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Electoral votes/election

Year | Republican electoral college votes 2000 | 271 2004 | 286 2008 | 173 2012 | 206 2016 | 304 2020 | 232

Year | Democrat electoral college votes 2000 | 266 2004 | 251 2008 | 365 2012 | 332 2016 | 227 2020 | 232

Ok, so because Obama really trounced the opposition, it won by more than the Republicans won, which means that the baserates approach didn't really work.