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}) - .then(response => response.data) - // console.log(response) + }).then(response => response.data) + return response } async function whipIntoShape(data){ - let arraysEqual = (a, b) => { - if (a === b) return true; - if (a == null || b == null) return false; - if (a.length !== b.length) return false; - - // If you don't care about the order of the elements inside - // the array, you should sort both arrays here. - // Please note that calling sort on an array will modify that array. - // you might want to clone your array first. - - for (var i = 0; i < a.length; ++i) { - if (a[i] !== b[i]) return false; - } - return true; - } + let catalogues = data.market_catalogues let books = data.market_books - let keys1 = Object.keys(catalogues) - let keys2 = Object.keys(books) - let results = ({}) + let keys1 = Object.keys(catalogues).sort() + let keys2 = Object.keys(books).sort() + // console.log(keys1) + // console.log(keys2) + let results = [] if(!arraysEqual(keys1, keys2)){ throw new Error("Betfair: Error in endpoint; Betfair catalogues and books do not match") }else{ - for(catalogue in catalogues){ - console.log(catalogue) - } - for(book in books){ - console.log(book) + for(let key of keys1){ + results.push({...catalogues[key], ...books[key], options: mergeRunners(catalogues[key].runners, books[key].runners)}) } } return results } +async function processPredictions(data) { + let predictions = await whipIntoShape(data) + console.log(JSON.stringify(predictions, null, 4)) + let results = predictions.map(prediction => { + let normalizationFactor = (prediction.options + .filter(option => option.status == "ACTIVE" && option.totalMatched > 0) + .map(option => option.lastPriceTraded)) + .map(x => 1/x) + .reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) + let options = prediction.options + .filter(option => option.status == "ACTIVE" && option.totalMatched > 0) + .map(option => ({ + "name": option.runnerName, + "probability": option.lastPriceTraded !=0 ? (1/option.lastPriceTraded)/normalizationFactor : 0, // https://www.aceodds.com/bet-calculator/odds-converter.html + "type": "PROBABILITY" + })) -async function processPredictions(predictions) { - - let results = await predictions.map(prediction => { - let probability = prediction.probability - let options = [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": probability, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 1 - probability, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ] + // console.log(prediction.options) + + let rules = prediction.description.rules + .split("Regs.")[1] + .replace(/

