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@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ A monthly forecasting newsletter with a focus on experimental forecasting. You c
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## Past history
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## Past history
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- [November 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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- [October 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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- [October 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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- [September 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/September2020)
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- [September 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/September2020)
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- [August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020)
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- [August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020)
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5
index.md
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@ -11,17 +11,19 @@
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9. [Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html)
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9. [Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html)
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## Recent
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## Recent
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[An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/udGBF8YWshCKwRKTp/an-experiment-to-evaluate-the-value-of-one-researcher-s-work)
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[Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of)
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[Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of)
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[Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8Nwy3tX2WnDDSTRoi/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize)
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[Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8Nwy3tX2WnDDSTRoi/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize)
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[Prizes in the EA Forum and LW.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA)
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[Prizes in the EA Forum and LW.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA)
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[The Making of a Top Forecaster](https://www.cset-foretell.com/blog/top-forecaster-techniques)
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[The Making of a Top Forecaster](https://www.cset-foretell.com/blog/top-forecaster-techniques)
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[Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tyNrj2wwHSnb4tiMk/incentive-problems-with-current-forecasting-competitions)
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## Effective Altruism & Rationality
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## Effective Altruism & Rationality
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### [On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere)
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### [On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere)
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[An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/udGBF8YWshCKwRKTp/an-experiment-to-evaluate-the-value-of-one-researcher-s-work)
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[Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of)
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[Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of)
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[Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8Nwy3tX2WnDDSTRoi/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize)
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[Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8Nwy3tX2WnDDSTRoi/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize)
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[Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ztmBA8v6KvGChxw92/incentive-problems-with-current-forecasting-competitions)
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[Reasons why upvotes on the EA forum and LW don't correlate that well with impact](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=kLuhtmQRZBJpcaHhH)
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[Reasons why upvotes on the EA forum and LW don't correlate that well with impact](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=kLuhtmQRZBJpcaHhH)
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[Prizes in the EA Forum and LW](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA)
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[Prizes in the EA Forum and LW](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GseREh8MEEuLCZayf/nunosempere-s-shortform?commentId=WPStS4qhJS7Mz6KCA)
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[Thoughts on EA literature](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bc8J5P938BmzBuL9Y/when-can-writing-fiction-change-the-world?commentId=RnEpvpozD5tEEsM9b)
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[Thoughts on EA literature](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bc8J5P938BmzBuL9Y/when-can-writing-fiction-change-the-world?commentId=RnEpvpozD5tEEsM9b)
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@ -44,6 +46,7 @@
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### Forecasting Newsletter
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### Forecasting Newsletter
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[Forecasting Newsletter on the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7)
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[Forecasting Newsletter on the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7)
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[November 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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[October 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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[October 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020)
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[September 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/September2020)
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[September 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/September2020)
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[August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020)
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[August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020)
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