feat: new db structure; platform labels

.gitignore

@@ -26,12 +26,6 @@ npm-debug.log*
 yarn-debug.log*
 yarn-error.log*
 
-# local env files
-.env.local
-.env.development.local
-.env.test.local
-.env.production.local
-
 # vercel
 .vercel
 
@@ -41,5 +35,4 @@ package-lock.json ## use yarn.lock instead
 # Local Netlify folder
 .netlify
 
-/.env
-/.env.production
+/.env*

src/backend/database/pg-wrapper.ts

@@ -1,13 +1,11 @@
 import { Pool, PoolClient } from "pg";
 
-import { Forecast, platforms } from "../platforms";
+import { Forecast } from "../platforms";
 import { hash } from "../utils/hash";
 import { measureTime } from "../utils/measureTime";
 import { roughSizeOfObject } from "../utils/roughSize";
 
-const platformTableNames = platforms.map((platform) => platform.name);
-
-const forecastTableNames = [...platformTableNames, "combined", "history"];
+const forecastTableNames = ["questions", "history"];
 
 const allTableNames = [...forecastTableNames, "dashboards", "frontpage"];
 
@@ -111,28 +109,27 @@ let buildMetaforecastTable = (table: string) => `CREATE TABLE ${table} (
     extra json
   );`;
 
-async function pgInitializeLatest() {
+async function pgInitializeQuestions() {
   let YOLO = false;
   if (YOLO) {
     console.log("Create tables & their indexes");
-    for (const table of platformTableNames) {
-      await runPgCommand({
-        command: dropTable(table),
-        pool: readWritePool,
-      });
-      await runPgCommand({
-        command: buildMetaforecastTable(table),
-        pool: readWritePool,
-      });
-      await runPgCommand({
-        command: createUniqueIndex(table),
-        pool: readWritePool,
-      });
-    }
+    const table = "questions";
+    await runPgCommand({
+      command: dropTable(table),
+      pool: readWritePool,
+    });
+    await runPgCommand({
+      command: buildMetaforecastTable(table),
+      pool: readWritePool,
+    });
+    await runPgCommand({
+      command: createUniqueIndex(table),
+      pool: readWritePool,
+    });
     console.log("");
   } else {
     console.log(
-      "pgInitializeLatest: This command is dangerous, set YOLO to true in the code to invoke it"
+      "pgInitializeQuestions: This command is dangerous, set YOLO to true in the code to invoke it"
     );
   }
 }
@@ -234,7 +231,7 @@ async function pgInitializeFrontpage() {
 
 export async function pgInitialize() {
   await pgInitializeScaffolding();
-  await pgInitializeLatest();
+  await pgInitializeQuestions();
   await pgInitializeHistories();
   await pgInitializeDashboards();
   await pgInitializeFrontpage();
@@ -416,11 +413,11 @@ pgInsertIntoDashboard({
 export async function pgUpsert({
   contents,
   tableName,
-  replace,
+  replacePlatform,
 }: {
   contents: Forecast[];
   tableName: string;
-  replace: boolean;
+  replacePlatform?: string;
 }) {
   if (!forecastTableNames.includes(tableName)) {
     throw Error(
@@ -432,8 +429,10 @@ export async function pgUpsert({
     const client = await readWritePool.connect();
     try {
       await client.query("BEGIN");
-      if (replace) {
-        client.query(`DELETE FROM ${tableName}`);
+      if (replacePlatform) {
+        await client.query(`DELETE FROM ${tableName} WHERE platform = $1`, [
+          replacePlatform,
+        ]);
       }
       console.log(
         `Upserting ${contents.length} rows into postgres table ${tableName}.`

src/backend/flow/history/updateHistory.ts

@@ -1,10 +1,9 @@
 import { pgReadWithReadCredentials, pgUpsert } from "../../database/pg-wrapper";
 
 export async function updateHistory() {
-  let latest = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
+  let latest = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
   await pgUpsert({
     contents: latest,
     tableName: "history",
-    replace: false,
   });
 }

src/backend/flow/jobs.ts

@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
 import { pgInitialize } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
 import { doEverything } from "../flow/doEverything";
 import { updateHistory } from "../flow/history/updateHistory";
-import { mergeEverything } from "../flow/mergeEverything";
 import { rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData } from "../flow/rebuildNetliftySiteWithNewData";
 import { rebuildFrontpage } from "../frontpage";
 import { platforms, processPlatform } from "../platforms";
@@ -20,13 +19,6 @@ export const jobs: Job[] = [
     message: `Download predictions from ${platform.name}`,
     run: () => processPlatform(platform),
   })),
-  {
-    name: "merge",
-    message:
-      "Merge tables into one big table (and push the result to a pg database)",
-    run: mergeEverything,
-    separate: true,
-  },
   {
     name: "algolia",
     message: 'Rebuild algolia database ("index")',

