import numpy as np # This function is a sklearn.calibration.calibration_curve modification def calibration_curve(y_true, y_prob, *, n_bins=5, strategy="uniform"): y_true = np.array(y_true) y_prob = np.array(y_prob) if strategy == "quantile": # Determine bin edges by distribution of data quantiles = np.linspace(0, 1, n_bins + 1) bins = np.percentile(y_prob, quantiles * 100) bins[-1] = bins[-1] + 1e-8 elif strategy == "uniform": bins = np.linspace(0.0, 1.0 + 1e-8, n_bins + 1) else: raise ValueError( "Invalid entry to 'strategy' input. Strategy " "must be either 'quantile' or 'uniform'." ) binids = np.digitize(y_prob, bins) - 1 bin_sums = np.bincount(binids, weights=y_prob, minlength=len(bins)) bin_true = np.bincount(binids, weights=y_true, minlength=len(bins)) bin_total = np.bincount(binids, minlength=len(bins)) nonzero = bin_total != 0 prob_true = bin_true[nonzero] / bin_total[nonzero] prob_pred = bin_sums[nonzero] / bin_total[nonzero] return prob_true, prob_pred, bin_total[nonzero] def overconfidence(y_true, y_pred): x = y_pred * y_true + (1 - y_pred) * (1 - y_true) return np.mean((x - 1) * (x - 0.5)) / np.mean((x - 0.5) * (x - 0.5))