diff --git a/data/polls/president_polls.csv b/data/polls/president_polls.csv index bfdf383..3e7eac5 100644 --- a/data/polls/president_polls.csv +++ b/data/polls/president_polls.csv @@ -1,10 +1,212 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_id,pollster_rating_name,numeric_grade,pollscore,methodology,transparency_score,state,start_date,end_date,sponsor_candidate_id,sponsor_candidate,sponsor_candidate_party,endorsed_candidate_id,endorsed_candidate_name,endorsed_candidate_party,question_id,sample_size,population,subpopulation,population_full,tracking,created_at,notes,url,source,internal,partisan,race_id,cycle,office_type,seat_number,seat_name,election_date,stage,nationwide_batch,ranked_choice_reallocated,ranked_choice_round,party,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,pct +87713,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Michigan,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205617,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87713,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Michigan,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205617,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87714,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205618,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87714,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205618,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87715,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Pennsylvania,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205619,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87715,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Pennsylvania,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205619,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87716,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Arizona,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205620,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87716,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Arizona,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205620,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87717,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Nevada,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205621,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87717,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Nevada,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205621,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87718,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,North Carolina,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205622,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:21,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87718,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,North Carolina,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205622,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:21,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87710,1554,RMG Research,2178,Napolitan News Service,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,Online Panel,5.0,,8/5/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205594,2000,rv,,rv,,8/9/24 09:26,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/09/presidential-race-update/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87710,1554,RMG Research,2178,Napolitan News Service,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,Online Panel,5.0,,8/5/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205594,2000,rv,,rv,,8/9/24 09:26,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/09/presidential-race-update/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87710,1554,RMG Research,2178,Napolitan News Service,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,Online Panel,5.0,,8/5/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205594,2000,rv,,rv,,8/9/24 09:26,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/09/presidential-race-update/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,2.0 +87710,1554,RMG Research,2178,Napolitan News Service,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,Online Panel,5.0,,8/5/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205606,,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 09:44,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/09/presidential-race-update/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87710,1554,RMG Research,2178,Napolitan News Service,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,Online Panel,5.0,,8/5/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205606,,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 09:44,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/09/presidential-race-update/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87709,241,Ipsos,"","",Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,8/2/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205592,1342,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 19:13,"",https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.0 +87709,241,Ipsos,"","",Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,8/2/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205592,1342,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 19:13,"",https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.0 +87709,241,Ipsos,"","",Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,8/2/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205592,1342,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 19:13,"",https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.0 +87709,241,Ipsos,"","",Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,8/2/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205593,1342,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 19:13,"",https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87709,241,Ipsos,"","",Ipsos,154,Ipsos,2.8,-0.8,Probability Panel,9.5,,8/2/24,8/7/24,,"",,,,,205593,1342,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 19:13,"",https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-2024-us-national-election-survey-august-2024,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205437,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205437,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,57.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,39.0 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,53.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.6 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.1 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.1 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.1 +87696,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,8/4/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205407,1413,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 10:49,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qdE4wzP.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87696,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,8/4/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205407,1413,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 10:49,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qdE4wzP.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87696,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,8/4/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205407,1413,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 10:49,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qdE4wzP.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,2.0 +87696,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,8/4/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205407,1413,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 10:49,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qdE4wzP.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87696,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,8/4/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205407,1413,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 10:49,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_qdE4wzP.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87694,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/30/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205341,1000,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 00:00,"",https://www.activote.net/harris-and-trump-essentially-tied/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87694,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/30/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205341,1000,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 00:00,"",https://www.activote.net/harris-and-trump-essentially-tied/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87694,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/30/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205342,1000,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 00:00,"",https://www.activote.net/harris-and-trump-essentially-tied/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87694,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/30/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205342,1000,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 00:00,"",https://www.activote.net/harris-and-trump-essentially-tied/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.4 +87694,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/30/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205342,1000,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 00:00,"",https://www.activote.net/harris-and-trump-essentially-tied/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,10.5 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.1 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.2 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.6 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.6 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.4 +87677,460,SurveyUSA,"","",SurveyUSA,325,SurveyUSA,2.8,-1.3,Online Panel,8.0,,8/2/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205228,1510,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 17:27,"",https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9c0934f2-406d-4e2c-9a29-762891f12cda,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87677,460,SurveyUSA,"","",SurveyUSA,325,SurveyUSA,2.8,-1.3,Online Panel,8.0,,8/2/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205228,1510,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 17:27,"",https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9c0934f2-406d-4e2c-9a29-762891f12cda,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87702,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205461,800,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:49,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/08/wisconsin-harris-48-trump-45/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87702,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205461,800,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:49,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/08/wisconsin-harris-48-trump-45/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87706,1337,HighGround,"","",HighGround,416,HighGround Inc.,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,3.5,Arizona,7/30/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205574,500,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 13:07,"",https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.4 +87706,1337,HighGround,"","",HighGround,416,HighGround Inc.,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,3.5,Arizona,7/30/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205574,500,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 13:07,"",https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.6 +87675,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,8/2/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205219,11265,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:13,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87675,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,8/2/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205219,11265,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:13,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205296,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,51.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205296,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87701,1292,Hart/POS,576,CNBC,Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies,221,Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies,2.6,-0.6,Live Phone,4.0,,7/31/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205460,1001,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:40,"",https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/08/trump-holds-2-point-lead-over-harris-with-a-big-advantage-on-economy-cnbc-survey-shows.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87701,1292,Hart/POS,576,CNBC,Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies,221,Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies,2.6,-0.6,Live Phone,4.0,,7/31/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205460,1001,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:40,"",https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/08/trump-holds-2-point-lead-over-harris-with-a-big-advantage-on-economy-cnbc-survey-shows.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87674,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,8/1/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205218,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:13,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87674,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,8/1/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205218,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:13,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. 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Kennedy,3.0 +87691,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205276,597,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87691,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205276,597,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205203,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205203,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205204,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205204,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205204,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205204,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 +87664,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205204,1326,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:47,"",https://issuesinsights.com/2024/08/05/trump-harris-neck-and-neck-but-her-post-biden-honeymoon-with-voters-might-not-last-ii-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87673,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205217,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87673,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/31/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205217,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205200,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205200,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,2.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 +87663,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/30/24,8/2/24,,"",,,,,205201,3092,lv,,lv,,8/4/24 12:54,"",https://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-harris-trump-cbs-news/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87672,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/30/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205216,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87672,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/30/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205216,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87665,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,7.5,,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205205,1000,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:48,"",https://www.wcvb.com/article/harris-trump-kennedy-national-poll-president-august-2024-umass/61784225,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87665,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,7.5,,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205205,1000,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:48,"",https://www.wcvb.com/article/harris-trump-kennedy-national-poll-president-august-2024-umass/61784225,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87665,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,7.5,,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205205,1000,rv,,rv,,8/5/24 09:48,"",https://www.wcvb.com/article/harris-trump-kennedy-national-poll-president-august-2024-umass/61784225,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 +87667,147,Fabrizio,2177,Early Vote Action,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",1.7,-0.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205210,600,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 10:47,"",https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820465023015428458,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87667,147,Fabrizio,2177,Early Vote Action,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",1.7,-0.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205210,600,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 10:47,"",https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820465023015428458,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87667,147,Fabrizio,2177,Early Vote Action,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",1.7,-0.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205211,600,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 10:48,"",https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820465023015428458,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87667,147,Fabrizio,2177,Early Vote Action,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",1.7,-0.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205211,600,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 10:48,"",https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820465023015428458,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87667,147,Fabrizio,2177,Early Vote Action,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",1.7,-0.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205211,600,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 10:48,"",https://x.com/ScottPresler/status/1820465023015428458,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205260,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,53.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205260,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205425,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205425,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205426,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205426,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205433,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205433,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205434,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,53.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205434,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205435,879,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87699,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Probability Panel,10.0,,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205436,683,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-supreme-court-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87656,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,,7/29/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205165,3000,rv,,rv,,8/2/24 09:29,"",https://x.com/RMG_Research/status/1819361783263449320,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87656,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,,7/29/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205165,3000,rv,,rv,,8/2/24 09:29,"",https://x.com/RMG_Research/status/1819361783263449320,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 +87656,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,,7/29/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205165,3000,rv,,rv,,8/2/24 09:29,"",https://x.com/RMG_Research/status/1819361783263449320,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 +87671,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/29/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205215,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87671,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/29/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205215,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205572,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205572,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87631,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Arizona,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204847,618,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87631,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Arizona,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204847,618,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 87632,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204848,627,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87632,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204848,627,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87633,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204849,662,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 87633,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204849,662,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87658,1671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,"","",Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email,1.