metaforecast/data/ladbrokes-questions.csv

61 lines
58 KiB
Plaintext
Raw Normal View History

"title","url","platform","options","description","numforecasts","stars"
"2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Election Winner","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Donald Trump"",""probability"":0.098426094445168,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump Jnr"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ivanka Trump"",""probability"":0.010283323300241435,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mike Pence"",""probability"":0.0405283918303633,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez"",""probability"":0.010283323300241435,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nikki Haley"",""probability"":0.0405283918303633,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Oprah Winfrey"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""George Clooney"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Pete Buttigieg"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michelle Obama"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Hillary Clinton"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dwayne Johnson"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mark Zuckerberg"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Joe Biden"",""probability"":0.13779653222323524,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Yang"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kanye West"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tulsi Gabbard"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Meghan Markle"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bernie Sanders"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matt Gaetz"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kamala Harris"",""probability"":0.1531072580258169,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michael Bloomberg"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Elizabeth Warren"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bill Gates"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Joe Rogan"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rick Scott"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Marco Rubio"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ron DeSantis"",""probability"":0.03280869814838934,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Joe Kennedy Iii"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Charlie Baker"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Beto O'Rourke"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ted Cruz"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mitt Romney"",""probability"":0.010283323300241435,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Amy Klobuchar"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nina Turner"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stacey Abrams"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dan Crenshaw"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Chris Christie"",""probability"":0.006821610506100754,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tucker Carlson"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Cuomo"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Josh Hawley"",""probability"":0.013509463943454434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Condoleezza Rice"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Katie Porter"",""probability"":0.0034277744334138115,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tom Cotton"",""probability"":0.010283323300241435,""type"":""PROBA
"2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Republican Nominee","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Tom Cotton"",""probability"":0.028769063338197235,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump"",""probability"":0.186998911698282,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mike Pence"",""probability"":0.05753812667639447,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nikki Haley"",""probability"":0.093499455849141,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ted Cruz"",""probability"":0.03561884032348229,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matt Gaetz"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ivanka Trump"",""probability"":0.028769063338197235,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump Jnr"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Marco Rubio"",""probability"":0.028769063338197235,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tucker Carlson"",""probability"":0.028769063338197235,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Charlie Baker"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Josh Hawley"",""probability"":0.03561884032348229,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mitt Romney"",""probability"":0.021999871964503766,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dan Crenshaw"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kanye West"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Chris Christie"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Devin Nunes"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greg Abbott"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Larry Hogan"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Paul Ryan"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kimberly Guilfoyle"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mike Pompeo"",""probability"":0.028769063338197235,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Richard Grenell"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kayleigh McEnany"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rand Paul"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jared Kushner"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Eric Trump"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Lara Trump"",""probability"":0.0037213713770802392,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""John Kasich"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Susan Collins"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sidney Powell"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kristi Noem"",""probability"":0.04399974392900753,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rick Scott"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ron DeSantis"",""probability"":0.06799960425392074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Gabriel Sterling"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mike Lindell"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Marjorie Taylor Greene"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jim Justice"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""John James"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ben Sasse"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sarah Palin"",""probability"":0.007405897493001268,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Candace Owens"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tim Scott"",""probability"":0.014666581309669177,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2024 US Presidential Election: 2024 Democratic Nominee","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Michelle Obama"",""probability"":0.02658891439825921,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Joe Biden"",""probability"":0.3013410298469377,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kamala Harris"",""probability"":0.31499062353338436,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez"",""probability"":0.03477011882849281,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Cuomo"",""probability"":0.008950723658819932,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Elizabeth Warren"",""probability"":0.04304871854956253,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Amy Klobuchar"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Hillary Clinton"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tulsi