diff --git a/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx b/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
index 367a5401..ab2f0bfc 100644
--- a/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
+++ b/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
@@ -7,6 +7,7 @@ import { Col } from '../layout/col'
 import {
   BinaryContract,
   Contract,
+  CPMMBinaryContract,
   FreeResponseContract,
   MultipleChoiceContract,
   NumericContract,
@@ -32,6 +33,8 @@ import { track } from '@amplitude/analytics-browser'
 import { trackCallback } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
 import { getMappedValue } from 'common/pseudo-numeric'
 import { Tooltip } from '../tooltip'
+import { SiteLink } from '../site-link'
+import { ProbChange } from './prob-change-table'
 
 export function ContractCard(props: {
   contract: Contract
@@ -379,3 +382,34 @@ export function PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation(props: {
     </Col>
   )
 }
+
+export function ContractCardProbChange(props: {
+  contract: CPMMBinaryContract
+  noLinkAvatar?: boolean
+  className?: string
+}) {
+  const { contract, noLinkAvatar, className } = props
+  return (
+    <Col
+      className={clsx(
+        className,
+        'mb-4 rounded-lg bg-white shadow hover:shadow-lg'
+      )}
+    >
+      <AvatarDetails
+        contract={contract}
+        className={'px-6 pt-4'}
+        noLink={noLinkAvatar}
+      />
+      <Row className={clsx('items-start justify-between gap-4 ', className)}>
+        <SiteLink
+          className="pl-6 pr-0 pt-2 pb-4 font-semibold text-indigo-700"
+          href={contractPath(contract)}
+        >
+          <span className="line-clamp-3">{contract.question}</span>
+        </SiteLink>
+        <ProbChange className="py-2 pr-4" contract={contract} />
+      </Row>
+    </Col>
+  )
+}
diff --git a/web/components/contract/contracts-grid.tsx b/web/components/contract/contracts-grid.tsx
index 3da9a5d5..4f573fb8 100644
--- a/web/components/contract/contracts-grid.tsx
+++ b/web/components/contract/contracts-grid.tsx
@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@ import { Contract } from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
 import { User } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
 import { Col } from '../layout/col'
 import { SiteLink } from '../site-link'
-import { ContractCard } from './contract-card'
+import { ContractCard, ContractCardProbChange } from './contract-card'
 import { ShowTime } from './contract-details'
 import { ContractSearch } from '../contract-search'
 import { useCallback } from 'react'
@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import clsx from 'clsx'
 import { LoadingIndicator } from '../loading-indicator'
 import { VisibilityObserver } from '../visibility-observer'
 import Masonry from 'react-masonry-css'
+import { CPMMBinaryContract} from 'common/contract'
 
