feat: add yearly indexes
This commit is contained in:
parent
2ffa7b08fa
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15
_werc/traverse.sh
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_werc/traverse.sh
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year=2023
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echo "## In $year..."
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echo
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for dir in */*/*
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do
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index_path="$(pwd)/$dir/index.md"
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title="$(cat $index_path | head -n 1)"
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url="https://nunosempere.com/$year/$dir"
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# echo $dir
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# echo $index_path
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# echo $title
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echo "- [$title]($url)"
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done
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blog/2019/index.md
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blog/2019/index.md
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@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
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## In 2019...
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- [EA Mental Health Survey: Results and Analysis.](https://nunosempere.com/2019/06/13/EA_Mental_Health)
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- [Why do social movements fail: Two concrete examples.](https://nunosempere.com/2019/10/04/Social_Movements)
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- [Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals](https://nunosempere.com/2019/10/10/Shapley_Values_I)
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- [[Part 1] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – models of impact and challenges](https://nunosempere.com/2019/12/19/Amplification_I)
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- [[Part 2] Amplifying generalist research via forecasting – results from a preliminary exploration](https://nunosempere.com/2019/12/20/Amplification_II)
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blog/2020/index.md
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blog/2020/index.md
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@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
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## In 2020...
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- [A review of two free online MIT Global Poverty courses](https://nunosempere.com/2020/01/15/MIT_EDX_Review)
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- [A review of two books on survey-making](https://nunosempere.com/2020/03/01/Survey_Making)
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- [Shapley Values II: Philantropic Coordination Theory & other miscellanea.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/03/10/Shapley_Values_II)
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- [New Cause Proposal: International Supply Chain Accountability](https://nunosempere.com/2020/04/01/International_Supply_Chain)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020](https://nunosempere.com/2020/04/30/Forecasting_Newsletter_2020_04)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: May 2020.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/05/31/forecasting-newsletter-may-2020)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: June 2020.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/07/01/forecasting-newsletter-june-2020)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: July 2020.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/08/01/forecasting-newsletter-july-2020)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: August 2020. ](https://nunosempere.com/2020/09/01/forecasting-newsletter-august-2020)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: September 2020. ](https://nunosempere.com/2020/10/01/forecasting-newsletter-september-2020)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: October 2020.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/11/01/forecasting-newsletter-october-2020)
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- [Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/11/10/incentive-problems-with-current-forecasting-competitions)
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- [Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize](https://nunosempere.com/2020/11/15/announcing-the-forecasting-innovation-prize)
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- [Predicting the Value of Small Altruistic Projects: A Proof of Concept Experiment.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/11/22/predicting-the-value-of-small-altruistic-projects-a-proof-of)
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- [An experiment to evaluate the value of one researcher's work](https://nunosempere.com/2020/12/01/an-experiment-to-evaluate-the-value-of-one-researcher-s-work)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: November 2020.](https://nunosempere.com/2020/12/01/forecasting-newsletter-november-2020)
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- [What are good rubrics or rubric elements to evaluate and predict impact?](https://nunosempere.com/2020/12/03/what-are-good-rubrics-or-rubric-elements-to-evaluate-and)
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- [Big List of Cause Candidates](https://nunosempere.com/2020/12/25/big-list-of-cause-candidates)
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30
blog/2021/index.md
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blog/2021/index.md
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## In 2021...
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: December 2020](https://nunosempere.com/2021/01/01/forecasting-newsletter-december-2020)
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- [2020: Forecasting in Review](https://nunosempere.com/2021/01/10/2020-forecasting-in-review)
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- [A Funnel for Cause Candidates](https://nunosempere.com/2021/01/13/a-funnel-for-cause-candidates)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: January 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/02/01/forecasting-newsletter-january-2021)
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- [Forecasting Prize Results](https://nunosempere.com/2021/02/19/forecasting-prize-results)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: February 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/03/01/forecasting-newsletter-february-2021)
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- [Introducing Metaforecast: A Forecast Aggregator and Search Tool](https://nunosempere.com/2021/03/07/introducing-metaforecast-a-forecast-aggregator-and-search)
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- [Relative Impact of the First 10 EA Forum Prize Winners](https://nunosempere.com/2021/03/16/relative-impact-of-the-first-10-ea-forum-prize-winners)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: March 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/04/01/forecasting-newsletter-march-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: April 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/05/01/forecasting-newsletter-april-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: May 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/06/01/forecasting-newsletter-may-2021)
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- [2018-2019 Long-Term Future Fund Grantees: How did they do?](https://nunosempere.com/2021/06/16/2018-2019-long-term-future-fund-grantees-how-did-they-do)
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- [What should the norms around privacy and evaluation in the EA community be?](https://nunosempere.com/2021/06/16/what-should-the-norms-around-privacy-and-evaluation-in-the)
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- [Shallow evaluations of longtermist organizations](https://nunosempere.com/2021/06/24/shallow-evaluations-of-longtermist-organizations)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: June 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/07/01/forecasting-newsletter-june-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: July 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/08/01/forecasting-newsletter-july-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: August 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/09/01/forecasting-newsletter-august-2021)