Gabbard"",""probability"":0.013492881933444972,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Yang"",""probability"":0.02658891439825921,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bernie Sanders"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Pete Buttigieg"",""probability"":0.04304871854956253,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Beto O'Rourke"",""probability"":0.013492881933444972,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bill Gates"",""probability"":0.008950723658819932,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Katie Porter"",""probability"":0.008950723658819932,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Meghan Markle"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Gavin Newsom"",""probability"":0.008950723658819932,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Gretchen Whitmer"",""probability"":0.013492881933444972,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Cory Booker"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tammy Duckworth"",""probability"":0.013492881933444972,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""John Ossoff"",""probability"":0.017725942932172806,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Oprah Winfrey"",""probability"":0.013492881933444972,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2024 US Presidential Election: Winning Party","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Democrats"",""probability"":0.49722140976893836,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Republicans"",""probability"":0.47484644632933615,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Independent"",""probability"":0.027932143901725656,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2024 US Presidential Election: Republican Ticket (Nominee + VP)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Hawley + Haley"",""probability"":0.04277908454782048,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + Pence"",""probability"":0.16859992145317484,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + Ivanka Trump"",""probability"":0.08513461380308829,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Carlson + Ivanka Trump"",""probability"":0.04277908454782048,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + Hawley"",""probability"":0.16859992145317484,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Hawley + Donald Trump Jr"",""probability"":0.034257354558214805,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump Jr + Hawley"",""probability"":0.034257354558214805,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + Taylor Greene"",""probability"":0.04277908454782048,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + DeSantis"",""probability"":0.2528998821797622,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump + Noem"",""probability"":0.08513461380308829,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""DeSantis + Noem"",""probability"":0.04277908454782048,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next German Chancellor: To Replace Merkel As Chancellor","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Markus Söder"",""probability"":0.452482924641184,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Olaf Scholz"",""probability"":0.04115439933641245,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Annalena Baerbock"",""probability"":0.04115439933641245,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alice Weidel"",""probability"":0.008556855307570905,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jens Spahn"",""probability"":0.04115439933641245,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Armin Laschet"",""probability"":0.3646592346264394,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Robert Habeck"",""probability"":0.05083778741556832,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next French Presidential Election: To Win","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Xavier Bertrand"",""probability"":0.03628080539252678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Francois Baroin"",""probability"":0.03628080539252678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bernard Cazeneuve"",""probability"":0.022408732742443014,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nicolas Sarkozy"",""probability"":0.029303727432425482,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michel Barnier"",""probability"":0.03628080539252678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Lisnard"",""probability"":0.014939155161628677,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Marion Marechal"",""probability"":0.014939155161628677,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ségolène Royal"",""probability"":0.029303727432425482,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Valerie Pecresse"",""probability"":0.022408732742443014,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Emmanuel Macron"",""probability"":0.4562256965527321,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Marine Le Pen"",""probability"":0.16931042516512498,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jean-Luc Melenchon"",""probability"":0.03628080539252678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Anne Hidalgo"",""probability"":0.03628080539252678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laurent Wauquiez"",""probability"":0.022408732742443014,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nicolas Dupont-Aignan"",""probability"":0.022408732742443014,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Benoit Hamon"",""probability"":0.014939155161628677,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2022 Texas Gubernatorial Election: To Win","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Beto O'Rourke"",""probability"":0.21794871794871795,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greg Abbott"",""probability"":0.6538461538461539,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matthew McConaughey"",""probability"":0.019230769230769232,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Julian Castro"",""probability"":0.10897435897435898,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2021 German Federal Election: Most Seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""AfD"",""probability"":0.017844886753603295,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""CDU + CSU"",""probability"":0.8750857927247769,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greens"",""probability"":0.05353466026080989,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""SPD"",""probability"":0.05353466026080989,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2021 NYC Mayoral Election: Election Winner - Void if no 2021 election","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Andrew Yang"",""probability"":0.5017152370016653,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Curtis Silwa"",""probability"":0.008593736237751295,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Eric Adams"",""probability"":0.21699184000322022,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Maya Wiley"",""probability"":0.09644081777920897,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ray McGuire"",""probability"":0.05105690353016946,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Scott Stringer"",""probability"":0.07890612363753463,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Shaun Donovan"",""probability"":0.03338336000049542,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Donald Trump"",""probability"":0.004318245572203387,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Giuliani"",""probability"":0.008593736237751295,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Tees Valley Mayoral Election: To Win","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Ben Houchen (Cons)"",""probability"":0.75,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jessie Joe Jacobs (Lab)"",""probability"":0.25,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Labour