1215 lines
57 KiB
Plaintext
1215 lines
57 KiB
Plaintext
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State: Maryland
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Votes: 10
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Michigan
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Votes: 15
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
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Poll: {PollId:87623 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:53 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 670.700000
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Mean R: 44.210526
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Std of mean R: 1.917674
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.001268
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.417674
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.008318
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Poll: {PollId:87569 SampleSize:512 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:7 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 435.200000
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Mean R: 51.764706
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Std of mean R: 2.395272
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.769361
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.895272
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.728908
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Poll: {PollId:87572 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:41.6 Kennedy:9.7 Newsom:32.7 Oliver:0.7 Stein:0.3 Trump:40.3 Whitmer:43.3] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 491.400000
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Mean R: 49.206349
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Std of mean R: 2.255266
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.362453
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.755266
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.386655
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Poll: {PollId:87585 SampleSize:1012 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:47 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:1 Whitmer:52] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 981.640000
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Mean R: 49.484536
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Std of mean R: 1.595772
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.373341
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.095772
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.402859
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Poll: {PollId:87577 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
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Sample size: 475.000000
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Mean R: 51.578947
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Std of mean R: 2.293013
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.754460
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.793013
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.714072
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Poll: {PollId:87645 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 360.000000
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Mean R: 50.000000
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Std of mean R: 2.635231
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.135231
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Poll: {PollId:87685 SampleSize:771 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 639.930000
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Mean R: 50.602410
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Std of mean R: 1.976388
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.619742
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.476388
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.596099
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4053 PollResults:map[Harris:50.70932220322803 Trump:49.290677796771966] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 4053.000000
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Mean R: 49.290678
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Std of mean R: 0.785304
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.183198
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.285304
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.290518
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State: Mississippi
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Votes: 6
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Nevada
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Votes: 6
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
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Poll: {PollId:87687 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Harris:40 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 376.000000
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Mean R: 50.000000
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Std of mean R: 2.578553
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.078553
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Poll: {PollId:87646 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 364.000000
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Mean R: 50.549451
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Std of mean R: 2.620554
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.583037
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.120554
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.569882
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Poll: {PollId:87624 SampleSize:454 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:7 Oliver:3 Stein:1 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 417.680000
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Mean R: 48.913043
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Std of mean R: 2.445938
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.328379
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.945938
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.356076
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Poll: {PollId:87562 SampleSize:435 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 382.800000
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Mean R: 51.136364
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Std of mean R: 2.554888
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.671761
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.054888
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.645047
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1540 PollResults:map[Harris:49.88250415454923 Trump:50.11749584545077] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1540.000000
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Mean R: 50.117496
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Std of mean R: 1.274114
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.536737
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.774114
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.526402
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State: New York
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Votes: 28
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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Poll: {PollId:87678 SampleSize:1199 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:2 Trump:37 West:1] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1031.140000
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Mean R: 43.023256
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Std of mean R: 1.541848
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708515
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1031 PollResults:map[Harris:56.97674418604652 Trump:43.02325581395349] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1031.000000
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Mean R: 43.023256
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Std of mean R: 1.541953
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708620
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022
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State: North Carolina
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Votes: 16
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
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Poll: {PollId:87564 SampleSize:586 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 521.540000
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Mean R: 51.685393
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Std of mean R: 2.188161
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.779419
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.688161
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.734660
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Poll: {PollId:87625 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:5 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 663.640000
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Mean R: 51.063830
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Std of mean R: 1.940463
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.708235
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.440463
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.668550
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Poll: {PollId:87689 SampleSize:714 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 606.900000
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Mean R: 51.764706
