Added Hypermind at the request of lukeprog
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data/hypermind-questions.csv
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data/hypermind-questions.csv
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"Title","URL","Platform","Binary question?","Percentage","# Forecasts"
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"In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52252252252252%",
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"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.888888888888886%",
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"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35%",
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"In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5%",
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"Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In France, when will the 7 day average of new confirmed cases of Covid-19 fall back below 5,000?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%",
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"In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%",
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"In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.510204081632654%",
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"In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"When will worldwide commercial air traffic rise back above 100,000 flights per day?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In 2021, who will succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister of Israel?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.554455445544555%",
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"What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92156862745098%",
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"Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59%",
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"Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94%",
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"In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62%",
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"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"As of April 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"As of July 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"As of October 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 3 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 1 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 0.1 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
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data/hypermind-questions.json
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261
data/hypermind-questions.json
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[
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "22.52252252252252%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "63.888888888888886%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "35%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "5%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In France, when will the 7 day average of new confirmed cases of Covid-19 fall back below 5,000?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "8%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "8%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "25.510204081632654%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "When will worldwide commercial air traffic rise back above 100,000 flights per day?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, who will succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister of Israel?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "44.554455445544555%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "53.92156862745098%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "59%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "94%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?",
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"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": true,
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"Percentage": "62%"
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},
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{
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"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "As of April 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "As of July 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "As of October 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 3 per million people?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 1 per million people?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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},
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{
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"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 0.1 per million people?",
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"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
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"Platform": "Hypermind",
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"Binary question?": false,
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"Percentage": "none"
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}
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]
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@ -1687,3 +1687,40 @@ how much will 1 hour of subjective run time cost?","https://www.metaculus.com/qu
