diff --git a/metaforecasts.json b/metaforecasts.json index 4abbd19..d5239b0 100644 --- a/metaforecasts.json +++ b/metaforecasts.json @@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.005Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -40,7 +40,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.005Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.005Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -88,7 +88,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.005Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.005Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -136,7 +136,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -160,7 +160,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -184,7 +184,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -208,7 +208,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -232,7 +232,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 3 @@ -256,7 +256,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -280,7 +280,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -304,7 +304,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -328,7 +328,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -352,7 +352,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -376,7 +376,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -400,7 +400,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -424,7 +424,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -448,7 +448,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -472,7 +472,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -496,7 +496,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -520,7 +520,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -544,7 +544,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -568,7 +568,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -592,7 +592,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -616,7 +616,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -640,7 +640,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -664,7 +664,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -688,7 +688,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -712,7 +712,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -736,7 +736,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -760,7 +760,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -784,7 +784,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -808,7 +808,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -832,7 +832,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -856,7 +856,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -880,7 +880,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -904,7 +904,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -928,7 +928,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -952,7 +952,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -976,7 +976,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1000,7 +1000,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1024,7 +1024,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1048,7 +1048,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1072,7 +1072,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1096,7 +1096,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1120,7 +1120,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1144,7 +1144,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1168,7 +1168,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1192,7 +1192,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1216,7 +1216,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1240,7 +1240,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1264,7 +1264,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1288,7 +1288,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1312,7 +1312,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.006Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1336,7 +1336,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1360,7 +1360,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1384,7 +1384,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1408,7 +1408,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1432,7 +1432,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1456,7 +1456,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1480,7 +1480,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1504,7 +1504,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1528,7 +1528,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1552,7 +1552,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1576,7 +1576,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1600,7 +1600,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1624,7 +1624,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1648,7 +1648,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1672,7 +1672,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1696,7 +1696,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1720,7 +1720,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1744,7 +1744,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1768,7 +1768,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1792,7 +1792,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 3 @@ -1816,7 +1816,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1840,7 +1840,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1864,7 +1864,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1888,7 +1888,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1912,7 +1912,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1936,7 +1936,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 3 @@ -1960,7 +1960,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -1984,7 +1984,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2008,7 +2008,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2032,7 +2032,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2056,7 +2056,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2080,7 +2080,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2104,7 +2104,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2128,7 +2128,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2143,18 +2143,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.365, + "probability": 0.405, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.635, + "probability": 0.595, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 4, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2167,18 +2167,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.56, + "probability": 0.6, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.43999999999999995, + "probability": 0.4, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 4, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2191,18 +2191,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.655, + "probability": 0.695, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.345, + "probability": 0.30500000000000005, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 9, + "numforecasts": 10, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2215,18 +2215,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.25, + "probability": 0.255, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.75, + "probability": 0.745, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 8, + "numforecasts": 10, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2239,18 +2239,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.2, + "probability": 0.195, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.8, + "probability": 0.8049999999999999, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 6, + "numforecasts": 8, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2263,18 +2263,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.465, + "probability": 0.475, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.5349999999999999, + "probability": 0.525, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 7, + "numforecasts": 9, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2296,37 +2296,13 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, - { - "title": "Netanyahu is still Israeli PM", - "url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/6eebf79b-4b6f-487b-a6a5-748d82524637/m/ad360f9d-9d5b-425d-b9f2-cffff17ccca3", - "platform": "AstralCodexTen", - "description": "...by the end of 2021", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.24, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.76, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 10, - "stars": 3 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, { "title": "Major flare-up (significantly worse than anything in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict", "url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/6eebf79b-4b6f-487b-a6a5-748d82524637/m/950e80ff-3b9e-4a71-8df9-16e06b8a34a3", @@ -2344,9 +2320,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 3, + "numforecasts": 3.5, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2368,7 +2344,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2392,7 +2368,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2416,7 +2392,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 3 @@ -2440,7 +2416,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2464,7 +2440,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2488,7 +2464,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2503,18 +2479,18 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.15, + "probability": 0.215, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.85, + "probability": 0.785, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 6, + "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -2536,7 +2512,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2560,7 +2536,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2584,7 +2560,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-06-08T09:47:42.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:03.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 3 @@ -2593,166 +2569,166 @@ }, { "title": "Which EU country will be the next to hold an In/Out referendum on its European Union membership?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.129176457", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled at the start of voting on the day that the In/Out referendum is officially held in an EU country. If no referendum takes place before 2022 the selection 'No Refefrendum Before 2022' will be settled as the winner. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times.", "options": [ { "name": "No Referendum Before 2022", - "probability": 0.9229757119452721, + "probability": 0.9236664376711134, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Italy", - "probability": 0.0036564037819370398, + "probability": 0.0036236144862482147, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "France", - "probability": 0.009506649833036302, + "probability": 0.009421397664245358, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Poland", - "probability": 0.001584441638839384, + "probability": 0.001570232944040893, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Hungary", - "probability": 0.004526976110969669, + "probability": 0.004486379840116837, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Germany", - "probability": 0.002501749956062185, + "probability": 0.0024793151748014096, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ireland", - "probability": 0.003168883277678768, + "probability": 0.003140465888081786, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "United Kingdom", - "probability": 0.0019013299666072606, + "probability": 0.0018842795328490715, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Netherlands", - "probability": 0.013580928332909003, + "probability": 0.01345913952035051, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Denmark", - "probability": 0.017284817878247823, + "probability": 0.017129813934991557, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Spain", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Austria", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Greece", - "probability": 0.0017604907098215377, + "probability": 0.0017447032711565477, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Czech Republic", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Portugal", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Slovenia", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Luxembourg", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sweden", - "probability": 0.0010562944258929224, + "probability": 0.0010468219626939286, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cyprus", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Slovakia", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bulgaria", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Finland", - "probability": 0.0012846824098697706, + "probability": 0.0012731618465196429, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Malta", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Belgium", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Croatia", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Estonia", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Latvia", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Lithuania", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Romania", - "probability": 0.0009506649833036303, + "probability": 0.0009421397664245357, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.886Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 71602.69 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 72965.73 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "No Referendum Before 2022, Italy, France, Poland, Hungary, Germany, Ireland, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, Austria, Greece, Czech Republic, Portugal, Slovenia, Luxembourg, Sweden, Cyprus, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Finland, Malta, Belgium, Croatia, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania" }, { "title": "Which EU country will be the next to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty, not including the UK?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.130946043", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "If no country (apart from the UK) invokes Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty before 2023 the selection 'No Country Before 2023' will be settled as the winner. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times.", "options": [ @@ -2897,676 +2873,676 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.886Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 9171.43 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 9171.31 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "No Country Before 2023, Hungary, Poland, Italy, Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, France, Austria, Czech Republic, Germany, Finland, Spain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia" }, { "title": "Which of these parties will provide the Prime Minister of Australia following the next (subsequent to May 2019) Federal Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.159045690", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned IN PLAY with unmatched bets cancelled at the conclusion of polling on Election Day. Thereafter unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time by Betfair and the market will not be actively managed. In the event that a government can’t be officially sworn in by the Governor General all bets on this market will be void. Coalition refers to the Liberal Party and the National Party. This is a cross-matching market. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed and that all in-play matches are not necessarily televised.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • BET IN-PLAY Australian customers call Telbet to bet in-play on this market – call 132BET (132238)", "options": [ { "name": "Coalition", - "probability": 0.5538052001842915, + "probability": 0.5439056665081256, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Labor", - "probability": 0.44502203586237704, + "probability": 0.45490292107952324, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Any Other Party", - "probability": 0.0011727639533314405, + "probability": 0.0011914124123511324, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 116903.12 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 117512.19 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Coalition, Labor, Any Other Party" }, { "title": "Who will be the next permanent leader of the Conservative Party, after Boris Johnson?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160663234", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Conservative Party leader after Boris Johnson, as chosen by a Conservative Party leadership contest. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by The Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. PLEASE NOTE Just after 20:00 (GMT) on 6 April 2020, mainstream media reported that Prime Minister Boris Johnson had been moved to intensive care due to his ill health. Within an hour of this news coming to our attention, we suspended the following market on the Betfair Exchange. Given the exceptional circumstances, these markets will remain suspended and unavailable for trading until further notice. You will still be able to view details of your open bets in the ‘My Bets’ section of your account. Any unmatched bets on these markets (including keep bets) have been cancelled", "options": [ { "name": "Rishi Sunak", - "probability": 0.2917869012044714, + "probability": 0.30513217349838906, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jeremy Hunt", - "probability": 0.0739888213768481, + "probability": 0.07192401232462027, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michael Gove", - "probability": 0.10569831625264013, + "probability": 0.10274858903517181, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Liz Truss", - "probability": 0.07672914809450915, + "probability": 0.08391134771205698, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Dominic Raab", - "probability": 0.059191057101478484, + "probability": 0.05753920985969622, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Priti Patel", - "probability": 0.05179217496379367, + "probability": 0.050346808627234195, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tom Tugendhat", - "probability": 0.01593605383501344, + "probability": 0.015491325731456675, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ben Wallace", - "probability": 0.025896087481896837, + "probability": 0.025173404313617097, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Matt Hancock", - "probability": 0.0025896087481896836, + "probability": 0.0025173404313617097, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sajid Javid", - "probability": 0.06093197054563961, + "probability": 0.05923153956145199, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jacob Rees-Mogg", - "probability": 0.01593605383501344, + "probability": 0.012586702156808549, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "James Cleverly", - "probability": 0.02354189771081531, + "probability": 0.022884913012379177, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Geoffrey Cox", - "probability": 0.002725903945462825, + "probability": 0.002649832033012326, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Penny Mordaunt", - "probability": 0.03237010935237104, + "probability": 0.03146675539202137, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Steve Baker", - "probability": 0.011509372214176373, + "probability": 0.011188179694940932, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kemi Badenoch", - "probability": 0.02071686998551747, + "probability": 0.020138723450893677, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kwasi Kwarteng", - "probability": 0.018833518168652245, + "probability": 0.01830793040990334, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Oliver Dowden", - "probability": 0.028773430535440927, + "probability": 0.027970449237352327, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rory Stewart", - "probability": 0.0013111943028808525, + "probability": 0.001274602750056562, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Grant Shapps", - "probability": 0.012186394109127923, + "probability": 0.011846307912290398, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mark Harper", - "probability": 0.00796802691750672, + "probability": 0.0077456628657283375, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrea Leadsom", - "probability": 0.0023541897710815307, + "probability": 0.0022884913012379176, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alok Sharma", - "probability": 0.002725903945462825, + "probability": 0.002649832033012326, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alister Jack", - "probability": 0.0013111943028808525, + "probability": 0.001274602750056562, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Brandon Lewis", - "probability": 0.0016185054676185523, + "probability": 0.0015733377696010686, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Simon Hart", - "probability": 0.0011638691003099703, + "probability": 0.0011313889579153752, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Johnny Mercer", - "probability": 0.01593605383501344, + "probability": 0.015491325731456675, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Robert Buckland", - "probability": 0.003138919694775374, + "probability": 0.0030513217349838902, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Therese Coffey", - "probability": 0.0073988821376848105, + "probability": 0.007192401232462027, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ranil Jayawardena", - "probability": 0.00398401345875336, + "probability": 0.0038728314328641687, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Will Quince", - "probability": 0.001079003645079035, + "probability": 0.0010488918464007123, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gavin Williamson", - "probability": 0.0010358434992758735, + "probability": 0.0010069361725446838, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ruth Davidson", - "probability": 0.0027995770250699285, + "probability": 0.002721449114985632, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Anne-Marie Trevelyan", - "probability": 0.0022039223388848374, + "probability": 0.0021424173883929443, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "George Eustice", - "probability": 0.003341430642825398, + "probability": 0.0032481812017570444, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Amber Rudd", - "probability": 0.0028773430535440933, + "probability": 0.002797044923735233, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Robert Jenrick", - "probability": 0.004143373997103494, + "probability": 0.004027744690178735, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Amanda Milling", - "probability": 0.0011638691003099703, + "probability": 0.0011313889579153752, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Natalie Evans", - "probability": 0.0013111943028808525, + "probability": 0.001274602750056562, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 67290.77 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 67550.36 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Rishi Sunak, Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove, Liz Truss, Dominic Raab, Priti Patel, Tom Tugendhat, Ben Wallace, Matt Hancock, Sajid Javid, Jacob Rees-Mogg, James Cleverly, Geoffrey Cox, Penny Mordaunt, Steve Baker, Kemi Badenoch, Kwasi Kwarteng, Oliver Dowden, Rory Stewart, Grant Shapps, Mark Harper, Andrea Leadsom, Alok Sharma, Alister Jack, Brandon Lewis, Simon Hart, Johnny Mercer, Robert Buckland, Therese Coffey, Ranil Jayawardena, Will Quince, Gavin Williamson, Ruth Davidson, Anne-Marie Trevelyan, George Eustice, Amber Rudd, Robert Jenrick, Amanda Milling, Natalie Evans" }, { "title": "When will Boris Johson officially cease to be leader of the Conservative Party?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160683973", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "For settlement purposes, leading the party in an \"acting leader\" role (eg while a successor is being sought) will be included as the individual's tenure as party leader. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. If Boris Johnson is unable to fulfil his role due to health reasons and is therefore permanently replaced this market will be void (Updated - 20/06/2020)", "options": [ { "name": "2021", - "probability": 0.05491997751902019, + "probability": 0.07332575366753982, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2022", - "probability": 0.1630436832595912, + "probability": 0.16040008614774337, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2023", - "probability": 0.20869591457227676, + "probability": 0.20531211026911153, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024 or later", - "probability": 0.5733404246491118, + "probability": 0.5609620499156052, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 194282.23 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 194367.92 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 or later" }, { "title": "When will Boris Johson officially cease to be leader of the Conservative Party?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160740937", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "For settlement purposes, leading the party in an \"acting leader\" role (eg while a successor is being sought) will be included as the individual's tenure as party leader. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Conservative Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. If Boris Johnson is unable to fulfil his role due to health reasons and is therefore permanently replaced this market will be void (Updated - 20/06/2020)", "options": [ { "name": "July 2021 - Sept 2021", - "probability": 0.0012028161875036996, + "probability": 0.0012431900744369708, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "October 2021 - Dec 2021", - "probability": 0.04236004834252159, + "probability": 0.0437819113171281, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jan 2022 - Mar 2022", - "probability": 0.07494470091369206, + "probability": 0.07746030463799589, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "April 2022 - June 2022", - "probability": 0.06959150799128548, + "probability": 0.07192742573528188, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "July 2022 or later", - "probability": 0.8119009265649973, + "probability": 0.8055871682351572, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 211116.55 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 212370.56 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "July 2021 - Sept 2021, October 2021 - Dec 2021, Jan 2022 - Mar 2022, April 2022 - June 2022, July 2022 or later" }, { "title": "Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, after Boris Johnson?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.160843673", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. If there is any change to the established ministerial role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. We will settle this market on the Prime Minister after Boris Johnson as published on https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister ***Updated 25/03/2020***", "options": [ { "name": "Rishi Sunak.", - "probability": 0.24746484926013976, + "probability": 0.25193952644826173, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Keir Starmer", - "probability": 0.1934725185124729, + "probability": 0.19239018383321807, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jeremy Hunt", - "probability": 0.0709399234545734, + "probability": 0.07054306740551329, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michael Gove", - "probability": 0.06865153882700652, + "probability": 0.0682674845859806, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Dominic Raab", - "probability": 0.04626516747037395, + "probability": 0.04600634830794345, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Priti Patel", - "probability": 0.026602471295465027, + "probability": 0.026453650277067486, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Matthew Hancock", - "probability": 0.0029558301439405583, + "probability": 0.0029392944752297204, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Liz Truss", - 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"probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "David Cameron", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Esther McVey", - "probability": 0.001773498086364335, + "probability": 0.0017635766851378325, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Helen Whately", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mark Harper", - "probability": 0.008867490431821674, + "probability": 0.008817883425689161, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Christine Jardine", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Layla Moran", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Simon Jordan", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alistair Carmichael", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Geoffrey Cox", - "probability": 0.002128197703637202, + "probability": 0.002116292022165399, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Daisy Cooper", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "David Davis", - "probability": 0.001064098851818601, + "probability": 0.0010581460110826995, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 300285.15 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 300389.96 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Rishi Sunak., Keir Starmer, Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove, Dominic Raab, Priti Patel, Matthew Hancock, Liz Truss, Sajid Javid, Nigel Farage, Tom Tugendhat, James Cleverly, Penny Mordaunt, Lisa Nandy, Jeremy Corbyn, Jacob Rees-Mogg, Ruth Davidson, Steve Baker, Tobia Ellwood, Wera Hobhouse, Rory Stewart, Steve Barclay, Kemi Badenoch, Rosena Allin-Khan, Andrew Burnham, Amber Rudd, Sadiq Khan, Angela Rayner, Andrea Jenkyns, Bim Afolami, Damian Hinds, Sylvia Hermon, Jo Swinson, Tom Watson, Jess Phillips, Caroline Lucas, John Bercow, David Miliband, Philip Hammond, Andrea Leadsom, Kit Malthouse, Robert Jenrick, Margaret Beckett, Yvette Cooper, Ed Davey, Dominic Grieve, Ken Clarke, Johnny Mercer, John McDonnell, Ian Blackford, Liz Saville-Roberts, Harriet Harman, Rebecca Long-Bailey, Gavin Williamson, Hilary Benn, Emily Thornberry, David Cameron, Esther McVey, Helen Whately, Mark Harper, Christine Jardine, Layla Moran, Simon Jordan, Alistair Carmichael, Geoffrey Cox, Daisy Cooper, David Davis" }, { "title": "When will a legally authorised referendum next take place on Scottish independence?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.166577732", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled at the start of voting on the day of the referendum. This market will be settled as “Not before 2025” at 00:00 on 1st January 2025 if no referendum takes place before this time. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times.", "options": [ @@ -3596,16 +3572,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 20293.02 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 20291.82 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, Not before 2025" }, { "title": "Which party will win the most parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249009", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • ", "options": [ @@ -3625,298 +3601,298 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 107767.65 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 107766.32 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat" }, { "title": "Which party will gain an overall majority of parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249195", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • ", "options": [ { "name": "No Overall Majority", - "probability": 0.42908753768882724, + "probability": 0.4323891042255261, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Conservative Majority", - "probability": 0.4482432313356498, + "probability": 0.44783157223358055, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Labour Majority", - "probability": 0.1195315283561733, + "probability": 0.1166445025352582, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Liberal Democrat majority", - "probability": 0.003137702619349549, + "probability": 0.0031348210056350643, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.887Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.743Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 59960.44 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 60066.33 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "No Overall Majority, Conservative Majority, Labour Majority, Liberal Democrat majority" }, { "title": "When will the next UK General Election take place after the Election on the 12th December 2019?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.167249197", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled on the morning of the General Election following the start of voting or on Jan 1 2024. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Subsequent events would not affect the settlement of this market. This market will not be actively managed. Customers are solely responsible for their positions at all times.", "options": [ { "name": "2021", - "probability": 0.021649413494226822, + "probability": 0.0155604695782251, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2022", - "probability": 0.09958730207344339, + "probability": 0.09194822932587558, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2023", - "probability": 0.30642246791828737, + "probability": 0.311209391564502, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024 or later", - "probability": 0.5723408165140424, + "probability": 0.5812819095313974, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 30953.44 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 30964.8 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 or later" }, { "title": "Who will be elected to be the next President of France, as a result of the next French presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.168951161", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured individuals may be added to this market upon request. If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever first takes up the office of President of France on a permanent basis thereafter. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the election of the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ { "name": "Emmanuel Macron", - "probability": 0.5298622067106762, + "probability": 0.5097278021293785, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Marine Le Pen", - "probability": 0.1509304467600108, + "probability": 0.1605642576707542, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Xavier Bertrand", - "probability": 0.12771037802770147, + "probability": 0.1459675069734129, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Valerie Pecresse", - "probability": 0.026214235489896612, + "probability": 0.025352251211171715, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Zemmour", - "probability": 0.024903523715401783, + "probability": 0.021895126046011935, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jean-Luc Melenchon", - "probability": 0.02929826319459033, + "probability": 0.028334869000721328, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Edouard Philippe", - 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"probability": 0.0011192594928270466, + "probability": 0.0010824556696904777, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ségolène Royal", - "probability": 0.0010164703557306851, + "probability": 0.00098304647553523, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nicolas Hulot", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bruno Le Maire", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jean Lassalle", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Joachim Son-Forget", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bernard Cazeneuve", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Philippe de Villiers", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gerald Darmanin", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jean Messiha", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jean Casteix", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Najat Vallaud-Belkacem", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "François Ruffin", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Francois Fillon", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gerard Larcher", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alain Juppe", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Benoit Hamon", - "probability": 0.0009961409486160713, + "probability": 0.0009633855460245252, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 293514.36 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 293703.25 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Emmanuel Macron, Marine Le Pen, Xavier Bertrand, Valerie Pecresse, Eric Zemmour, Jean-Luc Melenchon, Edouard Philippe, Michel Barnier, Pierre de Villiers, Anne Hidalgo, Philippe Juvin, Rachida Dati, Florian Philippot, Yanick Jadot, Laurent Wauquiez, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Eric Piolle, David Lisnard, Bruno Retailleau, Arnaud Montebourg, Nicolas Sarkozy, François Hollande, Francois Baroin, Ségolène Royal, Nicolas Hulot, Bruno Le Maire, Jean Lassalle, Joachim Son-Forget, Bernard Cazeneuve, Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet, Philippe de Villiers, Gerald Darmanin, Jean Messiha, Jean Casteix, Najat Vallaud-Belkacem, François Ruffin, Francois Fillon, Gerard Larcher, Alain Juppe, Benoit Hamon" }, { "title": "Who will be the next permanent leader of the Labour Party, after Keir Starmer?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.170273835", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Labour Party leader after Keir Starmer, as chosen by a Labour Party leadership contest. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by The Labour Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ @@ -4121,16 +4097,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 20638.78 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 20638.05 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Andy Burnham, Angela Rayner, Sadiq Khan, Lisa Nandy, Yvette Cooper, Rosena Allin-Khan, Louise Haigh, Jess Phillips, Clive Lewis, Dan Carden, Lucy Powell, Ian Lavery, Anneliese Dodds, David Lammy, Richard Burgon, Rachel Reeves, Bridget Phillipson, Laura Pidcock, Emily Thornberry, David Miliband, Jon Trickett, Jim McMahon, Zarah Sultana, Jonathan Reynolds, Jonathan Ashworth, Rebecca Long-Bailey, Stella Creasy, Wes Streeting, Liz Kendall, Hilary Benn, Stephen Kinnock, Barry Gardiner, Dan Jarvis, Angela Eagle, Kate Osamor, Cat Smith, Nia Griffith, Seema Malhotra, Jeremy Corbyn, Nick Thomas-Symonds" }, { "title": "Which party's nominee will win the next French presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176649734", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the 1st round of the election, as well as the start of the 2nd round of voting. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured parties may be added to this market upon request. If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever first takes up the office of President of France on a permanent basis thereafter. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion. Should a Party change only its name and maintain its original composition, then that Party will continue to trade under its original name. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the election of the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ @@ -4165,16 +4141,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 16723.99 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 16720.26 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "En Marche!, The Republicans, National Rally, La France insoumise, Socialist Party, Debout la France" }, { "title": "Will the named candidate be in the final 2 candidates for the run-off of the next French presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176650032", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on election day. Thereafter, the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. Non featured individuals may be added to this market upon request. If there is no final run-off this market will be settled on the first two candidates in the first round of voting. If more than one election takes place – not including any second round of voting for the first election - then this market will apply to the first election that is held and will be settled on whoever wins the first round of voting. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement regarding the voting for the next President of France, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ @@ -4219,881 +4195,881 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 52166.08 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 52165.07 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Emmanuel Macron, Marine Le Pen, Jean-Luc Melenchon, Bruno Retailleau, Xavier Bertrand, Anne Hidalgo, Edouard Philippe, Yanick Jadot" }, { "title": "Who will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176694234", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void. At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion. If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • ", "options": [ { "name": "Armin Laschet", - "probability": 0.7300863818287276, + "probability": 0.7750579650798359, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Markus Soder", - "probability": 0.0311360368721075, + "probability": 0.04579887975471758, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Annalena Baerbock", - "probability": 0.13572118636559682, + "probability": 0.09159775950943516, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Robert Habeck", - "probability": 0.014115003382022068, + "probability": 0.013434338061383826, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Olaf Scholz", - "probability": 0.0682984034613971, + "probability": 0.05446353268128578, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Angela Merkel", - "probability": 0.0032079553140959244, + "probability": 0.0030532586503145055, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ralph Brinkhaus", - "probability": 0.0020757357914738335, + "probability": 0.0019756379502035037, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Friedrich Merz", - "probability": 0.00311360368721075, + "probability": 0.0029634569253052553, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Christian Lindner", - "probability": 0.003414920173069855, + "probability": 0.0032502430793670545, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Norbert Roettgen", - "probability": 0.0020757357914738335, + "probability": 0.0019756379502035037, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jens Spahn", - "probability": 0.0025205363182182264, + "probability": 0.002398988939532826, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer", - "probability": 0.0010586252536516551, + "probability": 0.0010075753546037868, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sahra Wagenknecht", - "probability": 0.0010586252536516551, + "probability": 0.0010075753546037868, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tino Chrupalla", - "probability": 0.0021172505073033102, + "probability": 0.0020151507092075736, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 330050.26 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 332176.97 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Armin Laschet, Markus Soder, Annalena Baerbock, Robert Habeck, Olaf Scholz, Angela Merkel, Ralph Brinkhaus, Friedrich Merz, Christian Lindner, Norbert Roettgen, Jens Spahn, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, Sahra Wagenknecht, Tino Chrupalla" }, { "title": "Which Party's candidate will be elected/appointed the next Chancellor of Germany as a result of the 2021 German election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176694305", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "If a new Chancellor is not elected/appointed as a result of the first 2021 German federal election and a new election is called by the President of Germany then this market will be void. At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair reserves the right to void this market at its absolute discretion. If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • ", "options": [ { "name": "CDU/CSU", - "probability": 0.8187885083239622, + "probability": 0.8189258430078242, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "SPD", - "probability": 0.06959702320753679, + "probability": 0.0731183788399843, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "AfD", - "probability": 0.012179479061318938, + "probability": 0.012795716296997254, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "FDP", - "probability": 0.0010149565884432447, + "probability": 0.0010663096914164377, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "The Left", - "probability": 0.000984200328187389, + "probability": 0.0010339972765250306, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "The Greens", - "probability": 0.0974358324905515, + "probability": 0.09305975488725275, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.888Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 32844.22 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 32958.93 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "CDU/CSU, SPD, AfD, FDP, The Left, The Greens" }, { "title": "Which candidate will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.176878927", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. Additional candidates may be added to this market on request. Please note that candidates in this market will not be partially settled and will remain in the market until it is fully settled. This is to allow customers to continue trading candidates that they have positions on and because each candidate is still a valid runner in this market. If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules. Customers should be aware that: Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.", "options": [ { "name": "Kamala Harris", - "probability": 0.15491475133657837, + "probability": 0.16260877085479142, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Joe Biden", - "probability": 0.2626815348750676, + "probability": 0.23487933567914313, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump", - "probability": 0.13731080232105808, + "probability": 0.1441305014394742, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ron DeSantis", - "probability": 0.09294885080194701, + "probability": 0.09395173427165725, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nikki Haley", - "probability": 0.05034729418438796, + "probability": 0.046975867135828624, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Dwayne Johnson", - "probability": 0.014215706593238953, + "probability": 0.014921746031380858, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pence", - 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"probability": 0.0030208376510632777, + "probability": 0.0031708710316684322, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Yang", - "probability": 0.0016111134139004145, + "probability": 0.0016911312168898305, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Marco Rubio", - "probability": 0.004833340241701244, + "probability": 0.004227828042224577, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michelle Obama", - "probability": 0.002048025526144595, + "probability": 0.002149743072317581, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ben Carson", - "probability": 0.00464744254009735, + "probability": 0.004878263125643742, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Liz Cheney", - "probability": 0.0019489275168150177, + "probability": 0.0020457232462376984, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Matt Gaetz", - "probability": 0.0022376575193061316, + "probability": 0.0023487933567914315, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Paul Ryan", - "probability": 0.002570925660479385, + "probability": 0.002698613643973134, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Meghan Markle", - 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"probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Hillary Clinton", - "probability": 0.0015104188255316388, + "probability": 0.0015854355158342161, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cory Booker", - "probability": 0.001258682354609699, + "probability": 0.00132119626319518, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gavin Newsom", - "probability": 0.00172619294346473, + "probability": 0.0018119263038105327, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Beto O'Rourke", - "probability": 0.0014384941195539418, + "probability": 0.0015099385865087775, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "John Kasich", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Al Gore", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Julian Castro", - "probability": 0.001491771679537421, + "probability": 0.0015658622378609541, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jeb Bush", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Caitlyn Jenner", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Swalwell", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Deval Patrick", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jay Inslee", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rashida Tlaib", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Susan Collins", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Karen Bass", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ayanna Pressley", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nina Turner", - "probability": 0.004027783534751037, + "probability": 0.004227828042224577, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Holder", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Garcetti", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mitch McConnell", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Lindsey Graham", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jo Jorgensen", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rob Portman", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jon Tester", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sherrod Brown", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Joe Manchin", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ron Johnson", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Christopher Sununu", - "probability": 0.001208335060425311, + "probability": 0.001268348412667373, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 312003.55 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 313625.18 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Dwayne Johnson, Mike Pence, Mike Pompeo, Tucker Carlson, Pete Buttigieg, Elizabeth Warren, Candace Owens, Kristi Noem, Ted Cruz, Ivanka Trump, Josh Hawley, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tulsi Gabbard, Michael Bloomberg, Dan Crenshaw, Tom Cotton, Donald Trump Jr., Rick Scott, Andrew Yang, Marco Rubio, Michelle Obama, Ben Carson, Liz Cheney, Matt Gaetz, Paul Ryan, Meghan Markle, Oprah Winfrey, Rand Paul, Bernie Sanders, Chris Christie, John Kerry, Andrew Cuomo, Condoleezza Rice, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Cory Booker, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, John Kasich, Al Gore, Julian Castro, Jeb Bush, Caitlyn Jenner, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Eric Swalwell, Deval Patrick, Jay Inslee, Rashida Tlaib, Susan Collins, Karen Bass, Ayanna Pressley, Nina Turner, Eric Holder, Eric Garcetti, Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham, Jo Jorgensen, Rob Portman, Jon Tester, Sherrod Brown, Joe Manchin, Ron Johnson, Christopher Sununu" }, { "title": "Who will be elected to be the Democratic Party presidential nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163685", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Democratic Party nominee as a result of the 2024 Democratic National Convention. This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of the 2024 Democratic National Convention. Thereafter, this market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.This market will be void if the Democratic Party do not nominate a candidate to run in the 2024 election. Additional runners may be added to this market upon request. All bets stand run or not. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules. Please note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules.", "options": [ { "name": "Kamala Harris", - "probability": 0.41112431744812716, + "probability": 0.4134768630670468, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Joe Biden", - "probability": 0.41754813490825415, + "probability": 0.4134768630670468, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Amy Klobuchar", - "probability": 0.005567308465443389, + "probability": 0.005599165854032925, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Cuomo", - "probability": 0.0013774783832024879, + "probability": 0.0013853606236782496, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Yang", - "probability": 0.005567308465443389, + "probability": 0.005599165854032925, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ayanna Pressley", - "probability": 0.0013361540317064133, + "probability": 0.0013437998049679021, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cory Booker", - "probability": 0.030367137084236665, + "probability": 0.03054090465836141, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Garcetti", - "probability": 0.009543957369331522, + "probability": 0.009598570035485015, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gavin Newsom", - "probability": 0.0014367247652757131, + "probability": 0.0014449460268472064, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gretchen Whitmer", - "probability": 0.017815387089418846, + "probability": 0.017917330732905364, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michael Bloomberg", - "probability": 0.017815387089418846, + "probability": 0.017917330732905364, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nina Turner", - "probability": 0.001349650537077185, + "probability": 0.0013573735403716182, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Pete Buttigieg", - "probability": 0.035161948202800344, + "probability": 0.03536315276231321, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rashida Tlaib", - "probability": 0.0013361540317064133, + "probability": 0.0013437998049679021, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bernie Sanders", - "probability": 0.006073427416847333, + "probability": 0.006108180931672281, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Elizabeth Warren", - "probability": 0.006073427416847333, + "probability": 0.006108180931672281, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michelle Obama", - "probability": 0.0035161948202800347, + "probability": 0.003536315276231321, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", - "probability": 0.006680770158532067, + "probability": 0.0067189990248395105, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "John Ossoff", - "probability": 0.0044538467723547115, + "probability": 0.004479332683226341, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bill Gates", - "probability": 0.0014214404592621417, + "probability": 0.0014295742606041512, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tulsi Gabbard", - "probability": 0.009543957369331522, + "probability": 0.010336921576676171, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tammy Duckworth", - "probability": 0.001349650537077185, + "probability": 0.0013573735403716182, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Hillary Clinton", - "probability": 0.0020556215872406356, + "probability": 0.002067384315335234, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Beto O Rourke", - "probability": 0.0014846155907849035, + "probability": 0.00149311089440878, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 56285.13 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 59181.36 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar, Andrew Cuomo, Andrew Yang, Ayanna Pressley, Cory Booker, Eric Garcetti, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, Michael Bloomberg, Nina Turner, Pete Buttigieg, Rashida Tlaib, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, John Ossoff, Bill Gates, Tulsi Gabbard, Tammy Duckworth, Hillary Clinton, Beto O Rourke" }, { "title": "Who will be elected to be the Republican Party presidential nominee for the 2024 US presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178163916", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Republican Party nominee as a result of the 2024 Republican National Convention. This market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled at the start of the 2024 Republican National Convention. Thereafter, this market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times.This market will be void if the Republican Party do not nominate a candidate to run in the 2024 election. Additional runners may be added to this market upon request. All bets stand run or not. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules. Please note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules.", "options": [ { "name": "Donald Trump", - "probability": 0.28792086357604324, + "probability": 0.2879238780957387, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nikki Haley", - "probability": 0.11516834543041728, + "probability": 0.11516955123829548, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pence", - "probability": 0.05758417271520864, + "probability": 0.05758477561914774, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ivanka Trump", - "probability": 0.020730302177475114, + "probability": 0.020730519222893186, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump Jr.", - "probability": 0.010365151088737557, + "probability": 0.010365259611446593, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Trump", - "probability": 0.0011390275921689622, + "probability": 0.0011390395177413837, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tom Cotton", - "probability": 0.0188457292522501, + "probability": 0.018845926566266533, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Paul Ryan", - 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"probability": 0.15704774376875086, + "probability": 0.1570493880522211, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sarah Huckabee Sanders", - "probability": 0.001057668478442608, + "probability": 0.001057679552188428, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rob Portman", - "probability": 0.002073030217747511, + "probability": 0.0020730519222893185, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Matt Gaetz", - "probability": 0.004711432313062525, + "probability": 0.004711481641566633, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Condoleezza Rice", - "probability": 0.0010469849584583389, + "probability": 0.0010365259611446593, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rick Scott", - "probability": 0.010365151088737557, + "probability": 0.010365259611446593, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tim Scott", - "probability": 0.020730302177475114, + "probability": 0.020730519222893186, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Liz Cheney", - "probability": 0.008637625907281296, + "probability": 0.008637716342872161, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 62283.4 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 62264.63 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Ivanka Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump, Tom Cotton, Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Mike Pompeo, Kanye West, Mitt Romney, Dan Crenshaw, Ben Sasse, Josh Hawley, Jared Kushner, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, John Kasich, Jim Jordan, Kristi Noem, Orrin Hatch, Tom Brady, Joni Ernst, Tucker Carlson, Lisa Murkowski, Rand Paul, Evan McMullin, Susan Collins, James Mattis, Devin Nunes, Lindsay Graham, Chris Christie, Mitch McConnell, Rick Perry, Bobby Jindal, Steve Bannon, Ben Shapiro, Ron DeSantis, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Rob Portman, Matt Gaetz, Condoleezza Rice, Rick Scott, Tim Scott, Liz Cheney" }, { "title": "Which candidate will win the popular vote at the 2024 US Presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178165812", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions. This market will be settled upon popular vote percentage figures as published by CNN. If any of the named candidates do not contest the 2024 election they will be settled as losers. Other candidates can be added on request. This market will only be void in the event that the 2024 Presidential Election does not take place, as defined below. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. Please note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules.", "options": [ @@ -5123,16 +5099,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 2554.46 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 2553.45 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Mike Pence, Donald Trump, Pete Buttigieg" }, { "title": "What will the gender be of the candiate that wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178176193", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. Customers should be aware that: Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.", "options": [ @@ -5147,16 +5123,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 4766.96 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 4766.51 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Male, Female" }, { "title": "Which Party's candidate will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178176964", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed. Customers are entirely responsible for their bets at all times. This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2024 presidential election. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. This market will be settled once both the projected winner is announced by the Associated Press and the losing candidate concedes. If the losing candidate does not concede, or if there is any uncertainty around the result (for instance, caused by recounts and/or potential legal challenges), then the market will be settled on the winner decided by Congress, on the date on which the Electoral College votes are counted in a joint session of Congress. In the event of any uncertainty over which party each candidate represents the Party as defined by the Federal Election Commission will be used for settlement. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2024. If more than one election takes place in 2024, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond. If there is any material change to the established role or any ambiguity as to who occupies the position, then Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time if Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. Customers should be aware that: Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.", "options": [ @@ -5176,16 +5152,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 12241.69 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 12240.08 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Democratic Party, Republican Party, Any Other" }, { "title": "Which Party's candidate will win the popular vote at the 2024 US Presidential election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178176967", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be turned in-play at the stated time on the day of the election. Thereafter the market will not be actively managed and users are responsible for their positions. This market will be settled upon popular vote percentage figures as published by CNN. In the event of any uncertainty over which party each candidate represents the Party as defined by the Federal Election Commission will be used for settlement This market will only be void in the event that the 2024 Presidential Election does not take place, as defined below. Once voting (whether postal, electronic or at the ballot box) begins in the year 2024 for the US Presidential Election 2024, the election will be deemed to have taken place for the purposes of this market. We will then settle the market as per our rules regardless of whether the election process is fully completed in 2024 or beyond Betfair may suspend betting on the market at any time in the interests of maintaining integrity and fairness in the markets. Please note, due to internal administrative procedures, the indicated start date/time of this market is subject to change. This will have no impact on settlement as detailed in our market specific rules. Any changes to the start time/date will be recorded in the market rules.", "options": [ @@ -5205,16 +5181,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 10531.62 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 10528.87 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Democratic Party, Republican Party, Any Other" }, { "title": "Which Partly will win the most seats as a result of the 2021 German election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178212407", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "At the start of voting on the day of the election, this market will be turned in-play with unmatched bets cancelled. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. This market will be void if an election does not take place in 2021. If more than one election takes place in 2021, then this market will apply to the first election that is held. If any doubt exists as to the outcome of the election, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official information before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome. Customers should be aware that:
  • Transmissions described as “live” by some broadcasters may actually be delayed.
  • The extent of any such delay may vary, depending on the set-up through which they are receiving pictures or data.
    • ", "options": [ @@ -5249,16 +5225,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 31330.77 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 31329.99 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "CDU/CSU, SPD, AfD, FDP, The Left, The Greens" }, { "title": "Labor Leader - Next Election: Who will be the leader of the named political party at 8:00am AEST on voting day of the next Australian Federal Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.178911257", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time. Other eligible candidates may be added on request.", "options": [ @@ -5298,16 +5274,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.745Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 4398.83 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 4394.2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Anthony Albanese, Tanya Plibersek, Jim Chalmers, Richard Marles, Chris Bowen, Jason Clare, Joel Fitzgibbon" }, { "title": "Who will be the next permanent leader of the Liberal Democrats, after Ed Davey?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.179233218", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "This market will be settled based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Liberal Democrat leader after Ed Davey. Any interim or temporary leader will not count. Betfair reserves the right to suspend, cancel unmatched bets and turn in-play or re-open this market as and when information becomes available to it. Additional runners may be added upon request. In the event of any ambiguity over an announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Liberal Democrats. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ @@ -5332,16 +5308,16 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.745Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3, + "stars": 2, "volume": 46 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Sarah Olney, Daisy Cooper, Layla Moran, Alistair Carmichael" }, { "title": "Will there be an Australian Federal Election take place in 2021?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.180015935", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "For the avoidance of doubt this market is for the House Of Representatives and any Senate-only elections will not count for the purposes of this market. Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time. Betfair is NOT responsible for suspending the market once an official announcement is made. However, once Betfair becomes aware of an official announcement, we will suspend the market. This market will be settled based on the first date officially declared as Election day by the Government. Should the date of the Election subsequently be changed, for whatever reason, the result of this market will NOT be affected. This is a cross-matching market.", "options": [ @@ -5356,83 +5332,83 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.745Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 10326.9 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 10315.26 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, { "title": "Liberal Leader - Next Election: Who will be the leader of the named political party at 8:00am AEST on voting day of the next Australian Federal Election?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.180957876", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "Unmatched bets will not be cancelled at any time. Other eligible candidates may be added on request.", "options": [ { "name": "Scott Morrison", - "probability": 0.7640183728227751, + "probability": 0.7669140146962637, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Josh Frydenberg", - "probability": 0.06821592614489062, + "probability": 0.0673788741483146, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Peter Dutton", - "probability": 0.15917049433807812, + "probability": 0.15721737301273406, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Greg Hunt", - "probability": 0.004775114830142344, + "probability": 0.004716521190382022, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alan Tudge", - "probability": 0.0038200918641138754, + "probability": 0.003773216952305618, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.890Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.745Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 10267.64 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 10260.91 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Scott Morrison, Josh Frydenberg, Peter Dutton, Greg Hunt, Alan Tudge" }, { "title": "When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader?", - "url": "https://betfair.com", + "url": "https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.183324545", "platform": "Betfair", "description": "We will settle this market on the date the Labour Party officially announce their new Permanent Party Leader after Keir Starmer. Temporary/interim leaders do not count. If a temporary/interim leader is appointed we will wait until the date of the announcement of the Permanent Leader before settling. This market will be void if the Party Leader dies while in office. If the Party Leader is unable to fulfil his/her role due to health reasons and is therefore permanently replaced this market will be void Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times. Betfair will not be responsible for suspending the market when an official announcement is made by the Labour Party. However, Betfair will suspend the market as soon as it becomes aware of an official announcement. In the event of any ambiguity over an official announcement, Betfair may determine, using its reasonable discretion, how to settle the market based on all the information available to it at the relevant time. Betfair reserves the right to wait for further official announcements before the market is settled. Betfair expressly reserves the right to suspend and/or void any and all bets on this market at any time in the event that Betfair is not satisfied (in its absolute discretion) with the certainty of the outcome.", "options": [ { "name": "2021", - "probability": 0.04593257915979763, + "probability": 0.04571428571428572, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2022", - "probability": 0.2755954749587858, + "probability": 0.2742857142857143, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2023", - "probability": 0.20095503382411464, + "probability": 0.20000000000000004, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024 or later", - "probability": 0.4775169120573021, + "probability": 0.4800000000000001, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:26.890Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:14.745Z", "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 4, - "volume": 3369.45 + "stars": 3, + "volume": 3413.18 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 or later" }, @@ -5440,20 +5416,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Afghanistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Afghanistan is Ashraf Ghani, who has been in power for 7.0 years. Afghanistan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Afghanistan is Ashraf Ghani, who has been in power for 7.0 years. Afghanistan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003908", + "probability": "0.002138", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996092, + "probability": 0.997862, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.533Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.846Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5463,9 +5439,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ashraf Ghani", - "month_risk": "0.0003908", - "annual_risk": "0.0083593", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.002138", + "annual_risk": "0.0102657", + "risk_change_percent": "0.18", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "7", "country_code": "AFG", @@ -5477,20 +5453,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Afghanistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Afghanistan is Ashraf Ghani, who has been in power for 7.0 years. Afghanistan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Afghanistan is Ashraf Ghani, who has been in power for 7.0 years. Afghanistan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0083593", + "probability": "0.0102657", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9916407, + "probability": 0.9897343, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.533Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.846Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5500,9 +5476,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ashraf Ghani", - "month_risk": "0.0003908", - "annual_risk": "0.0083593", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.002138", + "annual_risk": "0.0102657", + "risk_change_percent": "0.18", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "7", "country_code": "AFG", @@ -5514,20 +5490,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Albania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Albania is Rama, who has been in power for 8.0 years. Albania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Albania is Rama, who has been in power for 8.0 years. Albania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002781", + "probability": "0.0002476", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997219, + "probability": 0.9997524, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.846Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5537,8 +5513,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rama", - "month_risk": "0.0002781", - "annual_risk": "0.0053848", + "month_risk": "0.0002476", + "annual_risk": "0.0037592", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "8", @@ -5551,20 +5527,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Albania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Albania is Rama, who has been in power for 8.0 years. Albania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Albania is Rama, who has been in power for 8.0 years. Albania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0053848", + "probability": "0.0037592", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9946152, + "probability": 0.9962408, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.846Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5574,8 +5550,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rama", - "month_risk": "0.0002781", - "annual_risk": "0.0053848", + "month_risk": "0.0002476", + "annual_risk": "0.0037592", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "8", @@ -5588,20 +5564,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Algeria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Algeria is Tebboune, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Algeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "description": "The current leader of Algeria is Tebboune, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Algeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004545", + "probability": "0.0003981", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995455, + "probability": 0.9996019, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.846Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5611,8 +5587,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tebboune", - "month_risk": "0.0004545", - "annual_risk": "0.0124602", + "month_risk": "0.0003981", + "annual_risk": "0.0105218", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "1", "leader_years": "1.75", @@ -5625,20 +5601,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Algeria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Algeria is Tebboune, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Algeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "description": "The current leader of Algeria is Tebboune, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Algeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0124602", + "probability": "0.0105218", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9875398, + "probability": 0.9894782, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5648,8 +5624,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tebboune", - "month_risk": "0.0004545", - "annual_risk": "0.0124602", + "month_risk": "0.0003981", + "annual_risk": "0.0105218", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "1", "leader_years": "1.75", @@ -5662,20 +5638,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Andorra in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Andorra is Espot Zamora, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Andorra has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "description": "The current leader of Andorra is Espot Zamora, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Andorra has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001223", + "probability": "0.0000979", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998777, + "probability": 0.9999021, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5685,8 +5661,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Espot Zamora", - "month_risk": "0.0001223", - "annual_risk": "0.0014719", + "month_risk": "0.0000979", + "annual_risk": "0.0011783", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "40", "leader_years": "2.333333", @@ -5699,20 +5675,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Andorra in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Andorra is Espot Zamora, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Andorra has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "description": "The current leader of Andorra is Espot Zamora, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Andorra has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0014719", + "probability": "0.0011783", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9985281, + "probability": 0.9988217, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5722,8 +5698,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Espot Zamora", - "month_risk": "0.0001223", - "annual_risk": "0.0014719", + "month_risk": "0.0000979", + "annual_risk": "0.0011783", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "40", "leader_years": "2.333333", @@ -5736,20 +5712,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Angola in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Angola is Lourenco, who has been in power for 4.0 years. Angola has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", + "description": "The current leader of Angola is Lourenco, who has been in power for 4.0 years. Angola has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004622", + "probability": "0.000434", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995378, + "probability": 0.999566, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5759,9 +5735,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lourenco", - "month_risk": "0.0004622", - "annual_risk": "0.0141767", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", + "month_risk": "0.000434", + "annual_risk": "0.007544", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "46", "leader_years": "4", "country_code": "AGO", @@ -5773,20 +5749,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Angola in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Angola is Lourenco, who has been in power for 4.0 years. Angola has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", + "description": "The current leader of Angola is Lourenco, who has been in power for 4.0 years. Angola has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0141767", + "probability": "0.007544", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9858233, + "probability": 0.992456, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5796,9 +5772,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lourenco", - "month_risk": "0.0004622", - "annual_risk": "0.0141767", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", + "month_risk": "0.000434", + "annual_risk": "0.007544", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "46", "leader_years": "4", "country_code": "AGO", @@ -5810,20 +5786,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Antigua and Barbuda in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Antigua and Barbuda is Browne, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Antigua and Barbuda has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "description": "The current leader of Antigua and Barbuda is Browne, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Antigua and Barbuda has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003247", + "probability": "0.0002956", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996753, + "probability": 0.9997044, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5833,8 +5809,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Browne", - "month_risk": "0.0003247", - "annual_risk": "0.0038642", + "month_risk": "0.0002956", + "annual_risk": "0.0035118", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "40", "leader_years": "7.25", @@ -5847,20 +5823,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Antigua and Barbuda in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Antigua and Barbuda is Browne, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Antigua and Barbuda has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "description": "The current leader of Antigua and Barbuda is Browne, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Antigua and Barbuda has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0038642", + "probability": "0.0035118", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9961358, + "probability": 0.9964882, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5870,8 +5846,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Browne", - "month_risk": "0.0003247", - "annual_risk": "0.0038642", + "month_risk": "0.0002956", + "annual_risk": "0.0035118", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "40", "leader_years": "7.25", @@ -5884,20 +5860,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Argentina in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Argentina is Fernandez, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Argentina has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 38 years", + "description": "The current leader of Argentina is Fernandez, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Argentina has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 38 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003426", + "probability": "0.000314", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996574, + "probability": 0.999686, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5907,8 +5883,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Fernandez", - "month_risk": "0.0003426", - "annual_risk": "0.0040547", + "month_risk": "0.000314", + "annual_risk": "0.0037131", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "38", "leader_years": "1.75", @@ -5921,20 +5897,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Argentina in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Argentina is Fernandez, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Argentina has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 38 years", + "description": "The current leader of Argentina is Fernandez, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Argentina has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 38 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0040547", + "probability": "0.0037131", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9959453, + "probability": 0.9962869, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -5944,8 +5920,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Fernandez", - "month_risk": "0.0003426", - "annual_risk": "0.0040547", + "month_risk": "0.000314", + "annual_risk": "0.0037131", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "38", "leader_years": "1.75", @@ -5958,20 +5934,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Armenia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Armenia is Pashinyan, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Armenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", + "description": "The current leader of Armenia is Pashinyan, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Armenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0027045", + "probability": "0.0005816", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9972955, + "probability": 0.9994184, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -5981,9 +5957,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Pashinyan", - "month_risk": "0.0027045", - "annual_risk": "0.010475", - "risk_change_percent": "0.21", + "month_risk": "0.0005816", + "annual_risk": "0.0084923", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "3", "leader_years": "3.333333", "country_code": "ARM", @@ -5995,20 +5971,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Armenia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Armenia is Pashinyan, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Armenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", + "description": "The current leader of Armenia is Pashinyan, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Armenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.010475", + "probability": "0.0084923", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.989525, + "probability": 0.9915077, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -6018,9 +5994,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Pashinyan", - "month_risk": "0.0027045", - "annual_risk": "0.010475", - "risk_change_percent": "0.21", + "month_risk": "0.0005816", + "annual_risk": "0.0084923", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "3", "leader_years": "3.333333", "country_code": "ARM", @@ -6032,20 +6008,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Australia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Australia is Morrison, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Australia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 120 years", + "description": "The current leader of Australia is Morrison, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Australia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 120 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000844", + "probability": "0.0000644", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999156, + "probability": 0.9999356, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -6055,8 +6031,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Morrison", - "month_risk": "0.0000844", - "annual_risk": "0.0010096", + "month_risk": "0.0000644", + "annual_risk": "0.0007725", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "120", "leader_years": "3.083333", @@ -6069,20 +6045,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Australia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Australia is Morrison, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Australia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 120 years", + "description": "The current leader of Australia is Morrison, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Australia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 120 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0010096", + "probability": "0.0007725", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9989904, + "probability": 0.9992275, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -6092,8 +6068,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Morrison", - "month_risk": "0.0000844", - "annual_risk": "0.0010096", + "month_risk": "0.0000644", + "annual_risk": "0.0007725", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "120", "leader_years": "3.083333", @@ -6106,20 +6082,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Austria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Austria is Kurz, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Austria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 66 years", + "description": "The current leader of Austria is Kurz, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Austria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 66 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001046", + "probability": "0.000082", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998954, + "probability": 0.999918, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -6129,8 +6105,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Kurz", - "month_risk": "0.0001046", - "annual_risk": "0.0012454", + "month_risk": "0.000082", + "annual_risk": "0.0009756", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "66", "leader_years": "1.666667", @@ -6143,20 +6119,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Austria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Austria is Kurz, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Austria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 66 years", + "description": "The current leader of Austria is Kurz, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Austria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 66 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0012454", + "probability": "0.0009756", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9987546, + "probability": 0.9990244, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -6166,8 +6142,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Kurz", - "month_risk": "0.0001046", - "annual_risk": "0.0012454", + "month_risk": "0.000082", + "annual_risk": "0.0009756", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "66", "leader_years": "1.666667", @@ -6180,9405 +6156,7 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Azerbaijan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Azerbaijan is Ilhma Aliyev, who has been in power for 17.9 years. Azerbaijan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003747", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996253, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Azerbaijan", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ilhma Aliyev", - "month_risk": "0.0003747", - "annual_risk": "0.0045437", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "17.91667", - "country_code": "AZE", - "country_abb": "AZE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Azerbaijan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Azerbaijan is Ilhma Aliyev, who has been in power for 17.9 years. Azerbaijan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045437", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954563, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Azerbaijan", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ilhma Aliyev", - "month_risk": "0.0003747", - "annual_risk": "0.0045437", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "17.91667", - "country_code": "AZE", - "country_abb": "AZE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahamas in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bahamas is Hubert Minnis, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bahamas has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 48 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002203", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997797, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bahamas", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hubert Minnis", - "month_risk": "0.0002203", - "annual_risk": "0.0026528", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "48", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "BHS", - "country_abb": "BHM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahamas in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bahamas is Hubert Minnis, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bahamas has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 48 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0026528", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9973472, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bahamas", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hubert Minnis", - "month_risk": "0.0002203", - "annual_risk": "0.0026528", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "48", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "BHS", - "country_abb": "BHM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahrain in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bahrain is Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah, who has been in power for 22.5 years. Bahrain has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000383", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999617, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bahrain", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah", - "month_risk": "0.000383", - "annual_risk": "0.0044777", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "50", - "leader_years": "22.5", - "country_code": "BHR", - "country_abb": "BAH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahrain in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bahrain is Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah, who has been in power for 22.5 years. Bahrain has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0044777", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9955223, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bahrain", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah", - "month_risk": "0.000383", - "annual_risk": "0.0044777", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "50", - "leader_years": "22.5", - "country_code": "BHR", - "country_abb": "BAH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bangladesh in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bangladesh is Hasina Wazed, who has been in power for 12.7 years. Bangladesh has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003061", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996939, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bangladesh", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hasina Wazed", - "month_risk": "0.0003061", - "annual_risk": "0.0066026", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "12.66667", - "country_code": "BGD", - "country_abb": "BNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bangladesh in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bangladesh is Hasina Wazed, who has been in power for 12.7 years. Bangladesh has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0066026", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9933974, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bangladesh", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hasina Wazed", - "month_risk": "0.0003061", - "annual_risk": "0.0066026", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "12.66667", - "country_code": "BGD", - "country_abb": "BNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Barbados in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Barbados is Mia Mottley, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Barbados has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 55 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002882", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997118, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Barbados", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mia Mottley", - "month_risk": "0.0002882", - "annual_risk": "0.0034333", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "55", - "leader_years": "3.333333", - "country_code": "BRB", - "country_abb": "BAR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Barbados in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Barbados is Mia Mottley, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Barbados has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 55 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0034333", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9965667, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Barbados", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mia Mottley", - "month_risk": "0.0002882", - "annual_risk": "0.0034333", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "55", - "leader_years": "3.333333", - "country_code": "BRB", - "country_abb": "BAR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belarus in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belarus is Lukashenko, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Belarus has a personal regime type which has lasted for 27 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000346", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999654, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belarus", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lukashenko", - "month_risk": "0.000346", - "annual_risk": "0.0041319", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "27", - "leader_years": "27.16667", - "country_code": "BLR", - "country_abb": "BLR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belarus in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belarus is Lukashenko, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Belarus has a personal regime type which has lasted for 27 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0041319", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9958681, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belarus", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lukashenko", - "month_risk": "0.000346", - "annual_risk": "0.0041319", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "27", - "leader_years": "27.16667", - "country_code": "BLR", - "country_abb": "BLR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belgium in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belgium is Alexander De Croo, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Belgium has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 101 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001059", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998941, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belgium", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Alexander De Croo", - "month_risk": "0.0001059", - "annual_risk": "0.0012805", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "101", - "leader_years": "0.9166667", - "country_code": "BEL", - "country_abb": "BEL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belgium in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belgium is Alexander De Croo, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Belgium has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 101 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0012805", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9987195, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belgium", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Alexander De Croo", - "month_risk": "0.0001059", - "annual_risk": "0.0012805", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "101", - "leader_years": "0.9166667", - "country_code": "BEL", - "country_abb": "BEL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belize in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belize is Juan Antonio Briceno, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Belize has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003736", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996264, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belize", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Juan Antonio Briceno", - "month_risk": "0.0003736", - "annual_risk": "0.0046881", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "40", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BLZ", - "country_abb": "BLZ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Belize in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Belize is Juan Antonio Briceno, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Belize has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046881", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953119, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Belize", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Juan Antonio Briceno", - "month_risk": "0.0003736", - "annual_risk": "0.0046881", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "40", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BLZ", - "country_abb": "BLZ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Benin in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Benin is Talon, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Benin has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005051", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994949, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.534Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Benin", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Talon", - "month_risk": "0.0005051", - "annual_risk": "0.011861", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "5.416667", - "country_code": "BEN", - "country_abb": "BEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Benin in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Benin is Talon, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Benin has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.011861", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.988139, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Benin", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Talon", - "month_risk": "0.0005051", - "annual_risk": "0.011861", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "5.416667", - "country_code": "BEN", - "country_abb": "BEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bhutan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bhutan is Lotay Tshering, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Bhutan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000563", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999437, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bhutan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lotay Tshering", - "month_risk": "0.000563", - "annual_risk": "0.006542", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.833333", - "country_code": "BTN", - "country_abb": "BHU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bhutan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bhutan is Lotay Tshering, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Bhutan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.006542", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.993458, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bhutan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lotay Tshering", - "month_risk": "0.000563", - "annual_risk": "0.006542", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.833333", - "country_code": "BTN", - "country_abb": "BHU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bolivia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bolivia is Arce, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bolivia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006483", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993517, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bolivia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Arce", - "month_risk": "0.0006483", - "annual_risk": "0.0082079", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BOL", - "country_abb": "BOL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bolivia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bolivia is Arce, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bolivia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0082079", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9917921, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bolivia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Arce", - "month_risk": "0.0006483", - "annual_risk": "0.0082079", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BOL", - "country_abb": "BOL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bosnia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bosnia is Dodik, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bosnia has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 26 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002783", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997217, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bosnia", - "regime_type": "Foreign", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Dodik", - "month_risk": "0.0002783", - "annual_risk": "0.0033573", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "26", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BIH", - "country_abb": "BOS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bosnia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bosnia is Dodik, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bosnia has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 26 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0033573", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9966427, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bosnia", - "regime_type": "Foreign", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Dodik", - "month_risk": "0.0002783", - "annual_risk": "0.0033573", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "26", - "leader_years": "0.8333333", - "country_code": "BIH", - "country_abb": "BOS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Botswana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Botswana is Mokgweetsi Masisi, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Botswana has a party regime type which has lasted for 55 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003849", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996151, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Botswana", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mokgweetsi Masisi", - "month_risk": "0.0003849", - "annual_risk": "0.0061", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "55", - "leader_years": "3.416667", - "country_code": "BWA", - "country_abb": "BOT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Botswana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Botswana is Mokgweetsi Masisi, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Botswana has a party regime type which has lasted for 55 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0061", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9939, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Botswana", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mokgweetsi Masisi", - "month_risk": "0.0003849", - "annual_risk": "0.0061", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "55", - "leader_years": "3.416667", - "country_code": "BWA", - "country_abb": "BOT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Brazil in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Brazil is Bolsonaro, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Brazil has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003394", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996606, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Brazil", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bolsonaro", - "month_risk": "0.0003394", - "annual_risk": "0.0040732", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "37", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "BRA", - "country_abb": "BRA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Brazil in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Brazil is Bolsonaro, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Brazil has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0040732", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9959268, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Brazil", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bolsonaro", - "month_risk": "0.0003394", - "annual_risk": "0.0040732", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "37", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "BRA", - "country_abb": "BRA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Brunei in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Brunei is Hassanal Bolkiah, who has been in power for 53.9 years. Brunei has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002188", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997812, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Brunei", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hassanal Bolkiah", - "month_risk": "0.0002188", - "annual_risk": "0.0025746", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "53.91667", - "country_code": "BRN", - "country_abb": "BRU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Brunei in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Brunei is Hassanal Bolkiah, who has been in power for 53.9 years. Brunei has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0025746", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9974254, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Brunei", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hassanal Bolkiah", - "month_risk": "0.0002188", - "annual_risk": "0.0025746", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "53.91667", - "country_code": "BRN", - "country_abb": "BRU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bulgaria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bulgaria is Boiko Borisov, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bulgaria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003009", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996991, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bulgaria", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Boiko Borisov", - "month_risk": "0.0003009", - "annual_risk": "0.0045022", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "BGR", - "country_abb": "BUL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Bulgaria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Bulgaria is Boiko Borisov, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bulgaria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045022", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954978, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Bulgaria", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Boiko Borisov", - "month_risk": "0.0003009", - "annual_risk": "0.0045022", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "BGR", - "country_abb": "BUL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Burkina Faso in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Burkina Faso is Kabore, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Burkina Faso has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 6 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008891", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991109, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Burkina Faso", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kabore", - "month_risk": "0.0008891", - "annual_risk": "0.0281841", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "6", - "leader_years": "5.75", - "country_code": "BFA", - "country_abb": "BFO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Burkina Faso in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Burkina Faso is Kabore, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Burkina Faso has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 6 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0281841", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9718159, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Burkina Faso", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kabore", - "month_risk": "0.0008891", - "annual_risk": "0.0281841", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "6", - "leader_years": "5.75", - "country_code": "BFA", - "country_abb": "BFO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Burundi in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Burundi is Ndayishimiye, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Burundi has a personal regime type which has lasted for 6 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008415", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991585, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Burundi", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ndayishimiye", - "month_risk": "0.0008415", - "annual_risk": "0.0180475", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.27", - "regime_years": "6", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "BDI", - "country_abb": "BUI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Burundi in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Burundi is Ndayishimiye, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Burundi has a personal regime type which has lasted for 6 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0180475", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9819525, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Burundi", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ndayishimiye", - "month_risk": "0.0008415", - "annual_risk": "0.0180475", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.27", - "regime_years": "6", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "BDI", - "country_abb": "BUI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cambodia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cambodia is Hun Sen, who has been in power for 24.2 years. Cambodia has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.002223", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.997777, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cambodia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hun Sen", - "month_risk": "0.002223", - "annual_risk": "0.0056765", - "risk_change_percent": "0.19", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "24.16667", - "country_code": "KHM", - "country_abb": "CAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cambodia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cambodia is Hun Sen, who has been in power for 24.2 years. Cambodia has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0056765", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9943235, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cambodia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hun Sen", - "month_risk": "0.002223", - "annual_risk": "0.0056765", - "risk_change_percent": "0.19", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "24.16667", - "country_code": "KHM", - "country_abb": "CAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cameroon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cameroon is Biya, who has been in power for 38.8 years. Cameroon has a personal regime type which has lasted for 38 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005336", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994664, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cameroon", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Biya", - "month_risk": "0.0005336", - "annual_risk": "0.0154792", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "38", - "leader_years": "38.83333", - "country_code": "CMR", - "country_abb": "CAO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cameroon in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cameroon is Biya, who has been in power for 38.8 years. Cameroon has a personal regime type which has lasted for 38 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0154792", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9845208, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cameroon", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Biya", - "month_risk": "0.0005336", - "annual_risk": "0.0154792", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "38", - "leader_years": "38.83333", - "country_code": "CMR", - "country_abb": "CAO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Canada in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Canada is Trudeau, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Canada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 90 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001147", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998853, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Canada", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Trudeau", - "month_risk": "0.0001147", - "annual_risk": "0.001366", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "90", - "leader_years": "5.833333", - "country_code": "CAN", - "country_abb": "CAN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Canada in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Canada is Trudeau, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Canada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 90 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.001366", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.998634, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Canada", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Trudeau", - "month_risk": "0.0001147", - "annual_risk": "0.001366", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "90", - "leader_years": "5.833333", - "country_code": "CAN", - "country_abb": "CAN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cape Verde in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cape Verde is Correia e Silva, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Cape Verde has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004125", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995875, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cape Verde", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Correia e Silva", - "month_risk": "0.0004125", - "annual_risk": "0.0083728", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "5.416667", - "country_code": "CPV", - "country_abb": "CAP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cape Verde in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cape Verde is Correia e Silva, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Cape Verde has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0083728", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9916272, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cape Verde", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Correia e Silva", - "month_risk": "0.0004125", - "annual_risk": "0.0083728", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "5.416667", - "country_code": "CPV", - "country_abb": "CAP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Central African Republic in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Central African Republic is Touadera, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Central African Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008726", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991274, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Central African Republic", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Touadera", - "month_risk": "0.0008726", - "annual_risk": "0.0188636", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "CAF", - "country_abb": "CEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Central African Republic in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Central African Republic is Touadera, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Central African Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0188636", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9811364, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Central African Republic", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Touadera", - "month_risk": "0.0008726", - "annual_risk": "0.0188636", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "CAF", - "country_abb": "CEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Chad in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Chad is Mahamat Idriss Deby, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Chad has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0057072", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9942928, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Chad", - "regime_type": "Military Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mahamat Idriss Deby", - "month_risk": "0.0057072", - "annual_risk": "0.0702118", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.19", - "regime_years": "0", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", - "country_code": "TCD", - "country_abb": "CHA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Chad in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Chad is Mahamat Idriss Deby, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Chad has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0702118", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9297882, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Chad", - "regime_type": "Military Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mahamat Idriss Deby", - "month_risk": "0.0057072", - "annual_risk": "0.0702118", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.19", - "regime_years": "0", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", - "country_code": "TCD", - "country_abb": "CHA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Chile in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Chile is Sebastian Pinera, who has been in power for 3.5 years. Chile has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004309", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995691, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Chile", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sebastian Pinera", - "month_risk": "0.0004309", - "annual_risk": "0.0073687", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "3.5", - "country_code": "CHL", - "country_abb": "CHL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Chile in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Chile is Sebastian Pinera, who has been in power for 3.5 years. Chile has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0073687", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9926313, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Chile", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sebastian Pinera", - "month_risk": "0.0004309", - "annual_risk": "0.0073687", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "3.5", - "country_code": "CHL", - "country_abb": "CHL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in China in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of China is Xi Jinping, who has been in power for 8.8 years. China has a party regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000938", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999062, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "China", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Xi Jinping", - "month_risk": "0.0000938", - "annual_risk": "0.0020607", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "8.833333", - "country_code": "CHN", - "country_abb": "CHN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in China in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of China is Xi Jinping, who has been in power for 8.8 years. China has a party regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0020607", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9979393, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "China", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Xi Jinping", - "month_risk": "0.0000938", - "annual_risk": "0.0020607", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "8.833333", - "country_code": "CHN", - "country_abb": "CHN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Colombia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Colombia is Ivan Duque, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Colombia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003752", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996248, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Colombia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ivan Duque", - "month_risk": "0.0003752", - "annual_risk": "0.0045642", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "COL", - "country_abb": "COL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Colombia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Colombia is Ivan Duque, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Colombia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045642", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954358, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Colombia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ivan Duque", - "month_risk": "0.0003752", - "annual_risk": "0.0045642", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "COL", - "country_abb": "COL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Comoros in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Comoros is Assoumani, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Comoros has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0012844", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9987156, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Comoros", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Assoumani", - "month_risk": "0.0012844", - "annual_risk": "0.0178781", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "COM", - "country_abb": "COM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Comoros in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Comoros is Assoumani, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Comoros has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0178781", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9821219, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Comoros", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Assoumani", - "month_risk": "0.0012844", - "annual_risk": "0.0178781", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "COM", - "country_abb": "COM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Republic of the Congo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Republic of the Congo is Nguesso, who has been in power for 23.9 years. Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006594", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993406, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Republic of the Congo", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nguesso", - "month_risk": "0.0006594", - "annual_risk": "0.0197742", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "24", - "leader_years": "23.91667", - "country_code": "COG", - "country_abb": "CON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Republic of the Congo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Republic of the Congo is Nguesso, who has been in power for 23.9 years. Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0197742", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9802258, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Republic of the Congo", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nguesso", - "month_risk": "0.0006594", - "annual_risk": "0.0197742", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "24", - "leader_years": "23.91667", - "country_code": "COG", - "country_abb": "CON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Democratic Republic of the Congo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Democratic Republic of the Congo is Felix Tschisekedi, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Democratic Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005373", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994627, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Felix Tschisekedi", - "month_risk": "0.0005373", - "annual_risk": "0.009082", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "24", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "COD", - "country_abb": "DRC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Democratic Republic of the Congo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Democratic Republic of the Congo is Felix Tschisekedi, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Democratic Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.009082", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.990918, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Felix Tschisekedi", - "month_risk": "0.0005373", - "annual_risk": "0.009082", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "24", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "COD", - "country_abb": "DRC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Costa Rica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Costa Rica is Carlos Alvarado Quesada, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Costa Rica has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 72 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003659", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996341, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Costa Rica", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Carlos Alvarado Quesada", - "month_risk": "0.0003659", - "annual_risk": "0.0043218", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "3.333333", - "country_code": "CRI", - "country_abb": "COS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Costa Rica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Costa Rica is Carlos Alvarado Quesada, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Costa Rica has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 72 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0043218", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9956782, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Costa Rica", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Carlos Alvarado Quesada", - "month_risk": "0.0003659", - "annual_risk": "0.0043218", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "3.333333", - "country_code": "CRI", - "country_abb": "COS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Croatia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Croatia is Plenkovic, who has been in power for 4.9 years. Croatia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002556", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997444, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Croatia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Plenkovic", - "month_risk": "0.0002556", - "annual_risk": "0.0030326", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "4.916667", - "country_code": "HRV", - "country_abb": "CRO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Croatia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Croatia is Plenkovic, who has been in power for 4.9 years. Croatia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0030326", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9969674, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Croatia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Plenkovic", - "month_risk": "0.0002556", - "annual_risk": "0.0030326", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "4.916667", - "country_code": "HRV", - "country_abb": "CRO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cuba in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cuba is Raul Castro, who has been in power for 13.6 years. Cuba has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006499", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993501, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cuba", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Raul Castro", - "month_risk": "0.0006499", - "annual_risk": "0.0116176", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "13.58333", - "country_code": "CUB", - "country_abb": "CUB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cuba in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cuba is Raul Castro, who has been in power for 13.6 years. Cuba has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0116176", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9883824, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cuba", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Raul Castro", - "month_risk": "0.0006499", - "annual_risk": "0.0116176", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "13.58333", - "country_code": "CUB", - "country_abb": "CUB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cyprus in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cyprus is Nikos Anastasiadis, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Cyprus has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 61 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001413", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998587, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cyprus", - "regime_type": "Foreign", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nikos Anastasiadis", - "month_risk": "0.0001413", - "annual_risk": "0.0017001", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "61", - "leader_years": "8.583333", - "country_code": "CYP", - "country_abb": "CYP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Cyprus in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Cyprus is Nikos Anastasiadis, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Cyprus has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 61 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0017001", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9982999, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Cyprus", - "regime_type": "Foreign", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nikos Anastasiadis", - "month_risk": "0.0001413", - "annual_risk": "0.0017001", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "61", - "leader_years": "8.583333", - "country_code": "CYP", - "country_abb": "CYP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Czech Republic in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Czech Republic is Andrej Babis, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Czech Republic has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002695", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997305, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.535Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Czech Republic", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Andrej Babis", - "month_risk": "0.0002695", - "annual_risk": "0.0030606", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "3.75", - "country_code": "CZE", - "country_abb": "CZR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Czech Republic in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Czech Republic is Andrej Babis, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Czech Republic has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0030606", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9969394, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Czech Republic", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Andrej Babis", - "month_risk": "0.0002695", - "annual_risk": "0.0030606", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "3.75", - "country_code": "CZE", - "country_abb": "CZR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Denmark in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Denmark is Mette Frederiksen, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Denmark has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 121 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000774", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999226, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Denmark", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mette Frederiksen", - "month_risk": "0.0000774", - "annual_risk": "0.0009277", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "121", - "leader_years": "2.25", - "country_code": "DNK", - "country_abb": "DEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Denmark in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Denmark is Mette Frederiksen, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Denmark has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 121 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009277", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990723, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Denmark", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mette Frederiksen", - "month_risk": "0.0000774", - "annual_risk": "0.0009277", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "121", - "leader_years": "2.25", - "country_code": "DNK", - "country_abb": "DEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Djibouti in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Djibouti is Guelleh, who has been in power for 22.3 years. Djibouti has a personal regime type which has lasted for 44 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000631", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999369, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Djibouti", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Guelleh", - "month_risk": "0.000631", - "annual_risk": "0.0171901", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "44", - "leader_years": "22.33333", - "country_code": "DJI", - "country_abb": "DJI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Djibouti in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Djibouti is Guelleh, who has been in power for 22.3 years. Djibouti has a personal regime type which has lasted for 44 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0171901", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9828099, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Djibouti", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Guelleh", - "month_risk": "0.000631", - "annual_risk": "0.0171901", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "44", - "leader_years": "22.33333", - "country_code": "DJI", - "country_abb": "DJI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Dominica is Roosevelt Skerrit, who has been in power for 17.7 years. Dominica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003857", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996143, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Dominica", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Roosevelt Skerrit", - "month_risk": "0.0003857", - "annual_risk": "0.0045622", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "17.66667", - "country_code": "DMA", - "country_abb": "DMA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Dominica is Roosevelt Skerrit, who has been in power for 17.7 years. Dominica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045622", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954378, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Dominica", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Roosevelt Skerrit", - "month_risk": "0.0003857", - "annual_risk": "0.0045622", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "17.66667", - "country_code": "DMA", - "country_abb": "DMA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominican Republic in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Dominican Republic is Luis Abinader, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Dominican Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004208", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995792, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Dominican Republic", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Luis Abinader", - "month_risk": "0.0004208", - "annual_risk": "0.0050992", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "DOM", - "country_abb": "DOM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominican Republic in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Dominican Republic is Luis Abinader, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Dominican Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0050992", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9949008, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Dominican Republic", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Luis Abinader", - "month_risk": "0.0004208", - "annual_risk": "0.0050992", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "DOM", - "country_abb": "DOM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in East Timor in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of East Timor is Francisco Guterres, who has been in power for 4.3 years. East Timor has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006542", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993458, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "East Timor", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Francisco Guterres", - "month_risk": "0.0006542", - "annual_risk": "0.0149412", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "19", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "TLS", - "country_abb": "ETM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in East Timor in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of East Timor is Francisco Guterres, who has been in power for 4.3 years. East Timor has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0149412", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9850588, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "East Timor", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Francisco Guterres", - "month_risk": "0.0006542", - "annual_risk": "0.0149412", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "19", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "TLS", - "country_abb": "ETM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ecuador in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ecuador is Lenin Moreno, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Ecuador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006201", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993799, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ecuador", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lenin Moreno", - "month_risk": "0.0006201", - "annual_risk": "0.0095171", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "ECU", - "country_abb": "ECU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ecuador in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ecuador is Lenin Moreno, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Ecuador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0095171", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9904828999999999, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ecuador", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lenin Moreno", - "month_risk": "0.0006201", - "annual_risk": "0.0095171", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "ECU", - "country_abb": "ECU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Egypt in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Egypt is al-Sisi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Egypt has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004358", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995642, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Egypt", - "regime_type": "Military-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "al-Sisi", - "month_risk": "0.0004358", - "annual_risk": "0.0126966", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "2", - "leader_years": "7.25", - "country_code": "EGY", - "country_abb": "EGY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Egypt in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Egypt is al-Sisi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Egypt has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0126966", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9873034, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Egypt", - "regime_type": "Military-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "al-Sisi", - "month_risk": "0.0004358", - "annual_risk": "0.0126966", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "2", - "leader_years": "7.25", - "country_code": "EGY", - "country_abb": "EGY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in El Salvador in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of El Salvador is Nayib Bukele, who has been in power for 2.3 years. El Salvador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004644", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995356, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "El Salvador", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nayib Bukele", - "month_risk": "0.0004644", - "annual_risk": "0.0055411", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.25", - "country_code": "SLV", - "country_abb": "SAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in El Salvador in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of El Salvador is Nayib Bukele, who has been in power for 2.3 years. El Salvador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0055411", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9944589, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "El Salvador", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nayib Bukele", - "month_risk": "0.0004644", - "annual_risk": "0.0055411", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.25", - "country_code": "SLV", - "country_abb": "SAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Equatorial Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Equatorial Guinea is Nguema Mbasogo, who has been in power for 42.1 years. Equatorial Guinea has a personal regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006667", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993333, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nguema Mbasogo", - "month_risk": "0.0006667", - "annual_risk": "0.0104083", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.26", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "42.08333", - "country_code": "GNQ", - "country_abb": "EQG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Equatorial Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Equatorial Guinea is Nguema Mbasogo, who has been in power for 42.1 years. Equatorial Guinea has a personal regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0104083", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9895917, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nguema Mbasogo", - "month_risk": "0.0006667", - "annual_risk": "0.0104083", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.26", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "42.08333", - "country_code": "GNQ", - "country_abb": "EQG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Eritrea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Eritrea is Afeworki, who has been in power for 28.3 years. Eritrea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009015", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990985, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Eritrea", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Afeworki", - "month_risk": "0.0009015", - "annual_risk": "0.0138438", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "28.33333", - "country_code": "ERI", - "country_abb": "ERI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Eritrea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Eritrea is Afeworki, who has been in power for 28.3 years. Eritrea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0138438", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9861562, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Eritrea", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Afeworki", - "month_risk": "0.0009015", - "annual_risk": "0.0138438", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "28.33333", - "country_code": "ERI", - "country_abb": "ERI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Estonia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Estonia is Kaja Kallas, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Estonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001953", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998047, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Estonia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kaja Kallas", - "month_risk": "0.0001953", - "annual_risk": "0.0023358", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "EST", - "country_abb": "EST" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Estonia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Estonia is Kaja Kallas, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Estonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0023358", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9976642, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Estonia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kaja Kallas", - "month_risk": "0.0001953", - "annual_risk": "0.0023358", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "EST", - "country_abb": "EST" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ethiopia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ethiopia is Abiy Ahmed, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Ethiopia has a party regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005523", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994477, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ethiopia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abiy Ahmed", - "month_risk": "0.0005523", - "annual_risk": "0.0094651", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "3.416667", - "country_code": "ETH", - "country_abb": "ETH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ethiopia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ethiopia is Abiy Ahmed, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Ethiopia has a party regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0094651", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9905349, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ethiopia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abiy Ahmed", - "month_risk": "0.0005523", - "annual_risk": "0.0094651", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "3.416667", - "country_code": "ETH", - "country_abb": "ETH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Fiji in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Fiji is Bainimarama, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Fiji has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006118", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993882, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Fiji", - "regime_type": "Military-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bainimarama", - "month_risk": "0.0006118", - "annual_risk": "0.0139092", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "14.66667", - "country_code": "FJI", - "country_abb": "FIJ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Fiji in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Fiji is Bainimarama, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Fiji has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0139092", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9860908, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Fiji", - "regime_type": "Military-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bainimarama", - "month_risk": "0.0006118", - "annual_risk": "0.0139092", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "14.66667", - "country_code": "FJI", - "country_abb": "FIJ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Finland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Finland is Sanna Marin, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Finland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001197", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998803, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Finland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sanna Marin", - "month_risk": "0.0001197", - "annual_risk": "0.0014389", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "1.75", - "country_code": "FIN", - "country_abb": "FIN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Finland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Finland is Sanna Marin, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Finland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0014389", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9985611, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Finland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sanna Marin", - "month_risk": "0.0001197", - "annual_risk": "0.0014389", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "1.75", - "country_code": "FIN", - "country_abb": "FIN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in France in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of France is Macron, who has been in power for 4.3 years. France has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001472", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998528, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "France", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Macron", - "month_risk": "0.0001472", - "annual_risk": "0.0017963", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "FRA", - "country_abb": "FRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in France in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of France is Macron, who has been in power for 4.3 years. France has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0017963", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9982037, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "France", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Macron", - "month_risk": "0.0001472", - "annual_risk": "0.0017963", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "63", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "FRA", - "country_abb": "FRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Gabon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Gabon is Ondimba, who has been in power for 11.9 years. Gabon has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 61 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005488", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994512, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Gabon", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ondimba", - "month_risk": "0.0005488", - "annual_risk": "0.0109132", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "61", - "leader_years": "11.91667", - "country_code": "GAB", - "country_abb": "GAB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Gabon in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Gabon is Ondimba, who has been in power for 11.9 years. Gabon has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 61 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0109132", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9890868, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Gabon", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ondimba", - "month_risk": "0.0005488", - "annual_risk": "0.0109132", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "61", - "leader_years": "11.91667", - "country_code": "GAB", - "country_abb": "GAB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Gambia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Gambia is Barrow, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Gambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0011031", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9988969, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Gambia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Barrow", - "month_risk": "0.0011031", - "annual_risk": "0.0322772", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "GMB", - "country_abb": "GAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Gambia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Gambia is Barrow, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Gambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0322772", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9677228, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Gambia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Barrow", - "month_risk": "0.0011031", - "annual_risk": "0.0322772", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "GMB", - "country_abb": "GAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Georgia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Georgia is Garibashvili, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Georgia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004331", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995669, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Georgia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Garibashvili", - "month_risk": "0.0004331", - "annual_risk": "0.0050795", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "3", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "GEO", - "country_abb": "GRG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Georgia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Georgia is Garibashvili, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Georgia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0050795", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9949205, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Georgia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Garibashvili", - "month_risk": "0.0004331", - "annual_risk": "0.0050795", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "3", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "GEO", - "country_abb": "GRG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Germany in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Germany is Merkel, who has been in power for 15.8 years. Germany has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001532", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998468, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Germany", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Merkel", - "month_risk": "0.0001532", - "annual_risk": "0.0015964", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "15.83333", - "country_code": "DEU", - "country_abb": "GMY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Germany in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Germany is Merkel, who has been in power for 15.8 years. Germany has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0015964", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9984036, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Germany", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Merkel", - "month_risk": "0.0001532", - "annual_risk": "0.0015964", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "15.83333", - "country_code": "DEU", - "country_abb": "GMY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ghana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ghana is Akufo-Addo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Ghana has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004418", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995582, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ghana", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Akufo-Addo", - "month_risk": "0.0004418", - "annual_risk": "0.0071142", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "GHA", - "country_abb": "GHA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ghana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ghana is Akufo-Addo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Ghana has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0071142", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9928858, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ghana", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Akufo-Addo", - "month_risk": "0.0004418", - "annual_risk": "0.0071142", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "GHA", - "country_abb": "GHA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Greece in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Greece is Mitsotakis, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Greece has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 47 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002199", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997801, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Greece", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mitsotakis", - "month_risk": "0.0002199", - "annual_risk": "0.0026265", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "47", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "GRC", - "country_abb": "GRC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Greece in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Greece is Mitsotakis, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Greece has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 47 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0026265", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9973735, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Greece", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mitsotakis", - "month_risk": "0.0002199", - "annual_risk": "0.0026265", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "47", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "GRC", - "country_abb": "GRC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Grenada in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Grenada is Mitchell, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Grenada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 37 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004978", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995022, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Grenada", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mitchell", - "month_risk": "0.0004978", - "annual_risk": "0.0059847", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "37", - "leader_years": "8.583333", - "country_code": "GRD", - "country_abb": "GRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Grenada in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Grenada is Mitchell, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Grenada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 37 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0059847", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9940153, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Grenada", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mitchell", - "month_risk": "0.0004978", - "annual_risk": "0.0059847", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "37", - "leader_years": "8.583333", - "country_code": "GRD", - "country_abb": "GRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guatemala in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guatemala is Giammattei, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Guatemala has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 26 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004626", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995374, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guatemala", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Giammattei", - "month_risk": "0.0004626", - "annual_risk": "0.0054752", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "26", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "GTM", - "country_abb": "GUA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guatemala in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guatemala is Giammattei, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Guatemala has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 26 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0054752", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9945248, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guatemala", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Giammattei", - "month_risk": "0.0004626", - "annual_risk": "0.0054752", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "26", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "GTM", - "country_abb": "GUA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guinea is Conde, who has been in power for 10.8 years. Guinea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 11 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009389", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990611, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guinea", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Conde", - "month_risk": "0.0009389", - "annual_risk": "0.0232404", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "11", - "leader_years": "10.75", - "country_code": "GIN", - "country_abb": "GUI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guinea is Conde, who has been in power for 10.8 years. Guinea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 11 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0232404", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9767596, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guinea", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Conde", - "month_risk": "0.0009389", - "annual_risk": "0.0232404", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "11", - "leader_years": "10.75", - "country_code": "GIN", - "country_abb": "GUI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea Bissau in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guinea Bissau is Embalo, who has been in power for 1.6 years. Guinea Bissau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0011166", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9988834, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guinea Bissau", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Embalo", - "month_risk": "0.0011166", - "annual_risk": "0.0220968", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "7", - "leader_years": "1.583333", - "country_code": "GNB", - "country_abb": "GNB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea Bissau in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guinea Bissau is Embalo, who has been in power for 1.6 years. Guinea Bissau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0220968", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9779032, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.536Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guinea Bissau", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Embalo", - "month_risk": "0.0011166", - "annual_risk": "0.0220968", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "7", - "leader_years": "1.583333", - "country_code": "GNB", - "country_abb": "GNB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guyana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guyana is Mohamed Irfaan Ali, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Guyana has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000528", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999472, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guyana", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mohamed Irfaan Ali", - "month_risk": "0.000528", - "annual_risk": "0.0062277", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "GUY", - "country_abb": "GUY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Guyana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Guyana is Mohamed Irfaan Ali, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Guyana has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0062277", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9937723, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Guyana", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mohamed Irfaan Ali", - "month_risk": "0.000528", - "annual_risk": "0.0062277", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "29", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "GUY", - "country_abb": "GUY" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Haiti in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Haiti is Jovenel Moise, who has been in power for 4.6 years. Haiti has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008397", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991603, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Haiti", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Jovenel Moise", - "month_risk": "0.0008397", - "annual_risk": "0.018888", - "risk_change_percent": "0.01", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "4.583333", - "country_code": "HTI", - "country_abb": "HAI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Haiti in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Haiti is Jovenel Moise, who has been in power for 4.6 years. Haiti has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.018888", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.981112, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Haiti", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Jovenel Moise", - "month_risk": "0.0008397", - "annual_risk": "0.018888", - "risk_change_percent": "0.01", - "regime_years": "5", - "leader_years": "4.583333", - "country_code": "HTI", - "country_abb": "HAI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Honduras in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Honduras is Juan Orlando Hernandez, who has been in power for 7.7 years. Honduras has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 40 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005425", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994575, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Honduras", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Juan Orlando Hernandez", - "month_risk": "0.0005425", - "annual_risk": "0.0096809", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "40", - "leader_years": "7.666667", - "country_code": "HND", - "country_abb": "HON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Honduras in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Honduras is Juan Orlando Hernandez, who has been in power for 7.7 years. Honduras has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 40 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0096809", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9903191, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Honduras", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Juan Orlando Hernandez", - "month_risk": "0.0005425", - "annual_risk": "0.0096809", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "40", - "leader_years": "7.666667", - "country_code": "HND", - "country_abb": "HON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Hungary in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Hungary is Orban, who has been in power for 11.3 years. Hungary has a party regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002407", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997593, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Hungary", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Orban", - "month_risk": "0.0002407", - "annual_risk": "0.0029227", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "11.33333", - "country_code": "HUN", - "country_abb": "HUN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Hungary in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Hungary is Orban, who has been in power for 11.3 years. Hungary has a party regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0029227", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9970773, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Hungary", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Orban", - "month_risk": "0.0002407", - "annual_risk": "0.0029227", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "11.33333", - "country_code": "HUN", - "country_abb": "HUN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iceland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iceland is Katr√≠n Jakobsd√≥ttir, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Iceland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 77 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000143", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999857, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iceland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Katr√≠n Jakobsd√≥ttir", - "month_risk": "0.000143", - "annual_risk": "0.002603", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "77", - "leader_years": "3.833333", - "country_code": "ISL", - "country_abb": "ICE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iceland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iceland is Katr√≠n Jakobsd√≥ttir, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Iceland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 77 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.002603", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.997397, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iceland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Katr√≠n Jakobsd√≥ttir", - "month_risk": "0.000143", - "annual_risk": "0.002603", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "77", - "leader_years": "3.833333", - "country_code": "ISL", - "country_abb": "ICE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in India in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of India is Narendra Modi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. India has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 74 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001457", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998543, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "India", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Narendra Modi", - "month_risk": "0.0001457", - "annual_risk": "0.0040159", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "74", - "leader_years": "7.333333", - "country_code": "IND", - "country_abb": "IND" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in India in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of India is Narendra Modi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. India has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 74 