/g, " ") + .replace(/
/g, " ") + .replace(//g, " ") + .replace(/<\/b>/g, " ") + .replace(/\n/g, " ") + .trim() + if(rules == undefined){ + console.log(prediction.description) + } + let title = rules.split("? ")[0] + "?" + let description = rules.split("? ")[1].trim() + if(title.includes("of the named")){ + title = prediction.marketName + ": "+ title + } let result = ({ - "title": prediction.title, - "url": `https://example.com`, - "platform": "Example", - "description": prediction.description, + "title": title, + "url": `https://betfair.com`, + "platform": "Betfair", + "description": description, "options": options, "timestamp": new Date().toISOString(), "qualityindicators": { - "stars": calculateStars("Example", ({some: somex, factors: factors})), - "other": prediction.otherx, - "indicators": prediction.indicatorx + "stars": calculateStars("Betfair", ({volume: prediction.totalMatched})), + "volume": prediction.totalMatched, } }) return result @@ -101,13 +127,12 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) { /* Body */ export async function betfair() { - let predictions = await fetchPredictions() - whipIntoShape(predictions) - let results = await processPredictions(predictions) // somehow needed - // console.log(results) + let data = await fetchPredictions() + let results = await processPredictions(data) // somehow needed + // console.log(results.map(result => ({title: result.title, description: result.description}))) // let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2) // fs.writeFileSync('polyprediction-questions.json', string); - // await upsert(results, "example-questions") + await upsert(results, "betfair-questions") console.log("Done") } -betfair() +// betfair() diff --git a/src/platforms/example-fetch.js b/src/platforms/example-fetch.js index 91ff2f0..36a7624 100644 --- a/src/platforms/example-fetch.js +++ b/src/platforms/example-fetch.js @@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ let endpoint = 'https://example.com/' /* Support functions */ -async function fetchPredictions() { +async function fetchData() { let response = await axios({ url: endpoint, method: 'GET', @@ -59,8 +59,8 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions) { /* Body */ export async function example() { - let predictions = await fetchPredictions() - let results = await processPredictions(predictions) // somehow needed + let data = await fetchData() + let results = await processPredictions(data) // somehow needed // console.log(results) // let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2) // fs.writeFileSync('polyprediction-questions.json', string); diff --git a/src/utils/doEverything.js b/src/utils/doEverything.js index ea5c35f..87e9216 100644 --- a/src/utils/doEverything.js +++ b/src/utils/doEverything.js @@ -1,4 +1,5 @@ import {astralcodexten} from "../platforms/astralcodexten-fetch.js" +import {betfair} from "../platforms/betfair-fetch.js" import {coupcast} from "../platforms/coupcast-fetch.js" import {csetforetell} from "../platforms/csetforetell-fetch.js" import {elicit} from "../platforms/elicit-fetch.js" @@ -38,7 +39,7 @@ export async function tryCatchTryAgain (fun) { } } export async function doEverything(){ - let functions = [coupcast, csetforetell, elicit, /* estimize, */ fantasyscotus, foretold, /* goodjudgment, */ goodjudgmentopen, hypermind, ladbrokes, kalshi, metaculus, omen, polymarket, predictit, rootclaim, smarkets, williamhill, mergeEverything, updateHistory, rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData] + let functions = [betfair, coupcast, csetforetell, elicit, /* estimize, */ fantasyscotus, foretold, /* goodjudgment, */ goodjudgmentopen, hypermind, ladbrokes, kalshi, metaculus, omen, polymarket, predictit, rootclaim, smarkets, williamhill, mergeEverything, updateHistory, rebuildNetlifySiteWithNewData] // Removed Good Judgment from the fetcher, doing it using cron instead because cloudflare blocks the utility on heroku. console.log("") diff --git a/src/utils/mergeEverything.js b/src/utils/mergeEverything.js index 430df7d..e9e56e6 100644 --- a/src/utils/mergeEverything.js +++ b/src/utils/mergeEverything.js @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ import { mongoRead, upsert } from "./mongo-wrapper.js" /* Merge everything */ -let sets = ["astralcodexten","coupcast", "csetforetell", "elicit", "estimize", "fantasyscotus", "foretold", "givewellopenphil", "goodjudgment","goodjudmentopen", "hypermind", "kalshi", "ladbrokes", "metaculus", "omen", "polymarket", "predictit", "rootclaim", "smarkets", "williamhill", "xrisk"] +let sets = ["astralcodexten", "betfair", "coupcast", "csetforetell", "elicit", "estimize", "fantasyscotus", "foretold", "givewellopenphil", "goodjudgment","goodjudmentopen", "hypermind", "kalshi", "ladbrokes", "metaculus", "omen", "polymarket", "predictit", "rootclaim", "smarkets", "williamhill", "xrisk"] let suffix = "-questions" export async function mergeEverything(){ diff --git a/src/utils/stars.js b/src/utils/stars.js index 0b1a2ab..40dbb9b 100644 --- a/src/utils/stars.js +++ b/src/utils/stars.js @@ -36,6 +36,22 @@ function calculateStarsAstralCodexTen(data) { return starsInteger } +function calculateStarsBetfair(data) { + let nuno = data => data.volume > 1000 ? 3 : 2 + let eli = (data) => data.volume > 10000 ? 5 : 4 + let misha = (data) => 3.5 + let starsDecimal = average([nuno(data), eli(data), misha(data)]) + // Substract 1 star if probability is above 90% or below 10% + if(data.option && + (data.option.probability < 0.1 || data.option.probability > 0.9) + ){ + starsDecimal = starsDecimal - 1 + } + + let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal) + return starsInteger +} + function calculateStarsCoupCast(data) { let nuno = (data) => 3 let starsDecimal = average([nuno(data)]) //, eli(data), misha(data)]) @@ -216,6 +232,9 @@ export function calculateStars(platform, data) { case "AstralCodexTen": stars = calculateStarsAstralCodexTen(data) break; + case "Betfair": + stars = calculateStarsBetfair(data) + break; case "CoupCast": stars = calculateStarsCoupCast(data) break; diff --git a/temp.txt b/temp.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5f55bef --- /dev/null +++ b/temp.txt @@ -0,0 +1,38251 @@ +[ + { + "marketId": "1.129176457", + "marketName": "Next Country to Hold an EU In/Out Referendum", + "description": { + "persistenceEnabled": false, + "bspMarket": false, + "marketTime": "2017-01-17T00:00:00.000Z", + "suspendTime": "2017-01-17T00:00:00.000Z", + "bettingType": "ODDS", + "turnInPlayEnabled": false, + "marketType": "NONSPORT", + "regulator": "GIBRALTAR REGULATOR", + "marketBaseRate": 2, + "discountAllowed": false, + "wallet": "UK wallet", + "rules": "
MARKET INFORMATION