src/backend/flow/mergeEverything.ts

@@ -1,28 +0,0 @@
-import { pgRead, pgUpsert } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
-import { platforms } from "../platforms";
-
-/* Merge everything */
-
-export async function mergeEverythingInner() {
-  let merged = [];
-  for (let platform of platforms) {
-    const platformName = platform.name;
-    let json = await pgRead({ tableName: platformName });
-    console.log(`${platformName} has ${json.length} questions\n`);
-    merged = merged.concat(json);
-  }
-  let mergedprocessed = merged.map((element) => ({
-    ...element,
-    optionsstringforsearch: element.options
-      .map((option) => option.name)
-      .join(", "),
-  }));
-  console.log(`In total, there are ${mergedprocessed.length} questions`);
-  return mergedprocessed;
-}
-
-export async function mergeEverything() {
-  let merged = await mergeEverythingInner();
-  await pgUpsert({ contents: merged, tableName: "combined", replace: true });
-  console.log("Done");
-}

src/backend/frontpage.ts

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 import { pgRead, readWritePool } from "./database/pg-wrapper";
+import { Forecast } from "./platforms";
 
-export async function getFrontpageRaw() {
+export async function getFrontpage(): Promise<Forecast[]> {
   const client = await readWritePool.connect();
   const res = await client.query(
     "SELECT frontpage_sliced FROM frontpage ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 1"
@@ -10,7 +11,7 @@ export async function getFrontpageRaw() {
   return res.rows[0].frontpage_sliced;
 }
 
-export async function getFrontpageFullRaw() {
+export async function getFrontpageFull(): Promise<Forecast[]> {
   const client = await readWritePool.connect();
   const res = await client.query(
     "SELECT frontpage_full FROM frontpage ORDER BY id DESC LIMIT 1"
@@ -20,31 +21,15 @@ export async function getFrontpageFullRaw() {
   return res.rows[0].frontpage_full;
 }
 
-export async function getFrontpage() {
-  let frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse = [];
-  try {
-    let data = await getFrontpageRaw();
-    frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse = data.map((result) => ({
-      item: result,
-      score: 0,
-    }));
-    return frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse;
-  } catch (error) {
-    console.log(error);
-  } finally {
-    return frontPageForecastsCompatibleWithFuse;
-  }
-}
-
 export async function rebuildFrontpage() {
   const frontpageFull = await pgRead({
-    tableName: "combined",
+    tableName: "questions",
   });
 
   const client = await readWritePool.connect();
   const frontpageSliced = (
     await client.query(`
-    SELECT * FROM combined
+    SELECT * FROM questions
     WHERE
       (qualityindicators->>'stars')::int >= 3
       AND description != ''

src/backend/manual/manualDownload.ts

@@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ import fs from "fs";
 import { pgReadWithReadCredentials } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
 
 let main = async () => {
-  let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
+  let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
   let string = JSON.stringify(json, null, 2);
   let filename = "metaforecasts.json";
   fs.writeFileSync(filename, string);

src/backend/manual/noSchemaMigrate.ts

@@ -1,7 +1,6 @@
 import "dotenv/config";
 
 import { readWritePool } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
-import { platforms } from "../platforms";
 
 const migrate = async () => {
   const client = await readWritePool.connect();
@@ -11,6 +10,25 @@ const migrate = async () => {
     await client.query(q);
   };
 
+  const platformTitleToName = {
+    Betfair: "betfair",
+    FantasySCOTUS: "fantasyscotus",
+    Foretold: "foretold",
+    "GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy": "givewellopenphil",
+    "Good Judgment": "goodjudgement",
+    "Good Judgment Open": "goodjudgmentopen",
+    Infer: "infer",
+    Kalshi: "kalshi",
+    "Manifold Markets": "manifold",
+    Metaculus: "metaculus",
+    "Peter Wildeford": "wildeford",
+    PolyMarket: "polymarket",
+    PredictIt: "predictit",
+    Rootclaim: "rootclaim",
+    Smarkets: "smarkets",
+    "X-risk estimates": "xrisk",
+  };
+
   try {
     await client.query("BEGIN");
     const copyTable = async (from: string, to: string) => {
@@ -19,13 +37,49 @@ const migrate = async () => {
       await execQuery(`INSERT INTO ${to} SELECT * FROM ${from}`);
     };
 
