State: Massachusetts Votes: 11 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:87028 SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:32 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 526.000000 Mean R: 32.000000 Std of mean R: 2.033933 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.700599 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:526 PollResults:map[Biden:68 Trump:32] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 526.000000 Mean R: 32.000000 Std of mean R: 2.033933 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.700599 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001 State: Mississippi Votes: 6 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Texas Votes: 40 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Vermont Votes: 3 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Kansas Votes: 6 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Kentucky Votes: 8 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Michigan Votes: 15 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 Poll: {PollId:87048 SampleSize:697 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:5 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 634.270000 Mean R: 50.549451 Std of mean R: 1.985211 Poll says chance of R win: 0.609022 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.985211 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531348 Poll: {PollId:87017 SampleSize:606 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 557.520000 Mean R: 51.086957 Std of mean R: 2.117079 Poll says chance of R win: 0.696172 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.117079 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.560692 Poll: {PollId:86899 SampleSize:616 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Kennedy:7 Mapstead:1 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 572.880000 Mean R: 49.462366 Std of mean R: 2.088878 Poll says chance of R win: 0.398443 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.088878 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.469772 Poll: {PollId:86906 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 417.600000 Mean R: 53.750000 Std of mean R: 2.439860 Poll says chance of R win: 0.937850 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.439860 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.692884 Poll: {PollId:87006 SampleSize:482 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 414.520000 Mean R: 48.837209 Std of mean R: 2.455160 Poll says chance of R win: 0.317889 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.455160 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.438028 Poll: {PollId:86990 SampleSize:704 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:47 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 654.720000 Mean R: 50.537634 Std of mean R: 1.953966 Poll says chance of R win: 0.608400 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.953966 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530813 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3251 PollResults:map[Biden:49.35952834221638 Trump:50.64047165778362] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 3251.000000 Mean R: 50.640472 Std of mean R: 0.876851 Poll says chance of R win: 0.767434 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.876851 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543392 State: New Hampshire Votes: 4 History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 Poll: {PollId:87030 SampleSize:1140 PollResults:map[Biden:52 Kennedy:3 Stein:2 Trump:48 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1140.000000 Mean R: 48.000000 Std of mean R: 1.479687 Poll says chance of R win: 0.088246 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.479687 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.378791 Poll: {PollId:86997 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Trump:36] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 468.000000 Mean R: 46.153846 Std of mean R: 2.304403 Poll says chance of R win: 0.047554 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.304403 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.299252 Poll: {PollId:86980 SampleSize:862 PollResults:map[Biden:36.5 Kennedy:14.6 Trump:36.6] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 630.122000 Mean R: 50.068399 Std of mean R: 1.991853 Poll says chance of R win: 0.513697 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.991853 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.503903 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2238 PollResults:map[Biden:51.80369970895241 Trump:48.19630029104758] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 2238.000000 Mean R: 48.196300 Std of mean R: 1.056227 Poll says chance of R win: 0.043848 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.056227 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.382918 State: North Carolina Votes: 16 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 Poll: {PollId:86986 SampleSize:835 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 659.650000 Mean R: 51.898734 Std of mean R: 1.945359 Poll says chance of R win: 0.835476 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.945359 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.607720 Poll: {PollId:87019 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 534.890000 Mean R: 53.932584 Std of mean R: 2.155214 Poll says chance of R win: 0.965976 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.155214 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.708707 Poll: {PollId:86992 SampleSize:704 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Harris:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:50 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 647.680000 Mean R: 54.347826 Std of mean R: 1.957229 Poll says chance of R win: 0.986839 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.957229 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.733994 Poll: {PollId:87008 SampleSize:472 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 410.640000 Mean R: 51.724138 Std of mean R: 2.465932 Poll says chance of R win: 0.757781 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.465932 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591317 Poll: {PollId:87012 SampleSize:1002 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 861.720000 Mean R: 51.162791 Std of mean R: 1.702823 Poll says chance of R win: 0.752653 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.702823 