Party Leader: To Succeed Keir Starmer","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Andy Burnham"",""probability"":0.07353039962596515,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Angela Rayner"",""probability"":0.07353039962596515,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Miliband"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Lisa Nandy"",""probability"":0.07353039962596515,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rebecca Long-Bailey"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sadiq Khan"",""probability"":0.07353039962596515,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laura Pidcock"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dan Jarvis"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Yvette Cooper"",""probability"":0.038515923613600796,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ed Miliband"",""probability"":0.023789246937812255,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jeremy Corbyn"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Richard Burgon"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dawn Butler"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Clive Lewis"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dan Carden"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Zarah Sultana"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Emily Thornberry"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jonathan Ashworth"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Cat Smith"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ian Lavery"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Barry Gardiner"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stephen Kinnock"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Hilary Benn"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stella Creasy"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Janet Daby"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Anneliese Dodds"",""probability"":0.023789246937812255,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rachel Reeves"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rosie Duffield"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nia Griffith"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Louise Haigh"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liz Kendall"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Peter Kyle"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Lammy"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Seema Malhotra"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alison McGovern"",""probability"":0.012072155162471891,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jim McMahon"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Chi Onwurah"",""probability"":0.012072155162471891,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kate Osamor"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matthew Pennycook"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jess Phillips"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bridget Phillipson"",""probability"":0.015859497958541503,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Lucy Powell"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ellie Reeves"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jonathan Reynolds"",""probability"":0.008008261345402145,""type"":""PROBABILI
"Next Labour Party Leader: When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Labour Party leader?","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""2021"",""probability"":0.1569111315319408,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2022"",""probability"":0.1448410444910223,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2023"",""probability"":0.1344952555988064,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2024 or later"",""probability"":0.5637525683782305,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK Prime Minister: Next PM (Acting PM or similar will not count)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Eddie Hughes"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rishi Sunak"",""probability"":0.21196616150341224,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andy Burnham"",""probability"":0.01454669735807731,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sadiq Khan"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Grant Shapps"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laurence Fox"",""probability"":0.0014808015274689478,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Graham Brady"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Neil O'Brien"",""probability"":0.011072859183014072,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Theresa May"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nadhim Zahawi"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kwasi Kwarteng"",""probability"":0.011072859183014072,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jacob Rees-Mogg"",""probability"":0.01454669735807731,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jeremy Corbyn"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jeremy Hunt"",""probability"":0.057067812712457144,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Keir Starmer"",""probability"":0.1854703913154857,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nigel Farage"",""probability"":0.01454669735807731,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Penny Mordaunt"",""probability"":0.011072859183014072,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rebecca Long-Bailey"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rory Stewart"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sajid Javid"",""probability"":0.021820046037115966,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Emily Thornberry"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Angela Rayner"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""James Cleverly"",""probability"":0.01809467232346202,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dominic Raab"",""probability"":0.03532769358390204,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tom Tugendhat"",""probability"":0.01454669735807731,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Johnny Mercer"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ruth Davidson"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liz Truss"",""probability"":0.028533906356228572,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michael Gove"",""probability"":0.06744377866017663,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matt Hancock"",""probability"":0.021820046037115966,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Priti Patel"",""probability"":0.028533906356228572,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Gavin Williamson"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Geoffrey Cox"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""John McDonnell"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Yvette Cooper"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Lisa Nandy"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Steve Baker"",""probability"":0.01454669735807731,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tobia Ellwood"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Steve Barclay"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Damian Hinds"",""probability"":0.007345362032296464,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Davis"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrea Leadsom"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kemi Badenoch"",""probability"":0.011072859183014072,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrea Jenkyns"",""probability"":0.0036909530610046907
