State: Kansas
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Kentucky
	Votes: 8
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Mississippi
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Oregon
	Votes: 8
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Alaska
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: District of Columbia
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Idaho
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Indiana
	Votes: 11
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333

State: South Carolina
	Votes: 9
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Utah
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Michigan
	Votes: 15
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
	Poll: {PollId:86502 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:40.6 Kennedy:4.6 Stein:1 Trump:44.6 West:0.6 Whitmer:49.5] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 852.000000
		Mean R: 52.347418
		Std of mean R: 1.711083
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.914951
	Poll: {PollId:86509 SampleSize:1097 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:18 Trump:40 West:4] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 811.780000
		Mean R: 54.054054
		Std of mean R: 1.749116
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.989769
	Poll: {PollId:86603 SampleSize:709 PollResults:map[Biden:39.8 Kennedy:8.8 Trump:43] Date:2024-03-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 587.052000
		Mean R: 51.932367
		Std of mean R: 2.062088
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.825645
	Poll: {PollId:86584 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:12 Mapstead:2 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 558.000000
		Mean R: 51.612903
		Std of mean R: 2.115567
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.777089
	Poll: {PollId:86531 SampleSize:616 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:41] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 492.800000
		Mean R: 51.250000
		Std of mean R: 2.251640
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.710604
	Poll: {PollId:86511 SampleSize:627 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:6 Stein:1 Trump:44 West:1] Date:2024-03-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 539.220000
		Mean R: 51.162791
		Std of mean R: 2.152631
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.705461
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3840 PollResults:map[Biden:47.76914080521717 Trump:52.23085919478282] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 3840.000000
		Mean R: 52.230859
		Std of mean R: 0.806068
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.997176

State: Nevada
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
	Poll: {PollId:86586 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:15 Mapstead:3 Stein:5 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 552.000000
		Mean R: 52.173913
		Std of mean R: 2.126129
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.846722
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:552 PollResults:map[Biden:47.82608695652174 Trump:52.17391304347826] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 552.000000
		Mean R: 52.173913
		Std of mean R: 2.126129
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.846722

State: Pennsylvania
	Votes: 19
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
	Poll: {PollId:86604 SampleSize:431 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:3 Trump:40] Date:2024-03-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 353.420000
		Mean R: 48.780488
		Std of mean R: 2.658859
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.323239
	Poll: {PollId:86587 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Mapstead:2 Stein:4 Trump:47 West:3] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 546.000000
		Mean R: 51.648352
		Std of mean R: 2.138639
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572
	Poll: {PollId:86510 SampleSize:1132 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:16 Trump:40 West:4] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 882.960000
		Mean R: 51.282051
		Std of mean R: 1.682119
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.777019
	Poll: {PollId:86624 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Trump:41] Date:2024-03-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 680.000000
		Mean R: 48.235294
		Std of mean R: 1.916218
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.178543
	Poll: {PollId:86533 SampleSize:775 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 658.750000
		Mean R: 51.764706
		Std of mean R: 1.946879
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.817645
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3121 PollResults:map[Biden:49.49905963545254 Trump:50.50094036454745] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 3121.000000
		Mean R: 50.500940
		Std of mean R: 0.894955
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.712171

State: Arkansas
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: California
	Votes: 54
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86635 SampleSize:1084 PollResults:map[Biden:54 Trump:31] Date:2024-03-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 921.400000
		Mean R: 36.470588
		Std of mean R: 1.585750
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:921 PollResults:map[Biden:63.52941176470588 Trump:36.470588235294116] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 921.000000
		Mean R: 36.470588
		Std of mean R: 1.586094
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000

State: Iowa
	Votes: 6
	History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000

