diff --git a/web/components/amount-input.tsx b/web/components/amount-input.tsx
index 426a9371..cb071850 100644
--- a/web/components/amount-input.tsx
+++ b/web/components/amount-input.tsx
@@ -3,7 +3,6 @@ import React from 'react'
 import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
 import { formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
 import { Col } from './layout/col'
-import { Spacer } from './layout/spacer'
 import { SiteLink } from './site-link'
 import { ENV_CONFIG } from 'common/envs/constants'
 
@@ -37,7 +36,7 @@ export function AmountInput(props: {
 
   return (
     <Col className={className}>
-      <label className="input-group">
+      <label className="input-group mb-4">
         <span className="bg-gray-200 text-sm">{label}</span>
         <input
           className={clsx(
@@ -57,8 +56,6 @@ export function AmountInput(props: {
         />
       </label>
 
-      <Spacer h={4} />
-
       {error && (
         <div className="mb-2 mr-auto self-center whitespace-nowrap text-xs font-medium tracking-wide text-red-500">
           {error === 'Insufficient balance' ? (
@@ -115,6 +112,8 @@ export function BuyAmountInput(props: {
       } else {
         setError(undefined)
       }
+    } else {
+      setError(undefined)
     }
   }
 
diff --git a/web/components/bet-row.tsx b/web/components/bet-button.tsx
similarity index 94%
rename from web/components/bet-row.tsx
rename to web/components/bet-button.tsx
index 56fff9bd..d7d62e7d 100644
--- a/web/components/bet-row.tsx
+++ b/web/components/bet-button.tsx
@@ -9,8 +9,8 @@ import { useUserContractBets } from 'web/hooks/use-user-bets'
 import { useSaveBinaryShares } from './use-save-binary-shares'
 import { Col } from './layout/col'
 
-// Inline version of a bet panel. Opens BetPanel in a new modal.
-export default function BetRow(props: {
+/** Button that opens BetPanel in a new modal */
+export default function BetButton(props: {
   contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
   className?: string
   btnClassName?: string
diff --git a/web/components/bet-inline.tsx b/web/components/bet-inline.tsx
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..7eda7198
--- /dev/null
+++ b/web/components/bet-inline.tsx
@@ -0,0 +1,127 @@
+import { track } from '@amplitude/analytics-browser'
+import clsx from 'clsx'
+import { CPMMBinaryContract, PseudoNumericContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { getBinaryCpmmBetInfo } from 'common/new-bet'
+import { APIError } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
+import { useEffect, useState } from 'react'
+import { useMutation } from 'react-query'
+import { placeBet } from 'web/lib/firebase/api'
+import { BuyAmountInput } from './amount-input'
+import { Button } from './button'
+import { Row } from './layout/row'
+import { YesNoSelector } from './yes-no-selector'
+import { useUnfilledBets } from 'web/hooks/use-bets'
+import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
+import { SignUpPrompt } from './sign-up-prompt'
+import { getCpmmProbability } from 'common/calculate-cpmm'
+import { Col } from './layout/col'
+import { XIcon } from '@heroicons/react/solid'
+import { formatMoney } from 'common/util/format'
+
+// adapted from bet-panel.ts
+export function BetInline(props: {
+  contract: CPMMBinaryContract | PseudoNumericContract
+  className?: string
+  setProbAfter: (probAfter: number) => void
+  onClose: () => void
+}) {
+  const { contract, className, setProbAfter, onClose } = props
+
+  const user = useUser()
+
+  const [outcome, setOutcome] = useState<'YES' | 'NO'>('YES')
+  const [amount, setAmount] = useState<number>()
+  const [error, setError] = useState<string>()
+
+  const isPseudoNumeric = contract.outcomeType === 'PSEUDO_NUMERIC'
+  const unfilledBets = useUnfilledBets(contract.id) ?? []
+
+  const { newPool, newP } = getBinaryCpmmBetInfo(
+    outcome ?? 'YES',
+    amount ?? 0,
+    contract,
+    undefined,
+    unfilledBets
+  )
+  const resultProb = getCpmmProbability(newPool, newP)
+  useEffect(() => setProbAfter(resultProb), [setProbAfter, resultProb])
+
+  const submitBet = useMutation(
+    () => placeBet({ outcome, amount, contractId: contract.id }),
+    {
+      onError: (e) =>
+        setError(e instanceof APIError ? e.toString() : 'Error placing bet'),
+      onSuccess: () => {
+        track('bet', {
+          location: 'embed',
+          outcomeType: contract.outcomeType,
+          slug: contract.slug,
+          contractId: contract.id,
+          amount,
+          outcome,
+          isLimitOrder: false,
+        })
+        setAmount(undefined)
+      },
+    }
+  )
+
+  // reset error / success state on user change
+  useEffect(() => {
+    amount && submitBet.reset()
+    // eslint-disable-next-line react-hooks/exhaustive-deps
+  }, [outcome, amount])
+
+  const tooFewFunds = error === 'Insufficient balance'
+
+  const betDisabled = submitBet.isLoading || tooFewFunds || !amount
+
+  return (
+    <Col className={clsx('items-center', className)}>
+      <Row className="h-12 items-stretch gap-3 rounded bg-indigo-200 py-2 px-3">
+        <div className="text-xl">Bet</div>
+        <YesNoSelector
+          className="space-x-0"
+          btnClassName="rounded-none first:rounded-l-2xl last:rounded-r-2xl"
+          selected={outcome}
+          onSelect={setOutcome}
+          isPseudoNumeric={isPseudoNumeric}
+        />
+        <BuyAmountInput
+          className="-mb-4"
+          inputClassName={clsx(
+            'input-sm w-20 !text-base',
+            error && 'input-error'
+          )}
+          amount={amount}
+          onChange={setAmount}
+          error="" // handle error ourselves
+          setError={setError}
+        />
+        {user && (
+          <Button
+            color={({ YES: 'green', NO: 'red' } as const)[outcome]}
+            size="xs"
+            disabled={betDisabled}
+            onClick={() => submitBet.mutate()}
+          >
+            {submitBet.isLoading
+              ? 'Submitting'
+              : submitBet.isSuccess
+              ? 'Success!'
+              : 'Submit'}
+          </Button>
+        )}
+        <SignUpPrompt size="xs" />
+        <button onClick={onClose}>
+          <XIcon className="ml-1 h-6 w-6" />
+        </button>
+      </Row>
+      {error && (
+        <div className="text-error my-1 text-sm">
+          {error} {tooFewFunds && `(${formatMoney(user?.balance ?? 0)})`}
+        </div>
+      )}
+    </Col>
+  )
+}
diff --git a/web/components/button.tsx b/web/components/button.tsx
index 57b2add9..843f74ca 100644
--- a/web/components/button.tsx
+++ b/web/components/button.tsx
@@ -1,20 +1,23 @@
 import { ReactNode } from 'react'
 import clsx from 'clsx'
 
