(numforecasts),
numforecasters: Number(numforecasters),
stars: calculateStars("Infer", { numforecasts }),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, { numforecasts }),
},
};
@ -218,7 +219,7 @@ async function infer_inner(cookie) {
let moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
let questionNum = url.match(questionNumRegex)[1]; //.split("questions/")[1].split("-")[0];
let id = `infer-${questionNum}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${questionNum}`;
let question = {
id: id,
title: title,
@ -278,7 +279,9 @@ async function infer_inner(cookie) {
}
export const infer: Platform = {
name: "infer",
name: platformName,
label: "Infer",
color: "#223900",
async fetcher() {
let cookie = process.env.INFER_COOKIE;
return await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, infer_inner);

11
src/backend/platforms/kalshi.ts
View File

@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "kalshi";
let jsonEndpoint = "https://trading-api.kalshi.com/v1/cached/markets/"; //"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
async function fetchAllMarkets() {
@ -34,17 +35,17 @@ async function processMarkets(markets) {
type: "PROBABILITY",
},
];
let id = `kalshi-${market.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
let result = {
id: id,
title: market.title.replaceAll("*", ""),
url: `https://kalshi.com/markets/${market.ticker_name}`,
platform: "Kalshi",
platform: platformName,
description: `${market.settle_details}. The resolution source is: ${market.ranged_group_name} (${market.settle_source_url})`,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Kalshi", {
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
shares_volume: market.volume,
interest: market.open_interest,
}),
@ -70,7 +71,9 @@ async function processMarkets(markets) {
}
export const kalshi: Platform = {
name: "kalshi",
name: platformName,
label: "Kalshi",
color: "#615691",
fetcher: async function () {
let markets = await fetchAllMarkets();
return await processMarkets(markets);

11
src/backend/platforms/manifoldmarkets.ts → src/backend/platforms/manifold.ts
View File

@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "manifold";
let endpoint = "https://manifold.markets/api/v0/markets";
// See https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Markets-API-5e7d0aef4dcf452bb04b319e178fabc5
@ -44,7 +45,7 @@ function showStatistics(results) {
async function processPredictions(predictions) {
let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
let id = `manifold-${prediction.id}`;
let id = `manifold-${prediction.id}`; // oops, doesn't match platform name
let probability = prediction.probability;
let options = [
{
@ -67,7 +68,7 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Manifold Markets", {
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days,
volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
pool: prediction.pool,
@ -88,8 +89,10 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
return unresolvedResults; //resultsProcessed
}
export const manifoldmarkets: Platform = {
name: "manifoldmarkets",
export const manifold: Platform = {
name: platformName,
label: "Manifold Markets",
color: "#793466",
async fetcher() {
let data = await fetchData();
let results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

11
src/backend/platforms/metaculus.ts
View File

@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "metaculus";
let jsonEndPoint = "https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?page=";
let now = new Date().toISOString();
let DEBUG_MODE = "off";
@ -94,7 +95,9 @@ async function fetchMetaculusQuestionDescription(slug) {
}
export const metaculus: Platform = {
name: "metaculus",
name: platformName,
label: "Metaculus",
color: "#006669",
async fetcher() {
// let metaculusQuestionsInit = await fetchMetaculusQuestions(1)
// let numQueries = Math.round(Number(metaculusQuestionsInit.count) / 20)
@ -144,18 +147,18 @@ export const metaculus: Platform = {
},
];
}
let id = `metaculus-${result.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${result.id}`;
let interestingInfo = {
id: id,
title: result.title,
url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + result.page_url,
platform: "Metaculus",
platform: platformName,
description: description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
numforecasts: Number(result.number_of_predictions),
stars: calculateStars("Metaculus", {
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
numforecasts: result.number_of_predictions,
}),
},

11
src/backend/platforms/polymarket.ts
View File

@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "polymarket";
let graphQLendpoint =
"https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/polymarket/matic-markets-5"; // "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/polymarket/matic-markets-4"// "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/tokenunion/polymarket-matic"//"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
let units = 10 ** 6;
@ -63,7 +64,9 @@ async function fetchIndividualContractData(marketMakerAddress) {
}
export const polymarket: Platform = {
name: "polymarket",
name: platformName,
label: "PolyMarket",
color: "#00314e",
async fetcher() {
let results: Forecast[] = [];
let webpageEndpointData = await fetchAllContractInfo();
@ -79,7 +82,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
);
if (moreMarketAnswer.length > 0) {
let moreMarketInfo = moreMarketAnswer[0];
let id = `polymarket-${addressLowerCase.slice(0, 10)}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${addressLowerCase.slice(0, 10)}`;
// console.log(id);
let numforecasts = Number(moreMarketInfo.tradesQuantity);
let tradevolume =
@ -103,7 +106,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
id: id,
title: marketInfo.question,
url: "https://polymarket.com/market/" + marketInfo.slug,
platform: "PolyMarket",
platform: platformName,
description: marketInfo.description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
@ -111,7 +114,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
numforecasts: numforecasts.toFixed(0),
liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),
stars: calculateStars("Polymarket", {
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
liquidity,
option: options[0],
volume: tradevolume,

13
src/backend/platforms/predictit.ts
View File

@ -1,10 +1,11 @@
/* Imports */
import axios from "axios";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
import { Platform } from "./";
const platformName = "predictit";
/* Support functions */
async function fetchmarkets() {
let response = await axios({
@ -39,7 +40,9 @@ function sleep(ms: number) {
/* Body */
export const predictit: Platform = {
name: "predictit",
name: platformName,
label: "PredictIt",
color: "#460c00",
async fetcher() {
let markets = await fetchmarkets();
let marketVolumes = await fetchmarketvolumes();
@ -53,7 +56,7 @@ export const predictit: Platform = {
let results = [];
for (let market of markets) {
// console.log(market.name)
let id = `predictit-${market.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
let isbinary = market.contracts.length == 1;
await sleep(3000 * (1 + Math.random()));
let descriptionraw = await fetchmarketrules(market.id);
@ -97,12 +100,12 @@ export const predictit: Platform = {
id: id,
title: market["name"],
url: market.url,
platform: "PredictIt",
platform: platformName,
description: description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("PredictIt", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
shares_volume: shares_volume,
},
};