State: Louisiana
	Votes: 8
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Arizona
	Votes: 11
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
	Poll: {PollId:86577 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:39] Date:2024-03-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 377.250000
		Mean R: 52.000000
		Std of mean R: 2.572217
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.781580
	Poll: {PollId:86492 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:33 Kennedy:18 Trump:37 West:2] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
		Sample size: 420.000000
		Mean R: 52.857143
		Std of mean R: 2.435764
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.879601
	Poll: {PollId:86528 SampleSize:516 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 438.600000
		Mean R: 51.764706
		Std of mean R: 2.385970
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.770234
	Poll: {PollId:86582 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Mapstead:3 Stein:5 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 534.000000
		Mean R: 52.808989
		Std of mean R: 2.160294
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.903248
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1769 PollResults:map[Biden:47.61081447580304 Trump:52.38918552419697] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1769.000000
		Mean R: 52.389186
		Std of mean R: 1.187435
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.977893

State: North Dakota
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Virginia
	Votes: 13
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333

State: Washington
	Votes: 12
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86605 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Trump:37] Date:2024-03-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
		Sample size: 510.000000
		Mean R: 43.529412
		Std of mean R: 2.195419
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.001603
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:510 PollResults:map[Biden:56.470588235294116 Trump:43.529411764705884] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 510.000000
		Mean R: 43.529412
		Std of mean R: 2.195419
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.001603

State: Wyoming
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Delaware
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Illinois
	Votes: 19
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Maryland
	Votes: 10
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Minnesota
	Votes: 10
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86625 SampleSize:608 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Trump:42] Date:2024-04-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 522.880000
		Mean R: 48.837209
		Std of mean R: 2.186007
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.297389
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:51.16279069767442 Trump:48.83720930232558] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 522.000000
		Mean R: 48.837209
		Std of mean R: 2.187849
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.297544

State: West Virginia
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: New Jersey
	Votes: 14
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86576 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7.5 Stein:0.8 Trump:35.8 West:1.2] Date:2024-03-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 768.000000
		Mean R: 46.614583
		Std of mean R: 1.800079
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.030006
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:768 PollResults:map[Biden:53.385416666666664 Trump:46.614583333333336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 768.000000
		Mean R: 46.614583
		Std of mean R: 1.800079
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.030006

State: Rhode Island
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Tennessee
	Votes: 11
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86629 SampleSize:974 PollResults:map[Biden:25 Kennedy:16 Trump:48] Date:2024-04-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 711.020000
		Mean R: 65.753425
		Std of mean R: 1.779618
		Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:34.24657534246575 Trump:65.75342465753425] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 711.000000
		Mean R: 65.753425
		Std of mean R: 1.779643
		Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000

State: Texas
	Votes: 40
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86643 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42.2 Kennedy:7.6 Stein:1.7 Trump:50.7 West:1] Date:2024-04-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 929.000000
		Mean R: 54.574812
		Std of mean R: 1.633566
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.997449
	Poll: {PollId:86544 SampleSize:1117 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:15 Trump:48] Date:2024-03-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 938.280000
		Mean R: 57.142857
		Std of mean R: 1.615572
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.999995
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1867 PollResults:map[Biden:44.134784285163455 Trump:55.865215714836545] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1867.000000
		Mean R: 55.865216
		Std of mean R: 1.149183
		Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000

State: Montana
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: New Mexico
	Votes: 5
	History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667

State: New York
	Votes: 28
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Vermont
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Colorado
	Votes: 10
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
	Poll: {PollId:86601 SampleSize:632 PollResults:map[Biden:49 Trump:39] Date:2024-03-19 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 556.160000
		Mean R: 44.318182
		Std of mean R: 2.106434
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.003495
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:556 PollResults:map[Biden:55.68181818181817 Trump:44.31818181818181] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 556.000000
		Mean R: 44.318182
		Std of mean R: 2.106737
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.003499

State: Hawaii
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Maine
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Massachusetts
	Votes: 11
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86630 SampleSize:1002 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:9 Trump:28 West:1] Date:2024-03-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 741.480000
		Mean R: 37.837838
		Std of mean R: 1.781052
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:741 PollResults:map[Biden:62.16216216216216 Trump:37.83783783783784] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 741.000000
		Mean R: 37.837838
		Std of mean R: 1.781628
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000

