feat: Fix Good Judgment flow, start writting the Insight Parser.
Note that the Insight Prediction parser is in fact not complete
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@ -17,12 +17,19 @@ const annoyingPromptUrls = [
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"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1779-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters",
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"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2246-are-there-any-forecasting-tips-tricks-and-experiences-you-would-like-to-share-and-or-discuss-with-your-fellow-forecasters-2022-thread",
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"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2237-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen",
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"https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2437-what-forecasting-questions-should-we-ask-what-questions-would-you-like-to-forecast-on-gjopen"
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];
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const DEBUG_MODE: "on" | "off" = "off"; // "on"
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const id = () => 0;
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/* Support functions */
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function cleanDescription(text: string) {
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let md = toMarkdown(text);
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let result = md.replaceAll("---", "-").replaceAll(" ", " ");
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return result;
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}
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async function fetchPage(page: number, cookie: string) {
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const response: string = await axios({
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url: htmlEndPoint + page,
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@ -40,82 +47,68 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl: string, cookie: string) {
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url: questionUrl + "/stats",
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method: "GET",
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headers: {
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"Content-Type": "text/html",
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Cookie: cookie,
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Referer: questionUrl,
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},
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}).then((res) => res.data);
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//console.log(response)
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// Is binary?
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let isbinary = response.includes("binary?":true");
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let options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [];
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if (isbinary) {
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// Crowd percentage
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let htmlElements = response.split("\n");
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let h3Element = htmlElements.filter((str) => str.includes("<h3>"))[0];
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// console.log(h3Element)
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let crowdpercentage = h3Element.split(">")[1].split("<")[0];
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let probability = Number(crowdpercentage.replace("%", "")) / 100;
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options.push(
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{
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name: "Yes",
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probability: probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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},
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{
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name: "No",
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probability: +(1 - probability).toFixed(2), // avoids floating point shenanigans
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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if (response.includes("Sign up or sign in to forecast")) {
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throw Error("Not logged in");
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}
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// Init
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let options: FullQuestionOption[] = [];
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// Parse the embedded json
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let htmlElements = response.split("\n");
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let jsonLines = htmlElements.filter((element) =>
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element.includes("data-react-props")
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);
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} else {
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let optionsHtmlElement = "<table" + response.split("tbody")[1] + "table>";
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let tablesAsJson = Tabletojson.convert(optionsHtmlElement);
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let firstTable = tablesAsJson[0];
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options = firstTable.map((element: any) => ({
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name: element["0"],
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probability: Number(element["1"].replace("%", "")) / 100,
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let embeddedJsons = jsonLines.map((jsonLine, i) => {
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let innerJSONasHTML = jsonLine.split('data-react-props="')[1].split('"')[0];
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let json = JSON.parse(innerJSONasHTML.replaceAll(""", '"'));
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return json;
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});
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let firstEmbeddedJson = embeddedJsons[0];
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let title = firstEmbeddedJson.question.name;
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let description = cleanDescription(firstEmbeddedJson.question.description);
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let comments_count = firstEmbeddedJson.question.comments_count;
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let numforecasters = firstEmbeddedJson.question.predictors_count;
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let numforecasts = firstEmbeddedJson.question.prediction_sets_count;
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let questionType = firstEmbeddedJson.question.type;
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if (
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questionType.includes("Binary") ||
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questionType.includes("NonExclusiveOpinionPoolQuestion") ||
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questionType.includes("Forecast::Question") ||
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!questionType.includes("Forecast::MultiTimePeriodQuestion")
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) {
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options = firstEmbeddedJson.question.answers.map((answer: any) => ({
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name: answer.name,
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probability: answer.normalized_probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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}));
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//console.log(optionsHtmlElement)
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//console.log(options)
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if (options.length == 1 && options[0].name == "Yes") {
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let probabilityNo =
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options[0].probability > 1
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? 1 - options[0].probability / 100
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: 1 - options[0].probability;
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options.push({
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name: "No",
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probability: probabilityNo,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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});
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}
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}
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// Description
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let descriptionraw = response.split(
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`<div id="question-background" class="collapse smb">`
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)[1];
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let descriptionprocessed1 = descriptionraw.split(`</div>`)[0];
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let descriptionprocessed2 = toMarkdown(descriptionprocessed1);
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let descriptionprocessed3 = descriptionprocessed2
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.split("\n")
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.filter((string) => !string.includes("Confused? Check our"))
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.join("\n");
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let description = descriptionprocessed3;
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// Number of forecasts
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let numforecasts = response
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.split("prediction_sets_count":")[1]
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.split(",")[0];
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//console.log(numforecasts)
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// Number of predictors
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let numforecasters = response
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.split("predictors_count":")[1]
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.split(",")[0];
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//console.log(numpredictors)
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let result = {
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description,
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options,
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description: description,
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options: options,
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qualityindicators: {
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numforecasts: Number(numforecasts),
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numforecasters: Number(numforecasters),
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comments_count: Number(comments_count),
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},
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// this mismatches the code below, and needs to be fixed, but I'm doing typescript conversion and don't want to touch any logic for now
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} as any;
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};
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// console.log(JSON.stringify(result, null, 4));
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return result;
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}
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@ -150,6 +143,7 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie: string) {
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let results = [];
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let init = Date.now();
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// console.log("Downloading... This might take a couple of minutes. Results will be shown.")