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- [Frank Feedback Given To Very Junior Researchers](https://nunosempere.com/2021/09/01/frank-feedback-given-to-very-junior-researchers)
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- [Building Blocks of Utility Maximization](https://nunosempere.com/2021/09/20/building-blocks-of-utility-maximization)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: September 2021.](https://nunosempere.com/2021/10/01/forecasting-newsletter-september-2021)
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- [An estimate of the value of Metaculus questions](https://nunosempere.com/2021/10/22/an-estimate-of-the-value-of-metaculus-questions)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: October 2021.](https://nunosempere.com/2021/11/02/forecasting-newsletter-october-2021)
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- [A Model of Patient Spending and Movement Building](https://nunosempere.com/2021/11/08/a-model-of-patient-spending-and-movement-building)
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- [Simple comparison polling to create utility functions](https://nunosempere.com/2021/11/15/simple-comparison-polling-to-create-utility-functions)
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- [Pathways to impact for forecasting and evaluation](https://nunosempere.com/2021/11/25/pathways-to-impact-for-forecasting-and-evaluation)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: November 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2021/12/02/forecasting-newsletter-november-2021)
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- [External Evaluation of the EA Wiki](https://nunosempere.com/2021/12/13/external-evaluation-of-the-ea-wiki)
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- [Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting](https://nunosempere.com/2021/12/31/prediction-markets-in-the-corporate-setting)
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blog/2022/index.md
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blog/2022/index.md
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## In 2022...
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: December 2021](https://nunosempere.com/2022/01/10/forecasting-newsletter-december-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: Looking back at 2021.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/01/27/forecasting-newsletter-looking-back-at-2021)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: January 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/02/03/forecasting-newsletter-january-2022)
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- [Splitting the timeline as an extinction risk intervention](https://nunosempere.com/2022/02/06/splitting-the-timeline-as-an-extinction-risk-intervention)
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- [We are giving $10k as forecasting micro-grants](https://nunosempere.com/2022/02/08/we-are-giving-usd10k-as-forecasting-micro-grants)
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- [Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions](https://nunosempere.com/2022/02/18/five-steps-for-quantifying-speculative-interventions)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: February 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/03/05/forecasting-newsletter-february-2022)
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- [Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecasts — March 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/03/10/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-forecasts-march-2022)
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- [Valuing research works by eliciting comparisons from EA researchers](https://nunosempere.com/2022/03/17/valuing-research-works-by-eliciting-comparisons-from-ea)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: April 2222](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/01/forecasting-newsletter-april-2222)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: March 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/05/forecasting-newsletter-march-2022)
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- [A quick note on the value of donations](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/06/note-donations)
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- [Open Philanthopy allocation by cause area](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/07/openphil-allocation)
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- [Better scoring rules](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/16/optimal-scoring)
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- [Simple Squiggle](https://nunosempere.com/2022/04/17/simple-squiggle)
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- [EA Forum Lowdown: April 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/05/01/ea-forum-lowdown-april-2022)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: April 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/05/10/forecasting-newsletter-april-2022)
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- [Infinite Ethics 101: Stochastic and Statewise Dominance as a Backup Decision Theory when Expected Values Fail](https://nunosempere.com/2022/05/20/infinite-ethics-101)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: May 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/06/03/forecasting-newsletter-may-2022)
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- [The Tragedy of Calisto and Melibea](https://nunosempere.com/2022/06/14/the-tragedy-of-calisto-and-melibea)
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- [A Critical Review of Open Philanthropy’s Bet On Criminal Justice Reform](https://nunosempere.com/2022/06/16/criminal-justice)
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- [Cancellation insurance](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/04/cancellation-insurance)
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- [I will bet on your success on Manifold Markets](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/05/i-will-bet-on-your-success-or-failure)
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- [The Maximum Vindictiveness Strategy](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/09/maximum-vindictiveness-strategy)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: June 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/12/forecasting-newsletter-june-2022)
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- [Some thoughts on Turing.jl](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/23/thoughts-on-turing-julia)
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- [How much would I have to run to lose 20 kilograms?](https://nunosempere.com/2022/07/27/how-much-to-run-to-lose-20-kilograms)
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- [$1,000 Squiggle Experimentation Challenge](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/04/usd1-000-squiggle-experimentation-challenge)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: July 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/08/forecasting-newsletter-july-2022)
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- [A concern about the "evolutionary anchor" of Ajeya Cotra's report](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/10/evolutionary-anchor)
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- [What do Americans think 'cutlery' means?](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/18/what-do-americans-mean-by-cutlery)
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- [Introduction to Fermi estimates](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/20/fermi-introduction)
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- [A comment on Cox's theorem and probabilistic inductivism.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/08/31/on-cox-s-theorem-and-probabilistic-induction)
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- [Simple estimation examples in Squiggle](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/02/simple-estimation-examples-in-squiggle)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: August 2022.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/10/forecasting-newsletter-august-2022)