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Std of mean R: 2.028340
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.807857
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.528340
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757402
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1792 PollResults:map[Harris:48.51792330699522 Trump:51.48207669300478] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1792.000000
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Mean R: 51.482077
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Std of mean R: 1.180620
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.895322
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.680620
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.811075
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State: Kentucky
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Votes: 8
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Louisiana
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Votes: 8
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: North Dakota
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Oregon
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Votes: 8
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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Poll: {PollId:87634 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 595.000000
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Mean R: 47.058824
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Std of mean R: 2.046251
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.075309
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.212917
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.091908
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:595 PollResults:map[Harris:52.94117647058823 Trump:47.05882352941177] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 595.000000
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Mean R: 47.058824
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Std of mean R: 2.046251
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.075309
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.212917
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.091908
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State: South Carolina
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Votes: 9
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Virginia
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Votes: 13
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
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State: West Virginia
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Votes: 4
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Georgia
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Votes: 16
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
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Poll: {PollId:87633 SampleSize:662 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
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Sample size: 628.900000
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Mean R: 49.473684
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Std of mean R: 1.993679
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.395893
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.493679
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.416420
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Poll: {PollId:87568 SampleSize:1180 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:3 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1050.200000
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Mean R: 52.808989
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Std of mean R: 1.540450
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.965885
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.040450
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.915690
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Poll: {PollId:87684 SampleSize:1128 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1015.200000
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Mean R: 51.111111
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Std of mean R: 1.568870
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.760597
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.068870
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.704388
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Poll: {PollId:87622 SampleSize:799 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:4 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 751.060000
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Mean R: 50.000000
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Std of mean R: 1.824453
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.324453
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Poll: {PollId:87588 SampleSize:505 PollResults:map[Harris:46.4 Trump:49.9] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 486.315000
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Mean R: 51.817238
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Std of mean R: 2.265813
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.788731
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.765813
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.744421
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3931 PollResults:map[Harris:48.82219410302225 Trump:51.17780589697775] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 3931.000000
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Mean R: 51.177806
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Std of mean R: 0.797256
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.930206
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.297256
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.818040
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State: New Mexico
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Votes: 5
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History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
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Poll: {PollId:87688 SampleSize:493 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:8 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:37] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 399.330000
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Mean R: 45.679012
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Std of mean R: 2.492736
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.041509
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.992736
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074394
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:399 PollResults:map[Harris:54.32098765432099 Trump:45.67901234567901] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 399.000000
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Mean R: 45.679012
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Std of mean R: 2.493766
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.041573
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.993766
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074464
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State: Nebraska
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Votes: 5
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
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State: New Hampshire
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Votes: 4
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History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
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Poll: {PollId:87635 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:47.7 Kennedy:5.8 Stein:0.8 Trump:41.4 West:0.3] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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|
Sample size: 891.000000
|
|
Mean R: 46.464646
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Std of mean R: 1.670871
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|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.017178
|
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.170871
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.051705
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Poll: {PollId:87560 SampleSize:2083 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:0] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1958.020000
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Mean R: 46.808511
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Std of mean R: 1.127652
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|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.002326
|
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.627652
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.024952
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Poll: {PollId:87559 SampleSize:2875 PollResults:map[Harris:53 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46 West:0] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 2846.250000
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|
Mean R: 46.464646
|
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Std of mean R: 0.934857
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000078
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.434857
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.006872
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:5695 PollResults:map[Harris:53.41713386722666 Trump:46.58286613277333] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 5695.000000
|
|
