11 lines
1.4 KiB
Markdown
11 lines
1.4 KiB
Markdown
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Forecasting Newsletter: December 2021.
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## Highlights
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- Polymarket [settles with the CFCF for $1.4M](https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20220112010053/https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22)), future uncertain.
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- Astral Codex Ten gives out $40k to [forecasting projects](https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-results) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20220112010111/https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/acx-grants-results))
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- Eli Lifland writes *the* reference piece on [bottlenecks to impactful forecasting.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S2vfrZsFHn7Wy4ocm/bottlenecks-to-more-impactful-crowd-forecasting-2) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20220112010222/https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/S2vfrZsFHn7Wy4ocm/bottlenecks-to-more-impactful-crowd-forecasting-2))
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- Google reveals the existence of a gigantic a new [internal prediction market](https://cloud.google.com/blog/topics/solutions-how-tos/design-patterns-in-googles-prediction-market-on-google-cloud) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20220112010322/https://cloud.google.com/blog/topics/solutions-how-tos/design-patterns-in-googles-prediction-market-on-google-cloud))
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- [Manifold Markets](https://manifold.markets/) ([a](https://web.archive.org/web/20220112010405/https://manifold.markets/)), a new forecasting platform, appears
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