 export type ContractHighlightOptions = {
   contractIds?: string[]
@@ -25,6 +26,7 @@ export function ContractsGrid(props: {
     hideQuickBet?: boolean
     hideGroupLink?: boolean
     noLinkAvatar?: boolean
+    showProbChange?: boolean
   }
   highlightOptions?: ContractHighlightOptions
   trackingPostfix?: string
@@ -39,7 +41,8 @@ export function ContractsGrid(props: {
     highlightOptions,
     trackingPostfix,
   } = props
-  const { hideQuickBet, hideGroupLink, noLinkAvatar } = cardUIOptions || {}
+  const { hideQuickBet, hideGroupLink, noLinkAvatar, showProbChange } =
+    cardUIOptions || {}
   const { contractIds, highlightClassName } = highlightOptions || {}
   const onVisibilityUpdated = useCallback(
     (visible) => {
@@ -73,24 +76,31 @@ export function ContractsGrid(props: {
         className="-ml-4 flex w-auto"
         columnClassName="pl-4 bg-clip-padding"
       >
-        {contracts.map((contract) => (
-          <ContractCard
-            contract={contract}
-            key={contract.id}
-            showTime={showTime}
-            onClick={
-              onContractClick ? () => onContractClick(contract) : undefined
-            }
-            noLinkAvatar={noLinkAvatar}
-            hideQuickBet={hideQuickBet}
-            hideGroupLink={hideGroupLink}
-            trackingPostfix={trackingPostfix}
-            className={clsx(
-              'mb-4 break-inside-avoid-column overflow-hidden', // prevent content from wrapping (needs overflow on firefox)
-              contractIds?.includes(contract.id) && highlightClassName
-            )}
-          />
-        ))}
+        {contracts.map((contract) =>
+          showProbChange && contract.mechanism === 'cpmm-1' ? (
+            <ContractCardProbChange
+              key={contract.id}
+              contract={contract as CPMMBinaryContract}
+            />
+          ) : (
+            <ContractCard
+              contract={contract}
+              key={contract.id}
+              showTime={showTime}
+              onClick={
+                onContractClick ? () => onContractClick(contract) : undefined
+              }
+              noLinkAvatar={noLinkAvatar}
+              hideQuickBet={hideQuickBet}
+              hideGroupLink={hideGroupLink}
+              trackingPostfix={trackingPostfix}
+              className={clsx(
+                'mb-4 break-inside-avoid-column overflow-hidden', // prevent content from wrapping (needs overflow on firefox)
+                contractIds?.includes(contract.id) && highlightClassName
+              )}
+            />
+          )
+        )}
       </Masonry>
       {loadMore && (
         <VisibilityObserver
diff --git a/web/components/contract/prob-change-table.tsx b/web/components/contract/prob-change-table.tsx
index 0c7fdfbc..07b7c659 100644
--- a/web/components/contract/prob-change-table.tsx
+++ b/web/components/contract/prob-change-table.tsx
@@ -1,4 +1,5 @@
 import clsx from 'clsx'
+import { partition } from 'lodash'
 import { contractPath } from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
 import { CPMMContract } from 'common/contract'
 import { formatPercent } from 'common/util/format'
@@ -8,16 +9,17 @@ import { Row } from '../layout/row'
 import { LoadingIndicator } from '../loading-indicator'
 
 export function ProbChangeTable(props: {
-  changes:
-    | { positiveChanges: CPMMContract[]; negativeChanges: CPMMContract[] }
-    | undefined
+  changes: CPMMContract[] | undefined
   full?: boolean
 }) {
   const { changes, full } = props
 
   if (!changes) return <LoadingIndicator />
 
-  const { positiveChanges, negativeChanges } = changes
+  const [positiveChanges, negativeChanges] = partition(
+    changes,
+    (c) => c.probChanges.day > 0
+  )
 
   const threshold = 0.01
   const positiveAboveThreshold = positiveChanges.filter(
@@ -53,10 +55,18 @@ export function ProbChangeTable(props: {
   )
 }
 
-function ProbChangeRow(props: { contract: CPMMContract }) {
-  const { contract } = props
+export function ProbChangeRow(props: {
+  contract: CPMMContract
+  className?: string
+}) {
+  const { contract, className } = props
   return (
-    <Row className="items-center justify-between gap-4 hover:bg-gray-100">
+    <Row
+      className={clsx(
+        'items-center justify-between gap-4 hover:bg-gray-100',
+        className
+      )}
+    >
       <SiteLink
         className="p-4 pr-0 font-semibold text-indigo-700"
         href={contractPath(contract)}
diff --git a/web/hooks/use-contracts.ts b/web/hooks/use-contracts.ts
index f2403a15..fb71ca60 100644
--- a/web/hooks/use-contracts.ts
+++ b/web/hooks/use-contracts.ts
@@ -11,10 +11,13 @@ import {
   trendingContractsQuery,
   getContractsQuery,
 } from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
-import { QueryClient, useQueryClient } from 'react-query'
+import { QueryClient, useQuery, useQueryClient } from 'react-query'
 import { MINUTE_MS } from 'common/util/time'
 import { query, limit } from 'firebase/firestore'
 import { Sort } from 'web/components/contract-search'
+import { dailyScoreIndex } from 'web/lib/service/algolia'
+import { CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { zipObject } from 'lodash'
 
 export const useContracts = () => {
   const [contracts, setContracts] = useState<Contract[] | undefined>()
@@ -26,6 +29,29 @@ export const useContracts = () => {
   return contracts
 }
 