For further information please see Rules & Regs.

Which EU country will be the next to hold an In/Out referendum on its European Union membership?

This market will be settled at the start of voting on the day that the In/Out referendum is officially held in an EU country. If no referendum takes place before 2022 the selection 'No Refefrendum Before 2022' will be settled as the winner.

Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times.", + "rulesHasDate": true, + "priceLadderDescription": { + "type": "CLASSIC" + } + }, + "totalMatched": 70456.41, + "runners": [ + { + "selectionId": 12384633, + "handicap": 0, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 1.03, + "totalMatched": 59892.8, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 1.02, + "size": 1175.2 + }, + { + "price": 1.01, + "size": 745.05 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 1.04, + "size": 234.46 + }, + { + "price": 1.05, + "size": 1134 + }, + { + "price": 1.06, + "size": 111 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 12379665, + "handicap": 0, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 350, + "totalMatched": 3125.28, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 250, + "size": 4 + }, + { + "price": 120, + "size": 4 + }, + { + "price": 90, + "size": 9.62 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 12379661, + "handicap": 0, + 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MARKET INFORMATION

For further information please see Rules & Regs.

Which EU country will be the next to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty, not including the UK?

If no country (apart from the UK) invokes Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty before 2023 the selection 'No Country Before 2023' will be settled as the winner.

Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. 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MARKET INFORMATION

For further information please see Rules & Regs.

Which of these parties will provide the Prime Minister of Australia following the next (subsequent to May 2019) Federal Election? This market will be turned IN PLAY with unmatched bets cancelled at the conclusion of polling on Election Day. Thereafter unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time by Betfair and the market will not be actively managed. In the event that a government can’t be officially sworn in by the Governor General all bets on this market will be void. Coalition refers to the Liberal Party and the National Party.

This is a cross-matching market.

Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed and that all in-play matches are not necessarily televised.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


    • BET IN-PLAY

    Australian customers call Telbet to bet in-play on this market – call 132BET (132238)
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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be the next permanent leader of the Conservative Party, after Boris Johnson?

    This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by The Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.\n

    PLEASE NOTE Just after 20:00 (GMT) on 6 April 2020, mainstream media reported that Prime Minister Boris Johnson had been moved to intensive care due to his ill health. Within an hour of this news coming to our attention, we suspended the following market on the Betfair Exchange. Given the exceptional circumstances, these markets will remain suspended and unavailable for trading until further notice. You will still be able to view details of your open bets in the ‘My Bets’ section of your account. Any unmatched bets on these markets (including keep bets) have been cancelled

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    When will Boris Johson officially cease to be leader of the Conservative Party? For settlement purposes, leading the party in an \"acting leader\" role (eg while a successor is being sought) will be included as the individual's tenure as party leader.

    Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    When will Boris Johson officially cease to be leader of the Conservative Party? For settlement purposes, leading the party in an \"acting leader\" role (eg while a successor is being sought) will be included as the individual's tenure as party leader.

    Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, after Boris Johnson?

    This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

    This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of voting on the day of the next general election.

    Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. If there is any change to the established ministerial role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    When will a legally authorised referendum next take place on Scottish independence?

