1194 lines
60 KiB
Plaintext
1194 lines
60 KiB
Plaintext
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State: Wisconsin
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Votes: 10
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
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Poll: {PollId:87099 SampleSize:338 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:12 Trump:35] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 253.500000
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Mean R: 46.666667
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Std of mean R: 3.133385
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.143707
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 7.133385
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.320148
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Poll: {PollId:87212 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:6.1 Stein:0.8 Trump:43.8 West:0.4] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 858.000000
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Mean R: 51.048951
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Std of mean R: 1.706596
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.730605
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.706596
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.572920
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Poll: {PollId:87165 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:5 Stein:0 Trump:44 West:0] Date:2024-06-10 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 440.000000
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Mean R: 50.000000
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Std of mean R: 2.383656
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.383656
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.500000
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1551 PollResults:map[Biden:49.96455043506284 Trump:50.03544956493716] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1551.000000
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Mean R: 50.035450
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Std of mean R: 1.269591
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.511138
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.269591
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.502684
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State: Wyoming
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Kentucky
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Votes: 8
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Maine
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Votes: 4
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:Split 2020:Split]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: New Jersey
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Votes: 14
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: New York
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Votes: 28
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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Poll: {PollId:87205 SampleSize:805 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:39] Date:2024-06-17 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 692.300000
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Mean R: 45.348837
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Std of mean R: 1.892063
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.006981
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.225396
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.074645
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Poll: {PollId:87069 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:55.2 Kennedy:5.7 Stein:0.7 Trump:44.8 West:1.5] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1000.000000
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Mean R: 44.800000
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Std of mean R: 1.572565
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.000472
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.905898
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.036770
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1692 PollResults:map[Biden:54.975477161259825 Trump:45.02452283874018] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1692.000000
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Mean R: 45.024523
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Std of mean R: 1.209508
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.000019
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N republican wins: 0
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.542842
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.025194
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State: Vermont
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Utah
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Votes: 6
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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Poll: {PollId:87132 SampleSize:857 PollResults:map[Biden:20 Kennedy:20 Trump:49] Date:2024-06-07 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 591.330000
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Mean R: 71.014493
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Std of mean R: 1.865731
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Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
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N republican wins: 6
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.199064
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 1.000000
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:591 PollResults:map[Biden:28.98550724637681 Trump:71.01449275362319] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 591.000000
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Mean R: 71.014493
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Std of mean R: 1.866252
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Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
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N republican wins: 6
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=> Reducing additional uncertainty
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.199585
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 1.000000
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State: Alaska
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
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State: Colorado
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Votes: 10
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
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State: Delaware
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Florida
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Votes: 30
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
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Poll: {PollId:87147 SampleSize:1050 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Trump:46] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 861.000000
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Mean R: 56.097561
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Std of mean R: 1.691277
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.999844
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.691277
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.858002
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Poll: {PollId:87153 SampleSize:883 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:8 Trump:45] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 750.550000
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Mean R: 52.941176
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Std of mean R: 1.821912
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.946773
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.821912
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.693288
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Poll: {PollId:87123 SampleSize:1075 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 935.250000
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Mean R: 54.022989
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Std of mean R: 1.629656
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.993218
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.629656
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.762574
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Poll: {PollId:87177 SampleSize:432 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 345.600000
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Mean R: 53.750000
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Std of mean R: 2.681997
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.918975
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.681997
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.712673
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2892 PollResults:map[Biden:45.6727976766699 Trump:54.32720232333011] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 2892.000000
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Mean R: 54.327202
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Std of mean R: 0.926272
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.926272
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.810135
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State: North Carolina
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Votes: 16
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
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Poll: {PollId:87196 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Trump:45] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 492.000000
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Mean R: 54.878049
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Std of mean R: 2.243421
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.985162
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.243421
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.782690
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Poll: {PollId:87180 SampleSize:534 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:43] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 443.220000
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Mean R: 51.807229
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Std of mean R: 2.373430
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.776803
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.373430
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.611625
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Poll: {PollId:87119 SampleSize:1332 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Trump:48] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 1212.120000
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Mean R: 52.747253
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Std of mean R: 1.433972
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.972307
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.433972
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.693421