Mean R: 46.582866
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.661008
|
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.161008
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001624
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State: New Jersey
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Votes: 14
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Wisconsin
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Votes: 10
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
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Poll: {PollId:87691 SampleSize:597 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 513.420000
|
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Mean R: 50.000000
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Std of mean R: 2.206651
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.706651
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Poll: {PollId:87582 SampleSize:1046 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:5 Shapiro:46 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1 Whitmer:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1025.080000
|
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Mean R: 50.000000
|
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Std of mean R: 1.561677
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|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.061677
|
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
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Poll: {PollId:87627 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:6 Oliver:3 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 672.000000
|
|
Mean R: 48.958333
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.928373
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.294537
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.428373
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.333977
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Poll: {PollId:87648 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 376.000000
|
|
Mean R: 48.936170
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.577969
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.339927
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.077969
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.364811
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87571 SampleSize:523 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 460.240000
|
|
Mean R: 50.000000
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.330654
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.830654
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3046 PollResults:map[Harris:50.36104163794745 Trump:49.638958362052556] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 3046.000000
|
|
Mean R: 49.638958
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.905928
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.345119
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.405928
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.398667
|
|
|
|
State: Alaska
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Massachusetts
|
|
Votes: 11
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Montana
|
|
Votes: 4
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Rhode Island
|
|
Votes: 4
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Tennessee
|
|
Votes: 11
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Texas
|
|
Votes: 40
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Utah
|
|
Votes: 6
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Washington
|
|
Votes: 12
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87576 SampleSize:581 PollResults:map[Harris:52 Kennedy:6 Trump:38] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
|
|
Sample size: 522.900000
|
|
Mean R: 42.222222
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.159940
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000159
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.326606
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000414
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Harris:57.77777777777778 Trump:42.22222222222222] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 522.000000
|
|
Mean R: 42.222222
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.161801
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000160
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.328468
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000418
|
|
|
|
State: District of Columbia
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Idaho
|
|
Votes: 4
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Delaware
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Maine
|
|
Votes: 4
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87558 SampleSize:1445 PollResults:map[Harris:54 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:1] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 1430.550000
|
|
Mean R: 45.454545
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.316487
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000277
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.483153
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001089
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1430 PollResults:map[Harris:54.54545454545454 Trump:45.454545454545446] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 1430.000000
|
|
Mean R: 45.454545
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.316740
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000278
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.483406
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001091
|
|
|
|
State: Minnesota
|
|
Votes: 10
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87581 SampleSize:656 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Trump:40] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 590.400000
|
|
Mean R: 44.444444
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.045028
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.003298
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.211695
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.006004
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87584 SampleSize:1071 PollResults:map[Harris:52 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:49 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:1 Whitmer:49] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 1038.870000
|
|
Mean R: 46.391753
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.547233
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.009849
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.713899
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.017633
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87686 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:41] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 468.060000
|
|
Mean R: 47.126437
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.307283
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.106487
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.473949
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.122713
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87570 SampleSize:475 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:41] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 403.750000
|
|
Mean R: 48.235294
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.486813
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.238968
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.653479
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.253008
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2501 PollResults:map[Harris:53.63283061717338 Trump:46.36716938282662] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 2501.000000
|
|
Mean R: 46.367169
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.997158
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000135
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.163824
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000900
|
|
|
|
State: Ohio
|
|
Votes: 17
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87650 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:9 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:52] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 564.000000
|
|
Mean R: 55.319149
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.093432
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:564 PollResults:map[Harris:44.680851063829785 Trump:55.319148936170215] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 564.000000
|
|
Mean R: 55.319149
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.093432
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867
|
|
|
|
State: Arizona
|
|
Votes: 11
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87631 SampleSize:618 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
|
|
Sample size: 593.280000
|
|
Mean R: 51.041667
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.052324
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.694117
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.552324
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.658409
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87644 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 364.000000
|
|
Mean R: 52.747253
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.616753
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.853111
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.116753
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.810962
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87566 SampleSize:510 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 453.900000
