manifold/common/scoring.ts

103 lines
2.5 KiB
TypeScript

import { groupBy, sumBy, mapValues, partition } from 'lodash'
import { Bet } from './bet'
import { getContractBetMetrics } from './calculate'
import { Contract } from './contract'
import { getPayouts } from './payouts'
export function scoreCreators(contracts: Contract[]) {
const creatorScore = mapValues(
groupBy(contracts, ({ creatorId }) => creatorId),
(contracts) =>
sumBy(
contracts.map((contract) => {
return contract.volume
})
)
)
return creatorScore
}
export function scoreTraders(contracts: Contract[], bets: Bet[][]) {
const userScoresByContract = contracts.map((contract, index) =>
scoreUsersByContract(contract, bets[index])
)
const userScores: { [userId: string]: number } = {}
for (const scores of userScoresByContract) {
addUserScores(scores, userScores)
}
return userScores
}
export function scoreUsersByContract(contract: Contract, bets: Bet[]) {
const { resolution } = contract
const resolutionProb =
contract.outcomeType == 'BINARY'
? contract.resolutionProbability
: undefined
const [closedBets, openBets] = partition(
bets,
(bet) => bet.isSold || bet.sale
)
const { payouts: resolvePayouts } = getPayouts(
resolution as string,
contract,
openBets,
[],
{},
resolutionProb
)
const salePayouts = closedBets.map((bet) => {
const { userId, sale } = bet
return { userId, payout: sale ? sale.amount : 0 }
})
const investments = bets
.filter((bet) => !bet.sale)
.map((bet) => {
const { userId, amount, loanAmount } = bet
const payout = -amount - (loanAmount ?? 0)
return { userId, payout }
})
const profits = openBets.map((bet) => {
const { userId } = bet
if (contract.isResolved) {
return { userId: userId, payout: 0 }
}
const payout = getContractBetMetrics(contract, [bet]).payout
console.log({
userId: userId,
metrics: getContractBetMetrics(contract, [bet]),
})
return { userId: userId, payout: payout }
})
const netPayouts = [
...resolvePayouts,
...salePayouts,
...investments,
...profits,
]
const userScore = mapValues(
groupBy(netPayouts, (payout) => payout.userId),
(payouts) => sumBy(payouts, ({ payout }) => payout)
)
return userScore
}
export function addUserScores(
src: { [userId: string]: number },
dest: { [userId: string]: number }
) {
for (const [userId, score] of Object.entries(src)) {
if (dest[userId] === undefined) dest[userId] = 0
dest[userId] += score
}
}