quantified.uncertainty/metaforecast
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Added Hypermind to readme

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NunoSempere 2021-02-02 12:59:33 +01:00
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@ -13,7 +13,7 @@ Eventually, this could become more elaborate; for example, forecasts could be ra
``git clone https://github.com/QURIresearch/metaforecasts``
### 2. Enter your own cookies
Private session cookies are necessary to query CSET-foretell and Good Judgment Open. You can get these cookies by creating an account in said platforms and then making and inspecting a request (e.g., by making a prediction). After doing this, you should create a `src/privatekeys.json`, in the same format as `src/privatekeys_example.json`
Private session cookies are necessary to query CSET-foretell, Good Judgment Open and Hypermind. You can get these cookies by creating an account in said platforms and then making and inspecting a request (e.g., by making a prediction, or browsing questions). After doing this, you should create a `src/privatekeys.json`, in the same format as `src/privatekeys_example.json`
### 3. Actually run
@ -22,6 +22,6 @@ From the top level directory, enter: `npm run start`
## Various notes
- Right now, I'm fetching only a couple of common properties, such as the title, url, platform, whether a question is binary (yes/no), its percentage, and the number of forecasts. However, the code contains more fields commented out, such as trade volume, liquidity, etc.
- A note as to quality: Good Judgment Open ~ Metaculus > CSET > PredictIt ~> Polymarket >> Elicit > Omen. Further, prediction markets rarely go above 95% or below 5%.
- A note as to quality: Tentatively, Good Judgment Open ~ Metaculus > CSET > PredictIt ~> Polymarket >> Elicit > Omen. Further, prediction markets rarely go above 95% or below 5%. I'm not really sure where Hypermind falls in that spectrum.
- For elicit and metaculus, this library currently filters questions with <10 predictions.
- Omen *does* have very few active predictions at the moment; this is not a mistake.