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# Analysis of some predictions about the 2018 EA Survey # Analysis of some predictions about the 2018 EA Survey
Note: Conclusions unsure, because I don't know whether the target interval is 80 or 60%
## Introduction. ## Introduction.
Some effective altruists made predictions about the 2018 EA Survey: a survey which aims to reach most people within the effective altruism movement. Here, I present the set up for the prediction making, the questions, and explain some judgement calls I made when judging the answers. Everything is written such that you can play along. Some effective altruists made predictions about the 2018 EA Survey: a survey which aims to reach most people within the effective altruism movement. Here, I present the set up for the prediction making, the questions, and explain some judgement calls I made when judging the answers. Everything is written such that you can play along.