I'm Nuño Sempere. I do research, write software, and predict the future.

<img src="https://i.imgur.com/rvwA0Wr.jpg" alt="image of myself" class="img-frontpage-center"> 

### Highlights

1. [Estimating value](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/AbrRsXM2PrCrPShuZ): How do we get to expected value calculations?
2. [Forecasting Newsletter](https://forecasting.substack.com/): What is up in the world of forecasting?
3. [Metaforecast](https://metaforecast.org/): A search engine for probabilities

### Readers might also wish to...

...read the [gossip](/gossip) page, visit my [blog](/blog), or [sign up for my newsletter](/.subscribe).