18
src/backend/platforms/rootclaim.ts
View File

@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
/* Imports */
import axios from "axios";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
import { Platform } from "./";
import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "rootclaim";
let jsonEndpoint =
"https://www.rootclaim.com/main_page_stories?number=100&offset=0"; //"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
@ -24,12 +24,14 @@ async function fetchAllRootclaims() {
}
export const rootclaim: Platform = {
name: "rootclaim",
name: platformName,
label: "Rootclaim",
color: "#0d1624",
async fetcher() {
let claims = await fetchAllRootclaims();
let results = [];
let results: Forecast[] = [];
for (let claim of claims) {
let id = `rootclaim-${claim.slug.toLowerCase()}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${claim.slug.toLowerCase()}`;
let options = [];
for (let scenario of claim.scenarios) {
//console.log(scenario)
@ -42,17 +44,17 @@ export const rootclaim: Platform = {
});
}
let claimUrlPath = claim.created_at < "2020" ? "claims" : "analysis";
let obj = {
let obj: Forecast = {
id: id,
title: toMarkdown(claim.question).replace("\n", ""),
url: `https://www.rootclaim.com/${claimUrlPath}/${claim.slug}`,
platform: "Rootclaim",
platform: platformName,
description: toMarkdown(claim.background).replace("&#39;", "'"),
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
numforecasts: 1,
stars: calculateStars("Rootclaim", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
};
results.push(obj);

13
src/backend/platforms/smarkets.ts
View File

@ -1,13 +1,14 @@
/* Imports */
import axios from "axios";
import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "smarkets";
let htmlEndPointEntrance = "https://api.smarkets.com/v3/events/";
let VERBOSE = false;
let empty = () => 0;
/* Support functions */
async function fetchEvents(url) {
@ -60,7 +61,9 @@ async function fetchPrices(marketid) {
}
export const smarkets: Platform = {
name: "smarkets",
name: platformName,
label: "Smarkets",
color: "#6f5b41",
async fetcher() {
let htmlPath =
"?state=new&state=upcoming&state=live&type_domain=politics&type_scope=single_event&with_new_type=true&sort=id&limit=50";
@ -93,7 +96,7 @@ export const smarkets: Platform = {
for (let market of markets) {
VERBOSE ? console.log("================") : empty();
VERBOSE ? console.log("Market: ", market) : empty();
let id = `smarkets-${market.id}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
let name = market.name;
let contracts = await fetchContracts(market.id);
@ -160,12 +163,12 @@ export const smarkets: Platform = {
id: id,
title: name,
url: "https://smarkets.com/event/" + market.event_id + market.slug,
platform: "Smarkets",
platform: platformName,
description: market.description,
options: options,
timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Smarkets", {}),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
},
};
VERBOSE ? console.log(result) : empty();

11
src/backend/platforms/wildeford.ts
View File

@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
import { Platform } from "./";
/* Definitions */
const platformName = "wildeford";
const SHEET_ID = "1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0"; // spreadsheet key is the long id in the sheets URL
const endpoint = `https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/${SHEET_ID}/edit#gid=0`;
// https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0/edit#gid=0
@ -73,7 +74,7 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
);
let results = currentPredictions.map((prediction) => {
let title = prediction["Prediction"].replace(" [update]", "");
let id = `wildeford-${hash(title)}`;
let id = `${platformName}-${hash(title)}`;
let probability = Number(prediction["Odds"].replace("%", "")) / 100;
let options = [
{
@ -91,14 +92,14 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
id: id,
title: title,
url: prediction["url"],
platform: "Peter Wildeford",
platform: platformName,
description: prediction["Notes"] || "",
options: options,
timestamp: new Date(
Date.parse(prediction["Prediction Date"] + "Z")
).toISOString(),
qualityindicators: {
stars: calculateStars("Peter Wildeford", null),
stars: calculateStars(platformName, null),
},
};
return result;
@ -120,7 +121,9 @@ export async function wildeford_inner(google_api_key) {
}
export const wildeford: Platform = {
name: "wildeford",
name: platformName,
label: "Peter Wildeford",
color: "#984158",
async fetcher() {
const GOOGLE_API_KEY = process.env.GOOGLE_API_KEY; // See: https://developers.google.com/sheets/api/guides/authorizing#APIKey
return await applyIfSecretExists(GOOGLE_API_KEY, wildeford_inner);

14
src/backend/platforms/xrisk.ts
View File

@ -1,15 +1,25 @@
import fs from "fs";
import { hash } from "../utils/hash";
import { Platform } from "./";
const platformName = "xrisk";
export const xrisk: Platform = {
name: "xrisk",
label: "X-risk estimates",
color: "#272600",
async fetcher() {
return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time
// return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time
let fileRaw = fs.readFileSync("./input/xrisk-questions.json", {
encoding: "utf-8",
});
const results = JSON.parse(fileRaw);
let results = JSON.parse(fileRaw);
results = results.map((item) => ({
...item,
id: `${platformName}-${hash(item.title + " | " + item.url)}`, // some titles are non-unique, but title+url pair is always unique
platform: platformName,
}));
return results;
},
};

32
src/backend/utils/algolia.ts
View File

@ -1,34 +1,13 @@
import algoliasearch from "algoliasearch";
import { pgReadWithReadCredentials } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
import { mergeEverythingInner } from "../flow/mergeEverything";
import { platforms } from "../platforms";
let cookie = process.env.ALGOLIA_MASTER_API_KEY;
const algoliaAppId = process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_ALGOLIA_APP_ID;
const client = algoliasearch(algoliaAppId, cookie);
const index = client.initIndex("metaforecast");
export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheHardWay() {
console.log("Doing this the hard way");
let records = await mergeEverythingInner();
records = records.map((record, index: number) => ({
...record,
has_numforecasts: record.numforecasts ? true : false,
objectID: index,
}));
// this is necessary to filter by missing attributes https://www.algolia.com/doc/guides/managing-results/refine-results/filtering/how-to/filter-by-null-or-missing-attributes/
if (index.exists()) {
console.log("Index exists");
index
.replaceAllObjects(records, { safe: true })
.catch((error) => console.log(error));
console.log(
`Pushed ${records.length} records. Algolia will update asynchronously`
);
}
}
let getoptionsstringforsearch = (record: any) => {
let result = "";
if (!!record.options && record.options.length > 0) {
@ -42,11 +21,16 @@ let getoptionsstringforsearch = (record: any) => {
export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay() {
let records: any[] = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({
tableName: "combined",
tableName: "questions",
});
const platformNameToLabel = Object.fromEntries(
platforms.map((platform) => [platform.name, platform.label])
);
records = records.map((record, index: number) => ({
...record,
platformLabel: platformNameToLabel[record.platform] || record.platform,
has_numforecasts: record.numforecasts ? true : false,
objectID: index,
optionsstringforsearch: getoptionsstringforsearch(record),
@ -62,4 +46,4 @@ export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay() {
}
}
export const rebuildAlgoliaDatabase = rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay; //rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheHardWay
export const rebuildAlgoliaDatabase = rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay;