-    for (const platform of platforms) {
-      await copyTable(`latest.${platform.name}`, platform.name);
-    }
     await copyTable("latest.dashboards", "dashboards");
-    await copyTable("latest.combined", "combined");
+    await copyTable("latest.combined", "questions");
     await copyTable("latest.frontpage", "frontpage");
     await copyTable("history.h2022", "history");
+
+    for (const [title, name] of Object.entries(platformTitleToName)) {
+      console.log(`Updating ${title} -> ${name}`);
+      for (const table of ["questions", "history"]) {
+        await client.query(
+          `UPDATE ${table} SET platform=$1 WHERE platform=$2`,
+          [name, title]
+        );
+      }
+    }
+
+    console.log("Fixing GJOpen ids in questions and history");
+    for (const table of ["questions", "history"]) {
+      await client.query(
+        `UPDATE ${table} SET id=REPLACE(id, 'goodjudmentopen-', 'goodjudgmentopen-') WHERE id LIKE 'goodjudmentopen-%'`
+      );
+    }
+
+    const fixId = (id: string) =>
+      id.replace("goodjudmentopen-", "goodjudgmentopen-");
+
+    console.log(
+      "Please rebuild frontpage manually - current version includes invalid GJOpen and xrisk ids"
+    );
+
+    const updateDashboards = async () => {
+      const res = await client.query("SELECT id, contents FROM dashboards");
+      for (const row of res.rows) {
+        let { id, contents } = row;
+        contents = contents.map(fixId);
+        await client.query(
+          "UPDATE dashboards SET contents = $1 WHERE id = $2",
+          [JSON.stringify(contents), id]
+        );
+      }
+    };
+    console.log("Updating dashboards");
+    await updateDashboards();
+
     await client.query("COMMIT");
   } catch (e) {
     await client.query("ROLLBACK");

src/backend/platforms/betfair.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,8 @@ import https from "https";
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
 
+const platformName = "betfair";
+
 /* Definitions */
 let endpoint = process.env.SECRET_BETFAIR_ENDPOINT;
 
@@ -121,12 +123,14 @@ async function processPredictions(data) {
       id: id,
       title: title,
       url: `https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/${prediction.marketId}`,
-      platform: "Betfair",
+      platform: platformName,
       description: description,
       options: options,
       timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
       qualityindicators: {
-        stars: calculateStars("Betfair", { volume: prediction.totalMatched }),
+        stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
+          volume: prediction.totalMatched,
+        }),
         volume: prediction.totalMatched,
       },
     };
@@ -136,7 +140,9 @@ async function processPredictions(data) {
 }
 
 export const betfair: Platform = {
-  name: "betfair",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Betfair",
+  color: "#3d674a",
   async fetcher() {
     const data = await fetchPredictions();
     const results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

src/backend/platforms/example-fetch.ts

@@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ async function fetchData() {
 
 async function processPredictions(predictions) {
   let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
-    let id = `platform-${prediction.id}`;
+    let id = `example-${prediction.id}`;
     let probability = prediction.probability;
     let options = [
       {
@@ -61,6 +61,8 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
 
 export const example: Platform = {
   name: "example",
+  label: "Example platform",
+  color: "#ff0000",
   async fetcher() {
     let data = await fetchData();
     let results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

src/backend/platforms/fantasyscotus.ts

@@ -2,7 +2,9 @@
 import axios from "axios";
 
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
-import { Platform } from "./";
+import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
+
+const platformName = "fantasyscotus";
 
 /* Definitions */
 let unixtime = new Date().getTime();
@@ -65,19 +67,19 @@ async function processData(data) {
   let historicalPercentageCorrect = data.stats.pcnt_correct;
   let historicalProbabilityCorrect =
     Number(historicalPercentageCorrect.replace("%", "")) / 100;
-  let results = [];
+  let results: Forecast[] = [];
   for (let event of events) {
     if (event.accuracy == "") {
-      let id = `fantasyscotus-${event.id}`;
+      let id = `${platformName}-${event.id}`;
       // if the thing hasn't already resolved
       let predictionData = await getPredictionsData(event.docket_url);
       let pAffirm = predictionData.proportionAffirm;
       //let trackRecord = event.prediction.includes("Affirm") ? historicalProbabilityCorrect : 1-historicalProbabilityCorrect
-      let eventObject = {
+      let eventObject: Forecast = {
         id: id,
         title: `In ${event.short_name}, the SCOTUS will affirm the lower court's decision`,
         url: `https://fantasyscotus.net/user-predictions${event.docket_url}`,
-        platform: "FantasySCOTUS",
+        platform: platformName,
         description: `${(pAffirm * 100).toFixed(2)}% (${
           predictionData.numAffirm
         } out of ${
@@ -100,7 +102,7 @@ async function processData(data) {
         timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
         qualityindicators: {
           numforecasts: Number(predictionData.numForecasts),
-          stars: calculateStars("FantasySCOTUS", {}),
+          stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
         },
       };
       results.push(eventObject);
@@ -112,7 +114,9 @@ async function processData(data) {
 