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Poll: {PollId:87088 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:44 West:3] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 456.000000
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Mean R: 57.894737
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Std of mean R: 2.312093
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.999681
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.312093
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.894484
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2603 PollResults:map[Biden:46.10846066975501 Trump:53.89153933024499] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 2603.000000
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Mean R: 53.891539
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Std of mean R: 0.977043
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.999966
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.977043
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.782863
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State: Washington
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Votes: 12
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Arizona
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Votes: 11
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
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Poll: {PollId:87219 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:13 Oliver:2 Stein:3 Trump:42] Date:2024-06-20 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 444.000000
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Mean R: 56.756757
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Std of mean R: 2.351129
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.997972
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.351129
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.856306
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Poll: {PollId:87207 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.3 Kennedy:7.7 Stein:1.2 Trump:42.7 West:0.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 820.000000
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Mean R: 52.073171
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Std of mean R: 1.744574
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.882653
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.744574
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.640910
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Poll: {PollId:87176 SampleSize:430 PollResults:map[Biden:38 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:40] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 335.400000
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|
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Mean R: 51.282051
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|
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Std of mean R: 2.729265
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.680730
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.729265
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.575549
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Poll: {PollId:87125 SampleSize:1095 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:8 Stein:1 Trump:46 West:1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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|
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Sample size: 952.650000
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|
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Mean R: 52.873563
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|
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Std of mean R: 1.617279
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.962199
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.617279
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|
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.695520
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Poll: {PollId:87160 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:11 Oliver:0 Stein:3 Trump:50] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 564.000000
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|
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Mean R: 53.191489
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|
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Std of mean R: 2.101087
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.935615
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.101087
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.699548
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Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3116 PollResults:map[Biden:46.89751448147494 Trump:53.10248551852505] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 3116.000000
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|
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Mean R: 53.102486
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|
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Std of mean R: 0.893992
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|
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.999740
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|
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.893992
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.736939
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State: Connecticut
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Votes: 7
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: District of Columbia
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Votes: 3
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History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
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State: Nevada
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Votes: 6
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History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
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Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
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Poll: {PollId:87208 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:39.1 Kennedy:7.2 Stein:1.6 Trump:42.1 West:1.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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Sample size: 812.000000
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||
|
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Mean R: 51.847291
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|
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Std of mean R: 1.753458
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.853947
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.753458
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.625923
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Poll: {PollId:87124 SampleSize:1069 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:2 Trump:45 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
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|
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Sample size: 908.650000
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||
|
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Mean R: 52.941176
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|
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Std of mean R: 1.655842
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Poll says chance of R win: 0.962153
|
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|
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Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.655842
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Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.698477
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87034 SampleSize:601 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:9 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-05-25 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 546.910000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.648352
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.136859
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.779762
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.136859
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.605881
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2267 PollResults:map[Biden:47.76235248460901 Trump:52.237647515391] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 2267.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 52.237648
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.049081
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.983536
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.049081
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.671182
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: New Mexico
|
||
|
|
Votes: 5
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87195 SampleSize:555 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Trump:41] Date:2024-06-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 493.950000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 46.067416
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.242751
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.039761
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.242751
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.264366
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:493 PollResults:map[Biden:53.93258426966292 Trump:46.06741573033708] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 493.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 46.067416
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.244911
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.039906
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.244911
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.264437
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Virginia
|
||
|
|
Votes: 13
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.333333
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87122 SampleSize:1107 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:9 Stein:2 Trump:41 West:2] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 918.810000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 49.397590
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.649399
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.357470
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.649399
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.457540
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:918 PollResults:map[Biden:50.60240963855422 Trump:49.39759036144578] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 918.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 49.397590
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.650126
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.357530
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.650126
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.457546
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Illinois
|
||
|
|
Votes: 19
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Indiana
|
||
|
|
Votes: 11
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Missouri
|
||
|
|
Votes: 10