2
src/backend/utils/evaluations/pullForecastsToCSVForRating.ts
View File

@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ let main = async () => {
"PredictIt",
"Rootclaim",
];
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
console.log(json.length);
//let uniquePlatforms = [...new Set(json.map(forecast => forecast.platform))]
//console.log(uniquePlatforms)

2
src/backend/utils/evaluations/pullMetaculusForecastsToCSVForRating.ts
View File

@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ let shuffleArray = (array) => {
let main = async () => {
let highQualityPlatforms = ["Metaculus"]; // ['CSET-foretell', 'Foretold', 'Good Judgment Open', 'Metaculus', 'PredictIt', 'Rootclaim']
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
console.log(json.length);
//let uniquePlatforms = [...new Set(json.map(forecast => forecast.platform))]
//console.log(uniquePlatforms)

2
src/backend/utils/misc/process-forecasts-into-elicit.ts
View File

@ -9,7 +9,7 @@ let locationData = "./data/";
/* Body */
// let rawdata = fs.readFileSync("./data/merged-questions.json") // run from topmost folder, not from src
async function main() {
let data = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" }); //JSON.parse(rawdata)
let data = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" }); //JSON.parse(rawdata)
let processDescription = (description) => {
if (description == null || description == undefined || description == "") {
return "";

94
src/backend/utils/stars.ts
View File

@ -105,7 +105,7 @@ function calculateStarsGiveWellOpenPhil(data) {
return starsInteger;
}
function calculateStarsGoodJudment(data) {
function calculateStarsGoodJudgment(data) {
let nuno = (data) => 4;
let eli = (data) => 4;
let misha = (data) => 3.5;
@ -114,7 +114,7 @@ function calculateStarsGoodJudment(data) {
return starsInteger;
}
function calculateStarsGoodJudmentOpen(data) {
function calculateStarsGoodJudgmentOpen(data) {
let nuno = (data) => (data.numforecasts > 100 ? 3 : 2);
let eli = (data) => 3;
let misha = (data) =>
@ -173,7 +173,7 @@ function calculateStarsLadbrokes(data) {
return starsInteger;
}
function calculateStarsManifoldMarkets(data) {
function calculateStarsManifold(data) {
let nuno = (data) =>
data.volume7Days > 250 || (data.pool > 500 && data.volume7Days > 100)
? 2
@ -268,15 +268,56 @@ function calculateStarsWilliamHill(data) {
return starsInteger;
}
export function calculateStars(platform, data) {
export function calculateStars(platform: string, data) {
let stars = 2;
switch (platform) {
case "betfair":
stars = calculateStarsBetfair(data);
break;
case "infer":
stars = calculateStarsInfer(data);
break;
case "foretold":
stars = calculateStarsForetold(data);
break;
case "givewellopenphil":
stars = calculateStarsGiveWellOpenPhil(data);
break;
case "goodjudgment":
stars = calculateStarsGoodJudgment(data);
break;
case "goodjudgmentopen":
stars = calculateStarsGoodJudgmentOpen(data);
break;
case "kalshi":
stars = calculateStarsKalshi(data);
break;
case "manifold":
stars = calculateStarsManifold(data);
break;
case "metaculus":
stars = calculateStarsMetaculus(data);
break;
case "polymarket":
stars = calculateStarsPolymarket(data);
break;
case "predictit":
stars = calculateStarsPredictIt(data);
break;
case "rootclaim":
stars = calculateStarsRootclaim(data);
break;
case "smarkets":
stars = calculateStarsSmarkets(data);
break;
case "wildeford":
stars = calculateStarsWildeford(data);
break;
// deprecated
case "AstralCodexTen":
stars = calculateStarsAstralCodexTen(data);
break;
case "Betfair":
stars = calculateStarsBetfair(data);
break;
case "CoupCast":
stars = calculateStarsCoupCast(data);
break;
@ -289,54 +330,15 @@ export function calculateStars(platform, data) {
case "Estimize":
stars = calculateStarsEstimize(data);
break;
case "Foretold":
stars = calculateStarsForetold(data);
break;
case "GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy":
stars = calculateStarsGiveWellOpenPhil(data);
break;
case "Good Judgment":
stars = calculateStarsGoodJudment(data);
break;
case "Good Judgment Open":
stars = calculateStarsGoodJudmentOpen(data);
break;
case "Hypermind":
stars = calculateStarsHypermind(data);
break;
case "Infer":
stars = calculateStarsInfer(data);
break;
case "Kalshi":
stars = calculateStarsKalshi(data);
break;
case "Ladbrokes":
stars = calculateStarsLadbrokes(data);
break;
case "Manifold Markets":
stars = calculateStarsManifoldMarkets(data);
break;
case "Metaculus":
stars = calculateStarsMetaculus(data);
break;
case "Omen":
stars = calculateStarsOmen(data);
break;
case "Polymarket":
stars = calculateStarsPolymarket(data);
break;
case "PredictIt":
stars = calculateStarsPredictIt(data);
break;
case "Rootclaim":
stars = calculateStarsRootclaim(data);
break;
case "Smarkets":
stars = calculateStarsSmarkets(data);
break;
case "Peter Wildeford":
stars = calculateStarsWildeford(data);
break;
case "WilliamHill":
stars = calculateStarsWilliamHill(data);
break;

4
src/pages/api/all-forecasts.ts
View File

@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
import { NextApiRequest, NextApiResponse } from "next/types";
import { getFrontpageFullRaw } from "../../backend/frontpage";
import { getFrontpageFull } from "../../backend/frontpage";
export default async function handler(
req: NextApiRequest,
res: NextApiResponse
) {
let frontpageFull = await getFrontpageFullRaw();
let frontpageFull = await getFrontpageFull();
console.log(frontpageFull.map((element) => element.title).slice(0, 5));
console.log("...");
res.status(200).json(frontpageFull);

4
src/pages/api/create-dashboard-from-ids.ts
View File

@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
import crypto from "crypto";
import { NextApiRequest, NextApiResponse } from "next/types";
import { pgInsertIntoDashboard } from "../../backend/database/pg-wrapper";
import { hash } from "../../backend/utils/hash";
export default async function handler(
req: NextApiRequest,
@ -14,8 +14,6 @@ export default async function handler(
let body = req.body;
console.log(body);
const hash = (s: string) =>
crypto.createHash("sha256").update(s).digest("hex").slice(0, 10);
try {
let id = hash(JSON.stringify(body.ids));
let pgResponse = await pgInsertIntoDashboard({