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"What will be the outcome of the 2020 US Presidential Election for the office of President of the United States, where the winner is the one receiving the most votes from certified electors of the Electoral College, those votes having been officially counted by the United States Congress under VICE PRESIDENT MICHAEL PENCE on January 6, 2021 (per the Electoral Count Act of 1887)?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xdbf41f1f2d28216eb4e76b9ed3856180c2daa479","Omen",true,"99.0000%",
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"Will Compound Chain be launched and usable by the end of Q2 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xe018254be84e200bfb9947dc57df8943cb2ac1b2","Omen",true,"40.0000%",
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"Will UNI governance approve a new liquidity mining program by the end of February, 2021?","https://omen.eth.link/#/0xed6940e49cee029c4664d9794c04d5f9e5597632","Omen",true,"10.9519%",
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"In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"22.52252252252252%",
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"Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"63.888888888888886%",
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"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"35%",
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"In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA","Hypermind",true,"5%",
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"Who will be elected president of France in 2022?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In France, when will the 7 day average of new confirmed cases of Covid-19 fall back below 5,000?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%",
|
||||
"In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"8%",
|
||||
"In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",true,"25.510204081632654%",
|
||||
"In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"When will worldwide commercial air traffic rise back above 100,000 flights per day?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In 2021, who will succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister of Israel?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"44.554455445544555%",
|
||||
"What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"53.92156862745098%",
|
||||
"Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"59%",
|
||||
"Will the new Bond film ""No Time to Die"" be released in 2021?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"94%",
|
||||
"In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?","https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO","Hypermind",true,"62%",
|
||||
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"As of April 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"As of July 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"As of October 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 3 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 1 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
"When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 0.1 per million people?","https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19","Hypermind",false,"none",
|
||||
|
|
|
@ -13838,5 +13838,264 @@
|
|||
"0.8904813498033700886137938307889466"
|
||||
],
|
||||
"Percentage": "10.9519%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, will Donald Trump be barred from holding future elected office in the USA?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "22.52252252252252%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Will Kamala Harris be the first woman to become president of the United States?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "63.888888888888886%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will the USA earn more medals than they ever did during Obama's presidency (121)?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "35%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, will Joe Biden invoke the Insurrection Act?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=USA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "5%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Who will be elected president of France in 2022?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Who will compete in the second round of the French presidential election?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In France, when will the first round of the regional elections take place?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In France, when will the 7 day average of new confirmed cases of Covid-19 fall back below 5,000?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "At the 2021 Tokyo Olympics, will Japan or France earn more medals?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=FRA",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Following the next parliamentary elections win Morocco, who will succeed Saad-Eddine El Othmani as prime minister?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In Niger, who will win the (February) 2021 presidential election?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, will Faustin-Archange Touadéra lose power in the Central African Republic?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "8%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, will Abdelmadjid Tebboune lose power in Algeria?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "8%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In January 2021, how many battle deaths will there be in the G5 Sahel countries?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "25.510204081632654%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In Congo, who will win the (March) 2021 presidential election?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In Chad, who will win the (April) 2021 presidential election?