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87216 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:34.6 Kennedy:6.5 Stein:0.6 Trump:50.4 West:1] Date:2024-06-19 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 850.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 59.294118
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.685097
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.018430
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998962
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:850 PollResults:map[Biden:40.70588235294119 Trump:59.294117647058826] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 850.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 59.294118
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.685097
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.018430
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998962
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Nebraska
|
||
|
|
Votes: 5
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:Split 2012:R 2016:Split 2020:Split]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Tennessee
|
||
|
|
Votes: 11
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Arkansas
|
||
|
|
Votes: 6
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Kansas
|
||
|
|
Votes: 6
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Ohio
|
||
|
|
Votes: 17
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.666667
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87145 SampleSize:1137 PollResults:map[Biden:41 Kennedy:5 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:48 West:0] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 1011.930000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 53.932584
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.566922
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.993959
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.566922
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.760036
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87108 SampleSize:802 PollResults:map[Biden:40 Kennedy:7 Stein:3 Trump:48 West:2] Date:2024-05-29 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 705.760000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 54.545455
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.874301
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.992349
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.874301
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.780471
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1717 PollResults:map[Biden:45.81560118531283 Trump:54.184398814687164] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 1717.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 54.184399
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.202427
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.999749
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.202427
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.789393
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Pennsylvania
|
||
|
|
Votes: 19
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87152 SampleSize:1181 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:3 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:47 West:1] Date:2024-06-06 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 1086.520000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.086957
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.516521
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.763234
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.516521
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.578101
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87181 SampleSize:456 PollResults:map[Biden:42 Kennedy:5 Oliver:0 Stein:1 Trump:44] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 392.160000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.162791
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.524183
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.677479
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.524183
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.570728
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87211 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:42.2 Kennedy:4.9 Stein:0.9 Trump:44.8 West:0.2] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 870.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.494253
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.694402
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.811078
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.694402
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.603496
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87098 SampleSize:1008 PollResults:map[Biden:43 Kennedy:7 Trump:42] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 856.800000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 49.411765
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.708049
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.365276
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.708049
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.458960
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:3205 PollResults:map[Biden:49.24098730923294 Trump:50.75901269076706] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 3205.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 50.759013
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.883092
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.804966
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.883092
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.561762
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: West Virginia
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87120 SampleSize:464 PollResults:map[Biden:28 Stein:2 Trump:55] Date:2024-06-04 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 385.120000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 66.265060
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.409263
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742596
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:385 PollResults:map[Biden:33.73493975903615 Trump:66.26506024096385] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 385.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 66.265060
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.409639
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.742972
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.999993
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: South Carolina
|
||
|
|
Votes: 9
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: California
|
||
|
|
Votes: 54
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87167 SampleSize:1098 PollResults:map[Biden:55 Trump:31] Date:2024-06-02 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 944.280000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 36.046512
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.562476
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.895809
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:944 PollResults:map[Biden:63.95348837209303 Trump:36.04651162790697] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 944.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 36.046512
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.562708
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.896041
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000001
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Georgia
|
||
|
|
Votes: 16
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.833333
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87178 SampleSize:471 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:6 Oliver:0 Stein:0 Trump:44] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 390.930000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 53.012048
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.524242
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.883614
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.524242
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.677841
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87213 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:37.4 Kennedy:5.9 Stein:0.9 Trump:44.9 West:1.4] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 823.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 54.556501
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.735638
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.995671
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.735638
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.786524
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87109 SampleSize:1203 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Kennedy:8 Oliver:3 Stein:2 Trump:43 West:3] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 962.400000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 53.750000
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.607190
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.990183
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.607190
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.748183
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2176 PollResults:map[Biden:46.077570956610444 Trump:53.92242904338956] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 2176.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 53.922429
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.068563
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.999879
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.068563
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.780497
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Hawaii
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Oregon
|
||
|
|
Votes: 8
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Rhode Island
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Michigan
|
||
|
|
Votes: 15
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87209 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:41.9 Kennedy:5.2 Stein:0.8 Trump:44 West:1.2] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 859.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.222352
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.705468
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.763228
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.705468
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.584821
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87179 SampleSize:594 PollResults:map[Biden:36 Kennedy:8 Oliver:1 Stein:1 Trump:37] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 433.620000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 50.684932
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.400903
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.612285
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.400903
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.542608
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87097 SampleSize:722 PollResults:map[Biden:44 Kennedy:8 Trump:43] Date:2024-05-31 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 628.140000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 49.425287
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.994863
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.386637