2
src/pages/api/dashboard-by-id.ts
View File

@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ export default async function handler(
console.log(dashboardItem);
let dashboardContents = await pgGetByIds({
ids: dashboardItem.contents,
table: "combined",
table: "questions",
});
res.status(200).send({
dashboardContents,

4
src/pages/api/frontpage.ts
View File

@ -1,12 +1,12 @@
import { NextApiRequest, NextApiResponse } from "next/types";
import { getFrontpageRaw } from "../../backend/frontpage";
import { getFrontpage } from "../../backend/frontpage";
export default async function handler(
req: NextApiRequest,
res: NextApiResponse
) {
let frontpageElements = await getFrontpageRaw();
let frontpageElements = await getFrontpage();
console.log(frontpageElements.map((element) => element.title).slice(0, 5));
console.log("...");
res.status(200).json(frontpageElements);

2
src/pages/api/questions.ts
View File

@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ export default async function handler(
req: NextApiRequest,
res: NextApiResponse
) {
let allQuestions = await pgRead({ tableName: "combined" });
let allQuestions = await pgRead({ tableName: "questions" });
console.log(allQuestions.map((element) => element.title).slice(0, 5));
console.log("...");
res.status(200).json(allQuestions);

10
src/pages/capture.tsx
View File

@ -8,17 +8,11 @@ import CommonDisplay from "../web/search/CommonDisplay";
export { getServerSideProps } from "../web/search/anySearchPage";
const CapturePage: NextPage<Props> = ({
defaultResults,
initialResults,
initialQueryParameters,
}) => {
const CapturePage: NextPage<Props> = (props) => {
return (
<Layout page={"capture"}>
<CommonDisplay
defaultResults={defaultResults}
initialResults={initialResults}
initialQueryParameters={initialQueryParameters}
{...props}
hasSearchbar={true}
hasCapture={true}
hasAdvancedOptions={false}

10
src/pages/index.tsx
View File

@ -8,17 +8,11 @@ import CommonDisplay from "../web/search/CommonDisplay";
export { getServerSideProps } from "../web/search/anySearchPage";
const IndexPage: NextPage<Props> = ({
defaultResults,
initialResults,
initialQueryParameters,
}) => {
const IndexPage: NextPage<Props> = (props) => {
return (
<Layout page={"search"}>
<CommonDisplay
defaultResults={defaultResults}
initialResults={initialResults}
initialQueryParameters={initialQueryParameters}
{...props}
hasSearchbar={true}
hasCapture={false}
hasAdvancedOptions={true}

17
src/pages/secretEmbed.tsx
View File

@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
import React from "react";
import { displayForecast } from "../web/display/displayForecasts";
import { platformsWithLabels } from "../web/platforms";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../web/platforms";
import searchAccordingToQueryData from "../web/worker/searchAccordingToQueryData";
/* Helper functions */
@ -15,18 +15,12 @@ export async function getServerSideProps(context) {
query: "",
starsThreshold: 2,
forecastsThreshold: 0,
forecastingPlatforms: platformsWithLabels, // weird key value format,
...urlQuery,
};
let results;
switch (initialQueryParameters.query != "") {
case true:
results = await searchAccordingToQueryData(initialQueryParameters);
break;
default:
results = [];
break;
let results: FrontendForecast[] = [];
if (initialQueryParameters.query != "") {
results = await searchAccordingToQueryData(initialQueryParameters, 1);
}
return {
@ -49,8 +43,7 @@ export default function Home({ results }) {
<div id="secretEmbed">
{result
? displayForecast({
...result.item,
score: result.score,
...result,
showTimeStamp: true,
expandFooterToFullWidth: true,
})

2
src/web/display/dashboardCreator.tsx
View File

@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ import React, { useState } from "react";
let exampleInput = `{
"title": "Random example",
"description": "Just a random description of a random example",
"ids": [ "metaculus-372", "goodjudmentopen-2244", "metaculus-7550", "kalshi-09d060ee-b184-4167-b86b-d773e56b4162", "wildeford-5d1a04e1a8", "metaculus-2817" ],
"ids": [ "metaculus-372", "goodjudgmentopen-2244", "metaculus-7550", "kalshi-09d060ee-b184-4167-b86b-d773e56b4162", "wildeford-5d1a04e1a8", "metaculus-2817" ],
"creator": "Peter Parker"
}`;