+export const useContractsByDailyScoreGroups = (
+  groupSlugs: string[] | undefined
+) => {
+  const facetFilters = ['isResolved:false']
+
+  const { data } = useQuery(['daily-score', groupSlugs], () =>
+    Promise.all(
+      (groupSlugs ?? []).map((slug) =>
+        dailyScoreIndex.search<CPMMBinaryContract>('', {
+          facetFilters: [...facetFilters, `groupLinks.slug:${slug}`],
+        })
+      )
+    )
+  )
+  if (!groupSlugs || !data || data.length !== groupSlugs.length)
+    return undefined
+
+  return zipObject(
+    groupSlugs,
+    data.map((d) => d.hits.filter((c) => c.dailyScore))
+  )
+}
+
 const q = new QueryClient()
 export const getCachedContracts = async () =>
   q.fetchQuery(['contracts'], () => listAllContracts(1000), {
diff --git a/web/hooks/use-group.ts b/web/hooks/use-group.ts
index 9bcb59cd..e918aa8c 100644
--- a/web/hooks/use-group.ts
+++ b/web/hooks/use-group.ts
@@ -104,7 +104,7 @@ export const useMemberGroupIds = (user: User | null | undefined) => {
 }
 
 export function useMemberGroupsSubscription(user: User | null | undefined) {
-  const cachedGroups = useMemberGroups(user?.id) ?? []
+  const cachedGroups = useMemberGroups(user?.id)
   const [groups, setGroups] = useState(cachedGroups)
 
   const userId = user?.id
diff --git a/web/hooks/use-prob-changes.tsx b/web/hooks/use-prob-changes.tsx
index f3a6eee9..f2f3ce13 100644
--- a/web/hooks/use-prob-changes.tsx
+++ b/web/hooks/use-prob-changes.tsx
@@ -1,75 +1,47 @@
-import { useFirestoreQueryData } from '@react-query-firebase/firestore'
-import { CPMMContract } from 'common/contract'
-import { MINUTE_MS } from 'common/util/time'
-import { useQuery, useQueryClient } from 'react-query'
+import { CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { sortBy, uniqBy } from 'lodash'
+import { useQuery } from 'react-query'
 import {
-  getProbChangesNegative,
-  getProbChangesPositive,
-} from 'web/lib/firebase/contracts'
-import { getValues } from 'web/lib/firebase/utils'
-import { getIndexName, searchClient } from 'web/lib/service/algolia'
+  probChangeAscendingIndex,
+  probChangeDescendingIndex,
+} from 'web/lib/service/algolia'
 
-export const useProbChangesAlgolia = (userId: string) => {
-  const { data: positiveData } = useQuery(['prob-change-day', userId], () =>
-    searchClient
-      .initIndex(getIndexName('prob-change-day'))
-      .search<CPMMContract>('', {
-        facetFilters: ['uniqueBettorIds:' + userId, 'isResolved:false'],
-      })
-  )
-  const { data: negativeData } = useQuery(
-    ['prob-change-day-ascending', userId],
-    () =>
-      searchClient
-        .initIndex(getIndexName('prob-change-day-ascending'))
-        .search<CPMMContract>('', {
-          facetFilters: ['uniqueBettorIds:' + userId, 'isResolved:false'],
-        })
-  )
+export const useProbChanges = (
+  filters: { bettorId?: string; groupSlugs?: string[] } = {}
+) => {
+  const { bettorId, groupSlugs } = filters
 
-  if (!positiveData || !negativeData) {
-    return undefined
+  const bettorFilter = bettorId ? `uniqueBettorIds:${bettorId}` : ''
+  const groupFilters = groupSlugs
+    ? groupSlugs.map((slug) => `groupLinks.slug:${slug}`)
+    : []
+
+  const facetFilters = [
+    'isResolved:false',
+    'outcomeType:BINARY',
+    bettorFilter,
+    groupFilters,
+  ]
+  const searchParams = {
+    facetFilters,
+    hitsPerPage: 50,
   }
 
