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## Best of ## Highlights
1. [A prior for technological discontinuities](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FaCqw2x59ZFhMXJr9/a-prior-for-technological-discontinuities) 1. [A prior for technological discontinuities](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FaCqw2x59ZFhMXJr9/a-prior-for-technological-discontinuities)
2. [Labor, Capital, and the Optimal Growth of Social Movements](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/MovementBuildingForUtilityMaximizers.pdf) 2. [Labor, Capital, and the Optimal Growth of Social Movements](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/MovementBuildingForUtilityMaximizers.pdf)
3. [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7) 3. [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7)
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### [On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere) ### [On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere)
[Prizes in the EA Forum and LW](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA) [Prizes in the EA Forum and LW](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA)
[Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8oeKNKqYzwgJ4mCNS/forecasting-newsletter-august-2020) [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8oeKNKqYzwgJ4mCNS/forecasting-newsletter-august-2020)
[Thoughts on EA literature](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bc8J5P938BmzBuL9Y/when-can-writing-fiction-change-the-world?commentId=RnEpvpozD5tEEsM9b)
[International Supply Chain Accountability](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ME4zE34KBSYnt6hGp/new-top-ea-cause-international-supply-chain-accountability) [International Supply Chain Accountability](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ME4zE34KBSYnt6hGp/new-top-ea-cause-international-supply-chain-accountability)
[A review of two books on survey-making](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DCcciuLxRveSkBng2/a-review-of-two-books-on-survey-making) [A review of two books on survey-making](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DCcciuLxRveSkBng2/a-review-of-two-books-on-survey-making)
[A glowing review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S3vAPRp2XQ9BdDbPz/a-glowing-review-of-two-free-online-mit-global-poverty) [A glowing review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S3vAPRp2XQ9BdDbPz/a-glowing-review-of-two-free-online-mit-global-poverty)
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[Accuracy of Ray Kurzweil’s predictions for the 2010s](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/KurzweilPredictionsForThe2010s.html) [Accuracy of Ray Kurzweil’s predictions for the 2010s](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/KurzweilPredictionsForThe2010s.html)
[Some Data Visualization for Foretold.io's Amplification Experiments](https://observablehq.com/@nunosempere/plots-for-the-amplification-experiment) [Some Data Visualization for Foretold.io's Amplification Experiments](https://observablehq.com/@nunosempere/plots-for-the-amplification-experiment)
[Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html) [Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html)
[Calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/calibration/)
[100 predicciones](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/100-predicciones-en-100-dias.html) (es) [100 predicciones](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/100-predicciones-en-100-dias.html) (es)
[A practical exercise in p-hacking](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/eamentalhealth/p-hacking.html) [A practical exercise in p-hacking](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/eamentalhealth/p-hacking.html)
[List of TAPs](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/list-of-taps.html) [List of TAPs](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/list-of-taps.html)
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[Paradox Party](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/paradox-party.html) [Paradox Party](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/paradox-party.html)
[Crocker's rules](https://nunosempere.github.io/) [Crocker's rules](https://nunosempere.github.io/)
[¿Siempre lo supiste? El sesgo de retrospección](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es) [¿Siempre lo supiste? El sesgo de retrospección](https://nunosempere.github.io/) (es)
[Calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://calibration/)
[From a dark arts practitioner](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/dark_arts.html) [From a dark arts practitioner](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/dark_arts.html)
[Dark Arts: Narrativomancy](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/narrativomancy.html) [Dark Arts: Narrativomancy](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/narrativomancy.html)
[Consideraciones retreat Altruismo Efectivo Septiembre 2018](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/AE-retreat.html) (es) [Consideraciones retreat Altruismo Efectivo Septiembre 2018](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/AE-retreat.html) (es)