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metaforecast/data/foretold-questions.json

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Added foretold to the mix
2021-03-05 19:54:40 +00:00
[
{
"title": "Hours of 80,000 Hours podcast content released",
"url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0926981c-1cc8-4e21-a3e4-865a3c544e67",
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"description": "",
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"stars": 2
},
{
"title": "% global rate of \"$1.90 a day\" poverty in 2030",
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},
{
"title": "A bioengineering project kills at least five thousand people by 2023-02-15",
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"platform": "Foretold",
"description": "",
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{
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{
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],
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},
{
"title": "A bioengineering project kills at least five people by 2023-02-15",
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},
{
"title": "How many papers will cite \"Logical Induction\" by Garrabrant, S. et al. at the end of 2020?",
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{
"title": "How many papers will cite \"Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems\" by Hubinger, E. et al. at the end of 2020?",
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"description": "",
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{
"title": "Will GiveWell renew the grant to the Centre for Pesticide Suicide Prevention?",
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{
"title": "By the end of 2020, what % of US hens will live in cage-free housing?",
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{
"title": "Will SB 592 clear the California state Assembly?",
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{
"title": "5 cities with at least 50k population implement approval voting by 2022",
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{
"title": "How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2023?",
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{
"title": "How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2022?",
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{
"title": "How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2021?",
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{
"title": "What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to the University of Oxford?",
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{
"title": "What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to UC Berkeley?",
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{
"title": "How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to Global Health and Development between 2020 and 2030?",
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{
"title": "How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to U.S. policy between 2020 and 2030?",
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"description": "",
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{
"title": "How many preregistrations on OSF will there be at the end of 2020?",
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"description": "",
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{
"title": "How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to scientific research between 2020 and 2030?",
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"platform": "Foretold",
"description": "",
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{
"title": "How much in grants will OpenPhil recommend to AI safety between 2020 and 2030?",
"url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/cb1d4afc-7200-48b3-aa75-06e0b4d451b4",
"platform": "Foretold",
"description": "",
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{
"title": "What will the Metaculus community median probability for AI catastrophe by 2100 be in 2030?",
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"description": "",
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"numforecasts": 5,
"stars": 2
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{
"title": "What % of grant dollars made to AI Safety by OpenPhil in 2020 will go to MIRI?",
"url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/7265aead-923a-4a61-957a-be846741a889",
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"description": "",
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{
"title": "How many of Eliezer Yudkowsky, Paul Christiano, Nate Soares, and Dario Amodei will still be working on AI safety by the end of 2029?",
"url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/0b2ff995-6b72-49d3-90b6-e5ba9ebb5781",
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"description": "",
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"stars": 2
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{
"title": "Will MIRI still exist in 2023?",
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"description": "",
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"stars": 2
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{
"title": "How many nuclear warheads will the US have in 2029?",
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"platform": "Foretold",
"description": "",
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"numforecasts": 2,
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{
"title": "Will Good Policies still be running at the end of 2022?",
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"name": "Yes",
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{
"title": "How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2020?",
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{
"title": "How many papers will cite \"Embedded Agency\" by Demski, A. and Garrabrant, S. at the end of 2020?",
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"description": "",
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"numforecasts": 7,
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{
"title": "What percentage of grant dollars from the Global Health and Development EA Fund distributed in 2020 will go towards deworming organisations?",
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"numforecasts": 3,
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{
"title": "When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional whole pieces of farmed animal muscle tissue have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?",
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"numforecasts": 2.5,
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{
"title": "When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional ground meats will have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?",
"url": "https://www.foretold.io/c/0104d8e8-07e4-464b-8b32-74ef22b49f21/m/35caf084-9436-49c3-a046-eea6a8c8bf7a",
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"numforecasts": 4,
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{
"title": "When will more than half of the main broad types of conventional acellular animal products have at least one cost-competitive cultured alternative, in years after 2020?",
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"description": "",
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"numforecasts": 5,
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{
"title": "What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2021?",
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"numforecasts": 4,
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{
"title": "What will the balance + payouts be for the EA Meta Fund at the end of 2021?",
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{
"title": "What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2021?",
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{
"title": "Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2022?",
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"title": "Will the Albert Schweitzer Foundation remain an ACE top charity in 2021?",
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{
"title": "Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2022?",
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"title": "Will Animal Equality remain an ACE top charity in 2021?",
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{
"title": "Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2022?",
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"title": "Will the Good Food Institute remain an ACE top charity in 2021?",
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"title": "Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2022?",
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"title": "Will the Humane League remain an ACE top charity in 2021?",
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"title": "What will the balance + payouts be for the Animal Welfare EA Fund at the end of 2020?",
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"title": "What will the balance + payouts be for the Long Term Future Fund at the end of 2020?",
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"title": "At the end of 2021, will the most cost-effective charity recommended by Givewell be a deworming charity?",
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"title": "How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?",
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Reference in New Issue Copy Permalink