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In Somalia, who will win the (Feb) 2021 presidential election? ",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=AFR",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "When will worldwide commercial air traffic rise back above 100,000 flights per day?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, who will succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as prime minister of Israel?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, how much will the arctic sea ice shrink?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Who will succeed Angela Merkel as chancellor of Germany?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=INT",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "When will the FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=COV",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Which threshold will gold prices (per ounce) reach first? ",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "44.554455445544555%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "What will be the closing share price of GameStop (GME) on Feb. 26, 2021?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Which threshold will the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit first?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "53.92156862745098%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Which threshold will the French index CAC 40 hit first?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "59%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "Will the new Bond film \"No Time to Die\" be released in 2021?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "94%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "In 2021, will the Olympic Games take place?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=ECO",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": true,
|
||||
"Percentage": "62%"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q1 2021?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2021?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "What will be the year-over-year growth rate of U.S. Nominal GDP in Q4 2022?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "As of April 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "As of July 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "As of October 1, 2021, how many million individuals in the United-States will have received at least one dose of an FDA-approved Covid-19 vaccine?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 3 per million people?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 1 per million people?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
},
|
||||
{
|
||||
"Title": "When will new confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the USA (7-day rolling average) first drop below 0.1 per million people?",
|
||||
"URL": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
"Platform": "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?": false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
}
|
||||
]
|
||||
141
src/hypermind-fetch.js
Normal file
141
src/hypermind-fetch.js
Normal file
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,141 @@
|
|||
/* Imports */
|
||||
import fs from 'fs'
|
||||
import axios from "axios"
|
||||
|
||||
/* Definitions */
|
||||
let hypermindEnpoint1 = 'https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/jsx.json'
|
||||
|
||||
/* Support Functions */
|
||||
function sleep(ms) {
|
||||
return new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, ms));
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
function getcookie(){
|
||||
try {
|
||||
let rawcookie = fs.readFileSync("./src/privatekeys.json")
|
||||
let cookie = JSON.parse(rawcookie).hypermindcookie
|
||||
if(cookie == undefined){
|
||||
throw new Error('No cookie for Hypermind!');
|
||||
}
|
||||
return cookie
|
||||
} catch(error) {
|
||||
console.log("Error: No cookies for Hypermind on src/privatekeys.json! See the README.md")
|
||||
process.exit()
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
async function fetchHypermindData1(slug){
|
||||
let response = await axios("https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/jsx.json", {
|
||||
"credentials": "omit",
|
||||
"headers": {
|
||||
"User-Agent": "",
|
||||
"Accept": "*/*",
|
||||
"Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.5",
|
||||
"Content-Type": "application/x-www-form-urlencoded; charset=UTF-8"
|
||||
},
|
||||
"referrer": `https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list=${slug}`,
|
||||
"data": `jsx=%5B%5B%22dataMgr%22%2C%22getGQList%22%2C%7B%22listName%22%3A%20%22${slug}%22%2C%22format%22%3A%20%7B%22props%22%3A%20true%2C%22posts%22%3A%20true%2C%22cond%22%3A%20%7B%22props%22%3A%20true%2C%22otcm%22%3A%20%7B%22tradingHistory%22%3A%20true%2C%22props%22%3A%20true%7D%7D%2C%22otcm%22%3A%20%7B%22tradingHistory%22%3A%20true%2C%22props%22%3A%20true%7D%7D%7D%5D%5D`,
|
||||
"method": "POST",
|
||||
"mode": "cors"
|
||||
}).then(resp => resp.data[0].questions)
|
||||
return response
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
async function fetchHypermindData2(){
|
||||
let response = await axios("https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp-jsx/jsx.json", {
|
||||
"credentials": "include",
|
||||
"headers": {
|
||||
"User-Agent": "",
|
||||
"Accept": "*/*",
|
||||
"Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.5",
|
||||
"Content-Type": "application/json; charset=UTF-8",
|
||||
"Cookie": getcookie()
|
||||
},
|
||||
"referrer": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html?inFrame=true",
|
||||
"data": `[["showcase","queryIFPs",{"query":{"showcaseOnly":true},"fmt":{"stats":true,"crowdFcstHist":true}}]]`,
|
||||
"method": "POST",
|
||||
"mode": "cors"
|
||||
}).then(resp => resp.data[0])
|
||||
return response
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
async function fetchHypermindData3(){
|
||||
let response = await axios("https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp-jsx/jsx.json", {