+export type SizeType = '2xs' | 'xs' | 'sm' | 'md' | 'lg' | 'xl' | '2xl'
+export type ColorType =
+  | 'green'
+  | 'red'
+  | 'blue'
+  | 'indigo'
+  | 'yellow'
+  | 'gray'
+  | 'gradient'
+  | 'gray-white'
+
 export function Button(props: {
   className?: string
   onClick?: () => void
   children?: ReactNode
-  size?: '2xs' | 'xs' | 'sm' | 'md' | 'lg' | 'xl' | '2xl'
-  color?:
-    | 'green'
-    | 'red'
-    | 'blue'
-    | 'indigo'
-    | 'yellow'
-    | 'gray'
-    | 'gradient'
-    | 'gray-white'
+  size?: SizeType
+  color?: ColorType
   type?: 'button' | 'reset' | 'submit'
   disabled?: boolean
 }) {
diff --git a/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx b/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
index 3d4fa8d1..c3bf1a31 100644
--- a/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
+++ b/web/components/contract/contract-card.tsx
@@ -185,11 +185,16 @@ export function BinaryResolutionOrChance(props: {
   contract: BinaryContract
   large?: boolean
   className?: string
+  probAfter?: number // 0 to 1
 }) {
-  const { contract, large, className } = props
+  const { contract, large, className, probAfter } = props
   const { resolution } = contract
   const textColor = `text-${getColor(contract)}`
 