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205167,,lv,,lv,,8/2/24 12:16,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/trump-leads-in-georgia-by-two-points/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87658,1671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,"","",Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email,1.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205167,,lv,,lv,,8/2/24 12:16,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/trump-leads-in-georgia-by-two-points/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87670,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/28/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205214,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87670,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/28/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205214,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 87628,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204845,1434,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5LIBPv8.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 87628,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204845,1434,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5LIBPv8.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87628,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204845,1434,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5LIBPv8.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 @@ -12,9 +214,27 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87628,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204845,1434,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5LIBPv8.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 87641,1447,Civiqs,185,Daily Kos,Civiqs,471,Civiqs,2.5,-0.2,Online Panel,8.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204936,1123,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 16:10,"",https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/7/31/2259566/-Fresh-polling-shows-Harris-momentum-is-real,"",,DEM,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87641,1447,Civiqs,185,Daily Kos,Civiqs,471,Civiqs,2.5,-0.2,Online Panel,8.0,,7/27/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204936,1123,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 16:10,"",https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/7/31/2259566/-Fresh-polling-shows-Harris-momentum-is-real,"",,DEM,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,2.0 +87703,1887,YouGov/SNF Agora,"","",YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,860,YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,,,Online Panel,4.5,,7/26/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205541,2000,a,,a,,8/8/24 10:31,"",https://snfagora.jhu.edu/news/republicans-who-believe-trump-won-in-2020-expect-significant-chaos-in-november/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 +87703,1887,YouGov/SNF Agora,"","",YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,860,YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,,,Online Panel,4.5,,7/26/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205541,2000,a,,a,,8/8/24 10:31,"",https://snfagora.jhu.edu/news/republicans-who-believe-trump-won-in-2020-expect-significant-chaos-in-november/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 +87703,1887,YouGov/SNF Agora,"","",YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,860,YouGov/Johns Hopkins University SNF Agora Institute,,,Online Panel,4.5,,7/26/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205541,2000,a,,a,,8/8/24 10:31,"",https://snfagora.jhu.edu/news/republicans-who-believe-trump-won-in-2020-expect-significant-chaos-in-november/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 87619,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,"","",Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,7/29/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204785,1750,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 13:32,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-29-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 87619,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,"","",Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,7/29/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204785,1750,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 13:32,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-29-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 87619,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,"","",Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,7/29/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204785,1750,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 13:32,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-29-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 +87619,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,"","",Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,7/29/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204785,1750,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 13:32,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-29-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87619,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,"","",Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,,7/29/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204785,1750,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 13:32,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-administration-approval-ratings-and-hypothetical-voting-intention-29-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 +87669,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/27/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,205213,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87669,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/27/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,205213,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/5/24 13:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.2 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.7 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.1 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.6 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.6 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204991,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.1 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204992,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.5 +87643,1810,American Pulse,"","",American Pulse Research & Polling,836,American Pulse Research & Polling,,,IVR/Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,6.0,,7/26/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204992,1035,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.americanpulse.us/thankyou-pollresults-publicopinion-post-landscape-shaping-events,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.3 87639,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/24/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204876,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://www.activote.net/trump-extends-lead-over-harris/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.7 87639,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/24/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204876,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://www.activote.net/trump-extends-lead-over-harris/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.3 87639,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,,7/24/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204877,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://www.activote.net/trump-extends-lead-over-harris/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.3 @@ -28,8 +248,18 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87640,294,McLaughlin,"","",McLaughlin & Associates,203,McLaughlin & Associates,0.5,1.7,Online Panel,4.0,,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204925,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 15:01,"",https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-7-30-24.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 87640,294,McLaughlin,"","",McLaughlin & Associates,203,McLaughlin & Associates,0.5,1.7,Online Panel,4.0,,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204925,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 15:01,"",https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-7-30-24.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 87640,294,McLaughlin,"","",McLaughlin & Associates,203,McLaughlin & Associates,0.5,1.7,Online Panel,4.0,,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204925,1000,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 15:01,"",https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/National-July-Presentation-RELEASE-7-30-24.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 -87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Panel,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 -87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Panel,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.6 +87644,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Arizona,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204993,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 +87644,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Arizona,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204993,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87645,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Michigan,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204994,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87645,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Michigan,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204994,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87646,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Nevada,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204995,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87646,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Nevada,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204995,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87647,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Pennsylvania,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204996,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87647,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Pennsylvania,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204996,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87648,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Wisconsin,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204997,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87648,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Wisconsin,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204997,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Ad,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 +87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Ad,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.6 87597,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204617,11538,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87597,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204617,11538,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 87613,1797,HarrisX/Harris Poll,763,Harvard CAPS,HarrisX/Harris Poll,133,Harris Insights & Analytics,1.6,-0.1,Online Panel,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204701,2196,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 09:38,"",https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/HHP_July2024_KeyResults.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 @@ -56,11 +286,37 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87642,1575,Leger,"","",Leger,572,Leger,2.0,0.0,Online Panel,9.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204940,786,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 16:20,"",https://leger360.com/en/us-politics-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 87642,1575,Leger,"","",Leger,572,Leger,2.0,0.0,Online Panel,9.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204940,786,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 16:20,"",https://leger360.com/en/us-politics-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 87642,1575,Leger,"","",Leger,572,Leger,2.0,0.0,Online Panel,9.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204940,786,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 16:20,"",https://leger360.com/en/us-politics-july-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205034,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.4 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205034,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.6 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205035,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.5 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205035,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.5 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205036,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"includes ""other"" option",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205036,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"includes ""other"" option",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205037,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"includes ""other"" option",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205037,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"includes ""other"" option",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.9 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205038,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.8 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205038,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.6 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205038,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.9 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205039,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.8 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205039,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.4 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205039,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.5 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.8 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.8 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.1 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205040,3097,rv,,rv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.8 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.7 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.5 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.2 +87651,1873,Big Data Poll,2133,Public Polling Project,Big Data Poll,251,Big Data Poll,,,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205041,2919,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:40,"",https://www.bigdatapoll.com/blog/national-poll-trump-holds-narrower-lead-post-biden-drop-out/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.8 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 -87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,19.0 +87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,2.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204801,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204801,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 87622,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204795,799,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 @@ -105,6 +361,13 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204800,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,3.0 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204807,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204807,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,39.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205030,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205030,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 @@ -121,16 +384,18 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87617,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,,7/26/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204775,952,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 10:58,"",https://www.faupolling.com/july-30-2024/,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0 87598,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204618,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87598,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204618,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,59.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,0.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,59.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,0.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87612,509,U. North Florida,"","",University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,360,University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,2.8,-0.6,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,10.0,Florida,7/24/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204676,774,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 09:22,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240730_FL_UNF.pdf,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.0 87612,509,U. North Florida,"","",University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,360,University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,2.8,-0.6,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,10.0,Florida,7/24/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204676,774,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 09:22,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240730_FL_UNF.pdf,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 -87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 -87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 -87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 -87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.9 +87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 +87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.9 87599,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204619,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 87599,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204619,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/29/24 20:12,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204850,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 @@ -139,6 +404,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204851,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.0 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204851,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204851,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87659,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,7/22/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,205198,995,lv,,lv,,8/3/24 16:08,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66ad5918b431d02b7b867e07/1722636569606/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+July+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87659,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,7/22/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,205198,995,lv,,lv,,8/3/24 16:08,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66ad5918b431d02b7b867e07/1722636569606/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+July+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87659,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,7/22/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,205199,995,lv,,lv,,8/3/24 16:08,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66ad5918b431d02b7b867e07/1722636569606/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+July+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87659,921,Clarity,"","",Clarity Campaign Labs,52,Clarity Campaign Labs,1.6,-0.2,Online Panel,1.0,,7/22/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,205199,995,lv,,lv,,8/3/24 16:08,"",https://static1.squarespace.com/static/61ae8d5e55be5c7314b4c83a/t/66ad5918b431d02b7b867e07/1722636569606/Clarity+Omnibus+Overview+-+July+2024.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Vance,37143,JD Vance,39.0 87560,446,St. Anselm,"","",Saint Anselm College Survey Center,494,Saint Anselm College Survey Center,2.4,-0.5,Online Panel,6.0,New Hampshire,7/24/24,7/25/24,,"",,,,,204339,2083,rv,,rv,,7/25/24 20:14,"",https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-july-poll-finds-harris-currently-leading-trump-6-points-among-new-hampshire-registered-voters,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 87560,446,St. Anselm,"","",Saint Anselm College Survey Center,494,Saint Anselm College Survey Center,2.4,-0.5,Online Panel,6.0,New Hampshire,7/24/24,7/25/24,,"",,,,,204339,2083,rv,,rv,,7/25/24 20:14,"",https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-july-poll-finds-harris-currently-leading-trump-6-points-among-new-hampshire-registered-voters,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87560,446,St. Anselm,"","",Saint Anselm College Survey Center,494,Saint Anselm College Survey Center,2.4,-0.5,Online Panel,6.0,New Hampshire,7/24/24,7/25/24,,"",,,,,204339,2083,rv,,rv,,7/25/24 20:14,"",https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-july-poll-finds-harris-currently-leading-trump-6-points-among-new-hampshire-registered-voters,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 @@ -475,24 +744,24 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,4.0 -87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,3.0 +87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,3.