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0040159", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9959841, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "India", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Narendra Modi", - "month_risk": "0.0001457", - "annual_risk": "0.0040159", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "74", - "leader_years": "7.333333", - "country_code": "IND", - "country_abb": "IND" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Indonesia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Indonesia is Joko Widodo, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Indonesia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002634", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997366, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Indonesia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Joko Widodo", - "month_risk": "0.0002634", - "annual_risk": "0.0043173", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "22", - "leader_years": "6.916667", - "country_code": "IDN", - "country_abb": "INS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Indonesia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Indonesia is Joko Widodo, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Indonesia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0043173", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9956827, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Indonesia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Joko Widodo", - "month_risk": "0.0002634", - "annual_risk": "0.0043173", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "22", - "leader_years": "6.916667", - "country_code": "IDN", - "country_abb": "INS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iran in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iran is Rouhani, who has been in power for 8.1 years. Iran has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001908", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998092, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iran", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Rouhani", - "month_risk": "0.0001908", - "annual_risk": "0.0052757", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "8.083333", - "country_code": "IRN", - "country_abb": "IRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iran in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iran is Rouhani, who has been in power for 8.1 years. Iran has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0052757", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9947243, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iran", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Rouhani", - "month_risk": "0.0001908", - "annual_risk": "0.0052757", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "43", - "leader_years": "8.083333", - "country_code": "IRN", - "country_abb": "IRN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iraq in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iraq is Al-Kadhimi, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Iraq has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0019301", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9980699, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iraq", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Al-Kadhimi", - "month_risk": "0.0019301", - "annual_risk": "0.0094571", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "1.333333", - "country_code": "IRQ", - "country_abb": "IRQ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Iraq in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Iraq is Al-Kadhimi, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Iraq has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0094571", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9905429, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Iraq", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Al-Kadhimi", - "month_risk": "0.0019301", - "annual_risk": "0.0094571", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "1.333333", - "country_code": "IRQ", - "country_abb": "IRQ" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ireland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ireland is Martin, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Ireland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 100 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000533", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999467, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ireland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Martin", - "month_risk": "0.0000533", - "annual_risk": "0.0006372", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "100", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "IRL", - "country_abb": "IRE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ireland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ireland is Martin, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Ireland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 100 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006372", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993628, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ireland", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Martin", - "month_risk": "0.0000533", - "annual_risk": "0.0006372", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "100", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "IRL", - "country_abb": "IRE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Israel in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Israel is Netanyahu, who has been in power for 12.5 years. Israel has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001947", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998053, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Israel", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Netanyahu", - "month_risk": "0.0001947", - "annual_risk": "0.0041474", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "12.5", - "country_code": "ISR", - "country_abb": "ISR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Israel in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Israel is Netanyahu, who has been in power for 12.5 years. Israel has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0041474", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9958526, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Israel", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Netanyahu", - "month_risk": "0.0001947", - "annual_risk": "0.0041474", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "12.5", - "country_code": "ISR", - "country_abb": "ISR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Italy in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Italy is Draghi, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Italy has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 76 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001933", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998067, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Italy", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Draghi", - "month_risk": "0.0001933", - "annual_risk": "0.0023111", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "76", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "ITA", - "country_abb": "ITA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Italy in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Italy is Draghi, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Italy has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 76 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0023111", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9976889, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Italy", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Draghi", - "month_risk": "0.0001933", - "annual_risk": "0.0023111", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "76", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "ITA", - "country_abb": "ITA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ivory Coast in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ivory Coast is Ouattara, who has been in power for 10.4 years. Ivory Coast has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006127", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993873, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ivory Coast", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ouattara", - "month_risk": "0.0006127", - "annual_risk": "0.0189674", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "10.41667", - "country_code": "CIV", - "country_abb": "CDI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Ivory Coast in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ivory Coast is Ouattara, who has been in power for 10.4 years. Ivory Coast has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0189674", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9810326, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Ivory Coast", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ouattara", - "month_risk": "0.0006127", - "annual_risk": "0.0189674", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "10.41667", - "country_code": "CIV", - "country_abb": "CDI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Jamaica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Jamaica is Holness, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Jamaica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003584", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996416, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Jamaica", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Holness", - "month_risk": "0.0003584", - "annual_risk": "0.0042077", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "59", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "JAM", - "country_abb": "JAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Jamaica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Jamaica is Holness, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Jamaica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0042077", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9957923, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Jamaica", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Holness", - "month_risk": "0.0003584", - "annual_risk": "0.0042077", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "59", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "JAM", - "country_abb": "JAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Japan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Japan is Yoshihide Suga, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Japan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 70 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001138", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998862, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Japan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Yoshihide Suga", - "month_risk": "0.0001138", - "annual_risk": "0.0012776", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "70", - "leader_years": "1", - "country_code": "JPN", - "country_abb": "JPN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Japan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Japan is Yoshihide Suga, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Japan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 70 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0012776", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9987224, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Japan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Yoshihide Suga", - "month_risk": "0.0001138", - "annual_risk": "0.0012776", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "70", - "leader_years": "1", - "country_code": "JPN", - "country_abb": "JPN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Jordan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Jordan is Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi, who has been in power for 22.6 years. Jordan has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 75 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004955", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995045, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Jordan", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi", - "month_risk": "0.0004955", - "annual_risk": "0.0057681", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "75", - "leader_years": "22.58333", - "country_code": "JOR", - "country_abb": "JOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Jordan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Jordan is Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi, who has been in power for 22.6 years. Jordan has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 75 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0057681", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9942319, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Jordan", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi", - "month_risk": "0.0004955", - "annual_risk": "0.0057681", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "75", - "leader_years": "22.58333", - "country_code": "JOR", - "country_abb": "JOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kazakhstan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kazakhstan is Tokayev, who has been in power for 2.5 years. Kazakhstan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002671", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997329, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kazakhstan", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Tokayev", - "month_risk": "0.0002671", - "annual_risk": "0.0045533", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "2.5", - "country_code": "KAZ", - "country_abb": "KZK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kazakhstan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kazakhstan is Tokayev, who has been in power for 2.5 years. Kazakhstan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045533", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954467, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kazakhstan", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Tokayev", - "month_risk": "0.0002671", - "annual_risk": "0.0045533", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "2.5", - "country_code": "KAZ", - "country_abb": "KZK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kenya in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kenya is Kenyatta, who has been in power for 8.4 years. Kenya has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006997", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993003, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kenya", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kenyatta", - "month_risk": "0.0006997", - "annual_risk": "0.0114108", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "19", - "leader_years": "8.416667", - "country_code": "KEN", - "country_abb": "KEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kenya in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kenya is Kenyatta, who has been in power for 8.4 years. Kenya has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0114108", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9885892, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kenya", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kenyatta", - "month_risk": "0.0006997", - "annual_risk": "0.0114108", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "19", - "leader_years": "8.416667", - "country_code": "KEN", - "country_abb": "KEN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kiribati in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kiribati is Mamau, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Kiribati has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003952", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996048, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kiribati", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mamau", - "month_risk": "0.0003952", - "annual_risk": "0.0046133", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "KIR", - "country_abb": "KIR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kiribati in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kiribati is Mamau, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Kiribati has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046133", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953867, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kiribati", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Mamau", - "month_risk": "0.0003952", - "annual_risk": "0.0046133", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "5.5", - "country_code": "KIR", - "country_abb": "KIR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in North Korea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of North Korea is Kim Jong Un, who has been in power for 9.8 years. North Korea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004099", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995901, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "North Korea", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kim Jong Un", - "month_risk": "0.0004099", - "annual_risk": "0.0066428", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.17", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "9.75", - "country_code": "PRK", - "country_abb": "PRK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in North Korea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of North Korea is Kim Jong Un, who has been in power for 9.8 years. North Korea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 73 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0066428", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9933572, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "North Korea", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kim Jong Un", - "month_risk": "0.0004099", - "annual_risk": "0.0066428", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.17", - "regime_years": "73", - "leader_years": "9.75", - "country_code": "PRK", - "country_abb": "PRK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in South Korea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Korea is Moon Jae-in, who has been in power for 4.3 years. South Korea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 34 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001795", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998205, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "South Korea", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Moon Jae-in", - "month_risk": "0.0001795", - "annual_risk": "0.0034127", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "34", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "KOR", - "country_abb": "ROK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in South Korea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Korea is Moon Jae-in, who has been in power for 4.3 years. South Korea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 34 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0034127", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9965873, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "South Korea", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Moon Jae-in", - "month_risk": "0.0001795", - "annual_risk": "0.0034127", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "34", - "leader_years": "4.333333", - "country_code": "KOR", - "country_abb": "ROK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kosovo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kosovo is Kurti, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Kosovo has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005843", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994157, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kosovo", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kurti", - "month_risk": "0.0005843", - "annual_risk": "0.0124885", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "0.5", - "country_code": "UNK", - "country_abb": "KOS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kosovo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kosovo is Kurti, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Kosovo has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0124885", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9875115, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kosovo", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kurti", - "month_risk": "0.0005843", - "annual_risk": "0.0124885", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "0.5", - "country_code": "UNK", - "country_abb": "KOS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kuwait in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kuwait is Nawaf Al-Sabah, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Kuwait has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 72 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003072", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996928, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kuwait", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nawaf Al-Sabah", - "month_risk": "0.0003072", - "annual_risk": "0.0050178", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "1.166667", - "country_code": "KWT", - "country_abb": "KUW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kuwait in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kuwait is Nawaf Al-Sabah, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Kuwait has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 72 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0050178", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9949822, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kuwait", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nawaf Al-Sabah", - "month_risk": "0.0003072", - "annual_risk": "0.0050178", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "1.166667", - "country_code": "KWT", - "country_abb": "KUW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kyrgyzstan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kyrgyzstan is Sadyr Japarov, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Kyrgyzstan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006149", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993851, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sadyr Japarov", - "month_risk": "0.0006149", - "annual_risk": "0.0152904", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.02", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "KGZ", - "country_abb": "KYR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Kyrgyzstan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Kyrgyzstan is Sadyr Japarov, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Kyrgyzstan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0152904", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9847096, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sadyr Japarov", - "month_risk": "0.0006149", - "annual_risk": "0.0152904", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.02", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "KGZ", - "country_abb": "KYR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Laos in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Laos is Sisoulith, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Laos has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000274", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999726, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Laos", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sisoulith", - "month_risk": "0.000274", - "annual_risk": "0.0056959", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "LAO", - "country_abb": "LAO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Laos in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Laos is Sisoulith, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Laos has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0056959", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9943041, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.537Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Laos", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Sisoulith", - "month_risk": "0.000274", - "annual_risk": "0.0056959", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "LAO", - "country_abb": "LAO" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Latvia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Latvia is Karins, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Latvia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002363", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997637, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Latvia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Karins", - "month_risk": "0.0002363", - "annual_risk": "0.0028336", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "LVA", - "country_abb": "LAT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Latvia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Latvia is Karins, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Latvia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0028336", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9971664, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Latvia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Karins", - "month_risk": "0.0002363", - "annual_risk": "0.0028336", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "LVA", - "country_abb": "LAT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lebanon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lebanon is Saad Hariri, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Lebanon has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 16 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008287", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991713, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lebanon", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Saad Hariri", - "month_risk": "0.0008287", - "annual_risk": "0.0223616", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.26", - "regime_years": "16", - "leader_years": "0.9166667", - "country_code": "LBN", - "country_abb": "LEB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lebanon in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lebanon is Saad Hariri, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Lebanon has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 16 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0223616", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9776384, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lebanon", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Saad Hariri", - "month_risk": "0.0008287", - "annual_risk": "0.0223616", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.26", - "regime_years": "16", - "leader_years": "0.9166667", - "country_code": "LBN", - "country_abb": "LEB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lesotho in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lesotho is Majoro, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Lesotho has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0011531", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9988469, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lesotho", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Majoro", - "month_risk": "0.0011531", - "annual_risk": "0.0173161", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "1.333333", - "country_code": "LSO", - "country_abb": "LES" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lesotho in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lesotho is Majoro, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Lesotho has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0173161", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9826839, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lesotho", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Majoro", - "month_risk": "0.0011531", - "annual_risk": "0.0173161", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "1.333333", - "country_code": "LSO", - "country_abb": "LES" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Liberia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Liberia is Weah, who has been in power for 3.7 years. Liberia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 16 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.001228", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.998772, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Liberia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Weah", - "month_risk": "0.001228", - "annual_risk": "0.0179825", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "16", - "leader_years": "3.666667", - "country_code": "LBR", - "country_abb": "LBR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Liberia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Liberia is Weah, who has been in power for 3.7 years. Liberia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 16 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0179825", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9820175, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Liberia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Weah", - "month_risk": "0.001228", - "annual_risk": "0.0179825", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "16", - "leader_years": "3.666667", - "country_code": "LBR", - "country_abb": "LBR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Libya in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Libya is Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Libya has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0007637", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9992363, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Libya", - "regime_type": "Civilian Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh", - "month_risk": "0.0007637", - "annual_risk": "0.0148333", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", - "regime_years": "0", - "leader_years": "0.5", - "country_code": "LBY", - "country_abb": "LIB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Libya in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Libya is Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Libya has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0148333", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9851667, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Libya", - "regime_type": "Civilian Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh", - "month_risk": "0.0007637", - "annual_risk": "0.0148333", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", - "regime_years": "0", - "leader_years": "0.5", - "country_code": "LBY", - "country_abb": "LIB" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Liechtenstein in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Liechtenstein is Hans-Adam II, who has been in power for 31.8 years. Liechtenstein has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 100 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000346", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999654, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Liechtenstein", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hans-Adam II", - "month_risk": "0.000346", - "annual_risk": "0.0041628", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "100", - "leader_years": "31.83333", - "country_code": "LIE", - "country_abb": "LIE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Liechtenstein in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Liechtenstein is Hans-Adam II, who has been in power for 31.8 years. Liechtenstein has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 100 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0041628", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9958372, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Liechtenstein", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Hans-Adam II", - "month_risk": "0.000346", - "annual_risk": "0.0041628", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "100", - "leader_years": "31.83333", - "country_code": "LIE", - "country_abb": "LIE" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lithuania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lithuania is Nauseda, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Lithuania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002293", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997707, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lithuania", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nauseda", - "month_risk": "0.0002293", - "annual_risk": "0.0027763", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "LTU", - "country_abb": "LIT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Lithuania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Lithuania is Nauseda, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Lithuania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0027763", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9972237, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Lithuania", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nauseda", - "month_risk": "0.0002293", - "annual_risk": "0.0027763", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "LTU", - "country_abb": "LIT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Luxembourg in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Luxembourg is Bettel, who has been in power for 7.8 years. Luxembourg has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000406", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999594, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Luxembourg", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bettel", - "month_risk": "0.0000406", - "annual_risk": "0.0004923", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "151", - "leader_years": "7.75", - "country_code": "LUX", - "country_abb": "LUX" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Luxembourg in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Luxembourg is Bettel, who has been in power for 7.8 years. Luxembourg has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004923", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995077, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Luxembourg", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bettel", - "month_risk": "0.0000406", - "annual_risk": "0.0004923", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "151", - "leader_years": "7.75", - "country_code": "LUX", - "country_abb": "LUX" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Macedonia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Macedonia is Zaev, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Macedonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004375", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995625, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Macedonia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Zaev", - "month_risk": "0.0004375", - "annual_risk": "0.0053415", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "MKD", - "country_abb": "MAC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Macedonia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Macedonia is Zaev, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Macedonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0053415", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9946585, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Macedonia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Zaev", - "month_risk": "0.0004375", - "annual_risk": "0.0053415", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "30", - "leader_years": "1.083333", - "country_code": "MKD", - "country_abb": "MAC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Madagascar in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Madagascar is Rajoelina, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Madagascar has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 8 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008558", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991442, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Madagascar", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Rajoelina", - "month_risk": "0.0008558", - "annual_risk": "0.0251526", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "8", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "MDG", - "country_abb": "MAG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Madagascar in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Madagascar is Rajoelina, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Madagascar has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 8 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0251526", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9748474, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Madagascar", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Rajoelina", - "month_risk": "0.0008558", - "annual_risk": "0.0251526", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "8", - "leader_years": "2.666667", - "country_code": "MDG", - "country_abb": "MAG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malawi in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malawi is Chakewera, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Malawi has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0007714", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9992286, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malawi", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Chakewera", - "month_risk": "0.0007714", - "annual_risk": "0.0117589", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "27", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "MWI", - "country_abb": "MAW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malawi in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malawi is Chakewera, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Malawi has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0117589", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9882411, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malawi", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Chakewera", - "month_risk": "0.0007714", - "annual_risk": "0.0117589", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "27", - "leader_years": "1.25", - "country_code": "MWI", - "country_abb": "MAW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malaysia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malaysia is Muhyiddin Yassin, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Malaysia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003545", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996455, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malaysia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Muhyiddin Yassin", - "month_risk": "0.0003545", - "annual_risk": "0.0056891", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "3", - "leader_years": "1.5", - "country_code": "MYS", - "country_abb": "MAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malaysia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malaysia is Muhyiddin Yassin, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Malaysia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0056891", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9943109, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malaysia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Muhyiddin Yassin", - "month_risk": "0.0003545", - "annual_risk": "0.0056891", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "3", - "leader_years": "1.5", - "country_code": "MYS", - "country_abb": "MAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Maldives in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Maldives is Ibrahim Solih, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Maldives has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003441", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996559, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Maldives", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ibrahim Solih", - "month_risk": "0.0003441", - "annual_risk": "0.0102915", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.833333", - "country_code": "MDV", - "country_abb": "MAD" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Maldives in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Maldives is Ibrahim Solih, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Maldives has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0102915", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9897085, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Maldives", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ibrahim Solih", - "month_risk": "0.0003441", - "annual_risk": "0.0102915", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.833333", - "country_code": "MDV", - "country_abb": "MAD" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mali in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mali is Ba N'Daou, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Mali has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0012209", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9987791, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mali", - "regime_type": "Military Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ba N'Daou", - "month_risk": "0.0012209", - "annual_risk": "0.0507303", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.35", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "1", - "country_code": "MLI", - "country_abb": "MLI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mali in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mali is Ba N'Daou, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Mali has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0507303", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9492697, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mali", - "regime_type": "Military Provisional", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ba N'Daou", - "month_risk": "0.0012209", - "annual_risk": "0.0507303", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.35", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "1", - "country_code": "MLI", - "country_abb": "MLI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malta in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malta is Abela, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Malta has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002248", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997752, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malta", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abela", - "month_risk": "0.0002248", - "annual_risk": "0.002746", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "60", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "MLT", - "country_abb": "MLT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Malta in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Malta is Abela, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Malta has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.002746", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.997254, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Malta", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Abela", - "month_risk": "0.0002248", - "annual_risk": "0.002746", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "60", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "MLT", - "country_abb": "MLT" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Marshall Islands in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Marshall Islands is Kabua, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Marshall Islands has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003988", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996012, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Marshall Islands", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kabua", - "month_risk": "0.0003988", - "annual_risk": "0.0046603", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "MHL", - "country_abb": "MSI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Marshall Islands in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Marshall Islands is Kabua, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Marshall Islands has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046603", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953397, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Marshall Islands", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Kabua", - "month_risk": "0.0003988", - "annual_risk": "0.0046603", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "MHL", - "country_abb": "MSI" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mauritania is Ould Ghazouani, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Mauritania has a personal regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008408", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991592, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mauritania", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ould Ghazouani", - "month_risk": "0.0008408", - "annual_risk": "0.0100482", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.083333", - "country_code": "MRT", - "country_abb": "MAA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mauritania is Ould Ghazouani, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Mauritania has a personal regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0100482", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9899518, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mauritania", - "regime_type": "Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Ould Ghazouani", - "month_risk": "0.0008408", - "annual_risk": "0.0100482", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "2.083333", - "country_code": "MRT", - "country_abb": "MAA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritius in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mauritius is Pravind Jugnauth, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Mauritius has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005447", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994553, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mauritius", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Pravind Jugnauth", - "month_risk": "0.0005447", - "annual_risk": "0.0063521", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "MUS", - "country_abb": "MAS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritius in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mauritius is Pravind Jugnauth, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Mauritius has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0063521", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9936479, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mauritius", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Pravind Jugnauth", - "month_risk": "0.0005447", - "annual_risk": "0.0063521", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "4.666667", - "country_code": "MUS", - "country_abb": "MAS" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mexico in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mexico is Lopez Obrador, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Mexico has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003668", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996332, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mexico", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lopez Obrador", - "month_risk": "0.0003668", - "annual_risk": "0.0043742", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "2.75", - "country_code": "MEX", - "country_abb": "MEX" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mexico in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mexico is Lopez Obrador, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Mexico has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0043742", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9956258, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mexico", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Lopez Obrador", - "month_risk": "0.0003668", - "annual_risk": "0.0043742", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "21", - "leader_years": "2.75", - "country_code": "MEX", - "country_abb": "MEX" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Micronesia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Micronesia is Panuelo, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Micronesia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003469", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996531, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Micronesia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Panuelo", - "month_risk": "0.0003469", - "annual_risk": "0.0046884", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "FSM", - "country_abb": "FSM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Micronesia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Micronesia is Panuelo, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Micronesia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046884", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953116, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Micronesia", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Panuelo", - "month_risk": "0.0003469", - "annual_risk": "0.0046884", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "42", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "FSM", - "country_abb": "FSM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Moldova in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Moldova is Aureliu Ciocoi, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Moldova has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004272", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995728, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Moldova", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Aureliu Ciocoi", - "month_risk": "0.0004272", - "annual_risk": "0.0060593", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.05", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "MDA", - "country_abb": "MLD" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Moldova in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Moldova is Aureliu Ciocoi, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Moldova has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0060593", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9939407, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Moldova", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Aureliu Ciocoi", - "month_risk": "0.0004272", - "annual_risk": "0.0060593", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.05", - "regime_years": "31", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "MDA", - "country_abb": "MLD" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Monaco in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Monaco is Albert, who has been in power for 16.4 years. Monaco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 111 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002986", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997014, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Monaco", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Albert", - "month_risk": "0.0002986", - "annual_risk": "0.0035827", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "111", - "leader_years": "16.41667", - "country_code": "MCO", - "country_abb": "MNC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Monaco in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Monaco is Albert, who has been in power for 16.4 years. Monaco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 111 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0035827", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9964173, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Monaco", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Albert", - "month_risk": "0.0002986", - "annual_risk": "0.0035827", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "111", - "leader_years": "16.41667", - "country_code": "MCO", - "country_abb": "MNC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mongolia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mongolia is Khaltmaagiin Battulga, who has been in power for 4.2 years. Mongolia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004468", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995532, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mongolia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Khaltmaagiin Battulga", - "month_risk": "0.0004468", - "annual_risk": "0.0079934", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "4.166667", - "country_code": "MNG", - "country_abb": "MON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mongolia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mongolia is Khaltmaagiin Battulga, who has been in power for 4.2 years. Mongolia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0079934", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9920066, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mongolia", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Khaltmaagiin Battulga", - "month_risk": "0.0004468", - "annual_risk": "0.0079934", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "4.166667", - "country_code": "MNG", - "country_abb": "MON" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Montenegro in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Montenegro is Zdravko Krivokapic, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Montenegro has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002698", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997302, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Montenegro", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Zdravko Krivokapic", - "month_risk": "0.0002698", - "annual_risk": "0.0031669", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "0.75", - "country_code": "MNE", - "country_abb": "MNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Montenegro in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Montenegro is Zdravko Krivokapic, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Montenegro has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0031669", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9968331, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Montenegro", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Zdravko Krivokapic", - "month_risk": "0.0002698", - "annual_risk": "0.0031669", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "0.75", - "country_code": "MNE", - "country_abb": "MNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Morocco in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Morocco is Muhammad VI, who has been in power for 22.2 years. Morocco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 66 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003922", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996078, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Morocco", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Muhammad VI", - "month_risk": "0.0003922", - "annual_risk": "0.0061645", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "66", - "leader_years": "22.16667", - "country_code": "MAR", - "country_abb": "MOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Morocco in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Morocco is Muhammad VI, who has been in power for 22.2 years. Morocco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 66 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0061645", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9938355, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Morocco", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Muhammad VI", - "month_risk": "0.0003922", - "annual_risk": "0.0061645", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "66", - "leader_years": "22.16667", - "country_code": "MAR", - "country_abb": "MOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mozambique in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mozambique is Nyussi, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Mozambique has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004504", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995496, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mozambique", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nyussi", - "month_risk": "0.0004504", - "annual_risk": "0.0093809", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "6.666667", - "country_code": "MOZ", - "country_abb": "MZM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Mozambique in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Mozambique is Nyussi, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Mozambique has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0093809", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9906191, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Mozambique", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Nyussi", - "month_risk": "0.0004504", - "annual_risk": "0.0093809", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "6.666667", - "country_code": "MOZ", - "country_abb": "MZM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Myanmar in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Myanmar is Min Aung Hlaing, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Myanmar has a military regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.004002", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.995998, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Myanmar", - "regime_type": "Military", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Min Aung Hlaing", - "month_risk": "0.004002", - "annual_risk": "0.0598028", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "MMR", - "country_abb": "MYA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Myanmar in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Myanmar is Min Aung Hlaing, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Myanmar has a military regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0598028", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9401972, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.538Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Myanmar", - "regime_type": "Military", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Min Aung Hlaing", - "month_risk": "0.004002", - "annual_risk": "0.0598028", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "0.5833333", - "country_code": "MMR", - "country_abb": "MYA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Namibia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Namibia is Geingob, who has been in power for 6.5 years. Namibia has a party regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004922", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995078, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Namibia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Geingob", - "month_risk": "0.0004922", - "annual_risk": "0.0057989", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "6.5", - "country_code": "NAM", - "country_abb": "NAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Namibia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Namibia is Geingob, who has been in power for 6.5 years. Namibia has a party regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0057989", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9942011, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Namibia", - "regime_type": "Party", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Geingob", - "month_risk": "0.0004922", - "annual_risk": "0.0057989", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "6.5", - "country_code": "NAM", - "country_abb": "NAM" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nauru in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nauru is Aingimea, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Nauru has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004659", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995341, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nauru", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Aingimea", - "month_risk": "0.0004659", - "annual_risk": "0.0054482", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "2.083333", - "country_code": "NRU", - "country_abb": "NAU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nauru in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nauru is Aingimea, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Nauru has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0054482", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9945518, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nauru", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Aingimea", - "month_risk": "0.0004659", - "annual_risk": "0.0054482", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "54", - "leader_years": "2.083333", - "country_code": "NRU", - "country_abb": "NAU" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nepal in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nepal is Oli, who has been in power for 3.6 years. Nepal has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004859", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995141, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nepal", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Oli", - "month_risk": "0.0004859", - "annual_risk": "0.0140823", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "3.583333", - "country_code": "NPL", - "country_abb": "NEP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nepal in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nepal is Oli, who has been in power for 3.6 years. Nepal has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0140823", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9859177, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nepal", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Oli", - "month_risk": "0.0004859", - "annual_risk": "0.0140823", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "15", - "leader_years": "3.583333", - "country_code": "NPL", - "country_abb": "NEP" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Netherlands in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Netherlands is M. Rutte, who has been in power for 10.9 years. Netherlands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000899", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999101, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Netherlands", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "M. Rutte", - "month_risk": "0.0000899", - "annual_risk": "0.0010771", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "151", - "leader_years": "10.91667", - "country_code": "NLD", - "country_abb": "NTH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Netherlands in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Netherlands is M. Rutte, who has been in power for 10.9 years. Netherlands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0010771", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9989229, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Netherlands", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "M. Rutte", - "month_risk": "0.0000899", - "annual_risk": "0.0010771", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "151", - "leader_years": "10.91667", - "country_code": "NLD", - "country_abb": "NTH" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in New Zealand in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of New Zealand is Jacinda Ardern, who has been in power for 3.9 years. New Zealand has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 114 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001112", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998888, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "New Zealand", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Jacinda Ardern", - "month_risk": "0.0001112", - "annual_risk": "0.0041707", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "114", - "leader_years": "3.916667", - "country_code": "NZL", - "country_abb": "NEW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in New Zealand in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of New Zealand is Jacinda Ardern, who has been in power for 3.9 years. New Zealand has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 114 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0041707", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9958293, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "New Zealand", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Jacinda Ardern", - "month_risk": "0.0001112", - "annual_risk": "0.0041707", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "114", - "leader_years": "3.916667", - "country_code": "NZL", - "country_abb": "NEW" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nicaragua in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nicaragua is Daniel Ortega, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Nicaragua has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008191", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991809, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nicaragua", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Daniel Ortega", - "month_risk": "0.0008191", - "annual_risk": "0.0144801", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "14.66667", - "country_code": "NIC", - "country_abb": "NIC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nicaragua in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nicaragua is Daniel Ortega, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Nicaragua has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 1 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0144801", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9855199, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nicaragua", - "regime_type": "Party-Personal", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Daniel Ortega", - "month_risk": "0.0008191", - "annual_risk": "0.0144801", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "1", - "leader_years": "14.66667", - "country_code": "NIC", - "country_abb": "NIC" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Niger in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Niger is Bazoum, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Niger has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0042271", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9957729, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Niger", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bazoum", - "month_risk": "0.0042271", - "annual_risk": "0.0430077", - "risk_change_percent": "0.03", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", - "country_code": "NER", - "country_abb": "NIR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Niger in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Niger is Bazoum, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Niger has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0430077", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9569923, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Niger", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Bazoum", - "month_risk": "0.0042271", - "annual_risk": "0.0430077", - "risk_change_percent": "0.03", - "regime_years": "10", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", - "country_code": "NER", - "country_abb": "NIR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nigeria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nigeria is Buhari, who has been in power for 6.3 years. Nigeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003732", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996268, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nigeria", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Buhari", - "month_risk": "0.0003732", - "annual_risk": "0.0081127", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.17", - "regime_years": "22", - "leader_years": "6.333333", - "country_code": "NGA", - "country_abb": "NIG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Nigeria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Nigeria is Buhari, who has been in power for 6.3 years. Nigeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0081127", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9918873, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Nigeria", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Buhari", - "month_risk": "0.0003732", - "annual_risk": "0.0081127", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.17", - "regime_years": "22", - "leader_years": "6.333333", - "country_code": "NGA", - "country_abb": "NIG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Norway in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Norway is Solberg, who has been in power for 7.9 years. Norway has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 137 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000713", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999287, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Norway", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Solberg", - "month_risk": "0.0000713", - "annual_risk": "0.0007708", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "137", - "leader_years": "7.916667", - "country_code": "NOR", - "country_abb": "NOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Norway in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Norway is Solberg, who has been in power for 7.9 years. Norway has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 137 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0007708", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9992292, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Norway", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Solberg", - "month_risk": "0.0000713", - "annual_risk": "0.0007708", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "137", - "leader_years": "7.916667", - "country_code": "NOR", - "country_abb": "NOR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Oman in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Oman is Haitham ibn Tariq, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Oman has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 280 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003064", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996936, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Oman", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Haitham ibn Tariq", - "month_risk": "0.0003064", - "annual_risk": "0.0035864", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "280", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "OMN", - "country_abb": "OMA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Oman in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Oman is Haitham ibn Tariq, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Oman has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 280 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0035864", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9964136, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Oman", - "regime_type": "Monarchy", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Haitham ibn Tariq", - "month_risk": "0.0003064", - "annual_risk": "0.0035864", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "280", - "leader_years": "1.666667", - "country_code": "OMN", - "country_abb": "OMA" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Pakistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Pakistan is Imran Khan, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Pakistan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003341", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996659, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Pakistan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Imran Khan", - "month_risk": "0.0003341", - "annual_risk": "0.0109448", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "PAK", - "country_abb": "PAK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Pakistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Pakistan is Imran Khan, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Pakistan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0109448", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9890552, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Pakistan", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Imran Khan", - "month_risk": "0.0003341", - "annual_risk": "0.0109448", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "13", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "PAK", - "country_abb": "PAK" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Palau in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Palau is Surangel Whipps Jr., who has been in power for 0.7 years. Palau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 41 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003112", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996888, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Palau", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Surangel Whipps Jr.", - "month_risk": "0.0003112", - "annual_risk": "0.0062227", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "41", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "PLW", - "country_abb": "PAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Palau in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Palau is Surangel Whipps Jr., who has been in power for 0.7 years. Palau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 41 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0062227", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9937773, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Palau", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Surangel Whipps Jr.", - "month_risk": "0.0003112", - "annual_risk": "0.0062227", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "41", - "leader_years": "0.6666667", - "country_code": "PLW", - "country_abb": "PAL" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Panama in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Panama is Laurentino Cortizo, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Panama has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003692", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996308, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Panama", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Laurentino Cortizo", - "month_risk": "0.0003692", - "annual_risk": "0.0043933", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "PAN", - "country_abb": "PAN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Panama in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Panama is Laurentino Cortizo, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Panama has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0043933", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9956067, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Panama", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Laurentino Cortizo", - "month_risk": "0.0003692", - "annual_risk": "0.0043933", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "32", - "leader_years": "2.166667", - "country_code": "PAN", - "country_abb": "PAN" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Papua New Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Papua New Guinea is James Marape, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Papua New Guinea has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006626", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993374, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Papua New Guinea", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "James Marape", - "month_risk": "0.0006626", - "annual_risk": "0.0129104", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "PNG", - "country_abb": "PNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Papua New Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Papua New Guinea is James Marape, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Papua New Guinea has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 46 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0129104", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9870896, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Papua New Guinea", - "regime_type": "Parliamentary", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "James Marape", - "month_risk": "0.0006626", - "annual_risk": "0.0129104", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "46", - "leader_years": "2.333333", - "country_code": "PNG", - "country_abb": "PNG" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Paraguay in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Paraguay is Benitez, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Paraguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005284", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994716, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 2 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Paraguay", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Benitez", - "month_risk": "0.0005284", - "annual_risk": "0.0062661", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "PRY", - "country_abb": "PAR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Paraguay in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Paraguay is Benitez, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Paraguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0062661", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9937339, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3 - }, - "extra": { - "country_name": "Paraguay", - "regime_type": "Presidential", - "month": "8", - "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Benitez", - "month_risk": "0.0005284", - "annual_risk": "0.0062661", - "risk_change_percent": "0", - "regime_years": "28", - "leader_years": "3.083333", - "country_code": "PRY", - "country_abb": "PAR" - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will there be a coup in Peru in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", - "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", - "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Peru is Francisco Sagasti, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Peru has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 20 years", + "description": "The current leader of Azerbaijan is Ilhma Aliyev, who has been in power for 17.9 years. Azerbaijan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", @@ -15591,7 +6169,9405 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Azerbaijan", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ilhma Aliyev", + "month_risk": "0.0003468", + "annual_risk": "0.0042165", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "17.91667", + "country_code": "AZE", + "country_abb": "AZE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Azerbaijan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Azerbaijan is Ilhma Aliyev, who has been in power for 17.9 years. Azerbaijan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042165", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957835, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Azerbaijan", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ilhma Aliyev", + "month_risk": "0.0003468", + "annual_risk": "0.0042165", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "17.91667", + "country_code": "AZE", + "country_abb": "AZE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahamas in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bahamas is Hubert Minnis, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bahamas has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 48 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001905", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998095, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bahamas", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hubert Minnis", + "month_risk": "0.0001905", + "annual_risk": "0.0022944", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "48", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "BHS", + "country_abb": "BHM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahamas in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bahamas is Hubert Minnis, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Bahamas has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 48 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0022944", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9977056, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bahamas", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hubert Minnis", + "month_risk": "0.0001905", + "annual_risk": "0.0022944", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "48", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "BHS", + "country_abb": "BHM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahrain in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bahrain is Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah, who has been in power for 22.5 years. Bahrain has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003492", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996508, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bahrain", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah", + "month_risk": "0.0003492", + "annual_risk": "0.0041406", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "50", + "leader_years": "22.5", + "country_code": "BHR", + "country_abb": "BAH" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bahrain in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bahrain is Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah, who has been in power for 22.5 years. Bahrain has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0041406", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9958594, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bahrain", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hamad Isa Ibn Al-Khalifah", + "month_risk": "0.0003492", + "annual_risk": "0.0041406", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "50", + "leader_years": "22.5", + "country_code": "BHR", + "country_abb": "BAH" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bangladesh in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bangladesh is Hasina Wazed, who has been in power for 12.7 years. Bangladesh has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000277", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999723, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bangladesh", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hasina Wazed", + "month_risk": "0.000277", + "annual_risk": "0.0062765", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "12.66667", + "country_code": "BGD", + "country_abb": "BNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bangladesh in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bangladesh is Hasina Wazed, who has been in power for 12.7 years. Bangladesh has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0062765", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9937235, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bangladesh", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hasina Wazed", + "month_risk": "0.000277", + "annual_risk": "0.0062765", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "12.66667", + "country_code": "BGD", + "country_abb": "BNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Barbados in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Barbados is Mia Mottley, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Barbados has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 55 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002582", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997418, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Barbados", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mia Mottley", + "month_risk": "0.0002582", + "annual_risk": "0.0030722", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "55", + "leader_years": "3.333333", + "country_code": "BRB", + "country_abb": "BAR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Barbados in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Barbados is Mia Mottley, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Barbados has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 55 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0030722", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9969278, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Barbados", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mia Mottley", + "month_risk": "0.0002582", + "annual_risk": "0.0030722", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "55", + "leader_years": "3.333333", + "country_code": "BRB", + "country_abb": "BAR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belarus in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belarus is Lukashenko, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Belarus has a personal regime type which has lasted for 27 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003172", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996828, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belarus", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lukashenko", + "month_risk": "0.0003172", + "annual_risk": "0.0037901", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "27", + "leader_years": "27.16667", + "country_code": "BLR", + "country_abb": "BLR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belarus in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belarus is Lukashenko, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Belarus has a personal regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0037901", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9962099, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belarus", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lukashenko", + "month_risk": "0.0003172", + "annual_risk": "0.0037901", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "27", + "leader_years": "27.16667", + "country_code": "BLR", + "country_abb": "BLR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belgium in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belgium is Alexander De Croo, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Belgium has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 101 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000831", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999169, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belgium", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Alexander De Croo", + "month_risk": "0.0000831", + "annual_risk": "0.0010067", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "101", + "leader_years": "0.9166667", + "country_code": "BEL", + "country_abb": "BEL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belgium in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belgium is Alexander De Croo, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Belgium has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 101 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0010067", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9989933, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belgium", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Alexander De Croo", + "month_risk": "0.0000831", + "annual_risk": "0.0010067", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "101", + "leader_years": "0.9166667", + "country_code": "BEL", + "country_abb": "BEL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belize