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console.log("Page #1")
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while (!reachedEnd(response) && isSignedIn(response)) {
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let htmlLines = response.split("\n");
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DEBUG_MODE == "on" ? htmlLines.forEach((line) => console.log(line)) : id();
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@ -187,6 +181,8 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie: string) {
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if (j % 30 == 0 || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
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console.log(`Page #${i}`);
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console.log(question);
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}else{
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console.log(question.title)
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}
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// console.log(question)
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results.push(question);
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118
src/backend/platforms/insight.ts
Normal file
118
src/backend/platforms/insight.ts
Normal file
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@ -0,0 +1,118 @@
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/* Imports */
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import axios from "axios";
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import { FetchedQuestion, Platform } from ".";
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/* Definitions */
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const platformName = "insight";
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const marketsEnpoint = "https://insightprediction.com/api/markets";
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const getMarketEndpoint = (id: number) => `https://insightprediction.com/api/markets/${id}`
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/* Support functions */
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async function fetchQuestionStats(bearer: string, marketId: number){
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const response = await axios({
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url: getMarketEndpoint(marketId),
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method: "GET",
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headers: {
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"Content-Type": "application/json",
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"Accept": "application/json",
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"Authorization": `Bearer ${bearer}`,
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},
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}).then((res) => res.data);
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// console.log(response)
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return response;
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}
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async function fetchPage(bearer: string, pageNum: number) {
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const response = await axios({
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url: `${marketsEnpoint}?page=${pageNum}`,
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method: "GET",
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headers: {
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"Content-Type": "application/json",
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"Accept": "application/json",
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"Authorization": `Bearer ${bearer}`,
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},
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}).then((res) => res.data);
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// console.log(response)
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return response;
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}
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async function fetchData(bearer: string){
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let pageNum = 1
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let reachedEnd = false
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let results = []
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while(!reachedEnd){
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let newPage = await fetchPage(bearer, pageNum)
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let newPageData = newPage.data
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let marketsWithStats = newPageData.map(marketData => {
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let marketStats = fetchQuestionStats(bearer, marketData.id)
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return ({...marketStats, ...marketData})
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})
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console.log(`Page = #${pageNum}`)
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// console.log(newPageData)
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console.log(marketsWithStats)
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results.push(...marketsWithStats)
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let newPagination = newPage.meta.pagination
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if(newPagination.total_pages == pageNum ){
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reachedEnd = true
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}else{
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pageNum = pageNum + 1
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}
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}
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}
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async function processPredictions(predictions: any[]) {
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let results = await predictions.map((prediction) => {
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const id = `${platformName}-${prediction.id}`;
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const probability = prediction.probability;
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const options: FetchedQuestion["options"] = [
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{
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name: "Yes",
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probability: probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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},
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{
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name: "No",
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probability: 1 - probability,
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type: "PROBABILITY",
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},
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];
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const result: FetchedQuestion = {
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id,
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title: prediction.title,
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url: "https://example.com",
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description: prediction.description,
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options,
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qualityindicators: {
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// other: prediction.otherx,
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// indicators: prediction.indicatorx,
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},
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};
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return result;
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});
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return results; //resultsProcessed
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}
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/* Body */
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export const insight: Platform = {
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name: platformName,
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label: "Insight Prediction",
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color: "#ff0000",
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version: "v0",
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async fetcher() {
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let bearer = process.env.INSIGHT_BEARER;
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let pageNum = 1
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let data = await fetchData(bearer);
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console.log(data)
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let results = [] // await processPredictions(data); // somehow needed
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return results;
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},
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calculateStars(data) {
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return 2;
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},
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};
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@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ import { goodjudgmentopen } from "./goodjudgmentopen";
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import { guesstimate } from "./guesstimate";
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import { Platform, PlatformConfig } from "./index";
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import { infer } from "./infer";
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import { insight } from "./insight";
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import { kalshi } from "./kalshi";
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import { manifold } from "./manifold";
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import { metaculus } from "./metaculus";
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@ -28,6 +29,7 @@ export const getPlatforms = (): Platform<string>[] => {
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goodjudgmentopen,
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guesstimate,
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infer,
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insight,
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kalshi,
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manifold,
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metaculus,
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