feat: Added infer

src/platforms/deprecated/omen-fetch.js

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 /* Imports */
 import fs from 'fs'
 import axios from "axios"
-import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js"
+import { calculateStars } from "../../utils/stars.js"
-import {upsert} from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
+import {upsert} from "../../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
 
 /* Definitions */
 let graphQLendpoint = "https://api.thegraph.com/subgraphs/name/protofire/omen"

src/platforms/infer-fetch.js

@@ -7,11 +7,11 @@ import { calculateStars } from "../utils/stars.js"
 import { upsert } from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
 
 /* Definitions */
-let htmlEndPoint = 'https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions?page='
+let htmlEndPoint = 'https://www.infer-pub.com/questions'
 String.prototype.replaceAll = function replaceAll(search, replace) { return this.split(search).join(replace); }
 const DEBUG_MODE = "on"// "off"
-const SLEEP_TIME_RANDOM=100//5000 // miliseconds
+const SLEEP_TIME_RANDOM = 7000 // miliseconds
-const SLEEP_TIME_EXTRA=0//1000
+const SLEEP_TIME_EXTRA = 2000
 /* Support functions */
 
 async function fetchPage(page, cookie) {
@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@ async function fetchPage(page, cookie) {
   if (page == 1) {
     cookie = cookie.split(";")[0] // Interesting that it otherwise doesn't work :(
   }
-  let urlEndpoint = htmlEndPoint + page
+  let urlEndpoint = `${htmlEndPoint}/?page=${page}`
   console.log(urlEndpoint)
   let response = await axios({
     url: urlEndpoint,
@@ -132,7 +132,7 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie) {
     "qualityindicators": {
       "numforecasts": Number(numforecasts),
       "numforecasters": Number(numforecasters),
-      "stars": calculateStars("CSET-foretell", { numforecasts })
+      "stars": calculateStars("Infer", { numforecasts })
     }
   }
 
@@ -164,7 +164,7 @@ function sleep(ms) {
 
 /* Body */
 
-async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
+async function infer_inner(cookie) {
   let i = 1
   let response = await fetchPage(i, cookie)
   let results = []
@@ -174,9 +174,9 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
 
     let htmlLines = response.split("\n")
     // let h4elements = htmlLines.filter(str => str.includes("<h5> <a href=") || str.includes("<h4> <a href="))
-    let questionHrefs = htmlLines.filter(str => str.includes("https://www.cset-foretell.com/questions/"))
+    let questionHrefs = htmlLines.filter(str => str.includes("https://www.infer-pub.com/questions/"))
     // console.log(questionHrefs)
-    
+
 
     if (process.env.DEBUG_MODE == "on" || DEBUG_MODE == "on") {
       //console.log(response)
@@ -201,7 +201,7 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
         let question = ({
           "title": title,
           "url": url,
-          "platform": "CSET-foretell",
+          "platform": "Infer",
           ...moreinfo
         })
         if (i % 30 == 0 && !(process.env.DEBUG_MODE == "on" || DEBUG_MODE == "on")) {
@@ -223,7 +223,7 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
     i++
     //i=Number(i)+1
 
-    console.log("Sleeping for ~5secs so as to not be as noticeable to the cset-foretell servers")
+    console.log("Sleeping for ~5secs so as to not be as noticeable to the infer servers")
     await sleep(Math.random() * SLEEP_TIME_RANDOM + SLEEP_TIME_EXTRA) // don't be as noticeable
 
     try {
@@ -234,10 +234,10 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
     }
   }
   // let string = JSON.stringify(results,null,  2)
-  // fs.writeFileSync('./data/csetforetell-questions.json', string);
+  // fs.writeFileSync('./data/infer-questions.json', string);
   // console.log(results)
   if (results.length > 0) {
-    await upsert(results, "csetforetell-questions")
+    await upsert(results, "infer-questions")
   } else {
     console.log("Not updating results, as process was not signed in")
   }
@@ -249,6 +249,6 @@ async function csetforetell_inner(cookie) {
 
 
 export async function infer() {
-  let cookie = process.env.CSETFORETELL_COOKIE || getCookie("csetforetell")
+  let cookie = process.env.INFER_COOKIE || getCookie("infer")
-  await applyIfCookieExists(cookie, csetforetell_inner)
+  await applyIfCookieExists(cookie, infer_inner)
 }