in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belize is Juan Antonio Briceno, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Belize has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003464", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996536, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belize", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Juan Antonio Briceno", + "month_risk": "0.0003464", + "annual_risk": "0.0043725", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "40", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BLZ", + "country_abb": "BLZ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Belize in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Belize is Juan Antonio Briceno, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Belize has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0043725", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9956275, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Belize", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Juan Antonio Briceno", + "month_risk": "0.0003464", + "annual_risk": "0.0043725", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "40", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BLZ", + "country_abb": "BLZ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Benin in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Benin is Talon, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Benin has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004872", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995128, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Benin", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Talon", + "month_risk": "0.0004872", + "annual_risk": "0.0123532", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "5.416667", + "country_code": "BEN", + "country_abb": "BEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Benin in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Benin is Talon, who has been in power for 5.4 years. Benin has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0123532", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9876468, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Benin", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Talon", + "month_risk": "0.0004872", + "annual_risk": "0.0123532", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "5.416667", + "country_code": "BEN", + "country_abb": "BEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bhutan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bhutan is Lotay Tshering, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Bhutan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005498", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994502, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bhutan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lotay Tshering", + "month_risk": "0.0005498", + "annual_risk": "0.0063726", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.833333", + "country_code": "BTN", + "country_abb": "BHU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bhutan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bhutan is Lotay Tshering, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Bhutan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0063726", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9936274, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bhutan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lotay Tshering", + "month_risk": "0.0005498", + "annual_risk": "0.0063726", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.833333", + "country_code": "BTN", + "country_abb": "BHU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bolivia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bolivia is Arce, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bolivia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000646", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999354, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bolivia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Arce", + "month_risk": "0.000646", + "annual_risk": "0.0082458", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BOL", + "country_abb": "BOL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bolivia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bolivia is Arce, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bolivia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0082458", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9917542, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bolivia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Arce", + "month_risk": "0.000646", + "annual_risk": "0.0082458", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BOL", + "country_abb": "BOL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bosnia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bosnia is Dodik, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bosnia has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 26 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000248", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999752, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bosnia", + "regime_type": "Foreign", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Dodik", + "month_risk": "0.000248", + "annual_risk": "0.0029965", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "26", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BIH", + "country_abb": "BOS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bosnia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bosnia is Dodik, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Bosnia has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 26 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0029965", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9970035, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bosnia", + "regime_type": "Foreign", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Dodik", + "month_risk": "0.000248", + "annual_risk": "0.0029965", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "26", + "leader_years": "0.8333333", + "country_code": "BIH", + "country_abb": "BOS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Botswana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Botswana is Mokgweetsi Masisi, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Botswana has a party regime type which has lasted for 55 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000367", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999633, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Botswana", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mokgweetsi Masisi", + "month_risk": "0.000367", + "annual_risk": "0.0042818", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "55", + "leader_years": "3.416667", + "country_code": "BWA", + "country_abb": "BOT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Botswana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Botswana is Mokgweetsi Masisi, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Botswana has a party regime type which has lasted for 55 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042818", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957182, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Botswana", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mokgweetsi Masisi", + "month_risk": "0.000367", + "annual_risk": "0.0042818", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "55", + "leader_years": "3.416667", + "country_code": "BWA", + "country_abb": "BOT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Brazil in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Brazil is Bolsonaro, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Brazil has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003105", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996895, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Brazil", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bolsonaro", + "month_risk": "0.0003105", + "annual_risk": "0.003733", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "37", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "BRA", + "country_abb": "BRA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Brazil in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Brazil is Bolsonaro, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Brazil has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.003733", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.996267, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Brazil", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bolsonaro", + "month_risk": "0.0003105", + "annual_risk": "0.003733", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "37", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "BRA", + "country_abb": "BRA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Brunei in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Brunei is Hassanal Bolkiah, who has been in power for 53.9 years. Brunei has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 54 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001888", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998112, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Brunei", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hassanal Bolkiah", + "month_risk": "0.0001888", + "annual_risk": "0.0034862", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "53.91667", + "country_code": "BRN", + "country_abb": "BRU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Brunei in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Brunei is Hassanal Bolkiah, who has been in power for 53.9 years. Brunei has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 54 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0034862", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9965138, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Brunei", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hassanal Bolkiah", + "month_risk": "0.0001888", + "annual_risk": "0.0034862", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "53.91667", + "country_code": "BRN", + "country_abb": "BRU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bulgaria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bulgaria is Stefan Yanev, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Bulgaria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003533", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996467, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bulgaria", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Stefan Yanev", + "month_risk": "0.0003533", + "annual_risk": "0.0047012", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "BGR", + "country_abb": "BUL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Bulgaria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Bulgaria is Stefan Yanev, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Bulgaria has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0047012", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9952988, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Bulgaria", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Stefan Yanev", + "month_risk": "0.0003533", + "annual_risk": "0.0047012", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "BGR", + "country_abb": "BUL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Burkina Faso in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Burkina Faso is Kabore, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Burkina Faso has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 6 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0009232", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9990768, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Burkina Faso", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kabore", + "month_risk": "0.0009232", + "annual_risk": "0.0319774", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "6", + "leader_years": "5.75", + "country_code": "BFA", + "country_abb": "BFO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Burkina Faso in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Burkina Faso is Kabore, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Burkina Faso has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 6 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0319774", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9680226, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Burkina Faso", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kabore", + "month_risk": "0.0009232", + "annual_risk": "0.0319774", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "6", + "leader_years": "5.75", + "country_code": "BFA", + "country_abb": "BFO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Burundi in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Burundi is Ndayishimiye, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Burundi has a personal regime type which has lasted for 6 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008801", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991199, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Burundi", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ndayishimiye", + "month_risk": "0.0008801", + "annual_risk": "0.0191016", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "6", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "BDI", + "country_abb": "BUI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Burundi in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Burundi is Ndayishimiye, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Burundi has a personal regime type which has lasted for 6 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0191016", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9808984, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Burundi", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ndayishimiye", + "month_risk": "0.0008801", + "annual_risk": "0.0191016", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "6", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "BDI", + "country_abb": "BUI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cambodia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cambodia is Hun Sen, who has been in power for 24.2 years. Cambodia has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0026709", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9973291, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Cambodia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hun Sen", + "month_risk": "0.0026709", + "annual_risk": "0.0074069", + "risk_change_percent": "0.08", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "24.16667", + "country_code": "KHM", + "country_abb": "CAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cambodia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cambodia is Hun Sen, who has been in power for 24.2 years. Cambodia has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0074069", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9925931, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Cambodia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hun Sen", + "month_risk": "0.0026709", + "annual_risk": "0.0074069", + "risk_change_percent": "0.08", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "24.16667", + "country_code": "KHM", + "country_abb": "CAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cameroon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cameroon is Biya, who has been in power for 38.8 years. 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Canada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 90 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000091", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999909, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Canada", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Trudeau", + "month_risk": "0.000091", + "annual_risk": "0.0010836", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "90", + "leader_years": "5.833333", + "country_code": "CAN", + "country_abb": "CAN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Canada in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Canada is Trudeau, who has been in power for 5.8 years. Canada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 90 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0010836", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9989164, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Canada", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Trudeau", + "month_risk": "0.000091", + "annual_risk": "0.0010836", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "90", + "leader_years": "5.833333", + "country_code": "CAN", + "country_abb": "CAN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cape Verde in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cape Verde is Correia e Silva, who has been in power for 5.4 years. 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Colombia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000348", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999652, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Colombia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ivan Duque", + "month_risk": "0.000348", + "annual_risk": "0.0042455", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "63", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "COL", + "country_abb": "COL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Colombia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Colombia is Ivan Duque, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Colombia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042455", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957545, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Colombia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ivan Duque", + "month_risk": "0.000348", + "annual_risk": "0.0042455", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "63", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "COL", + "country_abb": "COL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Comoros in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Comoros is Assoumani, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Comoros has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 15 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0014685", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9985315, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Comoros", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Assoumani", + "month_risk": "0.0014685", + "annual_risk": "0.0229082", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "COM", + "country_abb": "COM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Comoros in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Comoros is Assoumani, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Comoros has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 15 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0229082", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9770918, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Comoros", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Assoumani", + "month_risk": "0.0014685", + "annual_risk": "0.0229082", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "COM", + "country_abb": "COM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Republic of the Congo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Republic of the Congo is Nguesso, who has been in power for 23.9 years. Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006696", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993304, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Republic of the Congo", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nguesso", + "month_risk": "0.0006696", + "annual_risk": "0.0172229", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "24", + "leader_years": "23.91667", + "country_code": "COG", + "country_abb": "CON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Republic of the Congo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Republic of the Congo is Nguesso, who has been in power for 23.9 years. Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0172229", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9827771, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Republic of the Congo", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nguesso", + "month_risk": "0.0006696", + "annual_risk": "0.0172229", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "24", + "leader_years": "23.91667", + "country_code": "COG", + "country_abb": "CON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Democratic Republic of the Congo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Democratic Republic of the Congo is Felix Tschisekedi, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Democratic Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005052", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994948, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Felix Tschisekedi", + "month_risk": "0.0005052", + "annual_risk": "0.0137581", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "24", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "COD", + "country_abb": "DRC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Democratic Republic of the Congo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Democratic Republic of the Congo is Felix Tschisekedi, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Democratic Republic of the Congo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 24 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0137581", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9862419, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Democratic Republic of the Congo", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Felix Tschisekedi", + "month_risk": "0.0005052", + "annual_risk": "0.0137581", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "24", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "COD", + "country_abb": "DRC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Costa Rica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Costa Rica is Carlos Alvarado Quesada, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Costa Rica has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 72 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003383", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996617, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Costa Rica", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Carlos Alvarado Quesada", + "month_risk": "0.0003383", + "annual_risk": "0.0039892", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "72", + "leader_years": "3.333333", + "country_code": "CRI", + "country_abb": "COS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Costa Rica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Costa Rica is Carlos Alvarado Quesada, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Costa Rica has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 72 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0039892", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9960108, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Costa Rica", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Carlos Alvarado Quesada", + "month_risk": "0.0003383", + "annual_risk": "0.0039892", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "72", + "leader_years": "3.333333", + "country_code": "CRI", + "country_abb": "COS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Croatia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Croatia is Plenkovic, who has been in power for 4.9 years. Croatia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002252", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997748, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Croatia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Plenkovic", + "month_risk": "0.0002252", + "annual_risk": "0.0026709", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "4.916667", + "country_code": "HRV", + "country_abb": "CRO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Croatia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Croatia is Plenkovic, who has been in power for 4.9 years. Croatia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0026709", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9973291, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Croatia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Plenkovic", + "month_risk": "0.0002252", + "annual_risk": "0.0026709", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "4.916667", + "country_code": "HRV", + "country_abb": "CRO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cuba in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cuba is Raul Castro, who has been in power for 13.6 years. Cuba has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 63 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006481", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993519, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Cuba", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Raul Castro", + "month_risk": "0.0006481", + "annual_risk": "0.0074412", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "63", + "leader_years": "13.58333", + "country_code": "CUB", + "country_abb": "CUB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cuba in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cuba is Raul Castro, who has been in power for 13.6 years. 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Cyprus has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 61 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001152", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998848, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Cyprus", + "regime_type": "Foreign", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nikos Anastasiadis", + "month_risk": "0.0001152", + "annual_risk": "0.0013878", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "61", + "leader_years": "8.583333", + "country_code": "CYP", + "country_abb": "CYP" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Cyprus in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Cyprus is Nikos Anastasiadis, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Cyprus has a foreign regime type which has lasted for 61 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0013878", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9986122, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Cyprus", + "regime_type": "Foreign", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nikos Anastasiadis", + "month_risk": "0.0001152", + "annual_risk": "0.0013878", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "61", + "leader_years": "8.583333", + "country_code": "CYP", + "country_abb": "CYP" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Czech Republic in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Czech Republic is Andrej Babis, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Czech Republic has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002392", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997608, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Czech Republic", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Andrej Babis", + "month_risk": "0.0002392", + "annual_risk": "0.002709", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "3.75", + "country_code": "CZE", + "country_abb": "CZR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Czech Republic in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Czech Republic is Andrej Babis, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Czech Republic has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.002709", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.997291, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Czech Republic", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Andrej Babis", + "month_risk": "0.0002392", + "annual_risk": "0.002709", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "3.75", + "country_code": "CZE", + "country_abb": "CZR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Denmark in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Denmark is Mette Frederiksen, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Denmark has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 121 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000583", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999417, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Denmark", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mette Frederiksen", + "month_risk": "0.0000583", + "annual_risk": "0.0006991", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "121", + "leader_years": "2.25", + "country_code": "DNK", + "country_abb": "DEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Denmark in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Denmark is Mette Frederiksen, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Denmark has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 121 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006991", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993009, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Denmark", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mette Frederiksen", + "month_risk": "0.0000583", + "annual_risk": "0.0006991", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "121", + "leader_years": "2.25", + "country_code": "DNK", + "country_abb": "DEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Djibouti in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Djibouti is Guelleh, who has been in power for 22.3 years. Djibouti has a personal regime type which has lasted for 44 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006511", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993489, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Djibouti", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Guelleh", + "month_risk": "0.0006511", + "annual_risk": "0.0152081", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "44", + "leader_years": "22.33333", + "country_code": "DJI", + "country_abb": "DJI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Djibouti in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Djibouti is Guelleh, who has been in power for 22.3 years. Djibouti has a personal regime type which has lasted for 44 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0152081", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9847919, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Djibouti", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Guelleh", + "month_risk": "0.0006511", + "annual_risk": "0.0152081", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "44", + "leader_years": "22.33333", + "country_code": "DJI", + "country_abb": "DJI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Dominica is Roosevelt Skerrit, who has been in power for 17.7 years. Dominica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000359", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999641, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Dominica", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Roosevelt Skerrit", + "month_risk": "0.000359", + "annual_risk": "0.0042361", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "17.66667", + "country_code": "DMA", + "country_abb": "DMA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Dominica is Roosevelt Skerrit, who has been in power for 17.7 years. Dominica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042361", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957639, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Dominica", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Roosevelt Skerrit", + "month_risk": "0.000359", + "annual_risk": "0.0042361", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "17.66667", + "country_code": "DMA", + "country_abb": "DMA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominican Republic in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Dominican Republic is Luis Abinader, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Dominican Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003962", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996038, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Dominican Republic", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Luis Abinader", + "month_risk": "0.0003962", + "annual_risk": "0.0048109", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "DOM", + "country_abb": "DOM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Dominican Republic in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Dominican Republic is Luis Abinader, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Dominican Republic has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0048109", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9951891, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Dominican Republic", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Luis Abinader", + "month_risk": "0.0003962", + "annual_risk": "0.0048109", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "DOM", + "country_abb": "DOM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in East Timor in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of East Timor is Francisco Guterres, who has been in power for 4.3 years. East Timor has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006518", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993482, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "East Timor", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Francisco Guterres", + "month_risk": "0.0006518", + "annual_risk": "0.0106901", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "19", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "TLS", + "country_abb": "ETM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in East Timor in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of East Timor is Francisco Guterres, who has been in power for 4.3 years. East Timor has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0106901", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9893099, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "East Timor", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Francisco Guterres", + "month_risk": "0.0006518", + "annual_risk": "0.0106901", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "19", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "TLS", + "country_abb": "ETM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ecuador in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ecuador is Guillermo Lasso, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Ecuador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006379", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993621, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ecuador", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Guillermo Lasso", + "month_risk": "0.0006379", + "annual_risk": "0.0117434", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "ECU", + "country_abb": "ECU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ecuador in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ecuador is Guillermo Lasso, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Ecuador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0117434", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9882566, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ecuador", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Guillermo Lasso", + "month_risk": "0.0006379", + "annual_risk": "0.0117434", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "ECU", + "country_abb": "ECU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Egypt in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Egypt is al-Sisi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Egypt has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003942", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996058, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Egypt", + "regime_type": "Military-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "al-Sisi", + "month_risk": "0.0003942", + "annual_risk": "0.0157771", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "2", + "leader_years": "7.25", + "country_code": "EGY", + "country_abb": "EGY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Egypt in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Egypt is al-Sisi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Egypt has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0157771", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9842229, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Egypt", + "regime_type": "Military-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "al-Sisi", + "month_risk": "0.0003942", + "annual_risk": "0.0157771", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "2", + "leader_years": "7.25", + "country_code": "EGY", + "country_abb": "EGY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in El Salvador in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of El Salvador is Nayib Bukele, who has been in power for 2.3 years. El Salvador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000443", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999557, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "El Salvador", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nayib Bukele", + "month_risk": "0.000443", + "annual_risk": "0.0052852", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.25", + "country_code": "SLV", + "country_abb": "SAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in El Salvador in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of El Salvador is Nayib Bukele, who has been in power for 2.3 years. El Salvador has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0052852", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9947148, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "El Salvador", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nayib Bukele", + "month_risk": "0.000443", + "annual_risk": "0.0052852", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.25", + "country_code": "SLV", + "country_abb": "SAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Equatorial Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Equatorial Guinea is Nguema Mbasogo, who has been in power for 42.1 years. Equatorial Guinea has a personal regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006908", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993092, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nguema Mbasogo", + "month_risk": "0.0006908", + "annual_risk": "0.0125101", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "42.08333", + "country_code": "GNQ", + "country_abb": "EQG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Equatorial Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Equatorial Guinea is Nguema Mbasogo, who has been in power for 42.1 years. Equatorial Guinea has a personal regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0125101", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9874899, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Equatorial Guinea", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nguema Mbasogo", + "month_risk": "0.0006908", + "annual_risk": "0.0125101", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "42.08333", + "country_code": "GNQ", + "country_abb": "EQG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Eritrea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Eritrea is Afeworki, who has been in power for 28.3 years. Eritrea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0009599", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9990401, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Eritrea", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Afeworki", + "month_risk": "0.0009599", + "annual_risk": "0.0140192", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "28.33333", + "country_code": "ERI", + "country_abb": "ERI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Eritrea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Eritrea is Afeworki, who has been in power for 28.3 years. Eritrea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0140192", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9859808, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Eritrea", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Afeworki", + "month_risk": "0.0009599", + "annual_risk": "0.0140192", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "28.33333", + "country_code": "ERI", + "country_abb": "ERI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Estonia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Estonia is Kaja Kallas, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Estonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001662", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998338, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Estonia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kaja Kallas", + "month_risk": "0.0001662", + "annual_risk": "0.0019882", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "EST", + "country_abb": "EST" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Estonia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Estonia is Kaja Kallas, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Estonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0019882", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9980118, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Estonia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kaja Kallas", + "month_risk": "0.0001662", + "annual_risk": "0.0019882", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "EST", + "country_abb": "EST" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ethiopia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ethiopia is Abiy Ahmed, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Ethiopia has a party regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004374", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995626, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ethiopia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abiy Ahmed", + "month_risk": "0.0004374", + "annual_risk": "0.0130338", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "3.416667", + "country_code": "ETH", + "country_abb": "ETH" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ethiopia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ethiopia is Abiy Ahmed, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Ethiopia has a party regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0130338", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9869662, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ethiopia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abiy Ahmed", + "month_risk": "0.0004374", + "annual_risk": "0.0130338", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "3.416667", + "country_code": "ETH", + "country_abb": "ETH" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Fiji in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Fiji is Bainimarama, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Fiji has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 15 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006039", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993961, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Fiji", + "regime_type": "Military-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bainimarama", + "month_risk": "0.0006039", + "annual_risk": "0.0176759", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "14.66667", + "country_code": "FJI", + "country_abb": "FIJ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Fiji in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Fiji is Bainimarama, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Fiji has a military-personal regime type which has lasted for 15 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0176759", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9823241, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Fiji", + "regime_type": "Military-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bainimarama", + "month_risk": "0.0006039", + "annual_risk": "0.0176759", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "14.66667", + "country_code": "FJI", + "country_abb": "FIJ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Finland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Finland is Sanna Marin, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Finland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000955", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999045, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Finland", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Sanna Marin", + "month_risk": "0.0000955", + "annual_risk": "0.0011487", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "1.75", + "country_code": "FIN", + "country_abb": "FIN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Finland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Finland is Sanna Marin, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Finland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0011487", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9988513, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Finland", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Sanna Marin", + "month_risk": "0.0000955", + "annual_risk": "0.0011487", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "1.75", + "country_code": "FIN", + "country_abb": "FIN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in France in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of France is Macron, who has been in power for 4.3 years. France has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001206", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998794, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "France", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Macron", + "month_risk": "0.0001206", + "annual_risk": "0.0014765", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "63", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "FRA", + "country_abb": "FRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in France in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of France is Macron, who has been in power for 4.3 years. France has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 63 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0014765", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9985235, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "France", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Macron", + "month_risk": "0.0001206", + "annual_risk": "0.0014765", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "63", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "FRA", + "country_abb": "FRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Gabon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Gabon is Ondimba, who has been in power for 11.9 years. Gabon has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 61 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005687", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994313, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Gabon", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ondimba", + "month_risk": "0.0005687", + "annual_risk": "0.0228315", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", + "regime_years": "61", + "leader_years": "11.91667", + "country_code": "GAB", + "country_abb": "GAB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Gabon in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Gabon is Ondimba, who has been in power for 11.9 years. Gabon has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 61 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0228315", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9771685, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Gabon", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ondimba", + "month_risk": "0.0005687", + "annual_risk": "0.0228315", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.23", + "regime_years": "61", + "leader_years": "11.91667", + "country_code": "GAB", + "country_abb": "GAB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Gambia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Gambia is Barrow, who has been in power for 4.7 years. 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Gambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0304998", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9695002, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Gambia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Barrow", + "month_risk": "0.0012153", + "annual_risk": "0.0304998", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "5", + "leader_years": "4.666667", + "country_code": "GMB", + "country_abb": "GAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Georgia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Georgia is Garibashvili, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Georgia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004089", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995911, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Georgia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Garibashvili", + "month_risk": "0.0004089", + "annual_risk": "0.004787", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "3", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "GEO", + "country_abb": "GRG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Georgia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Georgia is Garibashvili, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Georgia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.004787", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.995213, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Georgia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Garibashvili", + "month_risk": "0.0004089", + "annual_risk": "0.004787", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "3", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "GEO", + "country_abb": "GRG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Germany in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Germany is Merkel, who has been in power for 15.8 years. Germany has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001262", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998738, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Germany", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Merkel", + "month_risk": "0.0001262", + "annual_risk": "0.0035762", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "15.83333", + "country_code": "DEU", + "country_abb": "GMY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Germany in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Germany is Merkel, who has been in power for 15.8 years. Germany has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0035762", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9964238, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Germany", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Merkel", + "month_risk": "0.0001262", + "annual_risk": "0.0035762", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "15.83333", + "country_code": "DEU", + "country_abb": "GMY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ghana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ghana is Akufo-Addo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Ghana has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 29 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004126", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995874, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ghana", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Akufo-Addo", + "month_risk": "0.0004126", + "annual_risk": "0.0067922", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "4.666667", + "country_code": "GHA", + "country_abb": "GHA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ghana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ghana is Akufo-Addo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Ghana has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 29 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0067922", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9932078, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ghana", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Akufo-Addo", + "month_risk": "0.0004126", + "annual_risk": "0.0067922", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "4.666667", + "country_code": "GHA", + "country_abb": "GHA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Greece in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Greece is Mitsotakis, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Greece has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 47 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.00019", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.99981, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Greece", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mitsotakis", + "month_risk": "0.00019", + "annual_risk": "0.0022702", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "47", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "GRC", + "country_abb": "GRC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Greece in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Greece is Mitsotakis, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Greece has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 47 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0022702", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9977298, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Greece", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mitsotakis", + "month_risk": "0.00019", + "annual_risk": "0.0022702", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "47", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "GRC", + "country_abb": "GRC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Grenada in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Grenada is Mitchell, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Grenada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 37 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004792", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995208, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Grenada", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mitchell", + "month_risk": "0.0004792", + "annual_risk": "0.0057596", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "37", + "leader_years": "8.583333", + "country_code": "GRD", + "country_abb": "GRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Grenada in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Grenada is Mitchell, who has been in power for 8.6 years. Grenada has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 37 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0057596", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9942404, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Grenada", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mitchell", + "month_risk": "0.0004792", + "annual_risk": "0.0057596", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "37", + "leader_years": "8.583333", + "country_code": "GRD", + "country_abb": "GRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guatemala in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guatemala is Giammattei, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Guatemala has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 26 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000441", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999559, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guatemala", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Giammattei", + "month_risk": "0.000441", + "annual_risk": "0.0052149", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "26", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "GTM", + "country_abb": "GUA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guatemala in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guatemala is Giammattei, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Guatemala has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 26 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0052149", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9947851, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guatemala", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Giammattei", + "month_risk": "0.000441", + "annual_risk": "0.0052149", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "26", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "GTM", + "country_abb": "GUA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guinea is Conde, who has been in power for 10.8 years. Guinea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 11 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0009835", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9990165, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guinea", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Conde", + "month_risk": "0.0009835", + "annual_risk": "0.0266885", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "11", + "leader_years": "10.75", + "country_code": "GIN", + "country_abb": "GUI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guinea is Conde, who has been in power for 10.8 years. Guinea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 11 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0266885", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9733115, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guinea", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Conde", + "month_risk": "0.0009835", + "annual_risk": "0.0266885", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "11", + "leader_years": "10.75", + "country_code": "GIN", + "country_abb": "GUI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea Bissau in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guinea Bissau is Embalo, who has been in power for 1.6 years. Guinea Bissau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0012407", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9987593, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guinea Bissau", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Embalo", + "month_risk": "0.0012407", + "annual_risk": "0.0237283", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "7", + "leader_years": "1.583333", + "country_code": "GNB", + "country_abb": "GNB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guinea Bissau in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guinea Bissau is Embalo, who has been in power for 1.6 years. Guinea Bissau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0237283", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9762717, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guinea Bissau", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Embalo", + "month_risk": "0.0012407", + "annual_risk": "0.0237283", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "7", + "leader_years": "1.583333", + "country_code": "GNB", + "country_abb": "GNB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guyana in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guyana is Mohamed Irfaan Ali, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Guyana has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005123", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994877, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guyana", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mohamed Irfaan Ali", + "month_risk": "0.0005123", + "annual_risk": "0.006027", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "GUY", + "country_abb": "GUY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Guyana in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Guyana is Mohamed Irfaan Ali, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Guyana has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.006027", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.993973, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Guyana", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mohamed Irfaan Ali", + "month_risk": "0.0005123", + "annual_risk": "0.006027", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "29", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "GUY", + "country_abb": "GUY" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Haiti in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Haiti is Jovenel Moise, who has been in power for 4.6 years. Haiti has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008655", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991345, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Haiti", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Jovenel Moise", + "month_risk": "0.0008655", + "annual_risk": "0.0188144", + "risk_change_percent": "0.01", + "regime_years": "5", + "leader_years": "4.583333", + "country_code": "HTI", + "country_abb": "HAI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Haiti in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Haiti is Jovenel Moise, who has been in power for 4.6 years. Haiti has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 5 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0188144", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9811856, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Haiti", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Jovenel Moise", + "month_risk": "0.0008655", + "annual_risk": "0.0188144", + "risk_change_percent": "0.01", + "regime_years": "5", + "leader_years": "4.583333", + "country_code": "HTI", + "country_abb": "HAI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Honduras in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Honduras is Juan Orlando Hernandez, who has been in power for 7.7 years. Honduras has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 40 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0026181", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9973819, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Honduras", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Juan Orlando Hernandez", + "month_risk": "0.0026181", + "annual_risk": "0.0162559", + "risk_change_percent": "0.21", + "regime_years": "40", + "leader_years": "7.666667", + "country_code": "HND", + "country_abb": "HON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Honduras in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Honduras is Juan Orlando Hernandez, who has been in power for 7.7 years. Honduras has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 40 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0162559", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9837441, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Honduras", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Juan Orlando Hernandez", + "month_risk": "0.0026181", + "annual_risk": "0.0162559", + "risk_change_percent": "0.21", + "regime_years": "40", + "leader_years": "7.666667", + "country_code": "HND", + "country_abb": "HON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Hungary in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Hungary is Orban, who has been in power for 11.3 years. Hungary has a party regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002104", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997896, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Hungary", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Orban", + "month_risk": "0.0002104", + "annual_risk": "0.0025619", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "11.33333", + "country_code": "HUN", + "country_abb": "HUN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Hungary in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Hungary is Orban, who has been in power for 11.3 years. Hungary has a party regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0025619", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9974381, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Hungary", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Orban", + "month_risk": "0.0002104", + "annual_risk": "0.0025619", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "11.33333", + "country_code": "HUN", + "country_abb": "HUN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Iceland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Iceland is Katrín Jakobsdóttir, who has been in power for 3.8 years. 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Iceland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 77 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0012191", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9987809, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Iceland", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Katrín Jakobsdóttir", + "month_risk": "0.0001167", + "annual_risk": "0.0012191", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "77", + "leader_years": "3.833333", + "country_code": "ISL", + "country_abb": "ICE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in India in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of India is Narendra Modi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. India has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 74 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001197", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998803, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "India", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Narendra Modi", + "month_risk": "0.0001197", + "annual_risk": "0.002478", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "74", + "leader_years": "7.333333", + "country_code": "IND", + "country_abb": "IND" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in India in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of India is Narendra Modi, who has been in power for 7.3 years. India has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 74 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.002478", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.997522, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "India", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Narendra Modi", + "month_risk": "0.0001197", + "annual_risk": "0.002478", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "74", + "leader_years": "7.333333", + "country_code": "IND", + "country_abb": "IND" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Indonesia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Indonesia is Joko Widodo, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Indonesia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002338", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997662, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Indonesia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Joko Widodo", + "month_risk": "0.0002338", + "annual_risk": "0.0027", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "22", + "leader_years": "6.916667", + "country_code": "IDN", + "country_abb": "INS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Indonesia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Indonesia is Joko Widodo, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Indonesia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0027", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9973, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Indonesia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Joko Widodo", + "month_risk": "0.0002338", + "annual_risk": "0.0027", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "22", + "leader_years": "6.916667", + "country_code": "IDN", + "country_abb": "INS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Iran in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Iran is Rouhani, who has been in power for 8.1 years. Iran has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001568", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998432, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Iran", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Rouhani", + "month_risk": "0.0001568", + "annual_risk": "0.0045407", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "8.083333", + "country_code": "IRN", + "country_abb": "IRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Iran in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Iran is Rouhani, who has been in power for 8.1 years. Iran has a party regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0045407", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9954593, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Iran", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Rouhani", + "month_risk": "0.0001568", + "annual_risk": "0.0045407", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "43", + "leader_years": "8.083333", + "country_code": "IRN", + "country_abb": "IRN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Iraq in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Iraq is Al-Kadhimi, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Iraq has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 10 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003077", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996923, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Iraq", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Al-Kadhimi", + "month_risk": "0.0003077", + "annual_risk": "0.00359", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "10", + "leader_years": "1.333333", + "country_code": "IRQ", + "country_abb": "IRQ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Iraq in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Iraq is Al-Kadhimi, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Iraq has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.00359", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.99641, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Iraq", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Al-Kadhimi", + "month_risk": "0.0003077", + "annual_risk": "0.00359", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "10", + "leader_years": "1.333333", + "country_code": "IRQ", + "country_abb": "IRQ" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ireland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ireland is Martin, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Ireland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 100 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000382", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999618, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ireland", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Martin", + "month_risk": "0.0000382", + "annual_risk": "0.0004569", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "100", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "IRL", + "country_abb": "IRE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ireland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ireland is Martin, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Ireland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 100 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004569", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995431, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ireland", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Martin", + "month_risk": "0.0000382", + "annual_risk": "0.0004569", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "100", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "IRL", + "country_abb": "IRE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Israel in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Israel is Netanyahu, who has been in power for 12.5 years. Israel has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 73 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000159", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999841, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Israel", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Netanyahu", + "month_risk": "0.000159", + "annual_risk": "0.0033576", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "73", + "leader_years": "12.5", + "country_code": "ISR", + "country_abb": "ISR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Israel in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Israel is Netanyahu, who has been in power for 12.5 years. Israel has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 73 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0033576", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9966424, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.847Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Israel", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Netanyahu", + "month_risk": "0.000159", + "annual_risk": "0.0033576", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "73", + "leader_years": "12.5", + "country_code": "ISR", + "country_abb": "ISR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Italy in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Italy is Draghi, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Italy has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 76 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001641", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998359, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Italy", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Draghi", + "month_risk": "0.0001641", + "annual_risk": "0.0019678", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "76", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "ITA", + "country_abb": "ITA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Italy in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Italy is Draghi, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Italy has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 76 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0019678", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9980322, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Italy", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Draghi", + "month_risk": "0.0001641", + "annual_risk": "0.0019678", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "76", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "ITA", + "country_abb": "ITA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Ivory Coast in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Ivory Coast is Ouattara, who has been in power for 10.4 years. 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Ivory Coast has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0131431", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9868569, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Ivory Coast", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ouattara", + "month_risk": "0.000598", + "annual_risk": "0.0131431", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "10", + "leader_years": "10.41667", + "country_code": "CIV", + "country_abb": "CDI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Jamaica in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Jamaica is Holness, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Jamaica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003305", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996695, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Jamaica", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Holness", + "month_risk": "0.0003305", + "annual_risk": "0.0038697", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "59", + "leader_years": "5.5", + "country_code": "JAM", + "country_abb": "JAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Jamaica in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Jamaica is Holness, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Jamaica has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0038697", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9961303, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Jamaica", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Holness", + "month_risk": "0.0003305", + "annual_risk": "0.0038697", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "59", + "leader_years": "5.5", + "country_code": "JAM", + "country_abb": "JAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Japan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Japan is Yoshihide Suga, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Japan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 70 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000904", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999096, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Japan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Yoshihide Suga", + "month_risk": "0.0000904", + "annual_risk": "0.0031919", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "70", + "leader_years": "1", + "country_code": "JPN", + "country_abb": "JPN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Japan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Japan is Yoshihide Suga, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Japan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 70 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0031919", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9968081, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Japan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Yoshihide Suga", + "month_risk": "0.0000904", + "annual_risk": "0.0031919", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "70", + "leader_years": "1", + "country_code": "JPN", + "country_abb": "JPN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Jordan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Jordan is Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi, who has been in power for 22.6 years. Jordan has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 75 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004624", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995376, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Jordan", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi", + "month_risk": "0.0004624", + "annual_risk": "0.0055173", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "75", + "leader_years": "22.58333", + "country_code": "JOR", + "country_abb": "JOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Jordan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Jordan is Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi, who has been in power for 22.6 years. Jordan has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 75 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0055173", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9944827, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Jordan", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abdullah Ibn Hussein El-Hashimi", + "month_risk": "0.0004624", + "annual_risk": "0.0055173", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "75", + "leader_years": "22.58333", + "country_code": "JOR", + "country_abb": "JOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kazakhstan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kazakhstan is Tokayev, who has been in power for 2.5 years. Kazakhstan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002371", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997629, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kazakhstan", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Tokayev", + "month_risk": "0.0002371", + "annual_risk": "0.004553", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "2.5", + "country_code": "KAZ", + "country_abb": "KZK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kazakhstan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kazakhstan is Tokayev, who has been in power for 2.5 years. Kazakhstan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.004553", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.995447, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kazakhstan", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Tokayev", + "month_risk": "0.0002371", + "annual_risk": "0.004553", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "2.5", + "country_code": "KAZ", + "country_abb": "KZK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kenya in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kenya is Kenyatta, who has been in power for 8.4 years. Kenya has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006874", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993126, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kenya", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kenyatta", + "month_risk": "0.0006874", + "annual_risk": "0.0087014", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "19", + "leader_years": "8.416667", + "country_code": "KEN", + "country_abb": "KEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kenya in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kenya is Kenyatta, who has been in power for 8.4 years. Kenya has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 19 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0087014", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9912986, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kenya", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kenyatta", + "month_risk": "0.0006874", + "annual_risk": "0.0087014", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "19", + "leader_years": "8.416667", + "country_code": "KEN", + "country_abb": "KEN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kiribati in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kiribati is Mamau, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Kiribati has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003677", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996323, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kiribati", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mamau", + "month_risk": "0.0003677", + "annual_risk": "0.0042701", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "5.5", + "country_code": "KIR", + "country_abb": "KIR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kiribati in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kiribati is Mamau, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Kiribati has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042701", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957299, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kiribati", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Mamau", + "month_risk": "0.0003677", + "annual_risk": "0.0042701", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "5.5", + "country_code": "KIR", + "country_abb": "KIR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in North Korea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of North Korea is Kim Jong Un, who has been in power for 9.8 years. North Korea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 73 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000385", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999615, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "North Korea", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kim Jong Un", + "month_risk": "0.000385", + "annual_risk": "0.004638", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "73", + "leader_years": "9.75", + "country_code": "PRK", + "country_abb": "PRK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in North Korea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of North Korea is Kim Jong Un, who has been in power for 9.8 years. North Korea has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 73 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.004638", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.995362, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "North Korea", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kim Jong Un", + "month_risk": "0.000385", + "annual_risk": "0.004638", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "73", + "leader_years": "9.75", + "country_code": "PRK", + "country_abb": "PRK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in South Korea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of South Korea is Moon Jae-in, who has been in power for 4.3 years. South Korea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 34 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001513", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998487, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "South Korea", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Moon Jae-in", + "month_risk": "0.0001513", + "annual_risk": "0.0031353", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "34", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "KOR", + "country_abb": "ROK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in South Korea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of South Korea is Moon Jae-in, who has been in power for 4.3 years. South Korea has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 34 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0031353", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9968647, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "South Korea", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Moon Jae-in", + "month_risk": "0.0001513", + "annual_risk": "0.0031353", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "34", + "leader_years": "4.333333", + "country_code": "KOR", + "country_abb": "ROK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kosovo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kosovo is Kurti, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Kosovo has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005735", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994265, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kosovo", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kurti", + "month_risk": "0.0005735", + "annual_risk": "0.0068679", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "0.5", + "country_code": "UNK", + "country_abb": "KOS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kosovo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kosovo is Kurti, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Kosovo has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0068679", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9931321, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kosovo", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kurti", + "month_risk": "0.0005735", + "annual_risk": "0.0068679", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "0.5", + "country_code": "UNK", + "country_abb": "KOS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kuwait in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kuwait is Nawaf Al-Sabah, who has been in power for 1.0 years. Kuwait has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 72 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002763", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997237, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kuwait", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nawaf Al-Sabah", + "month_risk": "0.0002763", + "annual_risk": "0.003269", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "72", + "leader_years": "1", + "country_code": "KWT", + "country_abb": "KUW" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Kuwait in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Kuwait is Nawaf Al-Sabah, who has been in power for 1.0 years. 