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,54.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0 -87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,2.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203624,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203624,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,37.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,4.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0 -87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,2.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203624,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203624,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,37.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,4.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0 +87511,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/21/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203625,800,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:27,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/19vb2NtgByJ5MtJkCBHbuI3zUKOB_71iw/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.4 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.7 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,20.9 @@ -610,10 +879,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,52.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,52.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 @@ -702,10 +971,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87510,847,U. Georgia SPIA,655,Atlanta Journal-Constitution,University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs,350,University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs,2.2,-0.2,Live Phone,7.0,Georgia,7/9/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203623,1000,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://www.ajc.com/politics/exclusive-new-ajc-poll-finds-trump-leads-harris-in-georgia-head-to-head-matchup/XCR4MTGSJJHOFHLPUUZLYLCFPE/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.5 87501,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,Texas,6/25/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203617,400,lv,,lv,,7/21/24 11:06,"",https://www.activote.net/cruz-and-trump-lead-comfortably-in-texas/,"",false,,8889,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.6 87501,1741,ActiVote,"","",ActiVote,721,ActiVote,,,App Panel,8.0,Texas,6/25/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203617,400,lv,,lv,,7/21/24 11:06,"",https://www.activote.net/cruz-and-trump-lead-comfortably-in-texas/,"",false,,8889,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,54.4 -87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203539,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0 -87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203539,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0 -87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203540,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 -87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203540,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 +87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203539,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,45.0 +87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203539,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,51.0 +87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203540,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87481,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,7/17/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203540,800,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yWjppGZ3zxiJqYmJimDLlscGbRldgM95/view,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 87478,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/15/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203533,9414,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/18/24 13:46,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 87478,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,7/15/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203533,9414,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/18/24 13:46,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 87482,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,,7/15/24,7/17/24,,"",,,,,203541,2725,lv,,lv,,7/18/24 16:22,"",https://x.com/ScottWRasmussen/status/1813931868762636713,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0 @@ -981,13 +1250,13 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,5.0 -87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,4.0 +87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,4.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,54.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,33.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,4.0 -87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,2.0 +87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,2.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203330,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203330,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203332,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -1208,10 +1477,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87487,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203583,698,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8845,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 87488,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska CD-2,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203584,300,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8837,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 87488,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska CD-2,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203584,300,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8837,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202769,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,50.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202769,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202770,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -1574,8 +1843,8 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87300,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,201964,1392,rv,,rv,,7/3/24 09:32,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_xTDr4ON.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 87300,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,201964,1392,rv,,rv,,7/3/24 09:32,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_xTDr4ON.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 87300,568,YouGov,352,Economist,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,201964,1392,rv,,rv,,7/3/24 09:32,"",https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_xTDr4ON.pdf,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 -87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 -87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 +87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87335,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Pennsylvania,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202375,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 87335,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Pennsylvania,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202375,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87336,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Georgia,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202376,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -1841,14 +2110,14 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87290,770,TIPP,1742,Issues & Insights,TIPP Insights,144,TIPP Insights,1.8,-0.4,Online Panel,3.0,,6/26/24,6/28/24,,"",,,,,201871,1244,rv,,rv,,7/2/24 10:47,"",https://tippinsights.com/biden-trump-knotted-in-july-poll-but-debate-disaster-could-lead-to-big-changes-i-i-tipp-poll/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 87309,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/26/24,6/28/24,,"",,,,,202044,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/3/24 20:49,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 87309,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,6/26/24,6/28/24,,"",,,,,202044,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,7/3/24 20:49,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202308,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202308,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,35.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 -87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202308,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202308,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,35.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87324,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,,6/27/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,202309,600,rv,,rv,,7/6/24 16:50,"",https://sites.google.com/view/socalresearch/627-national-poll,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0 87270,1497,co/efficient,"","",co/efficient,514,co/efficient,1.1,0.3,IVR/Text,5.0,New Jersey,6/26/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,201667,810,lv,,lv,,6/28/24 14:52,"",https://www.coefficient.org/njsenate,"",,,8851,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0 87270,1497,co/efficient,"","",co/efficient,514,co/efficient,1.1,0.3,IVR/Text,5.0,New Jersey,6/26/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,201667,810,lv,,lv,,6/28/24 14:52,"",https://www.coefficient.org/njsenate,"",,,8851,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 87270,1497,co/efficient,"","",co/efficient,514,co/efficient,1.1,0.3,IVR/Text,5.0,New Jersey,6/26/24,6/27/24,,"",,,,,201667,810,lv,,lv,,6/28/24 14:52,"",https://www.coefficient.org/njsenate,"",,,8851,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 @@ -2512,9 +2781,9 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87090,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/29/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200385,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:51,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 87091,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/28/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200386,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 87091,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,5/28/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200386,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,6/4/24 09:52,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 87390,1560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,"","",Lord Ashcroft Polls,560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,,,Online Panel,6.0,,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,202852,10025,a,,a,,7/14/24 12:30,"",https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2024/07/us-voters-are-increasingly-convinced-trump-will-be-re-elected/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0 87390,1560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,"","",Lord Ashcroft Polls,560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,,,Online Panel,6.0,,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,202852,10025,a,,a,,7/14/24 12:30,"",https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2024/07/us-voters-are-increasingly-convinced-trump-will-be-re-elected/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0 87390,1560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,"","",Lord Ashcroft Polls,560,Lord Ashcroft Polls,,,Online Panel,6.0,,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,202855,10025,a,,a,,7/14/24 12:30,"",https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2024/07/us-voters-are-increasingly-convinced-trump-will-be-re-elected/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,36.0 @@ -5695,9 +5964,9 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 85826,1866,CNN/SSRS,"","",CNN/SSRS,844,CNN,,,Probability Panel,10.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191639,983,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/01/politics/cnn-poll-trump-biden-election-2024/index.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 85826,1866,CNN/SSRS,"","",CNN/SSRS,844,CNN,,,Probability Panel,10.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191640,983,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/01/politics/cnn-poll-trump-biden-election-2024/index.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.0 85826,1866,CNN/SSRS,"","",CNN/SSRS,844,CNN,,,Probability Panel,10.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191640,983,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/01/politics/cnn-poll-trump-biden-election-2024/index.html,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Haley,16640,Nikki Haley,52.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +85842,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.0 +85842,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +85842,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 85837,568,YouGov,"","",YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/24/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191704,850,rv,,rv,,2/3/24 10:21,"",https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/48552-republicans-rate-donald-trump-nikki-haley-vote,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0 85837,568,YouGov,"","",YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/24/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191704,850,rv,,rv,,2/3/24 10:21,"",https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/48552-republicans-rate-donald-trump-nikki-haley-vote,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 85837,568,YouGov,"","",YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/24/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191705,847,rv,,rv,,2/3/24 10:21,"",https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/48552-republicans-rate-donald-trump-nikki-haley-vote,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.0 @@ -7438,9 +7707,9 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 84469,458,Suffolk,135,USA Today,Suffolk University,323,Suffolk University,2.9,-1.0,Live Phone,8.0,,10/17/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184024,1000,rv,,rv,,10/23/23 09:01,"",https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/10/23/biden-trump-rfk-jr-poll/71281814007,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,14.0 84469,458,Suffolk,135,USA Today,Suffolk University,323,Suffolk University,2.9,-1.0,Live Phone,8.0,,10/17/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184025,1000,rv,,rv,,10/23/23 09:01,"",https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/10/23/biden-trump-rfk-jr-poll/71281814007,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 84469,458,Suffolk,135,USA Today,Suffolk University,323,Suffolk University,2.9,-1.0,Live Phone,8.0,,10/17/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184025,1000,rv,,rv,,10/23/23 09:01,"",https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/10/23/biden-trump-rfk-jr-poll/71281814007,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,21.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,17.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,21.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,17.0 84750,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,10/17/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,187528,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,11/21/23 09:47,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 84750,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,,10/17/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,187528,4000,rv,,rv,TRUE,11/21/23 09:47,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 84481,1832,Let's Preserve the American Dream,"","",Let's Preserve the American Dream,809,Let's Preserve the American Dream,,,Live Phone,2.5,,10/16/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,184121,1000,lv,,lv,,10/24/23 15:01,"",https://www.lptad.com/_files/ugd/cd4c37_912e6211dec24d428af59860ba8f033b.pdf,"",,REP,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,35.0 @@ -8861,12 +9130,12 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 82983,383,PPP,618,Northwest Progressive Institute,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text-to-Web,,Washington,6/7/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174274,773,lv,,lv,,6/12/23 12:59,"",https://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2023/06/joe-biden-leads-donald-trump-in-washington-by-seventeen-points-ron-desantis-by-twelve.html,"",,DEM,8902,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,DeSantis,16646,Ron DeSantis,39.0 83760,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,6/6/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,179371,5000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/17/23 13:53,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2024-generic-ballot-august-2023,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0 83760,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,6/6/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,179371,5000,rv,,rv,TRUE,8/17/23 13:53,"",https://pro.morningconsult.com/analysis/2024-generic-ballot-august-2023,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174542,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174542,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174543,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174543,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,DeSantis,16646,Ron DeSantis,37.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174544,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0 -83022,568,YouGov,278,UMass Amherst,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174544,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Scott,16648,Tim Scott,35.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174542,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174542,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,40.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174543,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174543,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,DeSantis,16646,Ron DeSantis,37.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174544,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0 +83022,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,"","",University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,,,5/31/23,6/8/23,,"",,,,,174544,1133,a,,a,,6/16/23 09:49,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/toplines-and-crosstabs-june-2023-juneteenth-poll-national-politics,"",false,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Scott,16648,Tim Scott,35.0 82972,1799,Opinion Diagnostics,"","",Opinion Diagnostics,769,Opinion Diagnostics,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,,North Carolina,6/5/23,6/7/23,,"",,,,,174230,902,lv,,lv,,6/9/23 10:01,"",https://www.opiniondiagnostics.com/nc-elections-and-policy-poll,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.1 82972,1799,Opinion Diagnostics,"","",Opinion Diagnostics,769,Opinion Diagnostics,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,,North Carolina,6/5/23,6/7/23,,"",,,,,174230,902,lv,,lv,,6/9/23 10:01,"",https://www.opiniondiagnostics.com/nc-elections-and-policy-poll,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.6 82972,1799,Opinion Diagnostics,"","",Opinion Diagnostics,769,Opinion Diagnostics,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text-to-Web,,North Carolina,6/5/23,6/7/23,,"",,,,,174231,902,lv,,lv,,6/9/23 10:01,"",https://www.opiniondiagnostics.com/nc-elections-and-policy-poll,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.5 @@ -10281,7 +10550,7 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165444,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:25,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165444,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:25,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Cruz,16641,Ted Cruz,37.0 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165445,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,38.0 -81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165445,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Hawley,16656,Joshua David Hawley,31.0 +81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165445,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Hawley,16656,Josh Hawley,31.0 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165446,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165446,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Cotton,16650,Tom Cotton,31.0 81646,1189,Morning Consult,"","",Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,,,11/2/22,11/7/22,,"",,,,,165447,3980,rv,,rv,,11/15/22 08:26,"",https://morningconsult.com/2022/11/10/decreasing-gop-primary-support-trump-2024-survey/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,37.0 diff --git a/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv b/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv index b027e64..d7ecf31 100644 --- a/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv +++ b/data/polls/president_polls_state.csv @@ -1,12 +1,154 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_id,pollster_rating_name,numeric_grade,pollscore,methodology,transparency_score,state,start_date,end_date,sponsor_candidate_id,sponsor_candidate,sponsor_candidate_party,endorsed_candidate_id,endorsed_candidate_name,endorsed_candidate_party,question_id,sample_size,population,subpopulation,population_full,tracking,created_at,notes,url,source,internal,partisan,race_id,cycle,office_type,seat_number,seat_name,election_date,stage,nationwide_batch,ranked_choice_reallocated,ranked_choice_round,party,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,pct +87713,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Michigan,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205617,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87713,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Michigan,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205617,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87714,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205618,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87714,235,InsiderAdvantage,"","",InsiderAdvantage,243,InsiderAdvantage,2.0,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205618,800,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87715,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Pennsylvania,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205619,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87715,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Pennsylvania,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205619,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87716,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Arizona,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205620,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87716,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Arizona,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205620,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87717,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Nevada,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205621,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87717,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,Nevada,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205621,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:20,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87718,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,North Carolina,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205622,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:21,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87718,1250,Trafalgar Group,"","",Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,0.7,0.5,,4.0,North Carolina,8/6/24,8/8/24,,"",,,,,205622,1000,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 20:21,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/pollingplus-exclusive-top-two-presidential-cycle-pollsters-towery-and-cahaly-release-battleground-polls/,"",,REP,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205437,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205437,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:19,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,57.