src/platforms/wildeford-fetch.js

@@ -10,8 +10,7 @@ import {upsert} from "../utils/mongo-wrapper.js"
 /* Definitions */
 const SHEET_ID = "1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0" // spreadsheet key is the long id in the sheets URL
 const endpoint = `https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/${SHEET_ID}/edit#gid=0`
-// https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0/edit#gid=0&range=C4
+// https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xcgYF7Q0D95TPHLLSgwhWBHFrWZUGJn7yTyAhDR4vi0/edit#gid=0
-
 /* Support functions */
 
 const formatRow = row => {
@@ -106,7 +105,7 @@ async function processPredictions(predictions){
 export async function wildeford_inner(google_api_key) {
   let predictions = await fetchGoogleDoc(google_api_key)
   let results = await processPredictions(predictions) // somehow needed
-  // console.log(results)
+  // console.log(results.sort((a,b) => (a.title > b.title)))
   // let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
   // fs.writeFileSync('polyprediction-questions.json', string);
   await upsert(results, "wildeford-questions")

src/platforms/williamhill-fetch.js

@@ -110,6 +110,8 @@ let processResults = (html) => {
         "stars": calculateStars("WilliamHill", ({}))
       }
     })
+    results = results.filter(result => result.title.length > 4 && result.title != "2024 or later") 
+      // removes some predictions because hard to parse.
     results.push(obj)
   }
   
@@ -128,7 +130,7 @@ export async function williamhill() {
   // let string = JSON.stringify(results, null, 2)
   // fs.writeFileSync('./data/williamhill-questions.json', string);
   await upsert(results, "williamhill-questions")
-
+  console.log(results.sort((a,b) => (a.title > b.title)))
   console.log("Done")
 }
 //williamhill()

src/utils/mergeEverything.js

@@ -1,39 +1,13 @@
 import { mongoRead, upsert } from "./mongo-wrapper.js";
 import { platformNames } from "./platforms.js"
 /* Merge everything */
-// let sets = ["astralcodexten", "betfair", "coupcast", "csetforetell", "elicit", /* "estimize" ,*/ "fantasyscotus", "foretold", "givewellopenphil", "goodjudgment","goodjudmentopen", "hypermind", "kalshi", "ladbrokes", "manifoldmarkets", "metaculus", "omen", "polymarket", "predictit", "rootclaim", "smarkets", "wildeford", "williamhill", "xrisk"]
-let sets = [
-  "betfair",
-  "coupcast",
-  "csetforetell",
-  "elicit",
-  /* "estimize" ,*/ "fantasyscotus",
-  "foretold",
-  "givewellopenphil",
-  "goodjudgment",
-  "goodjudmentopen",
-  "hypermind",
-  "kalshi",
-  "ladbrokes",
-  "manifoldmarkets",
-  "metaculus",
-  "omen",
-  "polymarket",
-  "predictit",
-  "rootclaim",
-  "smarkets",
-  "wildeford",
-  "williamhill",
-  "xrisk",
-];
-
 let suffix = "-questions";
 
 export async function mergeEverythingInner() {
   let merged = [];
-  for (let set of sets) {
+  for (let platformName of platformNames) {
-    let json = await mongoRead(set + suffix);
+    let json = await mongoRead(platformName + suffix);
-    console.log(`${set} has ${json.length} questions\n`);
+    console.log(`${platformName} has ${json.length} questions\n`);
     merged = merged.concat(json);
   }
   let mergedprocessed = merged.map((element) => ({

src/utils/platforms.js

@@ -32,6 +32,7 @@ export const platformNames = [
   "givewellopenphil",
   "goodjudgment",
   "goodjudmentopen",
+  "infer",
   "kalshi",
   "ladbrokes",
   "manifoldmarkets",

src/utils/stars.js

@@ -133,6 +133,15 @@ function calculateStarsHypermind(data) {
   return starsInteger;
 }
 
+function calculateStarsInfer(data) {
+  let nuno = (data) => 2;
+  let eli = (data) => null;
+  let misha = (data) => null;
+  let starsDecimal = average([nuno(data)]); //, eli(data), misha(data)])
+  let starsInteger = Math.round(starsDecimal);
+  return starsInteger;
+}
+
 function calculateStarsKalshi(data) {
   let nuno = (data) =>
     data.interest > 500 && data.shares_volume > 10000
@@ -295,6 +304,9 @@ export function calculateStars(platform, data) {
     case "Hypermind":
       stars = calculateStarsHypermind(data);
       break;
+    case "Infer":
+      stars = calculateStarsInfer(data);  
+      break;
     case "Kalshi":
       stars = calculateStarsKalshi(data);
       break;