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.568862 Poll: {PollId:86883 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:38.1 Kennedy:8.8 Trump:42.6] Date:2024-05-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 484.200000 Mean R: 52.788104 Std of mean R: 2.268722 Poll says chance of R win: 0.890451 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.268722 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.649353 Poll: {PollId:86907 SampleSize:553 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 447.930000 Mean R: 54.320988 Std of mean R: 2.353624 Poll says chance of R win: 0.966813 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.353624 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.721600 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4046 PollResults:map[Biden:47.24035080349221 Trump:52.75964919650779] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 4046.000000 Mean R: 52.759649 Std of mean R: 0.784864 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999781 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.784864 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.683335 State: North Dakota Votes: 3 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Wisconsin Votes: 10 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 Poll: {PollId:86902 SampleSize:614 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:0 Stein:0 Trump:47 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 571.020000 Mean R: 50.537634 Std of mean R: 2.092277 Poll says chance of R win: 0.601396 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.092277 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530213 Poll: {PollId:87010 SampleSize:488 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 429.440000 Mean R: 50.000000 Std of mean R: 2.412786 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.412786 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 Poll: {PollId:86879 SampleSize:1457 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Stein:4 Trump:39 West:1] Date:2024-05-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1151.030000 Mean R: 49.367089 Std of mean R: 1.473642 Poll says chance of R win: 0.333784 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.473642 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.461058 Poll: {PollId:86994 SampleSize:693 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:41 Kennedy:6 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 658.350000 Mean R: 51.578947 Std of mean R: 1.947713 Poll says chance of R win: 0.791222 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.947713 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589890 Poll: {PollId:87021 SampleSize:503 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 452.700000 Mean R: 50.000000 Std of mean R: 2.349983 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.349983 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3262 PollResults:map[Biden:49.810577035070835 Trump:50.18942296492916] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 3262.000000 Mean R: 50.189423 Std of mean R: 0.875437 Poll says chance of R win: 0.585652 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.875437 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.512860 State: Arizona Votes: 11 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 Poll: {PollId:86987 SampleSize:795 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Harris:42 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:51 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 755.250000 Mean R: 53.684211 Std of mean R: 1.814439 Poll says chance of R win: 0.978847 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.814439 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.705625 Poll: {PollId:86988 SampleSize:1003 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:1] Date:2024-05-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 792.370000 Mean R: 54.430380 Std of mean R: 1.769271 Poll says chance of R win: 0.993861 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.769271 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.743600 Poll: {PollId:86903 SampleSize:529 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 454.940000 Mean R: 51.162791 Std of mean R: 2.343557 Poll says chance of R win: 0.690111 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.343557 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.562906 Poll: {PollId:87015 SampleSize:527 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:45] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 469.030000 Mean R: 50.561798 Std of mean R: 2.308566 Poll says chance of R win: 0.596134 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.308566 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530636 Poll: {PollId:86964 SampleSize:1193 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Stein:5 Trump:44] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1002.120000 Mean R: 52.380952 Std of mean R: 1.577674 Poll says chance of R win: 0.934370 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.577674 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.641315 Poll: {PollId:87003 SampleSize:490 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:11 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 411.600000 Mean R: 52.380952 Std of mean R: 2.461724 Poll says chance of R win: 0.833275 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.461724 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625170 Poll: {PollId:87026 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.2 Trump:42.8] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 499.989000 Mean R: 52.131547 Std of mean R: 2.234060 Poll says chance of R win: 0.829987 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.234060 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.615871 Poll: {PollId:86897 SampleSize:626 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:1 Stein:2 Trump:49 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 575.920000 Mean R: 53.260870 Std of mean R: 2.079042 Poll says chance of R win: 0.941612 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.079042 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.677471 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4961 PollResults:map[Biden:47.30000832456701 Trump:52.699991675433] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 4961.000000 Mean R: 52.699992 Std of mean R: 0.708845 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999930 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.708845 