2018-08-08 14:26:13 +00:00
## Recent.
2020-07-01 09:38:30 +00:00
[Forecasting Newsletter: June 2020 ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/June2020 ) (en)
2020-05-31 12:27:09 +00:00
[Forecasting Newsletter: May 2020 ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/ForecastingNewsletter/May2020 ) (en)
2020-05-06 09:11:13 +00:00
[Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020 ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9YJKugJ68qTFzMNCM/forecasting-newsletter-april-2020 ) (en)
2020-04-12 10:30:11 +00:00
[Predict, resolve and tally ](https://github.com/NunoSempere/PredictResolveTally ) (en)
2020-04-09 06:28:44 +00:00
[Accuracy of Ray Kurzweil’ s predictions for the 2010s ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/KurzweilPredictionsForThe2010s.html ) (en)
2019-12-10 17:39:55 +00:00
[Litany of Light ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ea/LitanyOfLight.html ) (en)
2019-12-07 20:22:03 +00:00
[Some Data Visualization for Foretold.io's Amplification Experiments ](https://observablehq.com/@nunosempere/plots-for-the-amplification-experiment ) (en)
2019-10-03 11:10:12 +00:00
[Programming Languages I Know and Cherish ](http://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/ProgrammingLanguagesIknow ) (en)
2019-10-03 11:09:45 +00:00
[A Shapley Value Calculator ](http://shapleyvalue.com/ ) (en)
2019-12-10 17:34:26 +00:00
[On the Recalcitrance of Granularity and Knowledge Integration ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/BayesRising ) - An Answer to Sebastian Benthall's ["Don't Fear the Reaper: Refuting Bostrom's Superintelligence Argument" ](https://arxiv.org/abs/1702.08495 ) (en)
2019-09-07 08:58:25 +00:00
[Why did the Spanish Enlightenment movement fail? (1750-1850) ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/spanishenlightenment ) (en)
2019-08-05 20:47:32 +00:00
[Why did the General Semantics Movement Fail? ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/general-semantics ) (en)
[Discontinuous trends in technological progress ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Discontinuous-Progress.html ) (en)
[Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html ) (en)
2018-09-13 14:17:21 +00:00
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
## Effective Altruism & Rationality Stuff / Altruismo efectivo & Racionalidad.
2019-12-07 20:22:03 +00:00
2020-04-04 06:13:28 +00:00
### [Myself on the EA Forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/nunosempere) (en)
2020-05-06 09:11:13 +00:00
[Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020 ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9YJKugJ68qTFzMNCM/forecasting-newsletter-april-2020 ) (en)
2020-04-04 06:13:28 +00:00
[International Supply Chain Accountability ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ME4zE34KBSYnt6hGp/new-top-ea-cause-international-supply-chain-accountability ) (en)
[A review of two books on survey-making ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DCcciuLxRveSkBng2/a-review-of-two-books-on-survey-making ) (en)
[A glowing review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S3vAPRp2XQ9BdDbPz/a-glowing-review-of-two-free-online-mit-global-poverty ) (en)
[[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZTXKHayPexA6uSZqE/part-2-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting) (en)
[[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – models of impact and challenges](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZCZZvhYbsKCRRDTct/part-1-amplifying-generalist-research-via-forecasting-models) (en)
[Shapley Values Reloaded: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea. ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3NYDwGvDbhwenpDHb/shapley-values-reloaded-philantropic-coordination-theory-and ) (en)
2019-12-07 20:22:03 +00:00
[Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XHZJ9i7QBtAJZ6byW/shapley-values-better-than-counterfactuals ) (en)
[Why do social movements fail: Two concrete examples ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7Pxx7kSQejX2MM2tE/why-do-social-movements-fail-two-concrete-examples ) (en)
[EA Mental Health Survey: Results and Analysis. ](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/FheKNFgPqEsN8Nxuv/ea-mental-health-survey-results-and-analysis ) (en)
### Other thoughts:
2019-12-10 17:34:26 +00:00
[Some Data Visualization for Foretold.io's Amplification Experiments ](https://observablehq.com/@nunosempere/plots-for-the-amplification-experiment ) (en)
