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Updated newsletter & index

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A monthly forecasting newsletter with a focus on experimental forecasting. You can sign up [here](https://forecasting.substack.com/). Also available on the [EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7). A monthly forecasting newsletter with a focus on experimental forecasting. You can sign up [here](https://forecasting.substack.com/). Also available on the [EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7).
From December 2020 onwards, this newsletter lives on [forecasting.substack.com](https://forecasting.substack.com/) From December 2020 onwards, this newsletter lives on [forecasting.substack.com](https://forecasting.substack.com/).
## Past history ## Past history
- [March 2021](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-march-2021)
- [February 2021.](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-february-2021) - [February 2021.](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-february-2021)
- [January 2021.](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-january-2021) - [January 2021.](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-january-2021)
- [2020: Forecasting in Review](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/2020-forecasting-in-review) - [2020: Forecasting in Review](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/2020-forecasting-in-review)

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5. [Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates) 5. [Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates)
6. [Amplifying generalist research via forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting) 6. [Amplifying generalist research via forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting)
7. [Shapley Values: Better Than Counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) & [Shapley Values and Philanthropic Coordination Theory](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) & [A Shapley Value Calculator](http://shapleyvalue.com/) 7. [Shapley Values: Better Than Counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) & [Shapley Values and Philanthropic Coordination Theory](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) & [A Shapley Value Calculator](http://shapleyvalue.com/)
8. [Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850)](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment) & [Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail?](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics) 8. [Estimating Value](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/AbrRsXM2PrCrPShuZ) Sequence.
9. [Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of) 9. [Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems)](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6bSjRezJDxR2omHKE/real-life-examples-of-prediction-systems-interfering-with)
10. [Past Pandemics](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/PastPandemics) 10. [Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850)](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment) & [Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail?](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics)
## Recent ## Recent
[Forecasting Newsletter: March 2021](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-march-2021)
[Introducing Metaforecast: A Forecast Aggregator and Search Tool](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tEo5oXeSNcB3sYr8m/introducing-metaforecast-a-forecast-aggregator-and-search)
[Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pqphZhx2nJocGCpwc/relative-impact-of-the-first-10-ea-forum-prize-winners)
[Forecasting Newsletter: February 2021](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-february-2021)
[Metaforecast: A search engine for probabilities](https://metaforecast.org/) [Metaforecast: A search engine for probabilities](https://metaforecast.org/)
[Forecasting Newsletter: January 2021](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vPN6owJYiXPwxy5om/forecasting-newsletter-january-2021) [Forecasting Newsletter: January 2021](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-january-2021)
[A Funnel for Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iRA4Dd2bfX9nukSo3/a-funnel-for-cause-candidates) [A Funnel for Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iRA4Dd2bfX9nukSo3/a-funnel-for-cause-candidates)
[2020: Forecasting in Review](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8shCj2eoQygQvtoZP/2020-forecasting-in-review) [2020: Forecasting in Review](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/2020-forecasting-in-review)
[Forecasting Newsletter: December 2020](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-december-2020) [Forecasting Newsletter: December 2020](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-december-2020)
[Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates) [Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates)
[Q: Un programa para escribir y analizar poemas](https://blogdelecturadenuno.blogspot.com/2020/12/q-un-programa-para-escribir-y-analizar-poemas-y-poesia.html) (es) [Q: Un programa para escribir y analizar poemas](https://blogdelecturadenuno.blogspot.com/2020/12/q-un-programa-para-escribir-y-analizar-poemas-y-poesia.html) (es)
[Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems)](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6bSjRezJDxR2omHKE/real-life-examples-of-prediction-systems-interfering-with)
## Effective Altruism & Rationality ## Effective Altruism & Rationality