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,39.0 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,53.5 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.6 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.1 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.1 +87700,1102,Emerson,960,The Hill,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,Montana,8/5/24,8/6/24,,"",,,,,205438,1000,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 09:20,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/montana-2024-poll-trump-55-harris-40/,"",,,8833,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.1 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.1 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.2 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.6 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.6 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87711,1347,Cygnal,2100,Carolina Journal,Cygnal,67,Cygnal,2.1,-1.3,,4.0,North Carolina,8/4/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205615,600,lv,,lv,,8/9/24 12:06,"",https://www.carolinajournal.com/polls/with-harris-as-presidential-nominee-race-tightens-in-north-carolina/,"",,,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.4 +87702,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205461,800,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:49,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/08/wisconsin-harris-48-trump-45/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87702,1554,RMG Research,"","",RMG Research,555,RMG Research,2.3,-0.4,,5.0,Wisconsin,7/31/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205461,800,rv,,rv,,8/8/24 09:49,"",https://napolitaninstitute.org/2024/08/08/wisconsin-harris-48-trump-45/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87706,1337,HighGround,"","",HighGround,416,HighGround Inc.,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,3.5,Arizona,7/30/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205574,500,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 13:07,"",https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.4 +87706,1337,HighGround,"","",HighGround,416,HighGround Inc.,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,3.5,Arizona,7/30/24,8/5/24,,"",,,,,205574,500,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 13:07,"",https://azhighground.com/democrats-take-early-top-of-the-ticket-lead-following-arizonas-primary-election/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.6 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205296,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,51.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205296,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87679,1205,Marist,"373,2166",NPR | PBS News,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,,8/1/24,8/4/24,,"",,,,,205297,1513,rv,,rv,,8/6/24 17:22,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest-august-2024/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87682,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Arizona,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205267,567,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 +87683,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Florida,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205268,976,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,41.0 +87683,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Florida,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205268,976,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87683,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1.8,0.3,Online Panel,9.0,Florida,7/31/24,8/3/24,,"",,,,,205268,976,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 12:15,"",https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-31-july-3-august-2024/,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. 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Kennedy,4.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205260,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,53.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205260,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87678,438,Siena,127,Newsday,Siena College,305,Siena College,2.7,-0.8,Live Phone,7.0,New York,7/28/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205261,1199,lv,,lv,,8/6/24 09:17,"",https://scri.siena.edu/2024/08/06/harris-leads-trump-by-14-points-53-39-up-from-bidens-8-point-lead-in-june-in-6-way-matchup-harris-leads-by-12-points-rfk-7/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205425,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205425,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205426,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205426,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205427,877,rv,,rv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,CON,Terry,36761,Randall A. Terry,0.0 +87698,1075,Marquette Law School,"","",Marquette University Law School,195,Marquette University Law School,3.0,-1.0,Live Phone/Email,10.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,8/1/24,,"",,,,,205428,801,lv,,lv,,8/7/24 14:11,"",https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2024/08/07/detailed-results-of-the-marquette-law-school-poll-july-24-august-1-2024/,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,44.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,4.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,2.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205571,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,0.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205572,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87704,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/31/24,,"",,,,,205572,600,lv,,lv,,8/8/24 11:21,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/georgia-older-voter-survey-2024/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87631,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Arizona,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204847,618,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87631,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Arizona,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204847,618,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 87632,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204848,627,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87632,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204848,627,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87633,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204849,662,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 87633,383,PPP,2106,Progress Action Fund (hybrid PAC),Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,,4.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,204849,662,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4801296-trump-harris-polls-arizona-pennsylvania-georgia/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 -87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Panel,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 -87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Panel,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.6 +87658,1671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,"","",Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email,1.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205167,,lv,,lv,,8/2/24 12:16,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/trump-leads-in-georgia-by-two-points/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87658,1671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,"","",Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,671,Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage,,,IVR/Live Phone/Text/Online Panel/Email,1.0,Georgia,7/29/24,7/30/24,,"",,,,,205167,,lv,,lv,,8/2/24 12:16,"",https://pollingplus.com/news/trump-leads-in-georgia-by-two-points/,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,50.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87668,1775,GQR,"","",GQR,126,GQR,1.9,0.1,Live Phone,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/26/24,7/30/24,37144,Malcolm Kenyatta,DEM,,,,205212,500,lv,,lv,,8/5/24 13:07,"",https://www.scribd.com/document/756269660/Kenyatta-Public-Memo-08012024-proofed,"",true,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,2.0 +87644,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Arizona,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204993,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,43.0 +87644,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Arizona,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204993,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87645,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Michigan,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204994,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87645,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Michigan,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204994,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87646,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Nevada,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204995,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 +87646,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Nevada,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204995,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87647,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Pennsylvania,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204996,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87647,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Pennsylvania,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204996,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 +87648,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Wisconsin,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204997,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,48.0 +87648,379,Public Opinion Strategies,2025,Competitiveness Coalition,Public Opinion Strategies,260,Public Opinion Strategies,1.7,0.2,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,3.0,Wisconsin,7/23/24,7/29/24,,"",,,,,204997,400,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 09:25,"",https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000191-0bfd-d871-af95-affdc1b80000,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 +87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Ad,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 +87638,1886,Quantus Polls and News,"","",Quantus Polls and News,859,Quantus Polls and News,,,Online Ad,8.5,Pennsylvania,7/27/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204875,500,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 11:47,"",https://quantus.substack.com/p/trump-leads-harris-with-small-lead,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.6 87635,1102,Emerson,43,7News/WHDH,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New Hampshire,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204852,1000,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-poll-harris-50-trump-46/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.4 87635,1102,Emerson,43,7News/WHDH,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New Hampshire,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204852,1000,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-poll-harris-50-trump-46/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.6 87635,1102,Emerson,43,7News/WHDH,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New Hampshire,7/26/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204853,1000,rv,,rv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2024-poll-harris-50-trump-46/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.7 @@ -18,7 +160,7 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 -87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,19.0 +87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204794,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,2.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204801,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87621,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Arizona,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204801,804,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8759,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 87622,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Georgia,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204795,799,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 @@ -63,20 +205,29 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204800,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,3.0 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204807,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87627,1189,Morning Consult,96,Bloomberg,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,1.8,-0.2,Online Panel,3.0,Wisconsin,7/24/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204807,700,rv,,rv,,7/30/24 20:12,"",https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-07-30/kamala-harris-erases-trump-s-swing-state-lead-in-2024-election-poll,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,39.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,LIB,Oliver,31790,Chase Oliver,1.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205029,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205030,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.0 +87650,1699,Fabrizio/Impact,42,AARP,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research",694,Fabrizio Lee & Associates/Impact Research,1.7,-0.3,Live Phone,2.0,Ohio,7/23/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,205030,600,lv,,lv,,8/1/24 12:13,"",https://www.aarp.org/pri/topics/voter-research/politics/ohio-older-voter-survey-2024/?CMP=RDRCT-PRI-POLT,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 87618,461,Susquehanna,"","",Susquehanna Polling & Research,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,2.3,-0.3,,5.5,Pennsylvania,7/22/24,7/28/24,,"",,,,,204782,600,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 12:00,"",https://x.com/SusquehannaPR/status/1818309340928901514,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,0.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,59.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 -87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://x.com/CA_120/status/1818316317587578977,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,0.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,59.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,0.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 +87620,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/25/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204786,1904,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 15:54,"",https://capitolweekly.net/ca120-new-polls-show-young-voters-latinos-key-to-dem-hopes-in-november/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87612,509,U. North Florida,"","",University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,360,University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,2.8,-0.6,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,10.0,Florida,7/24/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204676,774,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 09:22,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240730_FL_UNF.pdf,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,42.0 87612,509,U. North Florida,"","",University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,360,University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab,2.8,-0.6,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,10.0,Florida,7/24/24,7/27/24,,"",,,,,204676,774,lv,,lv,,7/30/24 09:22,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240730_FL_UNF.pdf,"",,,8778,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 -87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 -87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 -87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 -87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.9 +87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87577,1878,SoCal Research,2170,Red Eagle Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Michigan,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204376,500,rv,,rv,,7/26/24 16:26,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240726_MI_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,REP,8820,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.0 +87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.4 +87588,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Georgia,7/25/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204533,505,rv,,rv,,7/27/24 13:45,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240727_GA_SoCalResearch.pdf,"",,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,49.9 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204850,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,49.0 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204850,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87634,785,Hoffman Research,"","",Hoffman Research Group,141,Hoffman Research Group,1.7,0.1,Live Phone,5.0,Oregon,7/24/24,7/26/24,,"",,,,,204851,700,lv,,lv,,7/31/24 10:08,"",https://www.wweek.com/news/2024/07/30/new-poll-shows-harris-with-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-oregon/,"",,,8869,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,45.0 @@ -294,17 +445,17 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,4.0 -87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,3.0 +87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204643,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,3.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,54.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,3.0 -87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,2.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 -87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87609,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/19/24,7/22/24,,"",,,,,204644,2121,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:22,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,2.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,46.