120
src/web/display/displayForecasts.tsx
View File

@ -3,6 +3,8 @@ import React from "react";
import { FaRegClipboard } from "react-icons/fa";
import ReactMarkdown from "react-markdown";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
/* Definitions */
/* Support functions */
@ -350,9 +352,15 @@ let checkIfDisplayTimeStampAtBottom = (qualityIndicators) => {
}
};
let getCurrencySymbolIfNeeded = ({ indicator, platform }) => {
let getCurrencySymbolIfNeeded = ({
indicator,
platform,
}: {
indicator: any;
platform: string;
}) => {
let indicatorsWhichNeedCurrencySymbol = ["Volume", "Interest", "Liquidity"];
let dollarPlatforms = ["PredictIt", "Kalshi", "PolyMarket"];
let dollarPlatforms = ["predictit", "kalshi", "polymarket"];
if (indicatorsWhichNeedCurrencySymbol.includes(indicator)) {
if (dollarPlatforms.includes(platform)) {
return "$";
@ -461,7 +469,13 @@ let showFirstQualityIndicator = ({
}
};
let displayQualityIndicators = ({
const displayQualityIndicators: React.FC<{
numforecasts: number;
timestamp: number;
showTimeStamp: boolean;
qualityindicators: any;
platform: string; // id string - e.g. "goodjudgment", not "Good Judgment"
}> = ({
numforecasts,
timestamp,
showTimeStamp,
@ -504,6 +518,7 @@ let displayQualityIndicators = ({
let forecastFooter = ({
stars,
platform,
platformLabel,
numforecasts,
qualityindicators,
timestamp,
@ -532,7 +547,7 @@ let forecastFooter = ({
expandFooterToFullWidth ? "place-self-center" : "self-center"
} col-span-1 font-bold ${debuggingWithBackground ? "bg-red-100" : ""}`}
>
{platform
{platformLabel
.replace("Good Judgment Open", "GJOpen")
.replace("OpenPhilanthropy", "OpenPhil")
.replace("AstralCodexTen", "ACX")
@ -559,22 +574,30 @@ let forecastFooter = ({
/* Body */
export function displayForecast({
id,
title,
url,
platform,
author,
description,
options,
qualityindicators,
timestamp,
visualization,
score,
interface SingleProps {
forecast: FrontendForecast;
showTimeStamp: boolean;
expandFooterToFullWidth: boolean;
showIdToggle?: boolean;
}
export const displayForecast: React.FC<SingleProps> = ({
forecast: {
id,
title,
url,
platform,
platformLabel,
description,
options,
qualityindicators,
timestamp,
visualization,
},
showTimeStamp,
expandFooterToFullWidth,
showIdToggle,
}) {
}) => {
// const [isJustCopiedSignalVisible, setIsJustCopiedSignalVisible] = useState(false)
const isJustCopiedSignalVisible = false;
@ -588,7 +611,7 @@ export function displayForecast({
<div className="flex-grow">
<div
className={`text-gray-800 ${opacityFromScore(
score
0
)} text-lg mb-2 font-medium justify-self-start`}
>
<div
@ -641,7 +664,7 @@ export function displayForecast({
? "flex"
: "hidden"
} ${opacityFromScore(
score
0
)} row-end-2 col-start-2 col-end-2 row-start-1 row-end-1 col-span-1 items-center justify-center text-gray-600 ml-3 mr-2 `}
>
<svg className="mt-1" height="10" width="16">
@ -657,7 +680,7 @@ export function displayForecast({
{(options.length != 2 ||
(options[0].name != "Yes" && options[0].name != "No")) && (
<>
<div className={`mb-2 mt-2 ${opacityFromScore(score)}`}>
<div className={`mb-2 mt-2 ${opacityFromScore(0)}`}>
{formatForecastOptions(options)}
</div>
<div
@ -667,7 +690,7 @@ export function displayForecast({
? "flex"
: "hidden"
} ${opacityFromScore(
score
0
)} col-start-2 col-end-2 row-start-1 row-end-1 text-gray-600 mt-3 mb-3`}
>
<svg className="ml-6 mr-1 mt-2" height="10" width="16">
@ -680,13 +703,13 @@ export function displayForecast({
</>
)}
{platform !== "Guesstimate" && options.length < 3 && (
<div className={`text-gray-500 ${opacityFromScore(score)} mt-4`}>
{platform !== "guesstimate" && options.length < 3 && (
<div className={`text-gray-500 ${opacityFromScore(0)} mt-4`}>
{displayMarkdown(description)}
</div>
)}
{platform === "Guesstimate" && (
{platform === "guesstimate" && (
<img
className="rounded-sm mb-1"
src={visualization}
@ -705,10 +728,11 @@ export function displayForecast({
</svg>
{`Last updated: ${timestamp ? timestamp.slice(0, 10) : "unknown"}`}
</div>
<div className={`${opacityFromScore(score)} w-full`}>
<div className={`${opacityFromScore(0)} w-full`}>
{forecastFooter({
stars: qualityindicators.stars,
platform: author || platform,
platform: platform,
platformLabel: platformLabel || platform, // author || platformLabel,
numforecasts: qualityindicators.numforecasts,
qualityindicators,
timestamp,
@ -718,30 +742,40 @@ export function displayForecast({
</div>
</a>
);
};
interface Props {
results: FrontendForecast[];
numDisplay: number;
showIdToggle: boolean;
}
export default function displayForecasts({
const DisplayForecasts: React.FC<Props> = ({
results,
numDisplay,
showIdToggle,
}) {
return !!results && !!results.slice ? (
results.slice(0, numDisplay).map((fuseSearchResult) => {
/*let displayWithMetaculusCapture =
}) => {
if (!results) {
return <></>;
}
return (
<>
{results.slice(0, numDisplay).map((result) => {
/*let displayWithMetaculusCapture =
fuseSearchResult.item.platform == "Metaculus"
? metaculusEmbed(fuseSearchResult.item)
: displayForecast({ ...fuseSearchResult.item });
*/
let display = displayForecast({
...fuseSearchResult.item,
score: fuseSearchResult.score,
showTimeStamp: false,
expandFooterToFullWidth: false,
showIdToggle,
});
return display;
})
) : (
<></>
const display = displayForecast({
forecast: result,
showTimeStamp: false,
expandFooterToFullWidth: false,
showIdToggle,
});
return display;
})}
</>
);
}
};
export default DisplayForecasts;

8
src/web/display/displayOneForecastForCapture.tsx
View File

@ -2,16 +2,16 @@ import domtoimage from "dom-to-image"; // https://github.com/tsayen/dom-to-image
import { useEffect, useRef, useState } from "react";
import { CopyToClipboard } from "react-copy-to-clipboard";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
import { uploadToImgur } from "../worker/uploadToImgur";
import { displayForecast } from "./displayForecasts";
function displayOneForecastInner(result, containerRef) {
function displayOneForecastInner(result: FrontendForecast, containerRef) {
return (
<div ref={containerRef}>
{result
? displayForecast({
...result.item,
score: result.score,
forecast: result,
showTimeStamp: true,
expandFooterToFullWidth: true,
})
@ -170,7 +170,7 @@ let generateMetaculusSource = (result, hasDisplayBeenCaptured) => {
};
interface Props {
result: any;
result: FrontendForecast;
}
const DisplayOneForecast: React.FC<Props> = ({ result }) => {

45
src/web/display/multiSelectPlatforms.tsx
View File

@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ import chroma from "chroma-js";
import React from "react";
import Select from "react-select";
import { platformsWithLabels } from "../platforms";
import { PlatformConfig } from "../platforms";
const colourStyles = {
control: (styles) => ({ ...styles, backgroundColor: "white" }),
@ -59,17 +59,48 @@ const colourStyles = {
}),
};
export default function MultiSelectPlatform({ onChange, value }) {
interface Props {
onChange: (platforms: string[]) => void;
value: string[];
platformsConfig: PlatformConfig[];
}
export const MultiSelectPlatform: React.FC<Props> = ({
onChange,
value,
platformsConfig,
}) => {
type Option = {
value: string;
label: string;
color: string;
};
const options: Option[] = platformsConfig.map((platform) => ({
value: platform.name,
label: platform.label,
color: platform.color,
}));
const id2option: { [k: string]: Option } = {};
for (const option of options) id2option[option.value] = option;
const selectValue = value.map((v) => id2option[v]).filter((v) => v);
const onSelectChange = (newValue: Option[]) => {
onChange(newValue.map((o) => o.value));
};
return (
<Select
defaultValue={platformsWithLabels}
defaultValue={options}
isMulti
className="basic-multi-select w-full text-gray-700"
onChange={onChange}
onChange={onSelectChange}
closeMenuOnSelect={false}
options={platformsWithLabels}
value={value}
options={options}
value={selectValue}
styles={colourStyles}
/>
);
}
};