"West Yorkshire Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Andrew Cooper (Green)"",""probability"":0.00915359010936757,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bob Buxton (Yorkshire Party)"",""probability"":0.00915359010936757,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stewart Golton (LD)"",""probability"":0.00915359010936757,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tracy Brabin (Lab)"",""probability"":0.8404660009510223,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matthew Robinson (Cons)"",""probability"":0.13207322872087493,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Sadiq Khan (Lab)"",""probability"":0.877670711241192,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Shaun Bailey (Cons)"",""probability"":0.05369279645240234,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sian Berry (Green)"",""probability"":0.009037401383077622,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Kurten (Heritage)"",""probability"":0.003636563903150756,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Farah London (Ind)"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Luisa Porritt (Lib Dem)"",""probability"":0.004541181789506666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Brian Rose (Ind)"",""probability"":0.02684639822620117,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mandu Reid (WEP)"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Peter Gammons (UKIP)"",""probability"":0.003636563903150756,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Piers Corbyn"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nims Obunge (Ind)"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Count Binface"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""DrillMinister"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Winston McKenzie"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kam Balayev (Renew)"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laurence Fox (Reclaim)"",""probability"":0.004541181789506666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Max Fosh (Ind)"",""probability"":0.0018219112568679434,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan R1 Vote Share","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Under 35%"",""probability"":0.04261025029797378,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""35-40%"",""probability"":0.08134684147794995,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""40-45%"",""probability"":0.2753277711561383,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""45-50%"",""probability"":0.3253873659117998,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Over 50%"",""probability"":0.2753277711561383,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Winner without Sadiq Khan","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Brian Rose"",""probability"":0.04122517504215602,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Shaun Bailey"",""probability"":0.8245035008431204,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sian Berry"",""probability"":0.04122517504215602,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Luisa Porritt"",""probability"":0.033297256764818324,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mandu Reid"",""probability"":0.008571571048369074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Kurten"",""probability"":0.008571571048369074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Peter Gammons"",""probability"":0.008571571048369074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Farah London"",""probability"":0.008571571048369074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laurence Fox"",""probability"":0.025462608114272835,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Most votes match bet","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Max Fosh"",""probability"":0.25,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laurence Fox"",""probability"":0.75,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Boris Johnson Specials: When will Johnson be replaced as PM? (1st Instance Only)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""2021"",""probability"":0.15682281059063136,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2022"",""probability"":0.1710794297352342,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2023 or later"",""probability"":0.6720977596741344,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Boris Johnson Specials: Leader at Next General Election?","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""To be Tory leader at next general election"",""probability"":0.5263157894736842,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""NOT to be Tory leader at next general election"",""probability"":0.47368421052631576,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Most Seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Conservatives"",""probability"":0.08506316571711667,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour"",""probability"":0.8506316571711666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liberal Democrats"",""probability"":0.009264305177111716,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Plaid Cymru"",""probability"":0.055040871934604906,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2021 Welsh Assembly Elections: Majority Betting (over 30 Seats)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Labour Majority"",""probability"":0.2903930131004367,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""NO Labour Majority"",""probability"":0.7096069868995633,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Independence Referendum: Year Of Next Official Referendum (Sanctioned by UK and Scottish Governments)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""2022"",""probability"":0.22419928825622776,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2023"",""probability"":0.09964412811387899,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2024"",""probability"":0.09964412811387899,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Not before 2025"",""probability"":0.4483985765124555,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2021"",""probability"":0.1281138790035587,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Most Seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Reform UK"",""probability"":0.009226975008890151,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Conservatives"",""probability"":0.5580386083220991,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greens"",""probability"":0.004636440178596543,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour"",""probability"":0.41418865595462456,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liberal Democrats"",""probability"":0.01390932053578963,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Year of next election","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""2021"",""probability"":0.04429530201342282,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2022"",""probability"":0.08456375838926175,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2023"",""probability"":0.20671140939597316,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""2024 or later"",""probability"":0.6644295302013423,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Overall Majority","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Conservative Majoirity"",""probability"":0.31460674157303375,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour Majority"",""probability"":0.23595505617977533,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No Overall Majority"",""probability"":0.44943820224719105,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish First Minister: Next Scottish First Minister","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Jackson Carlaw"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Douglas Ross"",""probability"":0.04879191719970918,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michelle Ballantyne"",""probability"":0.003304631842211379,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Monica Lennon"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alex Salmond"",""probability"":0.01626397239990306,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Anas