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.994863
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.461813
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87110 SampleSize:710 PollResults:map[Biden:45.1 Kennedy:3.3 Stein:0.5 Trump:46.3 West:1.1] Date:2024-06-03 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 648.940000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 50.656455
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.962593
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.630993
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 5.962593
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543833
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2569 PollResults:map[Biden:49.4505195158968 Trump:50.549480484103206] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 2569.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 50.549480
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.986420
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.711252
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 4.986420
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.543873
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Mississippi
|
||
|
|
Votes: 6
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: New Hampshire
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.166667
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Alabama
|
||
|
|
Votes: 9
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Idaho
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Iowa
|
||
|
|
Votes: 6
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:R 2008:D 2012:D 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.500000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87175 SampleSize:632 PollResults:map[Biden:32 Kennedy:9 Oliver:2 Trump:50] Date:2024-06-14 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 518.240000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 60.975610
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.142795
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.142795
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.963011
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:518 PollResults:map[Biden:39.02439024390244 Trump:60.97560975609756] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 518.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 60.975610
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.143292
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 6.143292
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.962999
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Maryland
|
||
|
|
Votes: 10
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Massachusetts
|
||
|
|
Votes: 11
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87105 SampleSize:700 PollResults:map[Biden:48 Kennedy:9 Trump:27] Date:2024-05-30 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 525.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 36.000000
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.094892
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.428225
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:525 PollResults:map[Biden:64 Trump:36] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 525.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 36.000000
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.094892
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.428225
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.000022
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: North Dakota
|
||
|
|
Votes: 3
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Oklahoma
|
||
|
|
Votes: 7
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Texas
|
||
|
|
Votes: 40
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87203 SampleSize:1200 PollResults:map[Biden:39 Kennedy:8 Oliver:0 Stein:2 Trump:46 West:2] Date:2024-06-09 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 1020.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 54.117647
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.560243
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.995844
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.893576
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.922636
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:1020 PollResults:map[Biden:45.88235294117647 Trump:54.11764705882353] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 1020.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 54.117647
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.560243
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.995844
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.893576
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.922636
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Louisiana
|
||
|
|
Votes: 8
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Minnesota
|
||
|
|
Votes: 10
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:D 2004:D 2008:D 2012:D 2016:D 2020:D]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 0.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87134 SampleSize:800 PollResults:map[Biden:44.5 Kennedy:6.4 Trump:40.6] Date:2024-06-05 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 680.800000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 47.708578
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.914272
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.115649
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.247606
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.240227
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87173 SampleSize:600 PollResults:map[Biden:45 Kennedy:7 Oliver:1 Stein:5 Trump:47 West:2] Date:2024-06-11 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 552.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 51.086957
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.127638
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.695281
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.460972
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.623263
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87198 SampleSize:626 PollResults:map[Biden:47 Trump:41] Date:2024-06-16 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 550.880000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 46.590909
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.125346
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.054355
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.458680
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.162149
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87210 SampleSize:1000 PollResults:map[Biden:40.9 Kennedy:6.3 Stein:1.1 Trump:41.6 West:0.7] Date:2024-06-18 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 825.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 50.424242
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 1.740714
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.596275
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.074047
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.554883
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:2608 PollResults:map[Biden:50.95373905576766 Trump:49.04626094423233] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 2608.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 49.046261
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 0.978897
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.164954
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 0
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 2.312231
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.339995
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: Montana
|
||
|
|
Votes: 4
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
Poll: {PollId:87214 SampleSize:500 PollResults:map[Biden:37 Trump:57] Date:2024-06-13 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:REP}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 470.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 60.638298
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.253520
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.586854
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998491
|
||
|
|
Aggregate poll: {PollId: SampleSize:470 PollResults:map[Biden:39.361702127659576 Trump:60.638297872340424] Date:0001-01-01 00:00:00 +0000 UTC Partisan:}
|
||
|
|
Sample size: 470.000000
|
||
|
|
Mean R: 60.638298
|
||
|
|
Std of mean R: 2.253520
|
||
|
|
Poll says chance of R win: 0.999999
|
||
|
|
N republican wins: 6
|
||
|
|
=> Reducing additional uncertainty
|
||
|
|
Std with std_additional_uncertainty R: 3.586854
|
||
|
|
Poll plus uncertainty says chance of R win: 0.998491
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
State: South Dakota
|
||
|
|
Votes: 3
|
||
|
|
History: map[2000:R 2004:R 2008:R 2012:R 2016:R 2020:R]
|
||
|
|
Historical base rate of R win: 1.000000
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
[ 131, 132): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 132, 133): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 133, 134): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 134, 135): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 135, 136): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 136, 137): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 137, 138): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 138, 139): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 139, 140): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 140, 141): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 141, 142): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 142, 143): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 143, 144): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 144, 145): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 145, 146): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 146, 147): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 147, 148): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 148, 149): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 149, 150): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 150, 151): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 151, 152): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 152, 153): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 153, 154): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 154, 155): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 155, 156): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 156, 157): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 157, 158): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 158, 159): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 159, 160): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 160, 161): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 161, 162): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 162, 163): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 163, 164): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 164, 165): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 165, 166): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 166, 167): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 167, 168): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 168, 169): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 169, 170): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 170, 171): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 171, 172): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 172, 173): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 173, 174): 0.00% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 174, 175): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 175, 176): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 176, 177): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 177, 178): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 178, 179): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 179, 180): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 180, 181): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 181, 182): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 182, 183): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 183, 184): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 184, 185): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 185, 186): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 186, 187): 0.01% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 187, 188): █ 0.02% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 188, 189): █ 0.02% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 189, 190): █ 0.02% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 190, 191): █ 0.02% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 191, 192): █ 0.02% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 192, 193): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 193, 194): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 194, 195): ██ 0.04% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 195, 196): ██ 0.03% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 196, 197): █ 0.03% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 197, 198): ██ 0.04% (0%)
|
||
|
|
[ 198, 199): ██ 0.05% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 199, 200): ███ 0.06% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 200, 201): ███ 0.05% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 201, 202): ██ 0.04% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 202, 203): ███ 0.05% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 203, 204): ███ 0.06% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 204, 205): █████ 0.08% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 205, 206): █████ 0.09% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 206, 207): ████ 0.08% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 207, 208): ████ 0.07% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 208, 209): █████ 0.09% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 209, 210): ██████ 0.11% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 210, 211): ███████ 0.12% (1%)
|
||
|
|
[ 211, 212): ███████ 0.12% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 212, 213): ██████ 0.11% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 213, 214): ███████ 0.12% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 214, 215): ████████ 0.15% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 215, 216): ███████████ 0.18% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 216, 217): ██████████ 0.17% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 217, 218): █████████ 0.15% (2%)
|
||
|
|
[ 218, 219): ██████████ 0.18% (3%)
|
||
|
|
[ 219, 220): ███████████ 0.19% (3%)
|
||
|
|
[ 220, 221): ██████████████ 0.23% (3%)
|
||
|
|
[ 221, 222): ███████████████ 0.26% (3%)
|
||
|
|
[ 222, 223): ██████████████ 0.24% (4%)
|
||
|
|
[ 223, 224): ███████████████ 0.25% (4%)
|
||
|
|
[ 224, 225): ████████████████ 0.27% (4%)
|
||
|
|
[ 225, 226): █████████████████ 0.28% (4%)
|
||
|
|
[ 226, 227): ██████████████████ 0.30% (5%)
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[ 422, 423): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 423, 424): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 424, 425): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 425, 426): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 426, 427): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 427, 428): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 428, 429): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 429, 430): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 430, 431): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 431, 432): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 432, 433): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 433, 434): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 434, 435): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 435, 436): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 436, 437): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 437, 438): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 438, 439): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 439, 440): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 440, 441): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 441, 442): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 442, 443): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 443, 444): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 444, 445): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 445, 446): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 446, 447): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 447, 448): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 448, 449): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 449, 450): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 450, 451): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 451, 452): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 452, 453): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 453, 454): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 454, 455): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 455, 456): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 456, 457): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 457, 458): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 458, 459): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 459, 460): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 460, 461): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 461, 462): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 462, 463): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 463, 464): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 464, 465): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 465, 466): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 466, 467): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 467, 468): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 468, 469): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 469, 470): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 470, 471): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 471, 472): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 472, 473): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 473, 474): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 474, 475): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 475, 476): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 476, 477): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 477, 478): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 478, 479): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 479, 480): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 480, 481): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 481, 482): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 482, 483): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 483, 484): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 484, 485): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 485, 486): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 486, 487): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 487, 488): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 488, 489): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 489, 490): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 490, 491): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 491, 492): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 492, 493): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 493, 494): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 494, 495): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 495, 496): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 496, 497): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 497, 498): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 498, 499): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 499, 500): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 500, 501): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 501, 502): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 502, 503): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 503, 504): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 504, 505): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 505, 506): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 506, 507): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 507, 508): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 508, 509): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 509, 510): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 510, 511): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 511, 512): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 512, 513): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 513, 514): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 514, 515): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 515, 516): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 516, 517): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 517, 518): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 518, 519): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 519, 520): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 520, 521): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 521, 522): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 522, 523): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 523, 524): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 524, 525): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 525, 526): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 526, 527): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 527, 528): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 528, 529): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 529, 530): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 530, 531): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 531, 532): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 532, 533): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 533, 534): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 534, 535): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 535, 536): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 536, 537): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
[ 537, 538): 0.00% (100%)
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
% republicans: 0.589444
|