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Forecasting Newsletter. Typos

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Nuno Sempere 2020-05-23 21:42:55 +02:00
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ea/ForecastingNewsletter/May2020.md
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@ -86,7 +86,7 @@ The title of this section is a [regular expression](https://en.wikipedia.org/wik
Good Judgement Inc. is the organization which grew out of Tetlock's research on forecasting, and out of the Good Judgement Project, which won the [IARPA ACE forecasting competition](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aggregative_Contingent_Estimation_(ACE)_Program), and resulted in the research covered in the *Superforecasting* book.
Good Judgement Inc. also organizes the Good Judgement Open [gjopen.com](https://www.gjopen.com/), a forecasting platform open to all, with a focus on serious geopolitical questions. They structure their questions in challenges.
Good Judgement Inc. also organizes the Good Judgement Open [gjopen.com](https://www.gjopen.com/), a forecasting platform open to all, with a focus on serious geopolitical questions. They structure their questions in challenges. Of the currently active questions, here is a selection of those I found interesting (odds below):
- [Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong?](https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1499-before-1-january-2021-will-the-people-s-liberation-army-pla-and-or-people-s-armed-police-pap-be-mobilized-in-hong-kong)
- [Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college?](https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1495-will-the-winner-of-the-popular-vote-in-the-2020-united-states-presidential-election-also-win-the-electoral-college)- This one is interesting, because it has infrequently gone the other way historically, but 2/5 of the last USA elections were split.
- [Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?](https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1498-will-benjamin-netanyahu-cease-to-be-the-prime-minister-of-israel-before-1-january-2021). Just when I thought he was out, he pulls himself back in.