State: Wisconsin
	Votes: 10
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
	Poll: {PollId:86588 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:10 Mapstead:2 Stein:2 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 552.000000
		Mean R: 50.000000
		Std of mean R: 2.128141
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
	Poll: {PollId:86503 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.6 Kennedy:5.9 Stein:1 Trump:43.4 West:0.6] Date:2024-03-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 830.000000
		Mean R: 52.289157
		Std of mean R: 1.733705
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.906647
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1382 PollResults:map[Biden:48.62518089725036 Trump:51.37481910274964] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1382.000000
		Mean R: 51.374819
		Std of mean R: 1.344472
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.846745

State: North Carolina
	Votes: 16
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
	Poll: {PollId:86640 SampleSize:1016 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:45] Date:2024-03-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 883.920000
		Mean R: 51.724138
		Std of mean R: 1.680758
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.847509
	Poll: {PollId:86632 SampleSize:1401 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:12 Stein:3 Trump:41 West:3] Date:2024-04-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1106.790000
		Mean R: 51.898734
		Std of mean R: 1.501841
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.896934
	Poll: {PollId:86585 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Mapstead:2 Stein:3 Trump:49 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 552.000000
		Mean R: 53.260870
		Std of mean R: 2.123611
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.937673
	Poll: {PollId:86532 SampleSize:642 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 526.440000
		Mean R: 52.439024
		Std of mean R: 2.176598
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.868764
	Poll: {PollId:86641 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:7.3 Trump:43.3] Date:2024-04-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 493.800000
		Mean R: 52.612394
		Std of mean R: 2.246989
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.877508
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3562 PollResults:map[Biden:47.75480991874711 Trump:52.245190081252886] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 3562.000000
		Mean R: 52.245190
		Std of mean R: 0.836922
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.996348

State: Ohio
	Votes: 17
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667

State: Connecticut
	Votes: 7
	History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000

State: Florida
	Votes: 30
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
	Poll: {PollId:86634 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:34.6 Kennedy:6.1 Stein:1.1 Trump:49.2 West:0.5] Date:2024-04-10 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 838.000000
		Mean R: 58.711217
		Std of mean R: 1.700805
		Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
	Poll: {PollId:86529 SampleSize:875 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 743.750000
		Mean R: 54.117647
		Std of mean R: 1.827169
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.987888
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1581 PollResults:map[Biden:43.4487118697645 Trump:56.5512881302355] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1581.000000
		Mean R: 56.551288
		Std of mean R: 1.246648
		Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000

State: Nebraska
	Votes: 5
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000

State: New Hampshire
	Votes: 4
	History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667

State: South Dakota
	Votes: 3
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Alabama
	Votes: 9
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Georgia
	Votes: 16
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
	Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
	Poll: {PollId:86583 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:4 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:2] Date:2024-03-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 522.000000
		Mean R: 50.574713
		Std of mean R: 2.188296
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.603582
	Poll: {PollId:86530 SampleSize:760 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-03-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 646.000000
		Mean R: 51.764706
		Std of mean R: 1.965998
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.815304
	Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1168 PollResults:map[Biden:48.767123287671225 Trump:51.23287671232877] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
		Sample size: 1168.000000
		Mean R: 51.232877
		Std of mean R: 1.462570
		Poll says chance of R win: 0.800373

State: Missouri
	Votes: 10
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

State: Oklahoma
	Votes: 7
	History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
	Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000