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203664,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,46.0 +87518,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Pennsylvania,7/20/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203665,500,lv,,lv,,7/22/24 10:18,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BTopd55Mr-uiOfZ_0booFKcstbNry-Ku/view,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,50.0 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.4 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.7 87509,1304,Praecones Analytica,645,New Hampshire Journal,Praecones Analytica,257,Praecones Analytica,2.0,0.0,,8.5,New Hampshire,7/19/24,7/21/24,,"",,,,,203619,601,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 09:08,"",https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/,"",,,8848,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,20.9 @@ -339,10 +490,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 87526,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,North Carolina,7/19/24,7/20/24,,"",,,,,203803,573,rv,,rv,,7/22/24 19:48,"",https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240722_swing_PPP.pdf,"",,DEM,8839,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,3.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,52.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.0 -87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,52.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203596,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,52.0 +87496,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,New York,7/18/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203597,500,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 22:08,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Al2zynn5kHB4H8Hbe5dLd_wRCnl_Sp2H/view,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,41.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 87485,383,PPP,2165,Clean and Prosperous America,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,1.4,0.0,IVR/Text,4.0,Pennsylvania,7/17/24,7/18/24,,"",,,,,203571,624,rv,,rv,,7/18/24 20:18,"",https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/18/so-you-wanted-some-harris-polling-00169524,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,2.0 @@ -594,13 +745,13 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,6.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,5.0 -87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,4.0 +87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204641,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,4.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,54.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,33.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,7.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,0.0 87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,4.0 -87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De la Cruz,2.0 +87608,1491,Capitol Weekly,"","",Capitol Weekly,510,Capitol Weekly,,,,5.0,California,7/12/24,7/14/24,,"",,,,,204642,1044,lv,,lv,,7/29/24 20:21,"",https://capitolweekly.net/pour-one-out-for-the-pollsters/,"",,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,PSL,De la Cruz,37131,Claudia De La Cruz,2.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203330,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203330,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 87440,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Virginia,7/12/24,7/13/24,,"",,,,,203332,544,lv,,lv,,7/17/24 11:59,"",https://www.faupolling.com/fau-mainstreet-usa-poll/,"",false,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -777,10 +928,10 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87487,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203583,698,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8845,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,52.0 87488,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska CD-2,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203584,300,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8837,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 87488,1765,Torchlight Strategies,"","",Torchlight Strategies,745,Torchlight Strategies,,,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,2.0,Nebraska CD-2,7/8/24,7/11/24,31125,Deb Fischer,REP,,,,203584,300,lv,,lv,,7/19/24 09:49,"",https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/07/19/fischer-trump-lead-statewide-in-fischers-new-nebraska-poll/,"",true,REP,8837,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 -87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202657,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Harris,16661,Kamala Harris,47.0 +87369,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Virginia,7/6/24,7/11/24,,"",,,,,202658,1000,a,,a,,7/11/24 09:15,"",https://drive.google.com/file/d/1G2DxZyffDhUSzWfGmbkJeuxgqMJkDdY1/view,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,47.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202769,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,50.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202769,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87377,1205,Marist,"373,765",NPR | PBS NewsHour,Marist College,183,Marist College,2.9,-0.9,Live Phone/Online Panel,7.0,,7/9/24,7/10/24,,"",,,,,202770,1174,rv,,rv,,7/12/24 10:05,"",https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/contest-for-president-still-up-for-grabs/,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -967,8 +1118,8 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87416,534,Virginia Commonwealth U.,"","",Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,370,Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,2.1,-0.1,Live Phone,9.0,Virginia,6/24/24,7/3/24,,"",,,,,203348,755,rv,,rv,,7/17/24 15:11,"",https://research.wilder.vcu.edu/commonwealth-polls/poll-archives/trump-leads-biden-by-3-points-in-virginia.html,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,8.4 87416,534,Virginia Commonwealth U.,"","",Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,370,Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,2.1,-0.1,Live Phone,9.0,Virginia,6/24/24,7/3/24,,"",,,,,203348,755,rv,,rv,,7/17/24 15:11,"",https://research.wilder.vcu.edu/commonwealth-polls/poll-archives/trump-leads-biden-by-3-points-in-virginia.html,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,1.6 87416,534,Virginia Commonwealth U.,"","",Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,370,Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs,2.1,-0.1,Live Phone,9.0,Virginia,6/24/24,7/3/24,,"",,,,,203348,755,rv,,rv,,7/17/24 15:11,"",https://research.wilder.vcu.edu/commonwealth-polls/poll-archives/trump-leads-biden-by-3-points-in-virginia.html,"",,,8895,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.7 -87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 -87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Panel,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 +87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 +87325,1878,SoCal Research,2152,On Point Politics,SoCal Research,851,SoCal Research,,,Online Ad,8.0,Wisconsin,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202350,490,rv,,rv,,7/7/24 13:25,"",https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.fivethirtyeight.com%2Fpolls%2F20240707_WI_SoCalResearchtabs.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK,"",,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,44.0 87335,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Pennsylvania,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202375,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 87335,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Pennsylvania,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202375,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,48.0 87336,1102,Emerson,2154,DemNextGen,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,,7.0,Georgia,6/30/24,7/2/24,,"",,,,,202376,1000,rv,,rv,,7/8/24 13:02,"",https://nypost.com/2024/07/08/us-news/biden-lags-behind-in-all-of-the-key-battleground-states-by-4-point-average-new-poll/,"",,DEM,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 @@ -1455,9 +1606,9 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0 87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,35.0 87099,1801,Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research,"","",Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,770,Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research,,,IVR/Online Panel,6.0,Wisconsin,5/30/24,5/31/24,,"",,,,,200414,290,lv,,lv,,6/4/24 13:26,"",https://www.faupolling.com/midwest-battle-ground-states-pennsylvania-wisconsin-michigan/,"",false,,8905,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,12.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0 -87105,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,48.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,27.0 +87105,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,5/17/24,5/30/24,,"",,,,,200472,700,a,,a,,6/5/24 10:21,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/healey-approval-2024-election-toplines-crosstabs-june-5-2024,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.1 87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,37.6 87069,1102,Emerson,"960,1185,1729",The Hill | Nexstar | PIX 11,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,2.9,-1.1,IVR/Online Panel/Text-to-Web,7.0,New York,5/28/24,5/29/24,,"",,,,,200296,1000,rv,,rv,,5/30/24 17:37,"",https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/,"",,,8860,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,5.7 @@ -3418,9 +3569,6 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 85828,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Georgia,1/26/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191635,1119,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-leads-biden-georgia-receiving-just-over-50-support,"",false,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,18.0 85828,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Georgia,1/26/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191635,1119,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-leads-biden-georgia-receiving-just-over-50-support,"",false,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,West,31097,Cornel West,3.0 85828,1597,Beacon/Shaw,149,FOX News,Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research,103,Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,2.8,-1.1,Live Phone/Text-to-Web,6.0,Georgia,1/26/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191635,1119,rv,,rv,,2/2/24 09:55,"",https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-trump-leads-biden-georgia-receiving-just-over-50-support,"",false,,8781,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,GRE,Stein,31116,Jill Stein,1.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,39.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,43.0 -85842,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,,1/25/24,1/30/24,,"",,,,,191726,1064,a,,a,,2/5/24 09:34,"",https://www.umass.edu/news/article/new-umass-amherst-wcvb-poll-finds-independent-kennedy-candidacy-pulls-more-voters,"",,,8914,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,9.0 85798,460,SurveyUSA,"84,1102,1444",KSTP-TV Minneapolis | KAAL-TV | WDIO-TV Duluth,SurveyUSA,325,SurveyUSA,2.8,-1.3,Online Panel,8.0,Minnesota,1/24/24,1/29/24,,"",,,,,191560,1594,lv,,lv,,2/1/24 12:25,"",https://kstp.com/kstp-news/top-news/kstp-surveyusa-poll-hypothetical-rematch-between-biden-trump-is-dead-heat-in-minnesota/,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,42.0 85798,460,SurveyUSA,"84,1102,1444",KSTP-TV Minneapolis | KAAL-TV | WDIO-TV Duluth,SurveyUSA,325,SurveyUSA,2.8,-1.3,Online Panel,8.0,Minnesota,1/24/24,1/29/24,,"",,,,,191560,1594,lv,,lv,,2/1/24 12:25,"",https://kstp.com/kstp-news/top-news/kstp-surveyusa-poll-hypothetical-rematch-between-biden-trump-is-dead-heat-in-minnesota/,"",,,8823,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,39.0 85801,1852,USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona,"","",University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly Pomona,830,USC Dornsife/CSU Long Beach/Cal Poly Pomona,,,,5.0,California,1/21/24,1/29/24,,"",,,,,191578,1416,lv,,lv,,2/1/24 12:47,"",https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/01/california-senate-poll-garvey-porter-tied-00138990,"",false,,8762,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,53.0 @@ -4268,9 +4416,9 @@ poll_id,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_i 84522,468,Tarrance,27,NRSC,Tarrance Group,333,Tarrance Group,1.6,-0.3,Live Phone,1.0,Nevada,10/23/23,10/26/23,,"",,,,,184593,600,lv,,lv,,11/2/23 10:35,"",https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/republican-pollster-finds-rosen-with-narrow-lead-over-brown-in-senate-race,"",true,REP,8857,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,46.0 84492,1114,Franklin and Marshall College,"","",Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research,106,Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research,2.4,-0.1,,8.5,Pennsylvania,10/11/23,10/22/23,,"",,,,,184233,873,rv,,rv,,10/26/23 09:35,"",https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2023/,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,44.0 84492,1114,Franklin and Marshall College,"","",Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research,106,Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research,2.4,-0.1,,8.5,Pennsylvania,10/11/23,10/22/23,,"",,,,,184233,873,rv,,rv,,10/26/23 09:35,"",https://www.fandmpoll.org/franklin-marshall-poll-release-october-2023/,"",,,8872,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,42.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,21.0 -84489,568,YouGov,"278,1233",UMass Amherst | WCVB-TV,YouGov,391,YouGov,2.9,-1.1,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,17.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,43.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,21.0 +84489,1888,UMass Amherst/YouGov,1233,WCVB-TV,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,861,University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov,,,Online Panel,9.0,Massachusetts,10/13/23,10/20/23,,"",,,,,184201,700,a,,a,,10/25/23 10:58,"",https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Election2024ToplinesOct2023.pdf,"",false,,8811,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,IND,Kennedy,31042,Robert F. Kennedy,17.0 84526,1753,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,"","",Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,731,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,1.7,0.1,Online Panel,6.0,Ohio,10/16/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,184618,668,rv,,rv,,11/2/23 13:40,"",https://www.onu.edu/northern-poll,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,40.0 84526,1753,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,"","",Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,731,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,1.7,0.1,Online Panel,6.0,Ohio,10/16/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,184618,668,rv,,rv,,11/2/23 13:40,"",https://www.onu.edu/northern-poll,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,REP,Trump,16651,Donald Trump,45.0 84526,1753,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,"","",Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,731,Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy,1.7,0.1,Online Panel,6.0,Ohio,10/16/23,10/19/23,,"",,,,,184619,668,rv,,rv,,11/2/23 13:40,"",https://www.onu.edu/northern-poll,"",,,8863,2024,U.S. President,0,,11/5/24,general,false,false,,DEM,Biden,19368,Joe Biden,41.0 diff --git a/out/output-2024-08-06.txt b/out/output-2024-08-06.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1f3b2a0 --- /dev/null +++ b/out/output-2024-08-06.txt @@ -0,0 +1,1214 @@ + + +State: Maryland + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Michigan + Votes: 15 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87623 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:53 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 670.700000 + Mean R: 44.210526 + Std of mean R: 1.917674 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.001268 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.417674 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.008318 + Poll: {PollId:87569 SampleSize:512 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:7 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 435.200000 + Mean R: 51.764706 + Std of mean R: 2.395272 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.769361 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.895272 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.728908 + Poll: {PollId:87572 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:41.6 Kennedy:9.7 Newsom:32.7 Oliver:0.7 Stein:0.3 Trump:40.3 Whitmer:43.3] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 491.400000 + Mean R: 49.206349 + Std of mean R: 2.255266 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.362453 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.755266 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.386655 + Poll: {PollId:87585 SampleSize:1012 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:47 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:1 Whitmer:52] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 981.640000 + Mean R: 49.484536 + Std of mean R: 1.595772 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.373341 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.095772 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.402859 + Poll: {PollId:87577 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 475.000000 + Mean R: 51.578947 + Std of mean R: 2.293013 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.754460 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.793013 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.714072 + Poll: {PollId:87645 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 360.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.635231 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.135231 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87685 SampleSize:771 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 639.930000 + Mean R: 50.602410 + Std of mean R: 1.976388 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.619742 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.476388 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.596099 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:4053 PollResults:map[Harris:50.70932220322803 Trump:49.290677796771966] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 4053.000000 + Mean R: 49.290678 + Std of mean R: 0.785304 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.183198 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.285304 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.290518 + +State: Mississippi + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Nevada + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + Poll: {PollId:87687 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Harris:40 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 376.