|
|
Mean R: 51.685393
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.345541
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.763792
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.845541
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.723173
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87682 SampleSize:567 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 493.290000
|
|
Mean R: 49.425287
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.251076
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.399243
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.751076
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.417261
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87621 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 771.840000
|
|
Mean R: 48.958333
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.799335
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.281322
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.299335
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.325264
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2676 PollResults:map[Harris:49.51593798924638 Trump:50.484062010753604] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 2676.000000
|
|
Mean R: 50.484062
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.966511
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.691756
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.466511
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.629329
|
|
|
|
State: Connecticut
|
|
Votes: 7
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: California
|
|
Votes: 54
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87620 SampleSize:1904 PollResults:map[De la Cruz:0 Harris:59 Kennedy:5 Stein:2 Trump:35 West:0] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 1789.760000
|
|
Mean R: 37.234043
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.142707
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309373
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1789 PollResults:map[Harris:62.765957446808514 Trump:37.23404255319149] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 1789.000000
|
|
Mean R: 37.234043
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.142949
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309616
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Hawaii
|
|
Votes: 4
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Indiana
|
|
Votes: 11
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
|
|
|
|
State: Iowa
|
|
Votes: 6
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
|
|
|
|
State: Vermont
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Wyoming
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Alabama
|
|
Votes: 9
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Arkansas
|
|
Votes: 6
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Illinois
|
|
Votes: 19
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Kansas
|
|
Votes: 6
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Missouri
|
|
Votes: 10
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Oklahoma
|
|
Votes: 7
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Pennsylvania
|
|
Votes: 19
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87583 SampleSize:1034 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:54 Stein:1 Trump:44 West:1 Whitmer:48] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 961.620000
|
|
Mean R: 47.311828
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.610051
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.047497
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.110051
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.101334
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87618 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:3 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 540.000000
|
|
Mean R: 47.777778
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.149531
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.150611
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.649531
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.200812
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87690 SampleSize:743 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 668.700000
|
|
Mean R: 51.111111
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.933068
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.717284
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.433068
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.676046
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87667 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Kennedy:4 Trump:45] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
|
|
Sample size: 540.000000
|
|
Mean R: 50.000000
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.151657
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.651657
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87632 SampleSize:627 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
|
|
Sample size: 595.650000
|
|
Mean R: 50.526316
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.048568
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.601379
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.548568
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.581805
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87647 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 372.000000
|
|
Mean R: 48.387097
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.591030
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.266808
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.091030
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.300904
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87638 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:46.4 Trump:47.6] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 470.000000
|
|
Mean R: 50.638298
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.306140
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.609026
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.806140
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589969
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87626 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:4 Stein:1 Trump:50] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 771.840000
|
|
Mean R: 52.083333
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.798163
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.876688
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.298163
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.817670
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87575 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:6 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 704.000000
|
|
Mean R: 50.000000
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.884446
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.384446
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87563 SampleSize:851 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 748.880000
|
|
Mean R: 52.272727
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.825218
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.893467
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.325218
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.835821
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87668 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Oliver:2 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM}
|
|
Sample size: 480.000000
|
|
Mean R: 47.916667
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.280195
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.180447
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.780195
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.226824
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:6852 PollResults:map[Harris:50.10484933653791 Trump:49.89515066346208] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 6852.000000
|
|
Mean R: 49.895151
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.604033
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.431097
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.104033
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.462170
|
|
|
|
State: South Dakota
|
|
Votes: 3
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
|
|
|
State: Colorado
|
|
Votes: 10
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
|
|
|
|
State: Florida
|
|
Votes: 30
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87567 SampleSize:572 PollResults:map[Harris:39 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 491.920000
|
|
Mean R: 54.651163
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.244582
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.980875
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.744582
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.954931
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87683 SampleSize:976 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 858.880000
|
|
Mean R: 53.409091
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.702127
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.977403
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.202127
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.939200
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87612 SampleSize:774 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 704.340000
|
|
Mean R: 53.846154
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.878409
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.979698