[ 131,  132):  0.00% (0%)
[ 132,  133):  0.00% (0%)
[ 133,  134):  0.00% (0%)
[ 134,  135):  0.00% (0%)
[ 135,  136):  0.00% (0%)
[ 136,  137):  0.00% (0%)
[ 137,  138):  0.00% (0%)
[ 138,  139):  0.00% (0%)
[ 139,  140):  0.00% (0%)
[ 140,  141):  0.00% (0%)
[ 141,  142):  0.00% (0%)
[ 142,  143):  0.00% (0%)
[ 143,  144):  0.00% (0%)
[ 144,  145):  0.01% (0%)
[ 145,  146):  0.00% (0%)
[ 146,  147):  0.00% (0%)
[ 147,  148):  0.00% (0%)
[ 148,  149):  0.00% (0%)
[ 149,  150):  0.00% (0%)
[ 150,  151):  0.01% (0%)
[ 151,  152):  0.01% (0%)
[ 152,  153):  0.01% (0%)
[ 153,  154):  0.01% (0%)
[ 154,  155):  0.01% (0%)
[ 155,  156):  0.01% (0%)
[ 156,  157):  0.01% (0%)
[ 157,  158):  0.01% (0%)
[ 158,  159): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 159,  160): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 160,  161): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 161,  162): █ 0.01% (0%)
[ 162,  163): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 163,  164): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 164,  165): █ 0.02% (0%)
[ 165,  166): ██ 0.03% (0%)
[ 166,  167): ██ 0.03% (0%)
[ 167,  168): ██ 0.03% (0%)
[ 168,  169): ███ 0.04% (0%)
[ 169,  170): ██ 0.04% (0%)
[ 170,  171): ███ 0.04% (0%)
[ 171,  172): ██ 0.04% (1%)
[ 172,  173): ███ 0.05% (1%)
[ 173,  174): ███ 0.04% (1%)
[ 174,  175): ████ 0.06% (1%)
[ 175,  176): ████ 0.06% (1%)
[ 176,  177): ████ 0.06% (1%)
[ 177,  178): █████ 0.08% (1%)
[ 178,  179): █████ 0.08% (1%)
[ 179,  180): ██████ 0.09% (1%)
[ 180,  181): ████ 0.06% (1%)
[ 181,  182): █████ 0.08% (1%)
[ 182,  183): ███████ 0.10% (1%)
[ 183,  184): ███████ 0.10% (1%)
[ 184,  185): ██████ 0.08% (1%)
[ 185,  186): ████████ 0.11% (2%)
[ 186,  187): █████████ 0.13% (2%)
[ 187,  188): ████████ 0.11% (2%)
[ 188,  189): ██████████ 0.14% (2%)
[ 189,  190): ██████████ 0.14% (2%)
[ 190,  191): ████████ 0.11% (2%)
[ 191,  192): ██████████ 0.14% (2%)
[ 192,  193): ███████████ 0.16% (3%)
[ 193,  194): ██████████████ 0.20% (3%)
[ 194,  195): ████████████ 0.18% (3%)
[ 195,  196): ████████████ 0.17% (3%)
[ 196,  197): ████████████ 0.17% (3%)
[ 197,  198): █████████████ 0.18% (3%)
[ 198,  199): █████████████████ 0.24% (4%)
[ 199,  200): ████████████████ 0.22% (4%)
[ 200,  201): ████████████████ 0.23% (4%)
[ 201,  202): █████████████████ 0.24% (4%)
[ 202,  203): ███████████████ 0.21% (5%)
[ 203,  204): ████████████████████ 0.28% (5%)
[ 204,  205): ███████████████████ 0.27% (5%)
[ 205,  206): ███████████████████ 0.27% (5%)
[ 206,  207): ███████████████████ 0.27% (6%)
[ 207,  208): █████████████████████ 0.29% (6%)
[ 208,  209): █████████████████████ 0.30% (6%)
[ 209,  210): ███████████████████████ 0.33% (7%)
[ 210,  211): ████████████████████████ 0.34% (7%)
[ 211,  212): █████████████████████████ 0.35% (7%)
[ 212,  213): ████████████████████████████ 0.39% (8%)
[ 213,  214): ███████████████████████████████ 0.43% (8%)
[ 214,  215): ███████████████████████████ 0.38% (8%)
[ 215,  216): ███████████████████████████████ 0.43% (9%)
[ 216,  217): ███████████████████████████████ 0.43% (9%)
[ 217,  218): ████████████████████████████████ 0.44% (10%)
[ 218,  219): ████████████████████████████████ 0.44% (10%)
[ 219,  220): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.48% (11%)
[ 220,  221): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.52% (11%)
[ 221,  222): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.51% (12%)
[ 222,  223): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.54% (12%)
[ 223,  224): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.51% (13%)
[ 224,  225): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.51% (13%)
[ 225,  226): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (14%)
[ 226,  227): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (14%)
[ 227,  228): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.55% (15%)
[ 228,  229): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.60% (16%)
[ 229,  230): ██████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (16%)
[ 230,  231): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.61% (17%)
[ 231,  232): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.61% (17%)
[ 232,  233): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (18%)
[ 233,  234): ██████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.64% (19%)
[ 234,  235): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.70% (19%)
[ 235,  236): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.70% (20%)
[ 236,  237): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (21%)
[ 237,  238): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.75% (22%)