-  return {
-    positiveChanges: positiveData.hits
-      .filter((c) => c.probChanges && c.probChanges.day > 0)
-      .filter((c) => c.outcomeType === 'BINARY'),
-    negativeChanges: negativeData.hits
-      .filter((c) => c.probChanges && c.probChanges.day < 0)
-      .filter((c) => c.outcomeType === 'BINARY'),
-  }
-}
-
-export const useProbChanges = (userId: string) => {
-  const { data: positiveChanges } = useFirestoreQueryData(
-    ['prob-changes-day-positive', userId],
-    getProbChangesPositive(userId)
-  )
-  const { data: negativeChanges } = useFirestoreQueryData(
-    ['prob-changes-day-negative', userId],
-    getProbChangesNegative(userId)
-  )
-
-  if (!positiveChanges || !negativeChanges) {
-    return undefined
-  }
-
-  return { positiveChanges, negativeChanges }
-}
-
-export const usePrefetchProbChanges = (userId: string | undefined) => {
-  const queryClient = useQueryClient()
-  if (userId) {
-    queryClient.prefetchQuery(
-      ['prob-changes-day-positive', userId],
-      () => getValues(getProbChangesPositive(userId)),
-      { staleTime: MINUTE_MS }
-    )
-    queryClient.prefetchQuery(
-      ['prob-changes-day-negative', userId],
-      () => getValues(getProbChangesNegative(userId)),
-      { staleTime: MINUTE_MS }
-    )
-  }
+  const { data: positiveChanges } = useQuery(
+    ['prob-change-day', groupSlugs],
+    () => probChangeDescendingIndex.search<CPMMBinaryContract>('', searchParams)
+  )
+  const { data: negativeChanges } = useQuery(
+    ['prob-change-day-ascending', groupSlugs],
+    () => probChangeAscendingIndex.search<CPMMBinaryContract>('', searchParams)
+  )
+
+  if (!positiveChanges || !negativeChanges) return undefined
+
+  const hits = uniqBy(
+    [...positiveChanges.hits, ...negativeChanges.hits],
+    (c) => c.id
+  )
+
+  return sortBy(hits, (c) => Math.abs(c.probChanges.day)).reverse()
 }
diff --git a/web/lib/firebase/contracts.ts b/web/lib/firebase/contracts.ts
index 33f6533b..927f7187 100644
--- a/web/lib/firebase/contracts.ts
+++ b/web/lib/firebase/contracts.ts
@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ import {
 import { partition, sortBy, sum, uniqBy } from 'lodash'
 
 import { coll, getValues, listenForValue, listenForValues } from './utils'
-import { BinaryContract, Contract, CPMMContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { BinaryContract, Contract } from 'common/contract'
 import { chooseRandomSubset } from 'common/util/random'
 import { formatMoney, formatPercent } from 'common/util/format'
 import { DAY_MS } from 'common/util/time'
@@ -426,21 +426,3 @@ export async function getRecentBetsAndComments(contract: Contract) {
     recentComments,
   }
 }
-
-export const getProbChangesPositive = (userId: string) =>
-  query(
-    contracts,
-    where('uniqueBettorIds', 'array-contains', userId),
-    where('probChanges.day', '>', 0),
-    orderBy('probChanges.day', 'desc'),
-    limit(10)
-  ) as Query<CPMMContract>
-
-export const getProbChangesNegative = (userId: string) =>
-  query(
-    contracts,
-    where('uniqueBettorIds', 'array-contains', userId),
-    where('probChanges.day', '<', 0),
-    orderBy('probChanges.day', 'asc'),
-    limit(10)
-  ) as Query<CPMMContract>
diff --git a/web/lib/service/algolia.ts b/web/lib/service/algolia.ts
index 3b6648a1..29cbd6bf 100644
--- a/web/lib/service/algolia.ts
+++ b/web/lib/service/algolia.ts
@@ -13,3 +13,13 @@ export const searchIndexName =
 export const getIndexName = (sort: string) => {
   return `${indexPrefix}contracts-${sort}`
 }
+
+export const probChangeDescendingIndex = searchClient.initIndex(
+  getIndexName('prob-change-day')
+)
+export const probChangeAscendingIndex = searchClient.initIndex(
+  getIndexName('prob-change-day-ascending')
+)
+export const dailyScoreIndex = searchClient.initIndex(
+  getIndexName('daily-score')
+)
diff --git a/web/pages/daily-movers.tsx b/web/pages/daily-movers.tsx
index 3b709d89..0a17e9e2 100644
--- a/web/pages/daily-movers.tsx
+++ b/web/pages/daily-movers.tsx
@@ -2,14 +2,17 @@ import { ProbChangeTable } from 'web/components/contract/prob-change-table'
 import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
 import { Page } from 'web/components/page'
 import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
-import { useProbChangesAlgolia } from 'web/hooks/use-prob-changes'
+import { useProbChanges } from 'web/hooks/use-prob-changes'
 import { useTracking } from 'web/hooks/use-tracking'
 import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
 
