feat: guesstimate platform, show guesstimate viz on question pages
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103
src/backend/platforms/guesstimate.ts
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103
src/backend/platforms/guesstimate.ts
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import axios from "axios";
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import { parseISO } from "date-fns";
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/* Imports */
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import { Question } from "@prisma/client";
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import { AlgoliaQuestion } from "../../backend/utils/algolia";
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import { prisma } from "../database/prisma";
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import { Platform } from "./";
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/* Definitions */
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const searchEndpoint =
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"https://m629r9ugsg-dsn.algolia.net/1/indexes/Space_production/query?x-algolia-agent=Algolia%20for%20vanilla%20JavaScript%203.32.1&x-algolia-application-id=M629R9UGSG&x-algolia-api-key=4e893740a2bd467a96c8bfcf95b2809c";
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const apiEndpoint = "https://guesstimate.herokuapp.com";
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/* Body */
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const modelToQuestion = (model: any): Question => {
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const { description } = model;
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// const description = model.description
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// ? model.description.replace(/\n/g, " ").replace(/ /g, " ")
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// : "";
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const stars = description.length > 250 ? 2 : 1;
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const timestamp = parseISO(model.created_at);
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const q: Question = {
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id: `guesstimate-${model.id}`,
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title: model.name,
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url: `https://www.getguesstimate.com/models/${model.id}`,
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timestamp,
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platform: "guesstimate",
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description,
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options: [],
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qualityindicators: {
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stars,
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numforecasts: 1,
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numforecasters: 1,
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},
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extra: {
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visualization: model.big_screenshot,
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},
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// ranking: 10 * (index + 1) - 0.5, //(model._rankingInfo - 1*index)// hack
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};
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return q;
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};
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async function search(query: string): Promise<AlgoliaQuestion[]> {
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const response = await axios({
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url: searchEndpoint,
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headers: {
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Accept: "application/json",
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"Content-Type": "application/x-www-form-urlencoded",
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},
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data: `{\"params\":\"query=${query.replace(
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/ /g,
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"%20"
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)}&hitsPerPage=20&page=0&getRankingInfo=true\"}`,
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method: "POST",
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});
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const models: any[] = response.data.hits;
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const mappedModels: AlgoliaQuestion[] = models.map((model) => {
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const q = modelToQuestion(model);
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return {
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...q,
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timestamp: String(q.timestamp),
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};
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});
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// filter for duplicates. Surprisingly common.
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let uniqueTitles = [];
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let uniqueModels: AlgoliaQuestion[] = [];
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for (let model of mappedModels) {
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if (!uniqueTitles.includes(model.title) && !model.title.includes("copy")) {
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uniqueModels.push(model);
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uniqueTitles.push(model.title);
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}
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}
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return uniqueModels;
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}
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const fetchQuestion = async (id: number): Promise<Question> => {
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const response = await axios({ url: `${apiEndpoint}/spaces/${id}` });
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let q = modelToQuestion(response.data);
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q = await prisma.question.upsert({
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where: { id: q.id },
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create: q,
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update: q,
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});
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return q;
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};
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export const guesstimate: Platform & {
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search: typeof search;
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fetchQuestion: typeof fetchQuestion;
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} = {
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name: "guesstimate",
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label: "Guesstimate",
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color: "#223900",
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search,
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fetchQuestion,
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};
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@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ import { foretold } from "./foretold";
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import { givewellopenphil } from "./givewellopenphil";
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import { givewellopenphil } from "./givewellopenphil";
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import { goodjudgment } from "./goodjudgment";
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import { goodjudgment } from "./goodjudgment";
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import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
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import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
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import { guesstimate } from "./guesstimate";
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import { infer } from "./infer";
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import { infer } from "./infer";
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import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
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import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
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import { manifold } from "./manifold";
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import { manifold } from "./manifold";
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@ -72,6 +73,7 @@ export const platforms: Platform[] = [
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givewellopenphil,
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givewellopenphil,
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goodjudgment,
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goodjudgment,
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goodjudgmentopen,
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goodjudgmentopen,
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guesstimate,
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infer,
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infer,
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kalshi,
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kalshi,
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manifold,
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manifold,
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@ -161,21 +163,12 @@ export interface PlatformConfig {
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}
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}
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// get frontend-safe version of platforms data
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// get frontend-safe version of platforms data
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export const getPlatformsConfig = (options: {
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export const getPlatformsConfig = (): PlatformConfig[] => {
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withGuesstimate: boolean;
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}): PlatformConfig[] => {
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const platformsConfig = platforms.map((platform) => ({
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const platformsConfig = platforms.map((platform) => ({
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name: platform.name,
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name: platform.name,
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label: platform.label,
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label: platform.label,
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color: platform.color,
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color: platform.color,
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}));
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}));
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if (options.withGuesstimate) {
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platformsConfig.push({
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name: "guesstimate",
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label: "Guesstimate",
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color: "223900",
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});
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}
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return platformsConfig;
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return platformsConfig;
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};
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};
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@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ import { History, Question } from "@prisma/client";
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import { prisma } from "../../backend/database/prisma";
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import { prisma } from "../../backend/database/prisma";
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import { QualityIndicators } from "../../backend/platforms";