    This market will be settled at the start of voting on the day of the referendum. This market will be settled as “Not before 2025” at 00:00 on 1st January 2025 if no referendum takes place before this time.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which party will win the most parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

    The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which party will gain an overall majority of parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

    The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.


    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    When will the next UK General Election take place after the Election on the 12th December 2019?

    This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be elected to be the next President of France, as a result of the next French presidential election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured individuals may be added to this market upon request.

    If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever first takes up the office of President of France on a permanent basis thereafter. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the election of the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules Regs.

    Who will be the next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer?

    This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Labour Party leader after Keir Starmer, as chosen by a Labour Party leadership contest. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by The Labour Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which party's nominee will win the next French presidential election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured parties may be added to this market upon request.

    If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever first takes up the office of President of France on a permanent basis thereafter. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    Should a Party change only its name and maintain its original composition, then that Party will continue to trade under its original name.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the election of the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Will the named candidate be in the final 2 candidates for the run-off of the next French presidential election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on election day. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured individuals may be added to this market upon request.

    If there is no final run-off this market will be settled on the first two candidates in the first round of voting.

    If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever wins the first round of voting.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the voting for the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?

    If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void.

    At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which Party's candidate will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?

    If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void.

    At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion.

    If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which candidate will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.

    This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution.

    This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

    Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond.

    If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time.

    Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets.

    Additional candidates may be added to this market on request.

    Please note that candidates in this market will not be partially settled and will remain in the market until it is fully settled. This is to allow customers to continue trading candidates that they have positions on and because each candidate is still a valid runner in this market.

    If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules.

    Customers should be aware that:

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be elected to be the Democratic Party presidential nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?

    This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Democratic Party nominee as a result of the 2024 Democratic National Convention.

    This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Thereafter, this market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.This market will be void if the Democratic Party do not nominate a candidate to run in the 2024 election. Additional runners may be added to this market upon request. All bets stand run or not.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


    • If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules.\n\nPlease note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be elected to be the Republican Party presidential nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?

    This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Republican Party nominee as a result of the 2024 Republican National Convention.

    This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of the 2024 Republican National Convention. Thereafter, this market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.This market will be void if the Republican Party do not nominate a candidate to run in the 2024 election. Additional runners may be added to this market upon request. All bets stand run or not.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


    • If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules.\n\nPlease note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which candidate will win the popular vote at the 2024 US Presidential election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.

    This market will be settled upon popular vote percentage figures as published by CNN.

    If any of the named candidates do not contest the 2024 election they will be settled as losers. Other candidates can be added on request.

    This market will only be void in the event that the 2024 Presidential Election does not take place, as defined below.

    Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond

    Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. \nPlease note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. 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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    What will the gender be of the candiate that wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.

    This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution.

    This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

    Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond.

    If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time.

    Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets.

    Customers should be aware that:

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which Party's candidate will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.

    This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution.

    This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress.

    In the event of any uncertainty over which party each candidate represents the Party as defined by the Federal Election Commission will be used for settlement.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

    Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond.

    If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time.

    Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

    Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets.

    Customers should be aware that:

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which Party's candidate will win the popular vote at the 2024 US Presidential election?

    This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions.

    This market will be settled upon popular vote percentage figures as published by CNN.

    In the event of any uncertainty over which party each candidate represents the Party as defined by the Federal Election Commission will be used for settlement

    This market will only be void in the event that the 2024 Presidential Election does not take place, as defined below.

    Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond

    Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. \nPlease note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules. ", + "rulesHasDate": false, + "priceLadderDescription": { + "type": "CLASSIC" + } + }, + "totalMatched": 10261.34, + "runners": [ + { + "selectionId": 12987900, + "handicap": 0, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 1.24, + "totalMatched": 9413.06, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 1.24, + "size": 645.58 + }, + { + "price": 1.23, + "size": 4.22 + }, + { + "price": 1.22, + "size": 10.99 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 1.25, + "size": 274.53 + }, + { + "price": 1.26, + "size": 7.97 + }, + { + "price": 1.27, + "size": 157.3 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 38261569, + "handicap": 0, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 6.6, + "totalMatched": 519.64, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 6.2, + "size": 9.5 + }, + { + "price": 6, + "size": 9.34 + }, + { + "price": 5.8, + "size": 20.78 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 6.6, + "size": 71.52 + }, + { + "price": 6.8, + "size": 10.78 + }, + { + "price": 7, + "size": 25.8 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 1167491, + "handicap": 0, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 34, + "totalMatched": 328.63, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 26, + "size": 2.1 + }, + { + "price": 25, + "size": 16.42 + }, + { + "price": 20, + "size": 4.34 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 34, + "size": 2.9 + }, + { + "price": 38, + "size": 2.99 + }, + { + "price": 48, + "size": 2.57 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + } + ], + "isMarketDataDelayed": false, + "status": "OPEN", + "betDelay": 0, + "bspReconciled": false, + "complete": true, + "inplay": false, + "numberOfWinners": 1, + "numberOfRunners": 3, + "numberOfActiveRunners": 3, + "lastMatchTime": "2021-07-29T19:24:13.468Z", + "totalAvailable": 7886.02, + "crossMatching": true, + "runnersVoidable": false, + "version": 3582494726, + "options": [ + { + "selectionId": 12987900, + "runnerName": "Democratic Party", + "handicap": 0, + "sortPriority": 1, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 1.24, + "totalMatched": 9413.06, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 1.24, + "size": 645.58 + }, + { + "price": 1.23, + "size": 4.22 + }, + { + "price": 1.22, + "size": 10.99 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 1.25, + "size": 274.53 + }, + { + "price": 1.26, + "size": 7.97 + }, + { + "price": 1.27, + "size": 157.3 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 38261569, + "runnerName": "Republican Party", + "handicap": 0, + "sortPriority": 2, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 6.6, + "totalMatched": 519.64, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 6.2, + "size": 9.5 + }, + { + "price": 6, + "size": 9.34 + }, + { + "price": 5.8, + "size": 20.78 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 6.6, + "size": 71.52 + }, + { + "price": 6.8, + "size": 10.78 + }, + { + "price": 7, + "size": 25.8 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + }, + { + "selectionId": 1167491, + "runnerName": "Any Other", + "handicap": 0, + "sortPriority": 3, + "status": "ACTIVE", + "lastPriceTraded": 34, + "totalMatched": 328.63, + "ex": { + "availableToBack": [ + { + "price": 26, + "size": 2.1 + }, + { + "price": 25, + "size": 16.42 + }, + { + "price": 20, + "size": 4.34 + } + ], + "availableToLay": [ + { + "price": 34, + "size": 2.9 + }, + { + "price": 38, + "size": 2.99 + }, + { + "price": 48, + "size": 2.57 + } + ], + "tradedVolume": [] + } + } + ] + }, + { + "marketId": "1.178212407", + "marketName": "Most Seats", + "description": { + "persistenceEnabled": true, + "bspMarket": false, + "marketTime": "2021-09-26T06:00:00.000Z", + "suspendTime": "2021-09-26T06:00:00.000Z", + "bettingType": "ODDS", + "turnInPlayEnabled": true, + "marketType": "NONSPORT", + "regulator": "GIBRALTAR REGULATOR", + "marketBaseRate": 2, + "discountAllowed": false, + "wallet": "UK wallet", + "rules": "
    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Which Partly will win the most seats as a result of the 2021 German election?



    At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

    This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

    If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled.

    Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.

    Customers should be aware that:

  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.

  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.


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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be the leader of the named political party at 8:00am AEST on voting day of the next Australian Federal Election? Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time. Other eligible candidates may be added on request.

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    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    Who will be the next permanent leader of the Liberal Democrats, after Ed Davey?

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

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    MARKET INFORMATION

    For further information please see Rules & Regs.

    When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader? We will settle this market on the date the Labour Party officially announce their new Permanent Party Leader after Keir Starmer. Temporary/interim leaders do not count. If a temporary/interim leader is appointed we will wait until the date of the announcement of the Permanent Leader before settling. This market will be void if the Party Leader dies while in office. If the Party Leader is unable to fulfil his/her role due to health reasons and is therefore permanently replaced this market will be void

    Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Labour Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement.

    In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled.

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