From 09572f5c5e7b30e192f95cafe43df876f0b3d710 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: NunoSempere Date: Sat, 9 Jan 2021 19:58:57 +0100 Subject: [PATCH] Added new research --- index.md | 29 ++++++++++++----------------- 1 file changed, 12 insertions(+), 17 deletions(-) diff --git a/index.md b/index.md index af2c51f..81a5d72 100644 --- a/index.md +++ b/index.md @@ -2,15 +2,17 @@ ## Highlights 1. [A prior for technological discontinuities](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FaCqw2x59ZFhMXJr9/a-prior-for-technological-discontinuities) 2. [Labor, Capital, and the Optimal Growth of Social Movements](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/MovementBuildingForUtilityMaximizers.pdf) -3. [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7) -4. [Past Pandemics](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/PastPandemics) -5. [Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of) -6. [Amplifying generalist research via forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting) -7. [Shapley Values: Better Than Counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) & [Shapley Values and Philanthropic Coordination Theory](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) & [A Shapley Value Calculator](http://shapleyvalue.com/) -8. [Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850)](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment) & [Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail?](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics) -9. [Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html) +3. [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forecasting.substack.com) +4. [Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates) +4. [Amplifying generalist research via forecasting](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting) +5. [Shapley Values: Better Than Counterfactuals](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals) & [Shapley Values and Philanthropic Coordination Theory](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and) & [A Shapley Value Calculator](http://shapleyvalue.com/) +6. [Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850)](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment) & [Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail?](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics) +7. [Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of) +8. [Past Pandemics](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/PastPandemics) ## Recent +[Forecasting Newsletter: December 2020](https://forecasting.substack.com/p/forecasting-newsletter-december-2020) +[Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates) [Q: Un programa para escribir y analizar poemas](https://blogdelecturadenuno.blogspot.com/2020/12/q-un-programa-para-escribir-y-analizar-poemas-y-poesia.html) (es) [Real-Life Examples of Prediction Systems Interfering with the Real World (Predict-O-Matic Problems)](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6bSjRezJDxR2omHKE/real-life-examples-of-prediction-systems-interfering-with) [An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/udGBF8YWshCKwRKTp/an-experiment-to-evaluate-the-value-of-one-researcher-s-work) @@ -20,6 +22,7 @@ ## Effective Altruism & Rationality ### [On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere) +[Big List of Cause Candidates](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SCqRu6shoa8ySvRAa/big-list-of-cause-candidates) [An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/udGBF8YWshCKwRKTp/an-experiment-to-evaluate-the-value-of-one-researcher-s-work) [Predicting the value of small altruistic projects: a proof of concept experiment](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qb56nicbnj9asSemx/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of) [Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8Nwy3tX2WnDDSTRoi/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize) @@ -46,16 +49,8 @@ [AI race considerations in a report by the U.S. House Committee on Armed Services](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/87aqBTkhTgfzhu5po/ai-race-considerations-in-a-report-by-the-u-s-house) ### Forecasting Newsletter -[Forecasting Newsletter on the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7) -[November 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020) -[October 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/October2020) -[September 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/September2020) -[August 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/August2020) -[July 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/July2020) -[June 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/June2020) -[May 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/May2020) -[April 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/April2020) (experimental) -[March 2020](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/March2020) (proof of concept) +[On Substack](https://forecasting.substack.com/) +[On the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/HXtZvHqsKwtAYP6Y7) ### Elsewhere [Labor, Capital, and the Optimal Growth of Social Movements](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/MovementBuildingForUtilityMaximizers.pdf)