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import { QualityIndicators } from "../../backend/platforms";
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import { guesstimate } from "../../backend/platforms/guesstimate";
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import { builder } from "../builder";
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import { builder } from "../builder";
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import { PlatformObj } from "./platforms";
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import { PlatformObj } from "./platforms";
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@ -144,6 +145,13 @@ builder.queryField("question", (t) =>
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id: t.arg({ type: "ID", required: true }),
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id: t.arg({ type: "ID", required: true }),
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},
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},
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resolve: async (parent, args) => {
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resolve: async (parent, args) => {
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const parts = String(args.id).split("-");
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const [platform, id] = [parts[0], parts.slice(1).join("-")];
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if (platform === "guesstimate") {
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const q = await guesstimate.fetchQuestion(Number(id));
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console.log(q);
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return q;
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}
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return await prisma.question.findUnique({
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return await prisma.question.findUnique({
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where: {
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where: {
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id: String(args.id),
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id: String(args.id),
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@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
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import { guesstimate } from "../../backend/platforms/guesstimate";
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import { AlgoliaQuestion } from "../../backend/utils/algolia";
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import { AlgoliaQuestion } from "../../backend/utils/algolia";
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import searchGuesstimate from "../../web/worker/searchGuesstimate";
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import searchWithAlgolia from "../../web/worker/searchWithAlgolia";
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import searchWithAlgolia from "../../web/worker/searchWithAlgolia";
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import { builder } from "../builder";
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import { builder } from "../builder";
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import { QuestionObj } from "./questions";
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import { QuestionObj } from "./questions";
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@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ builder.queryField("searchQuestions", (t) =>
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const [responsesNotGuesstimate, responsesGuesstimate] =
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const [responsesNotGuesstimate, responsesGuesstimate] =
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await Promise.all([
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await Promise.all([
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unawaitedAlgoliaResponse,
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unawaitedAlgoliaResponse,
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searchGuesstimate(query),
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guesstimate.search(query),
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]); // faster than two separate requests
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]); // faster than two separate requests
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results = [...responsesNotGuesstimate, ...responsesGuesstimate];
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results = [...responsesNotGuesstimate, ...responsesGuesstimate];
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} else {
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} else {
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@ -13,7 +13,7 @@ export const getServerSideProps: GetServerSideProps<Props> = async (
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const [ssrCache, client] = ssrUrql();
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const [ssrCache, client] = ssrUrql();
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const urlQuery = context.query;
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const urlQuery = context.query;
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const platformsConfig = getPlatformsConfig({ withGuesstimate: true });
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const platformsConfig = getPlatformsConfig();
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const defaultQueryParameters: QueryParameters = {
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const defaultQueryParameters: QueryParameters = {
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query: "",
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query: "",
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@ -74,7 +74,17 @@ const LargeQuestionCard: React.FC<{
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</div>
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</div>
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<div className="mb-8">
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<div className="mb-8">
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{question.platform.id === "guesstimate" ? (
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<a className="no-underline" href={question.url} target="_blank">
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<img
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className="rounded-sm"
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src={question.visualization}
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alt="Guesstimate Screenshot"
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/>
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</a>
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) : (
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<HistoryChart question={question} />
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<HistoryChart question={question} />
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)}
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</div>
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</div>
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<ReactMarkdown
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<ReactMarkdown
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/* Imports */
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import axios from "axios";
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import { AlgoliaQuestion } from "../../backend/utils/algolia";
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/* Definitions */
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const urlEndPoint =
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"https://m629r9ugsg-dsn.algolia.net/1/indexes/Space_production/query?x-algolia-agent=Algolia%20for%20vanilla%20JavaScript%203.32.1&x-algolia-application-id=M629R9UGSG&x-algolia-api-key=4e893740a2bd467a96c8bfcf95b2809c";
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/* Body */
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export default async function searchGuesstimate(
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query
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): Promise<AlgoliaQuestion[]> {
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const response = await axios({
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url: urlEndPoint,
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// credentials: "omit",
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headers: {
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// "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (X11; Ubuntu; Linux x86_64; rv:85.0) Gecko/20100101 Firefox/85.0",
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Accept: "application/json",
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"Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.5",
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"content-type": "application/x-www-form-urlencoded",
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},
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data: `{\"params\":\"query=${query.replace(
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/ /g,
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"%20"
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)}&hitsPerPage=20&page=0&getRankingInfo=true\"}`,
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method: "POST",
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});
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const models: any[] = response.data.hits;
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const mappedModels: AlgoliaQuestion[] = models.map((model, index) => {
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const description = model.description
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? model.description.replace(/\n/g, " ").replace(/ /g, " ")
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: "";
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const stars = description.length > 250 ? 2 : 1;
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const q: AlgoliaQuestion = {
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id: `guesstimate-${model.id}`,
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title: model.name,
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url: `https://www.getguesstimate.com/models/${model.id}`,
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timestamp: model.created_at, // TODO - check that format matches
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platform: "guesstimate",
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description,
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options: [],
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qualityindicators: {
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stars,
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numforecasts: 1,
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numforecasters: 1,
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},
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extra: {
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visualization: model.big_screenshot,
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},
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// ranking: 10 * (index + 1) - 0.5, //(model._rankingInfo - 1*index)// hack
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};
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return q;
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});
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// filter for duplicates. Surprisingly common.
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let uniqueTitles = [];
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let uniqueModels: AlgoliaQuestion[] = [];
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for (let model of mappedModels) {
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if (!uniqueTitles.includes(model.title) && !model.title.includes("copy")) {
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uniqueModels.push(model);
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uniqueTitles.push(model.title);
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}
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}
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console.log(uniqueModels);
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return uniqueModels;
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}
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// searchGuesstimate("COVID-19").then(guesstimateModels => console.log(guesstimateModels))
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