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.578553 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.078553 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87646 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 364.000000 + Mean R: 50.549451 + Std of mean R: 2.620554 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.583037 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.120554 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.569882 + Poll: {PollId:87624 SampleSize:454 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:7 Oliver:3 Stein:1 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 417.680000 + Mean R: 48.913043 + Std of mean R: 2.445938 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.328379 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.945938 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.356076 + Poll: {PollId:87562 SampleSize:435 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 382.800000 + Mean R: 51.136364 + Std of mean R: 2.554888 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.671761 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.054888 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.645047 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1540 PollResults:map[Harris:49.88250415454923 Trump:50.11749584545077] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1540.000000 + Mean R: 50.117496 + Std of mean R: 1.274114 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.536737 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.774114 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.526402 + +State: New York + Votes: 28 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87678 SampleSize:1199 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:2 Trump:37 West:1] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1031.140000 + Mean R: 43.023256 + Std of mean R: 1.541848 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708515 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1031 PollResults:map[Harris:56.97674418604652 Trump:43.02325581395349] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1031.000000 + Mean R: 43.023256 + Std of mean R: 1.541953 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708620 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 + +State: North Carolina + Votes: 16 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87564 SampleSize:586 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 521.540000 + Mean R: 51.685393 + Std of mean R: 2.188161 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.779419 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.688161 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.734660 + Poll: {PollId:87625 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:5 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 663.640000 + Mean R: 51.063830 + Std of mean R: 1.940463 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.708235 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.440463 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.668550 + Poll: {PollId:87689 SampleSize:714 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 606.900000 + Mean R: 51.764706 + Std of mean R: 2.028340 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.807857 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.528340 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757402 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1792 PollResults:map[Harris:48.51792330699522 Trump:51.48207669300478] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1792.000000 + Mean R: 51.482077 + Std of mean R: 1.180620 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.895322 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.680620 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.811075 + +State: Kentucky + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Louisiana + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: North Dakota + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Oregon + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87634 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 595.000000 + Mean R: 47.058824 + Std of mean R: 2.046251 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.075309 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.212917 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.091908 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:595 PollResults:map[Harris:52.94117647058823 Trump:47.05882352941177] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 595.000000 + Mean R: 47.058824 + Std of mean R: 2.046251 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.075309 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.212917 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.091908 + +State: South Carolina + Votes: 9 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Virginia + Votes: 13 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + +State: West Virginia + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Georgia + Votes: 16 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87633 SampleSize:662 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 628.900000 + Mean R: 49.473684 + Std of mean R: 1.993679 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.395893 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.493679 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.416420 + Poll: {PollId:87568 SampleSize:1180 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:3 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1050.200000 + Mean R: 52.808989 + Std of mean R: 1.540450 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.965885 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.040450 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.915690 + Poll: {PollId:87684 SampleSize:1128 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1015.200000 + Mean R: 51.111111 + Std of mean R: 1.568870 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.760597 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.068870 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.704388 + Poll: {PollId:87622 SampleSize:799 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:4 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 751.060000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 1.824453 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.324453 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87588 SampleSize:505 PollResults:map[Harris:46.4 Trump:49.9] Date:2024-07-26 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 486.315000 + Mean R: 51.817238 + Std of mean R: 2.265813 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.788731 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.765813 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.744421 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3931 PollResults:map[Harris:48.82219410302225 Trump:51.17780589697775] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 3931.000000 + Mean R: 51.177806 + Std of mean R: 0.797256 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.930206 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.297256 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.818040 + +State: New Mexico + Votes: 5 + History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87688 SampleSize:493 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:8 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:37] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 399.330000 + Mean R: 45.679012 + Std of mean R: 2.492736 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.041509 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.992736 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074394 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:399 PollResults:map[Harris:54.32098765432099 Trump:45.67901234567901] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 399.000000 + Mean R: 45.679012 + Std of mean R: 2.493766 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.041573 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.993766 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074464 + +State: Nebraska + Votes: 5 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 + +State: New Hampshire + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87635 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:47.7 Kennedy:5.8 Stein:0.8 Trump:41.4 West:0.3] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 891.000000 + Mean R: 46.464646 + Std of mean R: 1.670871 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.017178 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.170871 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.051705 + Poll: {PollId:87560 SampleSize:2083 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:0] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1958.020000 + Mean R: 46.808511 + Std of mean R: 1.127652 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.002326 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.627652 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.024952 + Poll: {PollId:87559 SampleSize:2875 PollResults:map[Harris:53 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46 West:0] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2846.250000 + Mean R: 46.464646 + Std of mean R: 0.934857 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000078 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.434857 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.006872 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:5695 PollResults:map[Harris:53.41713386722666 Trump:46.58286613277333] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 5695.000000 + Mean R: 46.582866 + Std of mean R: 0.661008 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.161008 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001624 + +State: New Jersey + Votes: 14 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Wisconsin + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87691 SampleSize:597 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 513.420000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.206651 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.706651 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87582 SampleSize:1046 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:5 Shapiro:46 Stein:1 Trump:49 West:1 Whitmer:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1025.080000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 1.561677 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.061677 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87627 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:6 Oliver:3 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 672.000000 + Mean R: 48.958333 + Std of mean R: 1.928373 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.294537 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.428373 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.333977 + Poll: {PollId:87648 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 376.000000 + Mean R: 48.936170 + Std of mean R: 2.577969 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.339927 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.077969 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.364811 + Poll: {PollId:87571 SampleSize:523 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 460.240000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.330654 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.830654 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3046 PollResults:map[Harris:50.36104163794745 Trump:49.638958362052556] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 3046.000000 + Mean R: 49.638958 + Std of mean R: 0.905928 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.345119 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.405928 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.398667 + +State: Alaska + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Massachusetts + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Montana + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Rhode Island + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Tennessee + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Texas + Votes: 40 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Utah + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Washington + Votes: 12 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87576 SampleSize:581 PollResults:map[Harris:52 Kennedy:6 Trump:38] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 522.900000 + Mean R: 42.222222 + Std of mean R: 2.159940 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000159 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.326606 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000414 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:522 PollResults:map[Harris:57.77777777777778 Trump:42.22222222222222] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 522.000000 + Mean R: 42.222222 + Std of mean R: 2.161801 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000160 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.328468 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000418 + +State: District of Columbia + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Idaho + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Delaware + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Maine + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87558 SampleSize:1445 PollResults:map[Harris:54 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:1] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1430.550000 + Mean R: 45.454545 + Std of mean R: 1.316487 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000277 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.483153 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001089 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1430 PollResults:map[Harris:54.54545454545454 Trump:45.454545454545446] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1430.000000 + Mean R: 45.454545 + Std of mean R: 1.316740 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000278 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.483406 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.001091 + +State: Minnesota + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87581 SampleSize:656 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Trump:40] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 590.400000 + Mean R: 44.444444 + Std of mean R: 2.045028 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.003298 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.211695 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.006004 + Poll: {PollId:87584 SampleSize:1071 PollResults:map[Harris:52 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:49 Stein:1 Trump:45 West:1 Whitmer:49] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1038.870000 + Mean R: 46.391753 + Std of mean R: 1.547233 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.009849 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.713899 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.017633 + Poll: {PollId:87686 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:41] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 468.060000 + Mean R: 47.126437 + Std of mean R: 2.307283 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.106487 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.473949 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.122713 + Poll: {PollId:87570 SampleSize:475 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:41] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 403.750000 + Mean R: 48.235294 + Std of mean R: 2.486813 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.238968 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.653479 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.253008 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2501 PollResults:map[Harris:53.63283061717338 Trump:46.36716938282662] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2501.000000 + Mean R: 46.367169 + Std of mean R: 0.997158 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000135 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.163824 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000900 + +State: Ohio + Votes: 17 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 + Poll: {PollId:87650 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:9 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:52] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 564.000000 + Mean R: 55.319149 + Std of mean R: 2.093432 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:564 PollResults:map[Harris:44.680851063829785 Trump:55.319148936170215] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 564.000000 + Mean R: 55.319149 + Std of mean R: 2.093432 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867 + +State: Arizona + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87631 SampleSize:618 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 593.280000 + Mean R: 51.041667 + Std of mean R: 2.052324 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.694117 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.552324 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.658409 + Poll: {PollId:87644 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 364.000000 + Mean R: 52.747253 + Std of mean R: 2.616753 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.853111 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.116753 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.810962 + Poll: {PollId:87566 SampleSize:510 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 453.900000 + Mean R: 51.685393 + Std of mean R: 2.345541 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.763792 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.845541 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.723173 + Poll: {PollId:87682 SampleSize:567 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 493.290000 + Mean R: 49.425287 + Std of mean R: 2.251076 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.399243 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.751076 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.417261 + Poll: {PollId:87621 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 771.840000 + Mean R: 48.958333 + Std of mean R: 1.799335 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.281322 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.299335 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.325264 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2676 PollResults:map[Harris:49.51593798924638 Trump:50.484062010753604] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2676.000000 + Mean R: 50.484062 + Std of mean R: 0.966511 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.691756 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.466511 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.629329 + +State: Connecticut + Votes: 7 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: California + Votes: 54 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87620 SampleSize:1904 PollResults:map[De la Cruz:0 Harris:59 Kennedy:5 Stein:2 Trump:35 West:0] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1789.760000 + Mean R: 37.234043 + Std of mean R: 1.142707 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309373 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1789 PollResults:map[Harris:62.765957446808514 Trump:37.23404255319149] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1789.000000 + Mean R: 37.234043 + Std of mean R: 1.142949 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309616 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Hawaii + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Indiana + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + +State: Iowa + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 + +State: Vermont + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Wyoming + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Alabama + Votes: 9 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Arkansas + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Illinois + Votes: 19 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Kansas + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Missouri + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Oklahoma + Votes: 7 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Pennsylvania + Votes: 19 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87583 SampleSize:1034 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Shapiro:54 Stein:1 Trump:44 West:1 Whitmer:48] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 961.620000 + Mean R: 47.311828 + Std of mean R: 1.610051 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.047497 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.110051 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.101334 + Poll: {PollId:87618 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:3 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 540.000000 + Mean R: 47.777778 + Std of mean R: 2.149531 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.150611 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.649531 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.200812 + Poll: {PollId:87690 SampleSize:743 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 668.700000 + Mean R: 51.111111 + Std of mean R: 1.933068 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.717284 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.433068 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.676046 + Poll: {PollId:87667 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Kennedy:4 Trump:45] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 540.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.151657 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.651657 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87632 SampleSize:627 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 595.650000 + Mean R: 50.526316 + Std of mean R: 2.048568 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.601379 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.548568 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.581805 + Poll: {PollId:87647 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 372.000000 + Mean R: 48.387097 + Std of mean R: 2.591030 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.266808 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.091030 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.300904 + Poll: {PollId:87638 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:46.4 Trump:47.6] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 470.000000 + Mean R: 50.638298 + Std of mean R: 2.306140 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.609026 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.806140 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589969 + Poll: {PollId:87626 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:4 Stein:1 Trump:50] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 771.840000 + Mean R: 52.083333 + Std of mean R: 1.798163 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.876688 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.298163 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.817670 + Poll: {PollId:87575 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:6 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-07-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 704.