Electoral votes/election

Year | Republican electoral college votes
2000 | 271
2004 | 286
2008 | 173
2012 | 206
2016 | 304
2020 | 232

Year | Democrat electoral college votes
2000 | 266
2004 | 251
2008 | 365
2012 | 332
2016 | 227
2020 | 232

Ok, so because Obama really trounced the opposition, it won by more than the Republicans won, which means that the baserates approach didn't really work.