Sarwar"",""probability"":0.02439595859985459,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andy Murray"",""probability"":0.0016556139568763592,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Angus Robertson"",""probability"":0.13824376539917602,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Coburn"",""probability"":0.0016556139568763592,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Derek Mackay"",""probability"":0.02439595859985459,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Humza Yousaf"",""probability"":0.0638048147996197,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jeane Freeman"",""probability"":0.01626397239990306,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""John Swinney"",""probability"":0.11849465605643658,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Keith Brown"",""probability"":0.0638048147996197,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mhairi Black"",""probability"":0.03190240739980985,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michael Matheson"",""probability"":0.012380038692463523,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Neil Findlay"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Peter Murrell"",""probability"":0.012380038692463523,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Pete Wishart"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Philippa Whitford"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ruth Davidson"",""probability"":0.03190240739980985,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Shona Robison"",""probability"":0.01626397239990306,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stewart Hosie"",""probability"":0.01626397239990306,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Stuart Campbell"",""probability"":0.0016556139568763592,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tasmin Ahmed-Sheikh"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tommy Sheppard"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Willie Rennie"",""probability"":0.008212500914802535,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Richard Leonard"",""probability"":0.004126679564154508,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kate Forbes"",""probability"":0.11849465605643658,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ash Denham"",""probability"":0.01626397239990306,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Shirley-Anne Somerville"",""probability"":0.03190240739980985,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michael Russell"",""probability"":0.03190240739980985,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Joanna Cherry"",""probability"":0.07540569021773237,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrew Wilson"",""probability"":0.012380038692463523,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Reform UK"",""probability"":0.0046980793146331355,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""SNP"",""probability"":0.9349642992487724,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour"",""probability"":0.018515959651789416,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Conservatives"",""probability"":0.027773939477684122,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greens"",""probability"":0.0046980793146331355,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liberal Democrats"",""probability"":0.009349642992487724,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Majority Betting","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""SNP Majority"",""probability"":0.625,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No SNP Majority"",""probability"":0.375,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Most Seats - Second Place","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""SNP"",""probability"":0.026311219173324074,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour"",""probability"":0.2981938172976728,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Conservatives"",""probability"":0.6577804793331018,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Greens"",""probability"":0.008857242097950678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liberal Democrats"",""probability"":0.008857242097950678,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Constituency Vote Share","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Under 40%"",""probability"":0.04261988406540638,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""40-45%"",""probability"":0.12785965219621914,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""45-50%"",""probability"":0.341609757776158,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""50-55%"",""probability"":0.341609757776158,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""55-60%"",""probability"":0.11187719567169174,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Over 60%"",""probability"":0.0344237525143667,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Will Nicola Sturgeon be First Minister on 1st Jan 2022?","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.75,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.25,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: SNP Total Seats Over/Under","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Over"",""probability"":0.5,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Under"",""probability"":0.5,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Scottish Parliamentary Election: Edinburgh Central","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""SNP"",""probability"":0.608410155137639,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Labour"",""probability"":0.07964642030892728,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Conservatives"",""probability"":0.2695724995071385,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liberal Democrats"",""probability"":0.00867436260790297,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Scottish Greens"",""probability"":0.033696562438392315,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Andy Burnham (Lab)"",""probability"":0.947622401810383,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Laura Evans (Cons)"",""probability"":0.02842867205431149,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Melanie Horrocks (Green)"",""probability"":0.009570048018283076,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Simon Lepori (ld)"",""probability"":0.009570048018283076,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nick Buckley (Reform)"",""probability"":0.004808830098739257,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next Conservative Party Leader: Next Permanent Leader","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Dehenna Davison"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rishi Sunak"",""probability"":0.20231888744285167,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nickie Aiken"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Lee Anderson"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Claire Coutinho"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Darren Henry"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Alicia Kearns"",""probability"":0.0030196848872067416,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nicola Richards"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Brandon Lewis"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Eddie Hughes"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Victoria Atkins"",""probability"":0.009059054661620224,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Suella Braverman"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Neil O'Brien"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Theresa May"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kwasi Kwarteng"",""probability"":0.017851666539075148,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Dominic Raab"",""probability"":0.046688974025273465,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jacob