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Kyrgyzstan has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.018561", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.981439, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Sadyr Japarov", + "month_risk": "0.0006086", + "annual_risk": "0.018561", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.02", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "KGZ", + "country_abb": "KYR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Laos in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Laos is Sisoulith, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Laos has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002438", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997562, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Laos", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Sisoulith", + "month_risk": "0.0002438", + "annual_risk": "0.0058688", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "LAO", + "country_abb": "LAO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Laos in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Laos is Sisoulith, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Laos has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0058688", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9941312, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Laos", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Sisoulith", + "month_risk": "0.0002438", + "annual_risk": "0.0058688", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "LAO", + "country_abb": "LAO" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Latvia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Latvia is Karins, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Latvia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002061", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997939, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Latvia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Karins", + "month_risk": "0.0002061", + "annual_risk": "0.0024738", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "LVA", + "country_abb": "LAT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Latvia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Latvia is Karins, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Latvia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0024738", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9975262, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Latvia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Karins", + "month_risk": "0.0002061", + "annual_risk": "0.0024738", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "LVA", + "country_abb": "LAT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Lebanon in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Lebanon is Saad Hariri, who has been in power for 0.9 years. 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Lebanon has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 16 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0188852", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9811148, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Lebanon", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Saad Hariri", + "month_risk": "0.0008096", + "annual_risk": "0.0188852", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "16", + "leader_years": "0.9166667", + "country_code": "LBN", + "country_abb": "LEB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Lesotho in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Lesotho is Majoro, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Lesotho has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.001296", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.998704, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Lesotho", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Majoro", + "month_risk": "0.001296", + "annual_risk": "0.0186862", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "1.333333", + "country_code": "LSO", + "country_abb": "LES" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Lesotho in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Lesotho is Majoro, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Lesotho has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0186862", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9813138, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Lesotho", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Majoro", + "month_risk": "0.001296", + "annual_risk": "0.0186862", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "1.333333", + "country_code": "LSO", + "country_abb": "LES" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Liberia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Liberia is Weah, who has been in power for 3.7 years. Liberia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 16 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0013563", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9986437, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Liberia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Weah", + "month_risk": "0.0013563", + "annual_risk": "0.0254872", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "16", + "leader_years": "3.666667", + "country_code": "LBR", + "country_abb": "LBR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Liberia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Liberia is Weah, who has been in power for 3.7 years. Liberia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 16 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0254872", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9745128, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Liberia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Weah", + "month_risk": "0.0013563", + "annual_risk": "0.0254872", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "16", + "leader_years": "3.666667", + "country_code": "LBR", + "country_abb": "LBR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Libya in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Libya is Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Libya has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000754", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999246, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Libya", + "regime_type": "Civilian Provisional", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh", + "month_risk": "0.000754", + "annual_risk": "0.0191076", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "0", + "leader_years": "0.5", + "country_code": "LBY", + "country_abb": "LIB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Libya in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Libya is Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Libya has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 0 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0191076", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9808924, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Libya", + "regime_type": "Civilian Provisional", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh", + "month_risk": "0.000754", + "annual_risk": "0.0191076", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "0", + "leader_years": "0.5", + "country_code": "LBY", + "country_abb": "LIB" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Liechtenstein in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Liechtenstein is Hans-Adam II, who has been in power for 31.8 years. Liechtenstein has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 100 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003175", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996825, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Liechtenstein", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hans-Adam II", + "month_risk": "0.0003175", + "annual_risk": "0.0038254", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "100", + "leader_years": "31.83333", + "country_code": "LIE", + "country_abb": "LIE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Liechtenstein in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Liechtenstein is Hans-Adam II, who has been in power for 31.8 years. Liechtenstein has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 100 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0038254", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9961746, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Liechtenstein", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Hans-Adam II", + "month_risk": "0.0003175", + "annual_risk": "0.0038254", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "100", + "leader_years": "31.83333", + "country_code": "LIE", + "country_abb": "LIE" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Lithuania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Lithuania is Nauseda, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Lithuania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001992", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998008, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Lithuania", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nauseda", + "month_risk": "0.0001992", + "annual_risk": "0.0024174", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "LTU", + "country_abb": "LIT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Lithuania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Lithuania is Nauseda, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Lithuania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0024174", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9975826, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Lithuania", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nauseda", + "month_risk": "0.0001992", + "annual_risk": "0.0024174", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "LTU", + "country_abb": "LIT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Luxembourg in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Luxembourg is Bettel, who has been in power for 7.8 years. Luxembourg has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000281", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999719, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Luxembourg", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bettel", + "month_risk": "0.0000281", + "annual_risk": "0.0003412", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "151", + "leader_years": "7.75", + "country_code": "LUX", + "country_abb": "LUX" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Luxembourg in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Luxembourg is Bettel, who has been in power for 7.8 years. Luxembourg has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003412", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996588, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Luxembourg", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bettel", + "month_risk": "0.0000281", + "annual_risk": "0.0003412", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "151", + "leader_years": "7.75", + "country_code": "LUX", + "country_abb": "LUX" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Macedonia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Macedonia is Zaev, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Macedonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004137", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995863, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Macedonia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Zaev", + "month_risk": "0.0004137", + "annual_risk": "0.0050704", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "MKD", + "country_abb": "MAC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Macedonia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Macedonia is Zaev, who has been in power for 1.1 years. Macedonia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0050704", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9949296, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Macedonia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Zaev", + "month_risk": "0.0004137", + "annual_risk": "0.0050704", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "30", + "leader_years": "1.083333", + "country_code": "MKD", + "country_abb": "MAC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Madagascar in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Madagascar is Rajoelina, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Madagascar has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 8 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008738", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991262, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Madagascar", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Rajoelina", + "month_risk": "0.0008738", + "annual_risk": "0.0241482", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "8", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "MDG", + "country_abb": "MAG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Madagascar in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Madagascar is Rajoelina, who has been in power for 2.7 years. Madagascar has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 8 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0241482", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9758518, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Madagascar", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Rajoelina", + "month_risk": "0.0008738", + "annual_risk": "0.0241482", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "regime_years": "8", + "leader_years": "2.666667", + "country_code": "MDG", + "country_abb": "MAG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malawi in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malawi is Chakewera, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Malawi has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0007791", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9992209, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malawi", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Chakewera", + "month_risk": "0.0007791", + "annual_risk": "0.0196171", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "27", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "MWI", + "country_abb": "MAW" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malawi in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malawi is Chakewera, who has been in power for 1.3 years. Malawi has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0196171", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9803829, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malawi", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Chakewera", + "month_risk": "0.0007791", + "annual_risk": "0.0196171", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "27", + "leader_years": "1.25", + "country_code": "MWI", + "country_abb": "MAW" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malaysia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malaysia is Muhyiddin Yassin, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Malaysia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003268", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996732, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malaysia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Muhyiddin Yassin", + "month_risk": "0.0003268", + "annual_risk": "0.0082077", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "3", + "leader_years": "1.5", + "country_code": "MYS", + "country_abb": "MAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malaysia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malaysia is Muhyiddin Yassin, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Malaysia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 3 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0082077", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9917923, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malaysia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Muhyiddin Yassin", + "month_risk": "0.0003268", + "annual_risk": "0.0082077", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "3", + "leader_years": "1.5", + "country_code": "MYS", + "country_abb": "MAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Maldives in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Maldives is Ibrahim Solih, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Maldives has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003144", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996856, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Maldives", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ibrahim Solih", + "month_risk": "0.0003144", + "annual_risk": "0.0053729", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.833333", + "country_code": "MDV", + "country_abb": "MAD" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Maldives in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Maldives is Ibrahim Solih, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Maldives has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0053729", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9946271, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Maldives", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ibrahim Solih", + "month_risk": "0.0003144", + "annual_risk": "0.0053729", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.833333", + "country_code": "MDV", + "country_abb": "MAD" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mali in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mali is Assimi Goita, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Mali has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0129492", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9870508, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mali", + "regime_type": "Military Provisional", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Assimi Goita", + "month_risk": "0.0129492", + "annual_risk": "0.1301098", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.08", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "MLI", + "country_abb": "MLI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mali in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mali is Assimi Goita, who has been in power for 0.3 years. Mali has a military provisional regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.1301098", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.8698902, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mali", + "regime_type": "Military Provisional", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Assimi Goita", + "month_risk": "0.0129492", + "annual_risk": "0.1301098", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.08", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.3333333", + "country_code": "MLI", + "country_abb": "MLI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malta in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malta is Abela, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Malta has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0001947", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9998053, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malta", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abela", + "month_risk": "0.0001947", + "annual_risk": "0.002386", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "60", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "MLT", + "country_abb": "MLT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Malta in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Malta is Abela, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Malta has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.002386", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.997614, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Malta", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Abela", + "month_risk": "0.0001947", + "annual_risk": "0.002386", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "60", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "MLT", + "country_abb": "MLT" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Marshall Islands in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Marshall Islands is Kabua, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Marshall Islands has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000372", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999628, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Marshall Islands", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kabua", + "month_risk": "0.000372", + "annual_risk": "0.0043316", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "MHL", + "country_abb": "MSI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Marshall Islands in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Marshall Islands is Kabua, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Marshall Islands has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0043316", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9956684, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Marshall Islands", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Kabua", + "month_risk": "0.000372", + "annual_risk": "0.0043316", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "MHL", + "country_abb": "MSI" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mauritania is Ould Ghazouani, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Mauritania has a personal regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008837", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991163, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mauritania", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ould Ghazouani", + "month_risk": "0.0008837", + "annual_risk": "0.0105074", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.083333", + "country_code": "MRT", + "country_abb": "MAA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mauritania is Ould Ghazouani, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Mauritania has a personal regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0105074", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9894925999999999, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mauritania", + "regime_type": "Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Ould Ghazouani", + "month_risk": "0.0008837", + "annual_risk": "0.0105074", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "2.083333", + "country_code": "MRT", + "country_abb": "MAA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritius in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mauritius is Pravind Jugnauth, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Mauritius has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005498", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994502, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mauritius", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Pravind Jugnauth", + "month_risk": "0.0005498", + "annual_risk": "0.006314", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "4.666667", + "country_code": "MUS", + "country_abb": "MAS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mauritius in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mauritius is Pravind Jugnauth, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Mauritius has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.006314", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.993686, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mauritius", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Pravind Jugnauth", + "month_risk": "0.0005498", + "annual_risk": "0.006314", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "4.666667", + "country_code": "MUS", + "country_abb": "MAS" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mexico in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mexico is Lopez Obrador, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Mexico has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003391", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996609, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mexico", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lopez Obrador", + "month_risk": "0.0003391", + "annual_risk": "0.0040462", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "2.75", + "country_code": "MEX", + "country_abb": "MEX" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mexico in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mexico is Lopez Obrador, who has been in power for 2.8 years. Mexico has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0040462", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9959538, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mexico", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Lopez Obrador", + "month_risk": "0.0003391", + "annual_risk": "0.0040462", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "21", + "leader_years": "2.75", + "country_code": "MEX", + "country_abb": "MEX" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Micronesia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Micronesia is Panuelo, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Micronesia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003177", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996823, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Micronesia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Panuelo", + "month_risk": "0.0003177", + "annual_risk": "0.0043788", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "FSM", + "country_abb": "FSM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Micronesia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Micronesia is Panuelo, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Micronesia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0043788", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9956212, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Micronesia", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Panuelo", + "month_risk": "0.0003177", + "annual_risk": "0.0043788", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "42", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "FSM", + "country_abb": "FSM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Moldova in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Moldova is Aureliu Ciocoi, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Moldova has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004026", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995974, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Moldova", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Aureliu Ciocoi", + "month_risk": "0.0004026", + "annual_risk": "0.0058795", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.06", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "MDA", + "country_abb": "MLD" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Moldova in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Moldova is Aureliu Ciocoi, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Moldova has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0058795", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9941205, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Moldova", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Aureliu Ciocoi", + "month_risk": "0.0004026", + "annual_risk": "0.0058795", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.06", + "regime_years": "31", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "MDA", + "country_abb": "MLD" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Monaco in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Monaco is Albert, who has been in power for 16.4 years. Monaco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 111 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002688", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997312, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Monaco", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Albert", + "month_risk": "0.0002688", + "annual_risk": "0.0032287", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "111", + "leader_years": "16.41667", + "country_code": "MCO", + "country_abb": "MNC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Monaco in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Monaco is Albert, who has been in power for 16.4 years. Monaco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 111 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0032287", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9967713, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Monaco", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Albert", + "month_risk": "0.0002688", + "annual_risk": "0.0032287", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "111", + "leader_years": "16.41667", + "country_code": "MCO", + "country_abb": "MNC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mongolia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mongolia is Khaltmaagiin Battulga, who has been in power for 4.2 years. Mongolia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004238", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995762, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mongolia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Khaltmaagiin Battulga", + "month_risk": "0.0004238", + "annual_risk": "0.0054732", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "4.166667", + "country_code": "MNG", + "country_abb": "MON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mongolia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mongolia is Khaltmaagiin Battulga, who has been in power for 4.2 years. Mongolia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0054732", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9945268, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mongolia", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Khaltmaagiin Battulga", + "month_risk": "0.0004238", + "annual_risk": "0.0054732", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "4.166667", + "country_code": "MNG", + "country_abb": "MON" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Montenegro in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Montenegro is Zdravko Krivokapic, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Montenegro has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002396", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997604, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Montenegro", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Zdravko Krivokapic", + "month_risk": "0.0002396", + "annual_risk": "0.0028062", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "0.75", + "country_code": "MNE", + "country_abb": "MNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Montenegro in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Montenegro is Zdravko Krivokapic, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Montenegro has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0028062", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9971938, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Montenegro", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Zdravko Krivokapic", + "month_risk": "0.0002396", + "annual_risk": "0.0028062", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "0.75", + "country_code": "MNE", + "country_abb": "MNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Morocco in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Morocco is Muhammad VI, who has been in power for 22.2 years. Morocco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 66 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003534", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996466, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Morocco", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Muhammad VI", + "month_risk": "0.0003534", + "annual_risk": "0.0042459", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "66", + "leader_years": "22.16667", + "country_code": "MAR", + "country_abb": "MOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Morocco in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Morocco is Muhammad VI, who has been in power for 22.2 years. Morocco has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 66 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0042459", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9957541, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Morocco", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Muhammad VI", + "month_risk": "0.0003534", + "annual_risk": "0.0042459", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "66", + "leader_years": "22.16667", + "country_code": "MAR", + "country_abb": "MOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mozambique in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mozambique is Nyussi, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Mozambique has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004214", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995786, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mozambique", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nyussi", + "month_risk": "0.0004214", + "annual_risk": "0.0117946", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "6.666667", + "country_code": "MOZ", + "country_abb": "MZM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Mozambique in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Mozambique is Nyussi, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Mozambique has a party regime type which has lasted for 46 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0117946", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9882054, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Mozambique", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Nyussi", + "month_risk": "0.0004214", + "annual_risk": "0.0117946", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "6.666667", + "country_code": "MOZ", + "country_abb": "MZM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Myanmar in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Myanmar is Min Aung Hlaing, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Myanmar has a military regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0043221", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9956779, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Myanmar", + "regime_type": "Military", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Min Aung Hlaing", + "month_risk": "0.0043221", + "annual_risk": "0.0601338", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "MMR", + "country_abb": "MYA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Myanmar in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Myanmar is Min Aung Hlaing, who has been in power for 0.6 years. Myanmar has a military regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0601338", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9398662, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Myanmar", + "regime_type": "Military", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Min Aung Hlaing", + "month_risk": "0.0043221", + "annual_risk": "0.0601338", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "0.5833333", + "country_code": "MMR", + "country_abb": "MYA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Namibia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Namibia is Geingob, who has been in power for 6.5 years. Namibia has a party regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004849", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995151, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Namibia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Geingob", + "month_risk": "0.0004849", + "annual_risk": "0.005658", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "6.5", + "country_code": "NAM", + "country_abb": "NAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Namibia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Namibia is Geingob, who has been in power for 6.5 years. Namibia has a party regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.005658", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.994342, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Namibia", + "regime_type": "Party", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Geingob", + "month_risk": "0.0004849", + "annual_risk": "0.005658", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "6.5", + "country_code": "NAM", + "country_abb": "NAM" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nauru in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nauru is Aingimea, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Nauru has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004436", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995564, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nauru", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Aingimea", + "month_risk": "0.0004436", + "annual_risk": "0.0051705", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "2.083333", + "country_code": "NRU", + "country_abb": "NAU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nauru in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nauru is Aingimea, who has been in power for 2.1 years. Nauru has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 54 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0051705", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9948295, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nauru", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Aingimea", + "month_risk": "0.0004436", + "annual_risk": "0.0051705", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "54", + "leader_years": "2.083333", + "country_code": "NRU", + "country_abb": "NAU" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nepal in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nepal is Oli, who has been in power for 3.6 years. Nepal has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0004664", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9995336, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nepal", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Oli", + "month_risk": "0.0004664", + "annual_risk": "0.0121599", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "3.583333", + "country_code": "NPL", + "country_abb": "NEP" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nepal in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nepal is Oli, who has been in power for 3.6 years. Nepal has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 15 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0121599", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9878401, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nepal", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Oli", + "month_risk": "0.0004664", + "annual_risk": "0.0121599", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "15", + "leader_years": "3.583333", + "country_code": "NPL", + "country_abb": "NEP" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Netherlands in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Netherlands is M. Rutte, who has been in power for 10.9 years. Netherlands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.000069", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.999931, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Netherlands", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "M. Rutte", + "month_risk": "0.000069", + "annual_risk": "0.0008277", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "151", + "leader_years": "10.91667", + "country_code": "NLD", + "country_abb": "NTH" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Netherlands in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Netherlands is M. Rutte, who has been in power for 10.9 years. Netherlands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 151 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008277", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991723, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Netherlands", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "M. 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New Zealand has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 114 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000879", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999121, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "New Zealand", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Jacinda Ardern", + "month_risk": "0.0000879", + "annual_risk": "0.0031683", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "114", + "leader_years": "3.916667", + "country_code": "NZL", + "country_abb": "NEW" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in New Zealand in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of New Zealand is Jacinda Ardern, who has been in power for 3.9 years. New Zealand has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 114 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0031683", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9968317, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "New Zealand", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Jacinda Ardern", + "month_risk": "0.0000879", + "annual_risk": "0.0031683", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "114", + "leader_years": "3.916667", + "country_code": "NZL", + "country_abb": "NEW" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nicaragua in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nicaragua is Daniel Ortega, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Nicaragua has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 1 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0008419", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9991581, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nicaragua", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Daniel Ortega", + "month_risk": "0.0008419", + "annual_risk": "0.0166319", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "14.66667", + "country_code": "NIC", + "country_abb": "NIC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nicaragua in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nicaragua is Daniel Ortega, who has been in power for 14.7 years. Nicaragua has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 1 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0166319", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9833681, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nicaragua", + "regime_type": "Party-Personal", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Daniel Ortega", + "month_risk": "0.0008419", + "annual_risk": "0.0166319", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "1", + "leader_years": "14.66667", + "country_code": "NIC", + "country_abb": "NIC" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Niger in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Niger is Bazoum, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Niger has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0044929", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9955071, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Niger", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bazoum", + "month_risk": "0.0044929", + "annual_risk": "0.0560617", + "risk_change_percent": "0.04", + "regime_years": "10", + "leader_years": "0.4166667", + "country_code": "NER", + "country_abb": "NIR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Niger in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Niger is Bazoum, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Niger has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0560617", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9439383, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Niger", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Bazoum", + "month_risk": "0.0044929", + "annual_risk": "0.0560617", + "risk_change_percent": "0.04", + "regime_years": "10", + "leader_years": "0.4166667", + "country_code": "NER", + "country_abb": "NIR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nigeria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nigeria is Buhari, who has been in power for 6.3 years. Nigeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003311", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996689, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nigeria", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Buhari", + "month_risk": "0.0003311", + "annual_risk": "0.0082061", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "22", + "leader_years": "6.333333", + "country_code": "NGA", + "country_abb": "NIG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Nigeria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Nigeria is Buhari, who has been in power for 6.3 years. Nigeria has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 22 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0082061", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9917939, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Nigeria", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Buhari", + "month_risk": "0.0003311", + "annual_risk": "0.0082061", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "22", + "leader_years": "6.333333", + "country_code": "NGA", + "country_abb": "NIG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Norway in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Norway is Solberg, who has been in power for 7.9 years. Norway has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 137 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0000532", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9999468, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Norway", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Solberg", + "month_risk": "0.0000532", + "annual_risk": "0.0005675", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "137", + "leader_years": "7.916667", + "country_code": "NOR", + "country_abb": "NOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Norway in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Norway is Solberg, who has been in power for 7.9 years. Norway has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 137 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005675", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994325, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Norway", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Solberg", + "month_risk": "0.0000532", + "annual_risk": "0.0005675", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "137", + "leader_years": "7.916667", + "country_code": "NOR", + "country_abb": "NOR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Oman in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Oman is Haitham ibn Tariq, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Oman has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 280 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002703", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997297, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Oman", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Haitham ibn Tariq", + "month_risk": "0.0002703", + "annual_risk": "0.0032216", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "280", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "OMN", + "country_abb": "OMA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Oman in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Oman is Haitham ibn Tariq, who has been in power for 1.7 years. Oman has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 280 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0032216", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9967784, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Oman", + "regime_type": "Monarchy", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Haitham ibn Tariq", + "month_risk": "0.0002703", + "annual_risk": "0.0032216", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "280", + "leader_years": "1.666667", + "country_code": "OMN", + "country_abb": "OMA" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Pakistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Pakistan is Imran Khan, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Pakistan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003059", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996941, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Pakistan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Imran Khan", + "month_risk": "0.0003059", + "annual_risk": "0.0094634", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "PAK", + "country_abb": "PAK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Pakistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Pakistan is Imran Khan, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Pakistan has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 13 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0094634", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9905366, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Pakistan", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Imran Khan", + "month_risk": "0.0003059", + "annual_risk": "0.0094634", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "13", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "PAK", + "country_abb": "PAK" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Palau in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Palau is Surangel Whipps Jr., who has been in power for 0.7 years. Palau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 41 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0002809", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9997191, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Palau", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Surangel Whipps Jr.", + "month_risk": "0.0002809", + "annual_risk": "0.0060766", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "41", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "PLW", + "country_abb": "PAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Palau in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Palau is Surangel Whipps Jr., who has been in power for 0.7 years. Palau has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 41 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0060766", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9939234, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Palau", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Surangel Whipps Jr.", + "month_risk": "0.0002809", + "annual_risk": "0.0060766", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "41", + "leader_years": "0.6666667", + "country_code": "PLW", + "country_abb": "PAL" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Panama in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Panama is Laurentino Cortizo, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Panama has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0003417", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9996583, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Panama", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Laurentino Cortizo", + "month_risk": "0.0003417", + "annual_risk": "0.004063", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "PAN", + "country_abb": "PAN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Panama in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Panama is Laurentino Cortizo, who has been in power for 2.2 years. Panama has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.004063", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.995937, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Panama", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Laurentino Cortizo", + "month_risk": "0.0003417", + "annual_risk": "0.004063", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "32", + "leader_years": "2.166667", + "country_code": "PAN", + "country_abb": "PAN" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Papua New Guinea in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Papua New Guinea is James Marape, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Papua New Guinea has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 46 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0006657", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9993343, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Papua New Guinea", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "James Marape", + "month_risk": "0.0006657", + "annual_risk": "0.0079024", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "PNG", + "country_abb": "PNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Papua New Guinea in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Papua New Guinea is James Marape, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Papua New Guinea has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 46 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0079024", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9920976, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Papua New Guinea", + "regime_type": "Parliamentary", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "James Marape", + "month_risk": "0.0006657", + "annual_risk": "0.0079024", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "46", + "leader_years": "2.333333", + "country_code": "PNG", + "country_abb": "PNG" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Paraguay in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Paraguay is Benitez, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Paraguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0005126", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9994874, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 2 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Paraguay", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Benitez", + "month_risk": "0.0005126", + "annual_risk": "0.0060726", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "PRY", + "country_abb": "PAR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Paraguay in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Paraguay is Benitez, who has been in power for 3.1 years. Paraguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0060726", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9939274, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "stars": 3 + }, + "extra": { + "country_name": "Paraguay", + "regime_type": "Presidential", + "month": "8", + "year": "2021", + "leader_name": "Benitez", + "month_risk": "0.0005126", + "annual_risk": "0.0060726", + "risk_change_percent": "0", + "regime_years": "28", + "leader_years": "3.083333", + "country_code": "PRY", + "country_abb": "PAR" + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, + { + "title": "Will there be a coup in Peru in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", + "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", + "platform": "CoupCast", + "description": "The current leader of Peru is Francisco Sagasti, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Peru has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 20 years.", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.0019684", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": 0.9980316, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15601,9 +15577,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Francisco Sagasti", - "month_risk": "0.0003468", - "annual_risk": "0.0051335", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0019684", + "annual_risk": "0.0085042", + "risk_change_percent": "0.17", "regime_years": "20", "leader_years": "0.8333333", "country_code": "PER", @@ -15615,20 +15591,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Peru in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Peru is Francisco Sagasti, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Peru has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 20 years", + "description": "The current leader of Peru is Francisco Sagasti, who has been in power for 0.8 years. Peru has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 20 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0051335", + "probability": "0.0085042", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9948665, + "probability": 0.9914958, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -15638,9 +15614,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Francisco Sagasti", - "month_risk": "0.0003468", - "annual_risk": "0.0051335", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0019684", + "annual_risk": "0.0085042", + "risk_change_percent": "0.17", "regime_years": "20", "leader_years": "0.8333333", "country_code": "PER", @@ -15652,20 +15628,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Philippines in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Philippines is Rodrigo Duterte, who has been in power for 5.3 years. Philippines has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 36 years", + "description": "The current leader of Philippines is Rodrigo Duterte, who has been in power for 5.3 years. Philippines has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 36 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002933", + "probability": "0.0002639", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997067, + "probability": 0.9997361, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15675,8 +15651,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rodrigo Duterte", - "month_risk": "0.0002933", - "annual_risk": "0.0051535", + "month_risk": "0.0002639", + "annual_risk": "0.0064534", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "36", "leader_years": "5.25", @@ -15689,20 +15665,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Philippines in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Philippines is Rodrigo Duterte, who has been in power for 5.3 years. Philippines has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 36 years", + "description": "The current leader of Philippines is Rodrigo Duterte, who has been in power for 5.3 years. Philippines has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 36 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0051535", + "probability": "0.0064534", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9948465, + "probability": 0.9935466, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -15712,8 +15688,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rodrigo Duterte", - "month_risk": "0.0002933", - "annual_risk": "0.0051535", + "month_risk": "0.0002639", + "annual_risk": "0.0064534", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "36", "leader_years": "5.25", @@ -15726,20 +15702,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Poland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Poland is Duda, who has been in power for 6.1 years. Poland has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "description": "The current leader of Poland is Duda, who has been in power for 6.1 years. Poland has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002531", + "probability": "0.0002226", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997469, + "probability": 0.9997774, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15749,8 +15725,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Duda", - "month_risk": "0.0002531", - "annual_risk": "0.0029942", + "month_risk": "0.0002226", + "annual_risk": "0.0026329", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "32", "leader_years": "6.083333", @@ -15763,20 +15739,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Poland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Poland is Duda, who has been in power for 6.1 years. Poland has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "description": "The current leader of Poland is Duda, who has been in power for 6.1 years. Poland has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 32 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0029942", + "probability": "0.0026329", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9970058, + "probability": 0.9973671, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -15786,8 +15762,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Duda", - "month_risk": "0.0002531", - "annual_risk": "0.0029942", + "month_risk": "0.0002226", + "annual_risk": "0.0026329", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "32", "leader_years": "6.083333", @@ -15800,20 +15776,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Portugal in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Portugal is de Sousa, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Portugal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 45 years", + "description": "The current leader of Portugal is de Sousa, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Portugal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 45 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001772", + "probability": "0.0001488", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998228, + "probability": 0.9998512, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15823,8 +15799,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "de Sousa", - "month_risk": "0.0001772", - "annual_risk": "0.0021258", + "month_risk": "0.0001488", + "annual_risk": "0.0017872", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "45", "leader_years": "5.5", @@ -15837,20 +15813,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Portugal in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Portugal is de Sousa, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Portugal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 45 years", + "description": "The current leader of Portugal is de Sousa, who has been in power for 5.5 years. Portugal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 45 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0021258", + "probability": "0.0017872", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9978742, + "probability": 0.9982128, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -15860,8 +15836,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "de Sousa", - "month_risk": "0.0001772", - "annual_risk": "0.0021258", + "month_risk": "0.0001488", + "annual_risk": "0.0017872", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "45", "leader_years": "5.5", @@ -15874,20 +15850,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Qatar in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Qatar is Khalifah Al Thani, who has been in power for 8.3 years. Qatar has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", + "description": "The current leader of Qatar is Khalifah Al Thani, who has been in power for 8.3 years. Qatar has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001394", + "probability": "0.0001116", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998606, + "probability": 0.9998884, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15897,8 +15873,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Khalifah Al Thani", - "month_risk": "0.0001394", - "annual_risk": "0.0016413", + "month_risk": "0.0001116", + "annual_risk": "0.002339", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "50", "leader_years": "8.25", @@ -15911,20 +15887,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Qatar in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Qatar is Khalifah Al Thani, who has been in power for 8.3 years. Qatar has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", + "description": "The current leader of Qatar is Khalifah Al Thani, who has been in power for 8.3 years. Qatar has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0016413", + "probability": "0.002339", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9983587, + "probability": 0.997661, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -15934,8 +15910,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Khalifah Al Thani", - "month_risk": "0.0001394", - "annual_risk": "0.0016413", + "month_risk": "0.0001116", + "annual_risk": "0.002339", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "50", "leader_years": "8.25", @@ -15948,20 +15924,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Romania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Romania is Iohannis, who has been in power for 6.8 years. Romania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Romania is Iohannis, who has been in power for 6.8 years. Romania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002893", + "probability": "0.000259", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997107, + "probability": 0.999741, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -15971,8 +15947,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Iohannis", - "month_risk": "0.0002893", - "annual_risk": "0.0034697", + "month_risk": "0.000259", + "annual_risk": "0.0031102", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "6.75", @@ -15985,20 +15961,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Romania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Romania is Iohannis, who has been in power for 6.8 years. Romania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Romania is Iohannis, who has been in power for 6.8 years. Romania has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0034697", + "probability": "0.0031102", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9965303, + "probability": 0.9968898, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16008,8 +15984,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Iohannis", - "month_risk": "0.0002893", - "annual_risk": "0.0034697", + "month_risk": "0.000259", + "annual_risk": "0.0031102", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "6.75", @@ -16022,20 +15998,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Russia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Russia is Putin, who has been in power for 21.7 years. Russia has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "description": "The current leader of Russia is Putin, who has been in power for 21.7 years. Russia has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000288", + "probability": "0.0002576", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999712, + "probability": 0.9997424, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16045,8 +16021,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Putin", - "month_risk": "0.000288", - "annual_risk": "0.0053152", + "month_risk": "0.0002576", + "annual_risk": "0.0066083", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "28", "leader_years": "21.66667", @@ -16059,20 +16035,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Russia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Russia is Putin, who has been in power for 21.7 years. Russia has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "description": "The current leader of Russia is Putin, who has been in power for 21.7 years. Russia has a personal regime type which has lasted for 28 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0053152", + "probability": "0.0066083", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9946848, + "probability": 0.9933917, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16082,8 +16058,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Putin", - "month_risk": "0.000288", - "annual_risk": "0.0053152", + "month_risk": "0.0002576", + "annual_risk": "0.0066083", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "28", "leader_years": "21.66667", @@ -16096,20 +16072,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Rwanda in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Rwanda is Paul Kagame, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Rwanda has a party-military regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of Rwanda is Paul Kagame, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Rwanda has a party-military regime type which has lasted for 27 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0029702", + "probability": "0.0006955", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9970298, + "probability": 0.9993045, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16119,9 +16095,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Paul Kagame", - "month_risk": "0.0029702", - "annual_risk": "0.0161845", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.05", + "month_risk": "0.0006955", + "annual_risk": "0.0238233", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.28", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "27.16667", "country_code": "RWA", @@ -16133,20 +16109,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Rwanda in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Rwanda is Paul Kagame, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Rwanda has a party-military regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of Rwanda is Paul Kagame, who has been in power for 27.2 years. Rwanda has a party-military regime type which has lasted for 27 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0161845", + "probability": "0.0238233", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9838155, + "probability": 0.9761767, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16156,9 +16132,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Paul Kagame", - "month_risk": "0.0029702", - "annual_risk": "0.0161845", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.05", + "month_risk": "0.0006955", + "annual_risk": "0.0238233", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.28", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "27.16667", "country_code": "RWA", @@ -16170,20 +16146,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Samoa in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Samoa is Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi, who has been in power for 22.8 years. Samoa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", + "description": "The current leader of Samoa is Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi, who has been in power for 22.8 years. Samoa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003035", + "probability": "0.0002731", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996965, + "probability": 0.9997269, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16193,8 +16169,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi", - "month_risk": "0.0003035", - "annual_risk": "0.0091581", + "month_risk": "0.0002731", + "annual_risk": "0.0093567", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "60", "leader_years": "22.75", @@ -16207,20 +16183,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Samoa in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Samoa is Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi, who has been in power for 22.8 years. Samoa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", + "description": "The current leader of Samoa is Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi, who has been in power for 22.8 years. Samoa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 60 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0091581", + "probability": "0.0093567", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9908419, + "probability": 0.9906433, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16230,8 +16206,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi", - "month_risk": "0.0003035", - "annual_risk": "0.0091581", + "month_risk": "0.0002731", + "annual_risk": "0.0093567", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "60", "leader_years": "22.75", @@ -16244,20 +16220,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in San Marino in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of San Marino is Venturini and Nicolini, who has been in power for 0.4 years. San Marino has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 421 years", + "description": "The current leader of San Marino is Venturini and Nicolini, who has been in power for 0.4 years. San Marino has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 421 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000677", + "probability": "0.0000501", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999323, + "probability": 0.9999499, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16267,8 +16243,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Venturini and Nicolini", - "month_risk": "0.0000677", - "annual_risk": "0.0008075", + "month_risk": "0.0000501", + "annual_risk": "0.0005977", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "421", "leader_years": "0.4166667", @@ -16281,20 +16257,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in San Marino in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of San Marino is Venturini and Nicolini, who has been in power for 0.4 years. San Marino has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 421 years", + "description": "The current leader of San Marino is Venturini and Nicolini, who has been in power for 0.4 years. San Marino has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 421 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0008075", + "probability": "0.0005977", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9991925, + "probability": 0.9994023, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16304,8 +16280,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Venturini and Nicolini", - "month_risk": "0.0000677", - "annual_risk": "0.0008075", + "month_risk": "0.0000501", + "annual_risk": "0.0005977", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "421", "leader_years": "0.4166667", @@ -16318,20 +16294,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sao Tome and Principe in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sao Tome and Principe is Carvalho, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Sao Tome and Principe has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sao Tome and Principe is Carvalho, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Sao Tome and Principe has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0007431", + "probability": "0.0007983", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9992569, + "probability": 0.9992017, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16341,9 +16317,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Carvalho", - "month_risk": "0.0007431", - "annual_risk": "0.0226006", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.71", + "month_risk": "0.0007983", + "annual_risk": "0.0221719", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.67", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "5", "country_code": "STP", @@ -16355,20 +16331,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sao Tome and Principe in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sao Tome and Principe is Carvalho, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Sao Tome and Principe has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sao Tome and Principe is Carvalho, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Sao Tome and Principe has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0226006", + "probability": "0.0221719", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9773994, + "probability": 0.9778281, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16378,9 +16354,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Carvalho", - "month_risk": "0.0007431", - "annual_risk": "0.0226006", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.71", + "month_risk": "0.0007983", + "annual_risk": "0.0221719", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.67", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "5", "country_code": "STP", @@ -16392,20 +16368,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Saudi Arabia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Saudi Arabia is Salman, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Saudi Arabia has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 94 years", + "description": "The current leader of Saudi Arabia is Salman, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Saudi Arabia has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 94 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000214", + "probability": "0.000179", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999786, + "probability": 0.999821, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16415,8 +16391,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Salman", - "month_risk": "0.000214", - "annual_risk": "0.002504", + "month_risk": "0.000179", + "annual_risk": "0.0021478", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "94", "leader_years": "6.666667", @@ -16429,20 +16405,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Saudi Arabia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Saudi Arabia is Salman, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Saudi Arabia has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 94 years", + "description": "The current leader of Saudi Arabia is Salman, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Saudi Arabia has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 94 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.002504", + "probability": "0.0021478", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.997496, + "probability": 0.9978522, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16452,8 +16428,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Salman", - "month_risk": "0.000214", - "annual_risk": "0.002504", + "month_risk": "0.000179", + "annual_risk": "0.0021478", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "94", "leader_years": "6.666667", @@ -16466,20 +16442,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Senegal in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Senegal is Macky Sall, who has been in power for 9.4 years. Senegal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "description": "The current leader of Senegal is Macky Sall, who has been in power for 9.4 years. Senegal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006972", + "probability": "0.0006976", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993028, + "probability": 0.9993024, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.546Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16489,8 +16465,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Macky Sall", - "month_risk": "0.0006972", - "annual_risk": "0.0108112", + "month_risk": "0.0006976", + "annual_risk": "0.0107933", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "21", "leader_years": "9.416667", @@ -16503,20 +16479,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Senegal in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Senegal is Macky Sall, who has been in power for 9.4 years. Senegal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "description": "The current leader of Senegal is Macky Sall, who has been in power for 9.4 years. Senegal has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 21 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0108112", + "probability": "0.0107933", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9891888, + "probability": 0.9892067, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16526,8 +16502,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Macky Sall", - "month_risk": "0.0006972", - "annual_risk": "0.0108112", + "month_risk": "0.0006976", + "annual_risk": "0.0107933", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "21", "leader_years": "9.416667", @@ -16540,20 +16516,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Serbia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Serbia is Ana Brnabic, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Serbia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "description": "The current leader of Serbia is Ana Brnabic, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Serbia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003916", + "probability": "0.0003649", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996084, + "probability": 0.9996351, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16563,8 +16539,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ana Brnabic", - "month_risk": "0.0003916", - "annual_risk": "0.004671", + "month_risk": "0.0003649", + "annual_risk": "0.0043546", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "21", "leader_years": "4.25", @@ -16577,20 +16553,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Serbia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Serbia is Ana Brnabic, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Serbia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", + "description": "The current leader of Serbia is Ana Brnabic, who has been in power for 4.3 years. Serbia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 21 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.004671", + "probability": "0.0043546", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.995329, + "probability": 0.9956454, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16600,8 +16576,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ana Brnabic", - "month_risk": "0.0003916", - "annual_risk": "0.004671", + "month_risk": "0.0003649", + "annual_risk": "0.0043546", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "21", "leader_years": "4.25", @@ -16614,20 +16590,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Seychelles in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Seychelles is Wavel Ramkalawan, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Seychelles has a party regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "description": "The current leader of Seychelles is Wavel Ramkalawan, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Seychelles has a party regime type which has lasted for 28 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004972", + "probability": "0.0005061", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995028, + "probability": 0.9994939, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16637,8 +16613,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Wavel Ramkalawan", - "month_risk": "0.0004972", - "annual_risk": "0.0079383", + "month_risk": "0.0005061", + "annual_risk": "0.018153", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "28", "leader_years": "0.9166667", @@ -16651,20 +16627,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Seychelles in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Seychelles is Wavel Ramkalawan, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Seychelles has a party regime type which has lasted for 28 years", + "description": "The current leader of Seychelles is Wavel Ramkalawan, who has been in power for 0.9 years. Seychelles has a party regime type which has lasted for 28 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0079383", + "probability": "0.018153", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9920617, + "probability": 0.981847, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16674,8 +16650,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Wavel Ramkalawan", - "month_risk": "0.0004972", - "annual_risk": "0.0079383", + "month_risk": "0.0005061", + "annual_risk": "0.018153", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "28", "leader_years": "0.9166667", @@ -16688,20 +16664,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sierra Leone in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sierra Leone is Julius Maada Bio, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Sierra Leone has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 23 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sierra Leone is Julius Maada Bio, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Sierra Leone has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 23 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009986", + "probability": "0.0038288", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990014, + "probability": 0.9961712, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16711,9 +16687,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Julius Maada Bio", - "month_risk": "0.0009986", - "annual_risk": "0.0264177", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0038288", + "annual_risk": "0.0186679", + "risk_change_percent": "0.27", "regime_years": "23", "leader_years": "3.416667", "country_code": "SLE", @@ -16725,20 +16701,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sierra Leone in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sierra Leone is Julius Maada Bio, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Sierra Leone has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 23 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sierra Leone is Julius Maada Bio, who has been in power for 3.4 years. Sierra Leone has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 23 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0264177", + "probability": "0.0186679", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9735823, + "probability": 0.9813321, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16748,9 +16724,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Julius Maada Bio", - "month_risk": "0.0009986", - "annual_risk": "0.0264177", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0038288", + "annual_risk": "0.0186679", + "risk_change_percent": "0.27", "regime_years": "23", "leader_years": "3.416667", "country_code": "SLE", @@ -16762,20 +16738,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Singapore in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Singapore is Lee Hsien Loong, who has been in power for 17.1 years. Singapore has a party regime type which has lasted for 56 years", + "description": "The current leader of Singapore is Lee Hsien Loong, who has been in power for 17.1 years. Singapore has a party regime type which has lasted for 56 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000686", + "probability": "0.0000509", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999314, + "probability": 0.9999491, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16785,8 +16761,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lee Hsien Loong", - "month_risk": "0.0000686", - "annual_risk": "0.0015722", + "month_risk": "0.0000509", + "annual_risk": "0.0012843", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "56", "leader_years": "17.08333", @@ -16799,20 +16775,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Singapore in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Singapore is Lee Hsien Loong, who has been in power for 17.1 years. Singapore has a party regime type which has lasted for 56 years", + "description": "The current leader of Singapore is Lee Hsien Loong, who has been in power for 17.1 years. Singapore has a party regime type which has lasted for 56 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0015722", + "probability": "0.0012843", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9984278, + "probability": 0.9987157, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.848Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16822,8 +16798,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lee Hsien Loong", - "month_risk": "0.0000686", - "annual_risk": "0.0015722", + "month_risk": "0.0000509", + "annual_risk": "0.0012843", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "56", "leader_years": "17.08333", @@ -16836,20 +16812,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Slovakia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Slovakia is Heger, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Slovakia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", + "description": "The current leader of Slovakia is Heger, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Slovakia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002259", + "probability": "0.0001958", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997741, + "probability": 0.9998042, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16859,8 +16835,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Heger", - "month_risk": "0.0002259", - "annual_risk": "0.0026965", + "month_risk": "0.0001958", + "annual_risk": "0.0023382", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "29", "leader_years": "0.4166667", @@ -16873,20 +16849,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Slovakia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Slovakia is Heger, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Slovakia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", + "description": "The current leader of Slovakia is Heger, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Slovakia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 29 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0026965", + "probability": "0.0023382", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9973035, + "probability": 0.9976618, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16896,8 +16872,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Heger", - "month_risk": "0.0002259", - "annual_risk": "0.0026965", + "month_risk": "0.0001958", + "annual_risk": "0.0023382", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "29", "leader_years": "0.4166667", @@ -16910,20 +16886,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Slovenia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Slovenia is Jansa, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Slovenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Slovenia is Jansa, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Slovenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000208", + "probability": "0.0001785", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999792, + "probability": 0.9998215, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -16933,8 +16909,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Jansa", - "month_risk": "0.000208", - "annual_risk": "0.0024984", + "month_risk": "0.0001785", + "annual_risk": "0.0021454", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "1.5", @@ -16947,20 +16923,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Slovenia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Slovenia is Jansa, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Slovenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Slovenia is Jansa, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Slovenia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0024984", + "probability": "0.0021454", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9975016, + "probability": 0.9978546, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -16970,8 +16946,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Jansa", - "month_risk": "0.000208", - "annual_risk": "0.0024984", + "month_risk": "0.0001785", + "annual_risk": "0.0021454", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "1.5", @@ -16984,20 +16960,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Solomon Islands in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Solomon Islands is Sogavare, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Solomon Islands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of Solomon Islands is Sogavare, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Solomon Islands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000462", + "probability": "0.0004397", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999538, + "probability": 0.9995603, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17007,8 +16983,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Sogavare", - "month_risk": "0.000462", - "annual_risk": "0.005402", + "month_risk": "0.0004397", + "annual_risk": "0.0051308", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "2.416667", @@ -17021,20 +16997,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Solomon Islands in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Solomon Islands is Sogavare, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Solomon Islands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of Solomon Islands is Sogavare, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Solomon Islands has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.005402", + "probability": "0.0051308", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.994598, + "probability": 0.9948692, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17044,8 +17020,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Sogavare", - "month_risk": "0.000462", - "annual_risk": "0.005402", + "month_risk": "0.0004397", + "annual_risk": "0.0051308", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "2.416667", @@ -17058,20 +17034,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Somalia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Somalia is Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Somalia has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 9 years", + "description": "The current leader of Somalia is Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Somalia has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 9 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0042353", + "probability": "0.0012624", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9957647, + "probability": 0.9987376, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17081,9 +17057,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo", - "month_risk": "0.0042353", - "annual_risk": "0.0294958", - "risk_change_percent": "0.29", + "month_risk": "0.0012624", + "annual_risk": "0.03466", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", "regime_years": "9", "leader_years": "4.666667", "country_code": "SOM", @@ -17095,20 +17071,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Somalia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Somalia is Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Somalia has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 9 years", + "description": "The current leader of Somalia is Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo, who has been in power for 4.7 years. Somalia has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 9 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0294958", + "probability": "0.03466", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9705042, + "probability": 0.96534, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17118,9 +17094,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo", - "month_risk": "0.0042353", - "annual_risk": "0.0294958", - "risk_change_percent": "0.29", + "month_risk": "0.0012624", + "annual_risk": "0.03466", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", "regime_years": "9", "leader_years": "4.666667", "country_code": "SOM", @@ -17132,20 +17108,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in South Africa in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Africa is Ramaphosa, who has been in power for 3.6 years. South Africa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of South Africa is Ramaphosa, who has been in power for 3.6 years. South Africa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 27 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003874", + "probability": "0.0003521", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996126, + "probability": 0.9996479, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17155,8 +17131,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ramaphosa", - "month_risk": "0.0003874", - "annual_risk": "0.0048248", + "month_risk": "0.0003521", + "annual_risk": "0.0061734", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "3.583333", @@ -17169,20 +17145,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in South Africa in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Africa is Ramaphosa, who has been in power for 3.6 years. South Africa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of South Africa is Ramaphosa, who has been in power for 3.6 years. South Africa has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 27 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0048248", + "probability": "0.0061734", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9951752, + "probability": 0.9938266, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17192,8 +17168,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Ramaphosa", - "month_risk": "0.0003874", - "annual_risk": "0.0048248", + "month_risk": "0.0003521", + "annual_risk": "0.0061734", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "3.583333", @@ -17206,20 +17182,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in South Sudan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Sudan is Kiir, who has been in power for 10.2 years. South Sudan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "description": "The current leader of South Sudan is Kiir, who has been in power for 10.2 years. South Sudan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 10 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0037702", + "probability": "0.0010311", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9962298, + "probability": 0.9989689, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17229,9 +17205,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Kiir", - "month_risk": "0.0037702", - "annual_risk": "0.0407773", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.7", + "month_risk": "0.0010311", + "annual_risk": "0.0312361", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.85", "regime_years": "10", "leader_years": "10.16667", "country_code": "SSD", @@ -17243,20 +17219,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in South Sudan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of South Sudan is Kiir, who has been in power for 10.2 years. South Sudan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "description": "The current leader of South Sudan is Kiir, who has been in power for 10.2 years. South Sudan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 10 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0407773", + "probability": "0.0312361", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9592227, + "probability": 0.9687639, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17266,9 +17242,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Kiir", - "month_risk": "0.0037702", - "annual_risk": "0.0407773", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.7", + "month_risk": "0.0010311", + "annual_risk": "0.0312361", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.85", "regime_years": "10", "leader_years": "10.16667", "country_code": "SSD", @@ -17280,20 +17256,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Spain in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Spain is Sanchez, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Spain has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 45 years", + "description": "The current leader of Spain is Sanchez, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Spain has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 45 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002315", + "probability": "0.0002013", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997685, + "probability": 0.9997987, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17303,8 +17279,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Sanchez", - "month_risk": "0.0002315", - "annual_risk": "0.002784", + "month_risk": "0.0002013", + "annual_risk": "0.0024244", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "45", "leader_years": "3.25", @@ -17317,20 +17293,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Spain in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Spain is Sanchez, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Spain has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 45 years", + "description": "The current leader of Spain is Sanchez, who has been in power for 3.3 years. Spain has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 45 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.002784", + "probability": "0.0024244", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.997216, + "probability": 0.9975756, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17340,8 +17316,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Sanchez", - "month_risk": "0.0002315", - "annual_risk": "0.002784", + "month_risk": "0.0002013", + "annual_risk": "0.0024244", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "45", "leader_years": "3.25", @@ -17354,20 +17330,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sri Lanka in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sri Lanka is G. Rajapakse, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Sri Lanka has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sri Lanka is G. Rajapakse, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Sri Lanka has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003384", + "probability": "0.00031", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996616, + "probability": 0.99969, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17377,8 +17353,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "G. Rajapakse", - "month_risk": "0.0003384", - "annual_risk": "0.0039327", + "month_risk": "0.00031", + "annual_risk": "0.0036075", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "1.833333", @@ -17391,20 +17367,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sri Lanka in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sri Lanka is G. Rajapakse, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Sri Lanka has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sri Lanka is G. Rajapakse, who has been in power for 1.8 years. Sri Lanka has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 27 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0039327", + "probability": "0.0036075", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9960673, + "probability": 0.9963925, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17414,8 +17390,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "G. Rajapakse", - "month_risk": "0.0003384", - "annual_risk": "0.0039327", + "month_risk": "0.00031", + "annual_risk": "0.0036075", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "27", "leader_years": "1.833333", @@ -17428,20 +17404,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Kitts and Nevis in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Kitts and Nevis is Harris, who has been in power for 6.6 years. St Kitts and Nevis has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 38 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Kitts and Nevis is Harris, who has been in power for 6.6 years. St Kitts and Nevis has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 38 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002999", + "probability": "0.0002701", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997001, + "probability": 0.9997299, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17451,8 +17427,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Harris", - "month_risk": "0.0002999", - "annual_risk": "0.003531", + "month_risk": "0.0002701", + "annual_risk": "0.0031705", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "38", "leader_years": "6.583333", @@ -17465,20 +17441,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Kitts and Nevis in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Kitts and Nevis is Harris, who has been in power for 6.6 years. St Kitts and Nevis has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 38 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Kitts and Nevis is Harris, who has been in power for 6.6 years. St Kitts and Nevis has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 38 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.003531", + "probability": "0.0031705", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.996469, + "probability": 0.9968295, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17488,8 +17464,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Harris", - "month_risk": "0.0002999", - "annual_risk": "0.003531", + "month_risk": "0.0002701", + "annual_risk": "0.0031705", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "38", "leader_years": "6.583333", @@ -17502,20 +17478,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Lucia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Lucia is Chastanet, who has been in power for 5.3 years. St Lucia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Lucia is Chastanet, who has been in power for 5.3 years. St Lucia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003844", + "probability": "0.0003577", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996156, + "probability": 0.9996423, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17525,8 +17501,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Chastanet", - "month_risk": "0.0003844", - "annual_risk": "0.008079", + "month_risk": "0.0003577", + "annual_risk": "0.0052778", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "5.25", @@ -17539,20 +17515,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Lucia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Lucia is Chastanet, who has been in power for 5.3 years. St Lucia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Lucia is Chastanet, who has been in power for 5.3 years. St Lucia has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.008079", + "probability": "0.0052778", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.991921, + "probability": 0.9947222, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17562,8 +17538,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Chastanet", - "month_risk": "0.0003844", - "annual_risk": "0.008079", + "month_risk": "0.0003577", + "annual_risk": "0.0052778", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "5.25", @@ -17576,20 +17552,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Vincent in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Vincent is Gonsalves, who has been in power for 20.5 years. St Vincent has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Vincent is Gonsalves, who has been in power for 20.5 years. St Vincent has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003922", + "probability": "0.0003659", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996078, + "probability": 0.9996341, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17599,8 +17575,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Gonsalves", - "month_risk": "0.0003922", - "annual_risk": "0.0046382", + "month_risk": "0.0003659", + "annual_risk": "0.0043176", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "42", "leader_years": "20.5", @@ -17613,20 +17589,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in St Vincent in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of St Vincent is Gonsalves, who has been in power for 20.5 years. St Vincent has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", + "description": "The current leader of St Vincent is Gonsalves, who has been in power for 20.5 years. St Vincent has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 42 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046382", + "probability": "0.0043176", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953618, + "probability": 0.9956824, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17636,8 +17612,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Gonsalves", - "month_risk": "0.0003922", - "annual_risk": "0.0046382", + "month_risk": "0.0003659", + "annual_risk": "0.0043176", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "42", "leader_years": "20.5", @@ -17650,20 +17626,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sudan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sudan is Abdelrahman Burhan, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Sudan has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 2 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sudan is Abdelrahman Burhan, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Sudan has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 2 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.00171", + "probability": "0.001868", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.99829, + "probability": 0.998132, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17673,9 +17649,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Abdelrahman Burhan", - "month_risk": "0.00171", - "annual_risk": "0.056846", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.03", + "month_risk": "0.001868", + "annual_risk": "0.0516108", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.48", "regime_years": "2", "leader_years": "2.416667", "country_code": "SDN", @@ -17687,20 +17663,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sudan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sudan is Abdelrahman Burhan, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Sudan has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 2 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sudan is Abdelrahman Burhan, who has been in power for 2.4 years. Sudan has a civilian provisional regime type which has lasted for 2 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.056846", + "probability": "0.0516108", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.943154, + "probability": 0.9483892, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17710,9 +17686,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Abdelrahman Burhan", - "month_risk": "0.00171", - "annual_risk": "0.056846", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.03", + "month_risk": "0.001868", + "annual_risk": "0.0516108", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.48", "regime_years": "2", "leader_years": "2.416667", "country_code": "SDN", @@ -17724,20 +17700,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Suriname in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Suriname is Santokhi, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Suriname has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Suriname is Santokhi, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Suriname has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005377", + "probability": "0.0005229", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994623, + "probability": 0.9994771, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17747,8 +17723,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Santokhi", - "month_risk": "0.0005377", - "annual_risk": "0.0084044", + "month_risk": "0.0005229", + "annual_risk": "0.008297", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "1.166667", @@ -17761,20 +17737,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Suriname in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Suriname is Santokhi, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Suriname has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Suriname is Santokhi, who has been in power for 1.2 years. Suriname has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0084044", + "probability": "0.008297", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9915956, + "probability": 0.991703, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17784,8 +17760,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Santokhi", - "month_risk": "0.0005377", - "annual_risk": "0.0084044", + "month_risk": "0.0005229", + "annual_risk": "0.008297", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "1.166667", @@ -17798,20 +17774,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Swaziland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Swaziland is Mswati, who has been in power for 35.4 years. Swaziland has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 53 years", + "description": "The current leader of Swaziland is Mswati, who has been in power for 35.4 years. Swaziland has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 53 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009042", + "probability": "0.0009811", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990958, + "probability": 0.9990189, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17821,8 +17797,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mswati", - "month_risk": "0.0009042", - "annual_risk": "0.0105169", + "month_risk": "0.0009811", + "annual_risk": "0.013761", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "53", "leader_years": "35.41667", @@ -17835,20 +17811,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Swaziland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Swaziland is Mswati, who has been in power for 35.4 years. Swaziland has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 53 years", + "description": "The current leader of Swaziland is Mswati, who has been in power for 35.4 years. Swaziland has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 53 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0105169", + "probability": "0.013761", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9894831, + "probability": 0.986239, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17858,8 +17834,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mswati", - "month_risk": "0.0009042", - "annual_risk": "0.0105169", + "month_risk": "0.0009811", + "annual_risk": "0.013761", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "53", "leader_years": "35.41667", @@ -17872,20 +17848,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sweden in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sweden is Lofven, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Sweden has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 103 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sweden is Lofven, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Sweden has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 103 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000888", + "probability": "0.0000681", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999112, + "probability": 0.9999319, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17895,8 +17871,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lofven", - "month_risk": "0.0000888", - "annual_risk": "0.0010639", + "month_risk": "0.0000681", + "annual_risk": "0.0008163", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "103", "leader_years": "6.916667", @@ -17909,20 +17885,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Sweden in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Sweden is Lofven, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Sweden has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 103 years", + "description": "The current leader of Sweden is Lofven, who has been in power for 6.9 years. Sweden has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 103 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0010639", + "probability": "0.0008163", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9989361, + "probability": 0.9991837, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -17932,8 +17908,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lofven", - "month_risk": "0.0000888", - "annual_risk": "0.0010639", + "month_risk": "0.0000681", + "annual_risk": "0.0008163", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "103", "leader_years": "6.916667", @@ -17946,20 +17922,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Switzerland in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Switzerland is Parmelin, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Switzerland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 173 years", + "description": "The current leader of Switzerland is Parmelin, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Switzerland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 173 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0000485", + "probability": "0.0000344", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9999515, + "probability": 0.9999656, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -17969,8 +17945,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Parmelin", - "month_risk": "0.0000485", - "annual_risk": "0.0005791", + "month_risk": "0.0000344", + "annual_risk": "0.0004101", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "173", "leader_years": "0.6666667", @@ -17983,20 +17959,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Switzerland in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Switzerland is Parmelin, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Switzerland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 173 years", + "description": "The current leader of Switzerland is Parmelin, who has been in power for 0.7 years. Switzerland has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 173 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005791", + "probability": "0.0004101", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994209, + "probability": 0.9995899, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18006,8 +17982,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Parmelin", - "month_risk": "0.0000485", - "annual_risk": "0.0005791", + "month_risk": "0.0000344", + "annual_risk": "0.0004101", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "173", "leader_years": "0.6666667", @@ -18020,20 +17996,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Syria in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Syria is Bashar al-Assad, who has been in power for 21.3 years. Syria has a hybrid regime type which has lasted for 58 years", + "description": "The current leader of Syria is Bashar al-Assad, who has been in power for 21.3 years. Syria has a hybrid regime type which has lasted for 58 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005301", + "probability": "0.0003288", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994699, + "probability": 0.9996712, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18043,8 +18019,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Bashar al-Assad", - "month_risk": "0.0005301", - "annual_risk": "0.020604", + "month_risk": "0.0003288", + "annual_risk": "0.022398", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "58", "leader_years": "21.25", @@ -18057,20 +18033,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Syria in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Syria is Bashar al-Assad, who has been in power for 21.3 years. Syria has a hybrid regime type which has lasted for 58 years", + "description": "The current leader of Syria is Bashar al-Assad, who has been in power for 21.3 years. Syria has a hybrid regime type which has lasted for 58 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.020604", + "probability": "0.022398", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.979396, + "probability": 0.977602, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18080,8 +18056,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Bashar al-Assad", - "month_risk": "0.0005301", - "annual_risk": "0.020604", + "month_risk": "0.0003288", + "annual_risk": "0.022398", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "58", "leader_years": "21.25", @@ -18094,20 +18070,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tajikistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tajikistan is Rakhmonov, who has been in power for 28.8 years. Tajikistan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tajikistan is Rakhmonov, who has been in power for 28.8 years. Tajikistan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 30 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005034", + "probability": "0.0004854", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994966, + "probability": 0.9995146, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18117,8 +18093,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rakhmonov", - "month_risk": "0.0005034", - "annual_risk": "0.0112445", + "month_risk": "0.0004854", + "annual_risk": "0.0135826", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "28.83333", @@ -18131,20 +18107,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tajikistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tajikistan is Rakhmonov, who has been in power for 28.8 years. Tajikistan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 30 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tajikistan is Rakhmonov, who has been in power for 28.8 years. Tajikistan has a personal regime type which has lasted for 30 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0112445", + "probability": "0.0135826", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9887555, + "probability": 0.9864174, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18154,8 +18130,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rakhmonov", - "month_risk": "0.0005034", - "annual_risk": "0.0112445", + "month_risk": "0.0004854", + "annual_risk": "0.0135826", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "30", "leader_years": "28.83333", @@ -18168,20 +18144,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tanzania in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tanzania is Samia Suluhu Hassan, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Tanzania has a party regime type which has lasted for 57 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tanzania is Samia Suluhu Hassan, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Tanzania has a party regime type which has lasted for 57 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002877", + "probability": "0.000252", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997123, + "probability": 0.999748, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18191,8 +18167,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Samia Suluhu Hassan", - "month_risk": "0.0002877", - "annual_risk": "0.0035709", + "month_risk": "0.000252", + "annual_risk": "0.0062047", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "57", "leader_years": "0.5", @@ -18205,20 +18181,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tanzania in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tanzania is Samia Suluhu Hassan, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Tanzania has a party regime type which has lasted for 57 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tanzania is Samia Suluhu Hassan, who has been in power for 0.5 years. Tanzania has a party regime type which has lasted for 57 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0035709", + "probability": "0.0062047", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9964291, + "probability": 0.9937953, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18228,8 +18204,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Samia Suluhu Hassan", - "month_risk": "0.0002877", - "annual_risk": "0.0035709", + "month_risk": "0.000252", + "annual_risk": "0.0062047", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "57", "leader_years": "0.5", @@ -18242,20 +18218,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Thailand in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Thailand is Prayuth Chan-ocha, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Thailand has a military regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Thailand is Prayuth Chan-ocha, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Thailand has a military regime type which has lasted for 7 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003408", + "probability": "0.0003112", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996592, + "probability": 0.9996888, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18265,8 +18241,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Prayuth Chan-ocha", - "month_risk": "0.0003408", - "annual_risk": "0.012226", + "month_risk": "0.0003112", + "annual_risk": "0.0126249", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "7.333333", @@ -18279,20 +18255,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Thailand in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Thailand is Prayuth Chan-ocha, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Thailand has a military regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Thailand is Prayuth Chan-ocha, who has been in power for 7.3 years. Thailand has a military regime type which has lasted for 7 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.012226", + "probability": "0.0126249", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.987774, + "probability": 0.9873751, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18302,8 +18278,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Prayuth Chan-ocha", - "month_risk": "0.0003408", - "annual_risk": "0.012226", + "month_risk": "0.0003112", + "annual_risk": "0.0126249", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "7.333333", @@ -18316,20 +18292,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Togo in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Togo is Faure Gnassingbe, who has been in power for 16.3 years. Togo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 59 years", + "description": "The current leader of Togo is Faure Gnassingbe, who has been in power for 16.3 years. Togo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 59 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005514", + "probability": "0.0005416", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9994486, + "probability": 0.9994584, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18339,8 +18315,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Faure Gnassingbe", - "month_risk": "0.0005514", - "annual_risk": "0.0066494", + "month_risk": "0.0005416", + "annual_risk": "0.0110933", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "59", "leader_years": "16.33333", @@ -18353,20 +18329,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Togo in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Togo is Faure Gnassingbe, who has been in power for 16.3 years. Togo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 59 years", + "description": "The current leader of Togo is Faure Gnassingbe, who has been in power for 16.3 years. Togo has a personal regime type which has lasted for 59 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0066494", + "probability": "0.0110933", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9933506, + "probability": 0.9889067, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18376,8 +18352,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Faure Gnassingbe", - "month_risk": "0.0005514", - "annual_risk": "0.0066494", + "month_risk": "0.0005416", + "annual_risk": "0.0110933", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "59", "leader_years": "16.33333", @@ -18390,20 +18366,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tonga in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tonga is Tu'I'onetoa, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tonga has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 51 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tonga is Tu'I'onetoa, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tonga has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 51 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000529", + "probability": "0.0005117", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999471, + "probability": 0.9994883, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18413,8 +18389,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tu'I'onetoa", - "month_risk": "0.000529", - "annual_risk": "0.0061172", + "month_risk": "0.0005117", + "annual_risk": "0.0059265", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "51", "leader_years": "1.916667", @@ -18427,20 +18403,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tonga in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tonga is Tu'I'onetoa, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tonga has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 51 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tonga is Tu'I'onetoa, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tonga has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 51 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0061172", + "probability": "0.0059265", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9938828, + "probability": 0.9940735, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18450,8 +18426,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Tu'I'onetoa", - "month_risk": "0.000529", - "annual_risk": "0.0061172", + "month_risk": "0.0005117", + "annual_risk": "0.0059265", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "51", "leader_years": "1.916667", @@ -18464,20 +18440,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Trinidad and Tobago in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Trinidad and Tobago is Rowley, who has been in power for 6.0 years. Trinidad and Tobago has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", + "description": "The current leader of Trinidad and Tobago is Rowley, who has been in power for 6.0 years. Trinidad and Tobago has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002761", + "probability": "0.000246", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997239, + "probability": 0.999754, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18487,8 +18463,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rowley", - "month_risk": "0.0002761", - "annual_risk": "0.0032409", + "month_risk": "0.000246", + "annual_risk": "0.0028787", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "59", "leader_years": "6", @@ -18501,20 +18477,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Trinidad and Tobago in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Trinidad and Tobago is Rowley, who has been in power for 6.0 years. Trinidad and Tobago has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", + "description": "The current leader of Trinidad and Tobago is Rowley, who has been in power for 6.0 years. Trinidad and Tobago has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 59 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0032409", + "probability": "0.0028787", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9967591, + "probability": 0.9971213, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.547Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18524,8 +18500,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Rowley", - "month_risk": "0.0002761", - "annual_risk": "0.0032409", + "month_risk": "0.000246", + "annual_risk": "0.0028787", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "59", "leader_years": "6", @@ -18538,20 +18514,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tunisia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tunisia is Saied, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tunisia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tunisia is Saied, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tunisia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006185", + "probability": "0.0005767", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993815, + "probability": 0.9994233, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18561,8 +18537,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Saied", - "month_risk": "0.0006185", - "annual_risk": "0.0068686", + "month_risk": "0.0005767", + "annual_risk": "0.006689", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "1.916667", @@ -18575,20 +18551,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tunisia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tunisia is Saied, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tunisia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tunisia is Saied, who has been in power for 1.9 years. Tunisia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 7 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0068686", + "probability": "0.006689", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9931314, + "probability": 0.993311, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18598,8 +18574,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Saied", - "month_risk": "0.0006185", - "annual_risk": "0.0068686", + "month_risk": "0.0005767", + "annual_risk": "0.006689", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "1.916667", @@ -18612,20 +18588,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Turkey in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Turkey is Erdogan, who has been in power for 18.5 years. Turkey has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", + "description": "The current leader of Turkey is Erdogan, who has been in power for 18.5 years. Turkey has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002676", + "probability": "0.0002334", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997324, + "probability": 0.9997666, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18635,9 +18611,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Erdogan", - "month_risk": "0.0002676", - "annual_risk": "0.0071127", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.14", + "month_risk": "0.0002334", + "annual_risk": "0.0118753", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "2", "leader_years": "18.5", "country_code": "TUR", @@ -18649,20 +18625,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Turkey in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Turkey is Erdogan, who has been in power for 18.5 years. Turkey has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", + "description": "The current leader of Turkey is Erdogan, who has been in power for 18.5 years. Turkey has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 2 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0071127", + "probability": "0.0118753", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9928873, + "probability": 0.9881247, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18672,9 +18648,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Erdogan", - "month_risk": "0.0002676", - "annual_risk": "0.0071127", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.14", + "month_risk": "0.0002334", + "annual_risk": "0.0118753", + "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "2", "leader_years": "18.5", "country_code": "TUR", @@ -18686,20 +18662,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Turkmenistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Turkmenistan is Berdymukhammedov, who has been in power for 14.8 years. Turkmenistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "description": "The current leader of Turkmenistan is Berdymukhammedov, who has been in power for 14.8 years. Turkmenistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003914", + "probability": "0.000365", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996086, + "probability": 0.999635, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18709,8 +18685,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Berdymukhammedov", - "month_risk": "0.0003914", - "annual_risk": "0.0044769", + "month_risk": "0.000365", + "annual_risk": "0.0058742", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "31", "leader_years": "14.75", @@ -18723,20 +18699,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Turkmenistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Turkmenistan is Berdymukhammedov, who has been in power for 14.8 years. Turkmenistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "description": "The current leader of Turkmenistan is Berdymukhammedov, who has been in power for 14.8 years. Turkmenistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 31 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0044769", + "probability": "0.0058742", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9955231, + "probability": 0.9941258, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18746,8 +18722,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Berdymukhammedov", - "month_risk": "0.0003914", - "annual_risk": "0.0044769", + "month_risk": "0.000365", + "annual_risk": "0.0058742", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "31", "leader_years": "14.75", @@ -18760,20 +18736,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tuvalu in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tuvalu is Natano, who has been in power for 2.0 years. Tuvalu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tuvalu is Natano, who has been in power for 2.0 years. Tuvalu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002975", + "probability": "0.0002663", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997025, + "probability": 0.9997337, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18783,8 +18759,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Natano", - "month_risk": "0.0002975", - "annual_risk": "0.0035164", + "month_risk": "0.0002663", + "annual_risk": "0.0031251", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "2", @@ -18797,20 +18773,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Tuvalu in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Tuvalu is Natano, who has been in power for 2.0 years. Tuvalu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", + "description": "The current leader of Tuvalu is Natano, who has been in power for 2.0 years. Tuvalu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 43 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0035164", + "probability": "0.0031251", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9964836, + "probability": 0.9968749, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18820,8 +18796,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Natano", - "month_risk": "0.0002975", - "annual_risk": "0.0035164", + "month_risk": "0.0002663", + "annual_risk": "0.0031251", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "43", "leader_years": "2", @@ -18834,20 +18810,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uganda in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uganda is Museveni, who has been in power for 35.7 years. Uganda has a personal regime type which has lasted for 36 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uganda is Museveni, who has been in power for 35.7 years. Uganda has a personal regime type which has lasted for 36 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004466", + "probability": "0.0004157", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995534, + "probability": 0.9995843, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18857,9 +18833,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Museveni", - "month_risk": "0.0004466", - "annual_risk": "0.0240226", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0004157", + "annual_risk": "0.0240018", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.2", "regime_years": "36", "leader_years": "35.66667", "country_code": "UGA", @@ -18871,20 +18847,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uganda in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uganda is Museveni, who has been in power for 35.7 years. Uganda has a personal regime type which has lasted for 36 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uganda is Museveni, who has been in power for 35.7 years. Uganda has a personal regime type which has lasted for 36 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0240226", + "probability": "0.0240018", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9759774, + "probability": 0.9759982, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18894,9 +18870,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Museveni", - "month_risk": "0.0004466", - "annual_risk": "0.0240226", - "risk_change_percent": "0", + "month_risk": "0.0004157", + "annual_risk": "0.0240018", + "risk_change_percent": "-0.2", "regime_years": "36", "leader_years": "35.66667", "country_code": "UGA", @@ -18908,20 +18884,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in UK in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of UK is Johnson, who has been in power for 2.2 years. UK has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 110 years", + "description": "The current leader of UK is Johnson, who has been in power for 2.2 years. UK has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 110 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0001577", + "probability": "0.0001303", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9998423, + "probability": 0.9998697, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -18931,8 +18907,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Johnson", - "month_risk": "0.0001577", - "annual_risk": "0.0019001", + "month_risk": "0.0001303", + "annual_risk": "0.0015731", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "110", "leader_years": "2.166667", @@ -18945,20 +18921,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in UK in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of UK is Johnson, who has been in power for 2.2 years. UK has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 110 years", + "description": "The current leader of UK is Johnson, who has been in power for 2.2 years. UK has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 110 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0019001", + "probability": "0.0015731", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9980999, + "probability": 0.9984269, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -18968,8 +18944,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Johnson", - "month_risk": "0.0001577", - "annual_risk": "0.0019001", + "month_risk": "0.0001303", + "annual_risk": "0.0015731", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "110", "leader_years": "2.166667", @@ -18982,20 +18958,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Ukraine in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ukraine is Zelensky, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Ukraine has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "description": "The current leader of Ukraine is Zelensky, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Ukraine has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 31 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004562", + "probability": "0.0004318", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995438, + "probability": 0.9995682, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19005,8 +18981,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Zelensky", - "month_risk": "0.0004562", - "annual_risk": "0.0073429", + "month_risk": "0.0004318", + "annual_risk": "0.0051786", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "31", "leader_years": "2.333333", @@ -19019,20 +18995,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Ukraine in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Ukraine is Zelensky, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Ukraine has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 31 years", + "description": "The current leader of Ukraine is Zelensky, who has been in power for 2.3 years. Ukraine has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 31 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0073429", + "probability": "0.0051786", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9926571, + "probability": 0.9948214, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19042,8 +19018,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Zelensky", - "month_risk": "0.0004562", - "annual_risk": "0.0073429", + "month_risk": "0.0004318", + "annual_risk": "0.0051786", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "31", "leader_years": "2.333333", @@ -19056,20 +19032,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in United Arab Emirates in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of United Arab Emirates is Khalifa Al Nahayan, who has been in power for 16.8 years. United Arab Emirates has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", + "description": "The current leader of United Arab Emirates is Khalifa Al Nahayan, who has been in power for 16.8 years. United Arab Emirates has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002149", + "probability": "0.0001807", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997851, + "probability": 0.9998193, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19079,8 +19055,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Khalifa Al Nahayan", - "month_risk": "0.0002149", - "annual_risk": "0.0025185", + "month_risk": "0.0001807", + "annual_risk": "0.0021608", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "50", "leader_years": "16.83333", @@ -19093,20 +19069,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in United Arab Emirates in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of United Arab Emirates is Khalifa Al Nahayan, who has been in power for 16.8 years. United Arab Emirates has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", + "description": "The current leader of United Arab Emirates is Khalifa Al Nahayan, who has been in power for 16.8 years. United Arab Emirates has a monarchy regime type which has lasted for 50 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0025185", + "probability": "0.0021608", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9974815, + "probability": 0.9978392, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19116,8 +19092,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Khalifa Al Nahayan", - "month_risk": "0.0002149", - "annual_risk": "0.0025185", + "month_risk": "0.0001807", + "annual_risk": "0.0021608", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "50", "leader_years": "16.83333", @@ -19130,20 +19106,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uruguay in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uruguay is Luis Pou, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Uruguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uruguay is Luis Pou, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Uruguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003463", + "probability": "0.0003179", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996537, + "probability": 0.9996821, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19153,8 +19129,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Luis Pou", - "month_risk": "0.0003463", - "annual_risk": "0.0041209", + "month_risk": "0.0003179", + "annual_risk": "0.0037796", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "37", "leader_years": "1.5", @@ -19167,20 +19143,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uruguay in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uruguay is Luis Pou, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Uruguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uruguay is Luis Pou, who has been in power for 1.5 years. Uruguay has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 37 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0041209", + "probability": "0.0037796", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9958791, + "probability": 0.9962204, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19190,8 +19166,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Luis Pou", - "month_risk": "0.0003463", - "annual_risk": "0.0041209", + "month_risk": "0.0003179", + "annual_risk": "0.0037796", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "37", "leader_years": "1.5", @@ -19204,20 +19180,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in USA in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of USA is Biden, who has been in power for 0.7 years. USA has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 232 years", + "description": "The current leader of USA is Biden, who has been in power for 0.7 years. USA has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 232 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000058", + "probability": "0.0000421", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.999942, + "probability": 0.9999579, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19227,8 +19203,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Biden", - "month_risk": "0.000058", - "annual_risk": "0.0007234", + "month_risk": "0.0000421", + "annual_risk": "0.0005281", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "232", "leader_years": "0.6666667", @@ -19241,20 +19217,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in USA in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of USA is Biden, who has been in power for 0.7 years. USA has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 232 years", + "description": "The current leader of USA is Biden, who has been in power for 0.7 years. USA has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 232 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0007234", + "probability": "0.0005281", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9992766, + "probability": 0.9994719, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19264,8 +19240,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Biden", - "month_risk": "0.000058", - "annual_risk": "0.0007234", + "month_risk": "0.0000421", + "annual_risk": "0.0005281", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "232", "leader_years": "0.6666667", @@ -19278,20 +19254,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uzbekistan in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uzbekistan is Shavkat Mirziyoyev, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Uzbekistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uzbekistan is Shavkat Mirziyoyev, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Uzbekistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 32 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004936", + "probability": "0.0004752", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995064, + "probability": 0.9995248, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19301,8 +19277,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Shavkat Mirziyoyev", - "month_risk": "0.0004936", - "annual_risk": "0.0090786", + "month_risk": "0.0004752", + "annual_risk": "0.007673", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "32", "leader_years": "5", @@ -19315,20 +19291,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Uzbekistan in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Uzbekistan is Shavkat Mirziyoyev, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Uzbekistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 32 years", + "description": "The current leader of Uzbekistan is Shavkat Mirziyoyev, who has been in power for 5.0 years. Uzbekistan has a party-personal regime type which has lasted for 32 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0090786", + "probability": "0.007673", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9909214, + "probability": 0.992327, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19338,8 +19314,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Shavkat Mirziyoyev", - "month_risk": "0.0004936", - "annual_risk": "0.0090786", + "month_risk": "0.0004752", + "annual_risk": "0.007673", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "32", "leader_years": "5", @@ -19352,20 +19328,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Vanuatu in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Vanuatu is Loughman, who has been in power for 1.4 years. Vanuatu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 41 years", + "description": "The current leader of Vanuatu is Loughman, who has been in power for 1.4 years. Vanuatu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 41 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0003967", + "probability": "0.0003699", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9996033, + "probability": 0.9996301, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19375,8 +19351,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Loughman", - "month_risk": "0.0003967", - "annual_risk": "0.0046341", + "month_risk": "0.0003699", + "annual_risk": "0.0043089", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "41", "leader_years": "1.416667", @@ -19389,20 +19365,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Vanuatu in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Vanuatu is Loughman, who has been in power for 1.4 years. Vanuatu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 41 years", + "description": "The current leader of Vanuatu is Loughman, who has been in power for 1.4 years. Vanuatu has a parliamentary regime type which has lasted for 41 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0046341", + "probability": "0.0043089", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9953659, + "probability": 0.9956911, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19412,8 +19388,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Loughman", - "month_risk": "0.0003967", - "annual_risk": "0.0046341", + "month_risk": "0.0003699", + "annual_risk": "0.0043089", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "41", "leader_years": "1.416667", @@ -19426,20 +19402,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Venezuela in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Venezuela is Nicolas Maduro, who has been in power for 8.5 years. Venezuela has a personal regime type which has lasted for 16 years", + "description": "The current leader of Venezuela is Nicolas Maduro, who has been in power for 8.5 years. Venezuela has a personal regime type which has lasted for 16 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0009433", + "probability": "0.0010219", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9990567, + "probability": 0.9989781, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19449,8 +19425,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Nicolas Maduro", - "month_risk": "0.0009433", - "annual_risk": "0.0239087", + "month_risk": "0.0010219", + "annual_risk": "0.0176688", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "16", "leader_years": "8.5", @@ -19463,20 +19439,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Venezuela in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Venezuela is Nicolas Maduro, who has been in power for 8.5 years. Venezuela has a personal regime type which has lasted for 16 years", + "description": "The current leader of Venezuela is Nicolas Maduro, who has been in power for 8.5 years. Venezuela has a personal regime type which has lasted for 16 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0239087", + "probability": "0.0176688", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9760913, + "probability": 0.9823312, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19486,8 +19462,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Nicolas Maduro", - "month_risk": "0.0009433", - "annual_risk": "0.0239087", + "month_risk": "0.0010219", + "annual_risk": "0.0176688", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "16", "leader_years": "8.5", @@ -19500,20 +19476,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Vietnam in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Vietnam is Xuan Phuc, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Vietnam has a party regime type which has lasted for 72 years", + "description": "The current leader of Vietnam is Phu Trong, who has been in power for 10.7 years. Vietnam has a party regime type which has lasted for 72 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0002024", + "probability": "0.0001277", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9997976, + "probability": 0.9998723, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19522,12 +19498,12 @@ "regime_type": "Party", "month": "8", "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Xuan Phuc", - "month_risk": "0.0002024", - "annual_risk": "0.0028052", + "leader_name": "Phu Trong", + "month_risk": "0.0001277", + "annual_risk": "0.0062211", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", + "leader_years": "10.66667", "country_code": "VNM", "country_abb": "DRV" }, @@ -19537,20 +19513,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Vietnam in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Vietnam is Xuan Phuc, who has been in power for 0.4 years. Vietnam has a party regime type which has lasted for 72 years", + "description": "The current leader of Vietnam is Phu Trong, who has been in power for 10.7 years. Vietnam has a party regime type which has lasted for 72 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0028052", + "probability": "0.0062211", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9971948, + "probability": 0.9937789, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19559,12 +19535,12 @@ "regime_type": "Party", "month": "8", "year": "2021", - "leader_name": "Xuan Phuc", - "month_risk": "0.0002024", - "annual_risk": "0.0028052", + "leader_name": "Phu Trong", + "month_risk": "0.0001277", + "annual_risk": "0.0062211", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "72", - "leader_years": "0.4166667", + "leader_years": "10.66667", "country_code": "VNM", "country_abb": "DRV" }, @@ -19574,20 +19550,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Yemen in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Yemen is Houthi, who has been in power for 6.6 years. Yemen has a warlordism regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Yemen is Houthi, who has been in power for 6.6 years. Yemen has a warlordism regime type which has lasted for 7 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0004422", + "probability": "0.0004044", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9995578, + "probability": 0.9995956, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19597,8 +19573,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Houthi", - "month_risk": "0.0004422", - "annual_risk": "0.0089818", + "month_risk": "0.0004044", + "annual_risk": "0.0088665", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "6.583333", @@ -19611,20 +19587,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Yemen in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Yemen is Houthi, who has been in power for 6.6 years. Yemen has a warlordism regime type which has lasted for 7 years", + "description": "The current leader of Yemen is Houthi, who has been in power for 6.6 years. Yemen has a warlordism regime type which has lasted for 7 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0089818", + "probability": "0.0088665", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9910182, + "probability": 0.9911335, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19634,8 +19610,8 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Houthi", - "month_risk": "0.0004422", - "annual_risk": "0.0089818", + "month_risk": "0.0004044", + "annual_risk": "0.0088665", "risk_change_percent": "0", "regime_years": "7", "leader_years": "6.583333", @@ -19648,20 +19624,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Zambia in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Zambia is Lungu, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Zambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "description": "The current leader of Zambia is Lungu, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Zambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0045027", + "probability": "0.0053568", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9954973, + "probability": 0.9946432, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19671,9 +19647,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lungu", - "month_risk": "0.0045027", - "annual_risk": "0.0262306", - "risk_change_percent": "0.35", + "month_risk": "0.0053568", + "annual_risk": "0.0250832", + "risk_change_percent": "0.43", "regime_years": "10", "leader_years": "6.666667", "country_code": "ZMB", @@ -19685,20 +19661,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Zambia in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Zambia is Lungu, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Zambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", + "description": "The current leader of Zambia is Lungu, who has been in power for 6.7 years. Zambia has a presidential regime type which has lasted for 10 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0262306", + "probability": "0.0250832", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9737694, + "probability": 0.9749168, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19708,9 +19684,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Lungu", - "month_risk": "0.0045027", - "annual_risk": "0.0262306", - "risk_change_percent": "0.35", + "month_risk": "0.0053568", + "annual_risk": "0.0250832", + "risk_change_percent": "0.43", "regime_years": "10", "leader_years": "6.666667", "country_code": "ZMB", @@ -19722,20 +19698,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Zimbabwe in the next month (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Zimbabwe is Mnangagwa, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Zimbabwe has a party regime type which has lasted for 41 years", + "description": "The current leader of Zimbabwe is Mnangagwa, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Zimbabwe has a party regime type which has lasted for 41 years.", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0006528", + "probability": "0.0032419", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9993472, + "probability": 0.9967581, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -19745,9 +19721,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mnangagwa", - "month_risk": "0.0006528", - "annual_risk": "0.0239924", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "month_risk": "0.0032419", + "annual_risk": "0.0223095", + "risk_change_percent": "0.25", "regime_years": "41", "leader_years": "3.833333", "country_code": "ZWE", @@ -19759,20 +19735,20 @@ "title": "Will there be a coup in Zimbabwe in the next year (as of 8/2021)?", "url": "https://www.oneearthfuture.org/activities/coup-cast", "platform": "CoupCast", - "description": ". The current leader of Zimbabwe is Mnangagwa, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Zimbabwe has a party regime type which has lasted for 41 years", + "description": "The current leader of Zimbabwe is Mnangagwa, who has been in power for 3.8 years. Zimbabwe has a party regime type which has lasted for 41 years", "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0239924", + "probability": "0.0223095", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9760076, + "probability": 0.9776905, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:27.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:55:19.849Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3 }, @@ -19782,9 +19758,9 @@ "month": "8", "year": "2021", "leader_name": "Mnangagwa", - "month_risk": "0.0006528", - "annual_risk": "0.0239924", - "risk_change_percent": "-0.01", + "month_risk": "0.0032419", + "annual_risk": "0.0223095", + "risk_change_percent": "0.25", "regime_years": "41", "leader_years": "3.833333", "country_code": "ZWE", @@ -19800,19 +19776,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.14, + "probability": 0.13, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.86, + "probability": 0.87, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:29.672Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:30.416Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "66", - "numforecasters": "62", + "numforecasts": 75, + "numforecasters": 68, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -19849,10 +19825,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:31.744Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:33.791Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "75", - "numforecasters": "65", + "numforecasts": 83, + "numforecasters": 70, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -19865,19 +19841,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.53, + "probability": 0.54, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.47, + "probability": 0.46, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:33.787Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:35.963Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "76", - "numforecasters": "71", + "numforecasts": 80, + "numforecasters": 74, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -19914,10 +19890,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:35.962Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:40.645Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "134", - "numforecasters": "109", + "numforecasts": 140, + "numforecasters": 109, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -19930,19 +19906,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.26, + "probability": 0.24, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.74, + "probability": 0.76, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:37.550Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:44.116Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "166", - "numforecasters": "111", + "numforecasts": 179, + "numforecasters": 112, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -19979,10 +19955,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:41.276Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:50.158Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "153", - "numforecasters": "78", + "numforecasts": 167, + "numforecasters": 78, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -19995,19 +19971,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.39, + "probability": 0.38, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.61, + "probability": 0.62, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:43.643Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:53.228Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "194", - "numforecasters": "108", + "numforecasts": 204, + "numforecasters": 108, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20029,10 +20005,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:45.693Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:56.103Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "163", - "numforecasters": "98", + "numforecasts": 170, + "numforecasters": 100, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20069,10 +20045,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:47.876Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:58:59.858Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "211", - "numforecasters": "97", + "numforecasts": 215, + "numforecasters": 97, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20109,10 +20085,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:49.809Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:03.707Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "139", - "numforecasters": "65", + "numforecasts": 144, + "numforecasters": 65, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20149,10 +20125,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:00:58.647Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:14.210Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "146", - "numforecasters": "68", + "numforecasts": 151, + "numforecasters": 69, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20189,10 +20165,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:01.218Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:17.984Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "140", - "numforecasters": "55", + "numforecasts": 143, + "numforecasters": 55, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20229,10 +20205,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:03.875Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:21.069Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "126", - "numforecasters": "42", + "numforecasts": 132, + "numforecasters": 42, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20269,10 +20245,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:06.423Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:24.819Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "109", - "numforecasters": "36", + "numforecasts": 114, + "numforecasters": 36, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20309,10 +20285,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:09.197Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:28.432Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "105", - "numforecasters": "38", + "numforecasts": 112, + "numforecasters": 39, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20334,10 +20310,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:10.939Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:31.705Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "454", - "numforecasters": "188", + "numforecasts": 462, + "numforecasters": 188, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20359,10 +20335,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:12.815Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:34.910Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "344", - "numforecasters": "102", + "numforecasts": 351, + "numforecasters": 103, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20384,10 +20360,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:14.520Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:38.591Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "148", - "numforecasters": "48", + "numforecasts": 149, + "numforecasters": 48, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20409,10 +20385,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:16.850Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:41.534Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "136", - "numforecasters": "46", + "numforecasts": 138, + "numforecasters": 47, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20434,10 +20410,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:18.509Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:44.366Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "132", - "numforecasters": "46", + "numforecasts": 132, + "numforecasters": 46, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20474,10 +20450,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:27.228Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:54.990Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "242", - "numforecasters": "75", + "numforecasts": 245, + "numforecasters": 75, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20514,10 +20490,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:30.348Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T12:59:58.563Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "162", - "numforecasters": "53", + "numforecasts": 168, + "numforecasters": 53, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20554,10 +20530,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:32.749Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:02.472Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "153", - "numforecasters": "48", + "numforecasts": 156, + "numforecasters": 48, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20579,10 +20555,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:34.641Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:06.242Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "540", - "numforecasters": "187", + "numforecasts": 546, + "numforecasters": 187, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20619,10 +20595,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:36.