2019-10-12 18:21:15 +00:00
[Write-up on some self experimentation in calibration ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Self-experimentation-calibration.html ) (en)
2019-10-12 18:08:28 +00:00
[Calibration ](https://nunosempere.github.io/calibration/ ) (en)
2019-10-12 18:21:15 +00:00
[100 predicciones ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/100-predicciones-en-100-dias.html ) (es)
[A practical exercise in p-hacking ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/eamentalhealth/p-hacking.html ) (en)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[List of TAPs ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/list-of-taps.html ) (en)
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
[List of Superpowers I want to steal ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (en)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Paradox Party ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/paradox-party.html ) (en)
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
[Crocker's rules ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (en)
[¿Siempre lo supiste? El sesgo de retrospección ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
[Calibration ](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://calibration/ ) (en)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[From a dark arts practitioner ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/dark_arts.html ) (en)
[Dark Arts: Narrativomancy ](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/narrativomancy.html ) (en)
[Consideraciones retreat Altruismo Efectivo Septiembre 2018 ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/AE-retreat.html ) (es)
[Mention in *The Times* in a column about the EA Hotel in Blackpool ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/The-Times.html ) (en)
2019-10-12 18:08:28 +00:00
[Different ideals than my own ](https://nunosempere.github.io/rat/Different-Ideals.html )
2018-11-02 23:00:58 +00:00
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
## Fucking around with Programming and Maths / Mierdas de programación y matemáticas
2019-12-10 17:34:26 +00:00
[Sci-py turns out to be particularly easy to use ](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/MachineLearningDemystified/ ) (en, Python)
2019-10-12 18:08:28 +00:00
[Vienna Data Science Hackathon ](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/Vienna-Data-Science-Hackathon-May-4-2019/ ) (en)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Letter from O.Teichmüller to Landau ](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/teichmuller.html ) (en)
[AI texts I've read ](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/ai.html ) (en)
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
[Sobre el problema de las parejas estables ](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://stable-marriage-problem/ ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Mathematicians under the Nazis ](https://nunosempere.github.io/projects/mathematicians-under-the-nazis.html ) (en)
2018-09-18 14:25:35 +00:00
[Why is the integral which defines the logarithm the inverse of the exponential? ](https://nunosempere.github.io/maths-prog/logarithms.pdf ) (en)
2019-10-12 18:09:09 +00:00
[Programa de facturación ](https://easyfirma.es ) (es)
2018-07-29 14:29:19 +00:00
2018-08-04 09:26:12 +00:00
## Humanities / Humanidades.
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
[Apuntes de una charla: Diálogos con la cultura, de Remedios Zafra ](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/remedios-zafra ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Mentir mola ](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/mentir-mola.html ) (es)
[¿Qué es atracar un banco en comparación con fundar un banco?: Selección de citas de Brecht. ](https://nunosempere.github.io/humanities/brecht.html ) (es)
[La desmundanalización de la iglesia ](https://nunosempere.github.io/projects/catholic-church.html ) (es)
2018-07-30 10:11:52 +00:00
2018-07-30 10:13:46 +00:00
## Costumbrismo
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Die Macht der Merkel ](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/merkel.html ) (es)
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
[Oh alemán, mi alemán ](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/aleman ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Crónica de una gamberrada ](https://nunosempere.github.io/costumbrismo/gamberrada/index.html ) (es)
