Update Shapley.md
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@ -120,12 +120,16 @@ On a meta-level, we have seen two cases which are not smoothly handled when thin
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On the Aaron Schwarz case, the sum of the counterfactual impacts exceeded the impact of the thing. In general, if you have n people which are all needed to make a project work, the counterfactual value will far exceed the impact of the project. Further, if you assign status to the counterfactual impact of a thing, perverse incentives may arise, with advice such as "make yourself indispensable", and the [bus factor](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bus_factor) might increase. The Shapley value handles those cases more smoothly.
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## Ideas for Charity Entrepeneurship.
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## How does this apply to Charity Entrepeneurship?
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Intuitively, if a group of people are maximizing their counterfactual impact, a failure mode might be to converge on complex projects in which each part is indispensable (because then every member has as a counterfactual the failure of the whole project). If instead they are looking to maximize their Shapley value, smaller projects which have more (total impact / number of people involved) will get filled first, and more impact will result overall.
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Similarly, Charity Entrepeneurship is creating NGOs. An important question to ask is: Is a given project still worth it if, instead of getting the counterfactual impact, we get (counterfactual impact / number of organizations involved) ~ Shapley Values?
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This is applicable to, for example: mental health interventions, sending reminder text messages to parents of children due for their immunizations, but not applicable to: fortifying flour with iron and folic acid, salt iodization.
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This is applicable to, for example: mental health interventions, sending reminder text messages to parents of children due for their immunizations, conditional cash transfers, but not applicable to: fortifying flour with iron and folic acid, salt iodization.
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![](http://www.charityentrepreneurship.com/uploads/1/0/7/2/10726656/299112185.png)
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Suggestion: In the above image, add a factor for where in the spectrum [wholly responsible for something - another link in a very large chain] a new charity falls.
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## Open Philantropy example
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