[ 238,  239): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.77% (22%)
[ 239,  240): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (23%)
[ 240,  241): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.77% (24%)
[ 241,  242): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (25%)
[ 242,  243): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.80% (25%)
[ 243,  244): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.84% (26%)
[ 244,  245): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.82% (27%)
[ 245,  246): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.82% (28%)
[ 246,  247): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (29%)
[ 247,  248): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.84% (30%)
[ 248,  249): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (30%)
[ 249,  250): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (31%)
[ 250,  251): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.96% (32%)
[ 251,  252): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (33%)
[ 252,  253): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (34%)
[ 253,  254): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (35%)
[ 254,  255): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (36%)
[ 255,  256): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.90% (37%)
[ 256,  257): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (38%)
[ 257,  258): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (39%)
[ 258,  259): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (40%)
[ 259,  260): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (41%)
[ 260,  261): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (42%)
[ 261,  262): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (42%)
[ 262,  263): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (43%)
[ 263,  264): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (44%)
[ 264,  265): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (45%)
[ 265,  266): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (46%)
[ 266,  267): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (47%)
[ 267,  268): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (48%)
[ 268,  269): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (49%)
[ 269,  270): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (50%)
[ 270,  271): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (51%)
[ 271,  272): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.96% (52%)
[ 272,  273): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (53%)
[ 273,  274): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (54%)
[ 274,  275): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (55%)
[ 275,  276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (56%)
[ 276,  277): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (57%)
[ 277,  278): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (58%)
[ 278,  279): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (59%)
[ 279,  280): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.96% (60%)
[ 280,  281): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.97% (61%)
[ 281,  282): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.95% (62%)
[ 282,  283): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.90% (63%)
[ 283,  284): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (63%)
[ 284,  285): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (64%)
[ 285,  286): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (65%)
[ 286,  287): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.87% (66%)
[ 287,  288): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (67%)
[ 288,  289): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.91% (68%)
[ 289,  290): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.85% (69%)
[ 290,  291): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (70%)
[ 291,  292): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (70%)
[ 292,  293): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.80% (71%)
[ 293,  294): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.83% (72%)
[ 294,  295): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (73%)
[ 295,  296): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (74%)
[ 296,  297): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (74%)
[ 297,  298): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (75%)
[ 298,  299): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (76%)
[ 299,  300): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.72% (77%)
[ 300,  301): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.70% (77%)