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:10.156Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "360", - "numforecasters": "135", + "numforecasts": 367, + "numforecasters": 136, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20659,10 +20635,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:39.740Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:14.368Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "367", - "numforecasters": "131", + "numforecasts": 375, + "numforecasters": 133, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20684,10 +20660,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:41.569Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:17.805Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "439", - "numforecasters": "136", + "numforecasts": 451, + "numforecasters": 138, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20724,10 +20700,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:43.826Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:21.109Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "537", - "numforecasters": "219", + "numforecasts": 547, + "numforecasters": 219, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "More than 40 but less than or equal to 50, More than 50 but less than or equal to 60, Less than 30 (good reputation), Between 30 and 40, inclusive, More than 60 (bad reputation)" @@ -20749,10 +20725,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-03T12:01:45.588Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:00:24.616Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "448", - "numforecasters": "183", + "numforecasts": 458, + "numforecasters": 185, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -20773,7 +20749,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.936Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 356, "numforecasters": 147, @@ -20797,7 +20773,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 250, "numforecasters": 133, @@ -20821,7 +20797,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 163, "numforecasters": 107, @@ -20845,7 +20821,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 140, "numforecasters": 98, @@ -20869,7 +20845,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 116, "numforecasters": 94, @@ -20893,7 +20869,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 214, "numforecasters": 91, @@ -20917,7 +20893,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 118, "numforecasters": 89, @@ -20941,7 +20917,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 128, "numforecasters": 83, @@ -20965,7 +20941,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 110, "numforecasters": 79, @@ -20989,7 +20965,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 111, "numforecasters": 78, @@ -21013,7 +20989,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 110, "numforecasters": 78, @@ -21037,7 +21013,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 101, "numforecasters": 76, @@ -21061,7 +21037,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 98, "numforecasters": 74, @@ -21085,7 +21061,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.022Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 88, "numforecasters": 73, @@ -21109,7 +21085,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.023Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 113, "numforecasters": 72, @@ -21133,7 +21109,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.023Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 86, "numforecasters": 72, @@ -21157,7 +21133,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.023Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 163, "numforecasters": 70, @@ -21181,7 +21157,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.023Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 91, "numforecasters": 70, @@ -21205,7 +21181,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.938Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.023Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 90, "numforecasters": 70, @@ -21229,7 +21205,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - 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"timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 10, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28813,7 +28789,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 12, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28837,7 +28813,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 10, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28861,7 +28837,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 10, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28885,7 +28861,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 13, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28909,7 +28885,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 11, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28933,7 +28909,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 10, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28957,7 +28933,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 13, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -28981,7 +28957,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 12, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -29005,7 +28981,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:00:55.952Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:09.026Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 12, "numforecasters": 10, @@ -35102,7 +35078,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.322Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:23.423Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 45, "stars": 2 @@ -35126,7 +35102,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.390Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:23.892Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 20, "stars": 2 @@ -35150,7 +35126,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.462Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:24.588Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 19, "stars": 2 @@ -35174,7 +35150,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.551Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:25.050Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 23, "stars": 2 @@ -35198,7 +35174,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.623Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:25.499Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 11, "stars": 2 @@ -35211,9 +35187,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 2.5, + "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -35224,9 +35200,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 5.5, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -35248,7 +35224,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35272,7 +35248,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -35285,7 +35261,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35298,7 +35274,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -35322,9 +35298,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 1.5, + "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -35335,9 +35311,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 4.5, + "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -35359,7 +35335,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35383,9 +35359,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 7.5, + "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -35396,7 +35372,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35409,7 +35385,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35422,7 +35398,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 2 @@ -35435,7 +35411,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -35448,7 +35424,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -35461,7 +35437,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35474,7 +35450,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35487,7 +35463,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 15, "stars": 2 @@ -35500,7 +35476,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -35513,7 +35489,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35526,7 +35502,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35539,7 +35515,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 6, "stars": 2 @@ -35552,9 +35528,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 6.5, + "numforecasts": 6, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -35576,7 +35552,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 2 @@ -35589,7 +35565,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35613,7 +35589,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35626,7 +35602,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 8, "stars": 2 @@ -35639,7 +35615,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 2 @@ -35652,7 +35628,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -35665,9 +35641,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 2.5, + "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -35678,7 +35654,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35691,7 +35667,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35704,7 +35680,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35717,7 +35693,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35730,7 +35706,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35754,7 +35730,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35778,9 +35754,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 5.5, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -35802,7 +35778,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35826,7 +35802,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.943Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35850,7 +35826,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35874,9 +35850,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 5.5, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -35898,7 +35874,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35922,9 +35898,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 5.5, + "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -35935,7 +35911,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 6, "stars": 2 @@ -35948,7 +35924,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -35961,7 +35937,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -35985,7 +35961,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -35998,7 +35974,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -36022,7 +35998,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 6, "stars": 2 @@ -36046,7 +36022,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -36070,7 +36046,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:01.947Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36094,7 +36070,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 8, "stars": 2 @@ -36107,7 +36083,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 15, "stars": 2 @@ -36131,9 +36107,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 9.5, + "numforecasts": 9, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -36144,7 +36120,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 28, "stars": 2 @@ -36157,9 +36133,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 50.5, + "numforecasts": 50, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36170,9 +36146,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.018Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:35.609Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 26.5, + "numforecasts": 26, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36183,7 +36159,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36196,7 +36172,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36209,9 +36185,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 3.5, + "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36222,7 +36198,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36235,7 +36211,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36248,7 +36224,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36261,7 +36237,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36274,7 +36250,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36287,7 +36263,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36300,7 +36276,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36313,9 +36289,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.109Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 4.5, + "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36326,9 +36302,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.109Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 3.5, + "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36339,7 +36315,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.098Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.109Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -36352,9 +36328,9 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 6.5, + "numforecasts": 6, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" @@ -36365,7 +36341,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36378,7 +36354,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36402,7 +36378,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36426,7 +36402,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36439,7 +36415,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36463,7 +36439,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 7, "stars": 2 @@ -36487,9 +36463,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 9.5, + "numforecasts": 9, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -36511,7 +36487,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36535,7 +36511,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36548,7 +36524,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -36572,7 +36548,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36596,9 +36572,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 3.5, + "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -36620,9 +36596,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 3.5, + "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -36633,7 +36609,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 4, "stars": 2 @@ -36657,7 +36633,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36681,9 +36657,9 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": 11.5, + "numforecasts": 11, "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -36705,7 +36681,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 5, "stars": 2 @@ -36718,7 +36694,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36731,7 +36707,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36744,7 +36720,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36757,7 +36733,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.171Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:36.599Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36770,7 +36746,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36783,7 +36759,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36796,7 +36772,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -36820,7 +36796,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36844,7 +36820,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36868,7 +36844,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36881,7 +36857,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36905,7 +36881,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36929,7 +36905,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36953,7 +36929,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 3, "stars": 2 @@ -36966,7 +36942,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -36979,7 +36955,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37003,7 +36979,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37027,7 +37003,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37051,7 +37027,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37064,7 +37040,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 2, "stars": 2 @@ -37088,7 +37064,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37101,7 +37077,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37125,7 +37101,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37149,7 +37125,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37173,7 +37149,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37197,7 +37173,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37221,7 +37197,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37245,7 +37221,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37269,7 +37245,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37282,7 +37258,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37295,7 +37271,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37308,7 +37284,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37321,7 +37297,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37334,7 +37310,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37347,7 +37323,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37360,7 +37336,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37373,7 +37349,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37386,7 +37362,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37399,7 +37375,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37412,7 +37388,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37425,7 +37401,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37438,7 +37414,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -37451,7 +37427,7 @@ "platform": "Foretold", "description": "", "options": [], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:02.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:37.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 2 @@ -41239,7 +41215,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:03.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:50.342Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41270,7 +41246,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:03.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:50.342Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41292,26 +41268,26 @@ }, { "name": "Between 90,000 and 140,000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.24, + "probability": 0.18, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 140,000 but fewer than 210,000", - "probability": 0.64, + "probability": 0.69, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 210,000 and 300,000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.09, + "probability": 0.11, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 300,000", - "probability": 0.02, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:03.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:50.342Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41352,7 +41328,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:03.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:50.342Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41393,7 +41369,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:03.659Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:50.342Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41410,12 +41386,12 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Less than 23%", - "probability": 0.27, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 23% and 27%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.71, + "probability": 0.69, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41424,12 +41400,12 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:05.419Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:52.225Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, "extra": { - "superforecastercommentary": "\n \n\n
    " + "superforecastercommentary": "\n \n\n
    " }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 23%, Between 23% and 27%, inclusive, More than 27%" }, @@ -41465,7 +41441,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:05.419Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:52.225Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41496,7 +41472,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T20:52:05.419Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:05:52.225Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 4 }, @@ -41513,34 +41489,34 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Before 15 September 2021", - "probability": 0.14, + "probability": 0.23, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021", - "probability": 0.55, + "probability": 0.26, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021", - "probability": 0.28, + "probability": 0.16, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022", - "probability": 0.03, + "probability": 0.12, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 1 February 2022", - "probability": 0, + "probability": 0.23, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:05.748Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:20.338Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "11", - "numforecasters": "11", + "numforecasts": 23, + "numforecasters": 19, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 15 September 2021, Between 15 September 2021 and 31 October 2021, Between 1 November 2021 and 15 December 2021, Between 16 December 2021 and 31 January 2022, Not before 1 February 2022" @@ -41558,29 +41534,29 @@ }, { "name": "A two-week period ending between 9 October 2021 and 20 November 2021", - "probability": 0.08, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "A two-week period ending between 4 December 2021 and 15 January 2022", - "probability": 0.27, + "probability": 0.18, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "A two-week period ending between 29 January 2022 and 12 March 2022", - "probability": 0.27, + "probability": 0.25, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 12 March 2022", - "probability": 0.38, + "probability": 0.52, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:08.993Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:23.906Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "16", - "numforecasters": "15", + "numforecasts": 26, + "numforecasters": 22, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "A two-week period ending 25 September 2021 or earlier, A two-week period ending between 9 October 2021 and 20 November 2021, A two-week period ending between 4 December 2021 and 15 January 2022, A two-week period ending between 29 January 2022 and 12 March 2022, Not before 12 March 2022" @@ -41593,22 +41569,22 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Fewer than 1.75 million", - "probability": 0.11, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 1.75 million and 2.00 million, inclusive", - "probability": 0.28, + "probability": 0.35, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 2.00 million but fewer than 2.25 million", - "probability": 0.39, + "probability": 0.43, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 2.25 million and 2.50 million, inclusive", - "probability": 0.21, + "probability": 0.16, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41617,10 +41593,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:12.326Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:26.896Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "12", - "numforecasters": "9", + "numforecasts": 17, + "numforecasters": 12, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 1.75 million, Between 1.75 million and 2.00 million, inclusive, More than 2.00 million but fewer than 2.25 million, Between 2.25 million and 2.50 million, inclusive, More than 2.50 million" @@ -41633,19 +41609,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 1, + "probability": 0.99, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:14.417Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:30.291Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "17", - "numforecasters": "15", + "numforecasts": 30, + "numforecasters": 22, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41658,17 +41634,17 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Fewer than 6,000", - "probability": 0.59, + "probability": 0.55, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.33, + "probability": 0.36, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000", - "probability": 0.07, + "probability": 0.08, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41687,10 +41663,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:17.183Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:34.904Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "8", - "numforecasters": "6", + "numforecasts": 13, + "numforecasters": 11, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 6,000, Between 6,000 and 12,000, inclusive, More than 12,000 but fewer than 18,000, Between 18,000 and 24,000, inclusive, More than 24,000 but fewer than 30,000, 30,000 or more" @@ -41703,19 +41679,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 1, + "probability": 0.98, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0, + "probability": 0.02, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:19.379Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:38.011Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "17", - "numforecasters": "15", + "numforecasts": 28, + "numforecasters": 22, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41737,10 +41713,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:21.355Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:40.920Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "136", - "numforecasters": "111", + "numforecasts": 138, + "numforecasters": 112, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41753,19 +41729,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.02, + "probability": 0.03, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.98, + "probability": 0.97, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:23.594Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:43.756Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "43", - "numforecasters": "37", + "numforecasts": 45, + "numforecasters": 38, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41787,10 +41763,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:26.211Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:46.456Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "53", - "numforecasters": "46", + "numforecasts": 53, + "numforecasters": 46, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41812,10 +41788,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:27.987Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:48.697Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "49", - "numforecasters": "39", + "numforecasts": 50, + "numforecasters": 39, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -41842,10 +41818,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:30.866Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:51.631Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "43", - "numforecasters": "39", + "numforecasts": 43, + "numforecasters": 39, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower, Same, Higher" @@ -41863,22 +41839,22 @@ }, { "name": "Between $30.00 and $45.00, inclusive", - "probability": 0, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than $45.00 but less than $60.00", - "probability": 0.22, + "probability": 0.18, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between $60.00 and $75.00, inclusive", - "probability": 0.5, + "probability": 0.51, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than $75.00 but less than $90.00", - "probability": 0.27, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41887,10 +41863,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:34.252Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:54.866Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "87", - "numforecasters": "56", + "numforecasts": 91, + "numforecasters": 59, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $30.00, Between $30.00 and $45.00, inclusive, More than $45.00 but less than $60.00, Between $60.00 and $75.00, inclusive, More than $75.00 but less than $90.00, More than $90.00" @@ -41903,12 +41879,12 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Before 1 September 2021", - "probability": 0.24, + "probability": 0.25, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 1 September 2021 and 31 October 2021", - "probability": 0.58, + "probability": 0.57, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41922,10 +41898,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:38.103Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:07:57.989Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "250", - "numforecasters": "125", + "numforecasts": 258, + "numforecasters": 126, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 1 September 2021, Between 1 September 2021 and 31 October 2021, Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021, Not before 1 January 2022" @@ -41938,22 +41914,22 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Less than $25 billion", - "probability": 0.13, + "probability": 0.06, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between $25 billion and $40 billion, inclusive", - "probability": 0.2, + "probability": 0.27, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than $40 billion but less than $55 billion", - "probability": 0.51, + "probability": 0.56, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between $55 billion and $70 billion, inclusive", - "probability": 0.12, + "probability": 0.1, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -41963,14 +41939,14 @@ }, { "name": "DiDi will cease to be listed on a US stock exchange before 1 January 2022", - "probability": 0.04, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:41.026Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:01.497Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "72", - "numforecasters": "31", + "numforecasts": 74, + "numforecasters": 31, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $25 billion, Between $25 billion and $40 billion, inclusive, More than $40 billion but less than $55 billion, Between $55 billion and $70 billion, inclusive, More than $70 billion, DiDi will cease to be listed on a US stock exchange before 1 January 2022" @@ -41992,10 +41968,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:42.965Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:03.643Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "88", - "numforecasters": "79", + "numforecasts": 89, + "numforecasters": 80, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42013,19 +41989,19 @@ }, { "name": "Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021", - "probability": 0.88, + "probability": 0.92, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 1 October 2021", - "probability": 0.12, + "probability": 0.08, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:45.530Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:06.333Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "70", - "numforecasters": "34", + "numforecasts": 73, + "numforecasters": 34, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 9 August 2021, Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021, Not before 1 October 2021" @@ -42062,10 +42038,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:48.218Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:09.170Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "70", - "numforecasters": "54", + "numforecasts": 70, + "numforecasters": 54, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 1 October 2021, Between 1 October 2021 and 30 November 2021, Between 1 December 2021 and 31 January 2022, Between 1 February 2022 and 31 March 2022, Not before 1 April 2022" @@ -42078,19 +42054,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.1, + "probability": 0.11, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.9, + "probability": 0.89, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:50.735Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:11.697Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "78", - "numforecasters": "69", + "numforecasts": 79, + "numforecasters": 70, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42103,12 +42079,12 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Gabriel Boric", - "probability": 0.49, + "probability": 0.5, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Sebastián Sichel", - "probability": 0.37, + "probability": 0.36, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42122,10 +42098,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:53.448Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:15.049Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "77", - "numforecasters": "40", + "numforecasts": 78, + "numforecasters": 40, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Gabriel Boric, Sebastián Sichel, Another candidate, There will not be a presidential election in Chile before 1 January 2022" @@ -42138,29 +42114,29 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Before 11 September 2021", - "probability": 0.64, + "probability": 0.56, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021", - "probability": 0.24, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021", - "probability": 0.06, + "probability": 0.1, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 18 December 2021", - "probability": 0.06, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:01:55.980Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:19.201Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "225", - "numforecasters": "85", + "numforecasts": 239, + "numforecasters": 86, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 11 September 2021, Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021, Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021, Not before 18 December 2021" @@ -42183,29 +42159,29 @@ }, { "name": "More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%", - "probability": 0.18, + "probability": 0.17, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.39, + "probability": 0.37, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%", - "probability": 0.31, + "probability": 0.35, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "4.1% or more", - "probability": 0.11, + "probability": 0.1, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:04.682Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:28.856Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "60", - "numforecasters": "36", + "numforecasts": 61, + "numforecasters": 36, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 1.7%, Between 1.7% and 2.2%, inclusive, More than 2.2% but less than 2.9%, Between 2.9% and 3.4%, inclusive, More than 3.4% but less than 4.1%, 4.1% or more" @@ -42227,10 +42203,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:07.155Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:31.697Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "99", - "numforecasters": "49", + "numforecasts": 100, + "numforecasters": 49, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42243,7 +42219,7 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Lewis Hamilton", - "probability": 0.45, + "probability": 0.47, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42253,7 +42229,7 @@ }, { "name": "Max Verstappen", - "probability": 0.55, + "probability": 0.53, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42262,10 +42238,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:09.817Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:35.146Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "88", - "numforecasters": "51", + "numforecasts": 92, + "numforecasters": 52, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lewis Hamilton, Sergio Perez, Max Verstappen, Another driver" @@ -42287,10 +42263,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:11.928Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:37.565Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "131", - "numforecasters": "69", + "numforecasts": 133, + "numforecasters": 69, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42312,10 +42288,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:13.851Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:39.962Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "111", - "numforecasters": "69", + "numforecasts": 114, + "numforecasters": 69, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42347,10 +42323,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:16.630Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:43.049Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "54", - "numforecasters": "26", + "numforecasts": 55, + "numforecasters": 26, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 25,500 tb/d, Between 25,500 tb/d and 27,000 tb/d, inclusive, More than 27,000 tb/d but fewer than 28,500 tb/d, 28,500 tb/d or more" @@ -42373,12 +42349,12 @@ }, { "name": "More than 24 million but fewer than 26 million", - "probability": 0.33, + "probability": 0.32, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 26 million and 28 million, inclusive", - "probability": 0.01, + "probability": 0.02, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42387,10 +42363,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:18.919Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:45.895Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "106", - "numforecasters": "37", + "numforecasts": 109, + "numforecasters": 37, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 22 million, Between 22 million and 24 million, inclusive, More than 24 million but fewer than 26 million, Between 26 million and 28 million, inclusive, More than 28 million" @@ -42408,29 +42384,29 @@ }, { "name": "Between 1 September 2021 and 24 September 2021", - "probability": 0.05, + "probability": 0.1, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 25 September 2021 and 18 October 2021", - "probability": 0.52, + "probability": 0.53, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 19 October 2021 and 11 November 2021", - "probability": 0.37, + "probability": 0.32, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 12 November 2021", - "probability": 0.06, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:21.687Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:49.544Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "123", - "numforecasters": "49", + "numforecasts": 131, + "numforecasters": 49, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 1 September 2021, Between 1 September 2021 and 24 September 2021, Between 25 September 2021 and 18 October 2021, Between 19 October 2021 and 11 November 2021, Not before 12 November 2021" @@ -42452,10 +42428,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:23.734Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:52.763Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "85", - "numforecasters": "51", + "numforecasts": 85, + "numforecasters": 51, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42468,34 +42444,34 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Less than $1.0 trillion", - "probability": 0.07, + "probability": 0.06, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion, inclusive", - "probability": 0.34, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "More than $1.5 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion", "probability": 0.32, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, + { + "name": "More than $1.5 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion", + "probability": 0.35, + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, { "name": "Between $2.0 trillion and $2.5 trillion, inclusive", - "probability": 0.14, + "probability": 0.15, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than $2.5 trillion", - "probability": 0.13, + "probability": 0.12, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:26.960Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:08:56.395Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "140", - "numforecasters": "62", + "numforecasts": 143, + "numforecasters": 62, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $1.0 trillion, Between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion, inclusive, More than $1.5 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion, Between $2.0 trillion and $2.5 trillion, inclusive, More than $2.5 trillion" @@ -42513,12 +42489,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.2, + "probability": 0.21, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000", - "probability": 0.44, + "probability": 0.43, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42532,10 +42508,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:30.187Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:00.022Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "127", - "numforecasters": "56", + "numforecasts": 129, + "numforecasters": 56, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower than 250.00000, Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive, Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000, Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive, Higher than 280.00000" @@ -42548,19 +42524,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.14, + "probability": 0.15, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.86, + "probability": 0.85, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:32.620Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:02.933Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "80", - "numforecasters": "34", + "numforecasts": 81, + "numforecasters": 34, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42578,29 +42554,29 @@ }, { "name": "Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.18, + "probability": 0.17, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000", - "probability": 0.25, + "probability": 0.28, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.4, + "probability": 0.39, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 240,000", - "probability": 0.08, + "probability": 0.07, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:34.973Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:05.744Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "87", - "numforecasters": "34", + "numforecasts": 88, + "numforecasters": 34, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 60,000, Between 60,000 and 80,000, inclusive, More than 80,000 but fewer than 120,000, Between 120,000 and 240,000, inclusive, More than 240,000" @@ -42622,10 +42598,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:36.903Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:08.699Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "75", - "numforecasters": "44", + "numforecasts": 75, + "numforecasters": 44, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42647,10 +42623,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:39.570Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:11.320Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "117", - "numforecasters": "49", + "numforecasts": 117, + "numforecasters": 49, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42672,10 +42648,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:41.627Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:14.471Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "164", - "numforecasters": "147", + "numforecasts": 166, + "numforecasters": 149, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42712,10 +42688,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:45.392Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:16.882Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "123", - "numforecasters": "92", + "numforecasts": 123, + "numforecasters": 92, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 25,000, Between 25,000 and 40,000, inclusive, More than 40,000 but fewer than 55,000, Between 55,000 and 70,000, inclusive, More than 70,000" @@ -42728,12 +42704,12 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Before 2030", - "probability": 0.03, + "probability": 0.04, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 2030 and 2039", - "probability": 0.55, + "probability": 0.53, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42743,14 +42719,14 @@ }, { "name": "Not before 2050", - "probability": 0.07, + "probability": 0.08, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:48.164Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:19.675Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "182", - "numforecasters": "147", + "numforecasts": 183, + "numforecasters": 148, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 2030, Between 2030 and 2039, Between 2040 and 2049, Not before 2050" @@ -42787,10 +42763,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:51.134Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:23.245Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "148", - "numforecasters": "105", + "numforecasts": 149, + "numforecasters": 105, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 10, Between 10 and 100, inclusive, More than 100 but fewer than 250, Between 250 and 500, inclusive, More than 500" @@ -42812,10 +42788,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:02:53.441Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:25.756Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "180", - "numforecasters": "150", + "numforecasts": 182, + "numforecasters": 151, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42837,10 +42813,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:02.340Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:34.294Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "147", - "numforecasters": "84", + "numforecasts": 147, + "numforecasters": 84, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42853,19 +42829,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.22, + "probability": 0.2, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.78, + "probability": 0.8, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:05.116Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:36.976Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "107", - "numforecasters": "50", + "numforecasts": 109, + "numforecasters": 50, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42887,10 +42863,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:07.147Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:39.769Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "146", - "numforecasters": "96", + "numforecasts": 146, + "numforecasters": 96, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -42908,29 +42884,29 @@ }, { "name": "Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.22, + "probability": 0.2, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%", - "probability": 0.33, + "probability": 0.39, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.17, + "probability": 0.16, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 5.5%", - "probability": 0.28, + "probability": 0.25, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:10.076Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:43.260Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "73", - "numforecasters": "32", + "numforecasts": 74, + "numforecasters": 32, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 1.0%, Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive, More than 2.5% but less than 4.0%, Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive, More than 5.5%" @@ -42953,7 +42929,7 @@ }, { "name": "Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021", - "probability": 0.05, + "probability": 0.03, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -42963,14 +42939,14 @@ }, { "name": "Not before 9 November 2021", - "probability": 0.64, + "probability": 0.66, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:12.610Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:47.325Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "207", - "numforecasters": "78", + "numforecasts": 212, + "numforecasters": 79, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 6 July 2021, Between 6 July 2021 and 16 August 2021, Between 17 August 2021 and 27 September 2021, Between 28 September 2021 and 8 November 2021, Not before 9 November 2021" @@ -43002,10 +42978,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:15.439Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:50.359Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "80", - "numforecasters": "35", + "numforecasts": 80, + "numforecasters": 35, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 320,000 kt, Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive, More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt, 360,000 kt or more" @@ -43027,10 +43003,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:17.828Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:53.394Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "223", - "numforecasters": "94", + "numforecasts": 223, + "numforecasters": 94, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43072,10 +43048,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:21.382Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:56.600Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "351", - "numforecasters": "246", + "numforecasts": 354, + "numforecasters": 246, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 0.0%, Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive, More than 2.0% but less than 3.0%, Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive, More than 4.0% but less than 5.0%, 5.0% or more" @@ -43102,10 +43078,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:23.974Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:09:58.985Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "69", - "numforecasters": "45", + "numforecasts": 69, + "numforecasters": 45, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower, Same, Higher" @@ -43142,10 +43118,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:26.367Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:02.422Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "156", - "numforecasters": "48", + "numforecasts": 157, + "numforecasters": 48, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower than $220.00/MT, Between $220.00/MT and $260.00/MT, inclusive, Higher than $260.00/MT but lower than $300.00/MT, Between $300.00/MT and $340.00/MT, inclusive, Higher than $340.00/MT" @@ -43187,10 +43163,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:29.200Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:05.152Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "124", - "numforecasters": "43", + "numforecasts": 124, + "numforecasters": 43, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 3,800, Between 3,800 and 4,100, inclusive, More than 4,100 but less than 4,400, Between 4,400 and 4,700, inclusive, More than 4,700 but less than 5,000, 5,000 or more" @@ -43212,10 +43188,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:31.111Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:07.582Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "375", - "numforecasters": "209", + "numforecasts": 380, + "numforecasters": 211, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43238,24 +43214,24 @@ }, { "name": "Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.32, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%", - "probability": 0.32, + "probability": 0.34, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Higher by 7.5% or more", - "probability": 0.23, + "probability": 0.24, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:34.090Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:10.442Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "94", - "numforecasters": "43", + "numforecasts": 95, + "numforecasters": 43, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "The same or lower for 2021, Higher by more than 0.0% but less than 2.5%, Higher by between 2.5% and 5.0%, inclusive, Higher by more than 5.0% but less than 7.5%, Higher by 7.5% or more" @@ -43283,19 +43259,19 @@ }, { "name": "Between 12 September 2021 and 11 October 2021", - "probability": 0.25, + "probability": 0.26, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 12 October 2021", - "probability": 0.6, + "probability": 0.59, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:37.119Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:13.434Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "77", - "numforecasters": "24", + "numforecasts": 79, + "numforecasters": 24, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 11 July 2021, Between 11 July 2021 and 11 August 2021, Between 12 August 2021 and 11 September 2021, Between 12 September 2021 and 11 October 2021, Not before 12 October 2021" @@ -43308,44 +43284,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.13, + "probability": 0.14, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.87, + "probability": 0.86, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:39.554Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:15.973Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "141", - "numforecasters": "47", - "stars": 3 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will Great Britain win more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics than the People's Republic of China?", - "url": "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2036-will-great-britain-win-more-gold-medals-at-the-2020-olympics-than-the-people-s-republic-of-china", - "platform": "Good Judgment Open", - "description": "The 2020 Olympics are scheduled for 23 July - 8 August 2021 ([Olympics](https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/en/schedule/)).\nTo learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, [see here](https://goodjudgment.com/how-to-become-a-superforecaster/). For other posts from our Insights blog, [click here](https://goodjudgment.com/insights/).\n", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 1, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:41.457Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "305", - "numforecasters": "164", + "numforecasts": 145, + "numforecasters": 47, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43372,10 +43323,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:44.411Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:19.225Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "189", - "numforecasters": "61", + "numforecasts": 189, + "numforecasters": 61, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148), No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714), No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall" @@ -43398,7 +43349,7 @@ }, { "name": "4", - "probability": 0.33, + "probability": 0.34, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -43408,14 +43359,14 @@ }, { "name": "6 or more", - "probability": 0.12, + "probability": 0.11, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:48.399Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:22.869Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "252", - "numforecasters": "93", + "numforecasts": 255, + "numforecasters": 94, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2 or fewer, 3, 4, 5, 6 or more" @@ -43438,12 +43389,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between 1 August and 31 August 2021", - "probability": 0.89, + "probability": 0.9, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021", - "probability": 0.11, + "probability": 0.1, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -43452,10 +43403,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:52.369Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:26.653Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "444", - "numforecasters": "116", + "numforecasts": 450, + "numforecasters": 118, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 1 July 2021, Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021, Between 1 August and 31 August 2021, Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021, Not before 1 October 2021" @@ -43477,10 +43428,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:03:54.812Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:29.597Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "89", - "numforecasters": "36", + "numforecasts": 89, + "numforecasters": 36, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43502,10 +43453,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:03.185Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:32.593Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "195", - "numforecasters": "79", + "numforecasts": 195, + "numforecasters": 79, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43528,19 +43479,19 @@ }, { "name": "Etherium", - "probability": 0.3, + "probability": 0.31, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "XRP (Ripple)", - "probability": 0.09, + "probability": 0.08, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:05.924Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:41.797Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "232", - "numforecasters": "79", + "numforecasts": 233, + "numforecasters": 79, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Bitcoin, Cardano (Ada), Etherium, XRP (Ripple)" @@ -43577,10 +43528,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:08.729Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:44.857Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "198", - "numforecasters": "72", + "numforecasts": 198, + "numforecasters": 72, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 1.4 million, Between 1.4 million and 1.6 million, inclusive, More than 1.6 million but less than 1.8 million, Between 1.8 million and 2.0 million, inclusive, More than 2.0 million" @@ -43602,10 +43553,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:11.074Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:48.218Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "176", - "numforecasters": "98", + "numforecasts": 176, + "numforecasters": 98, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43627,10 +43578,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:13.137Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:50.943Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "134", - "numforecasters": "64", + "numforecasts": 135, + "numforecasters": 64, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43643,19 +43594,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.01, + "probability": 0, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.99, + "probability": 1, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:15.604Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:53.322Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "346", - "numforecasters": "155", + "numforecasts": 351, + "numforecasters": 157, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43673,12 +43624,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.29, + "probability": 0.32, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0%", - "probability": 0.71, + "probability": 0.68, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -43687,10 +43638,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:17.976Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:56.559Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "794", - "numforecasters": "208", + "numforecasts": 810, + "numforecasters": 211, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower than 45.0%, Between 45.0% and 50.0%, inclusive, Higher than 50.0% but lower than 55.0%, 55.0% or higher" @@ -43712,10 +43663,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:20.084Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:10:59.427Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "164", - "numforecasters": "79", + "numforecasts": 165, + "numforecasters": 79, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43733,24 +43684,24 @@ }, { "name": "Between 42% and 44%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.37, + "probability": 0.36, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 44% but less than 48%", - "probability": 0.55, + "probability": 0.57, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "48% or more", - "probability": 0.08, + "probability": 0.07, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:22.265Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:02.495Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "249", - "numforecasters": "107", + "numforecasts": 250, + "numforecasters": 107, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 42%, Between 42% and 44%, inclusive, More than 44% but less than 48%, 48% or more" @@ -43787,10 +43738,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:25.401Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:05.383Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "599", - "numforecasters": "105", + "numforecasts": 604, + "numforecasters": 105, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Before 1 July 2021, Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021, Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021, Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021, Not before 1 October 2021" @@ -43812,10 +43763,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:27.763Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:07.841Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "96", - "numforecasters": "30", + "numforecasts": 96, + "numforecasters": 30, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43852,10 +43803,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:30.450Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:11.586Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "259", - "numforecasters": "91", + "numforecasts": 262, + "numforecasters": 92, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2 or fewer, 3, 4, 5, 6 or more" @@ -43868,19 +43819,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.7, + "probability": 0.71, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.3, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:32.423Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:14.389Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "379", - "numforecasters": "145", + "numforecasts": 382, + "numforecasters": 146, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43907,10 +43858,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:34.692Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:17.403Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "176", - "numforecasters": "67", + "numforecasts": 176, + "numforecasters": 67, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower, Same, Higher" @@ -43923,19 +43874,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.75, + "probability": 0.76, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.25, + "probability": 0.24, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:37.376Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:20.236Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "281", - "numforecasters": "77", + "numforecasts": 283, + "numforecasters": 77, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43957,10 +43908,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:39.875Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:22.643Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "131", - "numforecasters": "71", + "numforecasts": 131, + "numforecasters": 71, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -43973,7 +43924,7 @@ "options": [ { "name": "0", - "probability": 0.78, + "probability": 0.79, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -43983,7 +43934,7 @@ }, { "name": "2", - "probability": 0.02, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -43992,10 +43943,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:42.935Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:25.237Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "217", - "numforecasters": "80", + "numforecasts": 219, + "numforecasters": 80, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "0, 1, 2, 3 or more" @@ -44017,10 +43968,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:44.733Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:28.266Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "177", - "numforecasters": "99", + "numforecasts": 180, + "numforecasters": 100, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44042,10 +43993,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:46.914Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:30.828Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "154", - "numforecasters": "74", + "numforecasts": 155, + "numforecasters": 74, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44082,10 +44033,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:49.690Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:33.981Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "449", - "numforecasters": "101", + "numforecasts": 453, + "numforecasters": 102, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "The CDU but not the Green Party, The Green Party but not the CDU, Both the CDU and the Green Party, Neither the CDU nor the Green Party, No government will be formed before 31 December 2021" @@ -44098,29 +44049,29 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Cuomo will announce that he will not seek reelection as governor in 2022", - "probability": 0.36, + "probability": 0.32, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cuomo will either resign as governor or announce that he will resign as governor", - "probability": 0.12, + "probability": 0.19, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cuomo will be removed from office by an impeachment trial", - "probability": 0.03, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "None of these will occur before 1 April 2022", - "probability": 0.49, + "probability": 0.44, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:04:58.265Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:37.030Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "375", - "numforecasters": "111", + "numforecasts": 379, + "numforecasters": 111, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Cuomo will announce that he will not seek reelection as governor in 2022, Cuomo will either resign as governor or announce that he will resign as governor, Cuomo will be removed from office by an impeachment trial, None of these will occur before 1 April 2022" @@ -44152,10 +44103,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:01.687Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:47.429Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "260", - "numforecasters": "78", + "numforecasts": 260, + "numforecasters": 78, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 2.00%, Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive, More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%, 3.00% or more" @@ -44177,10 +44128,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:04.336Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:50.068Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "148", - "numforecasters": "88", + "numforecasts": 148, + "numforecasters": 88, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44202,10 +44153,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:06.847Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:52.432Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "150", - "numforecasters": "72", + "numforecasts": 150, + "numforecasters": 72, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44227,10 +44178,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:09.215Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:55.307Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "399", - "numforecasters": "189", + "numforecasts": 402, + "numforecasters": 189, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44252,10 +44203,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:11.339Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:11:58.289Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "547", - "numforecasters": "257", + "numforecasts": 548, + "numforecasters": 257, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44277,10 +44228,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:14.178Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:01.484Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "291", - "numforecasters": "111", + "numforecasts": 293, + "numforecasters": 111, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44298,12 +44249,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between $100 billion and $140 billion, inclusive", - "probability": 0.1, + "probability": 0.09, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than $140 billion but less than $180 billion", - "probability": 0.43, + "probability": 0.44, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -44312,10 +44263,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:17.118Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:04.982Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "265", - "numforecasters": "53", + "numforecasts": 267, + "numforecasters": 53, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $100 billion, Between $100 billion and $140 billion, inclusive, More than $140 billion but less than $180 billion, $180 billion or more" @@ -44352,10 +44303,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:20.467Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:08.090Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "293", - "numforecasters": "67", + "numforecasts": 293, + "numforecasters": 67, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 100.0, Between 100.0 and 110.0, inclusive, More than 110.0 but less than 120.0, Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive, More than 130.0" @@ -44392,10 +44343,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:23.371Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:11.166Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "567", - "numforecasters": "148", + "numforecasts": 568, + "numforecasters": 149, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Lower than 1.7%, Between 1.7% and 2.1%, inclusive, Higher than 2.1% but lower than 2.7%, Between 2.7% and 3.1%, inclusive, Higher than 3.1%" @@ -44408,19 +44359,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.14, + "probability": 0.12, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.86, + "probability": 0.88, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:26.007Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:14.022Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "437", - "numforecasters": "145", + "numforecasts": 438, + "numforecasters": 145, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44452,10 +44403,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:28.708Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:17.555Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "508", - "numforecasters": "170", + "numforecasts": 508, + "numforecasters": 170, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, only detonate a nuclear device, Yes, only launch an ICBM, Yes, both, No" @@ -44477,10 +44428,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:31.022Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:20.503Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "165", - "numforecasters": "58", + "numforecasts": 165, + "numforecasters": 58, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44502,10 +44453,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:33.451Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:23.239Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "286", - "numforecasters": "141", + "numforecasts": 286, + "numforecasters": 141, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44532,10 +44483,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:36.288Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:26.326Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "203", - "numforecasters": "72", + "numforecasts": 203, + "numforecasters": 72, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "0, 1, 2 or more" @@ -44557,10 +44508,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:39.046Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:29.386Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1256", - "numforecasters": "504", + "numforecasts": 1263, + "numforecasters": 505, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44573,17 +44524,17 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Less than 5.4%", - "probability": 0.13, + "probability": 0.15, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Between 5.4% and 5.9%, inclusive", - "probability": 0.86, + "probability": 0.85, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 5.9% but less than 6.6%", - "probability": 0.01, + "probability": 0, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -44597,10 +44548,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:42.740Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:32.341Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "674", - "numforecasters": "159", + "numforecasts": 679, + "numforecasters": 159, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 5.4%, Between 5.4% and 5.9%, inclusive, More than 5.9% but less than 6.6%, Between 6.6% and 7.1%, inclusive, More than 7.1%" @@ -44618,12 +44569,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive", - "probability": 0.84, + "probability": 0.83, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 1.500 but less than 2.000", - "probability": 0.1, + "probability": 0.11, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -44637,10 +44588,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:45.190Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:36.033Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "732", - "numforecasters": "88", + "numforecasts": 738, + "numforecasters": 89, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 1.000, Between 1.000 and 1.500, inclusive, More than 1.500 but less than 2.000, Between 2.000 and 2.500, inclusive, More than 2.500" @@ -44653,12 +44604,12 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes, and Newsom will be recalled", - "probability": 0.2, + "probability": 0.23, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled", - "probability": 0.8, + "probability": 0.77, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -44667,10 +44618,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:48.151Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:38.695Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "356", - "numforecasters": "85", + "numforecasts": 361, + "numforecasters": 85, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, and Newsom will be recalled, Yes, but Newsom will not be recalled, No" @@ -44692,10 +44643,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:50.787Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:41.140Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "252", - "numforecasters": "74", + "numforecasts": 252, + "numforecasters": 74, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44717,10 +44668,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:05:58.963Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:44.018Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "356", - "numforecasters": "105", + "numforecasts": 356, + "numforecasters": 105, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44742,10 +44693,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:01.178Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:53.396Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "649", - "numforecasters": "136", + "numforecasts": 653, + "numforecasters": 136, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44767,10 +44718,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:03.513Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:55.877Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "195", - "numforecasters": "78", + "numforecasts": 195, + "numforecasters": 78, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44792,10 +44743,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:06.262Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:12:57.949Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "597", - "numforecasters": "178", + "numforecasts": 598, + "numforecasters": 178, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44808,19 +44759,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.01, + "probability": 0, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.99, + "probability": 1, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:08.412Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:00.502Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "358", - "numforecasters": "193", + "numforecasts": 360, + "numforecasters": 194, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44833,7 +44784,7 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes, only SpaceX", - "probability": 0.69, + "probability": 0.71, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -44848,14 +44799,14 @@ }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.31, + "probability": 0.29, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:11.611Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:03.851Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "426", - "numforecasters": "152", + "numforecasts": 431, + "numforecasters": 152, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, only SpaceX, Yes, only Virgin Galactic, Yes, both, No" @@ -44877,10 +44828,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:13.979Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:07.004Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "349", - "numforecasters": "120", + "numforecasts": 349, + "numforecasters": 120, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44902,10 +44853,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:16.303Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:09.697Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "353", - "numforecasters": "118", + "numforecasts": 353, + "numforecasters": 118, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44927,10 +44878,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:19.039Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:12.872Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "311", - "numforecasters": "130", + "numforecasts": 311, + "numforecasters": 130, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44952,10 +44903,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:21.264Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:15.627Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "479", - "numforecasters": "153", + "numforecasts": 480, + "numforecasters": 153, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -44987,10 +44938,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:24.910Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:18.708Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "574", - "numforecasters": "167", + "numforecasts": 575, + "numforecasters": 167, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "0, 1, 2, 3 or more" @@ -45027,10 +44978,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:28.166Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:21.821Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "619", - "numforecasters": "126", + "numforecasts": 622, + "numforecasters": 126, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $200 million, Between $200 million and $500 million, inclusive, More than $500 million but less than $1 billion, Between $1 billion and $1.75 billion, inclusive, More than $1.75 billion" @@ -45052,10 +45003,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:30.669Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:24.439Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "395", - "numforecasters": "106", + "numforecasts": 396, + "numforecasters": 106, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45077,10 +45028,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:33.175Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:27.036Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "321", - "numforecasters": "143", + "numforecasts": 321, + "numforecasters": 143, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45102,10 +45053,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:35.893Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:29.893Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "124", - "numforecasters": "57", + "numforecasts": 124, + "numforecasters": 57, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45137,10 +45088,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:38.704Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:33.375Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "431", - "numforecasters": "136", + "numforecasts": 432, + "numforecasters": 136, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Fewer than 226 seats, Between 226 seats and 299 seats, 300 seats or more, Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021" @@ -45158,19 +45109,19 @@ }, { "name": "Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021", - "probability": 0.35, + "probability": 0.33, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Not before 18 September 2021", - "probability": 0.65, + "probability": 0.67, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:40.956Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:36.179Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "690", - "numforecasters": "114", + "numforecasts": 692, + "numforecasters": 114, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021, Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021, Not before 18 September 2021" @@ -45183,19 +45134,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.07, + "probability": 0.06, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.93, + "probability": 0.94, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:44.003Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:39.247Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "226", - "numforecasters": "53", + "numforecasts": 228, + "numforecasters": 53, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45232,10 +45183,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:46.770Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:42.091Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "632", - "numforecasters": "126", + "numforecasts": 633, + "numforecasters": 126, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than $75 billion, Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive, More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion, Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive, More than $150 billion" @@ -45257,10 +45208,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:55.494Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:45.243Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "361", - "numforecasters": "90", + "numforecasts": 361, + "numforecasters": 90, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45287,10 +45238,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:06:58.187Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:54.293Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "232", - "numforecasters": "100", + "numforecasts": 232, + "numforecasters": 100, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, and a majority of the vote will be in support of President López Obrador, Yes, but a majority of the vote will not be in support of President López Obrador, No" @@ -45312,10 +45263,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:00.217Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:56.626Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "596", - "numforecasters": "185", + "numforecasts": 597, + "numforecasters": 185, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45337,10 +45288,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:02.779Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:13:59.345Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "394", - "numforecasters": "122", + "numforecasts": 394, + "numforecasters": 122, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45362,10 +45313,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:04.611Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:01.812Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "168", - "numforecasters": "41", + "numforecasts": 168, + "numforecasters": 41, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45392,10 +45343,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:07.406Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:05.107Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "326", - "numforecasters": "118", + "numforecasts": 326, + "numforecasters": 118, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, the most valuable in the world, No, but the most valuable in the United States, No" @@ -45413,12 +45364,12 @@ }, { "name": "Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive", - "probability": 0.38, + "probability": 0.37, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "More than 2.000 but less than 2.500", - "probability": 0.56, + "probability": 0.57, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -45432,10 +45383,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:10.815Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:08.298Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "535", - "numforecasters": "88", + "numforecasts": 537, + "numforecasters": 88, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Less than 1.500, Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive, More than 2.000 but less than 2.500, Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive, More than 3.000" @@ -45457,10 +45408,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:13.244Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:10.330Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "406", - "numforecasters": "104", + "numforecasts": 406, + "numforecasters": 104, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45482,10 +45433,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:15.437Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:12.619Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "328", - "numforecasters": "91", + "numforecasts": 329, + "numforecasters": 91, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45512,10 +45463,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:18.393Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:16.111Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "902", - "numforecasters": "236", + "numforecasts": 903, + "numforecasters": 236, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022, Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022, No" @@ -45547,10 +45498,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:20.736Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:19.672Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "766", - "numforecasters": "262", + "numforecasts": 768, + "numforecasters": 263, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, only by the FDA, Yes, only by the EMA, Yes, by both the FDA and the EMA, No" @@ -45572,10 +45523,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:22.872Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:22.963Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "409", - "numforecasters": "167", + "numforecasts": 409, + "numforecasters": 167, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45597,10 +45548,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:25.549Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:26.025Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "566", - "numforecasters": "141", + "numforecasts": 573, + "numforecasters": 142, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45622,10 +45573,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:28.329Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:28.609Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "405", - "numforecasters": "160", + "numforecasts": 407, + "numforecasters": 161, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45647,10 +45598,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:30.611Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:31.714Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "155", - "numforecasters": "51", + "numforecasts": 155, + "numforecasters": 51, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45672,10 +45623,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:33.196Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:34.649Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "164", - "numforecasters": "70", + "numforecasts": 165, + "numforecasters": 71, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45688,19 +45639,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.03, + "probability": 0.02, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.97, + "probability": 0.98, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:35.360Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:37.337Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "606", - "numforecasters": "254", + "numforecasts": 608, + "numforecasters": 254, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45713,19 +45664,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.56, + "probability": 0.55, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.44, + "probability": 0.45, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:37.891Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:39.626Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "434", - "numforecasters": "145", + "numforecasts": 437, + "numforecasters": 146, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45747,10 +45698,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:40.136Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.408Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "874", - "numforecasters": "519", + "numforecasts": 879, + "numforecasters": 523, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45772,10 +45723,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:42.923Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:45.333Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "302", - "numforecasters": "95", + "numforecasts": 307, + "numforecasters": 98, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45793,7 +45744,7 @@ }, { "name": "1", - "probability": 0, + "probability": 0.02, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -45803,7 +45754,7 @@ }, { "name": "3", - "probability": 0.8, + "probability": 0.78, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -45812,10 +45763,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:51.515Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:49.004Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "226", - "numforecasters": "59", + "numforecasts": 227, + "numforecasters": 60, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "0, 1, 2, 3, 4 or more" @@ -45837,10 +45788,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:53.821Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:57.149Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "291", - "numforecasters": "78", + "numforecasts": 291, + "numforecasters": 78, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45862,10 +45813,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:56.443Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:59.167Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1725", - "numforecasters": "551", + "numforecasts": 1726, + "numforecasters": 551, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45887,10 +45838,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:07:58.630Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:01.483Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "523", - "numforecasters": "196", + "numforecasts": 525, + "numforecasters": 196, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45903,19 +45854,19 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.02, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.98, + "probability": 0.99, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:01.415Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:03.914Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1068", - "numforecasters": "199", + "numforecasts": 1070, + "numforecasters": 200, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45937,10 +45888,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:03.312Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:07.008Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1016", - "numforecasters": "297", + "numforecasts": 1017, + "numforecasters": 297, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -45977,10 +45928,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:06.127Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:09.939Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "591", - "numforecasters": "122", + "numforecasts": 592, + "numforecasters": 123, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "2 or fewer, 3, 4, 5, 6 or more" @@ -46002,10 +45953,10 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:08.676Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:12.134Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "908", - "numforecasters": "170", + "numforecasts": 908, + "numforecasters": 170, "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -47334,23 +47285,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.05, + "probability": 0.06, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.95, + "probability": 0.94, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 3, - "yes_ask": 5, + "yes_bid": 4, + "yes_ask": 6, "spread": 2, - "volume": 52356, - "open_interest": 25592 + "volume": 54284, + "open_interest": 24684 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -47371,7 +47322,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 72, @@ -47399,14 +47350,14 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 97, "yes_ask": 98, "spread": 1, - "volume": 70098, - "open_interest": 24330 + "volume": 71956, + "open_interest": 26188 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -47427,7 +47378,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 1, @@ -47455,7 +47406,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 20, @@ -47483,7 +47434,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 54, @@ -47511,7 +47462,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.487Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 56, @@ -47539,7 +47490,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 21, @@ -47567,7 +47518,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 45, @@ -47586,22 +47537,22 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.53, + "probability": 0.52, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.47, + "probability": 0.48, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 52, - "yes_ask": 55, + "yes_bid": 51, + "yes_ask": 54, "spread": 3, - "volume": 3926, + "volume": 4126, "open_interest": 3162 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -47623,7 +47574,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 2, @@ -47642,23 +47593,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.41, + "probability": 0.4, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.5900000000000001, + "probability": 0.6, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 38, - "yes_ask": 39, - "spread": 1, - "volume": 138522, - "open_interest": 20916 + "yes_bid": 41, + "yes_ask": 43, + "spread": 2, + "volume": 141640, + "open_interest": 19384 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -47670,22 +47621,22 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.02, + "probability": 0.01, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.98, + "probability": 0.99, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, - "yes_bid": 0, - "yes_ask": 1, + "yes_bid": 1, + "yes_ask": 2, "spread": 1, - "volume": 18614, + "volume": 18634, "open_interest": 686 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -47707,7 +47658,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 42, @@ -47735,7 +47686,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 50, @@ -47763,12 +47714,12 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 97, - "yes_ask": 99, - "spread": 2, + "yes_ask": 98, + "spread": 1, "volume": 31256, "open_interest": 16050 }, @@ -47791,14 +47742,14 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 11, - "yes_ask": 13, - "spread": 2, - "volume": 16164, - "open_interest": 5434 + "yes_ask": 12, + "spread": 1, + "volume": 16264, + "open_interest": 5334 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -47810,51 +47761,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.63, + "probability": 0.7, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.37, + "probability": 0.30000000000000004, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 61, - "yes_ask": 63, + "yes_bid": 69, + "yes_ask": 71, "spread": 2, - "volume": 4950, - "open_interest": 2942 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, - { - "title": "Will under 1,017 medals be awarded at the Tokyo Olympics?", - "url": "https://kalshi.com", - "platform": "Kalshi", - "description": "If the number of medals awarded at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics is strictly less than 1,017, then the market resolves to Yes. Else the market resolves to No. Revisions after Expiration will not be taken into account.