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Why is this relevant to Effective Altruism?
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Why is this relevant to Effective Altruism?
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- Some items are immediately relevant (e.g., forecasts of famine).
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- Some items are immediately relevant (e.g., forecasts of famine).
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- Others are projects whose success I'm cheering for, and which I think have the potential to do great amounts of good (e.g., Replication Markets).
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- Others are projects whose success I'm cheering for, and which I think have the potential to do great amounts of good (e.g., Replication Markets).
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- The remaining are relevant to the extent that cross-polination of ideas is valuable.
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- The remaining are relevant to the extent that cross-pollination of ideas is valuable.
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- Forecasting may become a powerful tool for world-optimization, and EAs may want to avail themselves of this tool.
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- Forecasting may become a powerful tool for world-optimization, and EAs may want to avail themselves of this tool.
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## LessWrong:
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## LessWrong:
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Same as above, but replace links
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A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations. Feel free to use this post as a forecasting open thread.
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- You can sign up [here](https://mailchi.mp/18fccca46f83/forecastingnewsletter).
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- You can also see this post on the EA Forum [here]()
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- And the post is archived [here](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/)
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Whatever happened to forecasting? May 2020
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Whatever happened to forecasting? May 2020
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====================================================
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====================================================
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A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations; feedback is welcome.
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- You can sign up [here](https://mailchi.mp/18fccca46f83/forecastingnewsletter).
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- You can also see this post on the EA forum [here](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TDssNnJsZmiLkhzC4/forecasting-newsletter-may-2020), or in LessWrong [here](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/M45QmAKGJWxuuiSbQ/forecasting-newsletter-may-2020)
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## Index
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## Index
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- Prediction Markets & Forecasting platforms.
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- Prediction Markets & Forecasting platforms.
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- Augur.
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- Augur.
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## A Forecasting Newsletter
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## A Forecasting Newsletter
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A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. You can sign up [here](https://mailchi.mp/18fccca46f83/forecastingnewsletter). The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations.
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A forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting. You can sign up [here](https://mailchi.mp/18fccca46f83/forecastingnewsletter). The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least five more iterations.
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## Past history
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## Past history
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- [March 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/March2020) (proof of concept)
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- [March 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/March2020) (proof of concept)
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- [April 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/April2020) (experimental)
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- [April 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/April2020) (experimental)
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- [May 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/May2020)
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