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.378409
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.947073
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2055 PollResults:map[Harris:46.143815019901325 Trump:53.85618498009868] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
|
Sample size: 2055.000000
|
|
Mean R: 53.856185
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.099686
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.999773
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.599686
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.992037
|
|
|
|
[ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%)
|
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[ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%)
|
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[ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 181, 182): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 182, 183): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 183, 184): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 185, 186): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 186, 187): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 187, 188): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 188, 189): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 189, 190): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 190, 191): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 191, 192): 0.00% (0%)
|
|
[ 192, 193): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 193, 194): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 194, 195): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 195, 196): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 196, 197): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 197, 198): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 198, 199): 0.02% (0%)
|
|
[ 199, 200): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
|
[ 200, 201): 0.02% (0%)
|
|
[ 201, 202): 0.01% (0%)
|
|
[ 202, 203): 0.02% (0%)
|
|
[ 203, 204): 0.02% (0%)
|
|
[ 204, 205): █ 0.04% (0%)
|
|
[ 205, 206): ██ 0.05% (0%)
|
|
[ 206, 207): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
|
[ 207, 208): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
|
[ 208, 209): █ 0.04% (0%)
|
|
[ 209, 210): ██ 0.06% (0%)
|
|
[ 210, 211): ███ 0.07% (1%)
|
|
[ 211, 212): ██ 0.05% (1%)
|
|
[ 212, 213): ██ 0.06% (1%)
|
|
[ 213, 214): ███ 0.07% (1%)
|
|
[ 214, 215): ███ 0.08% (1%)
|
|
[ 215, 216): █████ 0.12% (1%)
|
|
[ 216, 217): ████ 0.10% (1%)
|
|
[ 217, 218): ████ 0.10% (1%)
|
|
[ 218, 219): ██████ 0.13% (1%)
|
|
[ 219, 220): █████ 0.13% (1%)
|
|
[ 220, 221): ██████ 0.13% (2%)
|
|
[ 221, 222): ███████ 0.16% (2%)
|
|
[ 222, 223): ███████ 0.16% (2%)
|
|
[ 223, 224): ████████ 0.19% (2%)
|
|
[ 224, 225): █████████ 0.22% (2%)
|
|
[ 225, 226): █████████ 0.21% (2%)
|
|
[ 226, 227): █████████ 0.21% (3%)
|
|
[ 227, 228): ████████ 0.19% (3%)
|
|
[ 228, 229): ██████████████ 0.32% (3%)
|
|
[ 229, 230): ███████████████████ 0.42% (4%)
|
|
[ 230, 231): ██████████████ 0.33% (4%)
|
|
[ 231, 232): █████████████ 0.30% (4%)
|
|
[ 232, 233): █████████████ 0.31% (5%)
|
|
[ 233, 234): ████████████████ 0.36% (5%)
|
|
[ 234, 235): █████████████████████████ 0.56% (5%)
|
|
[ 235, 236): ███████████████████████████ 0.62% (6%)
|
|
[ 236, 237): ███████████████████ 0.43% (6%)
|
|
[ 237, 238): ███████████████ 0.34% (7%)
|
|
[ 238, 239): █████████████████████ 0.48% (7%)
|
|
[ 239, 240): █████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (8%)
|
|
[ 240, 241): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.83% (9%)
|
|
[ 241, 242): █████████████████████████████ 0.65% (10%)
|
|
[ 242, 243): ███████████████████████ 0.53% (10%)
|
|
[ 243, 244): ██████████████████████ 0.51% (11%)
|
|
[ 244, 245): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (11%)
|
|
[ 245, 246): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (13%)
|
|
[ 246, 247): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (14%)
|
|
[ 247, 248): █████████████████████████████████ 0.75% (15%)
|
|
[ 248, 249): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (15%)
|
|
[ 249, 250): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (16%)
|
|
[ 250, 251): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (18%)
|
|
[ 251, 252): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (19%)
|
|
[ 252, 253): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (20%)
|
|
[ 253, 254): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (21%)
|
|
[ 254, 255): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (22%)
|
|
[ 255, 256): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.61% (24%)
|
|
[ 256, 257): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (26%)
|
|
[ 257, 258): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (27%)
|
|
[ 258, 259): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.28% (28%)
|
|
[ 259, 260): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.31% (30%)
|
|
[ 260, 261): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (31%)
|
|
[ 261, 262): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.07% (33%)
|
|
[ 262, 263): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.13% (35%)
|
|
[ 263, 264): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (37%)
|
|
[ 264, 265): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.73% (39%)
|
|
[ 265, 266): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.78% (41%)
|
|
[ 266, 267): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.90% (42%)
|
|
[ 267, 268): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.72% (44%)
|
|
[ 268, 269): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.79% (46%)
|
|
[ 269, 270): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.93% (48%)
|
|
[ 270, 271): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.92% (50%)
|
|
[ 271, 272): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.94% (52%)
|
|
[ 272, 273): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.03% (54%)
|
|
[ 273, 274): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (55%)
|
|
[ 274, 275): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.91% (57%)
|
|
[ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.22% (59%)
|
|
[ 276, 277): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (61%)
|
|
[ 277, 278): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.66% (63%)
|
|
[ 278, 279): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.65% (65%)
|
|
[ 279, 280): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.70% (66%)
|
|
[ 280, 281): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.97% (68%)
|
|
[ 281, 282): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.03% (70%)
|
|
[ 282, 283): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.53% (72%)
|
|
[ 283, 284): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (73%)
|
|
[ 284, 285): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (75%)
|
|
[ 285, 286): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (76%)
|
|
[ 286, 287): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (78%)
|
|
[ 287, 288): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (79%)
|
|
[ 288, 289): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.25% (81%)
|
|
[ 289, 290): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.16% (82%)
|
|
[ 290, 291): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.43% (83%)
|
|
[ 291, 292): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (85%)
|
|
[ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (86%)
|
|
[ 293, 294): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (87%)
|
|
[ 294, 295): ████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.09% (88%)
|
|
[ 295, 296): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.04% (89%)
|
|
[ 296, 297): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (90%)
|
|
[ 297, 298): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (91%)
|
|
[ 298, 299): █████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (91%)
|
|
[ 299, 300): ███████████████████████████████ 0.70% (92%)
|
|
[ 300, 301): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (93%)
|
|
[ 301, 302): ███████████████████████████████ 0.69% (94%)
|
|
[ 302, 303): ████████████████████████ 0.54% (94%)
|
|
[ 303, 304): █████████████████████████ 0.56% (95%)
|
|
[ 304, 305): ████████████████████████████ 0.62% (95%)
|
|
[ 305, 306): ██████████████████████ 0.49% (96%)
|
|
[ 306, 307): █████████████████████ 0.47% (96%)
|
|
[ 307, 308): ████████████████ 0.36% (97%)
|
|
[ 308, 309): ██████████████ 0.33% (97%)
|
|
[ 309, 310): █████████████████ 0.39% (97%)
|
|
[ 310, 311): ████████████████ 0.37% (98%)
|
|
[ 311, 312): ██████████ 0.24% (98%)
|
|
[ 312, 313): ██████████ 0.22% (98%)
|
|
[ 313, 314): ██████████ 0.23% (98%)
|
|
[ 314, 315): ██████████ 0.24% (99%)
|
|
[ 315, 316): ████████ 0.19% (99%)
|
|
[ 316, 317): ██████ 0.14% (99%)
|
|
[ 317, 318): ███ 0.09% (99%)
|
|
[ 318, 319): █████ 0.11% (99%)
|
|
[ 319, 320): ███████ 0.17% (99%)
|
|
[ 320, 321): ████ 0.11% (100%)
|
|
[ 321, 322): ██ 0.05% (100%)
|
|
[ 322, 323): ██ 0.05% (100%)
|
|
[ 323, 324): ██ 0.05% (100%)
|
|
[ 324, 325): ██ 0.06% (100%)
|
|
[ 325, 326): ███ 0.07% (100%)
|
|
[ 326, 327): █ 0.03% (100%)
|
|
[ 327, 328): 0.01% (100%)
|
|
[ 328, 329): █ 0.02% (100%)
|
|
[ 329, 330): █ 0.04% (100%)
|
|
[ 330, 331): 0.02% (100%)
|
|
[ 331, 332): 0.01% (100%)
|
|
[ 332, 333): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 333, 334): 0.01% (100%)
|
|
[ 334, 335): 0.01% (100%)
|
|
[ 335, 336): 0.02% (100%)
|
|