63
src/web/platforms.ts
View File

@ -1,61 +1,12 @@
export const distinctColors = [
"#3d674a",
"#231149",
"#62520b",
"#32407e",
"#7d4f1b",
"#002455",
"#223900",
"#615691",
"#003419",
"#793466",
"#006669",
"#984158",
"#00314e",
"#460c00",
"#0d1624",
"#6f5b41",
"#240d23",
"#272600",
"#755469",
"#2a323d",
];
import { Forecast } from "../backend/platforms";
// https://medialab.github.io/iwanthue/ fancy light background
export const platformNames = [
"Betfair",
"FantasySCOTUS",
"Foretold",
"GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy",
"Good Judgment",
"Good Judgment Open",
"Guesstimate",
"Infer",
"Kalshi",
"Manifold Markets",
"Metaculus",
"Peter Wildeford",
"PolyMarket",
"PredictIt",
"Rootclaim",
"Smarkets",
"X-risk estimates",
];
export interface PlatformWithLabel {
value: string;
export interface PlatformConfig {
name: string;
label: string;
color: string;
}
export const platformsWithLabels: PlatformWithLabel[] = platformNames.map(
(name, i) => ({
value: name,
label: name,
color: distinctColors[i],
})
);
export const platforms = platformsWithLabels;
// Deprecated: AstralCodexTen, CoupCast, CSET-foretell, Estimize, Elicit, Hypermind, Omen, WilliamHill
export type FrontendForecast = Forecast & {
platformLabel: string;
visualization?: any;
};

109
src/web/search/CommonDisplay.tsx
View File

@ -1,54 +1,13 @@
import { useRouter } from "next/router";
import React, {
DependencyList,
EffectCallback,
Fragment,
useEffect,
useState,
} from "react";
import React, { DependencyList, EffectCallback, Fragment, useEffect, useState } from "react";
import ButtonsForStars from "../display/buttonsForStars";
import Form from "../display/form";
import MultiSelectPlatform from "../display/multiSelectPlatforms";
import { MultiSelectPlatform } from "../display/multiSelectPlatforms";
import { SliderElement } from "../display/slider";
import { platformsWithLabels, PlatformWithLabel } from "../platforms";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
import searchAccordingToQueryData from "../worker/searchAccordingToQueryData";
interface QueryParametersWithoutNum {
query: string;
starsThreshold: number;
forecastsThreshold: number;
forecastingPlatforms: PlatformWithLabel[];
}
export interface QueryParameters extends QueryParametersWithoutNum {
numDisplay: number;
}
interface Props {
defaultResults: any;
initialResults: any;
initialQueryParameters: QueryParameters;
hasSearchbar: boolean;
hasCapture: boolean;
hasAdvancedOptions: boolean;
placeholder: string;
displaySeeMoreHint: boolean;
displayForecastsWrapper: (opts: {
results: any;
numDisplay: number;
whichResultToDisplayAndCapture: number;
showIdToggle: boolean;
}) => React.ReactNode;
}
export const defaultQueryParameters: QueryParametersWithoutNum = {
query: "",
starsThreshold: 2,
forecastsThreshold: 0,
forecastingPlatforms: platformsWithLabels, // weird key value format,
};
export const defaultNumDisplay = 21;
import { Props as AnySearchPageProps, QueryParameters } from "./anySearchPage";
const useNoInitialEffect = (effect: EffectCallback, deps: DependencyList) => {
const initial = React.useRef(true);
@ -61,11 +20,29 @@ const useNoInitialEffect = (effect: EffectCallback, deps: DependencyList) => {
}, deps);
};
interface Props extends AnySearchPageProps {
hasSearchbar: boolean;
hasCapture: boolean;
hasAdvancedOptions: boolean;
placeholder: string;
displaySeeMoreHint: boolean;
displayForecastsWrapper: (opts: {
results: FrontendForecast[];
numDisplay: number;
whichResultToDisplayAndCapture: number;
showIdToggle: boolean;
}) => React.ReactNode;
}
/* Body */
const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
defaultResults,
initialResults,
initialQueryParameters,
defaultQueryParameters,
initialNumDisplay,
defaultNumDisplay,
platformsConfig,
hasSearchbar,
hasCapture,
hasAdvancedOptions,
@ -76,13 +53,12 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
const router = useRouter();
/* States */
const [queryParameters, setQueryParameters] =
useState<QueryParametersWithoutNum>(initialQueryParameters);
const [numDisplay, setNumDisplay] = useState(
initialQueryParameters.numDisplay ?? defaultNumDisplay
const [queryParameters, setQueryParameters] = useState<QueryParameters>(
initialQueryParameters
);
const [numDisplay, setNumDisplay] = useState(initialNumDisplay);
// used to distinguish numDisplay updates which force search and don't force search, see effects below
const [forceSearch, setForceSearch] = useState(0);
@ -100,25 +76,25 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
numDisplay,
};
let filterManually = (queryData: QueryParameters, results) => {
let filterManually = (
queryData: QueryParameters,
results: FrontendForecast[]
) => {
if (
queryData.forecastingPlatforms &&
queryData.forecastingPlatforms.length > 0
) {
let forecastingPlatforms = queryData.forecastingPlatforms.map(
(platformObj) => platformObj.value
);
results = results.filter((result) =>
forecastingPlatforms.includes(result.item.platform)
queryData.forecastingPlatforms.includes(result.platform)
);
}
if (queryData.starsThreshold === 4) {
results = results.filter(
(result) => result.item.qualityindicators.stars >= 4
(result) => result.qualityindicators.stars >= 4
);
}
if (queryData.forecastsThreshold) {
// results = results.filter(result => (result.qualityindicators && result.item.qualityindicators.numforecasts > forecastsThreshold))
// results = results.filter(result => (result.qualityindicators && result.qualityindicators.numforecasts > forecastsThreshold))
}
return results;
};
@ -128,17 +104,13 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
let results = queryIsEmpty
? filterManually(queryData, defaultResults)
: await searchAccordingToQueryData(queryData);
: await searchAccordingToQueryData(queryData, numDisplay);
setResults(results);
}
// I don't want the function which display forecasts (displayForecasts) to change with a change in queryParameters. But I want it to have access to the queryParameters, and in particular access to queryParameters.numDisplay. Hence why this function lives inside Home.
let getInfoToDisplayForecastsFunction = ({
results,
whichResultToDisplayAndCapture,
showIdToggle,
}) => {
let getInfoToDisplayForecastsFunction = () => {
let numDisplayRounded =
numDisplay % 3 != 0
? numDisplay + (3 - (Math.round(numDisplay) % 3))
@ -154,7 +126,7 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
const updateRoute = () => {
const stringify = (key: string, value: any) => {
if (key === "forecastingPlatforms") {
return value.map((x) => x.value).join("|");
return value.join("|");
} else {
return String(value);
}
@ -330,6 +302,7 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
</div>
<div className="flex col-span-3 items-center justify-center">
<MultiSelectPlatform
platformsConfig={platformsConfig}
value={queryParameters.forecastingPlatforms}
onChange={onChangeSelectedPlatforms}
/>
@ -344,13 +317,7 @@ const CommonDisplay: React.FC<Props> = ({
</div>
) : null}
<div>
{getInfoToDisplayForecastsFunction({
results,
whichResultToDisplayAndCapture,
showIdToggle,
})}
</div>
<div>{getInfoToDisplayForecastsFunction()}</div>
{displaySeeMoreHint &&
(!results || (results.length != 0 && numDisplay < results.length)) ? (