\n\n1,017 medals spanning 339 events are expected to be awarded at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.. The resolution source is: The total number of medals awarded at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, as documented on the Olympics.com medal standings. In particular, the Underlying is the sum of the numbers in the “Total” column of the Olympic Medal Count table. (https://olympics.com/tokyo-2020/olympic-games/en/results/all-sports/medal-standings.htm)", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.01, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.99, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 0, - "yes_ask": 1, - "spread": 1, - "volume": 18606, - "open_interest": 11792 + "volume": 6828, + "open_interest": 4820 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -47875,7 +47798,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 14, @@ -47903,7 +47826,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 55, @@ -47931,7 +47854,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 81, @@ -47959,7 +47882,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2, "yes_bid": 12, @@ -47987,45 +47910,17 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, "yes_bid": 7, - "yes_ask": 9, - "spread": 2, + "yes_ask": 8, + "spread": 1, "volume": 49276, "open_interest": 11746 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, - { - "title": "Will the high in New York City be over 85 on Saturday?", - "url": "https://kalshi.com", - "platform": "Kalshi", - "description": "If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on August 7, 2021 is strictly greater than 85°F, then the market resolves to Yes. Else the market resolves to No. Please see Rule 100.19 in the Rulebook for more details.. The resolution source is: The highest temperature recorded in Central Park, NY on August 7, 2021, as reported by the National Weather Service’s Daily Climate Report. (https://w2.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?date=&wfo=okx&sid=NYC&pil=CLI&recent=yes&specdate=2021-05-19+20%3A38%3A22)", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.99, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.010000000000000009, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 99, - "yes_ask": 100, - "spread": 1, - "volume": 27172, - "open_interest": 12306 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, { "title": "Will more people be screened by the TSA this Saturday than last Saturday?", "url": "https://kalshi.com", @@ -48034,23 +47929,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.04, + "probability": 0.05, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.96, + "probability": 0.95, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 4, - "yes_ask": 5, + "yes_bid": 0, + "yes_ask": 1, "spread": 1, - "volume": 3522, - "open_interest": 3522 + "volume": 7636, + "open_interest": 6088 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -48062,23 +47957,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.31, + "probability": 0.25, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.69, + "probability": 0.75, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 29, - "yes_ask": 31, + "yes_bid": 23, + "yes_ask": 25, "spread": 2, - "volume": 5178, - "open_interest": 3352 + "volume": 6816, + "open_interest": 4100 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -48090,23 +47985,23 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.66, + "probability": 0.98, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.33999999999999997, + "probability": 0.020000000000000018, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T23:06:41.765Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:27.488Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 3, - "yes_bid": 63, - "yes_ask": 66, - "spread": 3, - "volume": 2902, - "open_interest": 2882 + "yes_bid": 98, + "yes_ask": 100, + "spread": 2, + "volume": 6508, + "open_interest": 1932 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -48157,7 +48052,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.452Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.932Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -48171,436 +48066,436 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Donald Trump", - "probability": 0.08422092356804455, + "probability": 0.09512646113623419, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump Jnr", - "probability": 0.006670964243013429, + "probability": 0.0065929230490459345, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ivanka Trump", - "probability": 0.010056229679766512, + "probability": 0.009938585491845363, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pence", - "probability": 0.03208416135925506, + "probability": 0.03170882037874473, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", - "probability": 0.010056229679766512, + "probability": 0.009938585491845363, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nikki Haley", - 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"probability": 0.003352076559922171, + "probability": 0.0033128618306151212, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.452Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -48614,231 +48509,231 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Tom Cotton", - "probability": 0.0203497979345033, + "probability": 0.020415940863253147, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump", - "probability": 0.21289019377634225, + "probability": 0.21358215056941754, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pence", - "probability": 0.05322254844408556, + "probability": 0.053395537642354385, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nikki Haley", - "probability": 0.0768770144192347, + "probability": 0.077126887705623, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ted Cruz", - "probability": 0.032947291893957724, + "probability": 0.033054380445267, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Matt Gaetz", - "probability": 0.006850427027456557, + "probability": 0.006872692963867396, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ivanka Trump", - 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"probability": 0.025853651419693802, + "probability": 0.025512675688048343, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Joe Biden", - "probability": 0.30628019103470006, + "probability": 0.3154294448704159, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kamala Harris", - "probability": 0.2930080494231964, + "probability": 0.2891436577978812, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", - "probability": 0.03380862108729189, + "probability": 0.03336272974590938, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Cuomo", - "probability": 0.008703209388807814, + "probability": 0.008588425479144988, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Elizabeth Warren", - "probability": 0.025853651419693802, + "probability": 0.025512675688048343, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Amy Klobuchar", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Hillary Clinton", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tulsi Gabbard", - "probability": 0.013119763407008794, + "probability": 0.012946730946173787, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Yang", - "probability": 0.025853651419693802, + "probability": 0.025512675688048343, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bernie Sanders", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Pete Buttigieg", - "probability": 0.051707302839387605, + "probability": 0.051025351376096685, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Beto O'Rourke", - "probability": 0.013119763407008794, + "probability": 0.012946730946173787, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bill Gates", - "probability": 0.008703209388807814, + "probability": 0.008588425479144988, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Katie Porter", - "probability": 0.008703209388807814, + "probability": 0.008588425479144988, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Meghan Markle", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gavin Newsom", - "probability": 0.008703209388807814, + "probability": 0.008588425479144988, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Gretchen Whitmer", - "probability": 0.013119763407008794, + "probability": 0.012946730946173787, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cory Booker", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tammy Duckworth", - "probability": 0.013119763407008794, + "probability": 0.012946730946173787, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "John Ossoff", - "probability": 0.0172357676131292, + "probability": 0.017008450458698896, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Oprah Winfrey", - "probability": 0.013119763407008794, + "probability": 0.012946730946173787, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Dwayne Johnson", - "probability": 0.03380862108729189, + "probability": 0.03336272974590938, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.452Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -48994,7 +48889,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.452Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49077,7 +48972,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49200,7 +49095,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49233,7 +49128,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49336,7 +49231,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49359,7 +49254,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49422,7 +49317,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49465,7 +49360,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49498,7 +49393,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49536,7 +49431,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49574,7 +49469,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.933Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49652,7 +49547,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49680,7 +49575,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49743,7 +49638,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49781,7 +49676,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49819,7 +49714,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49852,7 +49747,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49880,7 +49775,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49903,7 +49798,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -49951,7 +49846,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50139,7 +50034,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50162,7 +50057,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50290,7 +50185,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50603,7 +50498,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50617,26 +50512,26 @@ "options": [ { "name": "2021", - "probability": 0.10028653295128939, + "probability": 0.08860759493670886, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2022", - "probability": 0.25787965616045844, + "probability": 0.2531645569620253, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2023", - "probability": 0.24068767908309455, + "probability": 0.23628691983122363, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024 or later", - "probability": 0.40114613180515757, + "probability": 0.42194092827004215, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -50659,7 +50554,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51002,7 +50897,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51016,76 +50911,76 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Amelia Womack", - "probability": 0.3418137642258361, + "probability": 0.3397225203470172, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Andrew Cooper", - "probability": 0.0211120266139487, + "probability": 0.02098286155084518, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Caroline Lucas", - "probability": 0.14356178097485117, + "probability": 0.14268345854574724, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Cleo Lake", - "probability": 0.0422240532278974, + "probability": 0.03397225203470172, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Molly Scott Cato", - "probability": 0.04785392699161706, + "probability": 0.04196572310169036, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rashid Nix", - "probability": 0.0211120266139487, + "probability": 0.02098286155084518, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Shahrar Ali", - "probability": 0.06525535498856871, + "probability": 0.0648561175207942, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tina Rothery + Martin Hemingway", - "probability": 0.055216069605711994, + "probability": 0.054878253286825864, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Zack Polanski", - "probability": 0.027608034802855997, + "probability": 0.027439126643412932, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Carla Denyer + Adrian Ramsay", - "probability": 0.10254412926775083, + "probability": 0.14268345854574724, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rosie Rawle", - "probability": 0.0211120266139487, + "probability": 0.02098286155084518, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Benali Hamdache", - "probability": 0.03418137642258361, + "probability": 0.027439126643412932, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Anthony Slaughter", - "probability": 0.0422240532278974, + "probability": 0.03397225203470172, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Lauren James", - "probability": 0.03418137642258361, + "probability": 0.027439126643412932, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51113,7 +51008,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51136,7 +51031,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51269,7 +51164,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.935Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51627,7 +51522,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.935Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -51665,7 +51560,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T12:08:31.453Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:42.935Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -91882,29 +91777,6 @@ }, "optionsstringforsearch": "" }, - { - "title": "👸🏼🀄️ 。💬 ( ‘ ://pokémon/ 🕸3 pops 🍾 ‘ ) ;", - "url": "https://omen.eth.link/#/0x0084617c0996c66370125dbece14233c8a9b7add", - "platform": "Omen", - "description": "", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.69, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": 0.31, - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "stars": 1 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, { "title": "Will Mexico beat USA today in the Gold Cup?", "url": "https://omen.eth.link/#/0x74e5188463fd8197d7c351e77bb201d13063337e", @@ -91922,7 +91794,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -91945,7 +91817,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -91973,7 +91845,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -92016,7 +91888,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -92039,7 +91911,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -92062,7 +91934,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:02.937Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:14:51.180Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 1 }, @@ -92076,20 +91948,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2984053448462732904171267327106001", + "probability": "0.2979468910387797498585872020305606", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7015946551537267095828732672893999", + "probability": "0.7020531089612202501414127979694394", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "37", + "numforecasts": "38", "liquidity": "562.43", - "tradevolume": "574.47", + "tradevolume": "575.44", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92111,7 +91983,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": "91", "liquidity": "4633.21", @@ -92128,20 +92000,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2769186404583839112703508238909656", + "probability": "0.301383483754061532235455253029156", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7230813595416160887296491761090344", + "probability": "0.698616516245938467764544746970844", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "36", + "numforecasts": "41", "liquidity": "3999.00", - "tradevolume": "4144.20", + "tradevolume": "4323.20", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92154,20 +92026,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9992886216864487659010742592819755", + "probability": "0.9990517806656704260069038624030256", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.0007113783135512340989257407180245421", + "probability": "0.0009482193343295739930961375969743568", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "404", + "numforecasts": "409", "liquidity": "299.73", - "tradevolume": "25375.23", + "tradevolume": "25376.49", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92180,20 +92052,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.6024672033216355482693814573057003", + "probability": "0.6098803768723304896506516876154229", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.3975327966783644517306185426942997", + "probability": "0.3901196231276695103493483123845771", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "828", - "liquidity": "14155.51", - "tradevolume": "155406.11", + "numforecasts": "873", + "liquidity": "17482.82", + "tradevolume": "161549.85", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92206,20 +92078,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.998677350049729384392483118185351", + "probability": "0.9998813614510336567245621388942561", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.001322649950270615607516881814649017", + "probability": "0.0001186385489663432754378611057439455", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.823Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "907", + "numforecasts": "925", "liquidity": "46.32", - "tradevolume": "50298.85", + "tradevolume": "50954.26", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92232,20 +92104,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.01974556420297067449253248816272257", + "probability": "0.01444661713971839954684053016703312", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9802544357970293255074675118372774", + "probability": "0.9855533828602816004531594698329669", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "91", + "numforecasts": "94", "liquidity": "259.37", - "tradevolume": "1778.17", + "tradevolume": "1783.47", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92258,20 +92130,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.08356386256495042138810124668917765", + "probability": "0.07270903186824208434322338246008205", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9164361374350495786118987533108224", + "probability": "0.927290968131757915656776617539918", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.440Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "14", - "liquidity": "4559.53", - "tradevolume": "6722.31", + "numforecasts": "21", + "liquidity": "5175.10", + "tradevolume": "7042.92", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92284,20 +92156,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.7652206077428772577086080197714581", + "probability": "0.73272579713140270149416126570643", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.2347793922571227422913919802285419", + "probability": "0.26727420286859729850583873429357", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "298", - "liquidity": "16956.12", - "tradevolume": "19198.92", + "numforecasts": "313", + "liquidity": "13956.12", + "tradevolume": "21122.87", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92310,20 +92182,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2615552375635323883174192527770413", + "probability": "0.2443514750411737450094763415797192", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7384447624364676116825807472229587", + "probability": "0.7556485249588262549905236584202808", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "52", + "numforecasts": "53", "liquidity": "12519.54", - "tradevolume": "12130.76", + "tradevolume": "13130.76", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92336,20 +92208,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0195595004400914159990561266786847", + "probability": "0.02042876248045529331796019214802605", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9804404995599085840009438733213153", + "probability": "0.9795712375195447066820398078519739", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "4352", - "liquidity": "26238.57", - "tradevolume": "626545.40", + "numforecasts": "4451", + "liquidity": "21238.13", + "tradevolume": "635284.76", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92362,20 +92234,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.3268348298315808323105219987590314", + "probability": "0.3231686159868209610682818878218421", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.6731651701684191676894780012409686", + "probability": "0.6768313840131790389317181121781579", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "477", - "liquidity": "9005.03", - "tradevolume": "79079.68", + "numforecasts": "512", + "liquidity": "9040.07", + "tradevolume": "83573.95", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92388,20 +92260,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2124892308982572098305385894935206", + "probability": "0.1883419501050817899162759269974234", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7875107691017427901694614105064794", + "probability": "0.8116580498949182100837240730025766", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "137", + "numforecasts": "140", "liquidity": "2705.04", - "tradevolume": "7164.47", + "tradevolume": "7264.50", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92414,20 +92286,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.000004300559265488204678148368998069049", + "probability": "0.000004745440484390837444194732116177281", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9999956994407345117953218516310019", + "probability": "0.9999952545595156091625558052678838", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "74", + "numforecasts": "75", "liquidity": "0.04", - "tradevolume": "501.86", + "tradevolume": "502.84", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92440,24 +92312,50 @@ "options": [ { "name": "USA", - "probability": "0.351221158194943457374642134130049", + "probability": "0.9994615216613058010729649000139068", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "China", - "probability": "0.648778841805056542625357865869951", + "probability": "0.0005384783386941989270350999860931905", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "163", - "liquidity": "2172.53", - "tradevolume": "13528.00", - "stars": 4 + "numforecasts": "625", + "liquidity": "86.01", + "tradevolume": "39652.39", + "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "USA, China" }, + { + "title": "Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021?", + "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-us-senate-pass-hr-3684-invest-in-america-act-by-august10-2021", + "platform": "PolyMarket", + "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Senate passes H.R. 3684, INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021, 11:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. More information about the bill can be found here https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).", + "options": [ + { + "name": "Yes", + "probability": "0.7622262013460458593578447893014367", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + }, + { + "name": "No", + "probability": "0.2377737986539541406421552106985633", + "type": "PROBABILITY" + } + ], + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", + "qualityindicators": { + "numforecasts": "83", + "liquidity": "30498.06", + "tradevolume": "10190.15", + "stars": 4 + }, + "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" + }, { "title": "Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-us-have-fewer-than-1000-covid-19-cases-on-any-day-before-september-1", @@ -92466,20 +92364,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.06472434104105869697692695157872203", + "probability": "0.06195407320860879589403027130004811", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.935275658958941303023073048421278", + "probability": "0.9380459267913912041059697286999519", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1330", - "liquidity": "12561.72", - "tradevolume": "105333.02", + "numforecasts": "1331", + "liquidity": "12780.56", + "tradevolume": "105352.64", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92492,20 +92390,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.3347486150527066122126152505364032", + "probability": "0.3123016997653767697420002480770255", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.6652513849472933877873847494635968", + "probability": "0.6876983002346232302579997519229745", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "335", + "numforecasts": "341", "liquidity": "9803.22", - "tradevolume": "59856.48", + "tradevolume": "60294.84", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92518,20 +92416,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.3648139322803746246488110452439072", + "probability": "0.3654232007268957555596161930014443", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.6351860677196253753511889547560928", + "probability": "0.6345767992731042444403838069985557", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.824Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "114", + "numforecasts": "115", "liquidity": "65340.37", - "tradevolume": "48925.60", + "tradevolume": "48992.05", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92544,21 +92442,21 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.1792749465024971905381759793345226", + "probability": "0.0955469939507316090738067269474263", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.8207250534975028094618240206654774", + "probability": "0.9044530060492683909261932730525737", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "75", + "numforecasts": "148", "liquidity": "3307.09", - "tradevolume": "7672.83", - "stars": 4 + "tradevolume": "12508.05", + "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -92570,20 +92468,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.001786394565249999194858101669222298", + "probability": "0.001523937277296581724139753709374166", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9982136054347500008051418983307777", + "probability": "0.9984760627227034182758602462906258", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "477", - "liquidity": "2675.96", - "tradevolume": "41768.94", + "numforecasts": "480", + "liquidity": "2457.14", + "tradevolume": "41777.86", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92596,20 +92494,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0433071543532225400573566339628795", + "probability": "0.04412543082081031981282463720747177", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9566928456467774599426433660371205", + "probability": "0.9558745691791896801871753627925282", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "232", - "liquidity": "1939.65", - "tradevolume": "14171.44", + "numforecasts": "236", + "liquidity": "1761.18", + "tradevolume": "14193.29", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92622,20 +92520,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0255434741491245390539325828923087", + "probability": "0.02998568637477959657261143559867488", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9744565258508754609460674171076913", + "probability": "0.9700143136252204034273885644013251", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "417", - "liquidity": "2548.56", - "tradevolume": "66479.39", + "numforecasts": "424", + "liquidity": "2549.24", + "tradevolume": "66617.73", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92648,20 +92546,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9774962301074736133337102496916585", + "probability": "0.9716016985053482009244362420293246", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.02250376989252638666628975030834153", + "probability": "0.02839830149465179907556375797067545", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "40", + "numforecasts": "47", "liquidity": "499.00", - "tradevolume": "10677.89", + "tradevolume": "10780.11", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92674,20 +92572,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.7757048982218473700008044812269701", + "probability": "0.764472226725885999466213737587338", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.2242951017781526299991955187730299", + "probability": "0.235527773274114000533786262412662", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1024", - "liquidity": "20535.52", - "tradevolume": "515837.78", + "numforecasts": "1055", + "liquidity": "21080.00", + "tradevolume": "518915.96", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92700,20 +92598,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.6698094714250909363085135625664467", + "probability": "0.645468840475324258256401853186072", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.3301905285749090636914864374335533", + "probability": "0.354531159524675741743598146813928", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "227", + "numforecasts": "239", "liquidity": "3184.94", - "tradevolume": "12014.97", + "tradevolume": "13210.09", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92726,20 +92624,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.00147121251906820287950648682792277", + "probability": "0.00116527909303181106792817597687916", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9985287874809317971204935131720772", + "probability": "0.9988347209069681889320718240231208", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "242", + "numforecasts": "249", "liquidity": "510.08", - "tradevolume": "9601.70", + "tradevolume": "9649.69", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92752,20 +92650,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2061057495019427095645711434026286", + "probability": "0.1914279105243432757387388422887267", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7938942504980572904354288565973714", + "probability": "0.8085720894756567242612611577112733", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "549", - "liquidity": "5387.68", - "tradevolume": "67176.32", + "numforecasts": "567", + "liquidity": "5431.46", + "tradevolume": "68805.48", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92778,20 +92676,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.03470251574469917507763314042682657", + "probability": "0.01523268534641688071555587069228543", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9652974842553008249223668595731734", + "probability": "0.9847673146535831192844441293077146", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "24", + "numforecasts": "28", "liquidity": "131.11", - "tradevolume": "2175.69", + "tradevolume": "2289.64", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92804,20 +92702,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.07306043335485300165284742917209539", + "probability": "0.07215061502449851219142931704344787", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9269395666451469983471525708279046", + "probability": "0.9278493849755014878085706829565521", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "770", + "numforecasts": "774", "liquidity": "2009.92", - "tradevolume": "28235.86", + "tradevolume": "28485.86", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92830,20 +92728,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.4471638648090947620080407799134555", + "probability": "0.5450428409268807992616787683231767", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.5528361351909052379919592200865445", + "probability": "0.4549571590731192007383212316768233", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "123", + "numforecasts": "134", "liquidity": "1433.13", - "tradevolume": "8520.53", + "tradevolume": "9145.18", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92856,20 +92754,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2158836339190917645351329776625708", + "probability": "0.1892559922985751330155522489903518", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7841163660809082354648670223374292", + "probability": "0.8107440077014248669844477510096482", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "11", + "numforecasts": "18", "liquidity": "3000.20", - "tradevolume": "748.87", + "tradevolume": "889.97", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92882,20 +92780,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.4681260447760065891835233223118909", + "probability": "0.4676482201675755512942777145792736", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.5318739552239934108164766776881091", + "probability": "0.5323517798324244487057222854207264", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "6", + "numforecasts": "10", "liquidity": "1165.18", - "tradevolume": "169.00", + "tradevolume": "212.54", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92908,20 +92806,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.01007205337331871110627244033228453", + "probability": "0.006769262447666076238942835022576447", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9899279466266812888937275596677155", + "probability": "0.9932307375523339237610571649774236", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "251", + "numforecasts": "257", "liquidity": "12.37", - "tradevolume": "41072.33", + "tradevolume": "41075.69", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -92934,20 +92832,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Long", - "probability": "0.6573882376940171300845806107451018", + "probability": "0.6745662166661539887732317090063988", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Short", - "probability": "0.3426117623059828699154193892548982", + "probability": "0.3254337833338460112267682909936012", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "240", + "numforecasts": "287", "liquidity": "5596.87", - "tradevolume": "16528.49", + "tradevolume": "17984.46", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Long, Short" @@ -92960,20 +92858,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Brazil", - "probability": "0.998977298247567078781665527916484", + "probability": "0.9990369455406986109073121656627801", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Spain", - "probability": "0.001022701752432921218334472083515957", + "probability": "0.0009630544593013890926878343372198954", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "73", + "numforecasts": "80", "liquidity": "1000.00", - "tradevolume": "5193.52", + "tradevolume": "5213.85", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Brazil, Spain" @@ -92986,21 +92884,21 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.8874402992948681079982451904992845", + "probability": "0.9653762608846368445022267283261372", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.1125597007051318920017548095007155", + "probability": "0.03462373911536315549777327167386283", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "53", + "numforecasts": "75", "liquidity": "540.42", - "tradevolume": "3193.25", - "stars": 3 + "tradevolume": "4832.76", + "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -93012,20 +92910,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.1511011706918314279097742493164015", + "probability": "0.139220849091954568448533043576367", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.8488988293081685720902257506835985", + "probability": "0.860779150908045431551466956423633", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "132", + "numforecasts": "142", "liquidity": "2716.17", - "tradevolume": "16387.85", + "tradevolume": "17554.52", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93038,20 +92936,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9848696628932609581288098539035262", + "probability": "0.9888438858787467985172553621294864", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.01513033710673904187119014609647385", + "probability": "0.01115611412125320148274463787051355", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "196", + "numforecasts": "197", "liquidity": "511.37", - "tradevolume": "11052.20", + "tradevolume": "11061.09", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93064,20 +92962,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.5248642006217658154297708289316563", + "probability": "0.5548031893099964606506346157286791", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.4751357993782341845702291710683437", + "probability": "0.4451968106900035393493653842713209", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "197", + "numforecasts": "200", "liquidity": "3245.32", - "tradevolume": "8722.03", + "tradevolume": "8924.02", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93090,20 +92988,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2843818121063349747679675713799996", + "probability": "0.2523010666416769598310924441016546", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7156181878936650252320324286200004", + "probability": "0.7476989333583230401689075558983454", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "255", - "liquidity": "4034.97", - "tradevolume": "27455.57", + "numforecasts": "272", + "liquidity": "3769.97", + "tradevolume": "29961.62", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93116,20 +93014,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.02506989967733623162197398490013293", + "probability": "0.005547097699310703696322558836360123", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9749301003226637683780260150998671", + "probability": "0.9944529023006892963036774411636399", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "141", - "liquidity": "450.00", - "tradevolume": "13122.48", + "numforecasts": "152", + "liquidity": "450.15", + "tradevolume": "13196.11", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93142,20 +93040,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.2568779977475514768608923381062718", + "probability": "0.2557234286970126920535099201984821", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.7431220022524485231391076618937282", + "probability": "0.7442765713029873079464900798015179", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "81", + "numforecasts": "87", "liquidity": "4163.32", - "tradevolume": "16696.01", + "tradevolume": "16956.93", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93168,20 +93066,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9995447534334346083074763363104084", + "probability": "0.9995770650382370889735282853367764", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.000455246566565391692523663689591587", + "probability": "0.0004229349617629110264717146632235964", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "482", + "numforecasts": "493", "liquidity": "450.48", - "tradevolume": "34903.62", + "tradevolume": "35049.63", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93194,21 +93092,21 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.5732865377373263161447441024067029", + "probability": "0.9987006905700183824382642388858821", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.4267134622626736838552558975932971", + "probability": "0.001299309429981617561735761114117908", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "45", - "liquidity": "446.58", - "tradevolume": "1009.21", - "stars": 3 + "numforecasts": "214", + "liquidity": "457.76", + "tradevolume": "8423.57", + "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, @@ -93220,20 +93118,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.004431099286950236514295403155907202", + "probability": "0.002865919447421340469302903423355493", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9955689007130497634857045968440928", + "probability": "0.9971340805525786595306970965766445", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "356", + "numforecasts": "362", "liquidity": "519.78", - "tradevolume": "12173.47", + "tradevolume": "12187.02", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93246,20 +93144,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.1460212435136180465082229037592472", + "probability": "0.1202368876978574391399720149326546", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.8539787564863819534917770962407528", + "probability": "0.8797631123021425608600279850673454", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "94", + "numforecasts": "98", "liquidity": "2000.00", - "tradevolume": "7651.88", + "tradevolume": "8236.88", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93281,7 +93179,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": "371", "liquidity": "1033.19", @@ -93298,50 +93196,24 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9663815245913133454569033963715282", + "probability": "0.9673201945961949558263665356099027", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.03361847540868665454309660362847183", + "probability": "0.0326798054038050441736334643900973", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.833Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "2120", - "liquidity": "11100.58", - "tradevolume": "533635.22", + "numforecasts": "2181", + "liquidity": "14107.51", + "tradevolume": "538730.46", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" }, - { - "title": "Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021?", - "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-kanye-wests-album-donda-be-released-by-august-7", - "platform": "PolyMarket", - "description": "This is a market on when Kanye West’s album “Donda” will be released on schedule. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West’s album Donda is available for download on Apple Music on or before August 7, 2021, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be Kanye West’s official Apple Music page, https://music.apple.com/us/artist/kanye-west/2715720. ", - "options": [ - { - "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.0005097105150859638708215746522818019", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - }, - { - "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9994902894849140361291784253477182", - "type": "PROBABILITY" - } - ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", - "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "1085", - "liquidity": "515.67", - "tradevolume": "106647.83", - "stars": 2 - }, - "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" - }, { "title": "What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary?", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/what-will-the-margin-of-victory-be-in-the-2021-oh-11-democratic-primary", @@ -93359,7 +93231,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": "48", "liquidity": "100.23", @@ -93376,20 +93248,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.3269212885890762886806548328263661", + "probability": "0.3079182726964329522191822965203238", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.6730787114109237113193451671736339", + "probability": "0.6920817273035670477808177034796762", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "234", - "liquidity": "32713.61", - "tradevolume": "23272.15", + "numforecasts": "244", + "liquidity": "32188.76", + "tradevolume": "25455.09", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93402,20 +93274,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.9495817881268398526362355963680509", + "probability": "0.9682348764905615723659448560481115", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.05041821187316014736376440363194912", + "probability": "0.03176512350943842763405514395188845", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "91", + "numforecasts": "123", "liquidity": "1540.95", - "tradevolume": "4226.30", + "tradevolume": "4763.25", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93428,20 +93300,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Long", - "probability": "0.7570724104217438903958499694903326", + "probability": "0.748647785612952683907862057262429", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Short", - "probability": "0.2429275895782561096041500305096674", + "probability": "0.251352214387047316092137942737571", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "56", + "numforecasts": "58", "liquidity": "4620.05", - "tradevolume": "11031.01", + "tradevolume": "11091.12", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Long, Short" @@ -93454,20 +93326,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Japan", - "probability": "0.9989435521004845634109454468636855", + "probability": "0.9990674120313742020646518479550395", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "USA", - "probability": "0.001056447899515436589054553136314462", + "probability": "0.0009325879686257979353481520449605405", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "96", + "numforecasts": "107", "liquidity": "500.00", - "tradevolume": "1323.96", + "tradevolume": "1335.48", "stars": 2 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Japan, USA" @@ -93480,20 +93352,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.1015969208689046896792599381095763", + "probability": "0.1069135803669110148011179651090396", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.8984030791310953103207400618904237", + "probability": "0.8930864196330889851988820348909604", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "43", + "numforecasts": "44", "liquidity": "1009.05", - "tradevolume": "1587.88", + "tradevolume": "1597.88", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93506,20 +93378,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.837039987588880391458707650908", + "probability": "0.8123536149144685482473113605916223", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.162960012411119608541292349092", + "probability": "0.1876463850855314517526886394083777", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "109", + "numforecasts": "119", "liquidity": "1627.77", - "tradevolume": "7774.07", + "tradevolume": "8413.76", "stars": 4 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93532,20 +93404,20 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": "0.02473055162526964034571604770690186", + "probability": "0.02601962570973774066705703833032595", "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": "0.9752694483747303596542839522930981", + "probability": "0.9739803742902622593329429616696741", "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { - "numforecasts": "756", - "liquidity": "1060.10", - "tradevolume": "46930.79", + "numforecasts": "759", + "liquidity": "1060.08", + "tradevolume": "46952.79", "stars": 3 }, "optionsstringforsearch": "Yes, No" @@ -93567,7 +93439,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:47:04.834Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:04.441Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": "76", "liquidity": "3377.52", @@ -99938,7 +99810,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.551Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.655Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -99972,7 +99844,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.552Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.656Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100006,7 +99878,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.552Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.656Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100045,7 +99917,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.552Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.656Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100089,7 +99961,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.559Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100118,7 +99990,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.559Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100162,7 +100034,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.559Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100186,7 +100058,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.559Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100240,7 +100112,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.560Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100269,7 +100141,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.560Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.658Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100303,7 +100175,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.560Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100342,7 +100214,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.561Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100371,7 +100243,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.561Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100400,7 +100272,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.561Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100429,7 +100301,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.562Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100458,7 +100330,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.562Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100487,7 +100359,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.562Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.659Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100526,7 +100398,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.562Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.660Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100555,7 +100427,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.562Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.660Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100589,7 +100461,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T14:59:15.563Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:15:32.660Z", "qualityindicators": { "numforecasts": 1, "stars": 4 @@ -100773,7 +100645,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:00.190Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:19.703Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -100796,7 +100668,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:01.040Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:20.289Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -100810,27 +100682,27 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Friedrich Merz", - "probability": 0.00574860574860575, + "probability": 0.006025721737566329, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer", - "probability": 0.01861861861861862, + "probability": 0.019516143538087956, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jens Spahn", - "probability": 0.05534105534105535, + "probability": 0.05800881374224301, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Armin Laschet", - "probability": 0.630888030888031, + "probability": 0.6613004766615703, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Robert Habeck", - "probability": 0.007121407121407122, + "probability": 0.007464700062955302, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -100847,7 +100719,7 @@ }, { "name": "Ralph Brinkhaus", - "probability": 0.006091806091806092, + "probability": 0.006385466318913571, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -100876,7 +100748,7 @@ }, { "name": "Ursula Von der Leyen", - "probability": 0.026769626769626773, + "probability": 0.02806007734508499, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -100889,26 +100761,26 @@ }, { "name": "Markus Söder", - "probability": 0.04770484770484771, + "probability": 0.05000449680726684, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Olaf Scholz", - "probability": 0.04290004290004291, + "probability": 0.04496807266840543, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Norbert Röttgen", - "probability": 0.002831402831402832, + "probability": 0.002967892796114759, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Annalena Baerbock", - "probability": 0.15598455598455602, + "probability": 0.11529813832179153, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:01.894Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:20.760Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -100985,7 +100857,7 @@ "probability": null } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:02.775Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:21.250Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101016,7 +100888,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:03.741Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:21.728Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101039,7 +100911,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:04.617Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:22.197Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101257,7 +101129,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:05.586Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:22.744Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101294,7 +101166,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:06.501Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:23.230Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101307,36 +101179,36 @@ "description": "", "options": [ { - "probability": 0.09153072993903444, + "probability": 0.09725991420817648, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2021", - "probability": 0.01647717910693689, + "probability": 0.017508535411012868, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2022", - "probability": 0.10841983852364476, + "probability": 0.11520616300446468, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2023", - "probability": 0.10561871807546548, + "probability": 0.11222971198459249, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024", - "probability": 0.12868676882517713, + "probability": 0.1367416615600105, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2025 or later", - "probability": 0.5492667655297413, + "probability": 0.521054013831743, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:07.311Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:23.703Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101364,7 +101236,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:08.178Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:24.060Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101397,7 +101269,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:09.026Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:24.551Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101411,37 +101283,37 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Emmanuel Macron", - "probability": 0.4446065390886467, + "probability": 0.4425935417734495, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Marine Le Pen", - "probability": 0.13841929116965587, + "probability": 0.13779258499914573, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Jean-Luc Mélenchon", - "probability": 0.0267742212305844, + "probability": 0.02665299846232701, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "François Baroin", - "probability": 0.06127177550845275, + "probability": 0.06099436186570989, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Xavier Bertrand", - "probability": 0.122629365828542, + "probability": 0.12207415000854262, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Yannick Jadot", - "probability": 0.04290740581824423, + "probability": 0.04271313856142149, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Olivier Faure", - "probability": 0.040847850338968504, + "probability": 0.04066290791047326, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -101461,7 +101333,7 @@ }, { "name": "Anne Hidalgo", - "probability": 0.008581481163648846, + "probability": 0.010080300700495471, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -101491,46 +101363,46 @@ }, { "name": "Edouard Philippe", - "probability": 0.021453702909122116, + "probability": 0.021356569280710745, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Laurent Wauquiez", - "probability": 0.004805629451643354, + "probability": 0.007773791218178712, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Valérie Pécresse", - "probability": 0.020423925169484252, + "probability": 0.02033145395523663, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Eric Zemmour", - "probability": 0.04900025744443491, + "probability": 0.048778404237143344, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michel Barnier", - "probability": 0.007122629365828541, + "probability": 0.007090381001195968, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Philippe Juvin", - "probability": 0.0008581481163648846, + "probability": 0.0008542627712284299, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Rachida Dati", - "probability": 0.008581481163648846, + "probability": 0.008542627712284298, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bruno Retailleau", - "probability": 0.0017162962327297692, + "probability": 0.0017085255424568598, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:10.014Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:24.931Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101561,7 +101433,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:10.838Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:25.414Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101844,7 +101716,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:11.814Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:25.968Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101867,7 +101739,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:12.459Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:26.224Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101881,21 +101753,21 @@ "options": [ { "name": "2023 or earlier", - "probability": 0.45611814345991564, + "probability": 0.43809938971229295, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2024", - "probability": 0.299240506329114, + "probability": 0.3091543156059285, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "2025 or later", - "probability": 0.24464135021097047, + "probability": 0.25274629468177856, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:13.304Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:26.744Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -101988,7 +101860,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:14.223Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:27.128Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102011,7 +101883,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:15.169Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:27.642Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102099,7 +101971,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:16.085Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:28.122Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102122,7 +101994,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:16.941Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:28.606Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102145,7 +102017,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:17.753Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:29.108Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102168,7 +102040,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:18.646Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:29.605Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102191,7 +102063,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:19.472Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:30.071Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102289,7 +102161,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:20.296Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:30.569Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102312,7 +102184,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:21.127Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:31.056Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102345,7 +102217,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:21.957Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:31.551Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102368,7 +102240,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:22.782Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:32.043Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102391,7 +102263,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:23.645Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:32.407Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102414,7 +102286,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:24.600Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:32.908Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102428,32 +102300,32 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Joe Biden", - "probability": 0.39691737165372587, + "probability": 0.39964747356051705, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kamala Harris", - "probability": 0.3621508865453703, + "probability": 0.3560517038777909, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Elizabeth Warren", - "probability": 0.04832541430061421, + "probability": 0.049001175088131614, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", - 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"probability": 0.2674046740467404, + "probability": 0.2658026653625137, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kamala Harris", - "probability": 0.15768757687576873, + "probability": 0.1567428781024575, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump", - "probability": 0.1337023370233702, + "probability": 0.13889228512043034, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tucker Carlson", - "probability": 0.016359163591635913, + "probability": 0.016261156620613764, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Tom Cotton", - "probability": 0.01230012300123001, + "probability": 0.012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pence", - "probability": 0.04391143911439114, + "probability": 0.04364836777112115, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Donald Trump Jr.", - "probability": 0.008241082410824108, + "probability": 0.00819171047805355, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Ted Cruz", - "probability": 0.02460024600246002, + "probability": 0.024452867098667314, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", - "probability": 0.020541205412054116, + "probability": 0.020418144027387206, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Michelle Obama", - "probability": 0.001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.0012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Nikki Haley", - "probability": 0.07933579335793357, + "probability": 0.07886049639320208, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Elizabeth Warren", - "probability": 0.013653136531365313, + "probability": 0.01357134123976036, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102759,7 +102631,7 @@ }, { "name": "Andrew Cuomo", - "probability": 0.001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.0012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102769,17 +102641,17 @@ }, { "name": "Nina Turner", - "probability": 0.004059040590405904, + "probability": 0.004034723071280106, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Pete Buttigieg", - "probability": 0.02460024600246002, + "probability": 0.024452867098667314, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Bernie Sanders", - "probability": 0.006150061500615005, + "probability": 0.006113216774666828, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102789,12 +102661,12 @@ }, { "name": "Josh Hawley", - "probability": 0.006150061500615005, + "probability": 0.006113216774666828, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Mike Pompeo", - "probability": 0.014514145141451412, + "probability": 0.014427191588213715, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102814,12 +102686,12 @@ }, { "name": "Ivanka Trump", - "probability": 0.026691266912669123, + "probability": 0.026531360802054035, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Candace Owens", - "probability": 0.01230012300123001, + "probability": 0.012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102829,7 +102701,7 @@ }, { "name": "Ron DeSantis", - "probability": 0.10701107011070109, + "probability": 0.1063699718792028, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102844,17 +102716,17 @@ }, { "name": "Marjorie Taylor Greene", - "probability": 0.001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.0012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Dwayne Johnson", - "probability": 0.014514145141451412, + "probability": 0.014427191588213715, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Oprah Winfrey", - "probability": 0.001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.0012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102884,7 +102756,7 @@ }, { "name": "Hillary Clinton", - "probability": 0.001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.0012226433549333657, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -102904,11 +102776,11 @@ }, { "name": "Kanye West", - "probability": 0.0001230012300123001, + "probability": 0.00012226433549333656, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:27.289Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:34.461Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102931,7 +102803,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:28.179Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:34.960Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102959,7 +102831,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:29.002Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:35.447Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -102997,7 +102869,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:29.854Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:36.007Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103025,7 +102897,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:30.810Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:36.489Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103048,7 +102920,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:31.646Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:36.726Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103062,26 +102934,26 @@ "options": [ { "name": "CDU + CSU", - "probability": 0.8784119106699751, + "probability": 0.8841169236590672, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "SPD", - "probability": 0.01240694789081886, + "probability": 0.011824803708258443, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Greens", - "probability": 0.09925558312655088, + "probability": 0.09459842966606755, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "AfD", - "probability": 0.009925558312655087, + "probability": 0.009459842966606754, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:32.538Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:37.204Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103104,7 +102976,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:33.493Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:37.698Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103118,16 +102990,16 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes", - "probability": 0.3857652618381715, + "probability": 0.3130522827687776, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No", - "probability": 0.6142347381618285, + "probability": 0.6869477172312224, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:34.334Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:38.084Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103150,7 +103022,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:35.242Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:38.598Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103173,7 +103045,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:36.052Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:38.957Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103206,7 +103078,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:36.905Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:39.426Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103229,7 +103101,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:37.748Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:39.784Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103292,7 +103164,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:38.658Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:40.285Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103320,7 +103192,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:39.549Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:40.776Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103343,7 +103215,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:40.445Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:41.248Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103366,7 +103238,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:41.272Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:41.725Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103404,7 +103276,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:42.090Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:42.228Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103437,7 +103309,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:42.916Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:42.724Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103460,7 +103332,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:43.714Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:43.204Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103493,7 +103365,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:44.543Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:43.562Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103516,7 +103388,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:45.407Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:44.047Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103539,7 +103411,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:46.289Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:44.413Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103562,7 +103434,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:47.161Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:44.885Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103625,7 +103497,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:48.037Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:45.387Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103668,7 +103540,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:48.923Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:45.876Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103706,7 +103578,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:49.862Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:46.354Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103739,7 +103611,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:50.757Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:46.831Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103771,7 +103643,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:51.669Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:47.286Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103809,7 +103681,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:52.570Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:47.769Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103837,7 +103709,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:53.454Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:48.253Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103860,7 +103732,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:54.342Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:48.745Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103908,7 +103780,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:55.248Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:49.107Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103931,7 +103803,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:56.133Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:49.457Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103974,7 +103846,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:56.978Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:49.934Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -103997,7 +103869,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:57.871Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:50.299Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104075,7 +103947,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:58.721Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:50.669Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104113,7 +103985,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:00:59.612Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:51.021Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104136,7 +104008,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:00.548Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:51.505Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104159,7 +104031,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:01.401Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:52.003Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104202,7 +104074,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:02.271Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:52.479Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104230,7 +104102,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:02.889Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:52.733Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104358,7 +104230,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:03.735Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:53.291Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104415,7 +104287,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:04.558Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:53.786Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104438,7 +104310,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:05.542Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:54.255Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104481,7 +104353,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:06.421Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:54.752Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104588,7 +104460,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:07.258Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:55.239Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104641,7 +104513,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:08.122Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:55.710Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104689,7 +104561,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:08.957Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:56.210Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104717,7 +104589,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:09.804Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:56.674Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104759,7 +104631,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:10.669Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:57.059Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104773,17 +104645,17 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Michelle Wu", - "probability": 0.40772754775693665, + "probability": 0.41795144426723374, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Kim Janey", - "probability": 0.4321894718644654, + "probability": 0.41795144426723374, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Annissa Essaibi George", - "probability": 0.16008298037859797, + "probability": 0.16409711146553252, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -104792,7 +104664,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:11.508Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:57.417Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104806,17 +104678,17 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Bruce Harrell", - "probability": 0.5484385257432243, + "probability": 0.494211104538156, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Lorena González", - "probability": 0.3663134202382069, + "probability": 0.42896983013606016, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Colleen Echohawk", - "probability": 0.08524805401856889, + "probability": 0.07681906532578382, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { @@ -104835,7 +104707,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:12.336Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:57.771Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104868,7 +104740,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:13.226Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:58.251Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104901,7 +104773,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:14.044Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:58.730Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104963,7 +104835,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:14.876Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:59.214Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -104991,7 +104863,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:15.740Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:20:59.753Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105069,7 +104941,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:16.663Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:00.147Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105083,26 +104955,26 @@ "options": [ { "name": "0.0 or under", - "probability": 0.13999193710945373, + "probability": 0.1343976777939042, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "+0.1 to +10.0", - "probability": 0.4623059866962306, + "probability": 0.4837929366231253, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "+10.1 to +20.0", - "probability": 0.33047772626486593, + "probability": 0.31727140783744556, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "Over +20.0", - "probability": 0.06722434992944971, + "probability": 0.06453797774552492, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:17.575Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:00.667Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105224,7 +105096,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:18.416Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:01.219Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105316,7 +105188,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:19.250Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:01.577Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105339,7 +105211,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:20.112Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:02.047Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105362,7 +105234,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:21.064Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:02.521Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105385,7 +105257,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:21.881Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:03.004Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105408,7 +105280,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:22.786Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:03.476Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105441,7 +105313,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:23.604Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:03.943Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105464,7 +105336,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:24.440Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:04.415Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105478,21 +105350,21 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Greens", - "probability": 0.7038043478260869, + "probability": 0.6956132497761862, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "SPD", - "probability": 0.21385046113306982, + "probability": 0.22299991861316837, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "FDP", - "probability": 0.08234519104084322, + "probability": 0.08138683161064539, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:25.316Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:05.224Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105506,16 +105378,16 @@ "options": [ { "name": "Yes on recall", - "probability": 0.23809523809523808, + "probability": 0.27173418297678653, "type": "PROBABILITY" }, { "name": "No on recall", - "probability": 0.7619047619047619, + "probability": 0.7282658170232135, "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:26.221Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:05.708Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105538,7 +105410,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:27.120Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:05.937Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, @@ -105566,7 +105438,7 @@ "type": "PROBABILITY" } ], - "timestamp": "2021-08-07T15:01:27.939Z", + "timestamp": "2021-08-08T13:21:06.436Z", "qualityindicators": { "stars": 2 }, diff --git a/src/platforms/goodjudmentopen-fetch.js b/src/platforms/goodjudmentopen-fetch.js index 2533eff..f28c0be 100644 --- a/src/platforms/goodjudmentopen-fetch.js +++ b/src/platforms/goodjudmentopen-fetch.js @@ -107,14 +107,15 @@ async function fetchStats(questionUrl, cookie) { return result } -function isNotSignedIn(html){ +function isSignedIn(html){ - let isNotSignedInBool = html.includes("You need to sign in or sign up before continuing") || html.includes("Sign up") - if(isNotSignedIn){ + let isSignedInBool = !( html.includes("You need to sign in or sign up before continuing") || html.includes("Sign up") ) + // console.log(html) + if(!isSignedInBool){ console.log("Error: Not signed in.") } - console.log(`isNotSignedIn? ${isNotSignedInBool}`) - return isNotSignedInBool + console.log(`is signed in? ${isSignedInBool}`) + return isSignedInBool } function isEnd(html){ @@ -138,7 +139,7 @@ async function goodjudgmentopen_inner(cookie) { let results = [] let init = Date.now() // console.log("Downloading... This might take a couple of minutes. Results will be shown.") - while(!isEnd(response) && !isNotSignedIn(response)){ + while(!isEnd(response) && isSignedIn(response)){ // console.log(`Page #${i}`) let htmlLines = response.split("\n") let h5elements = htmlLines.filter(str => str.includes("
    ({...record, has_numforecasts: record.has_numforecasts ? true : false}) ) + records = records.map((record, index) => ({...record, has_numforecasts: record.numforecasts ? true : false, objectID: index}) ) // this is necessary to filter by missing attributes https://www.algolia.com/doc/guides/managing-results/refine-results/filtering/how-to/filter-by-null-or-missing-attributes/ - await index.clearObjects() - index.saveObjects(records, { autoGenerateObjectIDIfNotExist: true }).then(() => - console.log("algolia search: done") - ).catch(error => { - console.log("algolia search: error", error) - }) + /* + index.clearObjects().wait().then(response => { + console.log(response) + }); + */ + + if(index.exists()){ + console.log("Index exists") + index.replaceAllObjects(records, { safe:true }).catch(error => console.log(error)) + console.log(`Pushed ${records.length} records. Algolia will update asynchronously`) + } + + + /*await index.clearObjects() + console.log("Past data") + + setTimeout(function(){ + index.saveObjects(records, { autoGenerateObjectIDIfNotExist: true }).then(() => + console.log("algolia search: done") + ).catch(error => { + console.log("algolia search: error", error) + }) + alert('hello'); + }, 60*1000); // 1 minute seconds + */ } -// main() +//rebuildAlgoliaDatabase()