Rees-Mogg"",""probability"":0.017851666539075148,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""James Cleverly"",""probability"":0.017851666539075148,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jeremy Hunt"",""probability"":0.06743962914761722,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Johnny Mercer"",""probability"":0.009059054661620224,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Penny Mordaunt"",""probability"":0.017851666539075148,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Rory Stewart"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ruth Davidson"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Sajid Javid"",""probability"":0.023344487012636733,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tom Tugendhat"",""probability"":0.023344487012636733,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liz Truss"",""probability"":0.035703333078150296,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Nigel Farage"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Matt Hancock"",""probability"":0.02890269820612167,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Priti Patel"",""probability"":0.02890269820612167,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Michael Gove"",""probability"":0.06743962914761722,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Gavin Williamson"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Steve Baker"",""probability"":0.017851666539075148,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Geoffrey Cox"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kemi Badenoch"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrea Jenkyns"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Tobias Ellwood"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Bim Afolami"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Helen Whately"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Steve Barclay"",""probability"":0.011901111026050099,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Damian Hinds"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""David Davis"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Kit Malthouse"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Mark Harper"",""probability"":0.009059054661620224,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Andrea Leadsom"",""probability"":0.006009471904243119,""type"":""PROBA
"West Midlands Mayoral Election: 2021 Election Winner (Void if no 2021 election)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","Ladbrokes","[{""name"":""Andy Street (Cons)"",""probability"":0.6997822270433548,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Jenny Wilkinson (LD)"",""probability"":0.009214954078887743,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Liam Byrne (Lab)"",""probability"":0.2863724190669729,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""Ashvir Sangha (Ind)"",""probability"":0.004630399810784388,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Biden to leave office in 1st term via Impeachment, Resignation or 25th Amendment","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.38167938931297707,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.6183206106870229,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Biden to serve full 1st term","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.6666666666666666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.33333333333333337,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to be elected President as a third party candidate","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.0196078431372549,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9803921568627451,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"2024 US Presidential Election: Donald Trump to run and win with over 75% of popular vote","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.009900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Sadiq Khan NOT to win","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.09090909090909091,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9090909090909091,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Brian Rose to get over 5% of vote","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.16666666666666666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.8333333333333334,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Shaun Bailey to get under 25% of R1 Vote","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.4444444444444444,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.5555555555555556,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"London Mayoral Election: Laurence Fox to get over 5% of vote","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.16666666666666666,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.8333333333333334,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Conservatives to increase their majority from 2019 (80 seats)","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.2,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.8,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Conservatives Do Not Win Most Seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.5,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.5,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Conservatives fail to win a majority","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.7518796992481203,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.24812030075187974,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Next UK General Election: Lib Dems to win over 25 seats","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.4444444444444444,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.5555555555555556,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Dehenna Davison to become UK PM before 2060","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.009900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"UK to rejoin EU before end 2025","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.058823529411764705,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9411764705882353,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Rishi Sunak to become PM before next general election","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.2222222222222222,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.7777777777777778,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"David Lammy to be UK PM before end 2040","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.004975124378109453,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9950248756218906,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Marcus Rashford To Become Uk Pm Before 2060","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.009900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Libertarian Party to win US Presidential election before 2041","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.0196078431372549,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9803921568627451,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Nigel Farage to become UK PM in 2021","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.004975124378109453,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9950248756218906,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Amanda Gorman to be elected US President in 2036","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.009900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9900990099009901,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Marcus Rashford to become a UK MP before 2060","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.029411764705882353,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9705882352941176,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2
"Piers Morgan to become PM before 2040","https://sports.ladbrokes.com/event/politics/","LadBrokes","[{""name"":""Yes"",""probability"":0.004975124378109453,""type"":""PROBABILITY""},{""name"":""No"",""probability"":0.9950248756218906,""type"":""PROBABILITY""}]",,,2