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 1.884446 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.384446 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87563 SampleSize:851 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 748.880000 + Mean R: 52.272727 + Std of mean R: 1.825218 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.893467 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.325218 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.835821 + Poll: {PollId:87668 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Oliver:2 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 480.000000 + Mean R: 47.916667 + Std of mean R: 2.280195 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.180447 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.780195 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.226824 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:6852 PollResults:map[Harris:50.10484933653791 Trump:49.89515066346208] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 6852.000000 + Mean R: 49.895151 + Std of mean R: 0.604033 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.431097 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.104033 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.462170 + +State: South Dakota + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Colorado + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + +State: Florida + Votes: 30 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 + Poll: {PollId:87567 SampleSize:572 PollResults:map[Harris:39 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-24 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 491.920000 + Mean R: 54.651163 + Std of mean R: 2.244582 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.980875 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.744582 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.954931 + Poll: {PollId:87683 SampleSize:976 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 858.880000 + Mean R: 53.409091 + Std of mean R: 1.702127 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.977403 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.202127 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.939200 + Poll: {PollId:87612 SampleSize:774 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 704.340000 + Mean R: 53.846154 + Std of mean R: 1.878409 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.979698 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.378409 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.947073 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2055 PollResults:map[Harris:46.143815019901325 Trump:53.85618498009868] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2055.000000 + Mean R: 53.856185 + Std of mean R: 1.099686 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.999773 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.599686 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.992037 + +[ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%) +[ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%) +[ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%) +[ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%) +[ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%) +[ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%) +[ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%) +[ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%) +[ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%) +[ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%) +[ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%) +[ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%) +[ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%) +[ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%) +[ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%) +[ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%) +[ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%) +[ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%) +[ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%) +[ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%) +[ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%) +[ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%) +[ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%) +[ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%) +[ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%) +[ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%) +[ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%) +[ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%) +[ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%) +[ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%) +[ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%) +[ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%) +[ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%) +[ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%) +[ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%) +[ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%) +[ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%) +[ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%) +[ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%) +[ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%) +[ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%) +[ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%) +[ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%) +[ 174, 175): 0.00% (0%) +[ 175, 176): 0.00% (0%) +[ 176, 177): 0.00% (0%) +[ 177, 178): 0.00% (0%) +[ 178, 179): 0.00% (0%) +[ 179, 180): 0.00% (0%) +[ 180, 181): 0.00% (0%) +[ 181, 182): 0.00% (0%) +[ 182, 183): 0.00% (0%) +[ 183, 184): 0.00% (0%) +[ 184, 185): 0.00% (0%) +[ 185, 186): 0.00% (0%) +[ 186, 187): 0.00% (0%) +[ 187, 188): 0.00% (0%) +[ 188, 189): 0.01% (0%) +[ 189, 190): 0.00% (0%) +[ 190, 191): 0.00% (0%) +[ 191, 192): 0.00% (0%) +[ 192, 193): 0.01% (0%) +[ 193, 194): 0.01% (0%) +[ 194, 195): 0.01% (0%) +[ 195, 196): 0.01% (0%) +[ 196, 197): 0.01% (0%) +[ 197, 198): 0.01% (0%) +[ 198, 199): 0.02% (0%) +[ 199, 200): █ 0.03% (0%) +[ 200, 201): 0.02% (0%) +[ 201, 202): 0.01% (0%) +[ 202, 203): 0.02% (0%) +[ 203, 204): 0.02% (0%) +[ 204, 205): █ 0.04% (0%) +[ 205, 206): ██ 0.05% (0%) +[ 206, 207): █ 0.03% (0%) +[ 207, 208): █ 0.03% (0%) +[ 208, 209): █ 0.04% (0%) +[ 209, 210): ██ 0.06% (0%) +[ 210, 211): ███ 0.07% (1%) +[ 211, 212): ██ 0.05% (1%) +[ 212, 213): ██ 0.06% (1%) +[ 213, 214): ███ 0.07% (1%) +[ 214, 215): ███ 0.08% (1%) +[ 215, 216): █████ 0.12% (1%) +[ 216, 217): ████ 0.10% (1%) +[ 217, 218): ████ 0.10% (1%) +[ 218, 219): ██████ 0.13% (1%) +[ 219, 220): █████ 0.13% (1%) +[ 220, 221): ██████ 0.13% (2%) +[ 221, 222): ███████ 0.16% (2%) +[ 222, 223): ███████ 0.16% (2%) +[ 223, 224): ████████ 0.19% (2%) +[ 224, 225): █████████ 0.22% (2%) +[ 225, 226): █████████ 0.21% (2%) +[ 226, 227): █████████ 0.21% (3%) +[ 227, 228): ████████ 0.19% (3%) +[ 228, 229): ██████████████ 0.32% (3%) +[ 229, 230): ███████████████████ 0.42% (4%) +[ 230, 231): ██████████████ 0.33% (4%) +[ 231, 232): █████████████ 0.30% (4%) +[ 232, 233): █████████████ 0.31% (5%) +[ 233, 234): ████████████████ 0.36% (5%) +[ 234, 235): █████████████████████████ 0.56% (5%) +[ 235, 236): ███████████████████████████ 0.62% (6%) +[ 236, 237): ███████████████████ 0.43% (6%) +[ 237, 238): ███████████████ 0.34% (7%) +[ 238, 239): █████████████████████ 0.48% (7%) +[ 239, 240): █████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (8%) +[ 240, 241): █████████████████████████████████████ 0.83% (9%) +[ 241, 242): █████████████████████████████ 0.65% (10%) +[ 242, 243): ███████████████████████ 0.53% (10%) +[ 243, 244): ██████████████████████ 0.51% (11%) +[ 244, 245): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (11%) +[ 245, 246): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.36% (13%) +[ 246, 247): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (14%) +[ 247, 248): █████████████████████████████████ 0.75% (15%) +[ 248, 249): ██████████████████████████████████ 0.76% (15%) +[ 249, 250): ██████████████████████████████████████ 0.86% (16%) +[ 250, 251): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.26% (18%) +[ 251, 252): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.57% (19%) +[ 252, 253): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.14% (20%) +[ 253, 254): ██████████████████████████████████████████ 0.94% (21%) +[ 254, 255): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.12% (22%) +[ 255, 256): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.61% (24%) +[ 256, 257): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (26%) +[ 257, 258): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.41% (27%) +[ 258, 259): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.28% (28%) +[ 259, 260): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.31% (30%) +[ 260, 261): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.51% (31%) +[ 261, 262): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.07% (33%) +[ 262, 263): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.13% (35%) +[ 263, 264): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.59% (37%) +[ 264, 265): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.73% (39%) +[ 265, 266): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.78% (41%) +[ 266, 267): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.90% (42%) +[ 267, 268): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.72% (44%) +[ 268, 269): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.79% (46%) +[ 269, 270): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.93% (48%) +[ 270, 271): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.92% (50%) +[ 271, 272): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.94% (52%) +[ 272, 273): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.03% (54%) +[ 273, 274): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.52% (55%) +[ 274, 275): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.91% (57%) +[ 275, 276): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.22% (59%) +[ 276, 277): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (61%) +[ 277, 278): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.66% (63%) +[ 278, 279): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.65% (65%) +[ 279, 280): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.70% (66%) +[ 280, 281): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.97% (68%) +[ 281, 282): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 2.03% (70%) +[ 282, 283): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.53% (72%) +[ 283, 284): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.29% (73%) +[ 284, 285): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.47% (75%) +[ 285, 286): ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.83% (76%) +[ 286, 287): ███████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.49% (78%) +[ 287, 288): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.45% (79%) +[ 288, 289): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.25% (81%) +[ 289, 290): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.16% (82%) +[ 290, 291): ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.43% (83%) +[ 291, 292): █████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.54% (85%) +[ 292, 293): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.98% (86%) +[ 293, 294): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.00% (87%) +[ 294, 295): ████████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.09% (88%) +[ 295, 296): ███████████████████████████████████████████████ 1.04% (89%) +[ 296, 297): ████████████████████████████████████████████ 0.99% (90%) +[ 297, 298): ████████████████████████████████████████ 0.89% (91%) +[ 298, 299): █████████████████████████████████ 0.74% (91%) +[ 299, 300): ███████████████████████████████ 0.70% (92%) +[ 300, 301): ████████████████████████████████████ 0.81% (93%) +[ 301, 302): ███████████████████████████████ 0.69% (94%) +[ 302, 303): ████████████████████████ 0.54% (94%) +[ 303, 304): █████████████████████████ 0.56% (95%) +[ 304, 305): ████████████████████████████ 0.62% (95%) +[ 305, 306): ██████████████████████ 0.49% (96%) +[ 306, 307): █████████████████████ 0.47% (96%) +[ 307, 308): ████████████████ 0.36% (97%) +[ 308, 309): ██████████████ 0.33% (97%) +[ 309, 310): █████████████████ 0.39% (97%) +[ 310, 311): ████████████████ 0.37% (98%) +[ 311, 312): ██████████ 0.24% (98%) +[ 312, 313): ██████████ 0.22% (98%) +[ 313, 314): ██████████ 0.23% (98%) +[ 314, 315): ██████████ 0.24% (99%) +[ 315, 316): ████████ 0.19% (99%) +[ 316, 317): ██████ 0.14% (99%) +[ 317, 318): ███ 0.09% (99%) +[ 318, 319): █████ 0.11% (99%) +[ 319, 320): ███████ 0.17% (99%) +[ 320, 321): ████ 0.11% (100%) +[ 321, 322): ██ 0.05% (100%) +[ 322, 323): ██ 0.05% (100%) +[ 323, 324): ██ 0.05% (100%) +[ 324, 325): ██ 0.06% (100%) +[ 325, 326): ███ 0.07% (100%) +[ 326, 327): █ 0.03% (100%) +[ 327, 328): 0.01% (100%) +[ 328, 329): █ 0.02% (100%) +[ 329, 330): █ 0.04% (100%) +[ 330, 331): 0.02% (100%) +[ 331, 332): 0.01% (100%) +[ 332, 333): 0.00% (100%) +[ 333, 334): 0.01% (100%) +[ 334, 335): 0.01% (100%) +[ 335, 336): 0.02% (100%) +[ 336, 337): 0.00% (100%) +[ 337, 338): 0.00% (100%) +[ 338, 339): 0.00% (100%) +[ 339, 340): 0.00% (100%) +[ 340, 341): 0.00% (100%) +[ 341, 342): 0.00% (100%) +[ 342, 343): 0.00% (100%) +[ 343, 344): 0.00% (100%) 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+[ 381, 382): 0.00% (100%) +[ 382, 383): 0.00% (100%) +[ 383, 384): 0.00% (100%) +[ 384, 385): 0.00% (100%) +[ 385, 386): 0.00% (100%) +[ 386, 387): 0.00% (100%) +[ 387, 388): 0.00% (100%) +[ 388, 389): 0.00% (100%) +[ 389, 390): 0.00% (100%) +[ 390, 391): 0.00% (100%) +[ 391, 392): 0.00% (100%) +[ 392, 393): 0.00% (100%) +[ 393, 394): 0.00% (100%) +[ 394, 395): 0.00% (100%) +[ 395, 396): 0.00% (100%) +[ 396, 397): 0.00% (100%) +[ 397, 398): 0.00% (100%) +[ 398, 399): 0.00% (100%) +[ 399, 400): 0.00% (100%) +[ 400, 401): 0.00% (100%) +[ 401, 402): 0.00% (100%) +[ 402, 403): 0.00% (100%) +[ 403, 404): 0.00% (100%) +[ 404, 405): 0.00% (100%) +[ 405, 406): 0.00% (100%) +[ 406, 407): 0.00% (100%) +[ 407, 408): 0.00% (100%) +[ 408, 409): 0.00% (100%) +[ 409, 410): 0.00% (100%) +[ 410, 411): 0.00% (100%) +[ 411, 412): 0.00% (100%) +[ 412, 413): 0.00% (100%) +[ 413, 414): 0.00% (100%) +[ 414, 415): 0.00% (100%) +[ 415, 416): 0.00% (100%) +[ 416, 417): 0.00% (100%) +[ 417, 418): 0.00% (100%) +[ 418, 419): 0.00% (100%) +[ 419, 420): 0.00% (100%) +[ 420, 421): 0.00% (100%) +[ 421, 422): 0.00% (100%) +[ 422, 423): 0.00% (100%) +[ 423, 424): 0.00% (100%) +[ 424, 425): 0.00% (100%) +[ 425, 426): 0.00% (100%) +[ 426, 427): 0.00% (100%) +[ 427, 428): 0.00% (100%) +[ 428, 429): 0.00% (100%) +[ 429, 430): 0.00% (100%) +[ 430, 431): 0.00% (100%) +[ 431, 432): 0.00% (100%) +[ 432, 433): 0.00% (100%) +[ 433, 434): 0.00% (100%) +[ 434, 435): 0.00% (100%) +[ 435, 436): 0.00% (100%) +[ 436, 437): 0.00% (100%) +[ 437, 438): 0.00% (100%) +[ 438, 439): 0.00% (100%) +[ 439, 440): 0.00% (100%) +[ 440, 441): 0.00% (100%) +[ 441, 442): 0.00% (100%) +[ 442, 443): 0.00% (100%) +[ 443, 444): 0.00% (100%) +[ 444, 445): 0.00% (100%) +[ 445, 446): 0.00% (100%) +[ 446, 447): 0.00% (100%) +[ 447, 448): 0.00% (100%) +[ 448, 449): 0.00% (100%) +[ 449, 450): 0.00% (100%) +[ 450, 451): 0.00% (100%) +[ 451, 452): 0.00% (100%) +[ 452, 453): 0.00% (100%) +[ 453, 454): 0.00% (100%) +[ 454, 455): 0.00% (100%) +[ 455, 456): 0.00% (100%) +[ 456, 457): 0.00% (100%) +[ 457, 458): 0.00% (100%) +[ 458, 459): 0.00% (100%) +[ 459, 460): 0.00% (100%) +[ 460, 461): 0.00% (100%) +[ 461, 462): 0.00% (100%) +[ 462, 463): 0.00% (100%) +[ 463, 464): 0.00% (100%) +[ 464, 465): 0.00% (100%) +[ 465, 466): 0.00% (100%) +[ 466, 467): 0.00% (100%) +[ 467, 468): 0.00% (100%) +[ 468, 469): 0.00% (100%) +[ 469, 470): 0.00% (100%) +[ 470, 471): 0.00% (100%) +[ 471, 472): 0.00% (100%) +[ 472, 473): 0.00% (100%) +[ 473, 474): 0.00% (100%) +[ 474, 475): 0.00% (100%) +[ 475, 476): 0.00% (100%) +[ 476, 477): 0.00% (100%) +[ 477, 478): 0.00% (100%) +[ 478, 479): 0.00% (100%) +[ 479, 480): 0.00% (100%) +[ 480, 481): 0.00% (100%) +[ 481, 482): 0.00% (100%) +[ 482, 483): 0.00% (100%) +[ 483, 484): 0.00% (100%) +[ 484, 485): 0.00% (100%) +[ 485, 486): 0.00% (100%) +[ 486, 487): 0.00% (100%) +[ 487, 488): 0.00% (100%) +[ 488, 489): 0.00% (100%) +[ 489, 490): 0.00% (100%) +[ 490, 491): 0.00% (100%) +[ 491, 492): 0.00% (100%) +[ 492, 493): 0.00% (100%) +[ 493, 494): 0.00% (100%) +[ 494, 495): 0.00% (100%) +[ 495, 496): 0.00% (100%) +[ 496, 497): 0.00% (100%) +[ 497, 498): 0.00% (100%) +[ 498, 499): 0.00% (100%) +[ 499, 500): 0.00% (100%) +[ 500, 501): 0.00% (100%) +[ 501, 502): 0.00% (100%) +[ 502, 503): 0.00% (100%) +[ 503, 504): 0.00% (100%) +[ 504, 505): 0.00% (100%) +[ 505, 506): 0.00% (100%) +[ 506, 507): 0.00% (100%) +[ 507, 508): 0.00% (100%) +[ 508, 509): 0.00% (100%) +[ 509, 510): 0.00% (100%) +[ 510, 511): 0.00% (100%) +[ 511, 512): 0.00% (100%) +[ 512, 513): 0.00% (100%) +[ 513, 514): 0.00% (100%) +[ 514, 515): 0.00% (100%) +[ 515, 516): 0.00% (100%) +[ 516, 517): 0.00% (100%) +[ 517, 518): 0.00% (100%) +[ 518, 519): 0.00% (100%) +[ 519, 520): 0.00% (100%) +[ 520, 521): 0.00% (100%) +[ 521, 522): 0.00% (100%) +[ 522, 523): 0.00% (100%) +[ 523, 524): 0.00% (100%) +[ 524, 525): 0.00% (100%) +[ 525, 526): 0.00% (100%) +[ 526, 527): 0.00% (100%) +[ 527, 528): 0.00% (100%) +[ 528, 529): 0.00% (100%) +[ 529, 530): 0.00% (100%) +[ 530, 531): 0.00% (100%) +[ 531, 532): 0.00% (100%) +[ 532, 533): 0.00% (100%) +[ 533, 534): 0.00% (100%) +[ 534, 535): 0.00% (100%) +[ 535, 536): 0.00% (100%) +[ 536, 537): 0.00% (100%) +[ 537, 538): 0.00% (100%) + +% republicans: 0.520766 diff --git a/out/output-2024-08-09.txt b/out/output-2024-08-09.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8def07b --- /dev/null +++ b/out/output-2024-08-09.txt @@ -0,0 +1,700 @@ + + +State: New Hampshire + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87635 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:47.7 Kennedy:5.8 Stein:0.8 Trump:41.4 West:0.3] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 891.000000 + Mean R: 46.464646 + Std of mean R: 1.670871 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.017178 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.170871 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.051705 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:891 PollResults:map[Harris:53.53535353535354 Trump:46.464646464646464] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 891.000000 + Mean R: 46.464646 + Std of mean R: 1.670871 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.017178 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.170871 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.051705 + +State: New Mexico + Votes: 5 + History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87688 SampleSize:493 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:8 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:37] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 399.330000 + Mean R: 45.679012 + Std of mean R: 2.492736 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.041509 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.992736 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074394 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:399 PollResults:map[Harris:54.32098765432099 Trump:45.67901234567901] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 399.000000 + Mean R: 45.679012 + Std of mean R: 2.493766 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.041573 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.993766 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074464 + +State: Arkansas + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Colorado + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + +State: Kentucky + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Maine + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Minnesota + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87686 SampleSize:538 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:41] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 468.060000 + Mean R: 47.126437 + Std of mean R: 2.307283 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.106487 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.473949 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.122713 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:468 PollResults:map[Harris:52.87356321839081 Trump:47.12643678160919] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 468.000000 + Mean R: 47.126437 + Std of mean R: 2.307431 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.106501 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.474097 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.122728 + +State: Mississippi + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Vermont + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: North Carolina + Votes: 16 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87718 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:49] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 940.000000 + Mean R: 52.127660 + Std of mean R: 1.629343 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.904196 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.129343 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.841153 + Poll: {PollId:87711 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:44.1 Kennedy:3.6 Oliver:0.6 Stein:0.4 Terry:0 Trump:47.2] Date:2024-08-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 547.800000 + Mean R: 51.697700 + Std of mean R: 2.135052 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.786739 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.635052 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.740302 + Poll: {PollId:87689 SampleSize:714 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:4 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 606.900000 + Mean R: 51.764706 + Std of mean R: 2.028340 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.807857 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.528340 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.757402 + Poll: {PollId:87625 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:5 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 663.640000 + Mean R: 51.063830 + Std of mean R: 1.940463 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.708235 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.440463 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.668550 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2758 PollResults:map[Harris:48.29353886757978 Trump:51.70646113242023] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2758.000000 + Mean R: 51.706461 + Std of mean R: 0.951524 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.963545 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.451524 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.880129 + +State: North Dakota + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Alabama + Votes: 9 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Alaska + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Delaware + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Illinois + Votes: 19 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Indiana + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + +State: Nevada + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + Poll: {PollId:87717 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:48] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 930.000000 + Mean R: 51.612903 + Std of mean R: 1.638711 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.837504 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.138711 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.774620 + Poll: {PollId:87624 SampleSize:454 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:7 Oliver:3 Stein:1 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 417.680000 + Mean R: 48.913043 + Std of mean R: 2.445938 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.328379 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.945938 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.356076 + Poll: {PollId:87687 SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Harris:40 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 376.