2018-07-30 10:11:52 +00:00
2019-04-25 10:12:39 +00:00
## Philosophy / Filosofía.
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Monomito y Muchimito: Adiós a los principios, de Odo Marquard ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/marquard.html ) (es)
[La nomenclatura no es conocimiento ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/nomenclatura.html ) (es)
[Mucha granularidad sí, poca granularidad no ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/granularidad.html ) (es)
[Falacia de la subsunción ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/subsuncion.html ) (es)
[El concepto griego de verdad & Patologías de la razón ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/aletheia/index.html ) (es)
[La paradoja del piano ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/piano.html ) (es)
[¿Quién (no) mataría a su profesor de Últimas Tendencias del Arte? ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/arte.html ) (es)
[Teorías de la cultura ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/cultura.html ) (es)
[El evangelio según San Pedro ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/san-pedro.html ) (es)
[El fetichismo del franquismo ](https://nunosempere.github.io/philosophy/franquismo.html ) (es)
2018-07-30 10:11:52 +00:00
2018-08-04 09:26:12 +00:00
## Fucking around with Language and Literature / Mierdas lingüísticas.
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Análisis de "Yo persigo una forma que no encuentra mi estilo", de Rubén Darío ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/ruben-dario-yo-persigo-una-forma-que-no-encuentra-mi-estilo.html ) (es)
[Sinónimos de "fantástico" que empiecen por f ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/fantastico.html ) (es)
[En tanto que de rosa y azucena ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/en-tanto-que-de-rosa-y-azucena.html ) (es)
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
[Englicismos ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/englicismos ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Juan Rulfo vs García Márquez ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/rulfo-garcia.html ) (es)
[A buen entendedor, patada en los cojones ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/patada-en-los-cojones.html ) (es)
[Teoría de la literatura ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/teoria-de-la-literatura.html ) (es)
[Las tildes en español ](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://tildes/index.html ) (es)
[Términos retóricos ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/terminos-retoricos.html ) (es)
[Algunas bonitas palabras en desuso ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/desuso.html ) (es)
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
[Una interesante tesis doctoral de lingüística ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit/tesis/madurez ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Todo lo que nunca has querido saber sobre literatura fantástica (mazacote) ](https://nunosempere.github.io/lit-fantastica.html ) (es)
[Criba palabras ](https://nunosempere.github.io/https://criba-de-palabras-Lucia/README.html ) (es)
2018-08-08 14:23:58 +00:00
2018-08-04 09:26:12 +00:00
## Fiction / Ficción
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[Las aventuras del aventurero Nuño Núñez ](https://nunosempere.github.io/fiction/nuno-nunez.html ) (es)
[El Partido Carlista Antimonárquico Español ](https://nunosempere.github.io/fiction/carlista.html ) (es)
2018-07-30 10:11:52 +00:00
2018-08-04 09:26:12 +00:00
## Colaboradores con el Régimen.
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
Claudia Lombardo [Biología para futuros presidentes ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
Lucía Trillo [Thinking fast and slow ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
Alonso Campos [Freedom regained, de Julian Baggini ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
2018-07-30 09:05:42 +00:00
2018-08-08 16:10:38 +00:00
## Miscellanea / Cajón de sastre.
2019-10-12 18:08:28 +00:00
[Unfair chess ](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/unfairchess.html ) (en)
2019-04-25 10:12:39 +00:00
[Made a webpage for a friend ](https://ciruelahaiti.github.io/ )
2018-09-18 11:10:50 +00:00
[The Wonderer vs Can You Feel the Love Tonight ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
[The Lady of Shalott ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (en)
[Sobre la conquista del fuego, Freud ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
[¿Cuánto vale cada idioma? ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
[Adolfo Suárez desde la tumba ](https://nunosempere.github.io/ ) (es)
2018-09-20 17:57:56 +00:00
[La verdad sobre el caso Amancio Ortega ](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/inditex.html ) (es)
[Letimotiv: Ideas recurrentes ](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/letimotiv.html ) (es)
2018-09-22 12:27:13 +00:00
[The Mask ](https://nunosempere.github.io/miscellanea/The-Mask.html )