85
src/web/search/anySearchPage.tsx
View File

@ -1,46 +1,103 @@
import { GetServerSideProps } from "next";
import { getFrontpage } from "../../backend/frontpage";
import { platforms } from "../../backend/platforms";
import { FrontendForecast, PlatformConfig } from "../platforms";
import searchAccordingToQueryData from "../worker/searchAccordingToQueryData";
import {
defaultNumDisplay,
defaultQueryParameters,
QueryParameters,
} from "./CommonDisplay";
/* Common code for / and /capture */
export interface QueryParameters {
query: string;
starsThreshold: number;
forecastsThreshold: number;
forecastingPlatforms: string[]; // platform names
}
export interface Props {
defaultResults: any;
initialResults: any;
defaultResults: FrontendForecast[];
initialResults: FrontendForecast[];
initialQueryParameters: QueryParameters;
defaultQueryParameters: QueryParameters;
initialNumDisplay: number;
defaultNumDisplay: number;
platformsConfig: PlatformConfig[];
}
export const getServerSideProps: GetServerSideProps<Props> = async (
context
) => {
let urlQuery = context.query;
const urlQuery = context.query;
let initialQueryParameters: QueryParameters = {
...defaultQueryParameters,
numDisplay: defaultNumDisplay,
...urlQuery, // FIXME - parse numerical fields
const platformsConfig = platforms.map((platform) => ({
name: platform.name,
label: platform.label,
color: platform.color,
}));
platformsConfig.push({
name: "guesstimate",
label: "Guesstimate",
color: "223900",
});
const defaultQueryParameters: QueryParameters = {
query: "",
starsThreshold: 2,
forecastsThreshold: 0,
forecastingPlatforms: platforms.map((platform) => platform.name),
};
let defaultResults = await getFrontpage();
const initialQueryParameters: QueryParameters = {
...defaultQueryParameters,
};
if (urlQuery.query) {
initialQueryParameters.query = String(urlQuery.query);
}
if (urlQuery.starsThreshold) {
initialQueryParameters.starsThreshold = Number(urlQuery.starsThreshold);
}
if (urlQuery.forecastsThreshold !== undefined) {
initialQueryParameters.forecastsThreshold = Number(
urlQuery.forecastsThreshold
);
}
if (urlQuery.forecastingPlatforms !== undefined) {
initialQueryParameters.forecastingPlatforms = String(
urlQuery.forecastingPlatforms
).split("|");
}
const platformNameToLabel = Object.fromEntries(
platforms.map((platform) => [platform.name, platform.label])
);
const defaultNumDisplay = 21;
const initialNumDisplay = Number(urlQuery.numDisplay) || defaultNumDisplay;
const defaultResults = (await getFrontpage()).map((result) => ({
...result,
platformLabel: platformNameToLabel[result.platform] || result.platform,
}));
const initialResults =
!!initialQueryParameters &&
initialQueryParameters.query != "" &&
initialQueryParameters.query != undefined
? await searchAccordingToQueryData(initialQueryParameters)
? await searchAccordingToQueryData(
initialQueryParameters,
initialNumDisplay
)
: defaultResults;
return {
props: {
initialQueryParameters,
defaultQueryParameters,
initialNumDisplay,
defaultNumDisplay,
initialResults,
defaultResults,
platformsConfig,
},
};
};

56
src/web/worker/searchAccordingToQueryData.ts
View File

@ -1,56 +1,48 @@
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
import { QueryParameters } from "../search/anySearchPage";
import searchGuesstimate from "./searchGuesstimate";
import searchWithAlgolia from "./searchWithAlgolia";
export default async function searchAccordingToQueryData(queryData) {
let results = [];
export default async function searchAccordingToQueryData(
queryData: QueryParameters,
limit: number
): Promise<FrontendForecast[]> {
let results: FrontendForecast[] = [];
try {
// defs
let query = queryData.query == undefined ? "" : queryData.query;
if (query == "") return -1;
if (query == "") return [];
let forecastsThreshold = queryData.forecastsThreshold;
let starsThreshold = queryData.starsThreshold;
let forecastingPlatforms = queryData.forecastingPlatforms.map(
(x) => x.value
);
let platformsIncludeGuesstimate =
forecastingPlatforms.includes("Guesstimate") && starsThreshold <= 1;
queryData.forecastingPlatforms.includes("guesstimate") &&
starsThreshold <= 1;
// preparation
let unawaitedAlgoliaResponse = searchWithAlgolia({
queryString: query,
hitsPerPage: queryData.numDisplay + 50,
hitsPerPage: limit + 50,
starsThreshold,
filterByPlatforms: forecastingPlatforms,
filterByPlatforms: queryData.forecastingPlatforms,
forecastsThreshold,
});
// consider the guesstimate and the non-guesstimate cases separately.
switch (platformsIncludeGuesstimate) {
case false:
results = await unawaitedAlgoliaResponse;
break;
case true:
let responses = await Promise.all([
unawaitedAlgoliaResponse,
searchGuesstimate(query),
]); // faster than two separate requests
let responsesNotGuesstimate = responses[0];
let responsesGuesstimate = responses[1];
results = [...responsesNotGuesstimate, ...responsesGuesstimate];
//results.sort((x,y)=> x.ranking < y.ranking ? -1: 1)
break;
default:
return -1;
if (platformsIncludeGuesstimate) {
let responses = await Promise.all([
unawaitedAlgoliaResponse,
searchGuesstimate(query),
]); // faster than two separate requests
let responsesNotGuesstimate = responses[0];
let responsesGuesstimate = responses[1];
results = [...responsesNotGuesstimate, ...responsesGuesstimate];
//results.sort((x,y)=> x.ranking < y.ranking ? -1: 1)
} else {
results = await unawaitedAlgoliaResponse;
}
// Maintain compatibility with fuse
let makeCompatibleWithFuse = (results) =>
results.map((result, index) => ({
item: result,
score: 0, // 0.4 - 0.4 / (index + 1),
}));
results = makeCompatibleWithFuse(results);
return results;
} catch (error) {
console.log(error);
} finally {