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.681875 State: Iowa Votes: 6 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 State: Minnesota Votes: 10 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:86948 SampleSize:625 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 537.500000 Mean R: 48.837209 Std of mean R: 2.156072 Poll says chance of R win: 0.294837 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.822739 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.380496 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:537 PollResults:map[Biden:51.16279069767442 Trump:48.83720930232558] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 537.000000 Mean R: 48.837209 Std of mean R: 2.157076 Poll says chance of R win: 0.294923 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.823742 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.380527 State: New Jersey Votes: 14 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Pennsylvania Votes: 19 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 Poll: {PollId:86901 SampleSize:1023 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Mapstead:0 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 951.390000 Mean R: 51.612903 Std of mean R: 1.620185 Poll says chance of R win: 0.840255 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.620185 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.596243 Poll: {PollId:87020 SampleSize:730 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Trump:48] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 678.900000 Mean R: 51.612903 Std of mean R: 1.917967 Poll says chance of R win: 0.799810 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.917967 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.592176 Poll: {PollId:87009 SampleSize:487 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:42 West:2] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 423.690000 Mean R: 48.275862 Std of mean R: 2.427658 Poll says chance of R win: 0.238788 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.427658 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.408221 Poll: {PollId:86908 SampleSize:509 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:7 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 427.560000 Mean R: 51.190476 Std of mean R: 2.417399 Poll says chance of R win: 0.688803 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.417399 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.563756 Poll: {PollId:86993 SampleSize:812 PollResults:map[Biden:46 Harris:43 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:50 West:2] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 779.520000 Mean R: 52.083333 Std of mean R: 1.789283 Poll says chance of R win: 0.877857 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.789283 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.620524 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3261 PollResults:map[Biden:48.76359220621516 Trump:51.23640779378484] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 3261.000000 Mean R: 51.236408 Std of mean R: 0.875310 Poll says chance of R win: 0.921104 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.875310 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.583338 State: Rhode Island Votes: 4 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:87029 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:40 West:1] Date:2024-05-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 538.000000 Mean R: 40.000000 Std of mean R: 2.112100 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:40] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 538.000000 Mean R: 40.000000 Std of mean R: 2.112100 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.778767 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.004068 State: Tennessee Votes: 11 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 Poll: {PollId:86998 SampleSize:501 PollResults:map[Biden:29 Kennedy:8 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 380.760000 Mean R: 61.842105 Std of mean R: 2.489480 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 N republican wins: 6 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.156147 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997809 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:380 PollResults:map[Biden:38.1578947368421 Trump:61.8421052631579] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 380.000000 Mean R: 61.842105 Std of mean R: 2.491968 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 N republican wins: 6 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.158635 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997797 State: Wyoming Votes: 3 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Delaware Votes: 3 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Illinois Votes: 19 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Colorado Votes: 10 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 State: District of Columbia Votes: 3 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Nevada Votes: 6 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 Poll: {PollId:87049 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:34 Kennedy:15 Trump:37] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} Sample size: 426.000000 Mean R: 52.112676 Std of mean R: 2.420344 Poll says chance of R win: 0.808636 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.420344 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.612068 Poll: {PollId:87027 SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7.9 Trump:46.2] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 449.964000 Mean R: 53.596288 Std of mean R: 2.351012 Poll says chance of R win: 0.936952 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.351012 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.687658 Poll: {PollId:87007 SampleSize:468 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:10 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 407.160000 Mean R: 50.574713 Std of mean R: 2.477757 Poll says chance of R win: 0.591711 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.477757 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.530631 Poll: {PollId:86991 SampleSize:459 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Harris:44 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 431.460000 Mean R: 50.000000 Std of mean R: 2.407131 Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.407131 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 