nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/Header.md

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2020-05-23 17:53:27 +00:00
An opinionated forecasting digest with a focus on experimental forecasting.
- You can sign up [here](https://mailchi.mp/18fccca46f83/forecastingnewsletter).
- You can also see this post on LessWrong [here]()
- And the post is archived [here](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/)
The newsletter itself is experimental, but there will be at least four more iterations.
Feel free to use this post as a forecasting open thread.
Why is this relevant to Effective Altruism?
- Some items are immediately relevant (e.g., forecasts of famine).
- Others are projects whose success I'm cheering for, and which I think have the potential to do great amounts of good (e.g., Replication Markets).
- The remaining are relevant to the extent that cross-polination of ideas is valuable.
- Forecasting may become a powerful tool for world-optimization, and EAs may want to avail themselves of this tool.
In short, in the words of a sect of the Sith: "Through knowledge, I gain strength; through strength, I gain power; through power, I gain victory. Through victory, my chains are broken."
Conflicts of interest: Marked as (c.o.i) throughout the text.
Note to the future: All links are added automatically to the Internet Archive. In case of link rot, go [here](https://archive.org/)