Twitter Improvement Proposal: Incorporate Prediction Markets, Give a Death Blow to Punditry =========================================================================================== **tl;dr**: Incorporate prediction markets into Twitter, give a death blow to punditry. ## The core idea A prediction market is... ## Why do this? Because it will usher humanity in an era of epistemic greatness. ## Caveats and downsides Play money, though maybe with goods and services Give 1000 doublons to all semi-active accounts on the 22/02/2022 ## How to go about this? One possiblity might be to acquihire [Manifold Markets](https://manifold.markets/) for something like $20-$50M. They are a team of competent engineers with a fair share of ex-Googlers, who have been doing a good job at building a prediction platform from scratch, and iterating on it. So one possible step might be to have the Manifold guys come up with demo functionality, and then pair them with a team who understands how one would go about doing this at Twitter-like scale. However, I am not really cognizant of the technical challenges here, and it's possible that might not be the best approach ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ ## In conclusion