 /* Body */
 export const fantasyscotus: Platform = {
-  name: "fantasyscotus",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "FantasySCOTUS",
+  color: "#231149",
   async fetcher() {
     let rawData = await fetchData();
     let results = await processData(rawData);

src/backend/platforms/foretold.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,9 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+
+const platformName = "foretold";
+
 let graphQLendpoint = "https://api.foretold.io/graphql";
 let highQualityCommunities = [
   "0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21",
@@ -54,7 +57,9 @@ async function fetchAllCommunityQuestions(communityId) {
 }
 
 export const foretold: Platform = {
-  name: "foretold",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Foretold",
+  color: "#62520b",
   async fetcher() {
     let results = [];
     for (let community of highQualityCommunities) {
@@ -62,7 +67,7 @@ export const foretold: Platform = {
       questions = questions.map((question) => question.node);
       questions = questions.filter((question) => question.previousAggregate); // Questions without any predictions
       questions.forEach((question) => {
-        let id = `foretold-${question.id}`;
+        let id = `${platformName}-${question.id}`;
         let options = [];
         if (question.valueType == "PERCENTAGE") {
           let probability = question.previousAggregate.value.percentage;
@@ -83,13 +88,13 @@ export const foretold: Platform = {
           id: id,
           title: question.name,
           url: `https://www.foretold.io/c/${community}/m/${question.id}`,
-          platform: "Foretold",
+          platform: platformName,
           description: "",
           options: options,
           timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
           qualityindicators: {
             numforecasts: Math.floor(Number(question.measurementCount) / 2),
-            stars: calculateStars("Foretold", {}),
+            stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
           },
           /*liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
           tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),

src/backend/platforms/givewellopenphil.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,8 @@ import fs from "fs";
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
+const platformName = "givewellopenphil";
+
 /* Support functions */
 async function fetchPage(url: string) {
   let response = await axios({
@@ -48,11 +50,11 @@ async function main1() {
     let result = {
       title: title,
       url: url,
-      platform: "GiveWell",
+      platform: platformName,
       description: description,
       timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
       qualityindicators: {
-        stars: calculateStars("GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy", {}),
+        stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
       },
     }; // Note: This requires some processing afterwards
     // console.log(result)
@@ -65,7 +67,9 @@ async function main1() {
 }
 
 export const givewellopenphil: Platform = {
-  name: "givewellopenphil",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "GiveWell/OpenPhilanthropy",
+  color: "#32407e",
   async fetcher() {
     // main1()
     return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time

src/backend/platforms/goodjudgment.ts

@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "goodjudgment";
 let endpoint = "https://goodjudgment.io/superforecasts/";
 String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
   return this.split(search).join(replace);
@@ -15,7 +16,9 @@ String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
 
 /* Body */
 export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
-  name: "goodjudgment",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Good Judgment",
+  color: "#7d4f1b",
   async fetcher() {
     // Proxy fuckery
     let proxy;
@@ -64,7 +67,7 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
       let title = table[0]["0"].split("\t\t\t").splice(3)[0];
       if (title != undefined) {
         title = title.replaceAll("</a>", "");
-        let id = `goodjudgment-${hash(title)}`;
+        let id = `${platformName}-${hash(title)}`;
         let description = table
           .filter((row) => row["0"].includes("BACKGROUND:"))
           .map((row) => row["0"])
@@ -101,12 +104,12 @@ export const goodjudgment: Platform = {
           id: id,
           title: title,
           url: endpoint,
-          platform: "Good Judgment",
+          platform: platformName,
           description: description,
           options: options,
           timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
           qualityindicators: {
-            stars: calculateStars("Good Judgment", {}),
+            stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
           },
           extra: {
             superforecastercommentary: analysis || "",

src/backend/platforms/goodjudgmentopen.ts

@@ -8,6 +8,8 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "goodjudgmentopen";
+
 let htmlEndPoint = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions?page=";
 let annoyingPromptUrls = [
   "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1933-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen",
@@ -185,12 +187,12 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie) {
           }
           let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
           let questionNum = url.match(questionNumRegex)[1]; //.split("questions/")[1].split("-")[0];
-          let id = `goodjudmentopen-${questionNum}`;
+          let id = `${platformName}-${questionNum}`;
           let question = {
             id: id,
             title: title,
             url: url,
-            platform: "Good Judgment Open",
+            platform: platformName,
             ...moreinfo,
           };
           if (j % 30 == 0 || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
@@ -236,8 +238,10 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie) {
   return results;
 }
 