|
||||
"credentials": "include",
|
||||
"headers": {
|
||||
"User-Agent": "",
|
||||
"Accept": "*/*",
|
||||
"Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.5",
|
||||
"Content-Type": "application/json; charset=UTF-8",
|
||||
"Cookie": getcookie()
|
||||
},
|
||||
"referrer": "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html?inFrame=true",
|
||||
"data": `[["showcase","getShowcase",{"showcase":"Covid19","fmt":{"fcsterCnt":true,"crowdFcst":true,"crowdFcstHist":true}}]]`,
|
||||
"method": "POST",
|
||||
"mode": "cors"
|
||||
})
|
||||
.then(resp => resp.data[0].items)
|
||||
.then(items => items.filter(item => item.type=="IFP"))
|
||||
.then(items => items.map(item => item.IFP))
|
||||
//console.log(response)
|
||||
return response
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
/* Body */
|
||||
export async function hypermind(){
|
||||
let slugs = ["USA", "FRA", "AFR", "INT", "COV", "POL", "ECO"]
|
||||
|
||||
let results1 = []
|
||||
|
||||
for(let slug of slugs){
|
||||
console.log(slug)
|
||||
await sleep(1000 + Math.random()*1000)
|
||||
let result = await fetchHypermindData1(slug)
|
||||
let objs = result.map(res => ({
|
||||
Title: res.props.title.split("%%fr")[0].replace("%%en:", ""),
|
||||
URL: "https://predict.hypermind.com/dash/dash/dash.html?list="+slug,
|
||||
Platform: "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?" : (res.otcms.length==2),
|
||||
"Percentage": (res.otcms.length==2)?res.otcms[0].price +"%": "none"
|
||||
}))
|
||||
results1.push(...objs)
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
||||
console.log("GDP")
|
||||
await sleep(1000 + Math.random()*1000)
|
||||
let results2 = await fetchHypermindData2()
|
||||
let results2processed = results2.map(res => ({
|
||||
Title: res.props.title,
|
||||
URL: "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase/showcase.html",
|
||||
Platform: "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?" : false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
}))
|
||||
|
||||
console.log("COVID-19 OpenPhil")
|
||||
await sleep(1000 + Math.random()*1000)
|
||||
let results3 = await fetchHypermindData3()
|
||||
let results3processed = results3.map(res => ({
|
||||
Title: res.props.title,
|
||||
URL: "https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=Covid19",
|
||||
Platform: "Hypermind",
|
||||
"Binary question?" : false,
|
||||
"Percentage": "none"
|
||||
}))
|
||||
|
||||
let resultsTotal=[...results1, ...results2processed, ...results3processed]
|
||||
|
||||
let distinctTitles = []
|
||||
let resultsTotalUnique = []
|
||||
for(let result of resultsTotal){
|
||||
if(!distinctTitles.includes(result.Title)){
|
||||
resultsTotalUnique.push(result)
|
||||
distinctTitles.push(result.Title)
|
||||
}
|
||||
}
|
||||
console.log(resultsTotalUnique)
|
||||
let string = JSON.stringify(resultsTotalUnique,null, 2)
|
||||
fs.writeFileSync('./data/hypermind-questions.json', string);
|
||||
|
||||
}
|
||||
//hypermind()
|
||||
14
src/index.js
14
src/index.js
|
|
@ -10,12 +10,13 @@ import {metaculus} from "./metaculus-fetch.js"
|
|||
import {polymarket} from "./polymarket-fetch.js"
|
||||
import {predictit} from "./predictit-fetch.js"
|
||||
import {omen} from "./omen-fetch.js"
|
||||
import {hypermind} from "./hypermind-fetch.js"
|
||||
|
||||
/* Definitions */
|
||||
let opts = {}
|
||||
let json2csvParser = new Parser({ transforms: [transforms.flatten()]});
|
||||
//let parse = csv => json2csvParser.parse(csv);
|
||||
let sets = ["template", "elicit", "metaculus", "predictit", "polymarket", "csetforetell", "goodjudmentopen", "omen"]
|
||||
let sets = ["template", "elicit", "metaculus", "predictit", "polymarket", "csetforetell", "goodjudmentopen", "omen", "hypermind"]
|
||||
let suffix = "-questions"
|
||||
let locationData = "./data/"
|
||||
let sleep = (ms) => new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, ms));
|
||||
|
|
@ -86,9 +87,12 @@ let executeoption = async (option) => {
|
|||
omen()
|
||||
break;
|
||||
case 8:
|
||||
coverttocsvandmerge()
|
||||
hypermind()
|
||||
break;
|
||||
case 9:
|
||||
coverttocsvandmerge()
|
||||
break;
|
||||
case 10:
|
||||
await elicit()
|
||||
//await sleep(30000) // The user only has 30secs. Not really ideal.
|
||||
await csetforetell()
|
||||
|
|
@ -97,6 +101,7 @@ let executeoption = async (option) => {
|
|||
await polymarket()
|
||||
await predictit()
|
||||
await omen()
|
||||
await hypermind()
|
||||
await coverttocsvandmerge()
|
||||
break;
|
||||
default:
|
||||
|
|
@ -114,7 +119,8 @@ let whattodoMessage = `What do you want to do?
|
|||
[5]: Download predictions from polymarket
|
||||
[6]: Download predictions from predictit
|
||||
[7]: Download predictions from omen
|
||||
[8]: Convert predictions to csvs and merge them into one big file (requires steps 1-7)
|
||||
[9]: All of the above
|
||||
[8]: Download predictions from hypermind
|
||||
[9]: Convert predictions to csvs and merge them into one big file (requires steps 1-8)
|
||||
[10]: All of the above
|
||||
Choose one option, wisely: #`
|
||||
whattodo(whattodoMessage, executeoption)
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
|
|
@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
|
|||
{
|
||||
"csetforetellcookie": "_cset_prod_fof_session=xxx; landing_url=https://www.cset-foretell.com/; randomization_seed=xxx; remember_user_token=xxx; ",
|
||||
"goodjudmentopencookie": "__cfduid=xxx; _gj_prod_flyover_forecasts_session=xxx; randomization_seed=xxx; referring_url=https://www.gjopen.com/; remember_user_token=xxx;"
|
||||
"goodjudmentopencookie": "__cfduid=xxx; _gj_prod_flyover_forecasts_session=xxx; randomization_seed=xxx; referring_url=https://www.gjopen.com/; remember_user_token=xxx;",
|
||||
"hypermindcookie": "lumAuth=xxxx:yyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy"
|
||||
}
|
||||
|
|
|
|||
Loading…
Reference in New Issue
Block a user