87
src/web/worker/searchGuesstimate.ts
View File

@ -1,14 +1,18 @@
/* Imports */
import axios from "axios";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
/* Definitions */
let urlEndPoint =
"https://m629r9ugsg-dsn.algolia.net/1/indexes/Space_production/query?x-algolia-agent=Algolia%20for%20vanilla%20JavaScript%203.32.1&x-algolia-application-id=M629R9UGSG&x-algolia-api-key=4e893740a2bd467a96c8bfcf95b2809c";
/* Body */
export default function searchGuesstimate(query) {
let response = axios({
export default async function searchGuesstimate(
query
): Promise<FrontendForecast[]> {
let response = await axios({
url: urlEndPoint,
// credentials: "omit",
headers: {
@ -24,48 +28,45 @@ export default function searchGuesstimate(query) {
"%20"
)}&hitsPerPage=20&page=0&getRankingInfo=true\"}`,
method: "POST",
})
.then((res) => res.data.hits)
.then((models) =>
models.map((model, index) => {
let description = model.description
? model.description.replace(/\n/g, " ").replace(/ /g, " ")
: "";
let stars = description.length > 250 ? 2 : 1;
return {
title: model.name,
url: `https://www.getguesstimate.com/models/${model.id}`,
platform: "Guesstimate",
description: description,
options: [],
qualityindicators: {
stars: stars,
numforecasts: 1,
numforecasters: 1,
},
visualization: model.big_screenshot,
ranking: 10 * (index + 1) - 0.5, //(model._rankingInfo - 1*index)// hack
};
})
)
.then((models) => {
// filter for duplicates. Surprisingly common.
let uniqueTitles = [];
let uniqueModels = [];
for (let model of models) {
if (
!uniqueTitles.includes(model.title) &&
!model.title.includes("copy")
) {
uniqueModels.push(model);
uniqueTitles.push(model.title);
}
}
return uniqueModels;
});
});
console.log(response);
return response; // This is a promise. Usable with either async/await (a mess in React) or with .then(guesstimateModels => doSomething(guesstimateModels))
const models: any[] = response.data.hits;
const mappedModels: FrontendForecast[] = models.map((model, index) => {
let description = model.description
? model.description.replace(/\n/g, " ").replace(/ /g, " ")
: "";
let stars = description.length > 250 ? 2 : 1;
return {
id: `guesstimate-${model.id}`,
title: model.name,
url: `https://www.getguesstimate.com/models/${model.id}`,
timestamp: model.created_at, // TODO - check that format matches
platform: "guesstimate",
platformLabel: "Guesstimate",
description: description,
options: [],
qualityindicators: {
stars: stars,
numforecasts: 1,
numforecasters: 1,
},
visualization: model.big_screenshot,
ranking: 10 * (index + 1) - 0.5, //(model._rankingInfo - 1*index)// hack
};
});
// filter for duplicates. Surprisingly common.
let uniqueTitles = [];
let uniqueModels: FrontendForecast[] = [];
for (let model of mappedModels) {
if (!uniqueTitles.includes(model.title) && !model.title.includes("copy")) {
uniqueModels.push(model);
uniqueTitles.push(model.title);
}
}
console.log(uniqueModels);
return uniqueModels;
}
// searchGuesstimate("COVID-19").then(guesstimateModels => console.log(guesstimateModels))

48
src/web/worker/searchWithAlgolia.ts
View File

@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
import algoliasearch from "algoliasearch";
import { FrontendForecast } from "../platforms";
const client = algoliasearch(
process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_ALGOLIA_APP_ID,
process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_ALGOLIA_SEARCH_KEY
@ -76,13 +78,12 @@ let noExactMatch = (queryString, result) => {
// only query string
export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
queryString,
hitsPerPage,
hitsPerPage = 5,
starsThreshold,
filterByPlatforms,
forecastsThreshold,
}) {
hitsPerPage = hitsPerPage || 5;
let response = await index.search(queryString, {
}): Promise<FrontendForecast[]> {
let response = await index.search<FrontendForecast>(queryString, {
hitsPerPage,
filters: buildFilter({
starsThreshold,
@ -92,12 +93,7 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
//facetFilters: buildFacetFilter({filterByPlatforms}),
getRankingInfo: true,
});
let results: any[] = response.hits;
console.log(
"searchWithAlgolia.js/searchWithAlgolia/queryString",
queryString
);
console.log("searchWithAlgolia.js/searchWithAlgolia/results", results);
let results: FrontendForecast[] = response.hits;
let recursionError = ["metaforecast", "metaforecasts", "metaforecasting"];
if (
@ -106,9 +102,11 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
) {
results = [
{
id: "not-found",
title: "No search results match your query",
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
platform: "Metaforecast",
platform: "metaforecast",
platformLabel: "Metaforecast",
description: "Maybe try a broader query?",
options: [
{
@ -128,17 +126,19 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
numforecasters: 1,
stars: 5,
},
noExactSearchResults: true,
optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
has_numforecasts: true,
// noExactSearchResults: true,
// optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
// has_numforecasts: true,
},
];
} else if (recursionError.includes(queryString.toLowerCase())) {
results = [
{
id: "recursion-error",
title: `Did you mean: ${queryString}?`,
url: "https://metaforecast.org/recursion?bypassEasterEgg=true",
platform: "Metaforecast",
platform: "metaforecast",
platformLabel: "Metaforecast",
description:
"Fatal error: Too much recursion. Click to proceed anyways",
options: [
@ -159,9 +159,9 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
numforecasters: 1,
stars: 5,
},
noExactSearchResults: true,
optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
has_numforecasts: true,
// noExactSearchResults: true,
// optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
// has_numforecasts: true,
},
...results,
];
@ -171,9 +171,11 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
noExactMatch(queryString, results[0])
) {
results.unshift({
id: "not-found-2",
title: "No search results appear to match your query",
url: "https://metaforecast.org",
platform: "Metaforecast",
platform: "metaforecast",
platformLabel: "Metaforecast",
description: "Maybe try a broader query? That said, we could be wrong.",
options: [
{
@ -193,12 +195,12 @@ export default async function searchWithAlgolia({
numforecasters: 1,
stars: 1,
},
noExactSearchResults: true,
optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
has_numforecasts: true,
// noExactSearchResults: true,
// optionsstringforsearch: "Yes, No",
// has_numforecasts: true,
});
} else {
results[0].noExactSearchResults = false;
// results[0].noExactSearchResults = false;
}
return results;