-export const goodjudmentopen: Platform = {
-  name: "goodjudmentopen", // note the typo! current table name is without `g`, `goodjudmentopen`
+export const goodjudgmentopen: Platform = {
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Good Judgment Open",
+  color: "#002455",
   async fetcher() {
     let cookie = process.env.GOODJUDGMENTOPENCOOKIE;
     return await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, goodjudgmentopen_inner);

src/backend/platforms/index.ts

@@ -4,10 +4,10 @@ import { fantasyscotus } from "./fantasyscotus";
 import { foretold } from "./foretold";
 import { givewellopenphil } from "./givewellopenphil";
 import { goodjudgment } from "./goodjudgment";
-import { goodjudmentopen } from "./goodjudmentopen";
+import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
 import { infer } from "./infer";
 import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
-import { manifoldmarkets } from "./manifoldmarkets";
+import { manifold } from "./manifold";
 import { metaculus } from "./metaculus";
 import { polymarket } from "./polymarket";
 import { predictit } from "./predictit";
@@ -67,7 +67,9 @@ export interface Forecast {
 export type PlatformFetcher = () => Promise<Forecast[] | null>;
 
 export interface Platform {
-  name: string;
+  name: string; // short name for ids and `platform` db column, e.g. "xrisk"
+  label: string; // longer name for displaying on frontend etc., e.g. "X-risk estimates"
+  color: string; // used on frontend
   fetcher?: PlatformFetcher;
 }
 
@@ -92,10 +94,10 @@ export const platforms: Platform[] = [
   foretold,
   givewellopenphil,
   goodjudgment,
-  goodjudmentopen,
+  goodjudgmentopen,
   infer,
   kalshi,
-  manifoldmarkets,
+  manifold,
   metaculus,
   polymarket,
   predictit,
@@ -114,8 +116,8 @@ export const processPlatform = async (platform: Platform) => {
   if (results && results.length) {
     await pgUpsert({
       contents: results,
-      tableName: platform.name,
-      replace: true,
+      tableName: "questions",
+      replacePlatform: platform.name,
     });
     console.log("Done");
   } else {

src/backend/platforms/infer.ts

@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
 import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "infer";
 let htmlEndPoint = "https://www.infer-pub.com/questions";
 String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) {
   return this.split(search).join(replace);
@@ -145,7 +146,7 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie) {
     qualityindicators: {
       numforecasts: Number(numforecasts),
       numforecasters: Number(numforecasters),
-      stars: calculateStars("Infer", { numforecasts }),
+      stars: calculateStars(platformName, { numforecasts }),
     },
   };
 
@@ -218,7 +219,7 @@ async function infer_inner(cookie) {
         let moreinfo = await fetchStats(url, cookie);
         let questionNumRegex = new RegExp("questions/([0-9]+)");
         let questionNum = url.match(questionNumRegex)[1]; //.split("questions/")[1].split("-")[0];
-        let id = `infer-${questionNum}`;
+        let id = `${platformName}-${questionNum}`;
         let question = {
           id: id,
           title: title,
@@ -278,7 +279,9 @@ async function infer_inner(cookie) {
 }
 
 export const infer: Platform = {
-  name: "infer",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Infer",
+  color: "#223900",
   async fetcher() {
     let cookie = process.env.INFER_COOKIE;
     return await applyIfSecretExists(cookie, infer_inner);

src/backend/platforms/kalshi.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "kalshi";
 let jsonEndpoint = "https://trading-api.kalshi.com/v1/cached/markets/"; //"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
 
 async function fetchAllMarkets() {
@@ -34,17 +35,17 @@ async function processMarkets(markets) {
         type: "PROBABILITY",
       },
     ];
-    let id = `kalshi-${market.id}`;
+    let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
     let result = {
       id: id,
       title: market.title.replaceAll("*", ""),
       url: `https://kalshi.com/markets/${market.ticker_name}`,
-      platform: "Kalshi",
+      platform: platformName,
       description: `${market.settle_details}. The resolution source is: ${market.ranged_group_name} (${market.settle_source_url})`,
       options: options,
       timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
       qualityindicators: {
-        stars: calculateStars("Kalshi", {
+        stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
           shares_volume: market.volume,
           interest: market.open_interest,
         }),
@@ -70,7 +71,9 @@ async function processMarkets(markets) {
 }
 
 export const kalshi: Platform = {
-  name: "kalshi",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Kalshi",
+  color: "#615691",
   fetcher: async function () {
     let markets = await fetchAllMarkets();
     return await processMarkets(markets);

src/backend/platforms/manifold.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "manifold";
 let endpoint = "https://manifold.markets/api/v0/markets";
 // See https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Markets-API-5e7d0aef4dcf452bb04b319e178fabc5
 