Poll: {PollId:87018 SampleSize:402 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:10 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 357.780000 Mean R: 55.056180 Std of mean R: 2.629844 Poll says chance of R win: 0.972736 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.629844 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.746234 Poll: {PollId:86900 SampleSize:614 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:11 Mapstead:2 Stein:1 Trump:51 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 546.460000 Mean R: 57.303371 Std of mean R: 2.115961 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999721 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.115961 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.847634 Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 546.910000 Mean R: 51.648352 Std of mean R: 2.136859 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.136859 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591328 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3165 PollResults:map[Biden:47.01374152092375 Trump:52.98625847907625] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 3165.000000 Mean R: 52.986258 Std of mean R: 0.887171 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999619 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.887171 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.694010 State: South Dakota Votes: 3 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 Poll: {PollId:87023 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:31.4 Kennedy:11.2 Trump:50] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 407.000000 Mean R: 61.425061 Std of mean R: 2.412838 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 N republican wins: 6 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:407 PollResults:map[Biden:38.57493857493858 Trump:61.42506142506142] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 407.000000 Mean R: 61.425061 Std of mean R: 2.412838 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 N republican wins: 6 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.079505 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.997450 State: Arkansas Votes: 6 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: California Votes: 54 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: New Mexico Votes: 5 History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 State: Utah Votes: 6 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Georgia Votes: 16 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 Poll: {PollId:86989 SampleSize:795 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Harris:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1] Date:2024-05-12 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 739.350000 Mean R: 52.688172 Std of mean R: 1.836185 Poll says chance of R win: 0.928403 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.836185 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.652924 Poll: {PollId:87005 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:11 Stein:1 Trump:42 West:5] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 390.100000 Mean R: 50.602410 Std of mean R: 2.531340 Poll says chance of R win: 0.594052 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.531340 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.531876 Poll: {PollId:86898 SampleSize:604 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Mapstead:2 Stein:0 Trump:50 West:0] Date:2024-05-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 549.640000 Mean R: 54.945055 Std of mean R: 2.122249 Poll says chance of R win: 0.990100 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.122249 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.756256 Poll: {PollId:87016 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:10 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 546.000000 Mean R: 51.648352 Std of mean R: 2.138639 Poll says chance of R win: 0.779572 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.138639 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.591306 Poll: {PollId:86905 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:5 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 393.660000 Mean R: 53.086420 Std of mean R: 2.515245 Poll says chance of R win: 0.890105 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.515245 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.659349 Poll: {PollId:86896 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:33 Kennedy:13 Trump:41] Date:2024-05-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} Sample size: 444.000000 Mean R: 55.405405 Std of mean R: 2.358988 Poll says chance of R win: 0.989030 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.358988 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.768687 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3062 PollResults:map[Biden:46.91274181699453 Trump:53.08725818300547] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 3062.000000 Mean R: 53.087258 Std of mean R: 0.901858 Poll says chance of R win: 0.999691 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.901858 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.699547 State: Montana Votes: 4 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Virginia Votes: 13 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 Poll: {PollId:87053 SampleSize:711 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Stein:3 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-21 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 554.580000 Mean R: 48.717949 Std of mean R: 2.122487 Poll says chance of R win: 0.272911 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.122487 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428576 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:554 PollResults:map[Biden:51.282051282051285 Trump:48.717948717948715] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 554.000000 Mean R: 48.717949 Std of mean R: 2.123598 Poll says chance of R win: 0.273016 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.123598 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.428587 State: Florida Votes: 30 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 Poll: {PollId:86889 SampleSize:609 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:10 Trump:46] Date:2024-05-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} Sample size: 505.470000 Mean R: 55.421687 Std of mean R: 2.210823 Poll says chance of R win: 0.992903 