From 5d6036be6b3ffda53b3a56b5949376b0eeb6d176 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Nuno Sempere Date: Sat, 5 Nov 2022 14:35:15 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] tweak: change img src for social card. --- .../index.md | 2 +- .../index.md | 2 +- .../forecasting-newsletter-september-2022/index.md | 6 +++--- .../17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png | Bin .../26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png | Bin .../2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png | Bin .../9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png | Bin .../bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png | Bin .../e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png | Bin .../index.md | 10 +++++----- 10 files changed, 10 insertions(+), 10 deletions(-) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/.images/e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png (100%) rename blog/2022/11/04/{metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better => metaforecast-late-2022-update}/index.md (93%) diff --git a/blog/2022/10/03/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022/index.md b/blog/2022/10/03/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022/index.md index 2250aa3..6c203b5 100644 --- a/blog/2022/10/03/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022/index.md +++ b/blog/2022/10/03/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022/index.md @@ -57,7 +57,7 @@ This time, we are also experimenting with providing a few visualizations. Their For the forecast with one month between each escalation step, we have: - + diff --git a/blog/2022/10/10/five-slightly-more-hardcore-squiggle-models/index.md b/blog/2022/10/10/five-slightly-more-hardcore-squiggle-models/index.md index 2cc6d5a..f5e7fd9 100644 --- a/blog/2022/10/10/five-slightly-more-hardcore-squiggle-models/index.md +++ b/blog/2022/10/10/five-slightly-more-hardcore-squiggle-models/index.md @@ -200,7 +200,7 @@ That is, we are modelling this example intervention of halving child mortality, But for reference, the distribution’s impact looks as follows: - + ### Calculate optimal allocation given diminishing marginal values diff --git a/blog/2022/10/12/forecasting-newsletter-september-2022/index.md b/blog/2022/10/12/forecasting-newsletter-september-2022/index.md index c9065e9..186e28e 100644 --- a/blog/2022/10/12/forecasting-newsletter-september-2022/index.md +++ b/blog/2022/10/12/forecasting-newsletter-september-2022/index.md @@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ Browse past newsletters [here](https://forecasting.substack.com/), or view this ### PredictIt, Kalshi & the CFTC - + America, Land of the Free @@ -109,7 +109,7 @@ Nostalgebraist looks at [AI forecasting one year in](https://nostalgebraist.tum [Samotsvety Forecasting](https://samotsvety.org/), my forecasting group, looks at the probability of [various AI catastrophes](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EG9xDM8YRz4JN4wMN/samotsvety-s-ai-risk-forecasts) in the future, and at the [risk of a nuclear bomb being used](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2nDTrDPZJBEerZGrk/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20221012124008/https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2nDTrDPZJBEerZGrk/samotsvety-nuclear-risk-update-october-2022)) in the coming months (see also a [follow-up](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8k9iebTHjdRCmzR5i/overreacting-to-current-events-can-be-very-costly) by Kelsey Piper). - + Taken from [Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/market/will-russia-use-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2023). Note that money is worth less in the event of a nuclear war. @@ -185,4 +185,4 @@ Note to the future: All links are added automatically to the Internet Archive, u > — I don't know... Something amazing, I guess. > — Me too, kid -[The Incredibles](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Incredibles), 30'50'' \ No newline at end of file +[The Incredibles](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Incredibles), 30'50'' diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/17076903a4b2dd9701baf456656ebc71daa47044.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/26546df78f3110a0f0d80f5ba27f66c9426b8603.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/2c268da6a6a74acbd0d34d4f60e20cb1ac3b064f.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/9261c16be3353807fa209a1e2219569e8fa68746.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/bf34e376d891b83ecf4901878aa581995ea7ad6e.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png similarity index 100% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/.images/e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/.images/e848f8ebc1bf34e50d1a416950598877780cae3b.png diff --git a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/index.md b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/index.md similarity index 93% rename from blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/index.md rename to blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/index.md index 76bda76..1529b26 100644 --- a/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update-graphql-api-charts-better/index.md +++ b/blog/2022/11/04/metaforecast-late-2022-update/index.md @@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ Metaforecast late 2022 update: GraphQL API, Charts, better infrastructure behind ## New API -Our most significant new addition is our GraphQL API. It allows other people to build on top of our efforts. It can be accessed on [metaforecast.org/api/graphql](https://metaforecast.org/api/graphql), and looks similar to the EA Forum's [own graphql api](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/graphiql).

+Our most significant new addition is our GraphQL API. It allows other people to build on top of our efforts. It can be accessed on [metaforecast.org/api/graphql](https://metaforecast.org/api/graphql), and looks similar to the EA Forum's [own graphql api](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/graphiql).

To get the first 1000 questions, you could use a query like:  @@ -43,15 +43,15 @@ You can find more examples, like code to download all questions, in our [/scrip Charts display a question's history. They look as follows: - + Charts can be accessed by clicking the expand button on the front page although they are fairly slow to load at the moment. - + Clicking on the expand button brings the user to a question page, which contains a chart, the full question description, and a range of quality indicators: - + We are also providing an endpoint at _metaforecast.org/questions/embed/\[id\]_ to allow other pages to embed our charts. For instance, to embed a question whose id is _betfair-1.178163916_, the endpoint would be [here](https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/betfair-1.178163916). One would use it in the following code:  @@ -72,7 +72,7 @@ With time, we aim to improve these pages, make them more interactive, etc. We al Dashboards are collections of questions. For instance, [here](https://metaforecast.org/dashboards/view/561472e0d2?numCols=2) is a dashboard on global markets and inflation, as embedded in [Global Guessing](https://globalguessing.com/russia-ukraine-forecasts/). - + Like questions, you can either [view dashboards directly](http://metaforecast.org/dashboards/view/561472e0d2?numCols=2), or [embed](http://metaforecast.org/dashboards/embed/561472e0d2?numCols=2) them. You can also create them, at [https://metaforecast.org/dashboards](https://metaforecast.org/dashboards).