@@ -44,7 +45,7 @@ function showStatistics(results) {
 
 async function processPredictions(predictions) {
   let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
-    let id = `manifold-${prediction.id}`;
+    let id = `manifold-${prediction.id}`; // oops, doesn't match platform name
     let probability = prediction.probability;
     let options = [
       {
@@ -67,7 +68,7 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
       options: options,
       timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
       qualityindicators: {
-        stars: calculateStars("Manifold Markets", {
+        stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
           volume7Days: prediction.volume7Days,
           volume24Hours: prediction.volume24Hours,
           pool: prediction.pool,
@@ -88,8 +89,10 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
   return unresolvedResults; //resultsProcessed
 }
 
-export const manifoldmarkets: Platform = {
-  name: "manifoldmarkets",
+export const manifold: Platform = {
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Manifold Markets",
+  color: "#793466",
   async fetcher() {
     let data = await fetchData();
     let results = await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed

src/backend/platforms/metaculus.ts

@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "metaculus";
 let jsonEndPoint = "https://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?page=";
 let now = new Date().toISOString();
 let DEBUG_MODE = "off";
@@ -94,7 +95,9 @@ async function fetchMetaculusQuestionDescription(slug) {
 }
 
 export const metaculus: Platform = {
-  name: "metaculus",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Metaculus",
+  color: "#006669",
   async fetcher() {
     // let metaculusQuestionsInit = await fetchMetaculusQuestions(1)
     // let numQueries = Math.round(Number(metaculusQuestionsInit.count) / 20)
@@ -144,18 +147,18 @@ export const metaculus: Platform = {
                 },
               ];
             }
-            let id = `metaculus-${result.id}`;
+            let id = `${platformName}-${result.id}`;
             let interestingInfo = {
               id: id,
               title: result.title,
               url: "https://www.metaculus.com" + result.page_url,
-              platform: "Metaculus",
+              platform: platformName,
               description: description,
               options: options,
               timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
               qualityindicators: {
                 numforecasts: Number(result.number_of_predictions),
-                stars: calculateStars("Metaculus", {
+                stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
                   numforecasts: result.number_of_predictions,
                 }),
               },

src/backend/platforms/polymarket.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "polymarket";
 let graphQLendpoint =
   "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/polymarket/matic-markets-5"; // "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/polymarket/matic-markets-4"// "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/tokenunion/polymarket-matic"//"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
 let units = 10 ** 6;
@@ -63,7 +64,9 @@ async function fetchIndividualContractData(marketMakerAddress) {
 }
 
 export const polymarket: Platform = {
-  name: "polymarket",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "PolyMarket",
+  color: "#00314e",
   async fetcher() {
     let results: Forecast[] = [];
     let webpageEndpointData = await fetchAllContractInfo();
@@ -79,7 +82,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
         );
         if (moreMarketAnswer.length > 0) {
           let moreMarketInfo = moreMarketAnswer[0];
-          let id = `polymarket-${addressLowerCase.slice(0, 10)}`;
+          let id = `${platformName}-${addressLowerCase.slice(0, 10)}`;
           // console.log(id);
           let numforecasts = Number(moreMarketInfo.tradesQuantity);
           let tradevolume =
@@ -103,7 +106,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
             id: id,
             title: marketInfo.question,
             url: "https://polymarket.com/market/" + marketInfo.slug,
-            platform: "PolyMarket",
+            platform: platformName,
             description: marketInfo.description,
             options: options,
             timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
@@ -111,7 +114,7 @@ export const polymarket: Platform = {
               numforecasts: numforecasts.toFixed(0),
               liquidity: liquidity.toFixed(2),
               tradevolume: tradevolume.toFixed(2),
-              stars: calculateStars("Polymarket", {
+              stars: calculateStars(platformName, {
                 liquidity,
                 option: options[0],
                 volume: tradevolume,

src/backend/platforms/predictit.ts

@@ -1,10 +1,11 @@
-/* Imports */
 import axios from "axios";
 
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
+const platformName = "predictit";
+
 /* Support functions */
 async function fetchmarkets() {
   let response = await axios({
@@ -39,7 +40,9 @@ function sleep(ms: number) {
 