[ 301,  302): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.68% (78%)
[ 302,  303): ████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.67% (79%)
[ 303,  304): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.69% (79%)
[ 304,  305): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.65% (80%)
[ 305,  306): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (81%)
[ 306,  307): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.63% (81%)
[ 307,  308): ██████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.64% (82%)
[ 308,  309): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (83%)
[ 309,  310): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.59% (83%)
[ 310,  311): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.53% (84%)
[ 311,  312): █████████████████████████████████████████ 0.57% (84%)
[ 312,  313): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.51% (85%)
[ 313,  314): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.53% (85%)
[ 314,  315): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.53% (86%)
[ 315,  316): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.48% (86%)
[ 316,  317): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.47% (87%)
[ 317,  318): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.47% (87%)
[ 318,  319): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.47% (88%)
[ 319,  320): █████████████████████████████ 0.40% (88%)
[ 320,  321): ██████████████████████████████ 0.42% (89%)
[ 321,  322): ██████████████████████████ 0.37% (89%)
[ 322,  323): █████████████████████████████ 0.40% (89%)
[ 323,  324): ████████████████████████████ 0.39% (90%)
[ 324,  325): ██████████████████████████ 0.37% (90%)
[ 325,  326): ████████████████████████████ 0.39% (90%)
[ 326,  327): ███████████████████████████ 0.38% (91%)
[ 327,  328): ███████████████████████████ 0.38% (91%)
[ 328,  329): █████████████████████ 0.30% (91%)
[ 329,  330): ████████████████████████ 0.34% (92%)
[ 330,  331): ████████████████████████ 0.33% (92%)
[ 331,  332): ███████████████████████ 0.32% (92%)
[ 332,  333): ███████████████████████ 0.32% (93%)
[ 333,  334): █████████████████████ 0.29% (93%)
[ 334,  335): ███████████████████ 0.26% (93%)
[ 335,  336): █████████████████ 0.24% (94%)
[ 336,  337): ███████████████████ 0.27% (94%)
[ 337,  338): ███████████████████ 0.27% (94%)
[ 338,  339): ██████████████████ 0.26% (94%)
[ 339,  340): █████████████████ 0.24% (95%)
[ 340,  341): ███████████████ 0.21% (95%)
[ 341,  342): ████████████████ 0.23% (95%)
[ 342,  343): ███████████████ 0.22% (95%)
[ 343,  344): ████████████████ 0.22% (96%)
[ 344,  345): ███████████████ 0.21% (96%)
[ 345,  346): ██████████████ 0.19% (96%)
[ 346,  347): █████████████ 0.19% (96%)
[ 347,  348): ███████████████ 0.21% (96%)
[ 348,  349): █████████████ 0.18% (97%)
[ 349,  350): ████████████ 0.17% (97%)
[ 350,  351): ███████████ 0.16% (97%)
[ 351,  352): ██████████ 0.14% (97%)
[ 352,  353): ████████████ 0.18% (97%)
[ 353,  354): ██████████ 0.14% (97%)
[ 354,  355): ██████████ 0.15% (97%)
[ 355,  356): ██████████ 0.14% (98%)
[ 356,  357): █████████ 0.13% (98%)
[ 357,  358): █████████ 0.13% (98%)
[ 358,  359): ████████ 0.12% (98%)
[ 359,  360): ███████ 0.11% (98%)
[ 360,  361): ████████ 0.12% (98%)
[ 361,  362): ███████ 0.11% (98%)
[ 362,  363): ███████ 0.10% (98%)
[ 363,  364): ██████ 0.09% (99%)
[ 364,  365): ██████ 0.09% (99%)
[ 365,  366): ███████ 0.10% (99%)
[ 366,  367): █████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 367,  368): ██████ 0.08% (99%)
[ 368,  369): █████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 369,  370): █████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 370,  371): ███ 0.05% (99%)
[ 371,  372): ████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 372,  373): █████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 373,  374): █████ 0.08% (99%)
[ 374,  375): █████ 0.07% (99%)
[ 375,  376): ███ 0.04% (99%)
[ 376,  377): ███ 0.05% (99%)
[ 377,  378): ███ 0.04% (99%)
[ 378,  379): ███ 0.05% (100%)
[ 379,  380): ███ 0.04% (100%)
[ 380,  381): ██ 0.03% (100%)
[ 381,  382): ██ 0.03% (100%)
[ 382,  383): ██ 0.04% (100%)
[ 383,  384): ██ 0.03% (100%)
[ 384,  385): ██ 0.03% (100%)
[ 385,  386): █ 0.02% (100%)
[ 386,  387): █ 0.02% (100%)
[ 387,  388): █ 0.02% (100%)
[ 388,  389): █ 0.03% (100%)
[ 389,  390): █ 0.02% (100%)
[ 390,  391): █ 0.02% (100%)
[ 391,  392): █ 0.01% (100%)
[ 392,  393):  0.01% (100%)
[ 393,  394):  0.01% (100%)
[ 394,  395):  0.01% (100%)
[ 395,  396):  0.01% (100%)
[ 396,  397):  0.01% (100%)
[ 397,  398):  0.01% (100%)
[ 398,  399):  0.01% (100%)
[ 399,  400):  0.01% (100%)

% republicans: 0.496280