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.210823 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.773939 Poll: {PollId:86963 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Stein:3 Trump:49] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1003.850000 Mean R: 57.647059 Std of mean R: 1.559538 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.559538 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.878151 Poll: {PollId:87004 SampleSize:486 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:3] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 422.820000 Mean R: 55.172414 Std of mean R: 2.418555 Poll says chance of R win: 0.983768 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.418555 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757170 Poll: {PollId:86904 SampleSize:586 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:6 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-05-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 498.100000 Mean R: 55.294118 Std of mean R: 2.227735 Poll says chance of R win: 0.991260 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.227735 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.768060 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2430 PollResults:map[Biden:43.72860293633551 Trump:56.27139706366449] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 2430.000000 Mean R: 56.271397 Std of mean R: 1.006291 Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000 Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.006291 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.851789 State: Maine Votes: 4 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: New York Votes: 28 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1000.000000 Mean R: 44.800000 Std of mean R: 1.572565 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.239231 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.054212 Poll: {PollId:86996 SampleSize:1191 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:38] Date:2024-05-15 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1012.350000 Mean R: 44.705882 Std of mean R: 1.562631 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000352 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.229298 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.050565 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2012 PollResults:map[Biden:55.247347628394664 Trump:44.752652371605336] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 2012.000000 Mean R: 44.752652 Std of mean R: 1.108539 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000001 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.775206 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.029326 State: Oklahoma Votes: 7 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Oregon Votes: 8 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Washington Votes: 12 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:86961 SampleSize:615 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:39] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 578.100000 Mean R: 41.489362 Std of mean R: 2.049200 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000016 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.715866 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.011000 Poll: {PollId:87033 SampleSize:403 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Trump:34] Date:2024-05-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 306.280000 Mean R: 44.736842 Std of mean R: 2.841131 Poll says chance of R win: 0.031978 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.507797 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.121491 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:884 PollResults:map[Biden:57.385965309030055 Trump:42.614034690969945] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 884.000000 Mean R: 42.614035 Std of mean R: 1.663233 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000004 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.329899 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.013275 State: West Virginia Votes: 4 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Connecticut Votes: 7 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Maryland Votes: 10 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 Poll: {PollId:86882 SampleSize:1115 PollResults:map[Biden:49.9 Kennedy:5.8 Stein:1 Trump:32.5 West:3] Date:2024-05-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 918.760000 Mean R: 39.441748 Std of mean R: 1.612366 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.279033 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000641 Poll: {PollId:86881 SampleSize:719 PollResults:map[Biden:60 Trump:32] Date:2024-05-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} Sample size: 661.480000 Mean R: 34.782609 Std of mean R: 1.851844 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.518511 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000008 Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1580 PollResults:map[Biden:62.50854300612565 Trump:37.49145699387435] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} Sample size: 1580.000000 Mean R: 37.491457 Std of mean R: 1.217888 Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 N republican wins: 0 => Reducing additional uncertainty Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.884555 Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000007 State: Hawaii Votes: 4 History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 State: Idaho Votes: 4 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Indiana Votes: 11 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 State: Louisiana Votes: 8 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Missouri Votes: 10 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Nebraska Votes: 5 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 State: Alabama Votes: 9 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Alaska Votes: 3 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 State: Ohio Votes: 17 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 State: South Carolina Votes: 9 History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 [ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) [ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) [ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) [ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) [ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) [ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) [ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) [ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) [ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) [ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) [ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) [ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) [ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) [ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) [ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) [ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) [ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) [ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) [ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) [ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) [ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) [ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) [ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) [ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) [ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) [ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) [ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) [ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) [ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) [ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) [ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) [ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) [ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) [ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) [ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) [ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) [ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) [ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) [ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) [ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) [ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) [ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) [ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) [ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%) [ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%) [ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%) [ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%) [ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%) [ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%) [ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%) [ 181, 182): 0.01% (0%) [ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%) [ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%) [ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%) [ 185, 186): 0.00% (0%) [ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%) [ 187, 188): 0.01% (0%) [ 188, 189): 0.02% (0%) [ 189, 190): 0.01% (0%) [ 190, 191): 0.01% (0%) [ 191, 192): 0.01% (0%) [ 192, 193): █ 0.02% (0%) [ 193, 194): █ 0.02% (0%) [ 194, 195): █ 0.02% (0%) [ 195, 196): 0.02% (0%) [ 196, 197): █ 0.02% (0%) [ 197, 198): █ 0.03% (0%) [ 198, 199): ██ 0.04% (0%) [ 199, 200): ██ 0.04% (0%) [ 200, 201): ██ 0.03% (0%) [ 201, 202): ██ 0.04% (0%) [ 202, 203): ██ 0.05% (0%) [ 203, 204): ███ 0.06% (1%) [ 204, 205): ███ 0.07% (1%) [ 205, 206): ████ 0.07% (1%) [ 206, 207): ███ 0.06% (1%) [ 207, 208): ████ 0.07% (1%) [ 208, 209): █████ 0.09% (1%) [ 209, 210): ██████ 0.10% (1%) [ 210, 211): █████ 0.09% (1%) [ 211, 212): ██████ 0.10% (1%) [ 212, 213): ███████ 0.12% (1%) [ 213, 214): ███████ 0.13% (1%) [ 214, 215): ████████ 0.14% (2%) [ 215, 216): █████████ 0.16% (2%) [ 216, 217): █████████ 0.15% (2%) [ 217, 218): ██████████ 0.18% (2%) [ 218, 219): ████████████ 0.20% (2%) [ 219, 220): ████████████ 0.20% (2%) [ 220, 221): ████████████ 0.20% (3%) [ 221, 222): █████████████ 0.22% (3%) [ 222, 223): ███████████████ 0.25% (3%) [ 223, 224): ████████████████ 0.27% (3%) [ 224, 225): █████████████████ 0.28% (4%) [ 225, 226): ██████████████████ 0.30% (4%) [ 226, 227): ██████████████████ 0.30% (4%) [ 227, 228): ████████████████████ 0.33% (5%) [ 228, 229): ████████████████████████ 0.41% (5%) [ 229, 230): ██████████████████████████ 0.43% (5%) [ 230, 231): ██████████████████████ 0.37% (6%) [ 231, 232): ████████████████████████ 0.40% (6%) [ 232, 233): ████████████████████████████ 0.46% (7%) [ 233, 234): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (7%) [ 234, 235): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (8%) [ 235, 236): █████████████████████████████████ 0.56% (8%) [ 236, 237): ██████████████████████████████ 0.50% (9%) [ 237, 238): ████████████████████████████████ 0.54% (9%) [ 238, 239): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.66% (10%) [ 239, 240): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.72% (11%) [ 240, 241): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.66% (11%) [ 241, 242): ███████████████████████████████████████ 0.65% (12%) [ 242, 243): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.69% (13%) [ 243, 244): ██████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (13%) [ 244, 245): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.91% (14%) [ 245, 246): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (15%) [ 246, 247): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (16%) [ 247, 248): █████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (17%) [ 248, 249): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (18%) [ 249, 250): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (19%) [ 250, 251): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.07% (20%) [ 251, 252): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.05% (21%) [ 252, 253): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (22%) [ 253, 254): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.04% (23%) [ 254, 255): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.19% (24%) [ 255, 256): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (26%) [ 256, 257): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.22% (27%) [ 257, 258): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.13% (28%) [ 258, 259): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.25% (29%) [ 259, 260): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (30%) [ 260, 261): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (32%) [ 261, 262): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (33%) [ 262, 263): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.39% (35%) [ 263, 264): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (36%) [ 264, 265): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (37%) [ 265, 266): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (39%) [ 266, 267): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.46% (40%) [ 267, 268): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (42%) [ 268, 269): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (43%) [ 269, 270): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (45%) [ 270, 271): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.56% (46%) [ 271, 272): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (48%) [ 272, 273): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (50%) [ 273, 274): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.50% (51%) [ 274, 275): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.63% (53%) [ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.64% (54%) [ 276, 277): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (56%) [ 277, 278): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (57%) [ 278, 279): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.55% (59%) [ 279, 280): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (60%) [ 280, 281): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.60% (62%) [ 281, 282): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (64%) [ 282, 283): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.42% (65%) [ 283, 284): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (66%) [ 284, 285): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (68%) [ 285, 286): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (69%) [ 286, 287): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.37% (71%) [ 287, 288): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.34% (72%) [ 288, 289): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.30% (73%) [ 289, 290): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.35% (75%) [ 290, 291): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.38% (76%) [ 291, 292): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.32% (78%) [ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (79%) [ 293, 294): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (80%) [ 294, 295): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.21% (81%) [ 295, 296): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.19% (82%) [ 296, 297): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.10% (83%) [ 297, 298): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (84%) [ 298, 299): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.93% (85%) [ 299, 300): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (86%) [ 300, 301): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.03% (87%) [ 301, 302): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.88% (88%) [ 302, 303): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.77% (89%) [ 303, 304): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (90%) [ 304, 305): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.78% (90%) [ 305, 306): █████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (91%) [ 306, 307): ███████████████████████████████████████████ 0.71% (92%) [ 307, 308): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.62% (93%) [ 308, 309): ███████████████████████████████████ 0.58% (93%) [ 309, 310): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.59% (94%) [ 310, 311): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.57% (94%) [ 311, 312): ████████████████████████████ 0.46% (95%) [ 312, 313): ███████████████████████████ 0.45% (95%) [ 313, 314): ███████████████████████████ 0.45% (96%) [ 314, 315): █████████████████████████ 0.42% (96%) [ 315, 316): █████████████████████ 0.35% (96%) [ 316, 317): █████████████████████ 0.35% (97%) [ 317, 318): ████████████████ 0.27% (97%) [ 318, 319): █████████████████ 0.29% (97%) [ 319, 320): ███████████████████ 0.32% (98%) [ 320, 321): ███████████████ 0.26% (98%) [ 321, 322): ██████████ 0.17% (98%) [ 322, 323): ████████████ 0.20% (98%) [ 323, 324): █████████████ 0.22% (98%) [ 324, 325): ███████████ 0.20% (99%) [ 325, 326): █████████ 0.16% (99%) [ 326, 327): ███████ 0.12% (99%) [ 327, 328): █████ 0.09% (99%) [ 328, 329): ██████ 0.11% (99%) [ 329, 330): █████████ 0.15% (99%) [ 330, 331): █████ 0.09% (99%) [ 331, 332): ███ 0.05% (99%) [ 332, 333): ███ 0.05% (99%) [ 333, 334): ████ 0.07% (100%) [ 334, 335): ████ 0.07% (100%) [ 335, 336): ███ 0.06% (100%) [ 336, 337): █ 0.03% (100%) [ 337, 338): █ 0.02% (100%) [ 338, 339): ██ 0.03% (100%) [ 339, 340): ██ 0.04% (100%) [ 340, 341): █ 0.03% (100%) [ 341, 342): 0.01% (100%) [ 342, 343): 0.01% (100%) [ 343, 344): 0.01% (100%) [ 344, 345): 0.02% (100%) [ 345, 346): 0.01% (100%) [ 346, 347): 0.01% (100%) [ 347, 348): 0.01% (100%) [ 348, 349): 0.01% (100%) [ 349, 350): 0.01% (100%) [ 350, 351): 0.01% (100%) [ 351, 352): 0.01% (100%) [ 352, 353): 0.01% (100%) [ 353, 354): 0.00% (100%) [ 354, 355): 0.00% (100%) [ 355, 356): 0.00% (100%) [ 356, 357): 0.00% (100%) [ 357, 358): 0.00% (100%) [ 358, 359): 0.00% (100%) [ 359, 360): 0.00% (100%) [ 360, 361): 0.00% (100%) [ 361, 362): 0.00% (100%) [ 362, 363): 0.00% (100%) [ 363, 364): 0.00% (100%) [ 364, 365): 0.00% (100%) [ 365, 366): 0.00% (100%) [ 366, 367): 0.00% (100%) [ 367, 368): 0.00% (100%) [ 368, 369): 0.00% (100%) [ 369, 370): 0.00% (100%) [ 370, 371): 0.00% (100%) [ 371, 372): 0.00% (100%) [ 372, 373): 0.00% (100%) [ 373, 374): 0.00% (100%) [ 374, 375): 0.00% (100%) [ 375, 376): 0.00% (100%) [ 376, 377): 0.00% (100%) [ 377, 378): 0.00% (100%) [ 378, 379): 0.00% (100%) [ 379, 380): 0.00% (100%) [ 380, 381): 0.00% (100%) [ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) [ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) [ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) [ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) [ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) [ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) [ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) [ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) [ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) [ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) [ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) [ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) [ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) [ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) [ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) [ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) [ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) [ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) [ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) % republicans: 0.551070