 export default function DailyMovers() {
   const user = useUser()
+  const bettorId = user?.id ?? undefined
 
-  const changes = useProbChangesAlgolia(user?.id ?? '')
+  const changes = useProbChanges({ bettorId })?.filter(
+    (c) => Math.abs(c.probChanges.day) >= 0.01
+  )
 
   useTracking('view daily movers')
 
diff --git a/web/pages/home/edit.tsx b/web/pages/home/edit.tsx
index 48e10c6c..8c5f8ab5 100644
--- a/web/pages/home/edit.tsx
+++ b/web/pages/home/edit.tsx
@@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ export default function Home() {
   }
 
   const groups = useMemberGroupsSubscription(user)
-  const { sections } = getHomeItems(groups, homeSections)
+  const { sections } = getHomeItems(groups ?? [], homeSections)
 
   return (
     <Page>
diff --git a/web/pages/home/index.tsx b/web/pages/home/index.tsx
index 83bcb15b..f13fc200 100644
--- a/web/pages/home/index.tsx
+++ b/web/pages/home/index.tsx
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import {
 import { PlusCircleIcon, XCircleIcon } from '@heroicons/react/outline'
 import clsx from 'clsx'
 import { toast, Toaster } from 'react-hot-toast'
+import { Dictionary } from 'lodash'
 
 import { Page } from 'web/components/page'
 import { Col } from 'web/components/layout/col'
@@ -31,11 +32,10 @@ import { ProbChangeTable } from 'web/components/contract/prob-change-table'
 import { groupPath, joinGroup, leaveGroup } from 'web/lib/firebase/groups'
 import { usePortfolioHistory } from 'web/hooks/use-portfolio-history'
 import { formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
-import { useProbChangesAlgolia } from 'web/hooks/use-prob-changes'
+import { useProbChanges } from 'web/hooks/use-prob-changes'
 import { ProfitBadge } from 'web/components/bets-list'
 import { calculatePortfolioProfit } from 'common/calculate-metrics'
 import { hasCompletedStreakToday } from 'web/components/profile/betting-streak-modal'
-import { useContractsQuery } from 'web/hooks/use-contracts'
 import { ContractsGrid } from 'web/components/contract/contracts-grid'
 import { PillButton } from 'web/components/buttons/pill-button'
 import { filterDefined } from 'common/util/array'
@@ -43,6 +43,8 @@ import { updateUser } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
 import { isArray, keyBy } from 'lodash'
 import { usePrefetch } from 'web/hooks/use-prefetch'
 import { Title } from 'web/components/title'
+import { CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { useContractsByDailyScoreGroups } from 'web/hooks/use-contracts'
 
 export default function Home() {
   const user = useUser()
@@ -54,20 +56,19 @@ export default function Home() {
 
   const groups = useMemberGroupsSubscription(user)
 
-  const { sections } = getHomeItems(groups, user?.homeSections ?? [])
+  const { sections } = getHomeItems(groups ?? [], user?.homeSections ?? [])
 
   useEffect(() => {
-    if (
-      user &&
-      !user.homeSections &&
-      sections.length > 0 &&
-      groups.length > 0
-    ) {
+    if (user && !user.homeSections && sections.length > 0 && groups) {
       // Save initial home sections.
       updateUser(user.id, { homeSections: sections.map((s) => s.id) })
     }
   }, [user, sections, groups])
 