+  const before = getBinaryProbPercent(contract)
+  const after = probAfter && formatPercent(probAfter)
+  const probChanged = before !== after
+
   return (
     <Col className={clsx(large ? 'text-4xl' : 'text-3xl', className)}>
       {resolution ? (
@@ -206,7 +211,14 @@ export function BinaryResolutionOrChance(props: {
         </>
       ) : (
         <>
-          <div className={textColor}>{getBinaryProbPercent(contract)}</div>
+          {probAfter && probChanged ? (
+            <div>
+              <span className="text-gray-500 line-through">{before}</span>
+              <span className={textColor}>{after}</span>
+            </div>
+          ) : (
+            <div className={textColor}>{before}</div>
+          )}
           <div className={clsx(textColor, large ? 'text-xl' : 'text-base')}>
             chance
           </div>
diff --git a/web/components/contract/contract-overview.tsx b/web/components/contract/contract-overview.tsx
index b95bb02b..bba30776 100644
--- a/web/components/contract/contract-overview.tsx
+++ b/web/components/contract/contract-overview.tsx
@@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ import {
   PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation,
 } from './contract-card'
 import { Bet } from 'common/bet'
-import BetRow from '../bet-row'
+import BetButton from '../bet-button'
 import { AnswersGraph } from '../answers/answers-graph'
 import { Contract, CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
 import { ContractDescription } from './contract-description'
@@ -73,18 +73,18 @@ export const ContractOverview = (props: {
             <BinaryResolutionOrChance contract={contract} />
 
             {tradingAllowed(contract) && (
-              <BetRow contract={contract as CPMMBinaryContract} />
+              <BetButton contract={contract as CPMMBinaryContract} />
             )}
           </Row>
         ) : isPseudoNumeric ? (
           <Row className="items-center justify-between gap-4 xl:hidden">
             <PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation contract={contract} />
-            {tradingAllowed(contract) && <BetRow contract={contract} />}
+            {tradingAllowed(contract) && <BetButton contract={contract} />}
           </Row>
         ) : isPseudoNumeric ? (
           <Row className="items-center justify-between gap-4 xl:hidden">
             <PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation contract={contract} />
-            {tradingAllowed(contract) && <BetRow contract={contract} />}
+            {tradingAllowed(contract) && <BetButton contract={contract} />}
           </Row>
         ) : (
           (outcomeType === 'FREE_RESPONSE' ||
diff --git a/web/components/feed/feed-items.tsx b/web/components/feed/feed-items.tsx
index d60fb8da..dcd5743b 100644
--- a/web/components/feed/feed-items.tsx
+++ b/web/components/feed/feed-items.tsx
@@ -19,7 +19,7 @@ import { BinaryResolutionOrChance } from '../contract/contract-card'
 import { SiteLink } from '../site-link'
 import { Col } from '../layout/col'
 import { UserLink } from '../user-page'
-import BetRow from '../bet-row'
+import BetButton from '../bet-button'
 import { Avatar } from '../avatar'
 import { ActivityItem } from './activity-items'
 import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
@@ -76,7 +76,7 @@ export function FeedItems(props: {
       ) : (
         outcomeType === 'BINARY' &&
         tradingAllowed(contract) && (
-          <BetRow
+          <BetButton
             contract={contract as CPMMBinaryContract}
             className={clsx('mb-2', betRowClassName)}
           />
diff --git a/web/components/sign-up-prompt.tsx b/web/components/sign-up-prompt.tsx
index 8882ccfd..6a55fc28 100644
--- a/web/components/sign-up-prompt.tsx
+++ b/web/components/sign-up-prompt.tsx
@@ -2,17 +2,21 @@ import React from 'react'
 import { useUser } from 'web/hooks/use-user'
 import { firebaseLogin } from 'web/lib/firebase/users'
 import { withTracking } from 'web/lib/service/analytics'
-import { Button } from './button'
+import { Button, SizeType } from './button'
 
-export function SignUpPrompt(props: { label?: string; className?: string }) {
-  const { label, className } = props
+export function SignUpPrompt(props: {
+  label?: string
+  className?: string
+  size?: SizeType
+}) {
+  const { label, className, size = 'lg' } = props
   const user = useUser()
 