 /* Body */
 export const predictit: Platform = {
-  name: "predictit",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "PredictIt",
+  color: "#460c00",
   async fetcher() {
     let markets = await fetchmarkets();
     let marketVolumes = await fetchmarketvolumes();
@@ -53,7 +56,7 @@ export const predictit: Platform = {
     let results = [];
     for (let market of markets) {
       // console.log(market.name)
-      let id = `predictit-${market.id}`;
+      let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
       let isbinary = market.contracts.length == 1;
       await sleep(3000 * (1 + Math.random()));
       let descriptionraw = await fetchmarketrules(market.id);
@@ -97,12 +100,12 @@ export const predictit: Platform = {
         id: id,
         title: market["name"],
         url: market.url,
-        platform: "PredictIt",
+        platform: platformName,
         description: description,
         options: options,
         timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
         qualityindicators: {
-          stars: calculateStars("PredictIt", {}),
+          stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
           shares_volume: shares_volume,
         },
       };

src/backend/platforms/rootclaim.ts

@@ -1,11 +1,11 @@
-/* Imports */
 import axios from "axios";
 
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import toMarkdown from "../utils/toMarkdown";
-import { Platform } from "./";
+import { Forecast, Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "rootclaim";
 let jsonEndpoint =
   "https://www.rootclaim.com/main_page_stories?number=100&offset=0"; //"https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//"https://subgraph-backup.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket"//'https://subgraph-matic.poly.market/subgraphs/name/TokenUnion/polymarket3'
 
@@ -24,12 +24,14 @@ async function fetchAllRootclaims() {
 }
 
 export const rootclaim: Platform = {
-  name: "rootclaim",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Rootclaim",
+  color: "#0d1624",
   async fetcher() {
     let claims = await fetchAllRootclaims();
-    let results = [];
+    let results: Forecast[] = [];
     for (let claim of claims) {
-      let id = `rootclaim-${claim.slug.toLowerCase()}`;
+      let id = `${platformName}-${claim.slug.toLowerCase()}`;
       let options = [];
       for (let scenario of claim.scenarios) {
         //console.log(scenario)
@@ -42,17 +44,17 @@ export const rootclaim: Platform = {
         });
       }
       let claimUrlPath = claim.created_at < "2020" ? "claims" : "analysis";
-      let obj = {
+      let obj: Forecast = {
         id: id,
         title: toMarkdown(claim.question).replace("\n", ""),
         url: `https://www.rootclaim.com/${claimUrlPath}/${claim.slug}`,
-        platform: "Rootclaim",
+        platform: platformName,
         description: toMarkdown(claim.background).replace("&#39;", "'"),
         options: options,
         timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
         qualityindicators: {
           numforecasts: 1,
-          stars: calculateStars("Rootclaim", {}),
+          stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
         },
       };
       results.push(obj);

src/backend/platforms/smarkets.ts

@@ -1,13 +1,14 @@
-/* Imports */
 import axios from "axios";
 
 import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "smarkets";
 let htmlEndPointEntrance = "https://api.smarkets.com/v3/events/";
 let VERBOSE = false;
 let empty = () => 0;
+
 /* Support functions */
 
 async function fetchEvents(url) {
@@ -60,7 +61,9 @@ async function fetchPrices(marketid) {
 }
 
 export const smarkets: Platform = {
-  name: "smarkets",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Smarkets",
+  color: "#6f5b41",
   async fetcher() {
     let htmlPath =
       "?state=new&state=upcoming&state=live&type_domain=politics&type_scope=single_event&with_new_type=true&sort=id&limit=50";
@@ -93,7 +96,7 @@ export const smarkets: Platform = {
     for (let market of markets) {
       VERBOSE ? console.log("================") : empty();
       VERBOSE ? console.log("Market: ", market) : empty();
-      let id = `smarkets-${market.id}`;
+      let id = `${platformName}-${market.id}`;
       let name = market.name;
 
       let contracts = await fetchContracts(market.id);
@@ -160,12 +163,12 @@ export const smarkets: Platform = {
         id: id,
         title: name,
         url: "https://smarkets.com/event/" + market.event_id + market.slug,
-        platform: "Smarkets",
+        platform: platformName,
         description: market.description,
         options: options,
         timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
         qualityindicators: {
-          stars: calculateStars("Smarkets", {}),
+          stars: calculateStars(platformName, {}),
         },
       };
       VERBOSE ? console.log(result) : empty();

src/backend/platforms/wildeford.ts

@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
 /* Definitions */
+const platformName = "wildeford";
 const SHEET_ID = "1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0"; // spreadsheet key is the long id in the sheets URL
 const endpoint = `https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/${SHEET_ID}/edit#gid=0`;
 // https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0/edit#gid=0
@@ -73,7 +74,7 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
   );
   let results = currentPredictions.map((prediction) => {
     let title = prediction["Prediction"].replace(" [update]", "");
-    let id = `wildeford-${hash(title)}`;
+    let id = `${platformName}-${hash(title)}`;
     let probability = Number(prediction["Odds"].replace("%", "")) / 100;
     let options = [
       {
@@ -91,14 +92,14 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) {
       id: id,
       title: title,
       url: prediction["url"],
-      platform: "Peter Wildeford",
+      platform: platformName,
       description: prediction["Notes"] || "",
       options: options,
       timestamp: new Date(
         Date.parse(prediction["Prediction Date"] + "Z")
       ).toISOString(),
       qualityindicators: {
-        stars: calculateStars("Peter Wildeford", null),
+        stars: calculateStars(platformName, null),
       },
     };
     return result;
@@ -120,7 +121,9 @@ export async function wildeford_inner(google_api_key) {
 }
 