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- [Distribution of salaries in Spain](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/11/salary-ranges-spain)
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- [An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/12/an-experiment-eliciting-relative-estimates-for-open)
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- [Use distributions to more parsimoniously estimate impact](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/15/use-distributions-to-more-parsimoniously-estimate-impact)
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- [Utilitarianism: An Incomplete Approach](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/19/utilitarianism-an-incomplete-approach)
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- [$5k challenge to quantify the impact of 80,000 hours' top career paths](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/23/usd5k-challenge-to-quantify-the-impact-of-80-000-hours-top)
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- [Use a less coarse analysis of AMF beneficiary age and consider counterfactual deaths](https://nunosempere.com/2022/09/28/granular-AMF)
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- [Samotsvety Nuclear Risk update October 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/03/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022)
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- [Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/10/five-slightly-more-hardcore-squiggle-models)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter: September 2022.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/12/forecasting-newsletter-september-2022)
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- [Sometimes you give to the commons, and sometimes you take from the commons](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/17/the-commons)
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- [Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/21/brief-evaluations-of-top-10-billionnaires)
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- [Are flimsy evaluations worth it?](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/27/are-flimsy-evaluations-worth-it)
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- [Brief thoughts on my personal research strategy](https://nunosempere.com/2022/10/31/brief-thoughts-personal-strategy)
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- [Metaforecast late 2022 update: GraphQL API, Charts, better infrastructure behind the scenes.](https://nunosempere.com/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update)
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- [Tracking the money flows in forecasting](https://nunosempere.com/2022/11/06/forecasting-money-flows)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter for October 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2022/11/15/forecasting-newsletter-for-october-2022)
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- [Some data on the stock of EA™ funding ](https://nunosempere.com/2022/11/20/brief-update-ea-funding)
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- [List of past fraudsters similar to SBF](https://nunosempere.com/2022/11/28/list-of-past-fraudsters-similar-to-sbf)
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- [Goodhart's law and aligning politics with human flourishing ](https://nunosempere.com/2022/12/05/goodhart-politics)
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- [COVID-19 in rural Balochistan, Pakistan: Two interviews from May 2020](https://nunosempere.com/2022/12/16/covid-19-in-rural-balochistan-pakistan-two-interviews-from-1)
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- [Hacking on rose](https://nunosempere.com/2022/12/20/hacking-on-rose)
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- [A basic argument for AI risk](https://nunosempere.com/2022/12/23/ai-risk-rohin-shah)
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19
blog/2023/index.md
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## In 2023...
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- [Me in 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/03/me-in-2022)
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- [Forecasting Newsletter for November and December 2022](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/07/forecasting-newsletter-november-december-2022)
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- [Can GPT-3 produce new ideas? Partially automating Robin Hanson and others](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/11/can-gpt-produce-ideas)
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- [Prevalence of belief in "human biodiversity" amongst self-reported EA respondents in the 2020 SlateStarCodex Survey](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/16/hbd-ea)
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- [Interim Update on QURI's Work on EA Cause Area Candidates](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/19/interim-update-cause-candidates)
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- [There will always be a Voigt-Kampff test](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/21/there-will-always-be-a-voigt-kampff-test)
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- [My highly personal skepticism braindump on existential risk from artificial intelligence.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/23/my-highly-personal-skepticism-braindump-on-existential-risk)
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- [An in-progress experiment to test how Laplace’s rule of succession performs in practice.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/30/an-in-progress-experiment-to-test-how-laplace-s-rule-of)
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- [Effective Altruism No Longer an Expanding Empire.](https://nunosempere.com/2023/01/30/ea-no-longer-expanding-empire)
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- [no matter where you stand](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/03/no-matter-where-you-stand)
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- [Just-in-time Bayesianism](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/04/just-in-time-bayesianism)
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- [Impact markets as a mechanism for not loosing your edge](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/07/impact-markets-sharpen-your-edge)
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- [Straightforwardly eliciting probabilities from GPT-3](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/09/straightforwardly-eliciting-probabilities-from-gpt-3)
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- [Inflation-proof assets](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/11/inflation-proof-assets)
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- [A Bayesian Adjustment to Rethink Priorities' Welfare Range Estimates](https://nunosempere.com/2023/02/19/bayesian-adjustment-to-rethink-priorities-welfare-range-estimates)
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- [A computable version of Solomoff induction](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/01/computable-solomoff)
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- [Use of the construction "I'd bet" on the EA Forum is mostly metaphorical](https://nunosempere.com/2023/03/02/metaphorical-bets)
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15
blog/2023/traverse.sh
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blog/2023/traverse.sh
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year=2023
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echo "## In $year..."
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echo
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for dir in */*/*
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do
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index_path="$(pwd)/$dir/index.md"
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title="$(cat $index_path | head -n 1)"
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url="https://nunosempere.com/$year/$dir"
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# echo $dir
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# echo $index_path
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# echo $title
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echo "- [$title]($url)"
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done
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