## In 2023... - [Me in 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/03/me-in-2022) - [Forecasting Newsletter for November and December 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/07/forecasting-newsletter-november-december-2022) - [Can GPT-3 produce new ideas? Partially automating Robin Hanson and others](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/11/can-gpt-produce-ideas) - [Prevalence of belief in "human biodiversity" amongst self-reported EA respondents in the 2020 SlateStarCodex Survey](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/16/hbd-ea) - [Interim Update on QURI's Work on EA Cause Area Candidates](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/19/interim-update-cause-candidates) - [There will always be a Voigt-Kampff test](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/21/there-will-always-be-a-voigt-kampff-test) - [My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/23/my-highly-personal-skepticism-braindump-on-existential-risk) - [An in-progress experiment to test how Laplace’s rule of succession performs in practice.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/30/an-in-progress-experiment-to-test-how-laplace-s-rule-of) - [Effective Altruism No Longer an Expanding Empire.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/30/ea-no-longer-expanding-empire) - [no matter where you stand](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/03/no-matter-where-you-stand) - [Just-in-time Bayesianism](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/04/just-in-time-bayesianism) - [Impact markets as a mechanism for not loosing your edge](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/07/impact-markets-sharpen-your-edge) - [Straightforwardly eliciting probabilities from GPT-3](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/09/straightforwardly-eliciting-probabilities-from-gpt-3) - [Inflation-proof assets](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/11/inflation-proof-assets) - [A Bayesian Adjustment to Rethink Priorities' Welfare Range Estimates](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates) - [A computable version of Solomonoff induction](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/01/computable-solomonoff) - [Use of “I'd bet” on the EA Forum is mostly metaphorical](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/02/metaphorical-bets) - [Winners of the Squiggle Experimentation and 80,000 Hours Quantification Challenges](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/08/winners-of-the-squiggle-experimentation-and-80-000-hours) - [What happens in Aaron Sorkin's *The Newsroom*](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/10/aaron-sorkins-newsroom) - [Estimation for sanity checks](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/10/estimation-sanity-checks)