 export const wildeford: Platform = {
-  name: "wildeford",
+  name: platformName,
+  label: "Peter Wildeford",
+  color: "#984158",
   async fetcher() {
     const GOOGLE_API_KEY = process.env.GOOGLE_API_KEY; // See: https://developers.google.com/sheets/api/guides/authorizing#APIKey
     return await applyIfSecretExists(GOOGLE_API_KEY, wildeford_inner);

src/backend/platforms/xrisk.ts

@@ -1,15 +1,25 @@
 import fs from "fs";
 
+import { hash } from "../utils/hash";
 import { Platform } from "./";
 
+const platformName = "xrisk";
+
 export const xrisk: Platform = {
   name: "xrisk",
+  label: "X-risk estimates",
+  color: "#272600",
   async fetcher() {
-    return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time
+    // return; // not necessary to refill the DB every time
     let fileRaw = fs.readFileSync("./input/xrisk-questions.json", {
       encoding: "utf-8",
     });
-    const results = JSON.parse(fileRaw);
+    let results = JSON.parse(fileRaw);
+    results = results.map((item) => ({
+      ...item,
+      id: `${platformName}-${hash(item.title + " | " + item.url)}`, // some titles are non-unique, but title+url pair is always unique
+      platform: platformName,
+    }));
     return results;
   },
 };

src/backend/utils/algolia.ts

@@ -1,34 +1,13 @@
 import algoliasearch from "algoliasearch";
 
 import { pgReadWithReadCredentials } from "../database/pg-wrapper";
-import { mergeEverythingInner } from "../flow/mergeEverything";
+import { platforms } from "../platforms";
 
 let cookie = process.env.ALGOLIA_MASTER_API_KEY;
 const algoliaAppId = process.env.NEXT_PUBLIC_ALGOLIA_APP_ID;
 const client = algoliasearch(algoliaAppId, cookie);
 const index = client.initIndex("metaforecast");
 
-export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheHardWay() {
-  console.log("Doing this the hard way");
-  let records = await mergeEverythingInner();
-  records = records.map((record, index: number) => ({
-    ...record,
-    has_numforecasts: record.numforecasts ? true : false,
-    objectID: index,
-  }));
-  // this is necessary to filter by missing attributes https://www.algolia.com/doc/guides/managing-results/refine-results/filtering/how-to/filter-by-null-or-missing-attributes/
-
-  if (index.exists()) {
-    console.log("Index exists");
-    index
-      .replaceAllObjects(records, { safe: true })
-      .catch((error) => console.log(error));
-    console.log(
-      `Pushed ${records.length} records. Algolia will update asynchronously`
-    );
-  }
-}
-
 let getoptionsstringforsearch = (record: any) => {
   let result = "";
   if (!!record.options && record.options.length > 0) {
@@ -42,11 +21,16 @@ let getoptionsstringforsearch = (record: any) => {
 
 export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay() {
   let records: any[] = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({
-    tableName: "combined",
+    tableName: "questions",
   });
 
+  const platformNameToLabel = Object.fromEntries(
+    platforms.map((platform) => [platform.name, platform.label])
+  );
+
   records = records.map((record, index: number) => ({
     ...record,
+    platformLabel: platformNameToLabel[record.platform] || record.platform,
     has_numforecasts: record.numforecasts ? true : false,
     objectID: index,
     optionsstringforsearch: getoptionsstringforsearch(record),
@@ -62,4 +46,4 @@ export async function rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay() {
   }
 }
 
-export const rebuildAlgoliaDatabase = rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay; //rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheHardWay
+export const rebuildAlgoliaDatabase = rebuildAlgoliaDatabaseTheEasyWay;

src/backend/utils/evaluations/pullForecastsToCSVForRating.ts

@@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ let main = async () => {
     "PredictIt",
     "Rootclaim",
   ];
-  let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "combined" });
+  let json = await pgReadWithReadCredentials({ tableName: "questions" });
   console.log(json.length);
   //let uniquePlatforms = [...new Set(json.map(forecast => forecast.platform))]
   //console.log(uniquePlatforms)

src/backend/utils/evaluations/pullMetaculusForecastsToCSVForRating.ts

@@ -26,7 +26,7 @@ let shuffleArray = (array) => {