   return user === null ? (
     <Button
       onClick={withTracking(firebaseLogin, 'sign up to bet')}
       className={className}
-      size="lg"
+      size={size}
       color="gradient"
     >
       {label ?? 'Sign up to bet!'}
diff --git a/web/components/yes-no-selector.tsx b/web/components/yes-no-selector.tsx
index 3b3cc21d..aaf1764e 100644
--- a/web/components/yes-no-selector.tsx
+++ b/web/components/yes-no-selector.tsx
@@ -38,7 +38,7 @@ export function YesNoSelector(props: {
             'hover:bg-primary-focus border-primary hover:border-primary-focus hover:text-white',
             selected == 'YES'
               ? 'bg-primary text-white'
-              : 'text-primary bg-transparent',
+              : 'text-primary bg-white',
             btnClassName
           )}
           onClick={() => onSelect('YES')}
@@ -55,7 +55,7 @@ export function YesNoSelector(props: {
             'border-red-400 hover:border-red-500 hover:bg-red-500 hover:text-white',
             selected == 'NO'
               ? 'bg-red-400 text-white'
-              : 'bg-transparent text-red-400',
+              : 'bg-white text-red-400',
             btnClassName
           )}
           onClick={() => onSelect('NO')}
diff --git a/web/pages/embed/[username]/[contractSlug].tsx b/web/pages/embed/[username]/[contractSlug].tsx
index d38c6e5b..83d83871 100644
--- a/web/pages/embed/[username]/[contractSlug].tsx
+++ b/web/pages/embed/[username]/[contractSlug].tsx
@@ -1,8 +1,10 @@
 import { Bet } from 'common/bet'
-import { Contract, CPMMBinaryContract } from 'common/contract'
+import { Contract } from 'common/contract'
 import { DOMAIN } from 'common/envs/constants'
+import { useState } from 'react'
 import { AnswersGraph } from 'web/components/answers/answers-graph'
-import BetRow from 'web/components/bet-row'
+import { BetInline } from 'web/components/bet-inline'
+import { Button } from 'web/components/button'
 import {
   BinaryResolutionOrChance,
   FreeResponseResolutionOrChance,
@@ -19,7 +21,6 @@ import { SiteLink } from 'web/components/site-link'
 import { useContractWithPreload } from 'web/hooks/use-contract'
 import { useMeasureSize } from 'web/hooks/use-measure-size'
 import { fromPropz, usePropz } from 'web/hooks/use-propz'
-import { useWindowSize } from 'web/hooks/use-window-size'
 import { listAllBets } from 'web/lib/firebase/bets'
 import {
   contractPath,
@@ -88,18 +89,15 @@ export function ContractEmbed(props: { contract: Contract; bets: Bet[] }) {
 
   const href = `https://${DOMAIN}${contractPath(contract)}`
 
-  const { height: windowHeight } = useWindowSize()
-  const { setElem, height: topSectionHeight } = useMeasureSize()
-  const paddingBottom = 8
+  const { setElem, height: graphHeight } = useMeasureSize()
 
-  const graphHeight =
-    windowHeight && topSectionHeight
-      ? windowHeight - topSectionHeight - paddingBottom
-      : 0
+  const [betPanelOpen, setBetPanelOpen] = useState(false)
+
+  const [probAfter, setProbAfter] = useState<number>()
 
   return (
-    <Col className="w-full flex-1 bg-white">
-      <div className="relative flex flex-col pt-2" ref={setElem}>
+    <Col className="h-[100vh] w-full bg-white">
+      <div className="relative flex flex-col pt-2">
         <div className="px-3 text-xl text-indigo-700 md:text-2xl">
           <SiteLink href={href}>{question}</SiteLink>
         </div>
@@ -114,25 +112,24 @@ export function ContractEmbed(props: { contract: Contract; bets: Bet[] }) {
             disabled
           />
 
+          {(isBinary || isPseudoNumeric) &&
+            tradingAllowed(contract) &&
+            !betPanelOpen && (
+              <Button color="gradient" onClick={() => setBetPanelOpen(true)}>
+                Bet
+              </Button>
+            )}
+
           {isBinary && (
-            <Row className="items-center gap-4">
-              {tradingAllowed(contract) && (
-                <BetRow
-                  contract={contract as CPMMBinaryContract}
-                  betPanelClassName="scale-75"
-                />
-              )}
-              <BinaryResolutionOrChance contract={contract} />
-            </Row>
+            <BinaryResolutionOrChance
+              contract={contract}
+              probAfter={probAfter}
+              className="items-center"
+            />
           )}
 
           {isPseudoNumeric && (
-            <Row className="items-center gap-4">
-              {tradingAllowed(contract) && (
-                <BetRow contract={contract} betPanelClassName="scale-75" />
-              )}
-              <PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation contract={contract} />
-            </Row>
+            <PseudoNumericResolutionOrExpectation contract={contract} />
           )}
 
           {outcomeType === 'FREE_RESPONSE' && (
@@ -150,7 +147,16 @@ export function ContractEmbed(props: { contract: Contract; bets: Bet[] }) {
         <Spacer h={2} />
       </div>
 
-      <div className="mx-1" style={{ paddingBottom }}>
+      {(isBinary || isPseudoNumeric) && betPanelOpen && (
+        <BetInline
+          contract={contract as any}
+          setProbAfter={setProbAfter}
+          onClose={() => setBetPanelOpen(false)}
+          className="self-center"
+        />
+      )}
+
+      <div className="mx-1 mb-2 min-h-0 flex-1" ref={setElem}>
         {(isBinary || isPseudoNumeric) && (
           <ContractProbGraph
             contract={contract}