[ 336, 337): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 337, 338): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 338, 339): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 339, 340): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 340, 341): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 341, 342): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 342, 343): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 343, 344): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 344, 345): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 345, 346): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 346, 347): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 347, 348): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 348, 349): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 349, 350): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 350, 351): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 351, 352): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 352, 353): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 353, 354): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 400, 401): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 401, 402): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 402, 403): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 403, 404): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 404, 405): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 405, 406): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 406, 407): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 407, 408): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 408, 409): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 409, 410): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 410, 411): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 411, 412): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 412, 413): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 413, 414): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 414, 415): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 415, 416): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 416, 417): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 417, 418): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 418, 419): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 419, 420): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 420, 421): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 421, 422): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 422, 423): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 423, 424): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 424, 425): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 425, 426): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 426, 427): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 427, 428): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 428, 429): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 429, 430): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 430, 431): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 431, 432): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 432, 433): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 433, 434): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 434, 435): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 435, 436): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 436, 437): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 437, 438): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 438, 439): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 439, 440): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 440, 441): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 441, 442): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 442, 443): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 443, 444): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 444, 445): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 445, 446): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 446, 447): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 447, 448): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 448, 449): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 449, 450): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 450, 451): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 451, 452): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 452, 453): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 453, 454): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 454, 455): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 455, 456): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 456, 457): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 457, 458): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 458, 459): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 459, 460): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 460, 461): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 461, 462): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 462, 463): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 463, 464): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 464, 465): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 465, 466): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 466, 467): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 467, 468): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 468, 469): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 469, 470): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 470, 471): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 471, 472): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 472, 473): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 473, 474): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 474, 475): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 475, 476): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 476, 477): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 477, 478): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 478, 479): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 479, 480): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 480, 481): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 481, 482): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 482, 483): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 483, 484): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 484, 485): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 485, 486): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 486, 487): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 487, 488): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 488, 489): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 489, 490): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 490, 491): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 491, 492): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 492, 493): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 493, 494): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 494, 495): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 495, 496): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 496, 497): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 497, 498): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 498, 499): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 499, 500): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 500, 501): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 501, 502): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 502, 503): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 503, 504): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 504, 505): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 505, 506): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 506, 507): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 507, 508): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 508, 509): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 509, 510): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 510, 511): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 511, 512): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 512, 513): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 513, 514): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 514, 515): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 515, 516): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 516, 517): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 517, 518): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 518, 519): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 519, 520): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 520, 521): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 521, 522): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 522, 523): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 523, 524): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 524, 525): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 525, 526): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 526, 527): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 527, 528): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 528, 529): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 529, 530): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 530, 531): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 531, 532): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 532, 533): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 533, 534): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 534, 535): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 535, 536): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 536, 537): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
[ 537, 538): 0.00% (100%)
|
|
|
|
% republicans: 0.520766
|