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.578553 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.078553 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87646 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 364.000000 + Mean R: 50.549451 + Std of mean R: 2.620554 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.583037 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.120554 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.569882 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2087 PollResults:map[Harris:49.4031652360515 Trump:50.59683476394849] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2087.000000 + Mean R: 50.596835 + Std of mean R: 1.094404 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.707244 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.594404 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.645921 + +State: Oklahoma + Votes: 7 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: South Dakota + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Wisconsin + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87627 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:6 Oliver:3 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 672.000000 + Mean R: 48.958333 + Std of mean R: 1.928373 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.294537 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.428373 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.333977 + Poll: {PollId:87691 SampleSize:597 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 513.420000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.206651 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.706651 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87714 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:49] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 776.000000 + Mean R: 50.515464 + Std of mean R: 1.794800 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.613020 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.294800 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.588864 + Poll: {PollId:87648 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 376.000000 + Mean R: 48.936170 + Std of mean R: 2.577969 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.339927 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.077969 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.364811 + Poll: {PollId:87702 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:45] Date:2024-08-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 744.000000 + Mean R: 48.387097 + Std of mean R: 1.832135 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.189337 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.332135 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.244594 + Poll: {PollId:87698 SampleSize:877 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:6 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Terry:0 Trump:45 West:0] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 798.070000 + Mean R: 49.450549 + Std of mean R: 1.769796 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.378106 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.269796 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.404363 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3879 PollResults:map[Harris:50.60278541767087 Trump:49.39721458232912] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 3879.000000 + Mean R: 49.397215 + Std of mean R: 0.802747 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.226355 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.302747 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.321788 + +State: Connecticut + Votes: 7 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Georgia + Votes: 16 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87684 SampleSize:1128 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1015.200000 + Mean R: 51.111111 + Std of mean R: 1.568870 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.760597 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.068870 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.704388 + Poll: {PollId:87704 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-07-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 576.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.083333 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.583333 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87633 SampleSize:662 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 628.900000 + Mean R: 49.473684 + Std of mean R: 1.993679 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.395893 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.493679 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.416420 + Poll: {PollId:87622 SampleSize:799 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:4 Oliver:4 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 751.060000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 1.824453 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.324453 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2971 PollResults:map[Harris:49.73175460089662 Trump:50.268245399103385] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2971.000000 + Mean R: 50.268245 + Std of mean R: 0.917302 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.615021 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.417302 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.575057 + +State: Missouri + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: New Jersey + Votes: 14 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: West Virginia + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: California + Votes: 54 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87620 SampleSize:1904 PollResults:map[De la Cruz:0 Harris:59 Kennedy:5 Stein:2 Trump:35 West:0] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1789.760000 + Mean R: 37.234043 + Std of mean R: 1.142707 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309373 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1789 PollResults:map[Harris:62.765957446808514 Trump:37.23404255319149] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1789.000000 + Mean R: 37.234043 + Std of mean R: 1.142949 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.309616 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000000 + +State: District of Columbia + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Louisiana + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Michigan + Votes: 15 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87685 SampleSize:771 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 639.930000 + Mean R: 50.602410 + Std of mean R: 1.976388 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.619742 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.476388 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.596099 + Poll: {PollId:87645 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 360.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.635231 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.135231 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Poll: {PollId:87713 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Trump:47] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 768.000000 + Mean R: 48.958333 + Std of mean R: 1.803828 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.281809 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.303828 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.325582 + Poll: {PollId:87623 SampleSize:706 PollResults:map[Harris:53 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:1 Trump:42] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 670.700000 + Mean R: 44.210526 + Std of mean R: 1.917674 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.001268 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.417674 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.008318 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2438 PollResults:map[Harris:51.76225995743511 Trump:48.23774004256487] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 2438.000000 + Mean R: 48.237740 + Std of mean R: 1.012006 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.040811 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.512006 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.121906 + +State: Tennessee + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Washington + Votes: 12 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Arizona + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333 + Poll: {PollId:87716 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:48] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 950.000000 + Mean R: 50.526316 + Std of mean R: 1.622124 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.627205 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.122124 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.597938 + Poll: {PollId:87644 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 364.000000 + Mean R: 52.747253 + Std of mean R: 2.616753 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.853111 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.116753 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.810962 + Poll: {PollId:87682 SampleSize:567 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:4 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 493.290000 + Mean R: 49.425287 + Std of mean R: 2.251076 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.399243 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.751076 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.417261 + Poll: {PollId:87706 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:44.4 Trump:41.6] Date:2024-08-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 430.000000 + Mean R: 48.372093 + Std of mean R: 2.409936 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.249680 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.909936 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.287934 + Poll: {PollId:87631 SampleSize:618 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 593.280000 + Mean R: 51.041667 + Std of mean R: 2.052324 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.694117 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.552324 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.658409 + Poll: {PollId:87621 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:5 Oliver:2 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 771.840000 + Mean R: 48.958333 + Std of mean R: 1.799335 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.281322 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.299335 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.325264 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3602 PollResults:map[Harris:49.90825586204791 Trump:50.091744137952084] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 3602.000000 + Mean R: 50.091744 + Std of mean R: 0.833101 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.543844 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.333101 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.527434 + +State: Oregon + Votes: 8 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Pennsylvania + Votes: 19 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667 + Poll: {PollId:87668 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:50 Oliver:2 Trump:46] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 480.000000 + Mean R: 47.916667 + Std of mean R: 2.280195 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.180447 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.780195 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.226824 + Poll: {PollId:87618 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Kennedy:3 Stein:0 Trump:43] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 540.000000 + Mean R: 47.777778 + Std of mean R: 2.149531 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.150611 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.649531 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.200812 + Poll: {PollId:87626 SampleSize:804 PollResults:map[Harris:46 Kennedy:3 Oliver:4 Stein:1 Trump:50] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 771.840000 + Mean R: 52.083333 + Std of mean R: 1.798163 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.876688 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.298163 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.817670 + Poll: {PollId:87632 SampleSize:627 PollResults:map[Harris:47 Trump:48] Date:2024-07-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:DEM} + Sample size: 595.650000 + Mean R: 50.526316 + Std of mean R: 2.048568 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.601379 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.548568 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.581805 + Poll: {PollId:87715 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-08 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 900.000000 + Mean R: 51.111111 + Std of mean R: 1.666255 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.747560 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.166255 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.695996 + Poll: {PollId:87638 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Harris:46.4 Trump:47.6] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 470.000000 + Mean R: 50.638298 + Std of mean R: 2.306140 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.609026 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.806140 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.589969 + Poll: {PollId:87690 SampleSize:743 PollResults:map[Harris:44 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:46] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 668.700000 + Mean R: 51.111111 + Std of mean R: 1.933068 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.717284 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.433068 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.676046 + Poll: {PollId:87647 SampleSize:400 PollResults:map[Harris:48 Trump:45] Date:2024-07-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 372.000000 + Mean R: 48.387097 + Std of mean R: 2.591030 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.266808 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.091030 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.300904 + Poll: {PollId:87667 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:45 Kennedy:4 Trump:45] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP} + Sample size: 540.000000 + Mean R: 50.000000 + Std of mean R: 2.151657 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.651657 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:5338 PollResults:map[Harris:49.78185489838315 Trump:50.218145101616834] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 5338.000000 + Mean R: 50.218145 + Std of mean R: 0.684347 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.625047 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.184347 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.573068 + +State: Wyoming + Votes: 3 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Idaho + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Maryland + Votes: 10 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Massachusetts + Votes: 11 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Ohio + Votes: 17 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 + Poll: {PollId:87650 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Kennedy:9 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:52] Date:2024-07-28 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 564.000000 + Mean R: 55.319149 + Std of mean R: 2.093432 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:564 PollResults:map[Harris:44.680851063829785 Trump:55.319148936170215] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 564.000000 + Mean R: 55.319149 + Std of mean R: 2.093432 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.994471 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.593432 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979867 + +State: Texas + Votes: 40 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Virginia + Votes: 13 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333 + +State: Florida + Votes: 30 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667 + Poll: {PollId:87683 SampleSize:976 PollResults:map[Harris:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:0 Trump:47] Date:2024-08-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 858.880000 + Mean R: 53.409091 + Std of mean R: 1.702127 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.977403 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.202127 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.939200 + Poll: {PollId:87612 SampleSize:774 PollResults:map[Harris:42 Trump:49] Date:2024-07-27 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 704.340000 + Mean R: 53.846154 + Std of mean R: 1.878409 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.979698 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.378409 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.947073 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1563 PollResults:map[Harris:46.39398165325418 Trump:53.60601834674582] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1563.000000 + Mean R: 53.606018 + Std of mean R: 1.261415 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.997873 + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.761415 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.979682 + +State: Hawaii + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: Kansas + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Nebraska + Votes: 5 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 + +State: New York + Votes: 28 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87678 SampleSize:1199 PollResults:map[Harris:49 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:2 Trump:37 West:1] Date:2024-08-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1031.140000 + Mean R: 43.023256 + Std of mean R: 1.541848 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708515 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1031 PollResults:map[Harris:56.97674418604652 Trump:43.02325581395349] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 1031.000000 + Mean R: 43.023256 + Std of mean R: 1.541953 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.000003 + N republican wins: 0 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.708620 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022 + +State: Utah + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + +State: Iowa + Votes: 6 + History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000 + +State: Montana + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 + Poll: {PollId:87700 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Harris:39 Kennedy:4.6 Oliver:0.1 Stein:0.1 Trump:53.5 West:0.1] Date:2024-08-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 925.000000 + Mean R: 57.837838 + Std of mean R: 1.623666 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 + N republican wins: 6 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.790332 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999994 + Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:925 PollResults:map[Harris:42.16216216216216 Trump:57.83783783783784] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:} + Sample size: 925.000000 + Mean R: 57.837838 + Std of mean R: 1.623666 + Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999 + N republican wins: 6 + => Reducing additional uncertainty + Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 1.790332 + Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999994 + +State: Rhode Island + Votes: 4 + History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D] + Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000 + +State: South Carolina + Votes: 9 + History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R] + Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000 +