+  const groupContracts = useContractsByDailyScoreGroups(
+    groups?.map((g) => g.slug)
+  )
+
   return (
     <Page>
       <Toaster />
@@ -81,9 +82,13 @@ export default function Home() {
           <DailyStats user={user} />
         </Row>
 
-        {sections.map((section) => renderSection(section, user, groups))}
+        <>
+          {sections.map((section) =>
+            renderSection(section, user, groups, groupContracts)
+          )}
 
-        <TrendingGroupsSection user={user} />
+          <TrendingGroupsSection user={user} />
+        </>
       </Col>
       <button
         type="button"
@@ -134,7 +139,8 @@ export const getHomeItems = (groups: Group[], sections: string[]) => {
 function renderSection(
   section: { id: string; label: string },
   user: User | null | undefined,
-  groups: Group[]
+  groups: Group[] | undefined,
+  groupContracts: Dictionary<CPMMBinaryContract[]> | undefined
 ) {
   const { id, label } = section
   if (id === 'daily-movers') {
@@ -156,8 +162,23 @@ function renderSection(
       <SearchSection key={id} label={label} sort={sort.value} user={user} />
     )
 
-  const group = groups.find((g) => g.id === id)
-  if (group) return <GroupSection key={id} group={group} user={user} />
+  if (groups && groupContracts) {
+    const group = groups.find((g) => g.id === id)
+    if (group) {
+      const contracts = groupContracts[group.slug].filter(
+        (c) => Math.abs(c.probChanges.day) >= 0.01
+      )
+      if (contracts.length === 0) return null
+      return (
+        <GroupSection
+          key={id}
+          group={group}
+          user={user}
+          contracts={contracts}
+        />
+      )
+    }
+  }
 
   return null
 }
@@ -207,7 +228,6 @@ function SearchSection(props: {
         defaultPill={pill}
         noControls
         maxResults={6}
-        headerClassName="sticky"
         persistPrefix={`home-${sort}`}
       />
     </Col>
@@ -217,10 +237,9 @@ function SearchSection(props: {
 function GroupSection(props: {
   group: Group
   user: User | null | undefined | undefined
+  contracts: CPMMBinaryContract[]
 }) {
-  const { group, user } = props
-
-  const contracts = useContractsQuery('score', 4, { groupSlug: group.slug })
+  const { group, user, contracts } = props
 
   return (
     <Col>
@@ -245,22 +264,22 @@ function GroupSection(props: {
           <XCircleIcon className={'h-5 w-5 flex-shrink-0'} aria-hidden="true" />
         </Button>
       </SectionHeader>
-      <ContractsGrid contracts={contracts} />
+      <ContractsGrid
+        contracts={contracts.slice(0, 4)}
+        cardUIOptions={{ showProbChange: true }}
+      />
     </Col>
   )
 }
 
 function DailyMoversSection(props: { userId: string | null | undefined }) {
   const { userId } = props
-  const changes = useProbChangesAlgolia(userId ?? '')
+  const changes = useProbChanges({ bettorId: userId ?? undefined })?.filter(
+    (c) => Math.abs(c.probChanges.day) >= 0.01
+  )
 
-  if (changes) {
-    const { positiveChanges, negativeChanges } = changes
-    if (
-      !positiveChanges.find((c) => c.probChanges.day >= 0.01) ||
-      !negativeChanges.find((c) => c.probChanges.day <= -0.01)
-    )
-      return null
+  if (changes && changes.length === 0) {
+    return null
   }
 
   return (
@@ -332,6 +351,10 @@ export function TrendingGroupsSection(props: {
   const count = full ? 100 : 25
   const chosenGroups = groups.slice(0, count)
 
+  if (chosenGroups.length === 0) {
+    return null
+  }
+
   return (
     <Col className={className}>
       <SectionHeader label="Trending groups" href="/explore-groups">